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Sales Growth potential continues to increase along with gross margin near 45% and near $12myn cash on balance sheet. Holy WOW!
Short Squeeze Alert? Given the number of shares short is over 10X what it was in May, and the stock price is lower by nearly 30%. Would you consider issuing a short squeeze alert?
Nobody is complaining. How'd you miss that? I am surprised you are still around.
Increased shorts is likely a sign of an "enticed selling" failure. This stock has been a target for these tactics for years. But the company has survived. Maturation is in the sights and soon shake these adolescent problems. Sales growth numbers are on the way soon, along with updates on new happenings. Market Cap should get larger and shake these parasites.
There appears to be some serious pressure building. I could vision $100myn revenue in 2016. The multiple here does not seem right.
There may have already been Short Covering beginning 9/22 each initiative aborted after the price movement. Still a lot to cover with reports and announcements looming.
Same Ole Scare market gets every Sep/Oct. Market gets what it needs to fuel the next move. What work is Celh doing in China btw? Ive seen Sweden, and extended USA mostly. Some work in Brazil, Middle East, and Europe. We will soon see...
You may have given us enough! We will see.
Enlighten us. We would all like to know what you claim to know!
Spend less time explaining to yourself. This company is a micro cap and it's a much simpler endeavor.
Statements by Fed on raising rates shouldn't be a factor. Celsius is popping up in new Market places across the US and adding engaged Sales People. They also continue to attend events and promote the product at social/Fitness functions. MicroCap valuation is prime considering their positioning in the evolving market place. Part of owning a Micro Cap is understanding minimal liquidity at times.
Not Really, look at some of your past posts.
Mine is $25 to $28 Million in 2015. With >$50 Million in 2016. Based on the number of markets/and new distribution added and maturing. People are attracted to the positive message of this company. Even though this board doesn't translate that message.
$20-$23 Million seems light. Given that Q3 is the first report that will have the beginning impact of the new ownership and cash infusion. Is your number based on history alone or have you been watching trucks at distribution centers? I could see a similar effect as a Breck Shampoo commercial happening. Why not a $6.5 and $9 million 3rd and 4th quarter?
Volume is more important in the case of this stock. Since there is a large amount of short, small float, and running out of time before the next report. The last report, in your opinion disappointing, sent this stock shooting up to $2.80. What would happen when a much improved quarter is reported?
Is $18.5 million still your Sales Projection this year? Or is it $20M to $23M or something else? You have a few numbers out there as I mull through your posts.
Where does this say they were part of a money laundering scheme?
That is one way of looking at it. Last 3 quarters look flat, but if you compare them to the prior year quarters the growth has very much improved. The biggest point to the last 3 quarters is the positive cash flow and the ability to increase margins and have positive earnings. (If the prepaid expenses aren't incurred) Last quarter was introduction of the new Partners and plan drafting. This quarter will be the utilization of cash and investing more capital in select market opportunities, and as cash continues to generate more of the same going forward. This company doesn't seem to wave a cash wand over large Markets (ie Brazil and China) and expect growth. They have been successful building their way into a market and letting the product resonate.
Interesting! Actually makes more sense than comparing them to an established beverage company. They have a differentiated product addressing a growing request for healthy/organic/energy. They probably will grow faster than NFLX.
1. This is a stretch to say that CELH is going down when many other US companies selling in Brazil are doing fine in the stock market.
2. Brazil Revenues will only be a bonus since CELH has never seen significant revenue from them as of yet.
3. There is evidence that countries not necessarily on radar have been purchasing Celsius.
Carl's friends likely do not need money, and certainly didn't get out of a prime workhorse with strong legs. 9 million shares haven't traded since this was $.45...
I've been in it for the long run, I won't be happy with less than $10 before I exit my positions, even if it takes a little more time. I believe long haul this company is not GOOD, it is GREAT! You don't get that understanding from numbers only...
We have just a few questions about your latest stance on this stock.
Are you selling all you can at $2.00?
Is your Revenue projection still $18.5/yr million?
Do you still drink Celsius?
This should not be deleted as these are valid questions.
If anyone else has a question feel free to ask here.
Why did you tell folks you were invited to a special conference call with Gerry and John?
Response to questions about AP Conference call:
Hope all is well and sorry for the delayed response.
To answer your question, we did have a brief call with Chris on the 13th as he was requesting a copy of the conference call audio file which he was not able to download off the site. The initial call was to understand his problem and assist in gaining the file. During the call he asked some questions about Russell in regard to his recent interviews and also indicated he divested his positon in the company but indicated he is still a big supporter of Celsius and was drinking one. He did mention his valuation method thought process briefly.
We appreciate your continued support and are working hard to continue to growth the Celsius brand.
Kindest Regards,
John
I saw this Gem!
I actually think it is a great report for the long-term that continue to trickle in. Any News considered bad is behind us. This company has a lot of irons in the fire and has a lot of cash to fan the flame. When is the next short squeeze alert?
"Professional" Selling?
Help everyone understand why we are not seeing the "Professional" Selling at such high P/E ratios.
The insight would be very helpful.
"Professionals" with Tunnel Vision, are likely to get analysis paralysis by focusing on too much history. The last two quarters of the pre-russell company were positive income with increasing Revenue. Keeping in mind this was in only four US markets and an adolescent Sweden.
With the New investors and The added capital, Many New markets in US have opened, Sweden is maturing, Brazil is seeing footing. And the New management is focusing on Merchandising the product as to turn inventory faster.
I have noticed on the shelf that inventory production dates are increasingly recent.
Not to mention social media is blowing up.
Current customers would freak if this product were off the shelves.
It's addictive, helps people, smartly run company, and small group of public have an ability to partner. Doesn't have to be liquid all of the time to be enticing.
Less than 18% of this company owned by the Public.
An unordinary amount of the ownership of CELH is owned by inside Management team that is part of the day to day functions of the organization.
All of the inside owners have a proven track record in business.
And comparing current market price to what they acquired makes no sense as their purchase is related to the value they add to the organization.
Short Squeeze?
http://shortsqueeze.com/?symbol=celh&submit=Short+Quote%99
No one in the industry is a micro cap with huge domestic and International growth potential.
You do not know the value of this stock...
It's obvious with the radical swings that the small volume has created some volatility. Traders have sold short 177,000 borrowed shares and barely pushed this stock below $2.50. At some point that will come due. With earnings news and forward statements due in short time it is likely a great time to buy and hold.
Growth stocks are trading at a premium many multiples of Revenue.
Impact on New Company has not been seen by anyone.
A couple of points against your theory. There was very little volume and time period at the $3.55.
This stock will be above $3.55 again. Sometimes the smartest trade is to not trade in and out, to avoid tax ramifications and missed opportunity.
You may have missed the train by trying to buy at the best possible technical price. Not many folks that own this stock will panic as long as some progress is made. Most have had some sort of position since 2011 and continue to add.
No one Selling at $95Mil. Where are the large volume sellers? At least we know there are buyers. That's pretty good news.
Correct your facts...
The Vitamin Water was only a $350 million Revenue and Sold for $4.1bil. I wouldn't value CELH at $4.1 bil. However, KO would likely pay closer to $500 mil today for CELH. Pretty good ticket to hold. Most owners likely looking for capital gains play on this investment anyhow. May be proved by the low volume traded.
Truth is My bet is on PEP if one decides to eventually purchase.
Valuation proposition...
Company is really worth what KO or PEP would pay. Their Value of the company is based on what sales could be with their distribution. In the day Coca Cola paid approx. 10X Revenue for Vitamin Water. And at the time were not as desperate for new products. If they failed with Enviga, why not purchase with a proven product that has an extremely sexy following.(check out Instagram #Celsius) However there is also PEP who continues to blaze a trail into new products. CEO of PEP, Indra Nooyi, has stated numerous times that they have begun to make acquisitions sooner in the life of product companies as to get more value long-term. Interesting she is Indian born too.
We have yet to see the impact of the new partnership and the connections that they bring. (Carl seems to feel they bring a lot) However you believe, this makes a helluva open ended lottery ticket to have in a portfolio.
Stretch to compare China and the Crash of 29.
Dead cat bounces normally have some volume of support. Someone sells down and low volume buying has shut down the selloff. I don't see many more trying this. Where is the selling?
We could see reports for CELH as soon as the 20th. No volume good sign until reporting.
China and Brazil now is the time...
Doesn't it make sense to put some strong dollar play in these countries? Brazil is gearing up for the Olympics and many Americans heading that way to assist with infrastructure. And China stock market is govt manipulated and actually helps their economy.
China and Brazil are likely a 2016 play anyway. However it is a good time to contract toll manufacturing for the upcoming marketing push.
I agree with Penny. Best point made is that unlike poker, chip stack is not lost, but chip stack could 1/2 as easy as 4X's. Pretty good risk/reward. Prior two quarters were under the same circumstances with the same Markets, Balance Sheet and Cash flow situation. The Revenue should've been identical if product has staying power. Qtr 2 has a large amount of additional cash for inventory build. It should be an encouraging sign of the lack of promo's and discounts that are out there over the first quater. Only a few specific outlets. Telling that price point is moving the product the management team had in mind.
Cash Utilization will dictate growth. Looking at growth from last two quarters as forward projections is not a reasonable measure. The last two quarters was about sustainable revenue and profit while managing cash and expenditures.
The new cash infusion (Received in the Partnership) will be the major catalyst. And now the question is where do we use the cash to turn product in to revenue the quickest:
1.)Sweden has probably taken the top spot. It is likely the most Established.
2.)US markets. Quite Intriguing. Uncle Rush has created brand new interest from a brand new market segment. How will this translate to Revenue is the question. Amazon will likely be allocated a certain amount of this increase, as new markets exposed to this in the media. I also see natural growth occurring just from the product resonance and exposure in the social setting.
3.)Brazil Market. Still in pre adolescence. We are seeing some signs of sparks happening here. Has the potential to be the next "Sweden" However it will grow as it begins to show it can overtake some of the higher cash turnover segments that celh can better utilize.
4.)China Market. In infancy stage. This is likely not to have an impact for some time. But when ready will likely be a major launch when the time comes.
Investors are currently looking for places to put Capital. Growth Potential companies are trading at an all time Premium. With the potential in this stock, I am quite sure using the traditional PPS calculations that you propose is not the proper measure. The company's recent proven track record, along with potential for growth has them trading relatively cheap.
I believe the team of Carl Desantis, Kevin Harrington, Gerry David, Russell Simmons, Li Ka Shing etc. are smart enough to utilize capital in the short term, through the future to make this a near term Winner and a Long-term Champion.