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Yea Mortgage REIT's borrow short term and buy long term. This can cause problems for poorly financed companies.
While a retailer, like myself can't know what company managements are thinking or dealing wih. If the company has a good cash per share with a dividend several times smaller. Things should end up being OK with safe divvy. Also LTdebt/eq vs debit/Eq has background on margin calls.
From what I checked NYMT isn't in a strong position, in either of these areas. Dividend safety or debit payment
Compare @ Finviz.
ORC: https://www.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=ORC&ty=c&p=d&b=1
NYMT: https://www.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=NYMT&ty=c&ta=1&p=d
Mortgage REIT's in general;
I would say MITT is second on my list.
IMO anyone looking at REIT's as a long investment for the first time needs to think about is, are you after income or growth.
Where growth is a long, with dividend re-investments, to build to a profit level in a years, to sell at or draw down from.
Income doesn't re-invest and banks profit monthly.
The longer your time target the more you should be concerned with growth and compounding.
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NOW: after this sector crash most all mortgage REIT's will look GOOD. For that matter all various REIT sectors are looking good.
So what should be the main thing to look at? Cash/per share vs size of dividend will help to determine if the dividend offered is safe. The larger the difference the safer.
Next is the dividend time frame. Is it monthly or quarterly. Monthly is best for income and quarterly better for growth.
I'm in a monthly because if there is any concern at all, with continued divvy size. You will see it change quickly and can adjust faster to negative change.
If you interested in growth, look for a positive price long term climb chart. Before this crash. And smaller divvy's paid.
Also be aware LARGE dividend's, stocks charts will be more volatile. With spikes and pops then walk downs and times of stall. But tend to decrease in price long term. Increasing ROI's.
Compare MITT and ORC and you may understand some of what I'm talking about. Both MITT & ORC are income producing opportunity holdings, because both had large dividends before the crash and now huge ones.. Since ORC is monthly, I'd recommend it over MITT for 1 reason. If anything happens negatively to the company you will see a change in the dividend sooner..
FED moving in the mortgage REIT area with support.
ORC from 1.55 3 days ago to 2.70 today.
$SPX working on it's 5th day bottom.
Remember my RULE of THUMB for bottom reversal;
3 days green climb, with first resistance broken.
Success to ALL
Ok I just noticed I have a 3 Year Subscriber Premium account update from free. And did not buy it.
Would like to thank who ever gave me this birthday gift on 2/6/2020. At 73 with COPD, I hope I live to 2/6/2023 and use all your $220 investment in me.
THANK you !
THANK you !
New news about ORC, Just found CFO & CEO bought 25,000 shares each: Mar 13 & 16 @ 3.80 & 3.85. Price today 1.88.
long time no hear from. what happened to the black 55? chevy you use to have in you pix. LOL
$1.60 area is a great basis position.
HINT:Don't compound as a price climb will raise your basis point. Lowering you overall return. Think of it as an income position. Not investment.
A bit more on ORC. Monthly March divvy of .08 announced, ex date March 30. (NO CHANGE)
As of todays dive, the dividend% basis is 52% for the following year @ .96 if divvy holds at .08. With a cash/per share of $2.34 the divvy should be safe.
BUY at your own risk, but this may be the best long investment I ever saw, a 50%+/- yearly return on what you invest in the next few days.
Just so you know 3 of the 4 TA indicators I use, are saying bottom around the corner at the $SPX. Both support indicators and 1 of the 2 entry/exit indicators.
Also the black ADX line, in the DMI, is dame near the 50 "LARGE move coming" point. That would signal a possible "V" bounce rather then just positive reversal climb.
We'll see. But as of today, we may have bottomed by the end of the week or early next.
HOPE LOL Hope!! While I have banked a 30% gain to date, this year. My holdings are sinking. Matter of fact -17% just today.
Ps; been buying the hell of my divvy ORC as it crashes. Outstanding financials with zero% interest rates now.
Mortgage backed securities love 0% interest rates.
http://schrts.co/IAnIAszG
You like health & Bio's?
Checkout GNBT. Been in it for some time.
They have a multi-million dollar contract to work on a vaccine for covid19 , along with subsidiary spin off with paperwork filed and other things including forming a MSO in Arizona.
It's a restaurant delivered to your door! LOL
PS: restaurants are closed.
NO
The 1 high volume day this year is emotion buying due to price change. IMO
As Swim sad, An after hours trade is often large because a M&M was requested by their client to hold their investment till afterhours. Thus when planning to trade over 10% of the ADV their entry will not drive the price in the direction they are trying to sneak in at.
The "T" trade could be an accumulation of many buys during the day. And being unreported they don't effect direction. Driving a run past their entry wanted. Block order, especially during an up day can change sentient and emotion. Running price higher then wanted.
ORC my long divvy has given a huge buying opportunity, in this all boats market! Zack's and I like it. Great income producing value play.Just added not nibbled today. Dividend has gone from just under 15% to just above 16% with todays drop.
http://schrts.co/rReSSsnD
https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/794656/should-value-investors-buy-orchid-island-orc-stock?cid=CS-YAHOO-FT-tale_of_the_tape|yseop_template_2-794656
Has everyone been adding to their long investment holds?
All 3 have been walking down forever. The market crash has not effected them. Their just continuing to retrace as before the market problem
.
Thus I'll say what I always say about these types of stocks. Calling a bottom is a very high risk move. I recommend NOT entering until a bottom HAS formed!!!
I call a formed bottom when there is a bounce which lasts 3 days and has crossed the last strong resistance point.
Basically They are NOT my cup of tea.
I have been researching Ford lately. I may nibble in mid March & early April as the next .15 dividend should be announce and there may be positive forward sentiment change if market bottoms at the same time.
Looking for divvy to help protect any entry.
The market LOL
As for the market in general; I'll continue to say hold or add to your long positions. The minute the fear stops, the old OH SHIT I sold sentiment will swing fast back to the< "I got to get back in" mood.
Plan the trade and trade the plan. What logically looked good before will again. Keep emotion out of your vocabulary. GOOD companies are still Good companies. And Good companies adjust better the shareholder in a fearful market.
Looking for a "V" bottom eventually. Seen this happen before.
Just an opinion!!!! And we all know what opinions are worth.
Success to all.
Sold another 20% of GBNT for more then a double, this time. This one isn't little guys buying on emotion. I saw at least 10 to 15 block orders closing for $30/$40,000 in the $1.00 to $1.15 area. When the day started @ .57. Saying big guys expect more!
Also closed CHKR Chesapeake warrants for +10% in an oil stock whos stock I sold 2 weeks ago before it fell 20% the last few days. Out of oil now!
Best day I've had in a year. LOL
Got to mention a stock I've been stuck in for some time. Waiting for a share dividend. Just got it and days later the company announce a signed contract for covid 19 vaccine research today.
Closed 30% of total holding (or the shares they gave me in the dividend) for a double already. Potential for much more ahead IMO.
GNBT
Have had my GTC orders in for a while. LOL Trick is will this time last or disappear like the last time?
A day trade position in silver also seems to work in a market like today.
On a day like today, one should trickle into (add to)(average down) their favorite held investment stocks, a day or two.
This is an all boats thing with no logical reason. So your companies stock is worth what it was yesterday. Creating an opportunity.
An experienced strategy.
Sold CHK for small loss after the retrace just continues to fall. Plan to watch for bottom bounce before re- entry.
It was fun last year and thanks for bringing it to my attention. I do expect a come back so continue to watch.
Interesting that divvy play price doing well with long drawn out fall of the stock. Part of the reason I expect a come back.
On a different subject check out CHKR.
CHK's divvy trade.
I'm nibbling in for a 4 cent divvy with price climb to ex date of 2/18/20 for a dividend capture play.
Have no idea how to evaluate a stock involved in hype on a special event. Especially a non compliant BIO.
I couldn't event guess. You could check DRAFT KING to see if they have a line on it. LOL
A/S increase & major price bottom accumulation seems like someone in the know planning on funding run coming.
Worth a watch IMO.
chart shows me zero ???
Heads up
What everyone needs to watch is what happens with the BIG 5 tech stocks do the next week with earnings.
That will signal weather the stratosphere top has been reached.
Keep your portfolio finger on the sidelines trigger. The BIG 5 could save a correction or guarantee a 10% all boats correction. IMO
God bless the united states of corporations. All the market needs is an excuse! Bang "all is well & great" to "the sky is falling" on numbers about equal to vaping. Today was bull chit. IMO
That's a very early positive prediction. There is NO bottom for the prolonged retrace yet.
Technically need the reversal up AND 1st resistance broken, before one can call a "bottom in."
I am watching and plan on re-entry when bottom is really in, also. Thinking .66 +/-
So here's one to keep an eye on. BLOZF I'm watching for pennant/flag break re-entry.
They are making a pot breathalyzer.
Senior moment I'm holding to many stock symbols and have to many on watch, to keep up LOL
Agree 100%, just wish he'd do something. The paint dried on my wall months and months ago.
My main problem is he and his deep pockets partner haven't opened The Jamestown rev stream pipe line yet???
Don't care much about all the other balls in the air. Just want to feel management wants REV's as a "top of the mind" business structure. No known management goal is my main concern.
Percentage of ownership doesn't change with their past and upcoming reverse splits. If I owned 1 / 1000th of the company before. I own the same after. The problem with an investors angle of ownership is will the company succeed after all the money manipulation is complete.
And what shows me that; is that management is working on optimizing the present business. Not adding or subtracting the number of balls in the air at once.
"Where's the BEEF" ? Filings, spinoffs, reverse splits, authorized vs. outstanding, and debenture cleaning is not my wanted business goal. That kinda says management is all about financial manipulation, rather then existing business growth.
Jamestown should be TOP priority. And it doesn't seem to be. Boo Hooo An announcement JAN 1st of Jamestown opening would have been GREAT !!! IMO
They own it. Why aren't they using it to make money??? HUMMMM
Agree; haven't banked gains this re-visit to CHK. But will add some lower. CHKR the divvy wing of the company is holding it's own.
When a stock is up 60%, it's to late for a heads up.
NEVER chase
Happy if you owned it.
An ouch day for me. Hold 8 stocks and all red. Bought 2 green watch stocks in different sectors. I've been watching the market continuation since the new year and starting to have concern. The sentiment is slipping and now I'm seeing the phycology of trading also slipping.
Keep an eye on the $S&P volumes as profit taking becomes visibly larger. The past week the support indicators show consolidation with price increase. That's not logical. And indicates profit taking.
Think taking profits may be a good move. Not seeing a correction. But decline and direction reversal looking reasonable. If so; may be weeks or months before we see new highs challenged again.
5 gaps below @ $SPX, could see 3% walk down to $SPX 3170 gap fill.
IMO time to re-evaluate ones holdings. runners may stop running and new sectors may come alive.
Conglomerates, Tech, & consumers goods may start trailing Services, healthcare and utilities
Meaning; I have some work to do! Just a shout out of my thinking.
OK I just picked up some IGPK @ .0035, watch it stop running LOL
Also re-entered TBLTW where I sold. watch it stop also. LOL
Both planned day trades.
I learned years ago, once you buy a running stock, it stops running. If you don't buy, it continues. LOL
I don't chase any longer.