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I am currently sitting on 124,306 shares of SKLN lol
Ah been a busy week. How are you Bea?
BIOC, BCEI, SPU all taking off like a bat out of hell in pre
Hopefully, $6 would be very nice!
Made about 4k off NYMX today. I think tomorrow will be a big day for it though. A lot of shares traded hands but got stopped later in the day. I think those holding shares now are eager to see it go up and not be shorted.
TNXP is going to blow up, approved phase 3
already up 10% in 3 minutes
PSEC, PSTB, RAD
So far I have gone through a total of about 10 stocks! Phew! Anyways 3 are strong candidates for a soon breakout.
Strongest:
RAD
PSEC
PTSB
Based on their previous 3 year trends and price signals. They all have come out of fakeouts or weak breakouts in the last 6 months. Their trend cycles show that an new breakout is on the verge. However none of these except for RAD have a strong breakout in the last 3 years. RAD had one break out from $6.16 to $8.74 about 10 months ago followed by an immediate pullback.
RAD just had a tiny breakout or a fakeout based on the size just 2 weeks ago. It is now pulling back as it did 10 months ago. By MACD With Prices it has the same exact pattern that it did when it had its large breakout. I do want to warn just prior to its huge spike 10 months ago it also had a huge downtrend. Since that breakout, RAD has been in a sideways trend or consolidation since. RAD has just now began trending upwards again and within the last 2 days has reversed.
RAD doesn't fit the 52H profile but the price trends are definitely there.
PTSB and PSEC are both at the 52H with increased volume. However PSEC and PTSB don't have nearly as strong price points as RAD does. Albeit though a true breakout is defined by a stock pushing beyond its resistence and support levels which both PSEC and PTSB are right there. They are definitely worth watching. If any out of the three were to go off the soonest I would have to pick would be RAD.
DSU also is showing promise as well. I will keep everyone updated as I find more. If anyone has any news or events that could build up a breakout more that would be great.
Oh BTW! PSEC has earnings call tomorrow after market. A stock that is at resistance levels with good signs and has a earnings tomorrow. It could be a good buy. Just do your own DD and look to see how psec moves tomorrow. My guess will be, people will be trying to buy up shares cheap tomorrow so you might see a lot of bear resistance. Which is a good thing, let them do the heavy lifting and soak up some of those cheap shares. This is my idea and my approach but please do not buy just based on that :) Hopefully we can all find a solid investment for this weak that offers a great return. Night all!
Very true, I am probably going to buy back my position and reclaim my profits and take back my losses. I will be up way before I am able to trade. Not only will I be watching NYMX but I will also be looking at the other stocks I mentioned. If I see any other potentials I will bring them here as soon as possible.
Potential Breakout list:
As I mentioned been working my butt off to find breakouts. Which by definition is merely a stock going past its resistance or support levels.
I started working on understanding breakouts more in a TA aspect. Up til now I have been probably 95% FA, probably why I got a big FU from most of the stocks lol. Anyways all jokes aside from my research I have composed a list of stocks that have good potential. Only problem... I haven't slapped them on a chart yet. As far as number they are there but I havn't looked into patterns such as flags, triangles, cup and handles or any consolidation, fakeouts or failed breakouts or pullbacks. If anyone knows what this is and is confident with their TA abilities assistance in analysing would be most welcomed. I am going to slap them up here. I broke down 18k stocks lol. I have them grouped Negative 0 from 52. Stocks that haven't been updated with their new 52H. 0% From 52%, stocks right at 52H. Then >1%, >2% up to >10% from 52H.
I also figured since every good stock has a bad day and every bad stock has a good day and in my experience these are very short lived if there is no supporting fundamentals such as News or Events. So I used trend meter classified all up and down trend stocks out of the 18k. Those are all in a separate watch. I then went ahead and took out all of the Red - Green stocks and Green Red stocks. Okay sounds confusing
Every downtrend stock that had a good day is a Green red, Every uptrend stock that had a bad day is a Red Green. My own little names I guess.
Anyways I am testing this out to see how it works as I feel when there is a strong trend and the stock has an opposite day. It often comes back in strength. Capturing this could lead to substantial gains. I will post those as well. IF anyone actually wants me to post all of my different lists I will via google docs. If no one uses google docs and I ahve posted them all for no reason, please tell me so I can either A. Find something more suitable, or B. Stop doing it altogether :)
Alright before you freak out and shoot me. The first 2 lists of stocks have the greatest potential for breakouts based on proximity to 52H, Volume, 2% higher than 60 day avergage. If anyone wants to throw them on a chart and hit em with some SMA and Bollinger bands or whatever ur favorite tactic is that would be awesome. I will do these when I wake up in the morning but obviously I don't have time to do them all.
So again if anyone wants full lists posted please let me know. It is a lot cleaner and easier to use not too mention I don't even have the upcoming breakout potentials on this list.
@ 52H
Highest Volume, Strongest candidates
PSEC
MDVN
ADSK
Next best
LTRE
CGLD
CIK
DSU
CLVLY
SRT
PSTB
PSEC
UBAB
OFS
OSHC
PEBO
BACpA
WFCpX
JPMpG
JPMpF
ACFC
BCSpA
DFP
CpS
ASFI
.75% - 4% FROM 52H
SINA
TTM
RAX
RSPP
Penny Stocks with promise (I Don’t promise they will work though!)
They meet the breakout criteria but pennies aren’t nearly as predictable.
PGUS
WARGF
LBRG
CRZHF
VANTF
POWN
ITMZF
ENTK
ANXGF
ARGYF
HMXZF
UNEQ
CWMCF
VNTYF
BLERF
YGYI
UMED
MWSNF
BVTEF
BTHE
WFMRF
ESSX
EPGL
AWAW
LYNS
SSFT
RYMM
FVRG
MOGLF
MZEI
PTOI
OROE
AMNP
ARAO
MAXE
NOVCQ
IRWPQ
SDOCQ
I don’t remember where but the following suggestions are from a site and not me.
Suggested buys
MOMO
ISIL
NTAP
MDVN
LCI
BBY
RH
BOFI
FL
DE
DATA
AMD
MENT
CHK
DV
TOL
AMAT
INCY
GPOR
WMB
DSW
P
SQ
PDCE
HRL
Suggested Shorts
CXW
GEO
EXPR
HL
AG
FSM
AGI
PVG
BVN
CDE
SBGL
TAHO
WUBA
PTLA
PAAS
NG
SLW
PSTG
GG
ABX
MPEL
NGD
MYL
ACIA
SSRI
Red Greens (good stocks having a bad day)
I have over 200 but these are all within 5% or less of the 52H descending from closest to furthest. In my opinion these will have a good chance for breakout as they have pulled back a bit getting close to their resistance lines.
ZEN
CVG
SYMC
NTAP
SPXC
CST
SCVL
SGI
VCRA
SYT
AXTI
NATR
KTOS
DTSI
CECE
RAVN
DE
MYRG
OEC
CRH
POWL
KRO
NDSN
BBY
DKS
EAT
MTZ
BGC
TNGO
GILT
PXD
PRI
GPRE
PWR
XONE
HTHT
TWI
ENS
DTLK
TZOO
BZUN
AMWD
PDCE
CC
Green Reds (Bad stocks having a good day)
These first ones are actually really close to their 52H so could just be a pullback which can last a few days to a few months. These stocks have already gone through at least 3 weeks of downtrend.
LKFN
ZG
SIL
MFS
SILJ
MNTX
TARO
AGQ
ENZ
These stocks are within 16% or less of their 52L
SEAC
MFIN
REIS
TUBE
TARO
EPZM
TRR
EYES
SCON
OCIP
MOBL
GLF
REFR
MATR
ADAP
Stocks beyond their 52H
There is a lot more but these are based on Volume. The lowest is bit with 75k volume.
PBR/A
PHYS
GRSHW
MAG
JW/A
UZC
CTZ
BIT
Finally full list of 0% from 52H
PGUS
CDWHF
UNEQ
CFCOW
CGLD
CIK
DSU
CLVLY
FMD
SRT
NRIFF
CGWB
EQPI
WXMN
BTBIF
ORPB
CLVLF
BKEAF
ADBCF
AACEY
BJCHY
OSHC
PEBO
GCTAF
GGNDF
HJV
OFGpB
WCAGY
BACpA
NRFpE
HTGY
AFSIpA
NGHCN
GGZpA
EVBN
TCOpK
AFSIpC
PTKFY
WFCpX
FBOHY
JPMpF
JPMpG
SCEpH
TKYMY
CRHCF
QNBC
ITSMF
GBERY
PTCAY
FAUS
THVB
WFAFF
SMLL
CMOH
IIREF
ASXFY
IHSXF
DQUEL
CNLTP
SPYB
STOT
WFIG
CVXTY
TLPFY
WSSH
SRHBY
MNILY
JEXYY
IHSEF
DBIN
BESIY
YAMCF
BZLFF
AILLO
Yeah that was my exact thoughts. If you noticed the price balanced and stabalized more later in the day. It wasn't the massive drop off that happened in the beginning part of the day. Potentially perhaps one mild decline day then uptrend or it might shoot up again. The numbers are solid, the news is good and NYMX still has a lot of hype. So I will be getting back in but we will see what happens during pre in the AM.
Typically my experience with SGBY was a good news day held a strong growth throughout the day. The pullback usually occurs the following day.
Its hard to say really. I bought in when SGBY released 70M shares. I bought 2 weeks prior to its 52 Week Low. When I bought I bought at .0027, the prior week it traded around .002 - .0022 all week. Then boom 70M Shares... guess what the price never dropped in fact after that week the price moved up to a high of .004 before coming back down again.
Like I said SGBY is a solid penny stock. They aren't easy to find. It might get knocked down a bit but at the end of the week it is usually stronger. Even with all of those shares out I could see SGBY potentially $0.03 - $0.05 by the end of the year. $0.25 - $0.50 end of next year and possibly $1 by the end of the year after that. It is a long ways out but if you bought SGBY even at half a penny. If it hits $1 thats 200X on your money. $5,000 would be $1,000,000... remind me why i got out of SGBY again... might need to buy back in...
I would just watch its price movement using an SMA over 200 you will see a average price movement. One thing I have noticed about SGBY though it moves more fundamentally than it does Technical. When news hits SGBY shoots up quickly. Then its stagnent until the next big press release.
Lol fine I won't touch SGBY, I don't want your portfolio to go up in smoke. CRK however is one that always seems to go up when I buy in on it. SGY is the same, I bought 2,000 shares on friday captured like 8% or so sold it off to liquidate funds to handle my other stocks that weren't so pleasing. Once I got out it dropped down below previous close.
I am also looking at some of the suggestions on the board.
PSG
ADMP
SGBY
PQ
ADSK
ACIA
GBTC
TWLO
NTES
ACIA & TWLO I have seen for awhile now, they both had a couple of bad days in the last week or so but historically both have grown at a steady rate.
NTES, I been watching for a bit, has had decent performance but I haven't watched it like ACIA and TWLO. The rest I just pulled off the board today. Going to expand this list a little bit over the weekend and see what I can find. I will post all Stocks and DD on the board by tomorrow night. I am also researching more into spotting breakouts BEFORE they happen... imagine that.... being in a stock a day or two prior to its huge 100% 200% 500% gains? Would be nice instead of getting in at the 495% mark and watching it reverse. We have all been there.... should have stayed out of NYMX after the first day...
I am also going to start investing with a very small amount in FX or FOREX. I am putting probably $3,300 in the account only because the site I signed up under offers a 30% startup bonus of up to deposits of $10k so $3,300 is an additional $1,000. I have to read more and see what the requirements are. If I can withdraw any of the funds or not. AAFX is the site I signed up with. They have 1:2000 leverage... yeah.
Anyways I also looked into the possibility of negative balances just to see what could potentially happen. I haven't found out yet but if you do get into forex, look for brokers with no negative balance terms. Some brokers will hold you accountable for the difference some won't. Most brokers that don't hold you accountable will have a STOP % cutoff. I believe AAFX is a 70% stopcutoff which is crazy since 1:2000 leverage is 20% gain or loss per pip which is the least amount currency can move in.
with a deposit of $1,000 it gives you $2,000,000 buying power. Every $10,000 of currency bought equals to $1 a pip. So at $2,000,000 every pip is worth $200. So if I place $1,000 into it thats $200 per pip or 20%. Meaning it only takes 5 pips to win it all or lose it all. Hence why I am starting off small. If anyone actually trades forex I would love suggestions ideas or tips.
Also I want to find the slowest least volatile currency pairs possible for right now. Figure 5 pips could double my investment each time. So if it goes down 1 pip I leave! if it goes up 5 pips 1 walk away unless it seems really strong. But I will be watching it like a hawk one pip down at any point and I am out. Figure test the waters slowly. Build it up to $10,000 on its own and then all additional funds I will send to TD for stocks. I don't want a big forex account because if some huge event happens like war or terrorists or anything like that breaks out and it drops quick I could lose the entire account in seconds.
Once I have 5k I will take my original 1k out. Then it is a free account. After that if it gets up to $10,000 thats $20,000,000 bp which is $2,000 a pip. I am sure it isn't as easy as it sounds and I have a lot to learn. If anyone is interested though I will keep everyone up to date on how it is going. If anyone finds this interesting now I can stay in contact about research that I do and what not and can share what I find. FOREX is very lucerative but also very risky so I am starting with capital that I can afford to lose. The great thing about forex too is you can start with like 50 bucks and if you that kind of levertage 1:2000 you still have $100,000 BP which is $10 bucks a pip. Go 5 days with 5 pips compounding each day it would be $1,600 at the end of the week. Plus forex is open Sunday night to Friday night and never shuts down during that time. So if you have specific strategies or currencies or anything of the sort you can find out which times are best for that currency.
Anyways sorry for the long note, I think Dino gave up on reading my notes, haven't heard from him in awhile.
If anyone else has any stock suggestions they have been watching, post them and I will begin looking into them. Lets make this week better than last week. I think we all got hit a little hard last week. Or Maybe I got hit hard enough for everyone, not sure.
Have a great night!
SGBY, everytime you guys post about this stock it makes me wish i didn't sell all my shares, again and again at this point. First time I had 1.8M @ .0027 then recently I purchased 1.5M @ .0057. Seems like when I get into SGBY it stops growing, cloudy days I guess. Then after I get out it shoots up like a weed.
SGBY is the only Pot Stock I would invest in, the others are all based specificially on distribution of a product that is extremely limited in clientele based on um government regulations. I am also a big advocate for intellectual property. As other companies are fighting for customers to distribute their product, SGBY will have companies fighting each other for new advancements in the field.
As marijuana companies expand and more pop up, the demand will go down which means prices and value. However if SGBY lands a major discovery in the future and holds the patent to this. The value of that patent is in my opinion far more valuable than the product itself. Pretty much anyone can grow weed, not everyone can test it.
Which is another important aspect, I highly doubt at least in the near future that people will stop growing marijuana and distributing it illegally or without a license if you will. That will also cut into profits for pot companies. I don't think there is a lot of stoners out there though that actually have a lab in their house where they quielty test the medicinal and other qualities of marijuana, they might test the qualities of different food combinations but probably not marijuana's benefits :).
It is for those reasons alone that I feel SGBY is going to be a strong company. I have no doubt in my mind in 1-3 years SGBY could hit $1 or more. The fact that marijuana is still illegal in 26 states I feel is actually a benefit for SGBY. I read a few articles posted and most institutions and companies shy away from marijuana testing due to the difficulties of getting product quality enough to even test. Let alone the years of being on a waiting list to be approved to do so due to strong government regulation.
This keeps a lot of the competition away. Anyways my two cents on SGBY. I might just have to get back in it again lol. I hope you guys have a good weekend!
I am currently invested in 3 different stocks that I feel will have atleast some growth during pre tomorrow.
NYMX - I feel this stock still has potential to grow despite its crawl today. The biggest reason it died down so fast was because of those damn day traders buying and selling it over and over again (sorry). Although I did learn a few things or better yet experienced a few things.
I have always noticed that anyone selling a 1X or 100 shares of a stock is primary laying down a speed way for the stocks movement to progress in that direction. This might be right or wrong but I have seen it time and time again. It is also due to those guys putting up 10000 shares at a time. Anyways I tested it out and every time my 1X hit for only a few cents over the current last. The stock would shoot up 10-15 sometimes 20 cents in a hurry before settling back down. Only problem was I wasn't smart enough to set up trigs or at the least have pre-saved orders ready to capture the 20 cent spike.
Has anyone else ever experienced this with other stocks? This is the first time I have tried selling 100 shares just to push the price but out of 7 or 8 tries it landed every time.
As I continually watch lvl 2 screens I personally feel my ability to monitor the actions of others is improving or I am in denial and am again completely wrong. Either could be just as true. However typically when someone throws up a $50,000 or bigger order on the board they either:
1. got in on a breakout and are trying to get out fast.
2. Got in early back when the stock was still pennies.
3. Just some guy who doesn't realize 50,000 $1 shares at once isn't the best idea to capture maximum gains.
4. Someone who is trying to force the price.
In my experience its usually #4. The guy who doesn't know better will sit at that price all day long and not budge. He is the one who truly kills momentum.
However the people forcing the price will typically only be first in line for a second of two before changing their order to prevent accidental sales/purchases.
Now common sense would have told me this but I am stubborn and well they pissed me off so I went against them a lot of times. If they were selling 10000 shares @ $5 I sold at $5.01. Needless to say it is certainly best to figure out their flow and their price points and capture their efforts. With that said....
Anyone have any idea how to do that?!?! It always seemed like when they were ready to slap down the price to pick up cheap shares. I was now getting ready to increase the price to sell off at max value. IF I could just learn to coordinate my efforts with theres so when they put up 20000 shares at a time I could be at the bottom already stealing their cheap shares.
I find this would not only be more profitable but it was the constant fighting between me and others I believe that stopped NYMX from moving. If anyone else has ever experienced this and has tips I would be extremely grateful for those tips!
I do have somewhere research on workign with the AX but haven't fully read it yet. Not that these guys are MM's but I should go back and read it anyways.
Sorry for the long message.
Anyways BREW - Has had a pretty strong growth rate over the last month or so. Is potentially signing a deal with Annhueseir Busch that might launch this stock up even further. It has good reviews.
6% today, 23% in 5 days and 55% in the last month. Pretty decent. I might actually hold this one for awhile. However you will see that the majority of its growth was on the 24th when it announced its potential deal with BUD.
SGY - well this one is just a favorite of mine. I held $1000 worth of shares bought back when it was around $4 in early june. However I did not hae $25k and I day traded and blasted FINRA restricted me so I had to make a new account and liquidate my assets to make the transition faster. Low and behold SGY went up to almost $25 in a month.... Anyways SGY I feel is good for rebounding but the one concern I have with this stock as I do for CRK as well is the speach from Yelpin I think it is.
Energy isn't exactly a very stable sector right now (not that it ever was) but with oil prices so unpredictable one day you could be up 30% next down down 40%. So I am most hesitent about this one.
Out of all of this long note I would recommend NYMX - AFTER Pre. I wouldn't get in prior. Today it hit a pre high of either 6.09 or 6.13 then ended the day at 4.89. BREW might be good during pre but with my experience today during AHT its not a strong extended hours mover. However with its recent growth tomorrow could be really good. Unless they come back and say their deal fell through in which case I sell all of my shares then I sell all of someone elses shares and then I buy them back later :)
IF anyone else has any other stock recommendations please post :) I have gotten a couple good leads of this one. I looked at AMRS and am ready to pull the trigger. I am just hesistent with pennies. None the less I am watching it.
Any others? :)
Night guys.
Darn SGBY is now traded after hours seems just like yesterday SGBY was still just a tiny lil nano lol. I am not saying this to sound good but had I held onto SGBY from about 1 and a half months ago my investment would have trippled. I could have made over 10k profits had I been patient and stuck with it. So I would say out of all the penny stocks SGBY is probably the best one I have come across as far as stable growth. It may have some down days but overall since its 70M dilution, it has done nothing but grow stronger each day.
Aside from that I have found any day that ends green is a good day, a very very good day! Hopefully we will all be so lucky tomorrow.
Yeah I am sitting on 9500 shares as of right now but its a crawl now, if it would just go up 2.5 dollars i would have an amazing day!
Oh you guys will laugh i accidently sold myself 3400 of my own shares earlier... don't ask
Good to hear your having good luck with SGBY, good company!
Will Do. I thinm NYMX is going to go for a good run again today. I am up 4k today and 3k yesterday so far. It was at 6.09 at one point i was up 10k! today :( couldn't sell though TD doesn't trade until 5 am pacific
That is certainly busy beau! As far as investing if there is anything I can do to assist please let me know. Also CRK might go down a bit more due to the oil freeze however this is entirely up to you but I would not suggest jumping boat just yet. It up a half a percent at the time of me writing this 3:08 Pacific. CRK is typical of having huge rebounds. When it suffers a bad decline over the period of 1-2 days it typically comes back with a 20-30% rebound. At current value of $5.31 a 20% increase would be $1.06 bringing it to $6.38 even a 10% increase of $.53 would cut your loss in half at this point. I will keep a close eye on its price and any news and any changes I see in the stock and will relay it to you either via this board or if you have an email or twitter i can communicate there as well.
I hope you have a good day Beau.
Moving forward,
Over the past few weeks I would like to say that we have begun growing as a group and that we have gotten to a point where we are trusting each others judgement and abilities. It is at this point and time I would like to suggest that we as a group figure out a more efficient and improved system of tracking and suggesting stock tips to one another. What do you think?
I know beau lost on crk which I was the one who suggested it last week. Based on CRK's track record and news I felt it was a solid investment opportunity and actually still do despite its previous dip. I think CRK will exceed the $6.41 mark but how long no one knows. Oil will be the biggest indicator on that.
We all have our own style of stock spotting. Some of us are TA some FA. We should try to figure out the best possible means to utilizing each others skills. One of the things I always highly promote about this board is to help each other profit and mitigate risk. Well I haven't done much of a good job actually building that up and making it a reality.
So here are a few suggestions of what I think might help us to improve our abilities to help each other.
1. We could list what skills we are best at when looking for stocks and pair up in groups of 2 or 3 for now with others who can compensate for our weaknesses.
2. Break off into groups based on sectors and industries. Those who know the sectors best will be most keyed in on whats going on. I know Pleeb01 has energy down pact.
3. Opposite of #1 pair up in TA and FA teams to increase the strength of each analysis.
4. Pair up into groups based on what types of investment styles we have. I personally enjoy day trading I love getting in and getting out. I rarely ever hold a position over night unless I feel quite confident it will survive the trials of AHT and PRE. I have lost a lot of money during AHT PRE and those scars have lasted.
So if anyone has any ideas of how we can work closer together and start uniting this community more and delivering what we all came here to do, I am all ears. I know its no excuse but between building the watchlists based only on my assumption of what you guys might want, full time trading, trying to put together the tools for everyone, my wifes stuff, our business stuff, and sometimes sleeping. I work about 15-18 hours a day and can never seem to get ahead. I would love for any feedback on how we can improve this community and strengthen it. It really was my vision to build up a community of investors who can deliver on their word and trust one another. Protect one another, and profit with each other.
So any ideas feedback or anything else please let me know right away. I would love any suggestions!
DLCR looks like it could easily be pushed through its barrier depending on those bloody MM's I do not suggest you do it but if someone comes in and buys up current shares. Gives it a bit and lets the MM's settle to the new adjusted price. It could jump up quite a bit. It would take a little while though.
Okay Beau, I was once told you never win or lose until you sell so I will take a look at DLCR and CRK to see if I can see any chance of reversal. Any one else that could look them over as well it would be greatly appreciated.
CRK
*Comstock Resources Says at Current Oil Prices, Operating Cash Flow Not Sufficient to Cover Fixed Debt Service Costs; Capex Funded With Asset Sales or Cash
Aug 1, 2016 - Oil prices slid below $40 a barrel on Monday for the first time in nearly four months. Crude is now down more than 22% since early June.
Oil prices rose on Tuesday, reversing early losses, after Reuters reported Iran was sending positive signals that it may support joint OPEC ... Commodities | Tue Aug 23, 2016 12:19pm EDT ...
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000545320
good article about current oil trends
http://moneymorning.com/2016/08/22/why-the-wti-crude-oil-price-today-broke-its-seven-day-winning-streak/
kind of contradicting
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/08/crude-prices-this-chart-says-oil-could-hit-60--and-fast.html
http://www.wsj.com/articles/oil-will-struggle-to-break-past-60-a-barrel-in-2016-1446116882
http://www.ibtimes.co.in/crude-oil-prices-likely-hit-55-per-barrel-12-months-669387
DLCR
oh. Its a super nano. What price did you buy in at?
MOMO +14.56% 7,209,786
ASTC AMDA ATRS MDGS ELMD CGA ADMP CNTF IOTS AREX CPST PDRX CHFFF SDT are all 9%+ for the day. SDT looks like it is on an upswing but only has 74k volume so it is a slow mover so not as much risk and more ability to get out.
AMDA is on its way down might wait for a reversal
PCMI large spread between bid and ask llooks like upswing same with HOME. RAVN looks like it is on a down swing but can be shorted ETB,
For larger investment amounts I would suggest using higher priced stocks for easy in and out.
DATA is 62.36 at 13.65% and looks like it is on a upswing, can also be shorted ETB,
IDSN is currently bid last equal with a 14 cent ask raise at 1.2M volume currently 99.38.
MON 5M volume $108. currently looks like upswing. stocks like this if you buy 200 shares its 20k invested and you can sell off in a hurry with volume being above 5M, you might squeeze 1-2% max but its more miitigated
NDSN large spread between bid ask, bid closer to last then ask, all in green showing signs of increase, volume 1.2M 7.52% gain so far @ 99.19
If you have margin thats a good spread right there, you might be able to play the swings.
Also if it was from a suggestion on the board, was it from me? I do not need to know of anyone else but if it was my suggestion that cost you please let me know so that I can work on recovering the losses you encoured (Spelling is probably wrong on that one)
Oh no! I hope it wasn't too bad. Was it an investment from this board or from a personal choice? Do you have a cash account or a margin account? I will see if I can find a small investment that looks solid that might be able to help bring in a little bit of replacement.
Good morning, Afternoon!
How is everyone. It has been extremely quiet as of lately. I just want to make sure everyone is doing well and that everyone is alright. Has anyone profited this week or has anyone taken a loss? Is there any concerns or issues that anyone has? Just want to make sure that everyone and everything is okay. Hope everyone has a great day today.
Profit/ROI Calculator in more depth.
I will be working with the ROI calculator some. One of the things I want to do is get an average daily gains per price point, per sector, per industry and average them out over the next week. I will continue to do it for the foreseeble future but I need at least a week of data. Going to average out daily gains and put that into each price point on the calculator to measure out expectations and likelihood of that price point making the gains needed to achieve desired goals. Also to measure out risk mitigation.
Example:
If $20-$25 averages a daily gains of 4.72%, $50-$75 averages out 3.48%, $75 - $100 is 2.89% and $100 - $500 is 1.76%. Then my next goal is to measure out how much capital needs to be allocated in each area to completely balance a loss in another. I will also be measuring average losses as well. If you purchase $20,000 in a $22 stock which is 10% of your portfolio, and it goes down 10%, at what percent do you need at all other price points to make up the difference. This ratio will be based on a 1:1 where if the $20-$25 goes down 10% how much ROI do I need to get in the $100 - $500 price point with 50% or $100,000 invested to make up the difference. (these numbers are all based on pure examples, I have no real data as of yet to actually put any figures into place) But based on the previous example 10% of $20k is $2000 so at $100,000 in the $100-$500 area you would need to make a 2% return to breakeven.
The other thing is splitting up each price segment into 3-6 investments. This is done so that each price segment based on the quality of stock picks will have a higher return than loss mitigating its own risk, the other price points will be just a back up security and or increased ROI. The desired profit goal or ROI will determine how much capital gets allocated in each area based on your own risk vs reward ratios.
The system will also be based on easy smooth transition in and out of a stock with minimal disruption and or being stuck in a position you don't want to be in. I truly feel 1 in 1 out is a great concept meaning if you only buy 200-500 shares of a stock at a certain price point then getting in and out won't cause huge price fluctuations. The downside is the increased commissions and risks which have and will adjust in the calculator. IF you're executing 10 full transactions an hour thats $200 bucks in fees. If your goal broken down per hour is $400, you then need to make $600 to achieve that goal, if you have $20,000 to invest using margin (only way to buy and sell in the same day, cash accounts take 3 days for funds to clear) or you have 20k max investment limit but have a lot more than that to actually invest and can keep buying in and out. If for that price segment you allocated $6,000 to invest then you will need a 10% ROI each hour to maintain the ability to achieve the goal.
I am most if not all can agree that being stuck in a spot with few options is discouraging, frustrating, nerve wracking, etc etc and wears on you. There are a few primary things I have noticed that have caused me to be stuck between a rock and a hard spot and I will list those when I can.
Anyways I wanted to explain the calculator a little more and whats overall purpose is going to have. It wasn't designed to just be a oh, well thats a pleasant thought wonder what he was smoking when he came up with this ROI Calculator.
As some of you know I have been working on these tools for awhile now and you are all probably like man this guy is either lazy or just full of it because he hasn't produced anything yet. Its because I had a vision of probably 10 calculators all with a specific design to analyze a certain aspect of investing that each investor needs to measure. As I kept building them I would find another thing I could add, tweak, adjust, or enhance that made it more accurate or more reliable. My main thoughts were a risk vs rewar ratio calc, roi calc, 1 in 1 out entry and exit system calc, a stock watch tracker (put in the data manually to calculate things like distance 52h 52l, high low spreads, bid ask spreads, volatility etc etc) also a watch list tracker with the same concept, portfolio design chart based on first risk tolerance / risk vs reward, a DD checkist for scanning, quick view, and full on research.
As I kept going everything started building into one. So as of right now this calculator is the most up to date tool I have made. I probably should have done this and left the other 10 paragraphs be but here.
1. ROI/Profit goals broken down into time/trade segments with realistic fees and commissions deducted to produce the closest accuracy to a real figure needed to achieve the goal.
2. Utilizing a 1 in 1 out system in accordance with the above fees mentioned. Primary use for this is to minimize fees as well help mitigate a lot of risk. Entry and Exit can both be a very dangerous transition.
3. An investment breakdown into designated price segments based on risk vs reward ratios and mitigating as much risk as possible. For example 10% in $5 - $10 stocks, 15% in $10 - $30, 20% in $30 - $75 etc etc. The concept is the higher the value of the stock the less risk there will be in that group (obviously this is 100% but I havn't seen AMZN drop 60% in 12 seconds like EARS did the other day) as well lower returns matched with higher investments balanced so that one price point's gains can completely mitigate another price point's losses coupled with multiple stocks used in each price point to spread the risk and keep the share amounts at a 1 in 1 out level.
4. The bonus between the Margin*Compunding was to illustrate the potential capability of mixing 2 of the 3 key secrets to true wealth building. Arbitrage or spreads, Leverage, and Compounding are the 3 main ingredients to wealth building as I have been taught. However, I also wanted to point out on the calculator as well here:
USING LEVERAGE CAN BE A GREAT WAY TO BUILD WEALTH BUT IF USED IMPROPERLY OR WITHOUT RESPECT, MARGIN CAN BE A HUGE NIGHTMARE REDUCING YOUR PORTFOLIO TO NOTHING IN SECONDS. BEFORE USING MARGIN MAKE SURE YOU ARE WELL AWARE OF THE RISKS THAT COINCIDE WITH IT. WITH 70% MARGIN FULLY MAXED OUT IF A STOCK GOES UP BY 30% YOU DOUBLED YOUR CAPITAL... IF IT GOES DOWN 30% YOU LOST EVERYTHING. TO MAKE IT EVEN BETTER IF IT GOES DOWN MORE THAN 30% YOU NOW HAVE A MARGIN CALL WHICH MEANS YOU HAVE TO PAY OFF THE DIFFERENCE.
Aside from the benefit of increased BP margin offers the ability to receive funds back immediately after the sale of a stock. If you do not wish to ever actually use margin but want to have this ability then all you need to do is only invest the amount of principal you have. Obviously some margin will be applied but if you have $10,000 which is $33,333 BP but you never invest more than $10,000 it will go up or down at the same rate as if you didn't have margin at all, however you still have the added benefit of immediate cash back as well the ability to use additional bp in the futur if you ever so desire.
Sorry for the caps guys I just wanted to make a point on that just in case someone gets excited with margin and dumps it all into one stock hoping it will have a 500% breakout.
As I mentioned I will be collecting as much raw data as possible to make the calculator more accurate and hopefully adding in additional features such as momentum, and volatility for increased accuracy on risk as well as better accuracy in determing profit/roi capabilities (for day traders that are in and out)
I will also be making another calculator for buy and hold and shorting using different data to put those together.
Alright I know I promised to make my notes shorter and I have been doing better lately (I think) but I wanted to point out my idea for this caculator for the sole purpose of you guys testing it, beating it down, tearing it apart, or what have you. Obviously it isn't finished but I wanted to get it up before today so that everyone who wanted to could start playing with it. The more you guys use and abuse it and give me feed back the more I can tweak it.
Hopefully I can make this thing an actual useful tool. Anyways please give me all feedback you can if you have or are thinking about using the calculator. Any ideas for improvements or additions, any thing you notice wrong such as a calculation or variable. Anything so that I can improve upon it would be most appreciated.
Thanks guys!
How did everyone do today? Has been a really quiet day here on the board. Just making sure everyone is alright and everything is good.
I hope everyone had a profitable day. Unfortunately the breakout alerts didn't last and I apologize for that. BPMX fell down to 15%, CIFC stayed at 58%, STEM actually made a come back ending at 43% and SSY came down to 68%.
Hopefully we will have better luck with breakouts tomorrow. I will hopefully be getting up a little bit earlier tomorrow then I did today. Combine that with cutting down and combining watchlists so its less to scroll through and I should be able to get early movement out to you guys sooner.
Pleeb01 Good call on MDVN though. It almost looks like it might be another ACIA. CYCC is another I would keep an eye on. It has enjoyed pretty good growth lately. I will post here a list of some of the stocks I have noticed once I get through my lists. If anyone else has any other stocks they are watching and want to share please bring them. The more eyes we have looking the more and better quality stocks we will find.
More DD on MIFI,
MIFI as of right now is considered overvalued as well has a strong buy rating according to www.macroaxis.com.
https://www.macroaxis.com/invest/analystRecommendations/MIFI
The funny thing is the high expected price prediction is $3.74 the close was $3.73. The price measurements on www.macroaxis.com aren't going to be accurate since MIFI broke its 52 Week High.
For more headlines on MIFI
https://www.macroaxis.com/invest/market/MIFI--symbolMedia--Novatel-Wireless-Inc
Financials aren't the strongest:
https://www.macroaxis.com/invest/ratioPatterns/MIFI
Naive Prediction
https://www.macroaxis.com/invest/technicalAnalysis/MIFI--Naive-Prediction
$MIFI its not a breakout but has amazing performance. 110% in 3 weeks. July 27th MIFI @ $1.70 Today @ $3.64. In that entire time it has had 2 little down days. Nothing but straight up growth with this one.
http://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MIFI/history?ltr=1
http://www.newsoracle.com/2016/08/22/analysts-showing-optimistic-trends-for-novatel-wireless-inc-nasdaqmifi/
Broke through its 52 Week High:
http://www.newsoracle.com/2016/08/22/analysts-showing-optimistic-trends-for-novatel-wireless-inc-nasdaqmifi/
http://www.consumereagle.com/what-will-happen-to-novatel-wireless-inc-next-the-stock-just-reaches-52-week-high/144049/
Currently has a buy rating
http://www.streetupdates.com/2016/08/19/most-recent-analysts-rating-report-novatel-wireless-inc-nasdaqmifi-a10-networks-inc-nyseaten/
www.macroaxis.com has a naive prediction of 5.09 in 30 days for mifi
Alright don't listen to me all have decreased since i mentioned breakouts. in fact if i say breakout. in fact now break out means stay out! lol
BREAKOUT ALERT! $SSY 97% up 10% in 30 seconds lol
BREAKOUT ALERT! BPMX 44% CIFC 58%
Very Nice Pleeb01, for me, so far in pre-market
ISIL 26% and moving up, CYCC 18%, MDVN 13%, SYT, 10%, BNSO 15%, CIFC 58%
New List Updates for this week 08-21-2016 / 08-26-2016
Ever wish you had a complete list of corporate actions (earnings, dividends, splits) for the next day? How about week? What about a month???
Here is a complete corporate actions for the rest of the year.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1N9ZdQ0Y-2jBnQ8kb9RciOha4HLHfwxEzIDKmClqLvAI/edit?usp=sharing
What kind of music do you like? Rock, Rap, Heavy Metal? I am a country guy myself but it sounds good with heavy volume:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1BQBoP7b1E0qDyr3dHLGtuInEU5Fv-zlpgdSkJVf3zac/edit?usp=sharing
Anyways no more jokes lol its 1 am. That file should have Volume, 20% hull, Historical Volatility, and Gap % over time. Each one is broken up over different time frames and percentages. I haven't had time to refine them down and utilize the calculator but I will work on that tomorrow morning. Let me know if there is any issues with these lists. Good night, day, morning, whatever it is. Good luck tomorrow!
One Final Note,
Aside from the thank you I posted earlier I wanted to point out how well we have all worked together over the last few weeks. We have had some great suggestions, tips and assistance from each and everyone. Just think of how well this is going and how much awesome information has already been posted on here.
We are only 14 as of right now including myself. Imagine how amazing it will be when we break the 100 follower mark and have 100 different ideas, strategies and what not all coming together. With that said if anyone knows of anyone who can participate respectfully here then please invite them. No matter how new or seasoned they are or their investing background. If there is anyone else out there that might benefit from this board and has a good attitude and strong ethics then they are more then welcome to follow this board.
In fact I would love to see some newer investors here as it is most dangerous for most when they first start out.
"Risk is not knowing what you are doing" - Warren Buffet
I know I lost... a lot early on. It can always be made back of course but it definitely drilled in some painful lessons and made me look deep into things I never thought of when thinking about stocks. That is why I love sharing my experiences with others in hopes that it will hopefully help prevent them from making the same mistakes I did. Nothing like seeing $7,000 gone in a single day. Yeah that was a not so fun day. However no matter the losses I never gave up, in fact it made me more determined and stronger to get back in and master this.
However not everyone has the same attitude and might not make it through too many losses. A loss is equaled to the amount of capital given into the market. A tragedy is the potential untold amounts one will never gain from giving up and not continuing investing. This vehicle has the potential to bring people's dreams to reality. So if you know anyone that has dreams that need to come to reality please refer them here as well.
Just don't tell them I promised their dreams will come to a reality lol. As a team though with steady profits and slowing losses and as we grow together, eventually people will begin catching up to those dreams and prospering from their efforts.
Thank you everyone once again.
5TOP, cool alias. Thank you for joining the community. I am assuming the new follower is you anyways. We have a great group of people here who are diversified in many ways. Hopefully we will all be able to help each other with different ideas and strategies as well as potential profits and less losses.
For me I am really not designated to any sector. I am pretty open. I watch the sectors to see which ones are moving and which ones aren't so much. The ones that are not. I downloaded the NASDAQ, NYSE, OTC, and AMEX stock lists and separated them into price segments. Aside from that I use ToS scanner to find things such as high volume, high volume with 5% daily increase, unusual volume and what not.
So with that said anything that comes across as a potential breakout or I see a stock that has proven strong with steady growth I bring it here. I am not sure how the others find their stocks but we have had some great suggestions over the last couple of weeks.
Anyways I am glad you have decided to participate in our community investment group I guess we could say. Feel free to post anything you wish here just as long as it is respectful and honest. Thats the beauty of this board is we aim to keep mutual respect with each other and work to build trust. I hope that you will see that we are a real group of honest investors and will be able to place your trust in us as well.
Welcome!
It is a little tab at the top of the screen where the board starts. if it isn't there i will have to find out why but here try this link:
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board_survey.asp?board_id=31128
A big thank you!
I would like to thank everyone thus far for making this board exciting and helpful.
Dino, Pleeb01, CJ, thank you for all of the stock tips you have provided as well input and ideas about other's suggestions.
Pugilista, thank you for the AMRS suggestion, seems to be pretty popular these days. I haven't had a lot of time to do my own DD on it but from what you guys have said about it, it definitely seems worth looking into.
Beau, thanks for all of your assistance, I love the conversations you inspire here on the board and get everyone more involved in a friendly environment.
MJames, thank you for showing me the error of my ways and bringing a lesson in humbleness and patience.
Sysdoc, thank you for the SGBY, I have been in and out of that one a few times and am always happy with the results. My only regret is selling off 2M shares @ .0037 :( Kinda like that one time I bought liek $15,000 worth of shares in STEM at .67 and sold them at .74 then 3 hours later seeing it at um... yeah (nudges back a tear).
Thank you Pleeb01 for calming me down after that previous statement about STEM.
Thank you Stock_Observer_77 for all of your feedback and support. One of the hardest things is knowing you missed a great opportunity. We tend to forget about the fact we walked away with profits when looking at what we missed out on.
However on the flip side when we chase those big profits down only to lose in the end, we tend to remember those forever.
~BC~ Not sure if your still following the board or not but if you are. I hope it has been beneficial to you in some way. Either in profiting or in protection. Regardless of what it may have been I hope that it in some way has had a positive impact for you.
Finally, my apologies for not being as proactive lately as I was. Now that my account is a little higher up and I am actually full swing day trading now. I have been putting more emphasism into actual trading and a little less into the community. I will work harder to balance both. If there is anything you need from me or that I can try to provide please let me know and I will do my best to get it to you. As for now I do have the profit/roi excel up which may seem like a dream sheet but it actually has a real practical purpose. I am now going to start breaking down stocks by groups and I will add a few of my picks in on the excel with the profit/roi so you can see more where I am coming from. I still have all of the other excels in progress (yes I am a slacker) and will get them up as soon as possible.
I also have about 30 amazing unbelievable excels I downloaded. I forget the site but they do accept donations. It is free but I just want to throw out the donations part because they put a lot of effort into the excels. Before you go, Mike you idiot you forgot the site. The link is in every top left corner of each excel.
Anyways, Glad to have 12 other followers aside from myself! Hope everyone is having a great Sunday and look forward to working with you all throughout the next week and on. Have a great day!