GUSTAV starting to get major news coverage

Manchild

GUSTAV starting to get major news coverage

Manchild

Now at .05 - train has left the station. Still more stops to get aboard.

NSMG OPENED AROUND .04. Expecting PPS climb to continue.

Rhino - great link and solid testimony to how they conduct their business - recommend as many as can to watch video.

Manchild

Nice close with 2 business days left in the week.

Manchild

if it does i'm loaded already from these lows. This could only be a win-win situation if your loaded from these lows.

Manchild

Great job in postings and updates Rhino - we all appreciate it.
Glad to see .03's and MOMO should increase as well as pps.

Manchild

RichieRich, Welcome back. Good time to get in. Rhino beat me to it but we are in .03's now. Good luck and enjoy the ride - it should be very interesting

Manchild

latest path of GUSTAV - pretty serious for tex/la border. Saying right now New Orleans is a direct hit. But we are several days out

Nothing new in the message but the timing is great. Management is saying loud and clear - we are here - we are ready. It has been a long wait for them as well as us for a scenario in which we can all make some money. Great volumne today and MOMO is picking up. This hurricane GUSTAV already on its way could be the BIG one. You better buy at these lows because the NSMG train has started its engines and will be leaving town shortly. Do we have another Katrina as Gustav is predicted to enter the gulf as cat 2 or 3. It will then have plenty of time to build more strength over very warm water. Some weather sites have said a strong cat 5 possible. Below is a projected path of GUSTAV. Some are calling for a projected landfall around New Orleans.

3saints.

Lets see if a maj cat 3-5 makes a direct hit and makes a difference. I bet it does - do you?

Manchild

Pressonj,

I do realize it did extensive damage but not the kind of damage that NSMG responds to. Yes there was a lot of flood damage but not extensive structural damage that a major cat 3 - 5 does - the kind that NSMG is contracted for by insurance companies - rebuilding - roofing - siding - etc.

manchild

You meant 0006's not 00006's. Lets not go apocalyptic.

Manchild

poor printmail01. He trys so hard to be heard and nobody listens to him. i know i don't. He's try to act like FAY was this major 3-5 cat storm and this stock is not responding. FAY was tropical storm that was a hugh rainmaker - period.

Amazes me how you guys fall for what 3saints says. This was a tropical storm NOT a cat 2 or higher. Theres not a cane stock that FAY moved. If a cat 2 or higher comes through NSMG territory and stock does not move then i will be first to concede this stock is toast. But until then - all these explanations are just hogwash to feed somebody's ego.

except for your post, i think Lexi and mostly everyone else has had a common sense approach. The next potential storm will be the cheer leader and hopefully does not die out like FAY did. But hey, it brought some excitement.

Manchild

Rhino,

Thanks for the updates. .02 is a great entry point and has been around there for a while so i assume most have loaded already. As you said the peak season is getting under way and be foolish at these lows to see or get out until we are on the downside of the peak.

Manchild

i know a lot of you are disappointed and wanted to a least recoup some of your investment. its 11 pm and Fay is a strong tropical storm with winds around 60-65 with stronger gusts and lots of rain. Only a cat 2 or higher is going to make this stock move and this is not the one unless it gets over water for a sustained time. However, latest track seems to bring it into Ga after passes throgh Fla. However, 94L is not far behind and could be the focus of attention in a few days. So the 2008 cane drama continues as we leave this chapter and turn the page to see what happens next.

Manchild

well this young pup will say this. if a maj cat hits fla over the next few days as many say will happen and ecci moves up without a pr - i believe that will settle the question.

manchild

Success with hurricane stocks have been hard to come by in these last 2 yrs. Like you though i am comfortably loaded and maybe success is in our grasp this time yet i want to see minimum loss of life and property damage.

Cargo,

Weather master Jeff Masters of WUNDERBAR agrees with you

I'll have a full update Sunday by 12:30 pm EDT. I plan on comparing Fay to Hurricane Charley, the 2004 storm that rapidly intensified to a Category 4 hurricane just before hitting the west coast of Florida near Punta Gorda. Could a repeat of Charley happen with Fay?

Jeff Masters



Manchild

fay - cat 3 possible - Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog:


Fay's future strength when it hits the U.S. depends critically upon how much strengthening occurs today. Fay will be traversing the highest heat content waters in the entire Atlantic Ocean today, so there is the potential for the storm to reach Category 1 hurricane status before crossing Cuba Sunday night. If Fay does hit South Florida, the storm is likely to be a tropical storm or Category 1 hurricane, since it will not have enough time over water to reorganize much. A strike further up the coast will likely result in a stronger Fay at landfall, with a Category 3 storm not out of the question (20% chance).


Manchild

fay - cat 3 possible - Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog:


Fay's future strength when it hits the U.S. depends critically upon how much strengthening occurs today. Fay will be traversing the highest heat content waters in the entire Atlantic Ocean today, so there is the potential for the storm to reach Category 1 hurricane status before crossing Cuba Sunday night. If Fay does hit South Florida, the storm is likely to be a tropical storm or Category 1 hurricane, since it will not have enough time over water to reorganize much. A strike further up the coast will likely result in a stronger Fay at landfall, with a Category 3 storm not out of the question (20% chance).

fay - cat 3 possible - Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog:


Fay's future strength when it hits the U.S. depends critically upon how much strengthening occurs today. Fay will be traversing the highest heat content waters in the entire Atlantic Ocean today, so there is the potential for the storm to reach Category 1 hurricane status before crossing Cuba Sunday night. If Fay does hit South Florida, the storm is likely to be a tropical storm or Category 1 hurricane, since it will not have enough time over water to reorganize much. A strike further up the coast will likely result in a stronger Fay at landfall, with a Category 3 storm not out of the question (20% chance).

thanks for a great article. also explains why these bashers multiply if think think they can drive it down to .0001 cellar.

right now they only have it hitting as cat 1. of course its early and that could change to be higher. it could also change direction and get further into the gulf. right now though they have it coming in - pensacola area?

fla nsmg'ers wake up. 11 pm models make a a much more powerful hurricane being over water more than land and for a longer time - this could be a devastating scenario for fl and gulf.

11 pm models make a a much more powerful hurricane being over water more than land and for a longer time - very interesting


Manchild

11 pm models make a a much more powerful hurricane being over water more than land and for a longer time - very interesting


Manchild

Fay now Tropical Storm. hurricane near fla by mon - tues

Reports from an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft and a NOAA research air craft show that the area of disturbed weather affecting the northeast Caribbean has become tropical storm Fay. Fay is located over the eastern Dominican Republic with winds of 40-45 mph with higher gusts. The tropical storm force winds are found mostly over the water off the north, east and southeast coasts of the Dominican Republic including the Mona Passage just west of Puerto Rico. Winds of tropical storm force with gusts to over 50 mph will occur over the higher terrain of Hispaniola tonight and tomorrow. This tropical system is moving west at about 10-15 mph and a west to west northwest movement is expected through tomorrow and Sunday. Fay will stay over Hispaniola tonight and part of tomorrow and move through the Windward Passage between Hati and Cuba later tomorrow and tomorrow night. The system could track over or near Cuba Sunday and Sunday night. This system should remain a tropical storm through the weekend.

Fay will continue to impact the island of Hispaniola through tonight and tomorrow. Heavy rain, gusty winds, flooding and landslides will be major problems across western Puerto Rico tonight and across Hispaniola through tomorrow. While the center of this disturbance is over land, development will be inhibited by the mountainous terrain of both Puerto Rico and especially Hispaniola. If and when this disturbance moves away from land, conditions will become much more conducive for rapid intensification, as wind shear should remain low and water temperatures are quite warm.

Once away from Hispaniola, this system will probably increase in strength. Also, its track will begin to turn toward the northwest, and its forward speed will decrease. The southeastern Bahamas and eastern Cuba will begin to feel its effects by Saturday morning. Depending on the track of this system clouds and showers will start to spread into the central Bahamas and into central Cuba Saturday night and Sunday. Even if the center of the storm emerges over water its circulation will continue to interact with the mountains of Hispaniola on Sunday. This will cut down on the amount of rain and wind affecting the southern and central Bahamas, Hispaniola and Cuba this weekend. Since aircraft investigating this system are showing tropical storm force winds north of the broad center we expect winds to be over tropical storm force over Hispaniola and over the southern Bahamas tomorrow. Tropical storm force winds are then expected over the southern and central Bahamas, still parts of Hispaniola and the eastern half of Cuba on Sunday.

Beyond Sunday we expect this tropical system to impact the northern Bahamas, Cuba and southern Florida on Monday with wind swept showery rainfall. Once over the open waters of the Straits of Florida or perhaps the southeast Gulf of Mexico this system could intensify into a strong tropical storm and even a hurricane on Monday. But if the system moves slower and is still over Cuba it might not intensify further until it moves north of Cuba Monday night and Tuesday. Beyond Tuesday long range computer information continues to show a wide variety of possible tracks. These tracks include taking the system over the northern Bahamas and east of Florida to a track well west of Florida peninsula into the western Florida panhandle. Since there is a wide range of possible tracks people living in and with interests in Hispaniola, The Bahamas, Cuba and Florida should closely monitor this evolving tropical system.

Elsewhere in the tropics, a second area of disturbed weather continues to be monitored for possible development. This area is located approximately 750 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, moving to the west-northwest at close to 10-15 mph. While wind shear remains rather light and conducive for development, ocean water temperatures are only marginal to support development, so any strengthening of this feature will be slow to occur.

A tropical wave is also noted near 24 west having emerged from the coast of Africa Thursday. Within this wave is a weak area of low pressure. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this feature remain disorganized, and development is not anticipated within the next few days. However, computer forecasts continue to suggest this could become better organized early next week.

By AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist Rob Miller

Tropical Storm Fay over the Dominican Republic

Reports from an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft and a NOAA research air craft show that the area of disturbed weather affecting the northeast Caribbean has become tropical storm Fay. Fay is located over the eastern Dominican Republic with winds of 40-45 mph with higher gusts. The tropical storm force winds are found mostly over the water off the north, east and southeast coasts of the Dominican Republic including the Mona Passage just west of Puerto Rico. Winds of tropical storm force with gusts to over 50 mph will occur over the higher terrain of Hispaniola tonight and tomorrow. This tropical system is moving west at about 10-15 mph and a west to west northwest movement is expected through tomorrow and Sunday. Fay will stay over Hispaniola tonight and part of tomorrow and move through the Windward Passage between Hati and Cuba later tomorrow and tomorrow night. The system could track over or near Cuba Sunday and Sunday night. This system should remain a tropical storm through the weekend.

Fay will continue to impact the island of Hispaniola through tonight and tomorrow. Heavy rain, gusty winds, flooding and landslides will be major problems across western Puerto Rico tonight and across Hispaniola through tomorrow. While the center of this disturbance is over land, development will be inhibited by the mountainous terrain of both Puerto Rico and especially Hispaniola. If and when this disturbance moves away from land, conditions will become much more conducive for rapid intensification, as wind shear should remain low and water temperatures are quite warm.

Once away from Hispaniola, this system will probably increase in strength. Also, its track will begin to turn toward the northwest, and its forward speed will decrease. The southeastern Bahamas and eastern Cuba will begin to feel its effects by Saturday morning. Depending on the track of this system clouds and showers will start to spread into the central Bahamas and into central Cuba Saturday night and Sunday. Even if the center of the storm emerges over water its circulation will continue to interact with the mountains of Hispaniola on Sunday. This will cut down on the amount of rain and wind affecting the southern and central Bahamas, Hispaniola and Cuba this weekend. Since aircraft investigating this system are showing tropical storm force winds north of the broad center we expect winds to be over tropical storm force over Hispaniola and over the southern Bahamas tomorrow. Tropical storm force winds are then expected over the southern and central Bahamas, still parts of Hispaniola and the eastern half of Cuba on Sunday.

Beyond Sunday we expect this tropical system to impact the northern Bahamas, Cuba and southern Florida on Monday with wind swept showery rainfall. Once over the open waters of the Straits of Florida or perhaps the southeast Gulf of Mexico this system could intensify into a strong tropical storm and even a hurricane on Monday. But if the system moves slower and is still over Cuba it might not intensify further until it moves north of Cuba Monday night and Tuesday. Beyond Tuesday long range computer information continues to show a wide variety of possible tracks. These tracks include taking the system over the northern Bahamas and east of Florida to a track well west of Florida peninsula into the western Florida panhandle. Since there is a wide range of possible tracks people living in and with interests in Hispaniola, The Bahamas, Cuba and Florida should closely monitor this evolving tropical system.

Elsewhere in the tropics, a second area of disturbed weather continues to be monitored for possible development. This area is located approximately 750 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, moving to the west-northwest at close to 10-15 mph. While wind shear remains rather light and conducive for development, ocean water temperatures are only marginal to support development, so any strengthening of this feature will be slow to occur.

A tropical wave is also noted near 24 west having emerged from the coast of Africa Thursday. Within this wave is a weak area of low pressure. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this feature remain disorganized, and development is not anticipated within the next few days. However, computer forecasts continue to suggest this could become better organized early next week.

By AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist Rob Miller


Manchild

Tropical Development Likely in the Next 24 Hours
An impressive area of thunderstorms near the Leeward Islands should become our next tropical depression within the next 12 to 24 hours. The center of the strongest convection during the evening hours of Thursday was centered around 18 north and 64 west and was about a degree in width. A NOAA research aircraft and a U.S. Air Force Reconnaissance plane flew both lower-level and upper-level flights within this system earlier on Thursday and was unable to find a lower-level circulation strong enough to classify this as a depression. However, showers and thunderstorms seem to be more centered over what may be a low level center now. In addition, there is good venting of this complex in the upper atmosphere.

Once the lower levels organize this system could intensify quickly and could become a tropical storm within hours after being classified as a depression. The estimated center of this system is tracking very close to the Leeward Islands and current indications are that the system's center will pass very close to the Virgin Islands Thursday night and very close to Puerto Rico during Friday. The track this system takes will determine how strong it becomes in the short term. If the system stays on a westward track south of 20 north it will move into Hispaniola, which has mountains large enough to cause a disruption in the system's circulation. If it tracks north of these islands the system could intensify quickly. Current indications are that the system will track just north of Puerto Rico Friday then pass just north of Hispaniola and over the southern Bahamas on Saturday then move into the central Bahamas on Sunday. Computer simulations suggest this system could become a hurricane by Monday if it can stay far enough away from Hispaniola. The majority of the long-range computer forecasts show the system moving into the southern Bahamas by as early as Sunday then into, or just east of the northern Bahamas Monday which could put the storm close to the east coast of Florida. A couple computer models show other track scenarios including into the eastern Gulf of Mexico. All interests in this area should keep up with the latest information on this developing system.

Regardless of development, this system will bring showery gusty rainfall heavy at times over the Leeward Islands and into the British and U.S. Virgin Islands overnight and Friday, then over Puerto Rico Friday. Rainfall associated with this system will average 2-4 inches with higher amounts possible in the higher terrain of all the islands. Winds of 10-20 mph with gusts to 35 mph are expected. If this system intensifies quickly winds of over tropical-storm force could be felt, especially over the higher terrain.

Elsewhere in the tropical Atlantic Basin a tropical wave along 43 west with a surface low near 15 north has become less organized but continues to be a feature of interest as it moves westward at 7-8 degrees longitude per day. A large area of thunderstorms has moved off the African coast during the past 12 hours and this should become the next tropical wave. Computer forecasts continue to show this system becoming an organized tropical system in a few days.

By AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologists Ken Clark and Dan Kottlowski

Tropical Development Likely in the Next 24 Hours
An impressive area of thunderstorms near the Leeward Islands should become our next tropical depression within the next 12 to 24 hours. The center of the strongest convection during the evening hours of Thursday was centered around 18 north and 64 west and was about a degree in width. A NOAA research aircraft and a U.S. Air Force Reconnaissance plane flew both lower-level and upper-level flights within this system earlier on Thursday and was unable to find a lower-level circulation strong enough to classify this as a depression. However, showers and thunderstorms seem to be more centered over what may be a low level center now. In addition, there is good venting of this complex in the upper atmosphere.

Once the lower levels organize this system could intensify quickly and could become a tropical storm within hours after being classified as a depression. The estimated center of this system is tracking very close to the Leeward Islands and current indications are that the system's center will pass very close to the Virgin Islands Thursday night and very close to Puerto Rico during Friday. The track this system takes will determine how strong it becomes in the short term. If the system stays on a westward track south of 20 north it will move into Hispaniola, which has mountains large enough to cause a disruption in the system's circulation. If it tracks north of these islands the system could intensify quickly. Current indications are that the system will track just north of Puerto Rico Friday then pass just north of Hispaniola and over the southern Bahamas on Saturday then move into the central Bahamas on Sunday. Computer simulations suggest this system could become a hurricane by Monday if it can stay far enough away from Hispaniola. The majority of the long-range computer forecasts show the system moving into the southern Bahamas by as early as Sunday then into, or just east of the northern Bahamas Monday which could put the storm close to the east coast of Florida. A couple computer models show other track scenarios including into the eastern Gulf of Mexico. All interests in this area should keep up with the latest information on this developing system.

Regardless of development, this system will bring showery gusty rainfall heavy at times over the Leeward Islands and into the British and U.S. Virgin Islands overnight and Friday, then over Puerto Rico Friday. Rainfall associated with this system will average 2-4 inches with higher amounts possible in the higher terrain of all the islands. Winds of 10-20 mph with gusts to 35 mph are expected. If this system intensifies quickly winds of over tropical-storm force could be felt, especially over the higher terrain.

Elsewhere in the tropical Atlantic Basin a tropical wave along 43 west with a surface low near 15 north has become less organized but continues to be a feature of interest as it moves westward at 7-8 degrees longitude per day. A large area of thunderstorms has moved off the African coast during the past 12 hours and this should become the next tropical wave. Computer forecasts continue to show this system becoming an organized tropical system in a few days.

By AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologists Ken Clark and Dan Kottlowski

Manchild

Lexi,

OMGGGGGGGG and Russia . You sure you were not trying to say Gog or Magog. I bought some NSMG today also.

Manchild

Thanks for coming aboard and bringing some very exciting news with you. Also, great timing if this turns out to be the big first for NSMG territory in a long time.

Manchild

Lexi,

The amount of activity is not what is important to investors as they have chased these for last 2 yrs in vain. However, as any one of these comes into a clear focus that it is going to hit nsmg territory hard then we will see movement upwards. So we wait and watch.

Manchild

i thought that happened in the 9th month (sept) and here it is aug and you guys are both going into labor. Wait a minute i feel birthpains coming on - gotta go.

manchild

ALL cane stocks have dropped in similiar proportion. Problem - no maj cat canes hitting their territories. When they do they will move. In the meantime - longer the inactivity - more they will meander slowly down in pps. However, as I and others have said - cane season really only gets going in aug. Here it is aug 8 so we wait to see what happens.

Yes, i saw that on another post quoting an update by some main weather sight. It is aug 6 so we are still on the uphill climb for increased cane activity. So far so bad. i really meant to say good but somewhere we are somewhere between the two right now.

Manchild