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VWave for the Week of May 31st
Individual stocks: 60.67
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 40.45
Oscillator: 3.80
VWave for the Week of May 24th
Individual stocks: 60.67 (Highest cash level since 11/9/2007)
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 40.45
Oscillator: 3.85
VWave for the Week of May 17th
Individual stocks: 59.10
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 39.4
Oscillator: 2.28
Hi Adam..
The calculations for the VWave are based on Value Line's Appreciation Potential(VLAP). And for the past 5 weeks the appreciation potential for VL's 1700 stocks for the next 3-5 years has been 50%. If you refer to Tom's explanation in post 36223 and 36235, he does an outstanding job of breaking down how he came up using the VLAP. Remember, as he states in the last sentence:
"Overall, the VWave is conservative and cautious in its suggested cash reserve level. Much like a barometer, it does help one get a feel for what has been going on and what might be expected in the near term."
Hope this helps.
Jon
Hi Adam..
You're right. 5 weeks at 57.54 seems like it's time for a change! During that time frame the 26 week moving average has increased from 56.32 to 56.64 thereby reducing the oscillator from 1.22 to .90.
We had a period back in September and October of 2012 where the VWave was stuck on 54.41 for 6 weeks. The oscillator at that time had a range from 3.06 to 2.08.
Best Regards,
Jon
VWave for the Week of May 10th
Individual stocks: 57.54
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 38.36
Oscillator: .90
VWave for the Week of May 3rd
Individual stocks: 57.54
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 38.36
Oscillator: .97
Congratulations Steve! My grandson turned 16 today.
and that's the fastest 16 years I can remember!
VWave for the Week of April 26th
Individual stocks: 57.54
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 38.36
Oscillator: 1.05
Hi Steve..
Nice to see you posting again. Always enjoy your thoughts.
I did purchase some SLV this past week.
I think you are right about the fundamentals (physical)
It's all that paper trading causing the volatility. But then that's another story!
Best regards,
Jon
VWave for the Week of April 19th
Individual stocks: 57.54
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 38.36
Oscillator: 1.13
VWave for the Week of April 12th
Individual stocks: 57.54
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 38.36
Oscillator: 1.22
VWave for the Week of April 5th
Individual stocks: 59.10
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 39.4
Oscillator: 2.88
VWave for the Week of March 29th
Individual stocks: 57.54
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 38.36
Oscillator: 1.55
VWave for the Week of March 22nd
Individual stocks: 57.54
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 38.36
Oscillator: 1.65
RE: Howard Marks book The Most Important Thing.
He just published The Most Important Thing Illuminated a version of the first edition with annotated comments from 4 renowned investors and educators. Great read.
VWave for the Week of March 15th
Individual stocks: 57.54
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 38.36
Oscillator: 1.81
VWave for the Week of March 8th
Individual stocks: 55.98
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 37.32
Oscillator: .39
VWave for the Week of March 1st
Individual stocks: 57.54
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 38.36
Oscillator: 1.98
VWave for the Week of February 22nd
Individual stocks: 57.54
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 38.36
Oscillator: 2.14
VWave for the Week of February 15th
Individual stocks: 59.10
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 39.40
Oscillator: 3.87
Hi Tom..
I've noted that also...it's moved from 15.4(January 4), 15.4 (January 11), 15.8 (January 18), 16.1 (January 25), 16.4 (February 1), 16.6 (February 8).
Take care.
Jon
VWave for the Week of February 8th
Individual stocks: 59.10
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 39.40
Oscillator: 4.18
VWave for the Week of February 1st
Individual stocks: 59.10 (Highest since 2/10/2011)
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 39.40
Oscillator: 4.51
VWave for the Week of January 25
Individual stocks: 57.54
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 38.36
Oscillator: 3.31
Since tracking the VWave from 7/13/2007 to the present, the 'Wave' hit a high of 62.23 on 7/13/2007 and a low of 15.32 on two occasions. Once on 12/5/2008 and 3/13/2009.
VWave for the Week of January 18th
Individual stocks: 57.54 (Highest level since June 2011)
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 38.36
Oscillator: 3.58
VWave for the Week of January 11th
Individual stocks: 55.98
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 37.32
Oscillator: 2.30
VWave for the Week of January 4th
Individual stocks: 55.98
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 37.32
Oscillator: 2.49
HAPPY NEW YEAR whether you are standing on a cliff or a slope!
VWave for the Week of December 28th
Individual stocks: 55.98
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 37.32
Oscillator: 2.68
And a Merry Christmas to all fellow AIMERS. And a special thanks to Tom for another year of making this board the best kept secret out there!
VWave for the Week of December 21st
Individual stocks: 55.98
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 37.32
Oscillator: 2.90
Thanks for letting us know, Tom. I never met with Don but he was always generous with his ideas and was patient in a very kind way when he clarified any questions I might have. I still use his 'Husky' spreadsheet. He often helped me think in new and creative ways when discussing AIM. He will certainly be missed. Thanks, Don.
VWave for the Week of December 14th
Individual stocks: 54.41
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 36.27
Oscillator: 1.56
VWave for the Week of December 3rd
Individual stocks: 54.41
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 36.27
Oscillator: 1.68
Hi Daisy...
In Norman Fosback's classic, STOCK MARKET LOGIC, seasonality is determined to be favorable at month-end and pre-holiday. Could be all those 401ks, 403bs, IRAs etc that are deposited at the end and beginning of each month. In the '80s, I used seasonality in conjunction with AIM as a strategy. I had a 403b and any cash in AIM was used for the month-end seasonality. As I remember, it increased the overall gain by about 14% over a two year period. I discontinued the strategy after mutual funds began to limit the number of exchanges made during a specified time period. If you were able to use ETFs today in your retirement account, then it would seem feasible again.
Best Regards,
Jon
VWave for the Week of November 30th
Individual stocks: 52.85
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 35.23
Oscillator: .26
VWave for the Week of November 23rd
Individual stocks: 52.85
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 35.23
Oscillator: .28
VWave for the Week of November 16th
Individual stocks: 54.41
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 36.27
Oscillator: 1.86
VWave for the Week of November 9th
Individual stocks: 52.85
Diversified mutual funds
or portfolio: 35.23
Oscillator: .45
Thanks, Tom.
Yup, it's been a few years. And I could always use a new decoder. Lost my old one somewhere around end of February or early March 2009!
Best regards,
Jon
36,000
Wasn't there a book about the DOW reaching that number a couple of years back?
GRUB! SORRY GRABBER!