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That's approx 49 sf per person. Whether this is in anticipation of NioCorp building the mine and bringing in hundreds of workers or to create more economic opportunities, happy to hear the community will be getting a community center. The Elk Creek Tavern is nice but probably only around 1000 sf and 1/3 of that is probably taken up by the bar and kitchen.
I’ve visited Elk Creek multiple times. It’s a very small community spread out over a wide area of mostly farms. Is it typical in SE NE to build a community center for such a small population? NioCorp aside, I’m sure locals will enjoy having a central place to gather for events.
I do recall that someone posted that JS mentioned that the 6-9 month approval timeline is not set in stone. In the video you posted, MS did say that he met with the EXIM Chairperson and she is focused on NioCorp which is a positive sign. Not sure what the nature is of the meeting in April. Hopefully it is to sign loan documents. The wait is challenging but its out of hands...
In their presentation, NioCorp states "October 2023: EXIM notifies NioCorp that its application has been approved by the first of three reviews by the Banks Transaction Review Committee."
If there are 2 remaining reviews remaining, I would think we would hear from EXIM by now re approval of the 2nd review especially if March is the end of the 6-9 month timeline for receiving approval or not.
JMO
https://secureservercdn.net/198.71.233.156/gx0.d43.myftpupload.com/wp-content/uploads/Detailed_NioCorp_Presentation_Q1-2024.pdf
Waiting to see what happens with EXIM and Stellantis now that the company is far along in the application process.
I tend to agree. No company would pay top dollar at this juncture. Maybe after financing though.
What news are you expecting? EXIM outside edge of approval is sometime in March.
That's a very eye opening interview. Mennels comments bode well for NioCorp but not for Western auto manufacturers unless they secure supplies which GM has done with MP Materials and Stellantis is trying to do with NioCorp. Thanks for sharing. Some comments that stood out, "We need 50 Tech Mets." He brings a lot of credibility and is very knowledgeable and comes from a family with a long history in mining. Techmet is also seeking EXIM financing.
https://www.techmet.com/about/
There’s always SB to look forward to. While we wait, if someone cares to check for any updates on the EXIM loan application that would be great.
Yes, I thought the same. What they have in comparision are REE's but like you said, they don't process the materials in house which are shipped instead to Ch, they dont refine on site and sell Sc/Al alloys, Niobium or specialized Titanium so the share price projection should be much higher. There really isn't another co out there that can compare then. I would hazard to guess $20-$30 even if it is a sudden surge on all news fronts as the hyphothetical Gman proposed(robust FS release #'s, EXIM and Stellantis financing)..
NCT, Moving forward (lol). I would hedge to base my estimate using comparative data of another mine selling similar product. The closest comparison I can think of is MP Materials though there might be a better comparable out there.
https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/materials/nyse-mp/mp-materials
If I am calculating this correctly using the 5-year Treasury bond yields for loans over 5 years and up to and including 8.5 years, the most current rate on Feb 2 was 1.80% plus 1% = 2.18%. If somebody comes up with a different calculation, feel free to share.
"5 Year Real Treasury Rate is at 1.80%, compared to 1.63% yesterday and 1.23% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 0.45%."
At around 2.18% for a 5-8.5 year loan, I can understand why the company would prefer to obtain a loan from EXIM. Again, these are rough calculations. Accountant types feel free to weigh in and share your #'s.
Curious where you are getting an estimate of 10% on an EXIM loan. Here is the formula to determine interest rates off of EXIMs website ("EXIM Bank's CIRR is set on the 15th of each month and is based on average U.S. Treasury rates for the preceding month plus one percent..... The three-tiered system is based on a) 3-year Treasury bond yields for repayment terms up to and including 5 years; b) 5-year Treasury bond yields for over 5 years and up to and including 8.5 years; and c) 7-year Treasury bond yields for over 8.5 years.."):
https://www.exim.gov/resources/commercial-interest-reference-rates/about-cirr-rates
https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US3Y
https://ycharts.com/indicators/7_year_treasury_rate
https://ycharts.com/indicators/5_year_real_treasury_rate
General Information
Commercial Interest Reference Rates (CIRRs) are the official lending rates of Export Credit Agencies. They are calculated monthly and are based on government bonds issued in the country's domestic market for the country's currency. In the case of the US dollar, the CIRR is based on the U.S. Treasury bond rate. EXIM Bank's updated CIRR rates are published on the Internet on the Monday preceding the 15th of the month and are effective on the 15th of the month.....EXIM Bank uses a three-tiered system that creates separate lending rates for different repayment terms.
Construction of the CIRR
EXIM Bank's CIRR is set on the 15th of each month and is based on average U.S. Treasury rates for the preceding month plus one percent. The Treasury rates used as a base can be found in the Federal Reserve Statistical Release H.15 (519) on the Monday following the last day of the month. [For further information on the H.15 (519), call the Federal Reserve Statistical Release Line at (202) 452-3206.] EXIM Bank uses a three-tiered system that creates separate lending rates for different repayment terms. The three-tiered system is based on a) 3-year Treasury bond yields for repayment terms up to and including 5 years; b) 5-year Treasury bond yields for over 5 years and up to and including 8.5 years; and c) 7-year Treasury bond yields for over 8.5 years.
T&T, spreading disinformation and bullying other people on this message board without provocation. Not worth the time of day or reading.
I agree. Lies and Disinformation is the most arrogant person on this board after T & T. He takes no responsibility but instead blames others. Nobody likes delays, but that doesn’t mean giving up hope. Apparently a certain someone remains invested but complains about it incessantly which is idiotic. There are thousands of other stocks out there to invest in he’d be happier with but he chooses instead to stay invested in something he hates and feels a need to draw everyone in to his misery.
I think we are all sick of the wait. Lets hope the reason is B and C....and get this done. My preference is B because if its C, I am concerned we have to wait longer as B has been in play since June and nearer to approval but happy to accept C if approval is nearer. Private or public funding, it doesn't matter to me. The respective parties that needs these materials will get them under both scenarios as NioCorp holds the cards as to who gets what. At present, 75% of Niobium to Thiessen Krupp for the first 10 years after mine starts selling and 25% Scandium to Traxsys for the first 10 years after mine starts selling. Titanium and REE off takes? Up for grabs.
Me too. Warrants buy me time.
And if the revised FS comes out with great results and financing comes together and the price spikes, you will still be upset?
Putz, you were one of only a few on the message board that were against the merger. Curious why you didn’t sell before the merger thinking as you did that a 10/1 split was a bad idea.
There are many reasons why I want to see this mine succeed. First and foremost, my parents and parents parents hail from NE so I want a big win for the people and State of NE and have visited the state more than 50-75 x in my life. I like and respect the people who live and work there and their work ethic and still have many family members who still live there and have not moved out of state. 2nd, I am not a quitter and never have been. NioCorp has the qualities I respect in winners. They never give up no matter how steep the mountain is to climb. We can all agree we wish they had the foresight to add REE's earlier but REE's were not the hot commodity they are today, we wished GX would have brought over more money but nobody predicted the banking crisis in March 2023 and we wish they had got financing in 2020 but nobody anticipated there would be a world wide pandemic the size of 1917. It's all water under the bridge and we cant re write history so time to move onward and upward (EXIM and Stellantis). 3rd, there are a lot of riches in the ground. In fact Billions. 4th, I am patriotic. I believe in the US of A and want what's best for the country and our defense. 5th, the stock price right now is really cheap. Only the likes of Walter and perhaps Landmark and Putzmueler and others have had the good fortune to buy in at prices these low more than 10 years ago. 6th, Its a no brainer that the mine will get built. Just hope it happens on this new round of financing negotiations, 7th, if the mine gets financed, the shares I own will be worth far more than they are today which will help to accelerate my retirement. Thanks for bringing up the subject.
Looks like free Friday private messaging is working. Not sure why IHUB is not advertising that with the traditional Free Friday banner.
DOA, MS knows. We don't. If there were competitors, he should have told us. I still think Covid screwed everything up. Its upended a lot of businesses. Turned many urban Citys financial districts in to ghost towns due to work from home changes. Forced the closure of thousands of small businesses across the US and now a lot of layoffs in tech and other businesses. Thankfully, NioCorp is still in business. Not happy about the share price but cant do much about it. Hopefully, NioCorp can make up for lost time and to retail investors by securing EXIM and Stellantis financing. JMO
DOA, I figured it was a Type O. We still don’t know if MS was told financing was imminent. He may have been para phasing what he was told until the global economy took a nose dive with Covid. We now have EXIM and Stellantis up to bat. Willing to give them a chance and see how it pans out.
Disinformation, misinformation Mr. Mining Expert. Of course there are financiers and there will always be. Question is when will they finance. Giving EXIM and Stellantis a chance. You should too or leave and go back to AMC and spread disinformation there instead.
Thanks for correcting that statement. Is it possible that that’s what the financier told him before Covid crashed the economy?
I never said imminent. And yes, EXIM is a big deal to air lift this project. Not concerned about NioCorp raising the money to stay afloat until then. Keeping the operation going until major financing occurs is definitely one of their strong attributes.
$12-$15/share is pure speculation. Then we’d have all the nay sayers complain “we need $1 billion more. Not good enough. Why can’t NioCorp raise enough Money to build the mine and warrant holders might exercise their warrants and sell and oh no now the GX BODs might sell half their shares.” NioCorp is engaged with 2 entities to finance building the mine. Give it a chance or don’t. I sympathize and understand your frustration and disappointment but no amount of wishing or complaining can change the past. Unfortunately.
Disinformation, misinformation. Hurry over to the AMC message board. They need their daily dose of disinformation.
Blah, blah, blah. More disinformation. There is no cult other than in your head. Yawn yawn. More BS disinformation. Its very tired and out worn its welcome. Nobody believes anything you post so best you go back to AMC and GS to spread more disinformation over there. I am sure you will be warmly welcomed. Not.
https://www.amctheatres.com/movies/trolls-2-movie-collection-65619
Wait! Your both the mining expert and a MODERATOR.
1.5 hours ago ago, I asked you to answer the following:
"What is a PEA? Who first discovered the Elk Creek resources? What was the name of the company previous to NioCorp? Who was the previous CEO? In what city was company headquarters located previous to CO? I'll give you 60 seconds to respond. "
As the Mining Expert?MODERATOR, you have still yet to answer. Why? Because you don't know anything about mining or NioCorp other than quick quips and useless disinformation.
And where do you think the share price would be if the $250,000,000 came in from GX?
It still would not have been enough to finance construction of the mine and shortly after the GX failure, EXIM popped up as a financing method and within months StellantIS. Could have, should have, would have don't cut it. Whats done is done and we have an avenue to financing if you have the patience. If it doesn't go through, NioCorp should sell the project to a bigger mining company IMO. A marked shift in my opinion.
If the $250 million GX funding went through, where would the share price be in the absence of raising the other $1 Billion to finance the construction of the mine? You would still need a loan and an equity raise. I am willing to give EXIM and Stellantis that chance. If it doesn't happen, well, welcome to the World of start ups. Some make it and some don't. Given that these are critical minerals that both the govt and Stellantis need, I would give it a 70-80% chance. Thats just my opinion. Make your own financial decisions and do your own due diligence.
Just as I thought, your not willing to spend the money or the time to come up to speed on the project because your a TROLL.
Still waiting for you to spend the hundreds of hours and thousands of dollars visiting the mine site, attending shareholder and investor meetings, reading up on PR's and the hundreds of hours doing research on mining over the last 11 years so we can have a rational discussion. Here's a good start:
https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/metals-and-mining/our-insights/alternative-financing-in-mining
https://www.niocorp.com/news-releases/
Reading comprehension does not appear to be on your list.
" GX financing clearly made little traction but even if it had gone through, it was less than 20% of what NioCorp needed to finance construction of the mine."
Cannot argue however that the failure of major funds coming to NioCorp from GX have hurt the share price but had the funds been transferred, the project would still be $1 Billion short of what they needed to finance building the mine and the share price might still have suffered until there was a plan in place to finance the entire project. Re: the cost of the GX transaction being funded by Yorkville, My recollection is that NioCorp recived about $16,000,000 from GX shareholders. EXIM and Stellantis are a solution to financing the mine. Lets see what happens. Nothing ventured nothing gained.
And you are the coyote who always gets run over by the road runner.
LOL!!!!!!
We all agree. You are the "Queen of Disinformation". To think that somebody who just started posting 1 year ago becomes a supposed "Expert" on mining or NioCorp and you Know nothing, "ZERO" anything about mining. Its a joke and your a joker!
What is a PEA? Who first discovered the Elk Creek resources? What was the name of the company previous to NioCorp? Who was the previous CEO? In what city was company headquarters located previous to CO? I'll give you 60 seconds to respond.
But you cant answer those industry specific questions quickly because your just a "pretend to be expert" meaningless disinformation TROLL.
To my recollection, we never knew who those larger financiers were who could finance construction of the mine and again, Lind, Yorkville and GX could not have provided anywhere close to the amount of money to finance a $1.2 Billion dollar construction project. We do, however, now have actual names of the financiers that have the capital to get the mine built and they are big entities. If it doesn't happen, back to square 1 but there a lot of reasons why the govt and Stellantis would want to have the mine built not just to make interest off of financing or an appreciation of the share price but the materials to be mined are in their best interest not just NioCorp or its retails investors. In both cases, the financiers have a lot to gain from the materials mined which makes for a better fit.
LOL! Good answer.