crosswinds

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crosswinds

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crosswinds

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crosswinds

12/03/10 2:58 PM

Post #110875 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Those tight envelopes are just something I came up with. I use them like moving averages, not envelopes. Note a cross of the 5 over/under the 20 is a signal. They can be useful as stop indicators. The ROC 18 crossing zero up or down is a good buy/sell indicator. I find this a good chart template for many items/ETF's etc. I use it for EDC and EDZ. Just plug in the symbols.

crosswinds

12/03/10 1:19 PM

Post #110873 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Using BB width as major top indicator

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPXA50R&p=D&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p67768667464&listNum=13&a=216119856

crosswinds

12/03/10 12:29 PM

Post #110872 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

USEFUL SPY 60 MIN TRADING CHART

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY&p=60&yr=0&mn=1&dy=10&id=p34410327239&listNum=13&a=216114522

crosswinds

12/03/10 9:22 AM

Post #110861 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Dollar futures hitting trendline support approx 79.50

If support holds, then the bounce should take it to about 82. That dollar rally would drop stocks and most likely would be concomitant with a drop in gold as well.

crosswinds

12/03/10 9:07 AM

Post #110859 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

SPX futures 1216 and dropping

crosswinds

12/03/10 9:00 AM

Post #110857 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

My analysis with 30 min chart illustration

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=30&yr=0&mn=1&dy=12&id=p97535249495&listNum=13&a=214720386

I'm still holding to the ABC Wave 4 correction still unfolding (see chart). However, it is possible that wave 1 up of Wave 5 up just completed. Time will tell the difference on the chart. In any event it's time for a pullback starting today or Monday.

crosswinds

12/02/10 8:43 PM

Post #110847 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Direction forecast
(using BB width as an aid)
Generally sideways for the next 1-2 days as the market puts in a new moon top. Then sharp drop to a full moon bottom on the 21st. (Significant events those full moon bottoms!)

Interesting to see how Friday's economic data plays into this.

C

crosswinds

12/01/10 2:43 PM

Post #110845 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

60 MIN UPDATE

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=60&yr=0&mn=1&dy=0&id=p53697650298&listNum=13&a=215164884

Although the daily is close to a buy signal,
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=11&dy=10&id=p07590707182&listNum=13&a=215164641

for now I still think a B top is being made.

crosswinds

12/01/10 8:06 AM

Post #110841 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

B top being made. Now drop to C.

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=60&yr=0&mn=1&dy=0&id=p69695266568&listNum=13&a=215164884

crosswinds

11/29/10 8:07 PM

Post #110836 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Daily
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=10&id=p49177335142&listNum=13&a=215164641

crosswinds

11/29/10 10:14 AM

Post #110835 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Projection

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=60&yr=0&mn=1&dy=0&id=p77975979860&listNum=13&a=215164884

crosswinds

11/24/10 8:43 AM

Post #110823 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Great chart template

Here's a weekly chart that can be opened to daily, 60 min and 30 min and still works well. Very simple and easy.

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=W&yr=3&mn=6&dy=0&id=p54169265955&listNum=13&a=215165964

crosswinds

11/23/10 11:13 PM

Post #110821 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Weekly chart and outlook

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=9&dy=0&id=p69766471310&listNum=13&a=214663492

Looking for near term top 1194-1207ish Wed-Mon, then down to 1150ish. Break below around 1120 voids the December rally indicating that the double top scenario is in play with the market diving to 1010 again. But the important question is: Will Aunt Bea get through the TSA security grope down with those exploding Thanksgiving pies in her bra. Not to mention the sweet potatoes.

crosswinds

11/23/10 6:16 PM

Post #110819 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

B top near. Fall to C coming (chart)

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&id=p93532523378&listNum=13&a=214445977

crosswinds

11/23/10 12:54 PM

Post #110816 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

ABC DOWN CORRECTION STILL UNDER WAY
MOVE TO B TOP NOW TO START
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=30&yr=0&mn=1&dy=12&id=p55750294955&listNum=13&a=214720386

crosswinds

11/19/10 5:07 AM

Post #110812 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Double Top Distribution?

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=9&dy=0&id=p90026818210&listNum=13&a=214663492

crosswinds

11/17/10 6:44 AM

Post #110792 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

New SPX Daily with ABC down wave targets

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=8&dy=0&id=p89717344353&listNum=3&a=214420498

crosswinds

11/15/10 9:24 PM

Post #110784 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

When Woofy barks, the market listens

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=60&yr=0&mn=8&dy=0&id=p94978413039&listNum=3&a=214284434

crosswinds

11/14/10 10:04 PM

Post #110777 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Daily sell signal for wave 4 drop imminent
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p41859750528&listNum=3&a=210877943

crosswinds

11/14/10 9:36 PM

Post #110776 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Quantitative easing explained

crosswinds

11/14/10 6:40 PM

Post #110775 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

The Mental Marxist Party: "Spread the IQ Around"

crosswinds

11/12/10 9:24 AM

Post #110761 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

10 minute spx chart to consider
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=10&yr=0&mn=1&dy=0&id=p88652640034&a=209168041&listNum=3

crosswinds

11/12/10 6:32 AM

Post #110759 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Current small wave 60 min pattern illustrated
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=60&yr=0&mn=1&dy=0&id=p95445444430&listNum=3&a=212142419

crosswinds

11/10/10 4:40 PM

Post #110745 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

dollar index site
http://www.goldseek.com/quotes/charts/usdollar/usdollarindex1hour.php

crosswinds

11/10/10 9:19 AM

Post #110733 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Topping signal needs confirmation
http://www.theuptrend.com/Stock-Market-Trends-20101110.htm

crosswinds

11/10/10 6:09 AM

Post #110732 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Another view of momentum
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SSO:SDS&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p19864151865&listNum=3&a=210273631

crosswinds

11/09/10 9:43 PM

Post #110730 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Heading to A of ABC decline
Looking for quick drop to 1175 area for A
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=XXV:VXX&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&id=p70977771356&listNum=3&a=213368697

crosswinds

11/07/10 9:29 PM

Post #110699 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Market headed to Disneying heights
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p70649669863&listNum=3&a=213117136

crosswinds

11/07/10 5:15 AM

Post #110698 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

XXV:VXX DAILY CHART
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=XXV:VXX&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&id=p13163977586&listNum=3&a=213368697

crosswinds

11/06/10 6:55 AM

Post #110697 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

New daily swing trading chart
Not for intraday trading, but useful to provide a context for that

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p73709990397&listNum=3&a=213243086

crosswinds

11/05/10 9:44 PM

Post #110695 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Last but not least
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=W&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&id=p44245983101&listNum=9&a=213234880

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=M&yr=15&mn=0&dy=0&id=p23161509278&a=213234945&listNum=9

crosswinds

11/05/10 8:40 PM

Post #110694 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Some charts for weekend perusal:

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=60&yr=0&mn=1&dy=0&id=p70212882586&a=213191829&listNum=3

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EDC&p=60&yr=0&mn=1&dy=0&id=p49684350330&a=213191485&listNum=3

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EDZ&p=60&yr=0&mn=1&dy=0&id=p44999010478&a=213191189&listNum=3

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GDX&p=60&yr=0&mn=1&dy=0&id=p49909323645&a=213190230&listNum=3

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GDXJ&p=60&yr=0&mn=1&dy=0&id=p23292308260&a=213190335&listNum=3

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=HL&p=60&yr=0&mn=1&dy=0&id=p95452531167&a=213190809&listNum=3

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$UST:$SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p32904133291&a=213167527&listNum=3

crosswinds

11/05/10 8:16 AM

Post #110673 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Revised projection
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p70649669863&listNum=3&a=213117136
May need revision after reaction to today's job's report

crosswinds

11/04/10 8:05 PM

Post #110669 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

CHART
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p60084507346&listNum=3&a=210877943

crosswinds

11/04/10 5:19 PM

Post #110667 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Anticipation: “These are the good old days”.
The main takeaway point from this video is not Carly Simon’s legs. The old saw about the market anticipating 6 months out applies here. The market has anticipated QE2 for months and the market rose accordingly while insider short-selling is off the chart. What does the market have now to anticipate? Answer: the end of QE2. That won’t move the market up. One day after the QE2 announcement, money is moving where? To overseas markets where the action is. Forget the U.S. Other than Carly Simon’s legs circa 1972, I see nothing to anticipate. Back to the future anyone? Those were the good old days.

crosswinds

11/04/10 5:17 PM

Post #110666 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

“…we might wonder if various powerful Wall Street players are not betting against the action they have floated all summer: That is, if Goldman Sachs et al. might be heavily short this euphoric market, in which case the next engineered move would a "surprising rout" which sent the market reeling.
After all, if Wall Street packaged doomed mortgage debt, slapped AAA ratings on the garbage, sold it to marks and then bet against their own packaged debt, then why not pump the market to a nice fat double-top on QE2 euphoria and then bet against the very market you just spent all summer goosing?
How much upside is left in this market? A few points? How much downside is there below all those air pockets? A lot.”
http://seekingalpha.com/article/234844-election-rally-almost-wrapped-up?source=dashboard_macro-view

crosswinds

11/04/10 2:15 PM

Post #110662 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

HOLY CHART PATTERN, BATMAN!!!!

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p70267223504&listNum=3&a=210820271

crosswinds

11/04/10 10:36 AM

Post #110655 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

A batman symbol perhaps? :)

crosswinds

11/04/10 10:05 AM

Post #110653 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Huge head and shoulders now completing formation
as SPX hits center pitchfork line at the top of a rising bearish wedge. Height of head projects a down target of 800.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p70267223504&listNum=3&a=210820271

crosswinds

11/04/10 6:06 AM

Post #110643 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

The next past high relative to this chart was 1.71 in 2008. That would be the final high target, allowing for a little more up side on the indexes. However, that attempt may truncate, probably on a reversal day sending the ROC on the SSO:SSD chart below the center zero line as the top sell signal. Best wishes for success.

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