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I have appreciated your posts too. Your comment about Adlife is interesting, in that Adlife got into the business of creating ads for companies, and doing the work for them. Blue Calypso has never seemed, in contrast, as if they were trying to even replace the advertising staff of a company. From what I've understood, they just seemed to want to help companies be more effective in their advertising, and be more prudent in the way they spent their advertising dollars... It's a fairly modest scope, one that may be hard to ever bring in tons of revenue a la Yelp, but they seem to be countering that "modest scope" with a patent portfolio that is much less modest.
None of your comments explain away (or have even tried to explain) the investments from Box or Chez, nor the upgrade to Buy from Merriman (with a 60 cents price target), nor the overall bullish behavior of the company (from the hires to the various business upgrades to the expansion of the overall Blue Calypso product).
Why is BCYP comfortable spending a lot of money right now if money is not coming in, or expected to come in? Why are their new investors comfortable? Do you think they duped their new investors? Do you now have total disrespect for mgmt now, or their potential?
We have a company with a 30 million market cap here, not a 20 billion market cap. If you think (as you once surmised) that they might bring in 5 million revenue in a few years, then what makes this 19 cent stock so drastically overvalued right now? And why are you so focused on it if you're not invested in it, and if you think it has no potential?
Anyone wonder if Sprott is the ISO trader? As tempted as I am to buy San Gold at its current lows too, I think I'm done investing in any miner that Sprott "invests" in.
VISTA stock, ever since its loan extension, ranks as the worst stock I've ever held. More than a bit disappointing that no insider buys are made at this ridiculous time either.
https://twitter.com/adtech
A mention of DASHTAGG in the last hr.
Some new pics accessible from the DASHTAGG twitter too... Definitely wOrth a look if you like red shirts, etc.
https://twitter.com/dashtagg
Has a pic or two from Ad:Tech.
A 16,900 buy near closing, and a release re: the EIA from VISTA suggests a good day tomorrow. The one ISO trader persists (I've started to wonder if it's Sprott, as they seem to put money into stocks that go straight down afterwards), but may go any day. We'll see.
thanks for the update re: the pacer stuff.
MountainMom, it appears there are more people here who simply prefer the stock to be a volatile trading vehicle right now.
Spacen (a new moderator) suggested stock should take a hit down to 17 cents come earnings time (which seems to mean he thinks ad tech should do nothing for it), and Expediter likes to quote the rumor he started about the Living Social settlement as a fact now, and thinks stock should be 13 cents (upon which he'd likely invest again, then take a break from saying anything negative again until stock is over 20 cents).
YAHOO board appears populated with the same. The most vocal bull there (who acted like he lived and breathed BCYP) is apparently just a trader too, as he sold out his position a week ago (without mentioning it), only to recently get back in (based, supposedly, on thoughts a settlement was forthcoming).
Anyway, best of luck.
Fresh Assays:
Gold Standard Ventures (TSX:V.GSV, Stock Forum), one of our TCR 8, has two more core assays from Railroad in Nevada:
See:
www.stockhouse.com/news/press-releases/2013/11/05/gold-standard-ventures-expands-north-bullion-zone-s-lower-breccia-deposit-to-
The takeaway is straightforward: the two fresh assays in Nevada have patterns in the lower breccia zone that are found throughout the deposit. Chief geologist David Mathewson says the potential gold and silver deposit runs about 70 meters east-west and about 70 meters north-south.
A hole in progress looks like it could bring a bumper crop of high-grade mineral to the Railroad project, near Nevada's Carlin Trend and the Rain District.
As part of the so-called North Bullion central zone, the hole in progress is an offset to one that intersected 98.1 meters of 3.26 grams gold per metric ton. GSV shares in Canada and USA are behaving well. We could see some powerful data in the next two weeks.
Read more at http://www.stockhouse.com/opinion/independent-reports/2013/11/05/the-calandra-report-tasman,-colt,-gsv,-cmj,-and-co#yjmPqjGCYuWKIm3f.99
MountainMom, I think ad:tech is being falsely treated as a non-event, as it seems these sorts of events (SXSW, etc) have in the past propelled this stock.
That said, in the past, this stock may have had a different circle of primary investors too.
Sincere apologies for jinxing the stock today. Today's news release, to me, wasn't at all negative, so today's action is just further proof that trading on the gold sector confounds me.
A single 600 share transaction has been traded in the first 30 minutes. Now the Buy price is starting to slow creep up (from .43 to .434) and the ASK remains steady (at .44).
In comparison, almost 270 thousand shares of THM has been traded.
Hopefully ISO trader realizes he has killed the trading of this stock completely, and will take a break.
New SEC filing -- Notice of Exempt Offering of (Equity) Securities.
the only exploratory miner where it seems to pay to go long right now... I know of no other that are holding onto their gains... I personally threw far too much into VISTA (attracted by its bizarrely low price) and it's just getting pushed into a deeper hole... Given the previous volatility of GSV in the summer, and it's current, continued ascent, either the German market is the market that all gold miners should target, or else some truly great things are happening...
No mention of GSV in the last 2 Calandra reports btw, though NuLegacy (another Nevada miner) is getting a plug.
The 100 share trader appears to be still there, but there are some substantial transactions too, and the stock seems to be slowly moving up (a welcome change of pace)... Good luck to all.
With ad:tech show on November 6-7, and with 3rd quarter figures forthcoming, there's plenty of room for upside and for downside (and for nicely/poorly orchestrated pump and dumps).
Stock seems to have potential for more settlements, and more positive (or negative) catalysts before Markman, and its suits seem to inspire thinking that varies from minimal to substantial gains -- but almost everyone seems to expect they have a good case now, and a likelihood to win at least something, if only because 2 companies have already settled their suits.
Anyway, enclosed is a 2012 link of someone hyping their use of Calyp (http://successsince1987.com/calyp-endorsers-payments-review-total-earned-since-april-8-2012-492-10/#.UnZwVXCOQfg). It seems to explain this version of "Calyp" software, and how it worked, a little better than some of the official Blue Calypso explanations.
Thanks for the clarification on the VirnetX patents, and for your thoughts re: patent stocks in general.
Look at the posts of Jack Marshall on the YAHOO PVG thread. He gets respect from most everyone, even while he is openly short there, as he is respectful and he knows his stuff. I've never seen a more convincing poster when it comes to instilling doubt in an investment.
Postyle's patent-related comments re: BCYP were fairly convincing IMO, and saying there's still risk in this stock is something all of us need to hear sometime too. But when you go into hysterics after you dump this stock for a 40 percent-plus profit, then say you're looking for an upside (in the hyperlinked post), as you want to get back in and make a profit too, is just tiresome.
Your recent comment re: NUAN and Icahn may be sincere, but I don't believe it. I also think, if the comments were sincere/true, that you'll simply be taking a gamble on a guess -- a position no better than some bears would say some bulls are doing here. Anyway, am also tired of these posts from myself. Apologies about them, and look forward to an interesting week ahead.
Maybe, but I mentioned all the 100 share trades (via message machine and email) and forwarded a link to the information about ISO trading that was troubling. It is possible that the entity doing this will suddenly reverse his direction, and help move the stock up -- but until the ISO trader goes away, it feels like we have one entity, totally controlling the direction of the stock, and laughing at me/us/VISTA.
ANyway, trading elsewhere in the sector is only slightly better. That offers some minor consolation.
There were a lot of big buys/sells at the end. Hopefully, even if it was just retail investors calling quits, that it will be a good sign for next week.
I did call and write Investor Relations too -- something i never did before -- and asked if they could try to do something to combat the effects of the ISO trader too (if it's at all possible)... Since I got the message machine and left a mostly incoherent message, I doubt anything will come of it, but one can hope...
Enjoy the weekend, all.
Not sure if anyone disagreed with you about the company. They are phenomenally undervalued, they have the MT Todd permit catalyst, and at one point they used to be a heavily traded exploratory miner that went up considerably when gold went up.
But the presence of the ISO trader has no positives attached to it.
With apologies for repeating this in another post, the Minyanville site says ISOs are used by market makers for bid/ask spread arbitrage, precision order placement, and directing trades to exchanges where they're reimbursed for limit orders. ISO trades can also be used for more nefarious predatory trading tactics such as combining ISO with short selling to suck liquidity out of an illiquid/troubled market or security, or fine-tuning an attack on a known weak hand or anticipated liquidation.
And doesn't it seem to you like there are some "predatory trading tactics" now taking place with this stock? This stuff is done to wreak utter havoc on a stock, and there's not much a small retail investor can do about it...
The one ISO trader with all these 100 share transactions has straight-up killed it. He/she/it controls the Buy and ASK, and the ASK almost always goes lower whenever there are gains to ensure the stock never "pops". Literally my worst trading experience ever.
To me, it's nothing to do with VISTA anymore. Though almost all gold sector trading is BS now.
I agree that yesterday was an overreaction, but don't understand the efforts to try to put a precise fair market value on a speculative stock whose primary catalysts could bring it anywhere from nothing to a few hundred million.
Based on past financials, the market cap which comes with a 19 cent share price could be considered high. Based on future potential, and current unknowns (and the fact that the mediocre MEETME has an 83 million market cap in this stock market) it could be considered quite low.
If you're trying to find fair value based on the last 200 days of trading, you're simply averaging a lot of (bullish and bearish) overreactions in each direction, and assuming they add up to something sensible.
I listened to an archived copy of the webcast conference, and so it seems there are 2 offers for Guadalupe. Just no idea whether either offer does more to help VISTA long-term or not.
Also, the mining company that was interested in the Colomac mining equipment opted for brand new items, so they remain up for sale.
As for Los COrdones, the sale was done as a means to prevent a need for diluting shareholders. Since this is one of few junior miners that has no dilution in their 2014 plans, that possibly could make them more attractive to new investors at some point too.
How was the conference call? Was anything mentioned regarding trading activity, etc ? Any updates of interest that occurred after Sept 30?
When VGZ collapsed under 50 cents, I thought it was so ridiculously undervalued that I moved money over from MIDAS, PILOT, BELO SUN, and Red Eagle. All of those since rose dramatically (which crushed me), only to fall back for the most part -- and that's my consolation now too.
The whole sector seems to be BS and games; if we're on the right side of the hedge funds and market makers, we make money. Otherwise we don't. I far enjoy the research side of these investments than on watching how they perform on a daily basis. As for this one, I now hate it most because the majority of the trades are 50 dollar trades. It's a rich entity playing some games, and every other VGZ investor is at their mercy until they move on. That's why it's hard to remain bullish, and easier to just be frustrated...
this is the post 1619 referred to in last message. Calyp is the old version of a Blue Calypso product. Didn't mind the post at all -- it was interesting -- but one could say it was also misleading... It misled me initially, at any rate.
Expediter, in your recent post 1619 or some-such, you also promoted Calyp, the 2011 product, hyping that BCYP was moving fast. And back when the stock was 17 cents, you were the one with the hysterical posts which knocked the stock down to 13 cents.
As moderator, you do seem to have successfully influenced some of the movements of the stock, and so you appear to be a good daytrader or what-have-you.
Why are you a "moderator" if you think the company is crap, and if you've sold all your shares, etc?
Accumulation at 100 shares per transaction? Stock will go up after Mt Todd gets its permits, but it would also go up right now if the intermarket sweep orders stopped, and if the ASK wasn't always lower right after a "buy" was made.
Totally agree with everyone that stock is oversold and severely undervalued, and that it will eventually at some point go up, but if you lack the funds to hold a lot of dead money for an indefinite period of time, then this is a disappointing stock.
MIDAS Gold market cap is now 131 million. VISTA owns anywhere from 24.9 percent to 27 percent of MIDAS shares. (It's been listed differently on different places on their site.) The MIDAS shares alone are more or less representing their market cap now.
That should attract investors here, as that means every asset is free, as well as some cash too, and yet it's not -- and it's hard to blame anyone for avoiding this stock based on the games being played with it.
Am very frustrated, and my apologies for the vent.
Have grown to really hate this ISO trader/seller, and the markets that permit such crap, and I wish VISTA at least came out with a press release a la Lake Shore Gold and others which expressed their belief that the markets were severely undervaluing their stock. That has always seemed to help miners in the past.
Furthermore, as they're funded through 2014 at the very least, VISTA should stop mentioning words like "liquidity" anymore. Such words seem to attract rather unpleasent parties. Today will be another day where I watch the ludicrous rise of THM.
Thanks, I'm a waek-handed librarian who mentally threw in the towel today -- but didn't sell shares. Hopefully the stock shows some life.
I'm a fairly new investor (just started trading in April) and lost tons on ANV. Have been hoping VGZ would bail me out this year. Would love them to exploit this moment in the markets and buy lots of cheap properties -- but imagine they need a good bit more money before they start going on the offensive.
Most of the transactions with VISTA stock (if you check level 2) are Inter-Market Sweep Orders (ISO).
For those who also are unfamiliar with ISO trades, they can also "be used for more nefarious predatory trading tactics such as combining ISO with short selling to suck liquidity out of an illiquid/troubled market or security, or fine-tuning an attack on a known weak hand or anticipated liquidation.
I assume this is being done is being done with VGZ at the moment, so I will personally not throw any new money into this investment until the ISO stuff stops. As cheap as VGZ is, there are lots of other undervalued gold miners whose shares are not being attacked in this manner.
I really think the below comment was silly.
1. The officers and directors of Blue Calypso have made decisions to allow certain investors to get in to this stock at below market prices and haven't afforded all investors the same opportunity.
The BCYP stock was 9 cents as late as March/April, and 12 cents as late as August. The new investors who got on board did not get the stock for free when they came on board, and they likely invested far more money than the individual retail investors who bought at 9 cents or 12 cents. They are also all well-regarded names in investment circles whose names, in and of themselves, attract more positive speculation regarding BCYP, and thus bring in more investors (as well as raise the speculative potential in one's mind).
Re: EDVA, he is no different than any other analyst. They're there for people to trust or distrust. It's hard to argue one's gut feeling about a person against another's gut feeling. I feel a little indebted to him because he recommended the stock at 9 cents in March/April. The company has since had 2 settlements, some big investors, and an increase in patented products that seem increasingly useful to companies. It is far from a horrible recommendation for a speculative stock, and one of few helpful tips I've ever found on a Yahoo message board.
In the current market environment, imagining a 75 million market cap for any company with a good patent portfolio and a mgmt with previous successes seems far from unreasonable to me. Will the stock ever be worth 500 million, or will the shares be 50 cents by end of December? No one knows. But there are enough believers in the company that this is indeed a fairly safe bet for a while. There is less risk here than in the junior gold explorers that I primarily invest in. If the stock would ever take another dip to 13 cents, there will be tons of buyers which prop the price back up. Everyone more or less knows this now, and that is a safety net that few penny stocks offer.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/revealing-interview-with-gold-standard-ventures-chief-geologist-david-c-mathewson-2013-10-22?reflink=MW_news_stmp
Interview with pdfs in English or German translation (definitely getting lots of hype in Germany).
A difficult stock to love right now. From other beat-down stocks I follow/own, it's just a matter of timing. Eventually, VGZ's day will come.
Permits for Mt Todd still expected before end of year, and maybe another sale of a non-core property (or of equipment), which could help it pay off the remainder of the Sprott loan and/or buy some of the cheap properties now available from others. Hopefully the Q3 update provides a boost too.
GSV has not formally announced many of the things which have been mentioned in Calandra's updates -- so more catalysts/press releases are forthcoming.
As for personal price target, it depends on the news. If I don't know why it's going up (like MIDAS from .80 to 1.20 in August), I need to start learning to cash in some profits when the stock seems to start a downward drift.
That said, I reckon the best thing to do is have a thesis and stick to it (which I often have failed to do).
I had a thesis on Belo Sun, bailed on it when it dropped under 40 cents, and now it's up 40 percent today. Ditto for another miner last week. If you read press releases, and drill reports, and everything seems good to great, and the miner seems heavily undervalued, they likely are. Trust yourself (or an analyst you believe in) over the daily market fluctuations.
Thanks a bunch for this comment. I needed to hear it.
Taco Bueno believes it makes a credible taco, and is offering 30,000 free tacos on a first come-first serve basis, with message now being delivered by Calyp (link found via Blue Calypso's twitter page):
https://twitter.com/BlueCalypso