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SHOM Quickdraw007's pick
GLER - more huge news!
GLER huge today +100%+ penny and beyond
GLER rockin' and rollin' - here comes multi-penny land
MXMI - sweet!
The PR says some advertisers value subscribers up to $90 per, but for a small company, that's high, though I like the model going after those who like the finer things in life. At $1 per subscriber, that's $15mm or 25 cents a share.
MXMI - low float
Signed an agreement picking up 15 million subscribers. Even at $1 per subscriber, it's huge.
15 million subscribers, even at $1 per, it's huge for a company this size.
I think FEEL needs to get their grips back into Golf Galaxy and Dick's, and maybe run some joint promos, and soon. We got some snow in the NY area, so there's still time to get on the early season train. They're available from Golfworks, the clubmaker susidiary of Dick's/Golf Galaxy. But I also think they need to rethink their pricing policy. I'm a clubmaker and the grips are a great help to many -- it's a good product. But they retail at $9.99 and since they're not made from the premium compounds that Winn Grips are made from (which retail in the $7-$9 range), they're at a disadvantage. If they could reprice at about $5, a little above the jumbo and unisize standard grips, I think they'd get a lot more people to try their product -- the resistance to the $10 grip is great. Now Winn Grips feel wonderful new, but they do deteriorate quickly -- you really need to replace every 25-30 rounds, which to an avid golfer in the northern half of the country would be twice a year -- but when you feel a new one in the shop, you think, well, maybe I will spend $7 on this. And you don't know that they deteriorate more quickly, until you hit 100 shots with your wedge at the range one day. Golfers see the ads in the magazines with top teaching pros and think they're getting a real game improvement product. But it's just a regular grip that feels nice.
FEEL grips can do more for the average players game, but when they pick one up in the shop, they're more curious than sold. The shape feels different in the hands but the assistance that the shape will give the player isn't obvious. And in a shop, even one with a screen and monitor, you really can't see how it can straighten out your shots. It only comes when a player hits 15 or 20 shots and gets used to the feeling of being able to really throw the club at the ball, and they see better distance and more accuracy.
Maybe with some of the ProLine revenues, they can do a targeted campaign, either with Golf Galaxy, Golfsmith or one of the other chains, build awareness and maybe get some coupons out. The $99.99 for a 13 grip pack is a little high -- maybe if they made that $65-$70, people would be willing to give them a try. because I know that once they give them a try, a lot of people do really like them.
The wedges, on the other hand, are great, and are priced with the competition. I have a couple of old ones, and I still use them. But up against Titlelist Vokey and Cleveland's advertising onslaught, it's hard to get traction in the wedge market. They need to get a bigger name to plug them, even if it's somebody not terribly active anymore.
SFSH
Thanks for the info -- looks like it's ready for breakout
SFSH - Confirmation of news!
My name is Craig Frank, CEO of Tudog International Consulting. I see that there has been a great deal of talk on this Board around the press release issued today by SinoFresh Healthcare, Inc.
I apologize that we do not have a fully updated website. We are in the process of developing a new website - a rather large endeavor with more than 300 articles and a much clearer definition of our services. Since this is in progress, we have not been updating the website, thinking any day now the new site will be up (it is taking much longer than we expected).
Excuses aside, Neil Swartz is a partner in Tudog and the Director of the Capital division. He is a 20+ year veteran of the capital markets and among the best at what he does.
We are excited to be working with SinoFresh and believe the Company to be a great opportunity. It has excellent management, a great product and a clearly defined market (for which it offers an excellent solution). We will be working diligently to provide the Company with resources so that it can execute its business plan.
If anyone has any questions please feel free to email me at craig@tudog.com. I feel awful that the validity of this deal is being questioned by some because of my oversight. I will respond to everyone who inquires personally.
Thanks.
Kinda quiet trading action - I see people talking about L2 difficulties -- that could be part of the problem
Some traders bailed late -- have to expect it when it's up 50% in a day, especially when the markets were ratty overall
.001s tomorrow!
With the breakout day on the board, and the great day for the shares, this will be the talk of the town tomorrow. Still plenty of room to run
FBCD rolling today - take out those .003s
I think the ProLine acquisition will help a great deal -- the ball retrievers alone could bring the shares back into the pennies. I wouldn't mind seeing them produce an infomercial about the grips to air on the Golf Channel. Infomercials are expensive, but if they used CEO Lee Miller and maybe Bill Glasson and paid them in shares, spent half the time on the grips and the other half on the wedges, and how they can cut strokes, they'd get their point across on two product lines. I mean, those Hammer drivers sell like crazy from those infomercials and nobody seems to actually like them -- there are always tons of them available on EBay.
So what's the deal - 5 bagger? 10 bagger?
PR was kinda fluffy and and I don't know if mentioning Pepsi and Coke in their target market is the best idea. I'd like to see them talk about licensing the patent as well as making and distributing the beverages themselves.
I heard rumors the losses are closer to $14 billion, rather than the $7 billion or so they wrote down. Don't know if that's true or just exaggeration somewhere. Anybody else hear anything different?
Bob
I was just a youngster when they opened up The Church Of What's Happening Now. I wasn't sure it was still open.
Maybe Wiley should ditch the bus gizmos and just try to license Kiddie Kid to Saban or Disney or some other company for Saturday morning television. Maybe Troy McClure could do the voice-overs for safety-oriented film strips.
Bob
Well, the charity has been set up so people contribute to having ATWEC products installed on buses. It's quite ingenious in a way -- set up a charity that will sell your products. The charity doesn't keep the money, it funnels it into ATWT. Now I don't know how the IRS might feel about such a scheme, but it won't matter if the charity doesn't install anything.
Bob
Metro,
It was daystar1 as I recall who started doing some distribution with them.
Bob
I hope they announce that there's been more going on than Richlonn's five stores. They're part of the Goodyear/Gemini group -- so there's hope.
Bob
Computerguy,
I've got 11.25 million shares and I'm just sitting and waiting. Still think 2-3 cents is a good possibility. Beyond that, we need some speculation and frenzy, but that certainly happens enough with the pennies. It seems to be taking longer than we hoped, I expected more from their summer season, but assorted delays seems to have pushed real progress into the Winter and Spring. I wish I had some more dry powder to load up a little more -- a couple million more shares for flipping here and there would help the average a bit (.0042)
Bob
Folkie,
Best post of the year, so far. I only wish the share price action was as spirited as the grammar disccusion.
Bob
Did anybody tape the World Cup of Golf? I forgot about it until it was almost over on Sunday -- and by then, Horrobin was long since finished. Would be nice to know if ATWEC got on TV.
Bob
As far as the sponsorhip of Peter Horrobin goes, for our sake, I hope they're giving him shares. He's spent this year on the Minor League Golf Tour, one of several regional minitours which are below the regular PGA Tour, the Nationwide (formerly Hogan) Tour, and the Hooters Tour. It seems he's been able to qualify for a couple of Nationwide events. He made the cut but finished last in a field of 62 in the Nationwide event in late October down in Miami. We can't expect a lot of network exposure here.
Bob
I don't know how much a symbol change might do as long as the MMs are holding it back. There was massive shorting of JPHC, they did that lame reverse merge with APOA and became Paivis, but it's still a mess and there was never a short squeeze before the merger and MMs did not deliver shares. As long as the SEC doesn't really go after the market makers and brokerages that fail to deliver they'll continue on their merry way doing what they please.
I would like to see them announce a buyback. That $500,000 could buy over 20% of the authorized shares at current prices, and it would show confidence that company will be profitable and is growing by leaps and bounds. They do have those credit lines in case they need them. Even a $200,000 buyback would make a statement.
Bob
rvz: My average is 43. It's depressing indeed. We hire Investsource and the stock price goes nowhere. Meanwhile, check out this announcement from Knobias Clip Report -- Wiley must've hired the wrong firm. OSSG was up 177.78% yesterday.
RETAINS REDWOOD CONSULTANTS LLC: Online Sales Strategies Inc. (OSSG) announced that it has retained Redwood Consultants, LLC to assist the company with its market communications, investor relations and strategic planning activities. A full-service investor relations firm headquartered in Novato, Calif., Redwood Consultants specializes in creating credible awareness of its clients’ corporate potential to the financial community through communications with analysts, market makers, institutions, retail stockbrokers, and individual investors worldwide. Redwood will play a vital role in business development programs and providing investors with up-to-date information and continual communication, through various methods, as part of Online Sales Strategies commitment to its investors
Bob
Ah, stevo -- I love those stories -- they bring joy to my heart, and someday, I hope, to my wallet. LOL
Bob
JP:
A lot of smaller or not yet profitable companies are often discussed using "price to sales." That's the ratio of the share price divided by the total sales per share of the company. Bigger and/or profitable companies are compared more frequently using the PE or "price/earnings" ratio, which is the share price divided by the earnings per share. If a stock is trading at $20 a share and it earned $1 per share last year, they say it's trading at a P/E of 20. Now in order to earn that $1 per share, the company probably sold anywhere from $10 to $50 or more per share of goods.
As an example, Google's P/E is around 60, I believe, but its P/S (price/sales ratio) is probably about 15. Google makes about 25 cents on every dollar they sell, and that's after all their expenses. But ATWT hasn't shown any earnings history, we're just in the first quarter of the first year they'll have any significant sales. Most smaller companies will get bought out at from 1 to 5 times sales. For a company that's growing, 2-3 times gross sales is not unreasonable. Now there are plenty of pinkies that sell for 100 times sales and have no earnings. Perhaps we'll get closer to that with some interest and euphoria for ATWT.
Bob
Smitty,
As long as you don't put more at risk than you can afford, I think you'll definitely see better returns on this in the next year or two than most mainstream investments. It's selling at one times (contracted) sales and will probably be profitable this fiscal year. Even if it only gets to 2-3 cents by end of 2007, it's a pretty good return. My average is about .0043, and while I'm a little tired of it bouncing around so low, I'm not worried about my investment here. We're all greedy and want those 50-100 baggers, but this has a pretty good chance to be a 10-20 bagger in a year, and maybe much more.
Bob
Skully,
I agree with you on some of their timing issues. The AFs for last year won't be pretty, we already know what they contain. But I can't think of any reason to delay releasing them. I had the same problem with ATWT not releasing forecasts of any kind before the accountants got through with the audits for the last few years. Large, listed companies release forecasts all the time, their quarterly results are not audited, and sometimes they miss their forecasts and sometimes they surpass them. Wiley does work hard on maintaining credibility, but reasonable guesses shouldn't be forbidden. By saying they'll release their audited numbers when they apply to the QX, does this mean if the plug gets pulled on the QX since there aren't enough companies to make it worthwhile, or some other reason, ATWT won't file audited financials? Your guess is as good as mine.
Bob
Smitty,
All of us longs want it go to the moon; about a dozen of the names you see here probably have about 125-150 million shares combined, if not more. But if ATWT starts getting more contracts with FY2007 sales in the $100k-$250k range, and then every few months they put out a reminder PR tallying up the contracts signed, I think this will start moving.
They already PRd $1.25 million in sales just from West Bend Insurance, Mississippi, Louisiana and Wisconsin Head Starts. They projected revenue of $500k from the security business. If they finalize the other insurance deal with Morgan/Progressive, which is supposed to be significantly bigger than the West Bend endorsement, and sign up a few more Head Starts (not even mentioning a few big school districts), we can easily expect revenues of $5 million. Then there's the retail presence, which is supposedly coming -- 1900 tire stores and a possible home shopping TV appearance have been bandied about. Maybe they can sell another 20,000 units to consumers this year.
I haven't had contact with Wiley for several months, as some of the other regulars here have been pretty diligent sharing ideas with Wiley and reporting back. But from what they say, he's been trying to get deals done AND continues to tinker with other ideas. The African-American angle can only help with government contracts, so if a few more states join the bandwagon, you can see some pretty big jumps in revenue. I don't think the company has to post huge profits, just something positive, and the stock price should take off.
Bob
Smitty,
I think 10 cents is quite possible. I think they might reach sales in the $10 million range for FY2007 and twice that for FY2008. If their margins hold up and they don't spend too much on overhead and show somwhere between 1/4 and 1/2 cent per share profit in FY2007, they could get to a quarter or more on some speculative frenzy. Not too many pinks are profitable, so if they show any meaningful profit, it could really take off. But I feel that's about the best case scenario for sales and profit -- not necessarily stock price. If their sales are $4-5 million for FY2007 and they're about breakeven, then 3-4 cents is probably the limit. But you never know how the markets will react.
I figure a small, growing company, with little debt and some money in the bank, should garner at least 3 times sales, which with what they've already announced, would be a penny or so -- right now. The market might be thinking there's some technology risk, that some other technology could qcuikly overtake ATWT. But from what we've heard, Wiley has the company fairly diversified (pressure sensors for fire departments, security business, etc.), so this isn't a one trick pony. And for a lot of the markets for Kiddie Systems, more technology isn't necessarily better. Otto, the school bus driver from the Simpsons, is a stereotype, but simple is usually better when it comes to government and quasi-government services.
Wiley seems to be on the up and up, at least so far, and that's a breath of fresh air. It certainly doesn't seem like his whole purpose in life is to enrich himself. So while I have my fingers crossed for more than a dime in the next year or so, I doubt I'll be holding all my shares until it reaches a dime. And I doubt I'll have sold all my shares when/if it does.
Bob
Stevo -- I agree with you about the audited financials. They'll be audited for last year -- big deal! The stock is trading at about one times sales of deals/expectations they've already announced. Most of us longs feel that Wiley is v-e-r-y conservative in what he'll announce, that if it's not written in stone, he's not willing to hazard a guess.
We all get down -- I thought we'd be closing in on 2-3 cents by now, too. And we kick ourselves for the opportunities we have missed. I started buying ATWT before LFWK took off and considered dabbling in that. But a friend of mine who retired at 42 used to say that diversification is for wimps. He'll be 49 in January and has enjoyed seven years of retirement already, due to some very concentrated stock bets. I'm deeply envious.
But let's say this time next year, if the OTCQX really does get off the ground and is a viable listing with more than a handful of stocks, and ATWT reports sales of $8-$10 million for the year, and trades at about 3 times sales, that'll be 4 cents. With some speculation and market movements, maybe it can reach a dime here and there. None of this is unrealistic. It's just taking more patience than a lot of us have.
Bob
I only want to be successful here. I've made some and lost some on smaller plays, and lost more than I've made on bigger ones, but if this is a big success, than I can start working part-time as I shuffle off toward retirement
bob
Let's get this to the April 2005 price of about 18 cents -- now that'll make a nice payday for Investsource and all of us longs.
Bob
And commercial accounts generate much more than $20 a month or so that you get from residential acocunts. Office buildings and office parks can't afford not to pay to secure their premises. Just as with the Kiddie line, it's a small price to pay compared to one lawsuit.
Bob
According to Parking's own website, they serve 19 airports (w/two locations in Phoenix), but that's neither here nor there. They're California-based, so I guess that they look at local companies to provide the security. But who knows, maybe this can grow into a nationwide contract. That's wishful thinking now, but as contracts expire at other locations......
This shows the security business is moving along and growing, which is a nice complement to the automotive gizmos.
Bob