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I love it down at these levels.....IF you dont need the $$ for a year or so then all of you should also. Relax....sell the dog, or the wife or mortgage the house buy what you can and learn how to live large...cause its gonna happen. BTH, you are highly credible but short changing this stock by capping at $60 or below is just plain foolish...no personal attack intended.
not to mention half a million from my personal account...
EPIC needs to and will come through large. Both the U.S. and EMA labels defy logic....its like nobody is paying attention to the needs of the patients.
I have zero concern...honestly. The story is intact and getting better all the time. Ariad still a no brainer
And thanks for the 500 additional shares at 19.69
At least this is being walked down in an orderly fashion...once again, I believe the left-overs from the offering are getting scooped up and then you look at some of the posts on this board this morning and some want to jump ship...which is intuitive but the incorrect move. And each time the weak retail guy gets nervous it just gives the institutional buyers a little more profit over time. Dont be nervous...just buy when there is 'blood in the streets'....of course that is only if your blood pressure can handle it.....
Maybe not but capitulation has to occur at some point.....
it still amazes me that there were shares available from the last offering...that is probably where this is going to end...which isnt bad...IF someone exhausts that supply
The real problem now is that we have broken the 200 sma so if short covering doesnt occur at the offer price of $19.60 we will fall through the floor to somewhere in the $18 area. Truly a sad state...
Strictly a lack of trust issue in my opinion. It is nearly impossible to have going what Ariad does (positive in every instance) and not be euphorically high priced.
Conversation on CNBC a few days ago where the "experts" are expecting the largest company in the world to be an up and coming biotech...not aapl or goog. I would say that ARIA has that shot...there certainly isnt another biotech with that possibility. If there is, I would like to hear it.
Just go with the flow...we have another buck to 2 bucks left to the downside I believe....then who knows. One thing that is for certain...if our headlines had been attached to ANY other biotech this would be sitting at new highs. The action since approval is entirely irrational but you cant fight it..just buy more
Actually, looking like a better short position. Something doesnt smell right....
Aaaaaaaand, the turd keeps sliding. Lots of distrust or people just not paying attention
aaaaand the biggest turd on the nasdaq begins its morning rollover ritual to finish red.....
Strange that the 50sma and the 200sma have been within .03 cents of each other since Feb 26. Seems like some kind of knowledge can be gleaned from something like that.....but I dont know what it is...
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=ARIA+Interactive#symbol=aria;range=6m;compare=;indicator=sma(50,200)+volume;charttype=area;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=off;source=undefined;
Ya, I misread it...thanks.
Still, Rachel is in the wrong line of work. I hear Dairy Queen is hiring
Yep, I can see the scenario....Rachel sitting there with her thumb in her a$$ around the table with fellow incompetents..."Hey, lets raise the EPS and REV estimates but lower the PT...ya, that'll get em"
Ya lets take 70 bucks when in under 10 years it will be worth 700 bucks.....you have odd math
This turd should have broken away from the market yesterday. Still more nonbelievers than believers. People are just stupid in general I guess.
apljack, thanks much for the depth of the information. Exactly the detail that I needed.
Best,
G$
thanks for the great information Dew. I appreciate the contact.
G$
thanks blade, I wanted to get some universal input if I could get it prior to the doc visit. I appreciate the info.
G$
Highly knowledgeable medical professionals:
Are there ANY antidepressants without sexual side effects?
Thanks for any input.
I will not be surprised but I will not bank on it either.
Mainly because the sample data is only for 3 weeks so a true trend may not be visible. A true trend to me is a few quarters worth of data..... and it is a new launch where anything could happen given the short time frame the reps were given to work within. I am still a raging bull longer term (6 months - 1 plus years) and would be/am a buyer on ALL weakness.
I am on your side 100% as far as hope goes....but sometimes you can hope in one hand and $&^! in the other and hope doesnt fill up too fast.
I think it depends on which "pool" of data you prefer....I bet there are several "expert reports" out there that claim to know the actual number of scripts....none of them 100 percent correct. Not saying the numbers we have seen are erroneous....just not completely accurate.
I have not heard differently but any of those numbers being thrown out there by us or analysts are entirely guesses. Bottom line, nobody knows for sure until we hear Harv blurt them out.
the make or break for the current stock action is on Feb 25....the slightest hint of expectations for Pona sales not being met(even if only 3 weeks worth) and we see $17-$18 once again. Unfortunately, that as the most likely scenario imho
Ok lax, just keep your eyes open. Like shooting fish in a barrel.
I believe it will happen because it has happened with other biotechs...generally around company changing decision points though. Also, shares are getting in relatively short supply so shaking the tree to take out EVERY stop...no matter how far down it needs to go will be a priority for those last second Institutions looking to play the ride and the MM's to fill those orders.
I think this is obviously intentional price erosion to the $19.50ish point for massive accumulation personally. Wait till this baby has one of those quick $5 dips for a minute on a classic raid and then goes parabolic to near $30 over the day. It is coming. There are no doubts.
I personally think that Civic should call in to the cc and ask about the NVS buyout potential.....
Agree on all.
No but I can be hopeful
Who says the offering couldnt be at say.....$22..give us some price levity almost immediately...and $22 is a fair price to me and i believe would be to say JPM...who will underwrite. But thats just me...
You ought to be on this side of the fence.....
get over it....I bought again in the very near Friday close....accumulation...accumulation...accumulation. If you have the ability to add here and arent....then you have no business being in this line of work..period. Mark this post. ARIA will be a $100 stock in 24 months or less. I have never lost on a holding...ever. I have traded in and out stocks and made a ton of money. Lost on some trades but win out over all.....PANL, AMRN, CTIX, SRPT large...and this is just a few. You dont ever want to trade Ariad. Just buy it until I say otherwise. The science is flawless or as flawless as it needs to be.
Happy Holidays and God bless,
G$
Well, that is a backhand in the face. I think she will prove to be painfully wrong.
Has anyone listened to an Enbrel commercial? Seems a person is more likely to die if they take the drug. the ENTIRE commercial is a list of deadly AE's.....and then to have PT's lowered is so laughable that I cannot comprehend it....
The label gave them everything....as broad as it could be..... except Front line and we know that is coming. from :45 seconds on says it all. buy buy buy!