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Wkly Update:
HOW, 46.78
LOW, 46.30
We extrapolate the wkly 4cast high using the average wkly PM of 2.5%?
46.78 x 0.975 = 45.61 as the 4cast low
46.30 x 1.025 = 47.45 as the 4cast high
The bias is for 45.61 being tagged since we're on the precipous of a SERIOUS ST Top?
Today's 4cast is......
Date Open High Low Close
4-May 46.77 46.89 46.42 46.63
7-May 46.65 46.78 46.57 46.63
8-May 46.47 46.77 46.30 46.73
4cast
9-May 45.51 46.66 46.19 46.32
nm
Yeah, how about it, .20 below (46.30) and .20 above (46.70)?
Hmmm, you don't think their is a skoosh bit of manipulation envolved does ya, LOL!?
It's da-Boyz game and we haveta play by DARE rules!?
regards,
nm
Ok, off by a penny on the Open and hit the HOD on da-Money, now let's see if da-boyz can get-r down to 46.09 and close around 46.20?
C'mon boyz you can do it man, well, I mean boyz!?
Gleno... patience, the Dip buyers are gonna be buying all the way down to 39.47 so we should expect little mini-burst as we sink, sink and sink some more!?
Btw... we are about due for a -2.0% down day and I wouldn't be surprised if it happend this week?
nm
The END is near and by the time da-Bulls figure out we're in Sell da-Rallies mode (have been for about two weeks), prices will be down -5%, OUCH!?
Date Open High Low Close
4-May 46.77 46.89 46.42 46.63
7-May 46.65 46.78 46.57 46.63
4cast
8-May 46.48 46.56 46.09 46.22
Looks to be a ALL RED day today, lower everything!? We'll be net sellers indefinitely going forward until the Q's tag 39.47?
I expect the dowdraft to be swift and to take only 7 to 9 days to erase the entire move up from 27Feb?
Now go forth and prosper accordingly?
nm
Footster... this is a SERIOUS ST Top forming and the ride down is gonna be exciting!?
I REALLY wish we'd NOT get above 1525 on the S&P500 as it would signal a TOP of a TOP of TOP or a 5th of a 5th of sumptin and dat ain't good for da-bulls Story, LOL?
nm
Today's 4cast based on action up to now?
Date Open High Low Close
27-Apr 46.37 46.70 46.29 46.57
30-Apr 46.50 46.53 45.92 45.96
1-May 45.97 46.14 45.66 46.11
2-May 46.09 46.58 46.05 46.45
3-May 46.43 46.72 46.43 46.59
4-May 46.77 46.89 46.42 46.63
4cast
7-May 46.65 47.05 46.28 46.59
Let's see if da-boyz can get-r done!?
nm
Footster... I show the wkly high being posted on Monday with a nice GAP open at 47.02, a high of 47.03, and a wkly low of 45.69?
That would be a spread of 1.35 and a PM of 2.9%, all within the normal wkly PM and close to the avaerage of 2.5%?
We'd be net sellers above 46.80 and net buyers below 45.80?
regards,
nm
Gleno... when BOTH the Markets and the VIX go up togethere we're very near a top as we approach sell triggers?
This has always been the case as the option writers calculate potential profit taking as we approach key trigger lines.
It's NOT coincidence that da-Boyz have held the S&P500 below 1525 as ANY attempt to approach that level will trigger SELL programs to kick in?
It's really only a matter of a few days, maybe even wait until after 18May before all support lines get breached and we go down for a couple months?
The current ST Top is a SERIOUS event and needs EVERYONES attention as we violate support lines, Both Bull and Bear alike should be alert and ready?
Regards,
nm
Gleno... THis is one SERIOUS ST TOP forming and, AGAIN, its not mattter of if just a matter of WHEN!?
I think the May47 calls do NOT make it above .60 in value and that suggest a move to 47.15/47.20 max?
Here's da-OEPM 4cast for today?
Date Open High Low Close
actual
27-Apr 46.37 46.70 46.29 46.57
30-Apr 46.50 46.53 45.92 45.96
1-May 45.97 46.14 45.66 46.11
2-May 46.09 46.58 46.05 46.45
3-May 46.43 46.72 46.43 46.59
4cast
4-May 46.90 47.01 46.71 46.96
This wll give us a wkly PM of 2.9% (2.5% is average), with 45.66 as the low and 47.01 as the high?
We'll likely retrace early next wk ino the Fed meeting with the Q's trading around 46.41 at the 2pm Fed announcement?
I'm off to the Golf course at 10am and will forgetaboutit until Monday morning!
Regards,
nm
Wonder... draw the same Jaws, smaler version - same pattern, around Mar12 to May10 of 2006, could take same path down?
Two... I don't care about 04May, 09May, or even 18May, as its ALL MOOT at this point as a SEIOUS ST Top is forming and it's gonna be a BLAST from da-PAST riding Dis-Puppy down to new YTD lows!?
This is beginning to get halarious as da-Boyz network PUMPS, and PUMPS and eventually blows da-Bears House DOWN, LOL!?
These kinds of opps come along 2, maybe 3 times a year and I want to be DARE when it happens!?
Best regards,
nm
Holy-Smoke-em Batman, da-boyz are roasting and toasting-em with this Markup Wave!?
Pattern violation now prints a NEW Wkly and OE high by Friday, whatda, are deeze guyz, well boyz, good or what!?
You GO boyz!?
Date Open High Low Close
27-Apr 46.37 46.70 46.29 46.57
30-Apr 46.50 46.53 45.92 45.96
1-May 45.97 46.14 45.66 46.11
2-May 46.09 46.50 45.77 46.26
3-May 46.28 46.49 46.09 46.28
4-May 46.06 46.97 45.87 46.71
Holy-Gift from da-boyz Batman... this is about as good as it gets when one wants to sell at higher prices, C'mon Boyz get-r DONE!?
We're net sellers above 46.50 and will watch as da-Boyz manipulate prices up to that line for adding shorts?
nm
Gleno... almost exactly what da-4cast-r has for today?
Date Open High Low Close
Actual
27-Apr 46.37 46.70 46.29 46.57
30-Apr 46.50 46.53 45.92 45.96
1-May 45.97 46.14 45.66 46.11
4cast
2-May 46.09 46.26 45.77 45.99
Looks like an average range of .50 today?
nm
Wkly update, Dn, Dn, and more Dn?
Close, 27Apr, 46.57
High, 46.53, Dn -.1%
Low, 45.66, Dn -2.0%
Spread, .87
PM, 2.1%
We can expect prices to tag the PM average of 2.5% and therefore can extrapolate accordingly?
Potential high, 46.80 (45.66 x 1.025)
Potential low, 45.37 (46.53 x .975)
We'll be net sellers above 46.50 and buyers below 45.50 this week!?
Since we suspect that ANY up action is a GREAT selling opportunity and that we're currently in "SELL the rallies" mode until 39.47 is tagged, we're NET sellers indefinitely going forward!?
Now go forth and prosper accordingly!
nm
TWO... they've rolled over already they just don't know, wink, wink?
Today's close is 4cast at 46.39, GAP open monday with a run for 46.74, and Monday will post the OE High which suggest prices trade between 44.50 and 46.74 until 18May?
nm
Q's have an appointment with 46.74 today so Shorting before then is futile!?
Da-Boyz rule, therefore its Up until we tag 44.74?
C'mon BOYZ, now Get-R Done!?
Gleno... C'mon, who has indicators that really work, especially when da-Boyz are involved?
You've got to watch da-boyz and forgetabout all those the noise Charts, Technos, Fibs and Lies suggest?
Da-Boyz will be playing between da-lines 45.54/46.74 between now and the 401k Hand-off 30Apr/02May?
Then its down for a reality check before a back-test of recent highs and the S&P500 even making new highs into the next 401k hand-off 14/16May?
nm
For your viewing pleasure, teh OEPM 4cast-r on the S&P500?
Today does end GREEN though, you go BULLS )!
Date Open High Low Close
Actual
20-Apr 1471 1485 1471 1484
23-Apr 1484 1487 1480 1481
24-Apr 1481 1484 1474 1480
25-Apr 1480 1497 1480 1495
26-Apr 1495 1498 1491 1494
4cast
27-Apr 1494 1504 1490 1496
30-Apr 1496 1503 1490 1496
1-May 1496 1496 1487 1492
2-May 1492 1495 1482 1485
3-May 1485 1495 1485 1489
4-May 1489 1500 1478 1494
7-May 1494 1501 1490 1495
8-May 1495 1503 1487 1489
9-May 1489 1499 1489 1498
10-May 1498 1498 1487 1492
11-May 1492 1500 1492 1497
14-May 1497 1513 1497 1512
15-May 1512 1513 1509 1511
16-May 1511 1513 1509 1512
17-May 1511 1512 1503 1509
18-May 1509 1509 1487 1490
Dan-O, not gonna happen until 14/15May then just SHORT-IT and forgetaboutit!?
Target numbers
1480
1445
1427
1409
1391
Let's see if da-boyz can GET-R DONE!?
nm
Patience will go a long way as we're at a SERIOUS TOP and regardless we're going to back-test 44.43 and eventually get to 39.47?
Target numbers:?
45.54 (next wk)
44.43 (by 19May)
43.32 (by 26May)
42.21 (by 09Jun)
41.10 (by 23Jun)
39.97 (by 14Jul)
And the FINAL FINAL, 39.47 by 29Jul?
You are correct Sir, but when da-Boyz are involved its all MOOT, when it comes to Charts, Technos, Fibs & Lies!?
Gleno.... that's manipulation at the Highest LEVEL!?
Are these guys GOOD or what, they can get the charts to read whatever they want when they can trade betweeen themsleves and suggest price hit a particualr number that really NEVER happened!?
The ST Top is in and we should look further downward to tag 45.87 at the minimum?
nm
Holy-TOPS Batman, we just tagged 46.65 and that TELLS ALL, We be heading southbound to back-test 45.87!?
We're NET sellers until we tag 45.87, we'll likely GAP down tomorrow to start the process?
Let's go make some money!
Oops, should read:
Could get an extension tomorrow up to "46.65/46.75" but that would be a gift at this point of the manipulation!?
Not:
Could get an extension tomorrow up to 45.65/46.75 but that would be a gift at this point of the manipulation!?
)
Wkly PM tags 2.67%, HOW (high of wk) = 46.54, LOW (low of wk) = 45.33, spread 1.21!
1.21 into 45.40 = 2.67%
We'll be net sellers above 46.50 and buyers below 46.14 today?
Could get an extension tomorrow up to 45.65/46.75 but that would be a gift at this point of the manipulation!?
nm
The wkly PM ended the day at 2.0%, LOW = 45.33, HOW = 46.32!
This portends more up to at least the average PM of 2.5%, hence, 45.33 x 1.025 = 46.46? Since we are likely to OPEN at or near that level we'll be net sellers at the OPEN?
That said, we should NOT expect much more than a move down to 46.14 today if we're to expect this Markup Wave to continue?
If we violate 46.14 then obviously the 45.87 number is the next SERIOUS Support?
We sell this morning and buy below 46.14 and we double up long on any atempt to back-test 45.87?
NOTE: ANY, even by a penny, move above 46.55 says we continue higher TODAY?
Now go forth and prosper accordingly?
nm
B... that's good stuff and that's about the only way one could leave it go is to leave on vacation, LOL!
Whatda... Pattern VIOLATION, looks like the wkly low has been posted and we head to 46.45!?
Da-Boyz musta read my 4cast AGAIN, Bass-turds!?
That said, we'll be net sellers above 46.25?
LOL, how true is dat, the Human disposition and emotional wavering is amazingly flawed at both TOPS and BOTTOMS!?
In summary, we suck at selling at the TOP and buying at the BOTTOMS because of our inherent building blocks!?
Gleno... Forgetaboutit, we'll CLOSE well below 45.68 today and the LOD is going to just keep being violated all day!?
Good morning Foot-ster, Yes tech will be needed to complete this last GASP up to 1520/1530 on the S&P500 so one can buy tech knowing tha until we tag 1520/1530 they are realitively safe?
It's the post 1520/1530 action that will change players perspective indefinitely going forward?
In da-Meantime, its Up via da-Boyz manipulationl waves of meaning?
nm
Btw... A little lesson to learn along the way, SOMEONE (a whole lot smarter than us), bought to CLOSE a whole bunch of May puts yesterday bringing the Open Interest levels down considerably!?
Hmmm, wonder why they'd want to CLOSE those positions, Yeah Right, just coincidence I'm sure, NOT!?
This is where da-Bears COULD actually say "TIMBER", but they won't after da-AsskieWhoopin they've been taken!?
We're about to head into the SELL EVERY Rally mode and it could last about FIVE YEARS?
One last EXHAUSTION GASP Up to tag 1520/1530 on the S&P500 and the VERY Important ST TOP will be complete (currently 4cast for between 02/09May)?
Then it really will be time to say "TIMBER", Look out below!?
In da-Meantime, back to da-Boyz game of awesome Manipulation!
nm
It's a Miracle, THIRD time was a charm, da-Boyz did GOOD and tagged the 45.87 target!?
The HOD has been reached and we now look further downward as prices retrace the last few weeks up action!?
Next target, 45.60, tehn 45.40, then 45.20?
Now go forth and prosper!
nm
Double-T, that's it alright and it is amazing to think that I could start with 100k, fall all the way down to less than 2k, and then build it back up to 25k just a few wks later?
It's even more amazing to think that one could have $-112k in losses and a value of $25k when they started with only 100k, that calculates to commissions of $-37k, hmmm, what percent is that!?
$37K into 100k Seed money is about 37%!!!!? I don't know about you but I pay less than 1% commisison on most ALL trades I make with some being less than a couple tenths of a percent, so it seems that sight is using some White House Fuzzy Math?
Not to mention that it can't handle complex hedge plays and almost went into a melt down with some of the trades I attempted, LOL!?
I had to resort to BASIC buy and sell plays vs. selling short against other call or put positions since the sight could not handle it!?
In Summary, FOCUS on the value going to darn near ZERO and come back in a couple months when I've built it back up to 100k? And the ONLY instruments I trade our QQQQ Options, NOTHING else?
I'll close that strategy down once I get-r back up to 100k from less than 2k but it'll be out there for the record none-the-less?
ANYONE can make money with money as the old addage suggest but making 2k into 100k take a bit more know how than the average player?
Good day,
nm
It's a Miracle, TAKE TWO, here come da-boyz to save da-DAY!?
C'mon Boyz you can do it MAN, well in dis-case its you can do it BOYZ, get-r up to 45.87 dat is, LOL!?
Ox... I'll update everyone in da-morning since we're NOT in a hurry to make a play until then, patience has always served me well, especially when da-boyz and da-markets are concerned?
Auhh-O, its da-short, look its da-shorts buying again, SQUEEZE me boyz, SQUEEZE ME!?
It's amazing how da-shorts just keep on giving to da Boyz Club Charities!?
Up Up and Away, to infintity and beyond, well, 45.87 anyway, LOL!!?