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S&P Set For Biggest Ever Monthly Point Gain As Central Banks Go All In
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-10-28/sp-set-biggest-ever-monthly-point-gain-central-banks-go-all
....the biggest VIX monthly drop in history...
There Are Going to Be Some Major Debates Inside the Fed This Week
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-10-27/there-are-going-to-be-some-major-debates-inside-the-fed-this-week
Breaking News
c 10:01 AM
Consumer Confidence Index in U.S. Decreased to 97.6 in October
The Calm Before The Storm
We have entered a period of “dead calm
http://www.infowars.com/the-calm-before-the-storm/
Globally, markets settle in for the FOMC
http://peterckenny.tumblr.com/post/132012105044/globally-markets-settle-in-for-the-fomc
“There is a strong move to monetary easing globally at the moment,” said Angus Nicholson, markets analyst at IG Markets Ltd. “This would provide maximal impact for the BOJ should they choose to ease this week.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-10-26/central-bankers-bow-to-market-pressure-as-eyes-turn-to-fed-boj
EARNINGS NEWS | Earnings Wall
• What we’ll learn from UPS’s earnings
• What to look for in Volkswagen earnings
• What to expect from Twitter’s earnings
• What to look for in PayPal’s earnings
• What to watch for in GoPro’s earnings
• What to expect from LinkedIn’s earnings
Washington is on the verge of a massive budget deal
13 charts that show why the Fed might still raise rates in 2015
Stock Market’s Technical Strength Grows - 26th Oct 15 - Christopher_Quigley
Fed Set to Spook the Markets Once Again! - 26th Oct 15 - Brad_Gudgeon
...The next important top should occur around Thanksgiving right before the next nesting of lows: the 5 and 7 week (and tax selling) low of around Dec 8. From early December to late December/early January should be quite bullish, but watch out, there is another low, the 20 week and 40 month Kitchin cycle low due in January 2016. ...
The Global Depression and Deflation Is Currently Underway! - 26th Oct 15 - Chris_Vermeulen
Derivatives...
Deutsche Bank has a $100 trillion derivatives position.
..Deutsche Bank is not the only bank with this massive exposure. JP Morgan, for example, also has around $100 trillion of derivatives exposure, and the top U.S. banks have a staggering $250 trillion of derivatives exposure. And if these derivatives are valued properly, the true value of the U.S. bank exposure is an close to the jaw-dropping figure of $500 trillion.
When counterparties fail, the $500 trillion U.S. bank total and the total global derivatives exposure of $1.5 quadrillion will sustain unimaginable losses. And this, Eric, is one of the main reasons why central banks are petrified and will continue to print money again and again.
Global Economy On The Verge Of Collapse As It Turns Down In An Already Bankrupt World
http://kingworldnews.com/global-economy-on-the-verge-of-collapse-as-it-turns-down-in-an-already-bankrupt-world/
October doldrums? History says a terrible trading week is ahead
The coming week will be a massive event for earnings, with more than 150 S&P 500 Index companies set to report — including such behemoths as Apple and Exxon Mobil.
Yet for some traders, the biggest worry isn't the volatility that could be stirred by the reports, but rather a fact about the market's historical performance.
http://www.cnbc.com/2015/10/25/october-doldrums-history-says-a-terrible-trading-week-is-ahead.html
Currency Devaluation's Dangerous Role in Deflation
Oct 24, 2015 -
...China's economy is slowing. Its stock market began to crash back in July. And the volatility rocking financial markets has been widely linked to the recent yuan devaluations by China's central bank.
...
The Chinese have now joined in the competitive devaluation game. Neighboring currencies have been falling for some time. The yuan has quite a bit further to fall (and the dollar to rally) before any type of equilibrium is reached. This move by the Chinese is deflationary for the rest of the world. China is now an exporter of deflation.
This move will be felt in all markets, not simply currencies, and in all regions of the world, not simply Asia.
We all know what came next: the stunning 2,000-point decline in the DJIA, which -- in less than a week! -- erased two years' worth of rally in the world's benchmark stock index.
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article52768.html
"How Would One Position For One Final Melt-Up On Wall Street"? - Here Is BofA's Answer
....How would one position for one final melt-up on Wall Street? Table 1 illustrates it was an “überbarbell” of über-growth stocks (e.g. internet) and über-value (e.g. EM/Russia) that significantly outperformed in 1998-99. Why? Because 1999 started as a year of “max liquidity, scarce growth & distressed value” and ended with an internet bubble causing a significant rise in interest rates, growth & inflation...
...This risk rally cannot be sustained if Fed hikes and/or ECB/BoJ/PBoC easing causes the US dollar to rally strongly, thus setting off another “death spiral” in EM/commodities/energy/HY and fresh round of EPS downgrades. ..
...Yes... but... all that would take to cover the "ask" is for some central bank to unexpectedly announce that it will proceed to buy an unlimited amount of stock. Because not even Bank of America seems to realize that a market crash, now that every.single.central.bank has gone all in on the asset reflation trade...
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-10-25/how-would-one-position-one-final-melt-wall-street-here-bofas-answer
Stocks Roar Back as S&P 500 Heads for Best Month in Four Years
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/world
Figure 2: Fear Subsides: What Happened to VIX 20? The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), one measure of broad market “fears,” has shed some 41% over just the last three weeks. Below 15, it is nearing a return to the ultra-low territory that marked much of the first part of trading this year. After the August-September retreat, many observers thought VIX might settle in to a range near the historically “normal” 20 line. Its return to sub-15 has some traders asking if VIX has fallen too far, too fast. Source: TD Ameritrade’s thinkorswim® platform. Data source: CBOE. For illustrative purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
...inconsistent U.S. economic indicators have potentially sidelined the central bank’s plans to reverse recession-era interest rate levels. For now.
The Fed wraps its two-day session with a statement at 2 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday, October 28.
Oct 24, 2015 @ 05:00 AM 1,493 views
Stock Market Fate In Fed's Hands, At Mercy Of Earnings
http://www.forbes.com/sites#/sites/jjkinahan/2015/10/24/stock-market-fate-in-feds-hands-at-mercy-of-earnings/?utm_campaign=yahootix&partner=yahootix
...The problem is with the ECB slamming the Euro trying to purposefully weaken the currency the US Dollar is already back to levels that were causing emerging markets to freak out,
Buy Some VIX Futures for December for Portfolio Protection
...The financial markets are as about as far from ‘pricing in’ of any rate hike for the December Meeting as they could be and frankly, the marker reaction will be fun to watch this December.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-10-22/ecb-putting-federal-reserve-bad-spot
As VXX tumbles over 3% in the pre-market (heralding 13 handle VIX today)
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-10-23/china-rate-cut-reaction-bullion-best-bonds-bruised-exuberance-everywhere-else
Thanks
CENTRAL BANKERS ARE GOING TO CRASH THE BUSINESS CYCLE!!!
ZIMBABWE... DEPRESS the people, worthless money
less profit higher cost squeeze profits
Holding for banruptacies. TVIX value..Unkown. standby for news
Central bankers want a new ONE WORLD MONETARY SYSTEM collapsing yours.
..S&P futures surge nearly 20 points on this latest scramble to ease, which is just the latest green light by central banks to take on more risk, and as a result fresh all-time highs in the S&P500 are now just a matter of time.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-10-23/breaking-china-cuts-interest-rates-reserve-requirement-ratio-futures-soar
SOMETHING IS GOING TO SNAP/POP, JUST TO MUCH Euphoria , AND MONEY RAMPING
CENTRAL BANKERS JUST THROWING MONEY AROUND AT THESE CORPORATIONS.
MONSTER BEAST .... THROWING MONEY INTO THE SEPTIC !!!
DEVAULING CURRENCY, AND THE PROBLEME WE ARE IN IS GOING TO MAGNIFY.... SALES DOWN AND EARNING DOWN XXXX
PIGS FLYING NOW
Moody’s Warns “of Jarring Slowdown” in Jobs, Jumps on Recession Bandwagon
by Wolf Richter • October 16, 2015
...But the monetary policies have allowed companies to load up their balance sheets with debt
...but what the Fed is going to do. And this is what Moody’s envisions: not only ZIRP as far as the eye can see,
http://wolfstreet.com/2015/10/16/moodys-recession-warning-jarring-drop-in-payrolls/
Zero interest-rate policy
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zero_interest_rate_policy
What is Zero Interest-Rate Policy (ZIRP)?
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/031815/what-zero-interestrate-policy-zirp.asp
Reshuffling the Deck in the Mideast
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article52750.html
DEBT BUBBLE???
Everything’s Deflating And Nobody Seems To Notice
Economics / DeflationOct 22, 2015 - 12:07 PM GMT
By: Raul_I_Meijer
...Everything and everyone is overindebted. All of the above stats, and a million more, point to the beginning of a deleveraging of that debt, something that curiously enough hasn’t happened at all since the 2007/8 crisis. On the contrary, a massive amount of additional debt has been added to a global system already drowning in it. China alone added $20-15 trillion,
...Which is that debt that has been inflated to such extreme proportions, must lead to deflation, and do so in spectacular fashion.
...what’s happening right before our very eyes. That is, the system is imploding. Deflating. Deleveraging. And before that is done, there can and will be no recovery. Indeed, this current trend has a very long way to go down
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article52745.html
Stocks Rise to 2-Month High as Aussie Gains on ECB Stimulus Bets
Updated on October 23, 2015
...“The hope that cheap money is here to stay for longer, together with stronger earnings, is helping stocks,” said Soeren Steinert, associate director for equities trading at Quoniam Asset Management in Frankfurt.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-10-22/asian-stocks-set-to-track-draghi-surge-while-nasdaq-futures-jump
Global stocks hit two-month high on dovish Draghi message
...The prospect of yet more European Central Bank stimulus pushed world stocks to a two-month high, the euro to a two-month low
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/23/us-global-markets-idUSKCN0SH01I20151023
Oct 22, 2015
Draghi Sparks Euphoria in Europe's Markets With Stimulus Hints
ECB's Draghi Sparks Expectations of December QE
Draghi's Signal Adds $190 Billion to Negative-Yield Universe
Draghi Repeating ECB History Primes Euro Area for Stimulus
Chinese Stocks Advance for Third Straight Week on Stimulus Bets
...The amount made available to local governments via a special bond program will be increased to at least 600 billion yuan ($94 billion) from 300 billion yuan for the rest of this year,
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-10-23/chinese-stock-index-futures-rise-before-party-plenum-next-week
The best six months for stocks is about to begin
Forecasters cut eurozone inflation outlook: ?????
Silver coins are scarce, but prices don’t show it
This Is What Happens After Three Years Of Negative Interest Rates
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/22/2015 - 20:51
....Property prices in Copenhagen have risen 40-60 percent since the middle of 2012, when the central bank first resorted to negative interest rates to defend the krone’s peg to the euro.
Why Europe Is About To Plunge Further Into The NIRP Twilight Zone, And What It Means For Depositors
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/22/2015 - 20:14
If you thought we'd seen the depths of NIRP, think again because as Deutsche Bank notes, the ECB, Riksbank, SNB, and Nationalbank will likely dive further into the monetary Twilight Zone in the months ahead. Only when rates become negative enough to spark a depositor revolt will we have reached the "real" lower bound, but at that point, it will be far too late...
U.S. stocks mount rally; Dow soars more than 300 points
Oct 22, 2015 12:39 p.m. ET
...Comments from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi, who said the central bank is ready to deliver more economic stimulus measures, lifted the dollar,
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stocks-may-break-losing-run-with-mcdonalds-caterpillar-in-focus-2015-10-22
ECB's Draghi Signals Boost to Stimulus
http://www.bing.com/search?q=ECB%27s+Draghi+Signals+Boost+to+Stimulus&form=PRHPCS&pc=HPNTDF&mkt=en-us&refig=169629aab9534b7497e4474a3a5e151b
EURUSD Crashes 200 Pips, Biggest Drop In 9 Months
WTF Chart Of The Day - Italian 2Y Bond Yields Collapse Below Zero For First Time Ever
10Y Yield Tumbles To 2.00%, Stocks Stumble
S&P 500+1.75% Dow+1.80% Nasdaq+1.72%
$1.5 Quadrillion Derivatives Bomb And The Great Financial Disaster
http://kingworldnews.com/1-5-quadrillion-derivatives-bomb-and-the-great-financial-disaster/
Expert That Correctly Predicted Market Moves In July, August And September Says Stocks Will Crash In November
Next month will be the most significant month for global financial markets since the crash of 2008
http://www.infowars.com/expert-that-correctly-predicted-market-moves-in-july-august-and-september-says-stocks-will-crash-in-november/
A year-end stock market rally?
..The potential challenge for equities over the near term is that as prices have climbed over the past six weeks, valuations are beginning to get stretched just as forward estimates on sales, revenues and earnings are declining....
.... That is not to say that I expect prices to fall off a cliff. Volatility will continue to play a factor in investing decisions and a sharp but likely brief pullback is in the cards
http://peterckenny.tumblr.com/post/131661917429/a-year-end-stock-market-rally
Weeklies heat up on VIX Sonar Report at Yahoo Finance Contributors Wed 11:47am
http://najarianbros.tumblr.com/post/131624492525/weeklies-heat-up-on-vix-sonar-report
The ECB rate decision is coming. The European Central Bank will announce its latest interest-rate decision at 7:45 a.m. ET
Why the Bank of England May Move Before the Fed
Goldman Sachs Says Fed Raising Rates in December to Hit Gold
Companies Fight Global Revenue Battle in Currency Wars
Early signs of a debt ceiling freakout in this market
...On Monday the yield on one-month Treasury bills shot up to 0.17%, the highest level since 2013 during the fiscal cliff standoff, according to FactSet.
http://money.cnn.com/2015/10/21/investing/debt-ceiling-bond-market-freakout/index.html?section=money_markets
Drug maker Valeant plunges as report alleges Enron-like fraud
...Valeant (VRX), a $50 billion pharmaceutical giant
...
http://money.cnn.com/2015/10/21/investing/valeant-enron-bill-ackman/index.html?section=money_markets
The fraud allegations against Valeant exposed an industry secret that's going to infuriate Washington
http://www.businessinsider.com/valeant-accusations-highlight-special-pharmacies-2015-10
Stocks Slammed Into Red For Week As Biotechs Break Key Support
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-10-21/stocks-slammed-red-week-biotechs-break-key-support
NEXT WEDNESDAY TVIX ABOVE 9.00 ???
China Bond Defaults Seen Rising After Sinosteel Misses Payment
...“Sinosteel’s default means we will see more and more real bond defaults, in which investors may not get full repayment, in China,” said Ivan Chung, an associate managing director at Moody’s Investors Service in Hong Kong. “The government may want to reduce its intervention in default cases and let market forces play a bigger role.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-10-21/china-bond-defaults-seen-rising-after-sinosteel-misses-payment
Bond Market Begins To Panic: Bids For 4-Week Bill Auction Crater, Yield Spikes
10/20/2015
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-10-20/bond-market-begins-panic-4-week-auction-bids-plunge-october-2006-levels
...This plunge...It was, in fact, so bad that it was the lowest amount of tendered bids since October of 2006,
...Things officially turned serious yesterday, when as we reported, T-Bill yields spiked
...But where the "serious" crossed over into "panic" territory, happened mommnts ago when the US Treasury sold $5 billion in T-Bills.
...The question becomes: what does the suddenly panicking - and revolting - bond market know about the debt ceiling showdown in 2 weeks that equities not only don't, but obliviously refuse to care about?
I AM FILING THIS ARTICLE TO SEE WHAT HAPPENS IN THE MARKETS FURTHER DOWN THE ROAD. I HAVE BEEN TOLD SOMETHING ABOUT, OR ANOTHER THAT PANIC BOND MARKETS RELATE TO FUTURE MARKET TURMOILS/SELLOFFS. WAIT AND SEE???
Bonds & Stocks Drop Amid Crude Carnage; Bills, Biotechs, & Big-Boy-Toys Battered
10/20/2015
.. Stocks suddenly realize that a collapsing T-Bill market is NOT bullish...
The last few days have been very 'odd' in VIX with gaps and craps everywhere...
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-10-20/bonds-stocks-drop-amid-crude-carnage-bills-biotechs-big-boy-toys-battered
MARKET SNAPSHOT: U.S. Stock Futures Slip In Face Of Earnings Deluge
10/20/2015 @ 8:31AM
"The reporting season in the U.S. has got off to a poor start, and to make matters worse the strong economic data adds weight to the argument that the Fed will hike rates this year," he said.
http://ih.advfn.com/p.php?pid=nmona&article=68948037
BUY ON SPIKE ON VOLUME...
2015/09/02
16.92
18.42
15.06
15.0699
18,806,286
15.0699
2015/09/01
17.48
19.90
16.60
19.06
27,387,984
19.06
2015/08/24
14.99
15.99
10.00
12.50
48,183,912
12.50
2015/08/21
7.58
9.22
7.13
9.17
35,940,467
9.17
2015/08/20
6.08
6.95
6.19
6.86
19,355,147
6.86
2015/08/19
5.80
6.12
5.5200
5.85
9,947,721
5.85
http://ih.advfn.com/stock-market/NASDAQ/velocityshares-daily-2x-vix-TVIX/historical
Picked up 93 @ 6.36 I will enjoy channel trading these 93 wil hi lo of plus minus 4.00 dollars in the future.
CHEERS...
TVIX COULD GOTO 3.00 IN THIS ALICE WONDERLAND MARKET. ???
Stock Market Lots of Downside Ahead, Major Tops and Bottoms Analysis Since 1950 - 18th Oct 15 - Rajveer Rawlin
Stock Market Approaching The “Extreme” Projection (Negative Divergences) - 18th Oct 15 - Andre_Gratian
...Target: The base created at the 1872-1900 level yields a maximum projection to 2040
...Summary
SPX showed that it had enough remaining strength to shoot for its “extreme” count of 2040. That level is fast approaching and could be reached as early as Monday. What the index does after meeting this target will show its true colors. Is it capable of pushing higher after adequate consolidation, or is this the end of the short-term road and the start of another selling phase. (objectivity required! J)http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article52709.html
Stock Market Big Drop Still Looms, GDX Pulling Back - 19th Oct 15 - Brad_Gudgeon http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article52713.html
...If this pattern and cycle continues in the stock market, we may not see a final low of this bear market move until late December or early January to my long time target of SPX 1700 . This would also guarantee the chop continues.
Quantitative Easing Was a Bust; Let’s Try Higher Wages Instead - 18th Oct 15 - Mike_Whitney
Now is the Time to Short Gold and Silver - 18th Oct 15 - Tony Mermer
Interview) Forex FreeWeek Preview: "Dollar is at an inflection point" - 20th Oct 15 - EWI
More Bad News From China.... Stock Market Yawns.... - 20th Oct 15 - Jack_Steiman
EWI's FOREX FreeWeek is now on: Get free, live forecasts for USD, EUR, JPY and more - 20th Oct 15 - EWI
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/
GLOOM DOOM REPORTERS ????
CHINA Article..$50 TRILLION IN DEBT: This is what the '3rd wave' of the 2008 financial crisis looks like
http://www.businessinsider.com/the-third-wave-emerging-market-debt-2015-10
Forex On Hold, Investors Look To Central Bank For Clues
...China in spite of the August 11th yuan devaluation....
...The US Treasury fired a warning shot by stating that Korea should not be intervening in the FX market to limit the KRW's appreciation. Policy authorities should only be intervening due to "exceptional circumstances of disorderly conditions." The Treasury's assessment had the KRW undervalued last year by -5% to -13%. http://seekingalpha.com/article/3584616-forex-on-hold-investors-look-to-central-bank-for-clues
U.S. stock futures slip in face of earnings deluge
For the third-quarter reporting season so far, aggregate earnings for the S&P 500 stand at $28.62 per share, down 4.77% from a year earlier, according to data from S&P Capital IQ. That’s 64 basis points better since last Monday, when the first full week of earnings season began. More than 110 companies are expected to release earnings this week.http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stock-futures-slip-ahead-of-earnings-deluge-2015-10-20?siteid=rss&rss=1
JPMorgan: The Stock Market Still Has $90 Billion in Short Sales Left to Cover
WalMart Suppliers Brace For The Coming Storm: "Now We Know Why They Have Been Pushing So Hard"
..Suppliers of everything from groceries to sports equipment are already being squeezed for price cuts and cost sharing by Wal-Mart Stores. Now they are bracing for the pressure to ratchet up even more after a shock earnings warning from the retailer last week.
"The ground is shaking here," said Cameron Smith, head of Cameron Smith & Associates, a major recruiting firm for suppliers located close to Wal-Mart's headquarters in Bentonville, Arkansas. "Suppliers are going to have to help Wal-Mart get back on track."
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-10-19/walmart-suppliers-brace-coming-storm-now-we-know-why-they-have-been-pushing-so-hard
Fed's Williams Sees Reasons to Increase Rates Soon and Slowly
Thanks holding 700 @ 10.00 average. Maybe tvix goes to 3.00 but holding mine and will be happy to sell at 14.00 for a 2,800.00 profit.
MAYBE WE WILL SEE 14.00 THIS YEAR?
NEED ERATIC MARKETS TO SELL.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=^VIX
China Containerized Freight Index Collapses to Worst Level Ever
October 19, 2015
...And imports into China – a mix of bulk and containerized freight – have been plunging: down 20.4% in September from a year earlier, after at a 13.8% drop in August....
http://wolfstreet.com/2015/10/19/global-demand-rampant-overcapacity-china-containerized-freight-index-ccfi-collapses-worst-level-ever/
CHINA CAUSED THAT VIX SURGE, SHOPPING BUSSINES IS NOT!!! CORPERATE SELLERS GOING TO LOSE.
Baltic Dry 'Bounce' Is Dead - Freight Index Lowest In 29 Years For Time Of Year
by Tyler Durden on 10/12/2015
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-10-12/baltic-dry-bounce-dead-freight-index-lowest-29-years-time-year
VIX Plunges To 14 Handle - Erases Post-China-Devaluation "Fear"
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-10-19/vix-plunges-14-handle-erases-post-china-devaluation-fear
More Nov 30’s on VIX Sonar Report with @palmerMX
http://najarianbros.tumblr.com/post/131289402975/more-nov-30s-on-vix-sonar-report-with-palmermx