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My 2 cents. Starting see this yesterday in many small caps
https://www.sec.gov/news/public-statement/staff-fully-paid-lending
Went into effect today
They have had 6 months to get ready for today
If no data soon, And I dont think we get data soon, this will be back to $20 next week
Cheers!
Good Morning CVM Newbies
Two great resources:
All paywall free article about CVM that was recently issued that has a PT of $300
https://www.dropbox.com/s/un4m35socv2qh11/CEL-SCI%20Stock%20Multikine%20To%20Change%20Standard%20Of%20Care%20%28NYSEMKTCVM%29%20%20Seeking%20Alph.pdf?dl=0
A nice DD site
https://killcvmshorts.com/
All are my efforts
Cheers!
@biobonic
And some warrants too
DID you look at the chart. Did u not see the break down
You need to take ownership of dd and TA
@robot
What was wrong with $TMBR?
I called it around $1.90. Hit $2.40 within a few weeks
Thats a nice ROI of 26%.
Sorry, but you always need to have an exit strategy
I will lead the horse to water, its up to them to drink
Cheers!
Think I need to get BioGod.com back up
Yup
Cheers
May 15th
Anyone saying/posting that Data MUST be reported by 5/15 is false.
That date is NOT a deadline
Data can come before or after May 15th.
Cheers!
Data Mining
This is what shorts and GD say.
It's been about 5 months since Data Lock. Bears suggest this extended time period must mean TLD failed and that CEL-SCI is data mining.
This is not based on facts. A Full Data Analysis generally takes a lot of time. Add to the fact that this study has 900+ patients and lasted over 9 years, it makes sense to assume it takes 5-6 months to finish a Full Data Analysis.
In fact, its not uncommon for a Full Data Analysis to take 6 months (120 working days). There have been articles about this timing. For example, this paper discusses the effective authoring of clinical study reports. It notes it takes as much as 120 working days to complete.
Source: Medical Writing Journal
The reason why a Full Data Analysis takes longer is because the analysis looks at multiple parameters to gain the most information on the possible benefits of using Multikine immunotherapy before any other treatment in these patients. Biomarkers, for example, may point to future patients that will be cured when treated with Multikine.
Just look at this summary for the Bristol-Myers Squib study for CheckMate 743 Trial. This summary shows there is much more involved than just Top Line Data. Why, because this is what the FDA needs to approve a new biologic.
Superficial analysis will not work for the FDA.
This is from my article https://seekingalpha.com/article/4418652-cel-sci-stock-multikine-to-change-standard-of-care?v=1618335737&comments=show#comment-88590017
@gd
Huh?
You said “I can only come up "weak" OS data for another multi-month review of the full data by Geert and CVM.”
Zero logic. None. It takes as much as 6 months to do a full data analysis. We have shown facts for that stat.
Consider a 9 + ur study with 900+ patients and ya. I can see this at 6+ months, easy. But I wouldn’t bet May 21 or June options on this. While data is coming, it could drag into June.
I No longer will predict. And thus, wouldn’t bet any May or June options
You saying if it goes longer data must be bad??? Please.
I’ve grown tired of your posts and I no longer see any value in them.
I’m putting you on ignore. It’s my feed. I want to see solid DD when I check in, not tin foil nonsense.
Again, its my feed and I want to see reliable posters with facts and a good track record. All you have lacked
Cheers.
@Biobonic
Correct, thus they have the flexibility to schedule the SH Meetings at essentially “any time”.
It Is safe to assume that Geert would NOT have a SH mtg without presenting data prior. That meeting would be a shit show with everyone wondering why it’s taking so long. Torches and pitchforks and Park from Yahoo.
Geert would not be able to say “soon” at that meeting without a tomato being thrown at him.
With all that said... if there was a SH Mtg on July 1 (for example), I would assume we would see data prior to July 1.
Makes sense, right?
This is why I want to see the DEF14A
Cheers
It is of my opinion that there is no chance nwbo would hold their SH mtg prior to data release.
It would be a shit show at the mtg. Pitchforks and torches galore.
As u know, there is some discretion in selecting the date. They could of selected july18.
But they didn’t
They will have data by May 18. Bank on that.
That begs my comment from earlier this week:
Where is our DEF14A? When is OUR SH Mtg?!
NWBO just dropped their DEF14A
May 18
When will ours be filed..?
I want a nugget.
Geert Morning
Head over to Yahoo and read Fosco's latest
What a wonderful post by Fosco with a SEER summary to wake up to. Isnt Fosco grand?
Fosco says we should get data by the "end of May" now. Wonder what changed for him???? LOL
fosco and I have discussed offline that the SEER data base gets its annual update in a few days. Thus, we/he will have another year of SEER data to compare. Fosco, of course, will do his thing and share his analysis in the coming week
Cheers!
@GD
Hey, I think that was a solid move to rollout your April Calls.
Geert luck on the May's
Cheers!
TO THE MODS
Perhaps you can make this a Sticky?
This article discusses the current state of CVM
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4418652-cel-sci-stock-multikine-to-change-standard-of-care
DEF14A
Something crossed my mind last night...
Why hasnt CVM filed their annual DEF14A?
Look out for it soon as I suspect there will be a nugget associated with it
Cheers!
“The analyst “
I wonder why robot is so triggered by me.
He knows I called out his bs and did t like Remember his $20 predication for last week?
Ah..
Cheers
Geert Morning
$CVM
— Small Time Potatoe (@SmallTimePotato) April 11, 2021
We are real close boys.
Some people will celebrate positive data with champagne or beer. I will be celebrating with this bad boy.
It's a Junmai Daiginjo Sake by Hiro. Of course it will be served chilled, the only way to drink good sake.https://t.co/hwJcHlPGZd
1/2 pic.twitter.com/HN6XIFYxEZ
Solid Job @Meirluc
Will you explain to the peanut gallery what "presentation time is not dependent in any way on the Study Completion Date" means in relation to 4/15?
Thanks
BTW: Gavin is the best. He does humor me a lot and puts up with lots of questions from me.
Cheers!
Trickle/ BioGod
Give us YOUR Thoughts
Yup
Cheers!
MPJ
100% correct.
Nothing nefarious but morons will be morons.
Setting expectations as it WILL be a shit show on 4/16
I have NEVER bought options for CVM, only sold covered calls (which i stopped doing as of Feb OpEx)...but I will look at buying Calls in CVM for the first time on 4/16
Mark my word, it will be ugly
Cheers!
The More and More I think About It
That date of 4/15 is brilliant. So smart of GK
A wonderful chess move by GK...
Watch and learn Shorts
GK played you
Cheers!
@drkaz
Agree, but this notion that 4/15 means something...
I just dont understand why people dont get it
Mind blowing at times
Cheers!
Observation
Interesting that the ALL the "smart posters" on ALL the boards say no data by 4/16
Why is it that the clueless dont get it?
Cheers!
No chance
Cheers
Re last post
My 12/31/20 number was incorrect. I essentially grabbed the begging of the qtr amount not the end of the qtr of 39.8m
Regardless, warrrants were converted in 2021. Just not as much as I thought
Boy , I hate making mistakes. Rookie mistakes..
I’ll do better next time. I smoked some of gods nature and starting posting...not a good thing. I did start too early today!
Cheers
***Big money via warrants came in last Q***
The amount of OS shares changed to 40.5M, an increase of 1.8M shares in the last 3 months.
This only can come from warrants that were exercised now being registered. There was no offering last Q to effect this number
Im guessing, based on my spreadsheet, almost $18M in cash has come in via warrants last Q
CVM now has a bunch of cash for the near term
Cheers!
Wake Me Up After 4/18
Then, and only then, will I start getting excited.
Till then, its the same old, same old.
I continue to trade other tickers...
All just my "OPINION" based on nuggets and DD
Cheers!
Morning!
How many of you will freak out IF and WHEN we don't get data by 4/15?
You do know that the 4/15 date on the CT site isn't a deadline.
You do know how the CT site works.
You do know that we are unlikely to get data by 4/15.
But DO NOT DESPAIR! Data is coming.
It's coming "very soon"
Are you ready? I am
Happy Easter to my goyum friends!
@gd
Odds are against data by 4/16
Cheers!
LISTEN UP SOFT ONES!
Where are all the complaining babies today about Geerts tweets?!
Listen up babies...GEERT'S instincts have got us on the cusp of geertness!
30 years of his instincts. He has done the impossible! He has endured more than we will ever know. He has sacrificed more than we will ever know. He has made many tough decisions. He knows whats best for CVM, not you morons!
You were all so happy with his tweets in late Jan! Now, you wish he would be quiet. STFU All of you! Yes YOU know who I am talking about!
We are about to have a life changing moment in a "few weeks". If you want to sell now, do it. We dont care
Stop your complaining and understand this: If and when MK data is positive, this will rock the Biotech world. Trust in Geert. Trust that his TEAM's sacrifices will prove fruitful. Trust his instincts.
I believe and i trust Geert implicitly
Cheers!
@Poverty
CYDY will disappoint many
I dont see any path towards success. But who knows!
I was a bystander, i had and have no position.
CHeers!
TODAYS FORM 4s
Nothing to see here
They happen every quarter.
Cheers!
Geert just tweeted
Enjoy your vacations
HA!
Data must not be coming this week
@Think
Dont worry about what I do. Mute me if you dont like my posts. IDC
As i said, my original DD pointed to March until i found some new DD. This was the nugget i found in early March. I discussed it with Fosco and Dr Sessions. I now agree with them
I was wrong and the new nugget pointed me to a better date.
Mute me.
Very simple
Cheers!