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"No deal prior to voting means no vote from me."
One thing for sure IMHO, they will probably time EU Submission right before voting...
That could change a lot of folks mentality as stocks could rise a little and people would be back on the fake Kool Aid....
Thanks
Questions no one has asked Noelle Yet (and that placed me in her ignore list):
CMO hiring status or update
CEO hiring status or update
Is Management aware of shareholder value loss from $30 to $2?
does Management have a plan to deliver shareholder value?
Thanks for the post TC, when did you send this email?
I still got no response on emails from like 2 weeks ago and one month ago....
ADXS incompetent Management still can't hire a CMO after 2+ years....
What makes you think they can hire a CEO in less than one year?
Good post chapermun....
The only question is:
WTF has Tony done from July 2017 to today? Besides reading slides word for word....
I sure hope that ADXS Management wasn't sound asleep for over half a year?
Anybody still on ADXS Management Kool Aid? See Hornet's post and wake up to reality
Annual Meeting on March 21, 2018.....
Why move it earlier from June?
Theory 1:
ADXS Management will have freshly accomplished Q1 2018 milestones making them look like fresh heroes
Theory 2:
THEY REALLY GOT NO F*in PLAN OR DEALS and 30 million dilution coming soon after March cuz running out of cash on hand
Last time the short cartel went really hard on ADXS after hours on the day of AT-014 approval....
I am curious to observe today's afterhour action (which is much cheaper to control and scare away traders into selling first thing next morning and never looking back at ADXS....)
1.5 million volume and price rise is struggling.... HFT at play
ADXS 50-day moving average is $3.03 and 200-day moving average is $5.48
If we can stay above $3.03 for like a week, I will be happy...
If ADXS can break $5.48.... then we fly long term
It may have been stated yesterday, but ADXS LM working positively in combos is a strong catalyst in itself....
So many combos to work with, including SELLAS, ADXS-PSA (Merk), ADXS-DUAL (Bistol Myers) etc..
ADXS $3.28 premarket (up by 0.25) with 47,327 volume
DOC's still holding 618,352 ADXS shares
"Adage sold 20% of their shares most likely used to cover a short position.."
IMO, when short interest falls below 7 million, that would be the indication that big short guy started covering...
I am a skeptical of Adage the way they sold ADXS recently.... their sale triggered every time ADXS broke crossed from $3s to $4s
And once ADXS settled below $4, so did Adage's selling spree
Just bought some more ADXS... it's amazing how a buying a little bit of stock can move my average buying price....
HPV Stats:
12,360 Diagnosed Annually in US
5 year survival rate:
Early Diagnosis 91%
Advance Stage 16%
Recurrence Rate 50%
So PFS is a more conservative measure than DFS?
Question: what is the difference between PFS (Progression Free Survival) and DFS (Disease Free Survival)?
Should the ADXS an*l cancer be using the DFS term?
"Sorry, I do not see how this "new" makes one difference on anything. Seems like fluff to me. And before anyone scream, I am long the stock, I just dont think this is very useful news. Would be great to be wrong but from my view from the cheap seats it doesnt signify anything of importance."
To an average investor, this may not make much difference....
To an ADXS medium to long term investor, who could be underwater over 50%+ in his / her investment... this is proof that ADXS current price is just noise and it will get to fair value some day
"Safety profile of AXAL seems better / less toxic as well. That should be a factor if DFS rates are similar."
Excellent post. This applies to all of the ADXS pipeline
"Well, no one seems to be in a hurry to buy before the market opens this morning..."
The only thing that makes me hold onto ADXS is science...
I bought more on AT-014 conditional approval....
And I will be buying more today ;) just got the paycheck
"Bodes real well for our phase 3 study"
Agreed, ADXS Phase 3 is designed to prevent recurrence.
In addition, ADXS-DUAL is also interesting as it will be designed for treatment
"So the comparison may be 70% DFS at 5 years (60 months) Vs 88% (8/9) at 42 months. Bigger issue than no direct control group comparison is small sample size. If 1 person does not make it to 60 months it is 78%"
Good observation, I was thinking the same.
I also think that it's already been 3.5 years of Disease Free Survival, so as more time has passed, recurrence is mostly out of question
Isn't that the old trail info?
"Outstanding shares = 40MM.
M = 1,000"
I thought it was
M = million = 1,000,000
K = thousand = 1000
"Notice latest Morningstar shows BOTH Virtu Financial (130M shares new position) AND Susquehanna Financial Group (added 106M shares to the 114M they previously held) with established or added-to positions as of 9/30/17. "
The number of shares you mention seem incorrect, as ADXS total outstanding stocks are approximately 40M
"why no answer?"
If I re-try to answer this question, Keithz will have a heart attack...
Better off following the discussion chain already discussed
lol thanks, complement it is indeed.
On a positive note:
There is is a Wall Street Journal article out today that mentions that 89% of biotech deals had $1 billion or more premium to the share price....
So if there ever happens to be a buyout, there is 89% possibility of a $20+ buyout price
"They stated their plan....."
Please do enlighten me, what is their plan?
Is it to fire a CEO without a good replacement?
Or is it to keep the CMO position vacant for several years?
Or is it to postpone every single milestone of 2H 2017?
Or is it to start 2018 by rewarding 2 million additional shares to themselves at time when they are not delivering?
"Not sure if we could blame her for the ills. As you said, if there is nothing to report, imagine how awkward it is for her to answer questions from investors on a weekly basis."
Agreed, not blaming Noelle as she doesn't run ADXS.
But can she not point out the shareholder voice to ADXS Management? Can she not say "there is a plan if there is one? Can she not say if ADXS cares about shareholder value?
"I expect we are finalizing a partnership before the filing."
Again, Hope tells us that this is a very likely possibility, but history tells us DON'T COUNT ON THE INCOMPETENT MANAGEMENT!!!!
"Lombardo already said as much on the cc."
Lombardo also said that EU application was ready to be filed in December but EU Applications closed for holidays....
So where is that EU application ready to be filed?
"Until a deal is announced, what is she able to say?"
Can she not say that ADXS Management is aware of the current situation and that there is a plan? Something to that nature?
I would take the complete silence as there is no plan by the incompetent management....
"I asked about the next two EU submission dates with no reply. state secret"
Not a secret, probably no reply cuz she got no answer just like she got no answer for my Shareholder Value question
"Maybe she thinks you are annoying....."
You're right, Truth can be annoying
Whomever talked good about ADXS IR.... ask Noelle about shareholder value and get blacklisted...
Sent a second email in two weeks, no reply whatsoever...
"Why assume ?"
IMO, there is over-assumption of a sale at play.... too many people on Kool Aid....
We need to start hammering ADXS IR collectively....
Ask very question with the keyword "Shareholder Value" and observe how you are responded with generic response:
Noelle Heber | Corporate Communications | Sr. Director | ADVAXIS INC. | Direct: (609) 250-7575 | Mobile: (609) 751-8104 | heber@advaxis.com
"Well, they certainly would want their online investor center up and running BEFORE the report material news..."
OR they were probably thinking, let's put a lipstick on the pig since we got nothing else to show?
Either one is a possibility, history tells us the latter is more possible, and hope tells us the former is more possible