Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Back in two weeks, if he chooses to.
I hope RobH1312, and our other trolls, at least reads the bit i have emphasized here ..
"Before any of that, though, a quick note on how we sometimes see our work being cited in the media. The polling averages are free for everyone, and we’re always happy to see them referenced in the press. That includes readers who take screenshots and post them on Twitter or other platforms. We’d just ask for two common courtesies: please don’t cut out the Silver Bulletin watermark in the bottom-right corner of the chart, and please try to link back to the model landing page or otherwise provide appropriate attribution."
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
As we have stated, so many times to most every troll who has ever visited us, it is only a common courtesy to include a link.
And for those as, conix, who too often do not also include the author's name,
\it's only fair if you use someone else's work to give them credit for it.
Common courtesies is all we have ever asked.
Thanks heaps for that post, it was very interesting. And for the link to it.
brooklyn13, You got it all wrong again. On August 30 RobH1312, called Harris a "sluttypants" that was gratuitous as there is no valid reason for it. Also in that post back then he cited a poll result, and DD called him for not including a link in support of his claim. I wandered in later, as per my cruising in another time zone style, and deleted his, for his double fuck-up. Then Hanibal reminded him Trump had lost in 2020 and that Trump and his supporters lied about it and RobH1312 called Hanibal a dumbass. Then hookrider said something to him, and he called hookrider a dumbass. So, at that time because Rob1312 was labeling everyone he spoke to a dumbass i told him i was getting tired of it. At that stage you, knowing nothing about why i had said what i said came in and totally misrepresented my position. You tell me what that makes you. To compound your screw-up yours was, yet again, a comment on moderation which you know is against all the rules, and you also know it is far from the first time you have done it. I'm leaving it this time for RobH1312's reply in which he then gets it all wrong again,
fuagf sure is a dumbass what a little pansy face girl.
People on here telling others to FUCK OFF and he says nothing but when he's called a dumbass he freaks out. GEEESS what a dumbass he is.
On another note, looks like Putin loves Sluttypants he's endorsing her, but the democrats said Trump and him are friends. Guess they were wrong. Walz family and especially his brother is voting for Trump that says a lot.
CNN came out on TV today the political director for them saying Harris is in trouble with white male voters in every key battleground state.
I told you her polling numbers were going to start going down. Love it when I'm correct. :):):) Goggle everything I've posted and you will see I'm correct.
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=175038308
RobH1312 there says i freaked out when i was called a dumbass, when in fact no one, not even he, called me a dumbass. I don't give a fuck what a dumbass like he comes across as calls me. You get it? You see what a dumbass RobH1312 is coming over as. He can't even keep track of who he has labelled dumbass, and who he hasn't. So in that post RobH1312 has again called Harris "sluttypants" and again has made an assertion without including a link for evidence, so for those reasons (which he has been called for before) and because he has been a total waste of space he is banned for two weeks. Just to make the point he has been all negative and overly gratuitously insulting to most everyone who has said anything to him.
And you also are banned for two weeks, for yet again being nothing more than a fucking nuisance. Get the message, you do not comment on moderation, no matter how emotional you cause yourself to become just because you have misread the situation, again.
Now, lol, others here will be thinking about me why ban the idiots for only two weeks. LOL, well that's just me (this time) and can't have everyone happy all the time can we.
Hope you use some of your vacation time to reconsider your attitude to this board.
.
He wouldn't last long around either here or around my place in Australia. Closed as a clam, he is.
Did. Went shopping instead of just walk, and the pub is there on the way back.
Did once, but i forgot what it was. Liz, feels ok.
Does look right for it. Hope he saw your suggestion.
That is sad, too bad it isn't the Trump-type that are not endangered. Feet feeling tingly. Walk time.
LOLs.
Your first mention post was a good one. Mine simply was a later expanded update.
The Paralympic Games are tremendous examples of triumph over adversity. Of the good human spirit. Then you have people like...see bottom...
Hong Kong’s Tse Tak Wah competes against Damian Iskrzycki of Poland during the Men’s Individual preliminary round Boccia game at the 2024 Paralympics, Thursday, Aug. 29, 2024, in Paris, France. (AP Photo/Christophe Ena)
Japan’s Takashi Sanada returns a ball as he and teammate Daisuke Arai work against Brazil’s Daniel Rodrigues and Gustavo Carneiro Silva during their men’s double second round match at the Paralympic Games in Paris on Sunday, Sept. 1, 2024. (AP Photo/Mady Mertens)
Iran’s Morteza Mehrzadselakjani blocks the ball during the preliminary sitting volleyball match against Brazil during the Paralympic Games in Paris, Sunday, Sept. 1, 2024. (AP Photo/Avni Trivedi)
Wei Wang, of China, competes at Men’s Shot Put - 40 final, at the Stade de France stadium, during the 2024 Paralympics, Sunday, Sept. 1, 2024, in Paris, France. (AP Photo/Emilio Morenatti)
https://apnews.com/article/sports-paralympics-paris-photo-gallery-68bdad2e45ff47e9ffe22430a15e0c7e
Then you have people like Trump who put these brave people down:
rooster, Sorry to say it, but you are pushing a dumb line.
2h after yours - Teenage student charged with murder after four people killed in school shooting in Georgia
"Welcome back to school boys and girls, our first lesson for this year is called "duck and cover". 😬"
3 hours ago
VIDEO 3:09 Georgia school shooting leaves four dead, multiple injured
In short:
Four people have been killed and at least nine injured in a shooting at a school in the US state of Georgia.
Local authorities said the suspect was in custody and was a student at the school.
What's next?
The 14-year-old shooter has been charged with murder and will be tried as an adult, local authorities said.
A 14-year-old has been charged with murder after four people were killed and at least nine injured in a school shooting in the US state of Georgia, according to local authorities.
Students scrambled for shelter at the school's football stadium as officers swarmed the campus and parents raced to find out if their children were safe.
The Georgia Bureau of Investigation (GBI) said the shooting happened at a high school outside of Atlanta.
In a press conference hours after the shooting, authorities said a student from the school was in custody as the suspect after surrendering at the scene.
The teen, identified as Colt Gray, will be tried as an adult, the GBI said.
Two of the four killed were students, and the other two teachers, authorities confirmed.
Donald Trump shooter also searched for information about Joe Biden before settling on Trump
The FBI says Thomas Crooks spent months looking into the Republican and Democratic parties
before settling on Donald Trump as a target for his shooting.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-08-29/donald-trump-shooter-spent-months-seeking-target/104283600
"What you see behind us is an evil thing," Barrow County Sheriff Jud Smith said at a brief news conference outside Apalachee High School.
The incident, which took place at the school about 80 kilometres north-east of Atlanta, appeared to be under control and students were being released at midday, a Barrow County Schools spokesperson said.
Local TV stations broadcast images of parents lining up in cars on a road outside the school, hoping to be reunited with their children.
The school, which had an enrolment of nearly 1,900 last year, began classes on August 1.
Sheriff Smith said the first call law enforcement received about a shooting at the school came at about 9:30 am, local time, which would have been just over an hour after classes had started for the day.
Four people are confirmed to have died at Apalachee High School after a 14-year-old student opened fire.
(AP Photo: Mike Stewart)
'I love you'
When Erin Clark, 42, received a text from her son Ethan, a senior at the high school, that there was an active shooter, she rushed from her job at the Amazon warehouse to the school.
The two texted "I love you," and Ms Clark said she prayed for her son as she drove to the high school.
With the main road blocked to the school, Ms Clark parked and ran with other parents to the football field, where she found her son sitting on the bleachers amid the chaos.
Sophomore Shantal Sanvee, who was in a classroom near the gunshots, said "I saw, like, a whole lot of blood. And it was just, it was just horrible."
"I don't think I want to be here for like a long time
now," she added.
As an officer led the students towards the football stadium, freshman Michelle Moncada was in tears. People who she knew had been shot.
"I was just really, really nervous," she said.
The stadium was filled with tear-stricken students wondering whether their friends were okay. She saw one of her friends on the floor, grazed by a bullet.
"It doesn't feel real," Ms Moncada said.
Renewed calls for gun reform
The White House said in a statement that President Joe Biden had been briefed on the shooting "and his administration will continue coordinating with federal, state, and local officials as we receive more information".
"Jill and I are mourning the deaths of those whose lives were cut short due to more senseless gun violence and thinking of all of the survivors whose lives are forever changed," Mr Biden said in a statement, calling on Republicans to work with Democrats to pass "common-sense gun safety legislation".
The shooting has prompted renewed calls for gun control in the US. (Reuters: Elijah Nouvelage)
Vice-President Kamala Harris, the Democratic Party nominee for president, called the shooting a "senseless tragedy".
"We've gotta stop it. We have to end this epidemic of gun violence," Ms Harris said at the start of a campaign event in New Hampshire.
Georgia's Governor Brian Kemp said in a statement: "This is a day every parent dreads, and Georgians everywhere will hug their children tighter this evening because of this painful event."
The shooting was the first "planned attack" at a school this fall, said David Riedman, who runs the K-12 School Shooting Database.
Apalachee students returned to school last month; many other students in the US are returning this week.
The US has seen hundreds of shootings inside schools and colleges in the past two decades, with the deadliest resulting in over 30 deaths at Virginia Tech in 2007.
The carnage has sparked pitched debate over gun laws and the US Constitution's Second Amendment, which enshrines the right "to keep and bear arms".
AP/Reuters
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-09-05/four-killed-in-us-school-shooting/104312798
rooster, Seems you have really become in substance much like what you have dealt with as a plumber. Waste.
Note, in that post links are provided for each claim.
She supports her assertions with evidence, and i included those links for you.
I felt once you could be a more honest poster, but...
Confirmation - US Troop Deaths Under Joe Biden Compared to Donald Trump
Published Jan 29, 2024 at 12:35 PM EST
[...]
Some 65 American service members died in combat while serving Trump during his time in the White House office from January 2017 to January 2021. There were fatalities every year of his presidency, according to the "hostile action" records compiled by the Defense Casualty Analysis System (DCAS), which is maintained by a government defense agency.
Of those 65 deaths, there were 45 combat deaths reported in Afghanistan alone, according to the Associated Press.
However, it must be noted that the U.S. was involved in Afghanistan for the entirety of Trump's stint in the White House. That has not been the case under Biden, who pulled out troops in a controversially chaotic withdrawal in August 2021.
Biden has not yet finished his term, and is set to remain in office until standing again for election in November, so a full record of "hostile" deaths is not yet possible. In addition, DCAS has not yet collated the yearly figures for 2023 nor uploaded any so far this year. However, stats for 2021 and 2022 are available, making it possible to assess half of Biden's time in office in terms of "hostile action" deaths.
During 2022, by which time the U.S. had left Afghanistan, there was not a single death caused by "hostile action," according to DCAS. However, 13 were killed in one deadly bombing the year before, during the messy withdrawal from the country.
The figures are still being compiled for 2023, but it is known that three troops lost their lives in an attack over the weekend, meaning that 2024 has already begun in hostile bloodshed, less than a month into the New Year. Newsweek has reached out by email to DCAS seeking further data about 2023.
https://www.newsweek.com/trump-biden-troops-killed-soldier-deaths-record-1864956
And Trump would not want one of them mentioned.
longrider51. Nicely phrased "What I don't get is the self-inference of innocent purity,...." We've all had a similar problem with B402. Noted too that, so far anyway, he has avoided replying to a post to him which would involve a tidbit of introspection. Perhaps even because an honest reply would be a bit difficult for him.
Yeah, Jaclyn, why do you ignore reality? -- 6 times Trump insulted US veterans
Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump speaks at the Road to Majority conference in Washington, Saturday, June 22, 2024. (AP Photo/Manuel Balce Ceneta)
By Sophie Boudreau
June 25, 2024
Former president Donald Trump has a long history of clashing with military families and US veterans. The newly convicted felon, who famously evaded the Vietnam War draft, has even reportedly called slain US soldiers “losers” and “suckers.”
During the 2020 presidential election, former president Donald Trump enjoyed support from veterans—particularly those aged 55 and older, according to polling from the Military Times. When surveyed ahead of the election in 2020, more than half of US veterans over the age of 55 said they viewed Trump’s first term favorably.
Among younger vets—along with women veterans and veterans of color—voting preferences skewed toward President Joe Biden in 2020.
As the 2024 election approaches, Biden and his Democratic colleagues have increasingly honed in on the military and veteran voting base in the hopes of wooing service people from older age groups. One talking point? Trump’s troubling statements about veterans, many of which have been corroborated by sources close to the former president.
Trump, who famously deferred service five times during the Vietnam War, has been called out as a “draft dodger” by veterans in recent Biden campaign ads.
“He’s not fit to be commander-in-chief,” said US Army veteran Ed McCabe of Trump in one ad. “He’s not fit to lead a squad, and he’s definitely not fit to be president of the United States.”
Though Trump has vehemently denied anti-veteran allegations, his track record is cause for concern among some military groups—particularly in the face of a potential second term.
Here are six times Donald Trump insulted US veterans and military members.
2015: Disparaged John McCain’s POW experience
During a 2015 appearance in Iowa, Trump criticized .. https://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/trump-attacks-mccain-i-like-people-who-werent-captured-120317 .. then-Arizona Sen. John McCain’s service in Vietnam, specifically calling out McCain’s time as a prisoner of war.
“He’s not a war hero,” Trump said. “He was a war hero because he was captured. I like people who weren’t captured.”
McCain was captured during his service as a Navy pilot during the war and spent more than five years in a North Vietnamese prison. Two of those years were spent in solitary confinement and McCain was subject to torture throughout his time at the so-called “Hanoi Hilton.”
McCain, who died in 2018 after a battle with brain cancer, said in 2017 that he never received an apology from Trump for his disparaging comments. McCain was famously critical of Trump prior to his death, calling out the president .. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-45313845 .. for everything from praising Russian dictator Vladimir Putin to Trump’s alleged lewd and inappropriate behavior with women.
2016: Publicly insulted a Gold Star family
Ahead of Trump’s 2016 election, the parents of a slain Muslim US soldier shared their criticism of the then-candidate during a speech at the Democratic National Convention. Khizr and Gahala Khan—Pakistani Americans whose son, Humayan, died during the Iraq war in 2004—called out Trump for his public attacks on Muslims and implied that Trump had never read the Constitution.
In a subsequent interview with ABC News, Trump suggested .. https://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/31/us/politics/donald-trump-khizr-khan-wife-ghazala.html .. that Khizr Khan made the entire speech because his wife “wasn’t allowed” to speak, drawing on implications that all Muslim women are subservient to their spouses. In reality, the Khans said in a followup interview, Gahala Khan chose to remain silent because speaking about her son’s death was too painful.
Trump also told ABC News that Humayan Khan “would be alive today” if he’d been president, also suggesting that the US never would have entered a war with Iraq under his leadership.
Trump’s comments drew widespread criticism from Gold Star families, the Veterans of Foreign Wars (VFW), and even fellow Republican politicians—including Trump’s then-running mate, Mike Pence, who said in a statement that “Capt. Humayun Khan is an American hero and his family, like all Gold Star families, should be cherished by every American.”
No public apology to Khizr and Gahala Khan was ever issued by Trump, though he did later release a statement that called Humayan Khan “a hero” and doubled down on his plans to stop “radical Islamist terrorists” from entering the US.
2017: Expressed distaste for wounded veterans
In an interaction with his then-chief of staff John Kelly, Trump reportedly requested .. https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-said-wounded-vets-in-military-parades-didnt-look-good-for-him-book_n_62f12ab8e4b0da5ec0f69062 .. that wounded veterans not be included in a 4th of July military parade.
Trump’s alleged comments were detailed in a 2022 book by Peter Baker of the New York Times and Susan B. Glasser of the New Yorker entitled “The Divider: Trump in the White House, 2017-2021.” The then-president was reportedly inspired by a 2017 military parade he witnessed during a visit to France and requested that a similarly opulent parade be planned for the 4th of July in Washington, DC.
The catch? Trump asked that wounded veterans be excluded from the parade, telling Kelly that France’s parade had featured vets with visible injuries or in wheelchairs.
“Look, I don’t want any wounded guys in the parade,” Trump reportedly requested. “This doesn’t look good for me.”
According to the book, Kelly pushed back on Trump’s request and defended the heroic actions of many wounded veterans, only for Trump to repeat his desire to exclude them.
2018: Called WWI casualties “losers” and “suckers”
During a 2018 visit to an American military cemetery in France, Trump reportedly referred to American soldiers killed in World War I as “losers” and “suckers.” Senior defense officials reported that Trump made the comments ahead of a canceled visit to Aisne-Marne American Military Cemetery outside Paris, stating that he didn’t want to visit the cemetery because it was “filled with losers.”
Aisne-Marne is the final resting place for more than 2,200 American soldiers who died in WWI.
Trump reportedly doubled down on his offensive comments later during the same trip to France, calling 1,800 US Marines “suckers” for being killed during the battle of Belleau Wood in 1918.
Administration officials and Trump himself vehemently denied the comments, though allies like former Trump White House chief of staff John Kelly later corroborated .. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/john-kelly-confirms-trump-privately-disparaged-us-service-members-vete-rcna118543 .. initial reports.
2018: Dismissed Navy SEAL Commander Adm. William McRaven
Trump again drew criticism after he publicly dismissed .. https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKCN1ST04F/ .. and disparaged Adm. William McRaven, a former Navy SEAL who oversaw the US military raid that led to the death of Osama bin Laden in 2011. McRaven had publicly spoken out against Trump in 2017 and 2018, saying he had “embarrassed us in the eyes of our children, humiliated us on the world stage, and, worst of all, divided us as a nation.”
In response, Trump dismissed McRaven during an appearance on Fox News, calling him a “Hillary Clinton fan” and “Obama-backer.” The former president even suggested that McRaven took too much time in his efforts to capture bin Laden.
McRaven, who was also notably involved in capturing Saddam Hussein and rescuing sea captain Richard Phillips following his hostage situation with Somali pirates, later said he had no regrets about speaking out against Trump.
2020: Downplayed troops’ injuries following missile attack in Iraq
During a 2020 press conference, Trump once again ruffled feathers by greatly downplaying injuries .. https://www.huffpost.com/entry/veterans-of-foreign-wars-trump-troop-injuries_n_5e2db490c5b67d8874b40e34 .. sustained by US military service people in response to a raid Trump himself ordered.
In January of that year, eleven soldiers were impacted when the Ain al-Asad air base in Iraq was targeted in an Iranian missile attack. The attack was considered a retaliatory action for the assassination of Qassem Soleimani, an Iranian military officer whose death Trump had ordered earlier that month.
Eight US soldiers reportedly sought treatment for concussions or concussion-like symptoms in the aftermath of the attack on Ain al-Asad, while three others experienced psychological symptoms that led them to seek behavioral health treatment.
Trump initially told the media that there were no US injuries. When questioned during a news conference about Pentagon reports of injured troops, he backtracked and downplayed the soldiers’ conditions, saying they were “not very serious.”
“I heard that they had headaches and a couple of other things,” Trump continued. “I’ve seen people with no legs and no arms… I can consider them to be really bad injuries.”
In response, the VFW publicly condemned Trump’s comments, writing in a statement that their organization “expects an apology from the president to our service men and women for his misguided remarks.”
Trump has yet to publicly apologize for his remarks.
Author
Sophie Boudreau is a writer and editor with nearly a decade of experience covering lifestyle, culture, and political topics. She previously served as senior editor at eHow and produced Michigan and Detroit content for Only In Your State.
View all posts
https://cardinalpine.com/2024/06/25/times-trump-insulted-veterans/
And your calling out Harris for lying while ignoring the undeniable fact that Trump is the
habitual liar in American politics today does not respect the memory of your son either.
LOL Generous guy dropping the pennies down. Sorry to hear of yet another school shooting,
the first thing i saw this morning on Australian tv news.
RobH1312, You are more suited for the children's playground nearest you.
RobH1312, Blatant misleading material from you. And your "google it" is no substitute for a link. While at your source c/p and pass it on. Better a poster with some at least desire to provide credible information than a seemingly relative empty head playing juvenile games. Now you know you are running out of time.
You're right, too many, for the reasons you give and more, lack real appreciation for so many others role in their own lives:
"because their jobs are done behind the scenes or because many people are so caught up in their own lives
that they fail to see (and appreciate) those who make their very lives comfortable...or even possible. "
Ouch, I missed the "how long how long how long..." horror of Vance in the doughnut shop:
zab, As you are well aware before now fascist strategies are in play to poison political atmosphere worldwide. Trump GOP figures are leading the Western fight against democracy and their fear-mongering moves fit:
"Dave Perry, senior editor at the liberal-leaning outlet, wrote: "Enough. Aurora residents have had enough of their community and some of the most vulnerable people among us being made dangerously into pawns for a despicable right-wing political farce."
He went on to call out "some city and regional Republican lawmakers" by name, including Aurora Councilmember Danielle Jurinsky and Coffman. Perry said they "owe Aurora, the state and the nation an apology for purposely generating terror in a foul and blatant grab for political gain.""
Your - https://www.newsweek.com/colorado-venezuela-gang-aurora-1948106
See again - The three pillars of fascism
[...]
(1) Demonization of domestic enemies
Fascism creates a myth of victimhood, that the majority population is in a humiliating decline from a past greatness because of singled-out minority populations. It’s an us-against-them crisis, the myth goes. The targeted racial, ethnic, religious or gender minorities, and the “liberals” who support them, are thus framed as not just opponents but enemies, demonized so the majority can feel justified in hating and repressing them.
In fact, “Make America Great Again” is the quintessential fascist slogan. It’s a myth that celebrates the good ole days of white supremacy.
There is science behind this kind of persuasion. Psychology tells us that a great deal of average people’s self-image comes from their social identity – the group or groups that they see themselves as a part of. Social identity .. https://www.simplypsychology.org/social-identity-theory.html .. divides the world into us and them, the in-group and the out-group. Social identity can include something harmless, like a favored sports team. But used to support fascism, social identity politics is about a favored race or ethnicity. Being part of the group makes followers feel good inside. And crucially, followers also enhance their self-image by blaming, being prejudiced against, and discriminating against their out-group.
Fascism, going far beyond simple racism, requires the debasement of scapegoats. It insists that the out-groups “deserve” punishment and the in-group should feel the pleasure of inflicting humiliation. (“Ha, ha! Owning the libs!”) The fascist leaders, in turn, praise followers for that crudity and cruelty, releasing them from all constraints of law, reason and decency. (“Let’s go Brandon!”)
Aside from enriching the rich, MAGA policies are overwhelmingly attacks on the out-groups. They are intended to hurt and mock, and thereby satisfy and entertain the right-wing base. The Trump Administration could have enacted positive programs; it could have passed a $1 trillion infrastructure bill, for example. But programs to proactively benefit Americans, even white Americans, were never the point. The GOP didn’t even write a party platform in 2020, for the first time in 144 years. That’s because their cause had devolved to a fascist cult of white victimhood.
(2) Preposterous lies
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=174776935
Demonizing migrants/refugees in the face of all the evidence which clearly says as a group they commit less crime than others ..
https://www.globalcitizen.org/fr/content/these-are-the-facts-on-refugees-and-crime/ .. is clearly a fascist strategy.
You caught it happening in Aurora.
I think for now i'll stick with my kitchen lizard, Saw it yesterday
and there are a few tiny little ones around too.
And about a week ago i finally glimpsed a mouse, think it was, in my bedroom. Think it must
move up and down as there are signs of one in the kitchen, and don't feel there are two.
Sitting here i considered throwing a shoe at it, but it looked so cute no point in frightening it.
Just going to leave it and hope to see it again one day.
Warnings over increased bushfire risk as Australia records warmest August on record
"Climate Change
From the unique vantage point in space, NASA collects critical long-term observations of our changing planet."
By Jeremy Story Carter
6h ago
VIDEO The weather bureau warns of warmer
than-average temperatures for most of Australia. 1:48
In short:
The spring bushfire outlook shows an increased risk for large parts of Queensland and
the NT, as well as south-western Victoria and neighbouring areas in South Australia.
Conditions have been fuelled by the warmest Australian August on record.
What's next?
While the outlook doesn't necessarily predict exact locations where fires while
occur, authorities have urged communities to ensure they are prepared.
As chaotic weather wreaks havoc across Tasmania and Victoria .. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-09-03/tasmanian-wild-weather-eases-as-floods-recede-trees-hit-power/104303494 , there are warnings over a heightened threat of bushfires in the coming months in other parts of the country.
Queensland, Victoria, South Australia and the Northern Territory face an increased risk of bushfires this spring after "unusually high" maximum temperatures were recorded around the country.
A "scorching end to winter .. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-08-26/winter-weather-40-degrees-in-august/104271368 " saw this past month become the warmest Australian August on record, with the national mean temperature 3.03 degrees Celsius above the long-term average.
The official seasonal bushfire outlook shows large areas across the north of Australia and southern and central Queensland are the most at risk, as well as south-west Victoria and the neighbouring south-east corner of SA.
This week alone, a fire north of Newcastle required more than 140 firefighters to bring it under control .. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-09-02/bushfire-closes-princes-highway-near-wollongong/104298820 .. amid a total fire ban in the Sydney, Illawarra, and Shoalhaven regions.
The seasonal bushfire outlook for spring. (Supplied: AFAC)
While the outlook maps areas of increased fire risk, it is not considered a predictor of exact locations where bushfires will necessarily occur and is instead intended to help communities prepare.
"Now is the time to make a plan," said Rob Webb from the national council for fire and emergency services, AFAC.
"Understand your local risk, know where you will get your information, and talk to your family about what you will do."
Communities have been encouraged to prepare for the coming bushfire season
(Facebook: Eden Hills Country Fire Service)
[Insert: Yes, that is a koala watching out for the fireman.]
More than 70 homes were destroyed last year .. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-08-01/queensland-bushfire-season-starts-hot-weather-rainfall/104164258 .. in Queensland as the state suffered its "worst fire season in 70 years .. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-10-28/qld-bushfire-season-worst-in-70-years/103032562 ".
Despite a wetter than average spring forecast, the seasonal bushfire outlook considers it "likely" that Queensland will see grassland fire activity during the coming months.
Victoria had its driest August in a decade, with forests in the state's far west and south-west seeing a "substantial increase" in dead and dry plant material.
Without significant rainfall, an earlier bushfire season in the Wimmera, Mallee and Grampians National Park is considered "highly likely".
Dry conditions have contributed to the fuel load for the forthcoming season. (ABC News: Scout Wallen)
As volunteers in south-west Victoria contend with fallen trees and damaged buildings, there's still an eye on what's to come.
"It's easy to forget that we pretty much didn't have any rain over winter. There were days here and there, but not what we're used to," said Lochlan Veale, a third-lieutenant at the Country Fire Authority (CFA) in Yeo, just outside of Colac.
"There's definitely a higher risk of fire."
Mr Veale will help train other volunteers in the area over the coming weeks in anticipation of the bushfire threat.
"The end of footy season normally entails the start
of CFA season for us," he said.
The fire risk in New South Wales, Tasmania, Western Australia and the ACT during spring
remains normal, but communities have been urged to ensure they have plans in place.
"Fire and emergency services are prepared for the fire season ahead and are
here today to encourage communities to do the same," Mr Webb said.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-09-04/spring-bushfire-outlook-suggests-increased-risk-in-qld-nt-vic-sa/104304072
Some days we learn even more than other says.
There are many world's in our one.
Why You Shouldn’t Obsess About the National Debt
"Att: OMOLIVES - The Cowardice of the Deficit Scolds"
June 6, 2024
Getty Images
By Paul Krugman
Opinion Columnist
The United States government is more than $34 trillion in debt. Did you know that our government owes $34 trillion? That’s $34 trillion!
Whenever I write about economic policy, I get a lot of mail and a lot of comments basically asking why I’m not talking more about the national debt. So I thought it might be useful to talk about how I see the issue of public debt and why it doesn’t loom larger in my concerns.
Specifically, let me make three points. First, while $34 trillion is a very large figure, it’s a lot less scary than many imagine if you put it in historical and international context. Second, to the extent debt is a concern, making debt sustainable wouldn’t be at all hard in terms of the straight economics; it’s almost entirely a political problem. Finally, people who claim to be deeply concerned about debt are, all too often, hypocrites — the level of their hypocrisy often reaches the surreal.
How scary is the debt? It’s a big number, even if you exclude debt that is basically money that one arm of the government owes to another — debt held by the public is still around $27 trillion .. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYGFDPUN . But our economy is huge, too. Today, debt as a percentage of G.D.P. isn’t unprecedented, even in America: It’s roughly the same as it was at the end of World War II .. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYPUGDA188S . It’s considerably lower than the corresponding number for Japan .. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2024/April/weo-report?c=158,&s=GGXWDN_NGDP,&sy=2019&ey=2024&ssm=0&scsm=1&scc=0&ssd=1&ssc=0&sic=0&sort=country&ds=.&br=1 .. right now and far below Britain’s debt ratio .. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PSDOTUKA .. at the end of World War II. In none of these cases was there anything resembling a debt crisis.
But haven’t there been many debt crises in history? What about Latin America in the 1980s, southern Europe in 2010-12 and others? Well, almost every debt crisis I’ve been able to find in the historical record involved a country that borrowed in someone else’s currency, which left it vulnerable to a liquidity crunch when lenders for some reason ran for the exits and it couldn’t print cash to pay them off until the panic subsided. In fact, the euro crisis rapidly faded away after Mario Draghi, then the president of the European Central Bank, said three words — “whatever it takes .. https://qz.com/1038954/whatever-it-takes-five-years-ago-today-mario-draghi-saved-the-euro-with-a-momentous-speech ” — implying that the bank would provide cash to debtor nations under stress.
The only clear example I know of a national crisis brought on by high debt owed in the country’s own currency is France in 1926 .. https://www.banque-france.fr/en/publications-and-statistics/publications/public-debt-private-liquidity-poincare-experience-1926-1929#:~:text=Following%20World%20War%20I%20%281914-1918%29%2C%20France%27s%20public%20debt,and%20government%20crisis%20in%20the%20spring%20of%201926. , and that story is extremely complicated.
Still, even many of us who don’t believe that the current level of debt will cause a financial and economic implosion can’t help feeling a bit uneasy over projections .. https://www.cbo.gov/publication/59711 .. that show debt as a percentage of G.D.P. rising steadily over the next 30 years. So what would it take to assuage this unease?
Bear in mind that governments, unlike individuals, never have to pay off their debt. How did we pay off the debt from World War II? We didn’t. Federal debt when John F. Kennedy took office was slightly higher .. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=1oydF .. than it had been in 1946. But debt as a percentage of G.D.P. was way down .. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1oyea , thanks to growth and inflation.
So what would it take to stabilize debt as a percentage of G.D.P. for the next 30 years? Bobby Kogan and Jessica Vela of the Center for American Progress, working with Congressional Budget Office numbers, estimate .. https://www.americanprogress.org/article/what-would-it-take-to-stabilize-the-debt-to-gdp-ratio/ .. that we would need to increase taxes or cut spending by 2.1 percent of G.D.P.
That isn’t a big number! (Yes, the exact number could be either bigger or smaller, but in either case probably not by enough to change the basic point.) America collects a much smaller percentage of its G.D.P. in taxes than most other rich countries .. https://data.oecd.org/tax/tax-revenue.htm ; collecting an extra two percentage points would still leave us a low-tax nation and would be unlikely to hurt the economy. If stabilizing debt seems hard, that’s only because given our deeply divided politics, even modest steps toward responsibility are extremely hard to take.
And by deeply divided politics I mostly mean Republicans, who declaim the evils of debt while pursuing policies that put long-run fiscal sustainability even farther out of reach. In a related analysis, Kogan and Vela estimate .. https://www.americanprogress.org/article/permanently-extending-the-trump-tax-cuts-would-increase-upward-pressure-on-the-debt-ratio-by-more-than-50-percent/ .. that permanently extending the 2017 Trump tax cuts — many of which are scheduled to expire .. https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/republicans-4-trillion-question-should-they-pay-for-extending-trump-tax-cuts-ebbe67f3 .. after 2025 — would substantially worsen the fiscal outlook. Yet it’s hard to find Republicans in Congress opposing such an extension.
Worse yet, House Republicans are pushing for drastic cuts .. https://thehill.com/business/4703208-house-gop-proposes-irs-funding-cuts-defunding-free-tax-filing-system/ .. in the Internal Revenue Service budget, depriving the agency of the resources it needs to crack down on wealthy tax cheats. That is, even as they yell about budget deficits, they’re both seeking to cut taxes and trying to block efforts to collect the taxes high-income Americans owe under current law.
So politics — specifically right-wing politics — rather than the size of the debt is the problem.
Which explains why I don’t talk more about the debt. America, with its huge economy and relatively low taxes, isn’t facing a fundamental problem of fiscal sustainability. Given the political will, we could resolve debt concerns quite easily. To the extent that debt is a problem, that’s a reflection of political dysfunction, mainly the radicalization of the G.O.P. That radicalization deeply worries me for several reasons, starting with the fate of democracy, and federal debt is nowhere near the top of the list.
More from Paul Krugman
Opinion | Paul Krugman
The Road From Mitt Romney to MAGA
Sept. 18, 2023
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/18/opinion/economic-conservatives-extremism.html
Opinion | Paul Krugman
The Cowardice of the Deficit Scolds
May 8, 2023
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/08/opinion/deficit-republicans-debt-limit.html
Paul Krugman has been an Opinion columnist since 2000 and is also a distinguished professor at the City University of New York Graduate Center. He won the 2008 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his work on international trade and economic geography. @PaulKrugman
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/06/opinion/national-debt-us-taxes.html
Att: OMOLIVES - The Cowardice of the Deficit Scolds
"Market Crashes Happen. They Don’t Necessarily Mean Much."
Two points here: One, that Krugman makes it clear, as we have for years, that he does not believe it is valid
to say the two parties are the same. Two, that he doesn't hold much truck with those who contribute
little but whining about all politicians while at the same time claiming impartiality. We agree.
May 8, 2023
Senate Republicans hold a news conference outside the Capitol to urge passage of legislation to raise the debt limit and cut federal spending. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images
By Paul Krugman
Opinion Columnist
Financial markets are finally taking notice of the possibility that the United States may soon default on its debts. Interest rates on short-term debt .. https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US1M .. and the cost of insuring against default .. https://www.investing.com/rates-bonds/united-states-cds-1-year-usd-streaming-chart .. have spiked, reflecting fears that U.S. debt won’t be repaid on time.
Few things about the looming crisis should come as a surprise. Anyone expecting a MAGAfied Republican Party, most of whose supporters don’t believe that Joe Biden was legitimately elected .. https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meetthepressblog/two-thirds-republicans-still-dont-believe-biden-was-elected-legitimate-rcna53880 , not to weaponize the debt limit — a strange feature of U.S. budgeting that allows Congress to pass spending bills, then refuse to pay for them — was delusional.
Nor am I surprised that the Biden administration hasn’t yet adopted any of the possible strategies through which the debt ceiling might be circumvented. Many of the economic objections to such strategies are just wrong .. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/07/opinion/debt-ceiling-platinum-coin-premium-bonds.html . But there are legal and political risks to a debt end-run that could roil markets, and I understand the administration’s reluctance to show its hand until the last minute.
One thing that has come as a surprise, however, is the cowardice of the self-appointed guardians of fiscal responsibility.
I’m talking about the various groups — business organizations like the Chamber of Commerce and the Business Roundtable, supposedly nonpartisan think tanks like the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget — that played a very prominent role in the Obama years, successfully convincing much of the media and political establishment that debt, rather than a sluggish recovery, was the biggest economic issue facing America. The debt obsession, in turn, helped keep unemployment much higher for much longer than necessary, in effect costing America millions of jobs.
Now, I used to mock these groups as the Very Serious People .. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/04/opinion/budget-deficits-climate-child-poverty.html .. and deficit scolds .. https://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/12/opinion/krugman-hawks-and-hypocrites.html , suggesting that their real agenda had more to do with shrinking social programs — and reducing tax rates! .. https://www.nytimes.com/2010/11/12/opinion/12krugman.html — than with genuine concerns about debt.
Still, one might have expected even these groups to balk at the idea of fiscal policy through extortion, which, aside from violating any notion of an orderly budget process, could greatly worsen America’s fiscal situation by destroying our credibility and hence raising our borrowing costs.
Indeed, some reporting .. https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2023/05/04/white-house-biden-debt-ceiling/ .. suggests that Biden administration officials expected these groups to put pressure on Republicans to avoid debt brinkmanship. But the actual response of the deficit scolds has if anything been to urge the administration to give in to blackmail.
Perhaps the most shocking behavior has come from the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, an organization that usually commands some respect, even from those who disagree with its priorities, for its technical expertise.
Given that reputation, C.R.F.B.’s response to the debt impasse was simply astonishing. It not only urged Biden to negotiate with hostage-takers but also declared .. https://www.crfb.org/press-releases/debt-ceiling-must-be-raised-soon-possible .. that “the House passed a reasonable bill” to reduce the deficit.
The committee, which knows its numbers, has to know better than that. No, the House didn’t pass a “reasonable” deficit reduction plan; it didn’t even really pass a plan at all, just scribbled down some numbers with no explanation of how to achieve them.
The bulk .. https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2023-04/59102-Arrington-Letter_LSG%20Act_4-25-2023.pdf#page=11 .. of the claimed deficit reduction comes from imposing a 10-year cap on discretionary spending; by 2033 this would mean cutting spending 24 percent below current projections .. https://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-budget/mccarthy-bill-uses-debt-ceiling-to-force-harmful-policies-deep-cuts . Which programs would be cut? If some things like veterans’ benefits were exempted, would the immense cuts required elsewhere even be possible? Republicans won’t say.
Another big item in the G.O.P. proposal is slashing funding for the Internal Revenue Service. The Congressional Budget Office, like most independent analysts, says that this would increase the deficit, by hampering the government’s ability to go after wealthy tax evaders.
There’s more, and it’s almost all bad. Nobody who knows anything about the federal budget could honestly call this proposal “reasonable.”
So what’s going on here? There are two, not mutually exclusive possibilities.
One is cowardice. Organizations like the C.R.F.B. have built their brand around posing as nonpartisan, which is hard when the parties are as asymmetric as they are today — when a flawed but sane Democratic Party confronts the party of Marjorie Taylor Greene. The easy way out is to pretend that Republicans are being reasonable, even when they manifestly aren’t.
The other possibility is that the pose of being nonpartisan was always a fraud. Consider the fact that in July 2019, when Donald Trump was president but Democrats controlled the House, the debt ceiling was suspended for two years .. https://bipartisanpolicy.org/debt-limit-through-the-years/ . Do you really think the C.R.F.B. would have described Nancy Pelosi’s position as “reasonable” if she had threatened to cause a financial crisis unless Trump reversed his 2017 tax cut?
[Insert: I think those who have been with Tornado Alley for years would agree that, thanks
to our trolls who have visited over years, the evidence is that Krugman is spot on with his
two possibilities. And that our evidence also suggests they are not mutually exclusive.]
In any case, one small benefit if we get through this mess — right now my guess is that Biden will end up invoking the argument that the debt ceiling is unconstitutional, but who knows? — may be to discredit deficit scolds who never deserved their past policy influence.
More on the debt limit
Opinion | Paul Krugman
Doing Whatever It Takes on Debt
May 4, 2023
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/04/opinion/biden-administration-debt-republican.html
Opinion | Binyamin Appelbaum
America Has a Debt Problem, and the Answer to It Starts With Form 1040
Jan. 25, 2023
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/25/opinion/2023-debt-ceiling.html
Opinion | Eric Foner
The Constitution Has a 155-Year-Old Answer to the Debt Ceiling
Jan. 23, 2023
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/23/opinion/fourteenth-amendment-debt-ceiling.html
The Times is committed to publishing a diversity of letters to the editor. We’d like to hear what you
think about this or any of our articles. Here are some tips. And here’s our email: letters@nytimes.com.
Follow The New York Times Opinion section on Facebook, Twitter (@NYTopinion) and Instagram.
Paul Krugman has been an Opinion columnist since 2000 and is also a distinguished professor at the City University of New York Graduate Center. He won the 2008 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his work on international trade and economic geography. @PaulKrugman
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/08/opinion/deficit-republicans-debt-limit.html
Which opinion posting economist do you agree with the most?
Have you a link to the last time you posted an opinion piece on the national debt.
Mine is Krugman. See next post in which he refers to those who see the national debt as you do.
OMOLIVES, Your scene. Bitch bitch bitch. Following your - they are all hopeless - reasoning where does it take you, but to you elect them so it follows that all your voters elect all hopeless, incompetent people. Collectively. And it happens in all the countries of the world. So why not just say the whole world is hopeless and go whine somewhere else.
longrider51:
It's a hard nut to crack, but just bitching does nothing, nor will playing the ostrich or beating the crap out of each other here. In any case, it will have to be something bipartisan or it won't go anywhere anyway. If you have a solution, convince someone that will take the ball and run with it as you desire. No limit on income subject to payroll taxes, perhaps tweak ages/percentage incentives, or combination thereof, and codify safeguards against unfairly manipulating benefits earned/paid. Agree hypocrisy and manipulative tactics are currency of the DC realm.
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=175028402
If you have a solution, you ignored. He gave you a couple of suggestions, you ignored. You agreed with his last bit is all ..
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/replies.aspx?msg=175028402 .. in your two replies.
What i'd like to see from you, if you were there, is how you would do it better than it is collectively being done now.
Becoming aware of the danger which you at least believe is so real just what is your woke solution. If you were there
what is the solution you would put forward so what you see as the biggest danger would be collectively eliminated.
And enough of your garbage that MTG, Trump, Gaetz and Vance are in the same boat as Sanders, Biden, Harris and Walz.
OMOLIVES, Your invalid generalizations are what pisses more objective observers off. For a myriad of reasons your condemning all politicians as being identical rip-off merchants is utter crap. And the worst of your unjustified debating bullshit is that it enables the worst of them. I know there is no way to get you to see the juvenile of your approach, but it's so easy just to condemn them all and be done with it, isn't it.
Thanks, BBQ..., was good to finally fluke one of those. Enjoy your fall.
LOLs. Actually i bought four balls for two families and only gave them
one each, so have two balls. I think they would be about the right size.
They are cute little guys.
All you need to know about Boccia | Sport Explained: Boccia | Paralympic Games
The more you watch it the greater respect and admiration you have for the athletes involved.
And in the process most of us will probably even get to know ourselves a bit better too.
The more you watch it the greater respect and admiration you have for the athletes involved.
And in the process most of us will probably even get to know ourselves a bit better too.
No doubt. Giving them a good place to dig and to roll, and my giving armadillo-clad respect for their
very own space could help but gain their total trust. It would be a super world for them, and for me.
no doubt. Giving them a good place to dig and to roll, and my giving armadillo-clad respect for their
very own space could help but gain their total trust. It would be a super world for them, and for me.