Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
I actually agree with you on all this.
I do think the upside potential is tremendous. I also think the stock should trade between 1 and 5 cents right now, and higher as more growth and revenue is proven.
I was just making my calculations to show that, if you JUST take the most basic, most believable evidence-based revenues, and don't believe much in the patent, or new products, or that big box stores or international agreements will happen, and take a very pessimistic view on future revenues, you should STILL see the stock price at least triple.
I think there are people who just don't believe today's PR, AND don't believe the share structure, despite evidence supporting the truth of these things. They interpret Nick's missed timelines as intentional lies instead of a new and overly-eager-to-please CEO, so they assume that other info given besides just timelines will not come true.
That's the only way the PPS could be so low.
Well, you could just do the math. $700k / 700m shares = .001 /sh
So, I used the reported outstanding # of shares.
If you believe that the O/S will eventually go up to the # of authorized shares, then cut all my per-share numbers in half.
That's up to each individual to figure out what denominator is the most realistic one to use in these calculations.
In my opinion, to get a per share valuation which is where the PPS is today, you have to take an overly pessimistic view of BOTH the numerator (revenues & growth) and the denominator (# of shares).
So does this mean that online sales are now $400 or $4000 or $40,000? Cute approach to put the 400% right up against the last Q revenues of $160,663 to suggest (but not "promise") that readers should believe that online revenues are 4 x $160k.
And has the Q ended? Why put this out there now?.
Dividend was never promised. It was strongly considered, that's all.
If you read my past posts, you'll know that I do not believe there have been $13 million worth of MDIN products delivered, and I do not believe that the company has said so, either.
They said they have been paid for what has been shipped, but they haven't said how much of the $13 million distribution deals has been shipped.
10,000 likes on FACEBOOK and not 1 ask slap. BRAV's advertising campaign, hmmmmm, same result.
There are plenty of stocks that have gone up and down like MDIN, especially in the uncertainty of the penny realm, only to finally turn upward big time as the business grows and expands. You can find them all over. So, a drop like MDIN's, especially in panny land, is hardly evidence that it's done.
Analyze the volume, and you'll see that it's just missing an upward catalyst at this point.
Yes, a small amount of sales can make a big difference in those ranks. I just don't think that tens of dollars can move you from 121k to 33k. It's got to be on the order of hundreds of dollars, if not thousands, to move that far.
This is a HUUUUGE category we're talking about. I can't even get the number on how big the category is.
At least with Snorenz, they're in a sub-category, and are holding their own against known very popular products, like well-known melatonin products and other sleep aids.
I'm hoping they put StemIntense into some proper subcategory so we can see it get into the top 100 sales of the subcategory, and then see what kind of products are around it.
A company with real products with proven sales and a lot of loyal customers shouldn't even exist?
All your "evidence" against the company being legit can has also been there in legit companies, so it's not so obvious. They can be signs of scams, or signs of inexperienced CEOs. The failed claims have to do with timelines more than anything. That's an inexperienced CEO with no PR people helping him. I've seen the same in another company I'm invested in, and that's a proven legit company, which has since learned to wait longer before talking about future plans and hopes.
The deferred revenues could very well be real, or not. You have no way to prove that they aren't, just like I have no way to prove that they are. Time will tell.
My point is that there's proven revenue through Amazon, and the non-deferred ravenue, while only a tiny fraction of the claimed deferred revenue, is enough to justify a higher stock price all on its own.
Real company. Real, selling products. Real patent rights. Poor execution on PRs and accounting. You might spin the PRs and accounting into a scam, but you can't explain away the real products with enthusiastic customers, and the signs of slow, but steady progress: products on Amazon, then one fulfilled by Amazon, and selling out regularly, then another fulfilled by Amazon. Also improvements in presentation. Bringing out of new products. Excellent customer service. All of these negate the ability to interpret those other things as signs of a scam.
Yeah we get that the ranking goes up when a shareholder buys a bottle.
Hope this helps.
It's crashing, as it should.
Every company is an insider enrichment scheme. It's just that most do it by building a legit business to enrich their insiders (and their investors), while others scam their investors to just enrich their insiders.
You seem to think MDIN is the latter case, but I've seen little convincing evidence of that, and plenty of evidence that they're working to build a legit business.
If you feel so sure that this is such a bad company, then you must have some convincing evidence as to why, but so far I haven't heard it.
I just noticed that tonight, as well, and was going to post if you hadn't.
Great to see StemIntense also fulfilled by Amazon.
If this means that Amazon starts promoting it, and it's as good a product as I hear, it could really get some word of mouth business going for it.
Now for the reality check.
After I posted about that surge in the data through Aug 18, a pullback in Alexa numbers occurred, which was not too surprising, considering the size of the surge.
But then the pullback kept going for more than 3 weeks, and now Alexa numbers have crept back down almost to Q2 numbers. Only WOL's reach is still significantly better than Q2.
Given that an upturn typically begins the last week of September, after a stable mid-September, I expect Q3 revenue to be a little better than Q2, but nothing like what the early August surge had me thinking. Right now 750k to 780k (AFTER RETURNS) is more likely.
That would still represent about a 17% increase from Q3 of the previous year.
The big box stores don't come close to BRAV in selection and variety, and BRAV's quality is better than the cheap discount stuff made overseas.
If you want to understand the appeal of a business, ask its customers. It's not always obvious to non-customers.
But there is no dilution, and no signs of dilution, and it's highly unlikely that there will be any dilution anytime soon, despite what some have been speculating. It's all just speculation without evidence to back it up.
So, it's not even worth the time to discuss it.
Yeah, they were right to call it sloppy and messy.
What was up with the Jets not even sending anyone back to receive punts?
The Jets have a rookie QB who got pressured into some interceptions, and the Patriots only have 3 reliable receivers right now, and 2 are injured (Amendola and Gronkowski). With lots of new players to lean on, and the short week to prep, I expected disasterous offense.
The Pats will have 3 extra days to drill the new guys and get healthy, so I expect better on the 22nd, but things won't really click until Gronk is back.
I shoulda been a betting man!
The weirdest thing in that entire video for me (and there was a lot of weird) was that WHDH was Channel 5. I've always known it as Channel 7 (and 5 is WCVB). That must have changed just a few years after that video.
Pats are really banged up. It's tough to predict how they'll do with so many new guys.
If I were a betting man, I'd take the under for tonight, as I think the offense won't be clicking quite yet, but of course, as a Boston area guy, I hope I'm wrong and the strength of Brady and the offensive line carries them to lots of points.
Indeed. All of $11 worth of shares went at .0011 today.
Over 99% of the volume was at .0012 and .0013.
It is almost down 90% from its highest point, but not quite, so saying 90% is an exaggeration.
And choosing the highest point as a base is a bit excessive.
You could also say it's up over 1000% from a year ago.
Right now it is at #27. Don't know what the all time rank is.
This time, when Amazon got low on stock, and we could see the rate of sales of Snorenz, the rate was much lower. The number left in stock went down by only 5 per day, instead of 10 to 20 as before.
However, just before they ran completely out, a new shipment arrived. Now it shows as in stock for "fulfilled by Amazon".
Additionally, during the end of the slow sale of the last of the stock, their ranking dropped from 30th to 47th. Now, back in stock, it has surged back up to 33rd, very close to its all time high rank.
Those folks are buying BRAV leggings, not BRAV stock.
Either way, it'll eventually help the PPS.
Anyone notice how the image of the Snorenz bottle on Amazon has finally been adjusted to remove that ugly background, and replace it with white, like all the other products?
It no longer looks crude. It looks more competitive this way. Nice.
Yes, it's Snorenz, and the rest of what you said is old discussion that I don't care to rehash.
It can't achieve 30th in the rankings, competing against dozens of melatonin and similar products, out of over 2200 sleep aids products, without selling a lot.
I think the rankings are based on close to a week of sales, because their ranking has reached a peak just over a week after the last shipment, and is still rising while sales are slowing due to being close to out of stock.
their last shipment reached Amazon Sept 1st, so 9 days later they were almost sold out.
Sounds like 50 to 100 per day.
Only weird thing is that they're rising high in the rankings (30th among "Medicinal Sleep Aids" on amazon; the highest I've yet seen), while the # left in stock goes down very slowly.
there is no lactose product yet so it could not be 100 times better than anything else out there
Did you know that song was about a professional tennis team?
Thank you!
And now for something completely different...
Anyone notice something interesting going on with Facebook likes for OnlyLeggings?
First, there was the July 31st catalyst which surged OL's FB likes from 3 per day to over 600 per day. (I still believe this was due to an often-shared post about "little girls with dreams become women with vision".)
Then, as you would expect, the surge slowed after a couple of weeks, in a nice bell curve. New likes dropped to about 290 per day. Rate of new likes should keep dropping slowly from there, right?
The cool thing is, without any new catalyst, and NO NEW POSTS since August 29, the rate of new likes INCREASED in the first week of September, to about 300 per day. This means it's starting to grow its growth rate purely on NETWORK EFFECTS: Friends seeing friends liking OL, and checking it out.
We could easily see a new mega-surge in FB likes with the least little catalyst.
Whats the difference between weighted and non weighted?
Thanks for the tip on the ihub historical prices. I'd always gotten complaints about needing to clear the cookies on my browser when I tried to use ihub tools, and never bothered to fix that, so I didn't know what their tools could do.
Anyway, with the data downloaded to spreadsheet, it was easy. I took the average of open, high, low, close for each day, multiplied by volume to get an estimate of dollar volume for each day, then divided 90 day dollar volume by 90 day volume to get a weighted average 90 day price of:
.0124
(barely needing roundoff, too, as it was .012399665)
By the way, the STRAIGHT (non-weighted) average of closes is .0114.
The straight average of open, high, low, close for the 90 days is .0113.
Do you know of a source which lists sub-penny historical prices that far back?
That's the only way I can get an average PPS.
Low PPS and high PPS are easy: .0075 and .0275.
Volume, I could semi-automate via download from Yahoo and some scripts I already have.
217,495,126 shares total.
Just over 2.4 million shares per trading day.
Drugstore.com is owned by Walgreen's. Has been for a couple years now.
Read back.
Drugstore.com had product, but not Walgreens.com.
Only if it's better than anything already on the market. The lactose intolerance market is over crowded with supplements, and sudo-milk products already.
what was the profit this Q??
Well, now you're talking technical analysis, which is a whole other beast, and a lot of people have studied the patterns in the things you mention (amount traded in channels, etc.) more than I have.
All that is fine for short-term trading, which I also do, but I'm with BRAV for the long-term, and will only play with about 10% of my BRAV holdings in terms of trying to time the ups and downs.
So, for BRAV, I'll stick to just trying to predict the revenues.
But, if you have a specific question which just requires crunching some numbers, I can do that for you. I love crunching numbers.
I'm expecting at least 1.3m for q4 which will be unheard of growth. And 800k for q3 which will be HUUUUUGE
You keep talking about the dividend as if he promised it. He did NOT promise any dividend.
Must we keep going over this?
Go back and check. The only mention of it was that they might consider it, at some future point, under the right circumstances (or something to that effect). Definitely never said it would happen.