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Is Lockup Facebook's Fiscal Cliff?
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000129065
Is Lockup Facebook's Fiscal Cliff?
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000129065
keep an eye on FB, just launched a "jobs app" but a major lock-up expires today, so bankers are pushing up FB so insiders can dump without the stock tanking...ie this is an "orderly dump"
yep, I agree
Facebook Counts Down to Lockup Expiration and 4 Social Media Stocks Seeing Action
http://wallstcheatsheet.com/stocks/facebook-counts-down-to-lockup-expiration-and-4-social-media-stocks-seeing-action.html/
Facebook, Inc. (NASDAQ:FB) is pulling back one day before approximately 777 million additional shares of the company are expected to become available for sale. In a September 4 regulatory filing, the social networking colossus reported that about 749 million of their dominant shares and about 28 million restricted stock units that are not owned by current employees as of October 15 will be ready to sell on November 14, 2012. On December 14, 2012, about 156 million shares held by the initial public offering participants will become eligible to be sold. As of August, Facebook Chief Executive Officer, Mark Zuckerberg had no plans to sell any of his shares. Meanwhile, in a note to investors on October 24, Wells Fargo wrote that the stock had bottomed and “should be able to withstand the coming share lockups.” In late morning trading, Facebook dropped 42c or 2.09%, to $19.65.
Facebook Counts Down to Lockup Expiration and 4 Social Media Stocks Seeing Action
http://wallstcheatsheet.com/stocks/facebook-counts-down-to-lockup-expiration-and-4-social-media-stocks-seeing-action.html/
Facebook, Inc. (NASDAQ:FB) is pulling back one day before approximately 777 million additional shares of the company are expected to become available for sale. In a September 4 regulatory filing, the social networking colossus reported that about 749 million of their dominant shares and about 28 million restricted stock units that are not owned by current employees as of October 15 will be ready to sell on November 14, 2012. On December 14, 2012, about 156 million shares held by the initial public offering participants will become eligible to be sold. As of August, Facebook Chief Executive Officer, Mark Zuckerberg had no plans to sell any of his shares. Meanwhile, in a note to investors on October 24, Wells Fargo wrote that the stock had bottomed and “should be able to withstand the coming share lockups.” In late morning trading, Facebook dropped 42c or 2.09%, to $19.65.
Home Depot Nails It
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000128984
most FM traders think HD is topping out
watching the Feb $60 HD puts I just bought lol
Home Depot Nails It
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000128984
haha, nice...dude I'm so busy with my classes that it's hard to follow the penny market, last spring when I was trading penny stocks more hdsstocks was my "inside" source but he's taking a break and focusing on school more too (trading hurts the GPA lol), but if you know of anything good, please let me know, I lost a TON of money in the 2nd half of 2011, still haven't recovered, that's why I started trading penny stocks, TOUCAN probably remembers last Feb when I first started lol
S&P is bearish on HD
S&P REITERATES SELL RECOMMENDATION ON SHARES OF HOME DEPOT
(S&P Capital IQ)
We are increasing our FY 13 (Jan.) and FY 14 operating EPS estimates to $3.07 and $3.43 from $2.97 and $3.33, and are also raising our DCF-based target price by $4 to $50. Excluding a charge, Oct-Q EPS of $0.74, vs. $0.60, is $0.05 above our estimate. Comp-store sales grew 4.2%, and we think the impact of Hurricane Sandy will be modestly beneficial to HD over next few quarters. However, we see numerous macro challenges ahead, and think the shares are overvalued, trading at about 19X our FY 14 EPS forecast, a significant premium to historical averages and the S&P 500.
S&P is also bearish though
S&P REITERATES SELL RECOMMENDATION ON SHARES OF HOME DEPOT
(S&P Capital IQ)
We are increasing our FY 13 (Jan.) and FY 14 operating EPS estimates to $3.07 and $3.43 from $2.97 and $3.33, and are also raising our DCF-based target price by $4 to $50. Excluding a charge, Oct-Q EPS of $0.74, vs. $0.60, is $0.05 above our estimate. Comp-store sales grew 4.2%, and we think the impact of Hurricane Sandy will be modestly beneficial to HD over next few quarters. However, we see numerous macro challenges ahead, and think the shares are overvalued, trading at about 19X our FY 14 EPS forecast, a significant premium to historical averages and the S&P 500.
what's your price target, it's not extremely over valued or anything, however HD like Lowes (LOW) are trading at the upper end of their historical PE ratios
Credit Suisse is bullish, has a $70 PT
Rating OUTPERFORM*
Price (12 Nov 12, US$) 61.16
Target price (US$) (from 68.00) 70.00¹
52-week price range 63.20 - 36.47
Market cap. (US$ m) 92,195.14
Enterprise value (US$ m) 100,311.20
Strong Execution Continues As Housing
Pickup Just Getting Started
¦
HD delivered strong Q3 results with better sales and earnings with little help
from a housing recovery. That dynamic continues to point to even stronger
future results as a housing recovery picks up steam. Encouragingly, for the
first time in the current economic cycle, Chairman & CEO Frank Blake, who
has been measured in calling a recovery, commented that housing is
beginning to show some light.
¦
Though this stock has performed well in anticipation of a housing pickup,
consider that 1) comps are already running around 4% and 2) EBIT margins
are approaching 11% with little macro support. In our view, that implies EBIT
margin potential in the mid-teens and earnings power of nearly $7 five years
from now and is why HD remains one of our best ideas.
¦
We continue to believe that management is a difference maker for HD, with
Chairman & CEO Frank Blake and CFO Carol Tome laying a foundation for
steady operating performance. A combination of smart strategic decisions
such as distribution changes, enhanced customer service and solid tactical
execution have helped HD achieve consistently strong results.
¦
We are raising our FY 12 to $3.02, reflecting HD’s Q3 beat, and we are
raising our FY 13 and 14 estimates by a nickel each. We are also raising our
price target to $70 reflecting 13% normalized EBIT margins.
¦
Something to consider with Q4 is that comparisons get a bit more difficult
given stellar year-ago results (5.7% comps, 39% EPS growth). Though a
Hurricane Sandy benefit may be viewed as a meaningful driver to help HD
get past the tough compare, the Hurricane benefit may be gradual and
spread over a longer period of time.
good call on HD, however it might be good to start a short position here...
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=81435977
Anyone think HD is a good short at this point? They were talking about shorting HD on Options Action last Friday, however it's been up since, this could be the top...
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=81349124
Faber on Bloomberg today also...
Faber: Math Doesn't Work; Fiscal Cliff Drop Coming
http://www.bloomberg.com/video/faber-u-s-can-t-do-very-much-about-fiscal-cliff-~ZOVgOWCStKTAzyXCJXHjQ.html
Faber: Middle East Will Blow Up and Affect Markets
http://www.bloomberg.com/video/faber-the-middle-east-will-blow-up-cHuwPxDOSZqv6fFNYZziig.html
China's Energy Consumption Challenges
http://www.bloomberg.com/video/china-s-energy-consumption-challenges-5_J2iGzPRh2OnXnEgbegvg.html
Faber was on CNBC this morning....
Marc Faber: Prepare for a Massive Market Meltdown
“In the Western world, including Japan, the problem we have is one of too much debt and that debt now will have to be somewhere, somehow repaid or it will slow down economic growth,” Faber said. “I think we lived beyond our means from 1980 to 2007, and now it’s payback period.”
Market Will Drop 20% Next Year: Faber
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000128260
Marc Faber: Stocks Will Fall 20% From Highs
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000129023
Marc Faber: Global Markets Will 'Implode'
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000129024
Marc Faber, PhD in Economics
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marc_Faber
Marc Faber: Prepare for a Massive Market Meltdown
“In the Western world, including Japan, the problem we have is one of too much debt and that debt now will have to be somewhere, somehow repaid or it will slow down economic growth,” Faber said. “I think we lived beyond our means from 1980 to 2007, and now it’s payback period.”
Market Will Drop 20% Next Year: Faber
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000128260
Marc Faber: Stocks Will Fall 20% From Highs
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000129023
Marc Faber: Global Markets Will 'Implode'
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000129024
Marc Faber, PhD in Economics
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marc_Faber
Marc Faber: Prepare for a Massive Market Meltdown
“In the Western world, including Japan, the problem we have is one of too much debt and that debt now will have to be somewhere, somehow repaid or it will slow down economic growth,” Faber said. “I think we lived beyond our means from 1980 to 2007, and now it’s payback period.”
http://www.cnbc.com/id/49802535
Market Will Drop 20% Next Year: Faber
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000128260
Marc Faber, PhD in Economics
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marc_Faber
yep...hey Greece is the new Mexico lol
haha, those cocky bastards down in TX, I tell ya
"she liken the gun"
oh well I wasn't expecting a crisis in the next 48 hours, or even by year end, winter is around the corner, Europe won't want a financial collapse during the winter, but next spring...it could start to fall apart...
the reason why I want some action to happen is because it takes a market collapse/financial crisis for politicians/policy leaders to ACT, and I'm tired of the Euro debt crisis dragging out, Europe needs to break up or form a Federation where countries give up Sovereignty and become states, and yes that means there could be a German who becomes the President or Prime Minister of the New European Federation or United States of Europe, which would be funny, because Germany has tried twice to rule Europe and a new fiscal union might allow them to indirectly ;)
Solution versus Reality
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=74391790
more drama,
http://www.cnbc.com/id/49797700
I'm hoping to see Greece exit the Euro soon and spark a bank-run across southern Europe (the Garlic Belt) and see people scramble to their banks to withdraw Euros in fear that their country (Italy, Spain, Portugal, etc) will also leave with will decrease a money supply and cause a financial crisis that will put pressure on EU officials to ACT and fix the problem and create a fiscal union, or a United States of Europe or European Federation...problem is that is politically hard to do, so the PATH of LEAST RESISTANCE MIGHT BE FOR A EURO BREAK UP...
How much will Greece's, Italy's, or Spain's Currency be worth if/when they exit the Euro? Certainly less than $1 U.S. Dollar, which is why they will rush to the banks...
ULTRA BEAR DD (EPIC)
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=75246865
Bank-Run
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bank_run
haha, GRPN is officially a dirt stock, just like Dryships (DRYS)
my sh#t list:
LNKD, GRPN, ZNGA, FB, YELP, Z, AWAY, P, ANGI
this should help, don't forget about Europe, Greece approved the new austerity measures/budget, but the movie is far from over, more problems from Spain and Italy are coming...
Even though this is a currency show, these currency traders know a lot about the macroeconomic issues the market faces including the political/fiscal issues in the U.S., so they provide a lot of good insight...a higher dollar usually means equities go lower...
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000128338
yeah that's crazy risky lol
Haha!
Wow, no thanks lol, just watching that video scares me lol, I bet those guys get paid a lot, they'd have to pay me a lot to do that job, just imagine what that would be like on a very windy day...
did you pre-order the new Deftones album coming out next week? :)
they got some interesting titles for their songs on this album that's for sure, Tempest is pretty solid...
iTunes preview
https://itunes.apple.com/us/album/koi-no-yokan/id567302377?u1=gupta.google.retargeting.banners&ign-mpt=uo%3D4
Tempest
Did Bond pull out the old machine gun?lol, I'm doing a project on testing a Molybdenum (Mo) alloy, most likely TZM, on machine gun barrel liners on the M61 Vulcan and GAU Avenger for fighter jets like the F-15 Eagle
GAU-21, Hammering it Home
oh nice, just looked at the trailer, looks pretty good, is that a Jag he's driving in the movie? What's up with the scorpion in that drinking game, that brings back memories of AZ lol
Options Action, November 9, 2012
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000128281
checkout the HD technical analysis, looks like it's primed for shorting, watch at 9:00min
Hey check out this technical analysis on HD, looks prime for shorting at this level...
watch at 9:00
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000128281
Here's a good scene that does a great job of portraying GRPN longs lol
haha, what a POS company
what's your view on the financials, BAC, C, JPM, etc? I feel like buying some Jan PUTS now, but I have a feeling the S&P could re-test the 1400 level before it goes back down in the short term, so I might wait, but the financials are very sensitive to market turmoil and are actually trading at/near 53 week highs...so it seems like there's more downside risk than upside even the the U.S. housing market is stabilizing...
nice, awesome analysis and DD ;)
China's Transition: When and How?
http://www.bloomberg.com/video/china-s-transition-when-and-how-kpXEcGE1QIeq2_TSEo6LyA.html