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bought me new computer
HP is building it for me.....be here in 1.5 weeks
edit.....checking for RAM
HP ProBook 450 G4 Notebook PC - Customizable
Windows 10 Pro 64 - HP recommends Windows 10 Pro.
ProBook 450 G4 Notebook with Intel® Core? i7-7500U dual-core processor and discrete NVIDIA GeForce 930MX graphics - W7C85AV
Integrated HD 720p Webcam with Dual Array Microphone
65-watt Smart AC Adapter, non-PFC
8 GB DDR4-2133 PC4 SO-DIMM memory (1 DIMM)
1/1/0 Year Warranty
9.0mm SATA DVD-ROM optical drive - 24x CD-ROM, 8x DVD-ROM
Destination Country Kit Localization
500 GB 7200 RPM SATA hard drive
15.6" diagonal FHD Anti-Glare Slim SVA LED backlit (1920x1080) - With 1 Antenna and HD Webcam
No WWAN Broadband Wireless
Windows 10 Driver DVD (requires optional optical drive)
Intel® Core? i7 Label
Realtek 802.11 b/g/n/ (1x1) + Bluetooth® 4.0
No Integrated Fingerprint Reader
ENERGY STAR Qualified Configuration
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making memories....what it'z all about
had a pop tonight.....not much of one
I'm out for now....is it a head fake or what is it
1-hr chart.....right now inverse H & S
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was that u
in the hat
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Graph - Commitment of Traders - Natural Gas - Futures Only
Graph....open interest...merchant short/long...Swap Dealer short/long
https://www.quandl.com/data/CFTC/NG_F_ALL-Commitment-of-Traders-Natural-Gas-Futures-Only-023651
3 Month
https://www.quandl.com/data/CFTC/NG_F_ALL-Commitment-of-Traders-Natural-Gas-Futures-Only-023651
1 year
https://www.quandl.com/data/CFTC/NG_F_ALL-Commitment-of-Traders-Natural-Gas-Futures-Only-023651
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Chart-Commitment of Traders - Natural Gas - Futures Only
Graph....open interest...merchant short/long...Swap Dealer short/long
COT Charts
https://www.quandl.com/data/CFTC/NG_F_ALL-Commitment-of-Traders-Natural-Gas-Futures-Only-023651
3 Month
https://www.quandl.com/data/CFTC/NG_F_ALL-Commitment-of-Traders-Natural-Gas-Futures-Only-023651
1 year
https://www.quandl.com/data/CFTC/NG_F_ALL-Commitment-of-Traders-Natural-Gas-Futures-Only-023651
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wife was 60....had a wheel black chair for her to set in
was hillaroius
she went right along with it
tomorrow we are going down to Lafayette to go on a gator tour in the swamps of Lafayette, La.
the tour guide kisses one of the gators on on his mouth on our last tour
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Oversupply of LNG could cause reduced investment creating shortage of LNG in the near future
So far, this oversupply has caused gas prices to fall. As a result, the private sector has already begun scaling back on investments in infrastructure to produce, store, and transport gas. This trend is
reminiscent of the oil market in the 1990s, when low prices dissuaded companies from investing in new sources of production. By the 2000s, demand outpaced supply and oil prices rose relentlessly for a decade. A similar boom-bust cycle could be on the horizon for the gas market. Low gas prices are deterring upstream producers from exploration, and globally, new investments in infrastructure to export LNG halted in 2016. Whereas the current oversupply is the result of decisions made
over the last decade to invest in gas production and infrastructure, falling investment flows today could send the market into a shortage within the next decade, resulting in increasing prices as
boom turns to bust
Consistent with the EIA data from which the baseline scenario is derived, the model predicts that demand for natural gas will increase from 3,500 bcm in 2014 to 4,100 bcm in 2025
edit....may depend upon how much natty we sell to Europe and other countries....Mexico...Europe...etc
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celebrating wife's birthday today
will be gone rest of day
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NOAA & European Weather Maps
ECMWF.....European Weather Maps
Can give you CFS...ECMWF...GFS or GDPS Maps
http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ECMWF
******** Tropical TidBits.....weather forecast models ***********
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs-ens®ion=us&pkg=z500a&runtime=2017070806&fh=30&xpos=0&ypos=308
****** NatGasWeather forcasts ******
http://www.natgasweather.com/
NOAA weekly weather forecast & Climate Prediction ******
Digital Weather Prediction
http://digital.weather.gov/
Weekly Weather Prediction
http://www.weatherstreet.com/states/u-s-min-temperature-forecast.htm
Climate Prediction Center
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/two_class.php
CFTC COMMITMENTS OF TRADERS REPORT
http://www.naturalgasintel.com/CFTC
6 to 10 Day Weather outlook.....and
8 to 14 DAy Weather outlook
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/index.php
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The U.S. is the world leader in both consumption and production of natural gas. The 75.1 billion cubic feet (BCF) the U.S. consumed in 2016 was more than the entire Asia Pacific region consumed, and was nearly double the 37.7 BCF consumed by Russia, the world's second largest consumer.
The 5.1 BCF year-over-year (YOY) increase in U.S. consumption was also the world's largest, but the largest percentage increases in consumption were seen in Israel (+14.5%), the Philippines (+14.3%), Ireland (+14.0%), the United Kingdom (+12.2%) and Chile (+11.1%).
Natural gas production exploded in the U.S. as a result of the shale gas boom, growing by nearly 50% from 2006 to 2015. Last year low natural gas prices brought an end to an 11-year streak of increasing production in the U.S., but the 72.3 BCF produced by the U.S. was still far ahead of 2nd place Russia's 55.9 BCF. To put U.S. natural gas production into perspective, it was greater than all Middle East production of 61.5 BCF in 2016.
U.S. trade in natural gas also surged in 2016. Pipeline exports of natural gas grew 23% over 2015, primarily driven by growing trade with Mexico. Liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports from the U.S. increased from 24 billion cubic feet in 2015 to 155 billion cubic feet in 2016. The U.S. exported LNG to about a dozen countries in 2016, with 34% going to South and Central American countries, and 23% destined for countries in the Asia-Pacific region.
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here is a forcast of weather have never seen before
that CelsiusEnergy uses for their models
appears cool weather dropping out of Canada
are we going into ElNino affect....?????
very interesting how July 20th weather patterns are to be cool all along Eastern Sea Board down into Florida
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs-ens®ion=us&pkg=z500a&runtime=2017070806&fh=30&xpos=0&ypos=308
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according to this graph storage started increasing about the time natty took a nose dive....April started tanking
prices move according to graph
need to be watching storage reports to get direction...this graph tells it all
http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngs.gif
storage report was 2,888 compared to last year of 3,173 with a 5 year average of 2,701
even though we are down in storage numbers we increased by 72 bcf on this report....being negative for natty storage
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it takes about 9 months for rig production to hit market
EIA reports Baker Hughes rig count has doubled since last year
we should be seeing production hitting market 4Q of 2017
here Seeking Alpha reports count down
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4079543-natural-gas-production-declining-2017
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demand for nat gas....why natty prices in downward move
Demand, Export Upticks Push Wells Fargo’s 2017 Natural Gas Price Forecast Higher
Carolyn Davis March 31, 2017
notice date of PR...March 31...on April 3rd prices started dropping..... u can't trust the media...first galnce uptic in natty.....read further and they tell u demand will be lower....they hide negative news.....rely on EIA ...PR's
The bullish forecast follows one by BofA Merrill Lynch Global Researchearlier this month, which kept unchanged its 2017 average from April through December at $3.50/MMBtu, 37 cents above NGI’s Forward Look’s calculated forward curve as of March 20.
However, the bullish outlooks contrast one by the Energy Information Administration, which earlier in March reduced the 2017 spot price to $3.03/MMBtu, 12% lower than its February outlook. Barclaysearlier this month also reduced its 2017 forecast to $3.02 from $3.38.
Wells Fargo's end-of-season forecast is predicated on the assumption that higher gas prices are needed this summer to incentivize demand destruction, primarily gas-to-coal switching.
"Our model indicates that power generation demand should be down 3.5 Bcf/d versus last summer," Tameron said.
Demand for natural gas for 2017 projected is 3,500 bcf/d compared to 4,000 bcf/d for 2018
http://www.naturalgasintel.com/articles/109958-demand-export-upticks-push-wells-fargos-2017-natural-gas-price-forecast-higher
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Mark Cuban soon to be 1st Trillionaire
guess will look around to see
Henry Hub....CME Group date
Market Data is live
http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/natural-gas/natural-gas.html
another one....with prices and news and analysis
https://www.dailyfx.com/natural-gas
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Mark Cuban to become the 1st Trillionaire
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I have that one....use it often
r there any other u know of
that is a good site
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depends on who is putting out the PR
this site says ....New York, New York average temps
high....84
low....69
https://www.currentresults.com/Weather/US/average-city-temperatures-in-july.php
----------------------------------------------------------------
this site say average temps in New York, New York are 85
http://www.usclimatedata.com/climate/new-york/united-states/3202
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another site said average temp was 76.5
http://www.eldoradocountyweather.com/current/climate/climate100cities.html
take ur pic
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yes sir they want to be there Friday
for pay day......rest is up to me to get er done
u can get free service from investing.com
charting services
discussion board there as well
they have attitude....believe they were on the DGAZ board when I first started posting....they moved there....bunch of foreigners from what can tell
look up commodities then go to energy....then natural gas
a very good site
https://www.investing.com/commodities/natural-gas-streaming-chart
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Who n why did they delete ur message
do u know of a source for HH spot price other than investing.com
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I've been working all day..
.guess with the movement was right place 4 me to be
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tmorr was looking at European weather forecasts for USA
they show cool weather along Eastern sea board next week
going into following week gets back to normal to below temps for eastern sea board .....depends upon which day ur looking at
some say European is more reliable
still don't see heat coming in.....further out than 2 weeks is just not that reliable from past experience
I can show u hot weather as well as cool weather forecast for Aug tru rest of year
depends on ur slant of view I guess
what u want to believe
Edit....now Celsius is saying
Overall, nat gas demand will be high besides the northeastern US.
vinyl siding as an area to itz own
seen more people screw up a siding job can count
he is a good worker as long as I put him on contract labor
and thatz they way he works
contract labor
if he doesn't produce he doesn't get paid
he makes good when he works....when is the operative work.....lol
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Ur right
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Weather is below normal temps....cooler than normal according to Celsius own temp charts
Should have less natty usage
Celsius says increased usage next week in natty
It tanks
Go figure
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Why is it the one who gripes because not making enough money
is the one who can't get to work on time....most of time comes 2 work late n gets off early
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will be out for the day
working construction job
pays the bills
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think MM's are affecting it more than weather or Quatar
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next 2 weeks.....cooler than normal temps all up n down eastern sea board
look up
Forecast Temperature Departure From Average
http://www.celsiusenergy.net/p/weather-data.html#box9
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next 2 weeks.....cooler than normal temps all up n down eastern sea board
look up
Forecast Temperature Departure From Average
http://www.celsiusenergy.net/p/weather-data.html#box9
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some points i see are
2.97
3.02
*** 3.06 *** ...... if breaks above this number it breaks downward draft....IMVHO
3.24
3.4
if run fails could go to lower number of
*** 2.77 ***
the downward channel is currently between
high of **** 3.06 *** and low of *** 2.77 ***
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nice find tmorr.....may explain why we are at these prices
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1st one I see is 12.12
then:
13.80
21.70
47.50
they are slow walking this one
been selling DGAZ off since yesterday
just moved 15k contracts
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Is that a fake news story or for real
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/ng keeps trying to fall
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yah know what u mean
some are BS.....most are BS
have their own agenda.....such is I-Hub
most of the time
BTW....ran out of posts.....sorry for so late a post
headed to bed
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On the demand side, China emerged as a significant consumer of gas rapidly, with demand increasing from 28 bcm to 188 bcm between 2000 and 2014, before the recent slowdown that threatens global gas market stability.
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Future LNG usage for World....China....Asia....Europe
https://www.cfr.org/sites/default/files/report_pdf/Discussion_Paper_Cronshaw_Grafton_Hughes_Gas_in_Asia-Pacific_OR_1.pdf
https://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/PartnerCountrySeriesTheAsianQuestforLNGinaGlobalisingMarket.pdf
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pipeline accounts for 68 percent of total gas trade.....we are in competition with 68 %
A simulation of global gas markets finds that a 25 percent increase in gas demand in both China and India, compared with current market forecasts, could help stabilize prices. The 25 percent increase would represent just a 2.9 percent increase in global demand but would be enough to boost Asian gas prices by more than 20 percent over the next decade. Such an increase in demand is plausible in both China and India, because they are large and growing economies that use relatively little gas today as a share of their energy mix and are motivated to use more gas to displace the burning of coal, which causes air pollution. At the same time, because China is the world’s largest source of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and India is the third largest and fastest-growing source, gas use that replaces coal would slow global GHG emissions.
Such demand increases are not necessarily favorable for U.S. strategic interests. Russia could benefit by selling 30 percent more gas than it currently does, primarily via pipeline to China, and U.S. producers would export less gas to Europe in favor of a more lucrative Asian market, thus exposing U.S. allies to increased dependence on Russian gas.
. A Primer on Natural Gas Trading.....
Because of the costly infrastructure required to transport natural gas, its trade has historically lagged behind that of other fossil fuels such as oil. But in recent decades, global trade in gas has risen rapidly, and by 2015, one-third of all extracted natural gas was sold outside the country of extraction.
16 Today, trade via pipeline accounts for 68 percent of total gas trade; Canada, Norway, and Russia account for 54 percent of pipeline gas exports, and Germany, Italy, and the United States account for 32 percent of imports.
Trade in LNG represents the remaining 32 percent of traded gas.
Australia, Malaysia, and Qatar account for 53 percent of LNG exports, and China, Japan, and South Korea account for 56 percent of imports.
Overall, trade in gas is projected to grow 45 percent by 2026, with LNG accounting for two-thirds of this growth, fueled by an almost 60 percent surge in global LNG supply over the next decade.20
On the demand side, China emerged as a significant consumer of gas rapidly, with demand increasing from 28 bcm to 188 bcm between 2000 and 2014, before the recent slowdown that threatens global gas market stability.
A similar increase in gas demand over the
baseline projection could most plausibly come from the Asia-Pacific, which is projected to account for over two-thirds of global energy demand through 2025.