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Foot-ster, I think they can take it down to a particular line in da-Sand between today and tomorrow mornging but, Yes, we should expect a bounce into 16/17Apr, then maube a continuation down?
Maybe, Maybe NOT, it appears we're going to have some serious volatility on the infamous Futures OpEX day?
Down, then up, then down again?
Date Open High Low Close
5-Apr 44.29 44.58 44.25 44.56
9-Apr 44.71 44.75 44.38 44.45
10-Apr 44.44 44.68 44.41 44.68
11-Apr 44.64 44.66 44.07 44.22
4cast
12-Apr 44.09 44.39 43.12 43.54
B... Agree, you know we'll make an attempt to bounce in da-morning only to give way to sellers who watch the news tonight or read the headlines in da-morning?
We should expect three days of selling and then we reassess based on price damage?
nm
Yes, we should expect a bounce around 43.60 and may go back to test 44.06/44.10?
Gleno... I'm between 42.83 and 43.09 so we're not to far off? Should be plenty of fake-out bounces between today and Friday but the ultimate target needs to be 43.00 +/-?
I'll be a net buyer under 43.09?
Next stop 43.57/43.67 and a final move to tag the OE pivot at 42.83?
Q's have destiny to fullfill at 43.57/43.67 and it's not likely to stop dropping today until it gets there?
Foot-ster... Agree, we just had a pattern violation and hence a new 4cast spit out?
Date Open High Low Close
5-Apr 44.29 44.58 44.25 44.56
9-Apr 44.71 44.75 44.38 44.45
10-Apr 44.44 44.68 44.41 44.68
4cast
11-Apr 44.64 4.66 43.57 43.99
And 44.41 is KEY to this playing out?
nm
Not Exactly, just tagged the LOD, 44.52, expecting prices to play above 44.52 for the remainder of the day?
BTW... today will likely post the EIGHT day in a row of a higher low, Holy Snickies!?
Date Open High Low Close
29-Mar 43.84 43.85 43.10 43.57
30-Mar 43.56 43.87 43.22 43.53
2-Apr 43.67 43.76 43.30 43.59
3-Apr 43.82 44.31 43.79 44.16
4-Apr 44.20 44.38 44.13 44.34
5-Apr 44.29 44.58 44.25 44.56
9-Apr 44.71 44.75 44.38 44.45
10-Apr 44.44 44.68 44.41 44.68
11-Apr 44.65 45.16 44.52 45.10
OEPM 4cast-r has the GAP at 45.04 on 26Feb getting filled today? Looks like we play between 44.50 and 44.75 until the Fed minutes and then a JAM job gets us over 45.00?
Date Open High Low Close
5-Apr 44.29 44.58 44.25 44.56
9-Apr 44.71 44.75 44.38 44.45
10-Apr 44.44 44.68 44.41 44.68
4cast
11-Apr 44.65 45.16 44.52 45.10
Tweak-ster... Not exactly, 4casting the SEVENTH day in a row of higher lows, Whatda, Manipulation at its Finest!
Futures contracts expire 12Apr, does ya think that might have sumptin to do wit da-GAMES!?
Date Open High Low Close
5-Apr 44.29 44.58 44.25 44.56
9-Apr 44.71 44.75 44.38 44.45
4cast
10-Apr 44.44 45.02 44.41 44.99
Alcoa reports after da-Bell and one should NOT expect da-Q's to go lower before then, IF at ALL?
nm
Looks like we now move lower to tag the 44.30 4cast'd LOD?
Don't expect prices to FOLD though and worst case scenario is we close at or near 44.50, best case is we close at 44.99 and GAP down in da-morning?
Actually I think we exceed that buc fifty thingy, its just a matter of how high we go today or tomorrow to determine where we FREE-FALL from?
AS of now the wkly High is 4cast for 45.02?
How about da-Boyz holding price at 44.57 or exactly between the 44.38 and 44.75 high and low, Whatda, and people actually think cahrts, technicals, Fibs or Lies matter, NOT!?
This ain't no Freakin Rally, Dis is manipulation pure and simple!?
When players are sitting on the sidelines waiting for 45 or 44 to be tagged da-boyz are FREEE to play between the trigger lines as they see fit and Volume is NOT a prerequisite!
GLENO... I have a Short Bias position with teh follwoing?
Short
April
43Calls Short at 1.35
44 puts at .38
May
44 puts at 1.30
43 puts at 1.08
Long
45 puts short at .70
46 puts short at 1.60
45 calls at .29
46 calls at .10
I'll continue to unwind positions as price moves up to 45.00 or down below 44.00, hence I keep taking profits and swing to Long or Short bias accordingly?
nm
GLENO... we only need to know ONE thing, let us know when you've thrown in the towel on the Short Side!?
This will help us ALL to navigate da-Boyz doings and prosper accordingly!?
Thanks in advance!
nm
TWO... how TRUE is DAT, they are supporting the bid and collecting shares as sellers take profits or run for da-Exits!
THEN and ONLY when da-BOYZ decide to unload their ivenotires built up from last wk and today will prices DROP like a LEAD Balloon!?
And da-GAME conitnues in Full Court_Jester_Mode!?
nm
No, I'm talking 4CAST!
Date Open High Low Close
2-Apr 43.67 43.76 43.30 43.59
3-Apr 43.82 44.31 43.79 44.16
4-Apr 44.20 44.38 44.13 44.34
5-Apr 44.29 44.58 44.25 44.56
4cast
9-Apr 44.71 45.02 44.38 44.99
Btw... that will be the six day in a row of higher lows?
nm
Gleno... I show 44.30 as the LOD and 45.02 as the HOD, hence you won't be seeing sub 44.00 today!?
nm
Two... couldn't agree more, this RAMP up has been sponsored by the PPT and is for the very reason you suggested, JUST IN CASE!?
The 44.43 number is the YTD OE Pivot, 44.43, or where the Q's closed on 15Dec06?
nm
Hey, maybe one last JAM JOB to tag the 44.43 level, if this happens its a MANDATORY SELL SIGNAL!?
Let's see if da-boyz can get-r DONE!?
PLUG likely to be Pulled, Slippery SLope coming up so HANG ON Bulls and KEEP calm Bears!?
Watch da-Bouncing ball folks as we shold get a good BOINNNGGG off the 44.02 level before continuing on down to tag 43.67?
Our first target is 44.20, then 44.02, then 43.83, and finally 43.67?
Btw... this is the ultimate show of how much the markets can be manipulated, especially when ONLY da-Boyz are playing by trading back and forth with each other to put on a show!?
Most impressive for sure but da-Gig is about to get short-cirsuited as more and more get exposed!?
Ooops, WRONG expectation, SOMEONE just SOlD a whole Chit-Pot of Apr43 calls (70k), and bought May43 calls (70k)!
Looks like we be takning SOON, Hang on Sloopy, Hang-ON!
Looks out 43.67, Gleno, keep calm and do NOT get too excited as I show we close above 44.00 today?
nm
My stuff says we have a meeting with the YTD OE Pivot, 44.43, and until that happens down is NOT going to happen!?
That said, said tagging of taht line will trigger a SELL SIgnal!?
nm
YES, but I'm used to da-Games and was most amused when prices actualy CLOSED at 43.30 but everyone was showing 43.34 as the closing number yesterday, whatever!?
In da-Meatime, when Dis-Puppy falls its going down like a LEAD BALLOON!?
Prices are being manipulated as da-Boyz support the Bid and accumulate shares for the next Bull Bashing episode!?
Good trades,
nm
And da-OEPM 4cast-r says, more DOWN than UP today!?
Gleno, looks like your gonna get your 43.67 thingy today!?
Date Open High Low Close
30-Mar 43.56 43.87 43.22 43.53
2-Apr 43.67 43.76 43.30 43.59
3-Apr 43.82 44.31 43.79 44.16
4-Apr 44.20 44.38 44.13 44.34
4cast
5-Apr 44.30 44.44 43.67 44.02
Now go forth and prosper accordingly,
nm
Be... one way to avoid da-knife concept is once you put on an intitial position, DO NOT add to it unless its gone GREEEN!?
In other words, you buy 20 Apr44 puts for .38, you do NOT add util it gets to .48, then add 20 at .48, then add 20 at .58 and so on and so on?
This allows you to exit stage right if prices go against you and still cash out in da-Green? Sorta like averaging UP instead of the infamous averaging down!?
Good trades,
nm
Next target, 44.43 (the YTD OE Pivot), and not make a NEW OE high, currently at 44.45, while your at it!?
Its Up today and since we closed DOWN into the close yesterday its likely we close the opposite today and Hold the HOD into the close?
nm
Ok, IF da-boyz do have control and this low volume manipulation is to continue, WHY would they let price drop BEFORE the jobs numbers?
Its customary to MARK up prices as the FOOL Speculators come in and DROP dem dare prices after dem-Fool Speculators are ALL in LONG!?
Hence, NSTT = MU (at least on a ST basis), or NoShortTernTop = MoreUP?
nm
Gleno... don't think da-boyz let-r drop before Monday, AFTER, the jobs number comes out? May even wait until 10/12Apr to Fall off da-Cliff for the infamous Futures OpEx on 12Apr?
nm
And da-OEPM says...... da-LOD has been posted!?
Date Open High Low Close
30-Mar 43.56 43.87 43.22 43.53
2-Apr 43.67 43.76 43.30 43.59
3-Apr 43.82 44.31 43.79 44.16
4cast
4-Apr 44.20 44.57 44.14 44.51
Yeah, Yeah, Yeah, Yada, Yada, Yada, Ho, Ho Ho, not sure I like being mini-Gleno!?
That said, I'm ALL CASH in me 401k and have PUTS galore and will LOAD Up on Puts if we tag 45.04?
In da-Meantime, price will go where da-Boyz favor and we jsut have to tag along without them knowing where there, hence, NO PULLING ON THEIR CAPE!?
Good trades,
nm
Gleno... I'll have some serious 4cast numbers after the close on Thursday, 05Apr, but I need to see price play out between now and then before confirmation?
It's hard for me to believe that GAP at 45.04 doesn't get filled on Dis-Burn and sooner rether than later?
nm
Two... the GAP I'm talking about is form 26Feb at 45.04?
Date Open High Low Close
23-Feb 45.42 45.46 45.06 45.26
26-Feb 45.48 45.50 44.76 45.04(Gap at 45.04)
27-Feb 44.36 44.48 43.06 43.19
28-Feb 43.16 43.76 42.98 43.33
1-Mar 42.55 43.54 42.24 43.13
2-Mar 42.78 43.14 42.47 42.48
nm
Gleno... "IF" they want to GAP and Fill the GAP then 44.58 is as good a place as any to accomplish their goal!?
How difficult will it be for Shorts to HOLD into the close if the break the HOD, NOT VERY, hence buying pressure into the bell!?
These low volume climbs are PURE manipulation and we ALL should know by now to RESPECT da-Boyz and NOT to tug on their Cape!?
nm
Be Careful, da-boyz are showing their hand and it sure looks like we Close at or near the highs, currently 4cast for 44.60!?
May even close the GAP at 45.07 tomorrow on a GAP Up Open!?
nm
Wow, someone ws doing some SERIOUS SELLING of Apr44 calls, does ya think it was da-BOYZ, Nahh, that would require and advance knowledge that prices were at the HOD and who could know dat, Yeah RIGHT!?
Two... I don't use charts, Technogarb, nor fibs & Lies, I just use PM (percent movement), as it controls EVERYTHING regardless of the variables involved?
In other words, price can ONLY move a certain percent in any given period before ACTION gets triggered? And if we've reached the HOD then its quite easy to extrapolate the probable down action required to stay within the constraints of hourly, dalily, wkly and OE time frames?
Knowing the TRIP lines that trigger programs to execute is KEY and since I have NO oTHER way of determining when one will get TRIP-d then I rely on the PM to guide me through the Mind (play on words) Field!?
Good trades,
nm
Two... HOD just posted, 43.87 (you gotta love Dis-Move by da-BOYZ), making it look like its ALL Clear to move higher!?
HOD 43.87
LOD 43.25 (projected)
Spread (.62 or 1.4 % daily move)
Now go forth and prosper!
nm