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China oil imports hit record
15/01/2007 13:39
Beijing - China imported a record 145.18 million tons of crude oil in 2006, up 14.5% over the previous year, despite booming oil prices, state press reported on Monday.
The world's third largest oil importing nation also imported 36.4 million tons of oil products, up 15.7% over 2005, the Beijing News reported, citing custom statistics.
China spent $81.9bn in 2006 on its oil imports, $15.2bn more than in 2005 as oil prices skyrocketed throughout the year, it said.
According to the customs statistics the price of imported crude oil stood at $457 per ton last year, up $81 from the year earlier.
The average price for refined oil products was up nearly $96 per tonne in 2006 compared with the 2005 figure, it said.
China is the world's second largest oil consumer after the United States and the third largest importer after the United States and Japan.
Oil: Mittal and Addax Join the Fray
2007-01-14
African Business
By Ford, Neil
NIGERIA
With an increasing number of Indian and Chinese firms challenging the Western majors for exploration rights, the face of Nigeria's downstream investment has changed forever. Neil Ford reports on the latest developments
Even as the Nigerian government prepared its latest exploration- related licensing round, massive new investment in recently licensed acreage was being agreed. International oil firm Addax Petroleum and Indian firm ONGC Mittal Energy have both secured new licences, helping to sustain growth in a sector that is already rapidly growing.
Nigerian national oil production capacity is expected to hit 4m barrels a day (b/d) within five years but sustained investment in exploration today should ensure that new discoveries are made and brought on stream over the next decade and beyond.
ONGC Mittal beat oil competition from BG Sahara and INC Natural Resources for the portion of OPL 246 block that was separated from the main block after the Akpo Held was spun oil. It has agreed to pay the government $100m for the licence, which was relinquished by South Atlantic Petroleum Company (Sapetro). In November, the Indian company revealed that it plans to invest N221bn ($1.7bn) in upstream projects in Nigeria. This money is expected to be invested on OPL 246 but also on other assets that it has secure.This multi-billion dollar Indian investment comes hot on the heels of a series of large financial commitments in the African oil and gas sector by Chinese companies, indicating that the pool of potential upstream investors is growing.
In the past, the majors and Western independents had dominated African hydrocarbons but Petronas of Malaysia was the first to really challenge the established order.
Now that Chinese companies, such as China National Petroleum Corporation, Sinopec and China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), plus ONGC Mittal and ONGC Videsh of India have begun to invest in the continent, the face of the African upstream sector has been changed forever.
ONGC Mittal is a joint venture between UK-based Indian steel magnate Lakshmi Mittal and Indian oil and gas company ONGC Videsh. At present, the company is one of many Asian companies investing in a handful of African upstream blocks, but with Mittal's billions, it has the potential to become something much bigger. The firm has already secured equity on two other blocks: OPL 285 and OPL 209. The latter is located adjacent to the ExxonMobil-operated Erha scheme.
For rest of article, see link:http://www.blackenterprise.com/yb/ybopen.asp?section=ybbf&story_id=102146145&ID=blackenterpr...
"We have had a flood of investors from Asia who are interested in our downstream sector, so far as we give them opportunity in the upstream and this is forcing us to increase the number of blocs on tender ... from 50 blocs initially announced to 60," Chukwueke had said.
Nigeria offers Abu Dhabi a $400m telecommunications licence
MENAFN - 13/01/2007
(MENAFN) Reuters reported that Nigeria has offered the Abu Dhabi government investment agency a unified telecommunications licence for $400m, the telephone regulator of Africa's top oil producer said.
The Nigerian Communications Commission said Mubadala Development Company would have to pay the licence fee by January 19 or forfeit the offer.
The Mubadala offer, which includes a GSM (Global System Mobile Communication) licence, is part of a bilateral agreement between Nigeria and the United Arab Emirates, the NCC said.
Mubadala, which owns stakes in companies in the United States and Europe, including luxury sports car-maker Ferrari, said last month that it plans to also invest in the growing economies of China and Russia.
Nigeria, Africa's fastest-growing telecoms market with over 20 million telephone users, introduced the unified licence system last February at the end of a five-year exclusivity deal given to three GSM firms in 2001 to operate nationwide mobile networks, for which they paid $285m each.
India govt rejects ONGC's tie-up plan with BP, BG for KG Basin -report
AFX News Limited
01.12.07, 2:56 AM ET
LONDON (AFX) - The Indian government rejected state-run ONGC's proposals for strategic exploration tie-ups with BG Group PLC and BP PLC for three blocks in the Krishna-Godavari basin, off the southern Indian state of Andhra Pradesh coast, and another block in the Gujarat-Kutch basin, reported The Economic Times without naming its source.
ONGC received exploration licences for the three blocks in the KG basin in 2000 which will expire in May 2007, but has not been successful in exploring hydrocarbon there, and the government is now planning to put the licences up for sale in the seventh round of the New Exploration Licensing Policy.
The licensing round is expected to run April-May 2007.
The report said the petroleum ministry rejected the proposal despite last-minute appeals by the British Prime Minister Tony Blair to his Indian counterpart Manmohan Singh.
newsdesk@afxnews.com
ssa/lam
BB - you're welcome and thank you also for all your DD.
ND9
Qatar unaware of emergency Opec meet
Reuters
Published: 14/01/2007 12:00 AM (UAE)
Paris: Qatar's Oil Minister Abdullah Al Attiyah said on Friday he had not been informed of any emergency Opec meeting to discuss action to stem a 15 per cent price drop since the start of the year.
Earlier on Friday, the Dow Jones news service quoted a senior Opec delegate saying the producer group is discussing whether to hold an emergency meeting around January 20-21.
"I did not receive anything...and I've had my phone on all day. I talked to the Opec President a few days ago and we discussed the whole oil situation," Attiyah told Reuters. "I cannot jump to the conclusion there should be a meeting."
Mohammad Bin Dha'en Al Hamili, UAE minister of energy, said on Thursday Opec was deeply concerned by the price drop and stood ready if necessary to bolster the world market.
Mild weather so far this winter has curbed oil demand and pressured prices, blunting the impact of Opec's planned 500,000 barrels per day cut in supply from February 1 that added to a 1.2 million bpd reduction last year.
"Opec will act to stabilise the market if needed. We need to see the (price) trend and how the market factors the projected cut," said Al Hamili.
The Qatari minister said consultations with the president and other members of the Opec were continuing.
"We will support whatever the president decides," Al Attiyah said.
Anadarko Sets Year-End 2006 Earnings Conference Call for Feb. 6
HOUSTON--(BUSINESS WIRE)--
Anadarko Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:APC):
2006 Results
Tuesday, Feb. 6, 2007
9 a.m. CST (10 a.m. EST)
Dial-in number: 913.981.5523
Confirmation number: 4471952
Anadarko Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:APC) will host a conference call on Feb. 6, 2007, at 9 a.m. CST (10 a.m. EST) to discuss fourth-quarter and full-year 2006 financial and operating results, as well as the outlook for 2007. Earnings will be released the afternoon of Feb. 5. The full text of the release will be available on the Internet at www.anadarko.com.
To actively participate and ask questions during the conference call, please use the dial-in number. About 15 minutes before the scheduled conference time, dial 913.981.5523 and provide the confirmation number 4471952 to be connected to the conference call.
Those who wish to listen only to the live audio web cast may do so via the Internet at www.anadarko.com. The accompanying PowerPoint presentation also will be available on the Internet.
If you are unable to participate in the live call, you can hear a rebroadcast and view the presentation at www.anadarko.com.
ERHC lawyer opens office in China.
ND9
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Akin Gump ditches Brussels to focus on China
In a radical overhaul of its international strategy, US firm Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld has pulled out of Brussels and opened its first mainland China office in Beijing.
The moves are the result of a two-year strategic review. Chairman Bruce McLean said: “We decided our international offices needed to reflect our core practice areas of energy, political lobbying and hedge funds.”
It is unclear whether Brussels was profitable as the firm does not officially account for profit on an office-by-office basis. Firmwide finances have been stagnant: in 2005 (the most recent statistics available), revenue rose by only $6m (£3.1m).
McLean said: “The Brussels office was a drain on resources in that it was a deflection of management attention. It was a small office and we thought that if it wasn’t successful, we should just close.”
Akin Gump entered Brussels, its first overseas office, in 1989. Ten years ago the office had 30 lawyers but by October 2006, it had just seven, working on EU law and policy, international law, and transactions.
Meanwhile, the Beijing office will house three partners and an associate and will be headed by public law partner Eliot Cutler.
The office will concentrate on corporate work both for foreign and Chinese companies.
Akin Gump has strong relationships with Chinese clients, including the Chinese National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), for whom it lobbied when CNOOC made its controversial $18bn (£9.3bn) bid for Unocal in 2005.
In addition to Taipei and Beijing, Akin Gump has international offices in Moscow, Dubai and London.
Nigeria: President relinquishes oil title
Posted on : Sat, 13 Jan 2007 04:01:01 GMT | Author : Energy News Editor
ABUJA, Nigeria, Jan. 12 In a mass Cabinet shuffle, Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo relinquished his oil minister title in favor of Edmund Daukoru.
Obasanjo did not explain why Daukoru, who was minister of state for petroleum resources, was made the new energy minister, the Vanguard newspaper reported.
The new energy minister recently ended his one-year tenure as the head of OPEC.
Nigeria is the world's eighth-largest producer of oil. However, during the last year, increasing violence associated with militancy has been blamed for reducing Nigerian oil production by 20 percent, according to a 2006 report.
Some officials in Abuja, however, claim that production is down by as much as 50 percent.
The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta, or MEND, have systematically kidnapped oil workers and other foreigners. Residents of the Niger Delta region, where most of Nigeria's oil is located, are extremely poor.
They have started organizing and taking action against what they view as unfair circumstances, where the government and oil companies are getting rich on the oil from their region.
Copyright 2007 by UPI
Oilphant vs Umbra (double standard)?
When Oilphant says we're going over 50 cents, he gets criticized. Or if he says we're getting a rig announcemnt, he gets criticized. Yet Umbra says ERHC will be worth 3 figures and I hear nothing from the "Board Experts?.
ND9
ERHC worth three figure share price????????
Umbra, if you are right and someday, ERHC will be worth a three figure pps, wouldn't XOM, Chevron, India, & China also know this? If ERHC was going to be worth this much, I think XOM would have already purchased ERHC. Last time I checked, XOM had about $30B cash.
ND9
Thanks Oilphant. Please keep posting. EOM.
Oilman57 how do "those that make false predictions and proclimations harm a person's investment"?
I'm long and strong on ERHC so I don't see how any of these false predictions and proclimations harm my investment.
Would you please elaborate?
thanks,
ND9
Drilling for Deals in the Oil Patch
Stocks in the News January 8, 2007, 11:34AM EST text size: TT
Drilling for Deals in the Oil Patch
The Forest Oil-Houston Exploration and GE-Vetco Gray acquisitions signal a continued strong pace of sector consolidation.
As oil prices have retreated from record levels, companies in the red hot energy industry are getting cheaper and consolidation activity is sizzling. Two more deals hit the news on Jan. 8.
The Denver natural gas producer Forest Oil (FST) said it's planning to buy its Texan rival Houston Exploration (THX) for around $1.5 billion plus around $100 million of debt. On the same day the Fairfield (Conn.)-based diversified industrial conglomerate General Electric (GE) announced an agreement to acquire the drilling equipment supplier Vetco Gray for $1.9 billion from Candover, 3i & JP Morgan Partners.
The energy industry has seen a number of deals recently. Oil companies, flush with cash from their recent years of heady profits during the high price environment of recent years, have been trying to grow their reserves by buying rivals. Meanwhile private equity buyers have been shopping for various and sundry, including those in the energy sector.
The energy sector had 2,678 merger and acquisition deals worldwide in 2006, 14% more compared to 2005, according to Thomson Financial. Those transactions collectively amounted to $572.3 billion, or 33% more than last yearl. And the value of the deals inked has grown significantly since around late August, when only 1,625 deals had amounted to $355.5 billion.
Oil prices have been falling from their soaring heights recently, as investors weigh the effects of abnormally mild winter weather on heating-fuel demand. Light sweet crude for October delivery ended last week down in value by almost 10% at $56.31 per barrel, after prices dropped at their fastest pace in two years on Jan. 4 (see BusinessWeek.com, 1/8/07, "Oil: Next Stop, $45?").
That in turn has pushed down the prices of stocks that make money from business involved with black gold. Forest Oil's stock has declined 23.6% from its high of the year on April 19, for example. Houston Exploration Company's shares have fallen 23% since their high on Aug. 3.
Industry experts had long bet that merger and acquisition activity would heat up in a falling oil price environment. Evan Smith, co-portfolio manager of the Texas-based U.S. Global Investors, for example, had pointed out in August that lower stock prices would make companies cheaper to buy. Meanwhile if oil prices were to fall to around $60 per barrel this year, most companies would continue generating tremendous cash flow from their production, he said (see BusinessWeek.com, 8/28/06, "A Gusher of Energy Deals").
Vetco, a case in point, had estimated sales of over $1.6 billion in 2006, with 5,000 employees in over 30 countries. "We view the transaction (with Vetco Gray,) which would boost GE's oil & gas revenues by about 40% as positive, given our expectation of continued high levels of capital spending by oil & gas producers," said Standard & Poor's equity analyst Richard Tortoriello in a research note. "We believe GE's management continues to position the company well within markets with strong long-term growth potential."
Investors didn't react strongly to the news. GE's stock price slipped 0.6% to to $37.35 per share in early trading on the New York Stock Exchange.
GE isn't the only one looking for growth in the industry. Forest Oil is aiming to expand its oil and natural gas assets in Texas by buying The Houston Exploration Company. "We are undertaking this significant acquisition to further strengthen our onshore North American asset base and to add drilling inventory for our proven acquire and exploit strategy," Forest's CEO H. Craig Clark said in a press release Jan. 8. He expects to the deal to get him 3,200 more drillsites that are located in gas sand basins where you can use new drilling technology to produce more of the commodity.
After the news, Forest Oil's stock sank 3.1% to $30.25 per share on Jan. 8. Houston Exploration Company's shares gained 4.3% to $50.80 per share.
The recent activity follows major deals in the energy industry last year. In August Houston's Kinder Morgan, which operates 43,000 miles of oil and gas pipeline in North America, agreed to be taken private by a group led by the company's founder, Richard Kinder, for $22 billion. In another example, Anadarko Petroleum announced a plan in June to pay $21.1 billion in cash for rivals Kerr-McGee of Oklahoma City and Western Gas Resources of Denver.
China's Citic tops up its tank with $2.4bn Kazakh oil buy
Andrew Yeh, Beijing
January 03, 2007
CITIC Group, the Chinese state investment arm, has completed a $US1.9 billion ($2.4 billion) deal to buy oil assets in Kazakhstan from Nations Energy, dispelling speculation that the purchase might be blocked by Kazakh authorities.
The acquisition was finalised at the weekend after months of negotiations, a person involved in the transaction said, and marked Citic's largest investment in the energy sector.
The group is considering further oil and gas acquisitions in central Asia and Africa, the source said.
Citic first announced in October last year that it was buying the rights to develop the Karazhanbas field, which has proven reserves of about 340 million barrels of oil and now produces more than 50,000 barrels a day.
But rumours emerged that there were Kazakh officials who opposed the deal over concerns that Chinese companies were playing too big a role in developing the country's energy assets.
In October 2005, China National Petroleum Corporation took over Toronto-listed Petrokazakhstan for $US4.2 billion, giving it access to 12 oil fields in Kazakhstan. CNPC is also funding a $US750 million pipeline from Atasu in Kazakhstan to China's frontier.
Citic's deal with Nations Energy, among the largest ever by a Chinese company, was unusual in that it did not involve the three Beijing-backed oil groups - CNPC, Sinopec and CNOOC.
CNOOC, China's main offshore oil company, previously had been interested in the assets, but Beijing probably prevented the state-run companies from competing with each other.
Citic Group, parent of Hong Kong-listed Citic Resources Holdings, has previously only dabbled in relatively small energy-related investments abroad. It is a powerful conglomerate that is also active in finance, real estate and other industries.
Nations Energy is an Indonesian-owned Canadian company that has close ties to the former Indonesian president Suharto.
A large percentage of China's oil imports now come from underdeveloped economies, most notably Angola. Central Asia is appealing to Beijing as a source of energy for its fast-developing economy because of its geographical proximity.
Some industry experts point out that Chinese companies are now often trying to extract oil from overseas fields with challenging geological conditions.
A Beijing-based energy analyst said a key consideration for Chinese oil groups in the near future was whether they could acquire - or develop - necessary extraction and refining technology.
China's 2006 oil imports expected up by 10.2%
2007/1/9
BEIJING, AP
China's oil imports last year are forecast to have risen 10.2 percent as the booming economy's reliance on foreign energy grew, a state news agency reported Monday.
Imports of 980 million barrels last year are believed to have supplied 48 percent of China's oil needs, up from 43 percent in 2005, the Xinhua News Agency said.
Total demand in 2006 is estimated at just over 2 billion barrels, the report said, citing Liang Shuhe, deputy director of the ministry's Foreign Trade Department.
The report did not say when official figures would be released.
China's oil imports from January to November last year were up 15.6 percent from the same period of 2005, according to customs data.
The Xinhua report did not explain the sharp drop from that growth rate to the full-year rate given by Liang.
China's reliance on imported oil and gas has grown as development of new domestic sources has lagged behind soaring demand.
Governor of central bank of Sao Tome and Principe forecasts good prospects for 2007 [ 2007-01-08 ]
Sao Tome, Sao Tome and Principe, 8 Jan – The new governor of the Central Bank of Sao Tome and Principe, Arlindo Carvalho, has projected “good prospects for the 2007 financial year,” and said the country’s economy should grow around 7 percent.
Carvalho made the projections in a speech on the annual macroeconomic climate and the growth prospects for the next 12 months.
The governor said that one of the strong points for economic growth in 2007 was the entry into the state coffers of US$27 million from the sale of oil blocs in the joint exploration area with Nigeria.
According to Carvalho, oil revenue “will clearly have a multiplying effect on improving the economic confidence indicators, with increased employment and exchange rate stability.”
For 2007 he forecast inflation of 13.5 percent against the 22.8 percent total for between January and November 2006.
Carvalho also said he expected the country’s debt of over US$300 million to be pardoned in the first quarter of 2007n, as part of a macroeconomic program set up with the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for Highly Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC).
The governor also said that 2006 had been marked by the relative reduction of foreign aid, reduced cocoa exports (the basis of the economy), and devaluation of the currency against the dollar and the euro. (macauhub)
U.S. gasoline prices to $5 or $6 a gallon??????
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By David Helwig
SooToday.com
Monday, January 08, 2007
In an exclusive report this afternoon, ABC News quotes a Nigerian terror group as threatening "more ruthless" attacks on U.S. and European oil assets.
The threatened attacks would include "burning workers alive on offshore oil rigs," the network says.
ABC is quoting security experts as saying that such activity could push U.S. gasoline prices to $5 or $6 a gallon.
Congress Targets Oil-Drilling Subsidies
By John J. Fialka
Word Count: 1,004 | Companies Featured in This Article: BP, ConocoPhillips, Marathon Oil, Royal Dutch Shell, Chevron
WASHINGTON -- With Democrats controlling Congress, the oil industry is in for a rough ride. So is the agency that collects royalties for oil and gas drilling on federal lands.
Democrats and some Republicans have complained for months that the Interior Department's Minerals Management Service -- whose motto is "securing ocean energy and economic value for America" -- has mishandled the royalty program. The issue will hit the spotlight Jan. 18, when the House takes up energy legislation targeting oil-industry subsidies.
One goal: untangling a legal mess that could allow companies to escape paying at least $10 billion in future ...
Chevron and partners record success in Uge-
By Yemie Adeoye
Posted to the Web: Tuesday, January 09, 2007
CHEVRON Nigeria deepwater B Limited and its partners have recorded another deepwater success following the announcement of a first oil discovery in Oil Prospecting Licence (OPL) 214 approximately 113 kilometres offshore Nigeria, just as the Agbami project rose above the safety tides by surpassing 1,200,000 man hours (1.2 mm hrs) in 2006.
The oil well, known as -Uge- 1 has a total depth of 16,831 feet (5,130 metres) and has encountered more than 300 net feet (100 metres) of oil.
John Watson, President of Chevron International Exploration and Production, in a recent reaction stated that the discovery is a further demonstration of how we are achieving superior success from a focused and high impact exploration programme. While the Chairman/ Managing Director Nigeria/Mid Africa Business Unit (NMABU), Mr. Fred Nelson, in his own reaction said that the company is pleased with the success of the well and believes the discovery will help enhance its already strong position in Nigeria and West Africa.
Chevron Nigeria Deepwater B, has a 20 percent interest in the Block, while ESSO Exploration and Production Nigeria Deepwater West Limited is the operator of OPL 214 with a 20 percent working interest. Other working interest owners are Philips Deepwater Exploration (a subsidiary of Conocco Philips) at 20 percent , while Nigerian Petroleum Development Company has a 15 percent stake and Sasol Exploration and Production Nigeria owns a 5 percent stake. The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) is the concessionaire.
Chevron still continues to hold a very large portfolio acreage in Nigeria with a deepwater contractor equity in about ten deepwater blocks offshore Nigeria.
According to a statement issued recently, the company has begun the development of the giant Agbami field with approximately 900 million barrels of recoverable oil. Chevron has also made successful discoveries in Aparo, Nsan and Nsiko oil fields.
Agbami
In a similar development, CNL and its partners have also recorded a high safety rate as it surpasses 1,200,000 man hours without a Lost Time Injury (LTI) in the in-country design and fabrication activities of the project.
Part of the activities that consumed the 1.2 million man-hours includes the design scope performed at NETCO, and the on-going fabrication activities at Daewoo Nigeria Limited, Nigerdock Lagos, Grinaker LTA Portharcourt amidst others.
Lanre Alabi, Director, Agbami project said, “it is a remarkable achievement considering the poor safety culture prevalent at some of the Yards when we commenced the project.” He also noted the relentless effort and focus on safety at the fabrication yards by the in-country fabrication teams adding that “we have full time safety professionals at each yard, and all yard personnel working on the Agbami project have been immersed in the four-hours Incident Injury Free (IIF) programme, while all new workers are required to go through the IIF induction prior to work start,” he said. The total Nigerian Content Man-hours projected for the Agbami project is 2.7 million.
Note that he says oil prices will rise - EOM
Global Markets Face `Severe Correction,' Faber Says (Update4)
By Ian C. Sayson and Pimm Fox
Jan. 8 (Bloomberg) -- Marc Faber, who predicted the U.S. stock market crash in 1987, said global assets are poised for a ``severe correction'' and it's time to sell.
``In the next few months, we could get a severe correction in all asset markets,'' Faber said in an interview with Bloomberg Television in New York. ``In a selling panic you should buy, but in the buying mania that we have now the wisest course of action is to liquidate.''
Faber, founder and managing director of Hong Kong-based Marc Faber Ltd., advised investors to buy gold in 2001, which has since more than doubled. His company manages about $300 million in assets.
The bullish outlook of traders in everything from bonds, equities and commodities to real estate and art suggests valuations are peaking, Faber said. Last year, the Morgan Stanley Capital International World Index of developed stock markets jumped 18 percent, while a survey of Wall Street's biggest bond- trading firms predicted U.S. Treasuries will post the best gains in five years during 2007.
``I am not a great buyer of assets now,'' Faber said. ``We may be in a situation where consumer-price inflation comes back and will have a negative impact on the valuation of assets.''
Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, does have some favorites. Singapore and Vietnam are his top picks in Asia because stocks in Singapore aren't ``terribly expensive compared with interest rates'' in the city-state, while Vietnam's equities have ``incredible potential in the long run.''
Vietnam, Singapore
Vietnam's Ho Chi Minh Stock Index more than doubled last year and was Asia's best-performing benchmark. Singapore's Straits Times Index climbed 27 percent, beating a 15 percent increase in the Morgan Stanley Capital International Asia-Pacific Index.
So far in 2007, Vietnam's index has surged 10 percent, again leading gains in the region, and Singapore's is up 0.6 percent. The MSCI has dropped 1 percent.
Faber recommends investors steer clear of shares in the world's biggest developing economies after the emerging markets in 2006 outperformed their developed counterparts for a fifth straight year.
``Emerging markets could get kicked in the next three months so I'd be careful of buying Russian shares,'' Faber said. ``I'd also be careful of buying China and India shares now.''
Russia's dollar-denominated RTS Index surged 75 percent last year, while the Hang Seng China Enterprise Index, which tracks Hong Kong-listed shares of Chinese companies, jumped 94 percent. India's Sensex Index, which more than quadrupled in the past five years, is valued at 25 times estimated earnings.
Thailand, Japan
Faber also advises investors stay away from shares in Thailand, where he and his family are based. The nation's SET Index has been the world's worst-performing benchmark in the past month, sliding 15 percent as currency controls introduced by the central bank and bombs in Bangkok spooked investors.
``Valuations in Thailand are very inexpensive but I wouldn't buy tomorrow,'' said Faber. `` We have some political problems in Thailand right now. I'd wait for a couple of months.''
The SET is valued at 10 times estimated earnings, the lowest among 14 Asia-Pacific markets tracked by Bloomberg. MSCI's regional index is valued at 18 times.
On a more positive note, Japanese stocks may prove good bets this year, Faber said. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average climbed 6.9 percent in 2006 and the broader Topix index added 1.9 percent, the smallest gains among benchmarks for the world's 10 biggest markets.
U.S. Strategists
The U.S. outpaced Japan last year, with the Standard & Poor's 500 Index climbing 14 percent and the Dow Jones Industrial Average surging 16 percent.
Strategists at 14 of the biggest Wall Street firms all estimate that U.S. stocks will advance this year. The last time they were in agreement was for 2001, when the S&P 500 dropped 13 percent.
``It's going to have to be something unexpected and somewhat dramatic'' to spur the type of pullback that Faber predicts, according to Wayne Wicker, chief investment officer at Vantagepoint Funds in Washington, which has about $28 billion in assets. ``Given the current environment we see today, I don't see anything imminent, other than a huge amount of money chasing deals, as a real negative.''
Last year saw a record $3.68 trillion in takeovers, led by AT&T Inc.'s $86 billion purchase of BellSouth Corp., according to data from Bloomberg. Mergers and acquisitions will rise by at least 10 percent this year, analysts at Deutsche Bank AG, JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Bank of America Corp. forecast.
Gold, Oil
Faber said gold should rally further on expectations that supply of the precious metal will decline and demand for it will increase to hedge against inflation. Gold climbed 23 percent last year, its sixth year of gains.
``The price of gold will continue to go up and probably very substantially,'' Faber said. ``In the long run, it's very clear that central banks are basically increasing the supply of money and the supply of gold is obviously very limited.''
Oil prices are also tipped to rise as political instability in the Middle East and other petroleum-producing areas threatens supply and global demand increases. Crude oil in New York added less than 0.1 percent to $61.05 a barrel in 2006, after tripling in the previous four years.
``Everyday the world is burning more oil than new reserves are added,'' Faber said. ``You wont see $12 dollars again'' for every barrel of oil. ``The trend is likely more to be upside because demand in Asia is going to double over time.''
To contact the reporter on this story: Ian C. Sayson in Manila at isayson@bloomberg.net and Pimm Fox in New York at at Pfox11@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: January 8, 2007 10:58 EST
UAE economy to surge 7pc
Posted: Sunday, January 07, 2007
Dubai
The UAE economy may grow 7 per cent this year, paced by services and industry, National Bank of Abu Dhabi said in a report.
That compares with estimated growth in 2006 of 8 per cent and an average annual 7.7 per cent in the seven years from 2000, said the country's largest lender by assets.
The nation, which relies on crude oil for about a third of its gross domestic product, may post its third-largest current-account surplus this year in eight years on average oil prices for Dubai blend crude of $56 per barrel, the bank said.
The projected surplus of $24.9 billion compares with an estimated $29.6 billion in 2006, the biggest in at least seven years, according to the bank.
Oil prices have tripled since 2001. Reuters
Oil cos asked to work on ties with foreign partners
TIMES NEWS NETWORK[ SATURDAY, JANUARY 06, 2007 02:28:49 AM]
NEW DELHI: This could be an alarm bell for public sector oil companies. The message from the petroleum ministry is loud and clear — Shape up or ship out. Petroleum secretary MS Srinivasan warned oil major ONGC to remove all road blocks in forging ties with foreign partners so that best technology could be employed. He said the latest technology is required for enhanced oil recovery from crude. “I have told the chairman (of ONGC) that if you don’t act, we will issue directives,” he said.
“In fact, my last letter (to ONGC chairman) was seven days ago and last telephone call (to the chairman) was four days ago,” Mr Srinivasan said. He was speaking at a conference organised by Confederation of Indian Industry. Upset over low recovery factor, he said the recovery factor of 28% was a cause of discomfort.
He said the ministry is in dialogue with ONGC and has asked them to have a relook at the terms offered to private and foreign companies for bringing marginal fields on production so as to attract more technology strong companies.
With the surge in global crude prices, it has become necessary to enhance recovery factor, CII principal adviser V Raghuraman said. “As crude prices are soaring and in all likelihood it would continue to remain at the level, it is a prudent decision for companies to invest in technology for enhancing oil recovery.
This is the time when they would get better returns for their investments in technology,” he said. According to Mr Raghuraman, the recovery factors of public sector oil companies could easily be raised to 40% through technology intervention.
While replying to a question, Mr Srinivasan also criticised public sector oil marketing companies (OMCs). He said that national oil marketing companies had built lot of inefficient assets in their retail expansion sphere.
He said that these oil cos could not undertake effectively cost cutting measures, as a result the government had to issue oil bonds. He advised that oil cos should share resources to minimise the cost. “They took each other as enemies .....there is no enemy in business,” he said. According to Mr Srinivasan, infrastructure sharing would help oil cos in cutting about 30% production cost.
He said that the government would not follow the Russian model of `Resource Nationalisation’ as confining oil and gas reserves to public sector can breed inefficiencies due to sub-optimal utilisation of resources.
Citing the example of Russia (Sakhalin-II), which is on the resource nationalisation drive, Mr Srinivasan said; “National oil companies globally breed inefficiencies.” He said that India needs more investments from domestic and foreign investors.
Thanks Oily!
VIP1999 - what about everybody else? What about all the other predictions made by folks on this Board? How many of them have come true? Why just pick on Oily?
ND9
XOM expresses interest - deepwater offshore Nigeria
Read article below - not just Shell and Total but according to this article, XOM also has expressed interest............
ND9
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Total, Shell seek stakes in OMEL's Nigeria blocks
India's ONGC Mittal Energy Ltd (OMEL) may offer equity stakes to Royal Dutch Shell and France's Total in the two offshore blocks it has in Nigeria once a product sharing contract (PSC) is signed, probably later this month, a top official said Wednesday.
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New Delhi, Delhi, India, 2007-01-03 21:30:32 Today's Top Headlines
India's ONGC Mittal Energy Ltd (OMEL) may offer equity stakes to Royal Dutch Shell and France's Total in the two offshore blocks it has in Nigeria once a product sharing contract (PSC) is signed, probably later this month, a top official said Wednesday.
'Shell, Total and Exxon have expressed interest in taking equity stakes in the two offshore deepwater blocks we have got in Nigeria. We will discuss their offer after the production sharing contract has been signed, possibly later this month,' ONGC Videsh managing director R.S. Butola told media here.
OMEL, a joint venture of state-run Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) and the London-based L.N. Mittal Group, is yet to finalise how much equity stakes it would like to offer the global energy majors in the two prospective oil blocks OPL 212 and 209.
OPL 209 is close to Shell's Bongo fields that have reserves of 800 million barrels.
ONGC is inclined to favour Shell's request for the equity stake as it had relinquished its first right in the Campos basin to enable a stake for ONGC Videsh, the overseas investment arm of ONGC.
Butola, however, said the final decision would be based on the terms offered by the firms for the stakes in the exploration blocks, which are expected to yield good oil resources as they adjoin oil-rich fields.
OMEL is meanwhile committed to invest $75 million in the preliminary exploration work programme for each block.
Sinopec Group to focus on overseas acquisitions (5-1-2007)
China's second-largest oil company by assets -China Petrochemical Corp., also known as Sinopec Group will step up efforts to acquire more oil and gas fields in China and overseas, and will also aggressively bid for exploration projects in oil-rich regions. The company plans to boost upstream output by 30% by 2010 as part of its five-year plan. Expectations of higher oil prices this year, have prompted the company to expand its upstream segment at a faster rate than its downstream operations. This can help contain costs, as the company can supply feedstock to its own refineries at a cheaper rate than if it buys crude oil on the international market.
Annual production capacity of ethylene in the Pearl River Delta region grew in 2006. This increase came from an upgrade of an ethylene plant in Maoming city and the opening of a refinery in Hainan, which has an annual processing capacity of 8 million tons. By 2009, one of its units, Sinopec Zhenhai Refining & Chemical Co., will have an annual processing capacity of 20 million tons of crude and an annual ethylene production capacity of 1 million tons. The company also plans to invest CNY53.7 billion to build ethylene plants in Tianjin, Zhenhai, and Guangzhou, and a xylene plant in Nanjing.
China-Africa Cooperation to Break "Products-for-resources" Doctrine
UPDATED: 10:47, January 06, 2007
China-Africa Cooperation to Break "Products-for-resources" Doctrine
In his office in Harare, Frank Wu oversees a team of local administrative staff that run his company, Shomet Industry Development -- one of the largest Chinese companies in Zimbabwe.
Wu was sent to Zimbabwe in 1999 as an employee of a state-owned Chinese enterprise. Two years later, he left the company to start up his own business in the country.
At that time, when some farmers that had benefited from the Zimbabwean land reforms wanted to increase production, Wu found that agricultural machines were badly needed. He bought up some used machines and materials, and managed to re-equip and design them all by himself. Orders started to flood in and along with it, loans from local banks, helping to grow his business.
After its initial success, Wu's company then entered into the local construction, engineering, transportation and furniture sectors. Now all of Wu's businesses have been thriving. Every month he pays wages to nearly 400 local employees, each from 100 to 500 U.S. dollars, compared with the country's annual GDP of no more than 300 U.S. dollars per capita.
Wu lives with his family in Zimbabwe, so he has only been back to China once since they moved. "When I had just started up my business, I could not afford the air tickets, but now I do not have time to go back", said Wu.
However, Frank Wu is not alone -- over 5,300 Chinese-born citizens currently reside in Zimbabwe, helping him to find an outlet with which to disperse his nostalgic mood.
Looking at the bigger picture, Chinese businessmen are now spreading across the African continent - from Somalia on the banks of the Red Sea, to Morocco bordering on the Atlantic Ocean. There is barely an African nation that has been ignored by them.
They build up huge manufacturing plants, providing products ranging from daily necessities and home appliances to motorcycles. They also set up Chinese markets to sell their cheap goods labeling them as 'Made in China'.
The Chinese entrepreneurs have constructed huge infrastructure networks to service the areas surrounding their factories -- ranging from railway networks and houses to hospitals and schools.
In some oil-producing countries like Sudan and Angola, Chinese companies have helped to establish oil refining facilities.
Along with the industrialists, Chinese leaders are not far behind. Chinese President Hu Jintao visited Nigeria, Morocco and Kenya in April this year, and Premier Wen Jiabao swept through seven African countries in June.
In November 2006, Beijing hosted the inaugural Sino-African summit, giving a lavish welcome to leaders of 48 African countries in the hope of forging 'new strategic partnerships'. This paid dividends for both sides, resulting in bigger contracts for Chinese businesses, more aid for Africa and cancellation of debts for the most underdeveloped African nations.
High-level exchanges help to promote international economic relations. Chinese companies, albeit mostly sate-owned, are heading for Africa with more and more employees, technology and investment -- an aggregate 6.3 billion U.S. dollars at present. On top of this, the trade volume between China and Africa has quadrupled since 2000, and is expected to exceed 100 billion U.S. dollars by 2010.
However, the present nature of Sino-African trade -- largely products in return for resources -- has raised concerns that relations between China and Africa has the potential to become akin to that of the old European colonial empires.
Wang Yingying, a researcher with a leading think-tank -- the China Institute of International Studies -- disagrees with this notion, "China's approach to Africa is totally different from that of the old European colonists," she said.
Wang added that, "Controls in politics and sovereignty of a country always accompany colonialism, however, China never intervenes with African countries' domestic affairs, and does not have the intention to do it either."
History has witnessed the violence that European colonists committed in Africa -- as some experts have said, they came for trade at first, and came later with army flags, or, more accurately, the army flags went first, and trade followed. Resources were plundered and people were slaughtered, whilst poverty remained.
Nowadays, some African nations, such as Sudan and Zimbabwe, are undergoing sanctions from the United States and EU Economies declined, people lost jobs, and hyperinflation arose -- inflation in Zimbabwe is expected to exceed 4,000 percent in 2007.
"China's aid to us comes with empressement and without political preconditions", said Prime Minister of Guinea-Bissau Aristides Gomes, "we have no worries in cooperating with China".
Political terms do not exist, let alone interventions. This is in spite of vociferous opposition from the United States and EU, particularly when it comes to Sudan and Zimbabwe.
"Sanctions cannot solve problems, it impoverishes local people. China's approach supports Africa's industrialization, and benefits the people too", said Wang Yingying.
In the face of U.S. and EU pressure, Chinese firms have helped Sudan to establish its own oil industry, resulting in an 8 percent growth in Sudan's economy last year.
Along with the whole Chinese business community, Frank Wu is helping to implement sanction-torn Zimbabwe's economic revival program. He is expected to hire as many as 800 local employees in 2007 when his new real estate project is launched.
Professor Yang Guang, director-general of the Institute of West Asia and Africa Studies, said he believes that, "We cannot mix colonialism with exploiting resources, if we view exploiting resources as colonial behaviour, we will find that the whole world is now conducting colonial actions."
According to Yang, the reason behind the warming of Sino-African relations lies in the different benefits and comparative advantages to their economies. While China has a vast wealth of capital, more advanced technology and administrative experience, Africa has an abundance of unexploited natural resources.
Yang believes that China is on the same road of development as Africa -- albeit a few miles ahead. Compared to economically more developed countries, China only has a cheap labour force and a huge domestic market to offer to potential investors. As China's commerce minister pointed out -- in order to buy an Airbus, Chinese workers have to produce 800 million shirts.
Foreign investment in China has intensified ever since reforms were introduced to open up its domestic market to the outside world. Foreign businesses gained a foothold in China's domestic market and recorded healthy profits, assisted by China's cheap labour costs. However, the benefits of this investment are undoubted. As a result of the swathes of foreign investment in China, the speed of industrialization has accelerated, whilst raising the standard of living.
At the same time, China's exports have been upgraded. Manufactured goods such as machinery, electronic products and textiles have replaced primary products such as grain, minerals and timber.
"Not only should African countries learn from developed countries like Japan, but also some developing countries such as China and India", Namibia's President Pohamba said, "At present, we should peg our eyes to China, for its experience is more valuable for our reference."
Despite the fanfare made by increased Sino-African relations, Wang Yingying admitted that imbalances did exist within the relationship. China's foreign direct investment in Africa, which is more important to development than trade, still cannot match the scale of the bilateral trade.
These problems are being addressed. At the recent Sino-African summit, China set aside a development fund of 5 billion U.S. dollars, which will be primarily used to encourage Chinese companies to invest in Africa.
Some development-oriented methods have also been adopted, such as sending agricultural experts to Africa, and widening the practice of training African staff.
A Chinese idiom says that it's better to teach someone how to fish for themselves rather than to constantly supply them with fish -- where would they be if you could no longer supply it for them!
When Chinese construction companies went to Somalia after its civil war, they could hardly find a brick mason.
Nowadays, various training centers have been set up -- ZTE Corporation, a Chinese telecommunication equipment producer, has now established 15 training centers across the continent, training over 4,500 local employees each year.
ZTE's Vice President Zhang Weimin said that, "Chinese businesses in Africa are not just selling and buying, but helping the local area to enhance its capacity for development."
However, obstacles still exist. Professor Yang pointed out that, "Low investment in Africa is not only a problem for China, but also for the whole world."
Situation became worse as some African nations have a comparatively poorer environment from which to encourage investment -- ranging from unsteady political regimes, corruption, violence and flawed legal systems.
Yang added that, "As China sticks to a non-interference policy with regards to Africa, African countries have to try and solve these problems by themselves."
Encouragingly, the situation across the African continent is gradually improving. As many wars and violence have ended, Africa is now on the way to development -- the continent's economy grew by 5.5 percent in 2005 and is expected to be higher this year.
Referring to the new era of Sino-African relations, Chinese foreign ministry spokesman Qin Gang proclaimed that, "Times have changed, and so has the direction of development in Africa."
This new era in Sino-African relations is heralding a new style of bilateral relations that goes beyond the age-old doctrine of products in return for resources.
Along with many state-owned and private businesses, more and more Chinese entrepreneurs like Frank Wu will head for Africa in search of their fortune while also bringing prosperity to the locals.
Source: Xinhua
Pentagon to create Africa Command
WASHINGTON, Jan. 5 (UPI) -- The U.S. Department of Defense will create an Africa Command to deal with terrorism, acquire oil and compete with Chinese interests in Africa.
Top officials say that the command, suggested by Donald Rumsfeld before he was replaced by Robert Gates as secretary of Defense, will get U.S. President George Bush's support. The president is expected to announce the initiative early this year, the Christian Science Monitor reported Friday.
The command will fight against the known presence of al-Qaida in Africa and plans to secure deals to purchase African oil. The United States currently gets about 10 percent of its oil from Africa, a number that experts say will increase due to tensions in the Middle East. China recently hosted a summit for African leaders and collected $5 billion in oil contracts, the Monitor said.
Several different U.S. military commands oversee U.S. operations in Africa and the new plan would streamline all of the activities on that continent in hopes of a more efficient operation, the newspaper said.
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Total drills in 5,925 ft of water - Angola
Total says it made a new oil find offshore in Angola
The Associated PressPublished: January 3, 2007
PARIS: Total SA and Sociedade Nacional de Combustiveis de Angola said Wednesday they made an oil discovery in the ultra-deep waters of the Angolan offshore that tested at a rate of 3,686 barrels per day.
The Salsa-1 exploration well was drilled in a water depth of 1,806 meters (5,925 feet), Total said in a statement. Technical studies are under way to evaluate the results from the tests, and further exploration drilling is under way and planned across the area.
Sonangol, the state oil company, holds the concession rights for the area where the test well was drilled. The contractor group is formed by Total, which holds a 30 percent interest; Sonangal with 20 percent and Marathon Oil Co. with 30 percent.
Shares in Total were down 0.5 percent €54.85 (US$72.69).
Oil Blocks: SPDC, Total Partner ONGC Mittal
By Fidelia Okwuonu with agency report, 01.05.2007
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The Royal Dutch Shell and Total, may join ONGC Mittal Energy (OMEL), as equity partners in the Nigeria oil blocs, OPLs 212 and 209.
The two oil majors have shown interest in acquiring a stake in the oil blocs which according to an OMEL official swill bring in value to exploration activities in Nigeria, since the companies have large expertise in these regions.
While Shell and ONGC's foreign investment subsidiary, ONGC Videsh (OVL) are partners in the Campos basin in Brazil, and has entered into a broad agreement for joint investments in third countries, Total, if the deal goes through, would open its partnership account with the Indian upstream major in the Nigerian blocs.
OPL 212, one of the relinquished blocs, OMEL will be operating on a lease, is close to the Bonga fields of Shell, a discovered field with reserves of one billion barrel.
The OPL 209 has a reserve of 800 million barrels. "Proximity to these discovered fields and the geological reserves indicate a good potential for these blocks,” an official said.
According to a source, the company, which has committed to investments in the infrastructure developments of Nigeria as part of the deal, is expected to take up projects like building of refineries, pipelines etc.
Partnership with these companies was part of the larger strategic tie-ups of ONGC, where they have entered into quid pro quo deals. Shell had relinquished its first right in the Campos basin to enable a stake for OVL.
It is only logical that similar stakes are offered where it makes commercial sense to have them as partners, the official said.
Nigeria: Obasanjo Desperate, Says Atiku
Vanguard (Lagos)
January 5, 2007
Posted to the web January 5, 2007
Bolade Omonijo
VICE PRESIDENT Atiku Abubakar, yesterday, said President Olusegun Obasanjo was overwhelmed by the successes he had recorded in the courts and had resorted to desperate tactics. The vice president spoke from his United States base where he is currently on vacation.
The Vice President said he had anticipated the declaration of his seat vacant, his expulsion from the ruling People's Democratic Party (PDP) and the refusal to allow him the use of the presidential jet on his trip to the United States of America despite obtaining permission from the President.
The Vice President said: "After the president had approved everything and now I was winning the cases in court and then got the AC nomination, I think it became too much for him and ordered the jet grounded. The approval was withdrawn on Wednesday.
"We had anticipated all their possible reactions before I left Nigeria, and our media and legal teams are responding. We have done our research and the position of the constitution is clear about how to remove the vice president," he said.
Reacting to PDP's decision to expel him and ask the president to remove him, Vice President Atiku said the PDP was not empowered as a party to declare his office vacant or remove him from his elected position.
He said the constitution anticipated the removal of the president and the vice president only through impeachment proceedings at the National Assembly, or death, or resignation or if the occupant suffers permanent incapacity.
After a National Executive Committee (NEC) meeting of the PDP in Abuja last week, the party decided to expel Atiku and asked the president as "the leader of the party ... to take those actions which the constitution equips him to take to restore the structure of the presidency in accordance with Article 142 which contains the requirement that whoever is to occupy the office of the vice president shall be in the same political party with the president."
But the vice president responded, saying what the PDP had asked the president to do was beyond the powers of the president. "There is no basis in law for the PDP to declare my seat vacant, PDP cannot remove the vice president, nor the courts."
Also reacting to the attacks on him by the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Mallam Nasir el-Rufai, Vice President Atiku said: "El-Rufai is a loud mouth...he should tell the whole world what deals I did at BPE for the four years I was Chairman and he was Director-General of the organisation."
In an interview with Elendureports.com at his Washington residence, Vice President Atiku whose sack from office is the subject of litigation before an Abuja court cited the example of President Obasanjo who was in jail in 1998 shortly before his release was effected in time to contest the 1999 presidential election. According to the Vice President, "Obasanjo went from jail to the presidency. Why should I fear going to jail."
Scoffing at the suggestion that he is on exile, Atiku said: "I will come back to Nigeria after my vacation." He also denied running away to the United States to escape arrest following his acceptance to run for the office of president on the platform of Action Congress (AC). "President Obasanjo gave approval for this trip about one and a half months before I travelled. This is what I do annually," he said.
Earlier in another interview, Vice President Atiku insisted that his new political party would stand up to the PDP in the election and secure victory.
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Sounding confident, the vice president described those suggesting that he might be disqualified from the presidential race as engaging in wishful thinking.
The vice president who described the PDP as an empty shell predicted that the National Assembly would have much to do in the period leading up to the April 21, 2007 presidential election. His words: "I expect many things to happen, including a discussion of the attempt to declare my seat vacant and I also expect them (the legislators) to consider the Petroleum Technology Development Fund report."
The vice president confirmed that leaders of the AC had been holding meetings in the USA to map out strategies to wrest power from the PDP this year.
Nigeria, Iran sign big oil deal
Jan 5, 2007, 17:15 GMT
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LAGOS, Nigeria (UPI) -- Nigeria and Iran have agreed to establish a multi-billion-dollar joint-venture oil company, several Nigerian oil industry officials said.
The unnamed venture would design, construct and install offshore oil platforms, the (Lagos) Vanguard reported.
'We seek to expand the operating environment,' Nigerian state petroleum Minister Edmund Daukoru said. 'You know it is very narrow and we just cannot leave it like that.'
The deal, whose specific value was not made public, followed months of negotiations, the newspaper said.
Both countries are members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. OPEC generally encourages cooperation among its membership, the newspaper said.
You might want to check XOM's financial reports. They seem to be doing pretty good.
ND9
30Crappie, ok,thanks - I wish I had some flame. Actually, I'm just hanging on, hoping for news..... so in my spare time, I thought I would take a crack at one of oily's riddles.
ND9
Daaaaa - yes, I know. I was the one who wrote that dummy.
Oilphant, is "mud" an acronym? Could it stand for something else like MPE, United Emirates, Dubai Bank or something???????
I don't know, just dreaming I guess..............
thanks,
ND9
Badog - ok, good point. Maybe SEO did try and find somebody with African/GOG experience but couldn't ..... Bad choice of words on my part.
thanks,
ND9