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Fed just added 300 billion to its balance sheet on March 8th. and have reduced it by 100 billion since then. The net result is an addition of $200 billion. This fact is that their balance sheet is still near the covid highs.
Their balance sheet should be near 7.5 trillion, if they were to follow what they said. It is a full one trillion above that.
Nato in for a rude awakening.
410 is on the radar screens of the entire planet. A slight pullback could occur next week. However, a move to 4200 seems quite possible by mid april
Fed balance sheet increased by 300 billion just in the past three weeks. They are almost back up to where they started early last year.
what is the exact date that he added. The news of his buying a stock usually comes out weeks after the purchase. By that time the stock has already gone up quite a bit.
10%?
I admire your generosity. These idiots don't deserve their jobs. Sitting all day doing nothing. If the taxpayer is going to bail them out then they need to be paid the compensation of a federal employee.
I could go on and .........
3843 will be resistance within the next 3 - 6 months. Interest rates are rising. Huge tech drop coming.
market in somewhat of a bullish phase. Fed could ignite a rally tomorrow with dovish BS that could last till the end of April. Then 3K.
The pivot is happening behind the scenes, with this crooked fed. They added 297 billion to the balance sheet almost three years to the anniversary of the covid stimulus.
The fed balance sheet went back to Nov 22. They added 297 billion, and here JPOW was talking about a target of 7.5 trillion by the end of 2023. Not happening. That is a pivot.
However, do agree with you that more bank failures are on the horizon causing the spx to test 3000 at a minimum in the next six months. possibly over the summer.
No need to bet on this. It is quite obvious. 25 BPS. They will keep raising with dovish comments to pump the stocks. Target 6%. Almost there.
Any takers for a close above 4110 on the spx next week. only 65 points or 1.6 % away .
You are only allowed to sell a certain number of shares per the regulations and your contractual agreement with the company, when you receive restricted shares or if you are a nonretail share holder. Otherwise if the insiders were allowed to sell their entire holdings the stock will crash.
I hour to go. seems like it will likely close above 22.93.
CPI will be better than expected. Push us close to 4200.
They will go down. Just not yet. A 10 % correction is quite likely, before a major major drop probably next year.
Interest rates going up will are providing a nice alternative to stocks. Fed is not done yet. I believe they will raise their target to 6% next year. All this will eventually catch up with stocks. We are in the initial phases of a systematic destruction.
Correct on everything. What does that tell ya.
AAPL is down only 3.25%. No need to get excited. We may close the day positive on the spx.
Changed my mind this morning. Did not pull the trigger. We should go lower on spxu or higher on spx. Will wait and see. While not making any money in January. I have not lost any either. that is always a plus.
I have no position yet. But waiting for an opportunity to go short. So far patience has paid off. A quick 10 % correction to the 3850 level cannot be ruled out.
Was a little confused. Today, tomorrow what difference does it make.
why not. was anyone expecting 4200 this week. We are only 17 points shy of it.
Everyone was expecting a crash in January and here we have the best january performance in almost 20 years.
Can you post a picture of this cloud.
AAPL will beat tomorrow. They have to get this to about 4300 somehow.
will put in a $13.00 limit order for spxu. SPX 3800 is doable to the downside. Spxu should pop to 17.5
Might have been late September or early October. We were near the 3600 area.
4400 is possible. I mentioned that back in August.
The world is facing some rather large issues. BRICS is ending the NATO hegemony.
He might be right for the next two weeks. The consensus is 25 BPS, going forward.
Cramer said that today was the start of a bull mkt.
what is on Feb 8th
Jim Chanos said in an interview with cnbc that the fair value of SPX is between 1800 - 2800. he has a fairly decent record of being a bear.
Is the rate the same as treasury direct.
Do you get the same rate as treasury direct and what commission does schwab charge for buying and selling.
Do you buy from treasury direct or thru a broker such as etrade, fidelity, ... etc.
Fed expected to announce a 25 bps increase tomorrow. Talk up the mkts by saying inflation has peaked but they will keep a vigilant eye on inflation, while maintaining their interest rate target of 5.1%. Meaning two more 25 BPS hikes after this one. In other words nothing has changed. But the mkts will react positively.
Upside melt up usually signals the end of a bull run.
I see your reasoning. The difference is negligible between 6 month and 1 yr.
and your reason is?
3500 is looking a little doubtful. As more and more folks are expecting it. Fed will talk the mkts up. BTW the chatter has started about the fed raising its target to 6% by mid 2025 or sooner.
That is exactly what I am looking into. Hope to complete that trade in the next two weeks. Which T-bill is yielding the highest rate 6 month or 1 yr.
Also, interest is tax exempt. Yahoo!!