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Obama never kept his word on warrantless wiretaps
By M. Walter
If there’s anything we’ve learned from these people, it’s that they never sleep. Progressivism is ideological herpes: once you get it, you can never get rid of it. Oh, you can treat the symptoms of it, hope for fewer outbreaks, but outright kill it? Oh no, it never dies. It remains, waiting…
One day in the life of Joe Biden's America ...
By Monica Showalter
As I was hunting for blog topics, my colleague, Andrea Widburg, looked at my lineup and said we had quite a snapshot of Joe Biden's America in those news items.
What's this single day's news?
Joe Biden is spending his Memorial Day weekend honoring George Floyd
Biden's vaunted Palestine pier to supposedly deliver humanitarian aid has ripped off from its moorings, been blown out to sea, and has washed up on the shore.
Sen. John Fetterman has come to the rescue of the American tourist facing a draconian prison sentence in Turks and Caicos for accidentally leaving some ammunition from a previous trip in his luggage -- since Biden did nothing.
San Francisco's city government is apparently brimming with criminals according to a whistleblower report, so by all means let's expand government
Biden has denied Catholics a permit to hold their Memorial Day Mass at Arlington cemetery for first time in decades
Special Counsel Jack Smith has launched a desperate new bid for a gag order on President Trump for talking about the FBI making plans to use lethal force on him
New York state Justice Juan Merchan gave his jury in the Trump hush-money trial bad instructions on unanimity of the premise and legal eagles are complaining
The Nevada state supreme court ruled unanimously against a Democrat bid to block voter identification
NATO is creating a drone wall on its eastern frontier to ensure border protection
Illegals from Chechnya have rolled in through Joe Biden's open border and are now spying on U.S. military bases
Biden reportedly plans to address the nation on the Trump verdict as a matter of utmost importance
What a wretched state of affairs. No wonder Biden keeps falling in the polls.
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2024/05/one_day_in_the_life_of_joe_biden_s_america.html
Joe Biden spends his Memorial Day weekend celebrating George Floyd
By Monica Showalter
Memorial Day is a special day, it's not to honor veterans, or first responders, however worthy they genuinely are. It's to honor the fallen in U.S. wars and nothing else.
That Biden has yet to understand this, and instead demonstrates that it's somehow about George Floyd only goes to underscore how unfit he is as commander in chief.
El Salvador's President Bukele smacks down one of the U.S.'s biggest congressional jackasses
By Monica Showalter
It couldn't happen to a more deserving jackass. President Bukele may actually be too young to remember what kind of a jerk McGovern was in his long-ago throughout Latin America. But his instincts about this bounder are exactly right. He's done his region a public service, actually.
‘Twas the Shot Heard Around the World…
By Frank Santarpia
By the rude bridge that arched the flood,
their flag to April’s breeze unfurled,
Here once embattled farmers stood,
and fired the shot heard ‘round the world
— Ralph Waldo Emerson??
They came from the countryside, in the beginning, many of them carrying muskets they used for hunting game or chasing varmints, and shortly after the sun dawned on a bright April day, one of them fired the shot that was heard ‘round the world.
At that precise moment, as a puff of smoke and the smell of spent powder still wafted in the early-morning spring breeze, notice was given: Americans were free people; they would fight to defend their liberty and would sacrifice their lives to discard the yoke of tyranny.
And fight they did. A bedraggled army of citizen-soldiers, mostly poor and poorly trained, battled and died until, in the end, they chased the British to the city of Yorktown, in the colony of Virginia, and forced the surrender of the occupying army.?
What was perhaps most remarkable was that they were, and we still are, a people united not around racial or tribal identities, but around an idea and a faith—a belief that our destiny, and the destiny of mankind, is to be free. We began our nation’s history by defending that premise with our lives, and we do so to this day.
Memorial Day is not about ideas, though—it is about people. It is about the men and women who left their homes and loved ones but never returned; their mortal remains interred in a simple grave, their headstone a simple cross. It is about the people who gave, as Abraham Lincoln described it, their last full measure of devotion. What makes America unique—and exceptional—is that no member of our military ever died in a war of conquest. Every American who ever fought, whoever perished on the field of battle, did so in the cause of freedom.
Greed, misguided religious fervor, lust for power—any one of these diseases can grip the minds of men and hang on tenaciously, and that is why the American military exists and that is why we fight. We are blessed to be defended by such magnificent men and women—ordinary Americans with extraordinary souls. History has never seen the likes of the American fighting man, and probably never will again.
At some time during the course of this weekend, I ask that you take just a moment to say a silent prayer of thanks to those fallen Americans. They died not for kings or potentates, not for plunder or riches. They died conquering tyrants and occupiers, and when those Americans who survived completed their task they laid down their arms and helped the vanquished rebuild, because that is what Americans do.?
That is the kind of nation we are.
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2024/05/twas_the_shot_heard_around_the_world.html
II/TIPP poll shows Americans back Israel's bid to destroy Hamas and oppose a Palestinian state
By Monica Showalter
When you first heard of the massacres of October 7, what was the first thing that came to mind?
If you're like me, you might have thought: Haven't we had enough of this crap for one lifetime?
Terrorists commit unspeakable atrocities on innocent people going about their business, dance around with glee, preening and parading for the cameras and waving their guns, and then use the whole ugly specter recruit more gooberheads just like themselves to go out and commit more atrocities.
It's disgusting. We saw it with al-Qaida, we saw it with ISIS, now we see it with Hamas. How much more of this is going to come? Enough is enough.
A new poll from Issues & Insights and TIPP show that most Americans appear to feel the same way.
According to Terry Jones, writing for TIPP's website:
The national online poll, taken from May 1-3, asked 1,435 adults the following question: "Do you support or oppose Israel taking tough actions, such as eliminating Hamas to ensure its security within its borders?"
Of those responding, 54% said they either "strongly" supported (29%) taking such action, or "somewhat" supported it (25%).
By contrast, only 21% said they either "strongly" opposed (9%) or "somewhat" opposed (12%) Israel's fight (the poll has a margin of error of +/-2.7 percentage points).
Overall, 24% described themselves as "not sure," a sign that many Americans have yet to fully sort out the issues involved.
And yes, more than two-thirds of Republicans supported this fight to get rid of these terrorists and just under half of Democrats did, which is still a sizable number. Only about a quarter of Democrats actually oppose Israel's war.
What's more, Americans oppose a Palestinian state. That bunch is not ready to have their own state. They had their chance with a self-governing state dating from 2005, they elected terrorists, what happened happened, so let's just say they blew it. No state for them, not until their values change and their education system is reformed so that Jew-hate isn't the only thing they teach in their miserable schools. Common sense says you punish terrorism to get less of it. You don't reward terrorism so as to get more of it.
All in all, it's a striking contrast to what we read in the press. That's because so many of our elites -- in the CIA, among the campus protestors, and at various museums and other government agencies, are loud and proud about supporting Hamas and opposing Israel. Remember this CIA charmer with the crazy eyes? She's not the only one.
Yet that's the demographic Joe Biden is going for as he tailors U.S. policy to satisfy them in time for elections. He's taking a namby pamby stance on Israel, going hot, going cold, and in the end, advocating for the tired status quo, which is to say, that Hamas can stay where it is and keep doing what it's doing, while the reward of a state is on the table.
It really is a dramatic report, because so much of the media coverage would have you think that the public is against the Israel war based on campus protests and indeed favors a Palestinian state.
We have seen some European states such as Spain, Ireland and Norway move to support a Palestinian state. Spain is famous for caving when confronted by terrorist violence as they did in 2004 when they elected an antiwar socialist just days after al-Qaida launched a terrorist attack on their trains in Madrid, killing nearly 200. Norway has been out of it for years on the peacenik track, and Ireland is just a sad story.
But the U.S. is not them. We have lived through terrorism, too, and know at least something of what Israel is going through. Most Americans see Israel as an ally and Hamas as evil. That's as it should be. It's heartening to see that the efforts of Hamas and their elitist allies are going nowhere here in the states. We've seen this act before and have the graves to go to on Memorial Day as a result.
Biden, though, seems oblivious of this reality, and TIPP points out ways it could swing the election.
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2024/05/ii_tipp_poll_shows_americans_back_israel_s_bid_to_destroy_hamas_and_oppose_a_palestinian_state.html
Biden Claims the Polls Are Wrong. He May Be Right.
By John Kudla
So, yes, I agree with Biden. The polls may be wrong.
Trump may be up by more than everyone thinks.
They Did It to Trump, and They Can Do It to You
By Pete McArdle
Multiple court cases involving novel theories of criminality heretofore unknown are brought against you hoping to demean, bankrupt, or jail you. They certainly prevent you from campaigning while your brain-dead opponent stumbles from event to event, mangling words, spouting nonsense, and calling your followers dire threats to democracy. And all the clowns in the media, Hollywood, and academia lap it up and clap in unison for him.
Tensions Increase as the World Health Assembly Convenes
By Victor Fernandez
On Monday, May 27 (our Memorial Day), the Seventy-seventh World Health Assembly (WHA) will meet and begin the process of approving the World Health Organization (WHO) Pandemic Treaty and the amendments to the International Health Regulations (IHR). Many objections to these proposals have been raised to date, and powerfully-worded letters have been signed urging Biden not to sign the globalist power grab. But a not-much-talked-about document has been released by the White House that may indicate what Biden is likely to support.
The two documents overlap in many ways but do appear to have some distinguishing features. The “Pandemic Treaty” appears to be a business deal that is designed to redirect billions of dollars of public and private funds to dramatically expand the Pharmaceutical Hospital Emergency Industrial Complex (PHEIC) into poor countries in order to access more of Big Pharma’s drugs and injections.
The IHR, according to the WHO website, is “an instrument of international law that is legally-binding on 196 countries, including the 194 WHO Member States.” These amendments aim to establish control over member nations on things like vaccines, medical treatment protocols, laboratory diagnostics, tests and medications; onsite investigations; the implementation of lockdowns; access to health services and products; surveillance; and censoring “misinformation and disinformation,” to mention a few.
Fortunately, these sovereignty-killing agreements have been strongly opposed in the United States and abroad.
On May 1, a letter signed by all 49 GOP senators was sent to President Biden urging him not to sign the WHO Pandemic Agreement and IHR amendments or, at the very least, to submit them to the Senate for approval as is appropriate under the Constitution.
On May 8th, another letter was sent to Biden from 22 state attorneys general opposing the federal government’s plans to concede national sovereignty to the WHO. The letter defiantly indicated that:
“Ultimately, the goal of these instruments isn’t to protect public health. It’s to cede authority to the WHO -- specifically its Director-General -- to restrict our citizens’ rights to freedom of speech, privacy, movement (especially travel across borders) and informed consent… We will resist any attempt to enable the WHO to directly or indirectly set public policy for our citizens.” [emphasis added]
And just last week on May 22nd, 24 governors of largely red states affirmed that public health policy is a matter reserved for the states and not the government or international bodies like the WHO. It also stated clearly that, “We are committed to resisting any attempts to transfer authority to the WHO over public policy affecting our citizens or any efforts by the WHO to assert such authority over them.”
It should also be noted that in March the Louisiana Senate passed Bill No. 133 barring the WHO, the United Nations, and the World Economic Forum from enforcing any rule, regulation, fee, tax, policy from having authority over the state’s citizens. And on May 11, governor of Florida Ron DeSantis signed what is probably the strongest packet of bills for medical freedom with Senate Bill 252, House Bill 1387, Senate Bill 1580 and Senate Bill 238. In addition to addressing a broad spectrum of related medical control issues, the legislation prohibits globalized public health institutions, like the WHO, from determining public health policy in Florida.
Such defiant reactions to the planned WHO health tyranny are certainly appropriate and appreciated by those of us who wish to retain our medical freedoms and informed consent. But what is Biden going to do in light of such rejections? Well, we’ll soon find out. But the White House has already left some crumbs that may signal where its allegiance lies.
On April 16th, the White House released a fact sheet regarding the launch of the U.S Global Health Security Strategy (GHSS) to “protect the health, lives, and economic well-being of the American people and people throughout the world.”
It broadly articulates a new global health “whole-of-government, science-based” approach to strengthening global health security. And although the WHO is not mentioned, it does mention that policies will be implemented that will “Continue to drive efforts to strengthen global policies, including through negotiations on a Pandemic Accord and targeted amendments to the International Health Regulations (IHR).”
The real meat of the GHSS will be found in the 64-page “U.S. Global Health Strategy 2024”document. Here support for the WHO is mentioned multiple times along with the Pandemic Treaty.
“The United States is supporting efforts to strengthen global policies and legal preparedness, including negotiating a Pandemic Agreement and targeted amendments to the IHR, as these two instruments have the potential to provide the international community with the opportunity to establish a shared path forward for preventing, preparing for, and responding to international health emergencies.”
The document is long and rather detailed in terms of its set goal of establishing legal frameworks, preparedness and response policies, funding and financing mechanisms, global and regional ties and surveillance. Indeed, the aim is ambitious. And if you were to glance over the GHSS document, it would appear that the Biden administration is advancing to implement a WHO-like treaty before he even signs it, bypassing Senate approval.
It's not clear what role this GHSS is going to play in conjunction with or apart from the WHO treaty considered next week. But it seems to me that a lot of thought and preparation went into the document for this not to be somehow significant. Perhaps it will be a means to enact some of the above draconian health policies despite strong opposition just as the Biden administration has announced that it will forgive 7.7 billion dollars in student loans in defiance of the Supreme Court’s ruling on student loan forgiveness.
So here we are. Solid responses of disapproval and non-cooperation have been forwarded by U.S senators, attorneys general, and governors. We also have House and Senate bills H.R. 1425 and S.444 which require the Biden administration to receive 2/3 majority approval before he signs the WHO Pandemic Preparedness Treaty. So there is hope and legitimate grounds to stop the WHO. And both sides have made their preliminary moves. The stage is now set.
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2024/05/tensions_increase_as_the_world_health_assembly_convenes.html
Robert Kennedy Jr. Backs Reparations, and It Only Hurts Joe Biden
The anybody but Trump argument fails when somebody else is out there.
by Joe Schaeffer | May 27, 2024
Third-party presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. may have ended his chances with right-leaning independent voters by wholeheartedly embracing the woke politics of racial grievance. In doing so, however, he strengthens an already widespread belief that his campaign is going to peel far more votes away from Democrat Joe Biden than Republican Donald Trump.
In a late April podcast now gaining national attention, Kennedy told National Black Farmers Association founder John Boyd Jr. that he will deliver on President Biden’s failed attempt to grant $5 billion reparations debt relief to black farmers. Biden included the highly controversial measure in his March 2021 COVID stimulus plan. A federal judge ruled it unconstitutional three months later.
Kennedy does not agree.
‘Stolen From Them Through Discrimination’
“I can tell you that when I’m in the White House, you’re going to be out there the first week, I’m going to get rid of those people in [the US Department of Agriculture] and get that money,” Kennedy promised Boyd. “That $5 billion is not money, that is an entitlement,” he stressed. “It’s money that was a loan that black farmers were entitled to way back then and was stolen from them through discrimination. You can testify it was personally stolen from you and that’s what the court found.”
It’s the latest move bound to turn off any conservative voters of the civil libertarian type who my have been attracted to Kennedy for his influential anti-vaccine stance during the height of the Coronavirus pandemic. Kennedy has often been accused of coming across as too off-the-cuff and unfocused in hashing out his platform. In early May, he had to climb down from remarks stating he supported late-term abortion right up to the moment of birth. His campaign staffers were more surprised than anyone by the pronouncement. NFL star quarterback Aaron Rodgers also recently confirmed that he was asked to be Kennedy’s running mate, reinforcing the damaging notion that his campaign is more splash than substance.
Defending government handouts based on race will only further fuel suspicions among conservative independents seeking an alternative to the two-party nexus. Above all, this voting block is motivated by a keen desire for genuine and lasting change in the way the US government operates. But Kennedy’s reparations stance will attract progressive anti-establishment independents who already have a laundry list of reasons for disliking Biden, most notably his pro-war foreign policy agenda.
The Kennedy Sword Cuts Only One Way
Boyd, a pro-reparations advocate himself, highlights the problem for Democrats. “Boyd Jr. vowed not to support Biden’s reelection bid due to his lack of attention to the ‘struggling black farmers who are losing their land,’” Fox News observed.
But Boyd was never going to support Trump, either. “This administration has been black people’s worst nightmare,” he told The Roland Martin Unfiltered Daily Digital Show in January 2020, speaking of then-President Trump. “We have to do something to organize and mobilize and get someone that can defeat this president in a general election. I don’t care who it is they got, anybody would be better than this president at this point.”
Anybody. This was the argument for the independent political left to swallow hard and back establishment lifer Biden in 2020. It’s precisely what Biden will be losing with Kennedy around in 2024, and it’s no small thing.
And for those who might be unsure, Kennedy is very much in the picture. He has used a clever strategy of working with established independent parties on the local level to help boost his bid to get on the ballot in states across America. His campaign claims to have already qualified in 15 states. While that number is in dispute at the moment, what is clear is that he is making excellent progress.
“Kennedy and his running mate, Nicole Shanahan, are now on the ballot in four states. They have finished signature gathering in nine more and are circulating petitions for 29 others,” Politico reported May 13. He’s not just squeaking over the bar. Team Kennedy turned in twice the number of signatures required to qualify for the ballot in Texas, a solid red state that Democrats nevertheless have hopes for, especially in a Senate race against incumbent Ted Cruz (R-TX).
“In the last two or three months, I’ve been very impressed with the Kennedy operation for being able to smartly maneuver and get on ballots that were expensive and difficult,” Michael Arno, whose ballot access firm worked with No Labels, told Politico. “It sounds like they’ve done very well in both Texas and New York, and that’s very impressive and a real feather in their cap.”
Trump has very specifically targeted blue New York in 2024. Having Kennedy on the ballot in the Empire State – at a time when radical progressives in the Big Apple are furious with Biden over the Gaza War – is just fine and dandy with Republicans.
Those on the political left desperate to prop up Biden one final time fully understand the threat Kennedy represents. “Third-party candidacies, to my opinion, are an unacceptable answer in the 2024 election,” Wisconsin progressive radio host Mike Crute proclaimed in early April, “Don’t throw away your vote.” Wisconsin is a crucial swing state in this election.
Four years ago, an unpopular Joe Biden profited greatly from a somewhat taunting message to left-leaning independent-minded voters: Where else are you gonna go? In 2024, there will be somewhere else to go.
https://www.libertynation.com/robert-kennedy-jr-backs-reparations-and-it-only-hurts-joe-biden/
Polls vs Primary Results: A New Metric for 2024 Hopefuls
Public trust in political polling is down, but there’s another way to make predictions.
by James Fite | May 27, 2024
Former President Donald Trump has been performing much better than incumbent Joe Biden when it comes to the ever-coveted swing states, if the polls are to be believed. But more people than ever seem to distrust such surveys. Could there be a more reliable predictor? Perhaps. The presidential primaries are complete in the six swing states likely to decide the election come November. Can the results, combined with an examination of the 2016 and 2020 primaries and general elections, shed enough light to dispel the shadows of doubt left by the pollsters?
Another Day, Another Poll
Liberty Nation’s Leesa K. Donner highlighted a new NYT/Siena Poll that showed Biden in serious trouble. Trump had been polling a bit higher than Biden in most general head-to-head surveys for a while, but this poll specifically indicated the former president was likely to sweep through all but one of six critical swing states.
New banner Another Liberty Nation Original 1There are 77 electors up for grabs across these six states, and this survey indicates Trump getting all but ten of those. If we split them up accordingly and factor them in with the general consensus of the rest of the country – as demonstrated by the election map from 270towin – the Donald wins the 2024 election 302 to Biden’s 236.
But that’s only if you believe in the polls – and a lot of folks don’t these days. “Another day, another poll. Ho hum, some might say,” Donner wrote in her opening paragraph. So forget the polls for a bit, and let’s examine what is, perhaps, a more tangible metric: actual votes already cast.
Swing States Speak – Are We Listening?
Arizona
In the 2024 primaries, Donald Trump and the GOP in general outperformed Biden and the Democrats. The former president brought in 13.4% more primary voters than the incumbent, and the Republican Party had a 19.6% better turnout overall.
Have primaries predicted Arizona general elections before? Well, the Grand Canyon state didn’t hold a GOP primary in 2020, but we can look at 2016. Adding up Hillary Clinton’s and Donald Trump’s vote totals allows us to engineer a hypothetical head-to-head between the two, and the results show Trump beating Clinton 52.2% to 47.8%, a 4.4% margin. Sure enough, Trump won the general with 48.7% to Clinton’s 45.1% – a margin of 3.6%.
Of course, Biden won Arizona’s 11 electors in 2020. However, if the primary-to-general trend holds, the former president is set to trounce the incumbent, flipping the state – just as the NYT/Siena poll suggests.
Georgia
Trump and the Republicans beat Biden and the Democrats in Georgia, as well – and by a considerably larger margin. The GOP led in overall voter turnout in the 2024 primary with a margin of 34%, and Trump topped Biden by 28.6%.
Not only is this primary result even more favorable for Trump than Arizona’s, but so too is the trend set by the previous two presidential elections. Trump, the only Republican candidate in the state, beat out Biden in 2020 by a mere 25,175 votes. But the crowded field of Democrats drew almost 140,000 more voters than the GOP. The result was a Biden victory in the general with a razor-thin margin of 0.2%, or just shy of 12,000 votes. In the South, we say that’s finer than a frog’s hair split four ways.
Something similar happened in 2016, but with the roles reversed. Hillary Clinton, who had just three primary challengers in Georgia, brought in more votes than her Republican counterpart. But Trump was, in that primary, the candidate in a crowded field, and GOP voters outnumbered the Democrats by more than half a million. In the general, Trump defeated Clinton by a margin of over 200,000 votes.
For 2024, there is no flip-flopped lead between the parties and their chosen candidates. Trump pulled almost 30% more primary voters than Biden, and Republicans outperformed Democrats by more than 30%. Just as the poll indicates, this is bad news for Biden.
Nevada
While the math was simple for Arizona and Georgia, Nevada had to go and make it complicated. First, Republicans held both a caucus and a primary – with the primary being worth precisely zero delegates. Still, while frontrunner Trump chose to participate in the caucus and win the delegates, the closest runner-up in the polling at the time, Nikki Haley, chose to join the primary … for some reason. But if the primary was merely a beauty pageant, then the one crowned “Ms. Nevada” was none other than the second confounding principle in this contest: “None of These Candidates.” The electoral equivalent of “thanks, but no thanks” defeated Haley twice over, but what does that mean? Were these all Trump supporters who took to the primaries to troll Haley for laughs?
Then there’s the fact that caucuses don’t tend to have as many participants as primaries. So, in this case, we’re left comparing apples to oranges even without the added confusion.
Still, if we combine the Republican voters, we see that the GOP turnout was greater than that of the Democrats. And while Biden took more votes than Trump, there are those pesky 47,000 or so who chose “None of These Candidates” over Nikki Haley; if they showed up for the primary, they’ll probably show up for the general, too. They’re voting for someone, and it seems unlikely to be Biden.
Trump lost in the 2016 and 2020 general elections by about 3% each time, despite the fact that he and the GOP did considerably better than Clinton and the Democrats in the 2016 caucuses. Democrats held a primary in 2020, and Republicans didn’t have a contest at all, so there’s no accounting for that year. Still, while the poll shows Nevada firmly in the Trump camp, this exercise is based entirely on actual votes cast, so we’ll call it a toss-up.
Michigan
Things look good for the former president in the Great Lake State, though perhaps not quite so rosy as in Arizona or Georgia. He took 9.8% more primary votes than Biden, and the Republican turnout was 9.4% better than that of the Democrats.
Biden won considerably more primary votes in 2020 than Trump, and his party outperformed the GOP. While he won the state, however, it was by a slim 2.8% margin, indicating that a sizable group of Trump voters in Michigan sat out the primaries but showed up for the general. In 2016, Hillary had more votes than Trump, and Republicans had only a slightly better turnout than Democrats. Trump won by just 0.2%. But it’s still good news for Trump, as the state seems to be leaning in his direction.
Wisconsin
The NYT/Siena poll shows Biden winning Wisconsin, and the primary numbers compared to the 2020 results support this – though 2016 throws all that into question. Biden won 3.6% more primary votes this year than Trump, but the GOP had a 2% higher turnout. In 2020, the roles were reversed, and Biden beat Trump in the general by less than 1%. In 2016, however, about 100,000 more Republicans than Democrats voted in the primary, and Clinton pulled considerably more votes than Trump. Still, Trump won – again, by less than 1%. By electoral math only, this state is a toss-up.
Pennsylvania
In Pennsylvania, the incumbent won 8.8% more primary voters than the former president, and the Democrats had a 6.2% better turnout than Republicans. The 2020 primary showed much the same, and Biden went on to beat Trump by 1.2% in the general, which indicates Biden is likely to keep the Keystone State. 2016 begs to differ, however. Hillary Clinton drew slightly more votes than her rival and the Democrats outnumbered the Republicans in the primary, yet Trump won the general by less than 1%. Right now, the primary numbers point to Biden despite the poll giving the state to Trump, but it’s far from certain.
The Donald Still Trumps Biden – Even If Just Barely
The 270towin consensus map shows Trump likely to be ahead of Biden just a bit, 235 to 226, with all but these six states assigned to one or the other. If we assign Arizona and Georgia to Trump, and Pennsylvania to Biden, leaving the other three as toss-ups, that brings Trump’s total to 262 and Biden’s to 245.
If the Donald can land Michigan or Wisconsin, he wins. If he takes Nevada, he’ll still need one of the others. For Biden to keep his job, however, he needs both Michigan and Wisconsin. No other combination of the three remaining swing states – except for all three, of course – gets him over the line.
If the primaries and caucuses foreshadow the general election results, neither candidate is looking at a landslide – or, for that matter, even a sure victory. But Biden certainly has a tougher road than Trump. Even if the recent polling trends in swing states hold up and Trump does much better in these six than the primaries and the last two elections suggest, it will be by close margins in each state. One thing remains, however, regardless of which prediction method you choose: While both men have a fight ahead of them, Biden looks more likely than Trump to be the one left on the mat when the final bell rings.
https://www.libertynation.com/polls-vs-primary-results-a-new-metric-for-2024-hopefuls/
Hey Gmenfan-
Carville was the one that coined Clinton's phrase- "it's the economy stupid" back in 1992
...........................al
To understand the craziest Democrat policies, always follow the money
By Jack Hellner
To Democrats, the rest of us are just pawns or clowns, as New York's Gov. Kathy Hochul said, or deplorables. They can't stand that Trump wants to give the power, money, and freedom back to the people, which is what the Founding Fathers wanted.
Nashville Council penalizes Morgan Wallen because it dislikes him and his speech
By Andrea Widburg
for leftists, the Constitution, federal and local laws, and local regulations are all irrelevant. They are interested in the process because it adds an air of legitimacy to otherwise illegitimate proceedings, but they care nothing for substantive principles of justice, morality, and good governance.
For the geniuses at Time magazine, it’s news when a woman gets pregnant
By Andrea Widburg
The brainwashing is everywhere. This past week, USA Today censored an opinion piece by Senator John Kennedy (R-LA) regarding men in women’s sports because it used “loaded terms” that were “inflammatory.” Those terms? “Biological male” and “biological female.”
Joe Biden's bid to paint Trump as a Nazi again goes kaput
By Monica Showalter
Once again, Biden botches the job again as his paint-Trump-as-a-Nazi effort falls flat. Presumably, he will repeat this lie again and again in an effort to make it stick, no matter how ridiculous and false it gets. No wonder voters can't stand him.
What the Bronx voters who've flipped to Trump are saying
By Monica Showalter
Some 25,000 people attended President Trump's rally in the Bronx this week, a figure no one could have imagined a few years ago, given the deep blue orientation of the borough.
But things can change, and apparently they have.
Newsweek has a fascinating interview with a Bronx local who switched from voting Democrat all his life to throwing his support to President Trump.
Jerry Evans, a registered Democrat in New York City, had never attended a political rally before Thursday.
But speaking with Newsweek at Donald Trump's campaign event in the South Bronx, Evans said that he turned out to show support for the former president because he feels "very strongly about how the border's going." He also accused President Joe Biden of giving the "red carpet treatment" to migrants.
"You know, I said, why is Biden giving them the red carpet treatment?" Evans said. "He's giving them everything—giving them housing, giving them shelter, giving them money, cash—and people who live here can't get that."
He also observed this:
"He opened up the border and then he just said, 'everybody get in,'" Evans told Newsweek. "And then you go to New York and it's like, dumping ground, USA."
"Red carpet treatment"? "Can't get that"? "Dumping ground"?
These are very vivid turns of phrase. They are immediate, they are grittily real, and they refer solely to where the man lives right now. There is no pie-in-the-sky in his thinking, he is solely focused on the reality of his own community, and right now, mass illegal immigration is harming his community, bringing crime and taxpayer costs all of which he has to bear even as he gets no discernable benefit from that same immigration. His taxes go up, he gets nothing while others get everything, Democrats don't care as they 'dump' and Biden is foisting those costs onto him, which he rightly objects to.
There is no arguing with someone like this; he has clearly made his mind up, plugging 'a' to 'b' and ending his long practice of voting Democrat.
Voters like this will be hard to regain for the Democrats. A major sea change in thinking has taken place from all those illegal border crossers being placed on this voter's doorstep. Democrats actually believed it wouldn't be noticed, but New Yorkers are way too plugged in to the realities of urban life to not notice, curiously parallel to the country voters who are plugged in to the realities of country life. Now both have moved on from Democrats at this point.
How many thousands of them in that 25,000 crowd are thinking the same thing?
The pier to nowhere
By Mike McDaniel
And of course we’re spending money we don’t have to sort of supply a population that hates us and supports Hamas by an 80%+ margin.