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If republicans are real this time, they should
block dovish Yellen Fed chairman who will prolong bernanke money scam to 2014 mid term election (need 6 more republican senates to pass 60 votes).
Tough call here.
As expected, GS will run down the stock market and
buy up all the individual shares. No logic? Not if you understand how GS control this stock market.
ah: no crash yet as long as QEs keep coming,
obama just toy the market to say wall street should get serious about the shut down. But he knows well, he has all the control. obama won't let the market crash to screw up the 2014 mid term election.
Dow confirmed the correction than just a pull back, now
let see if the SPX, Nasdaq, and global markets follow Dow or vice verse.
ah: That's what everyone think based on past few years
GOP chicken actions. But I think this time republican congresses are real. Congresses just passed a resolution that all shut down workers can still get the pay for this shut down. So they are prepare for a long fight until obama feel the need to stop the shut down.
As I said, GS will slowly and surely run down the
market till obama give in the government shut down fight. Once obama agree to republican term and stop the shut down, the sky will be limit.
GS will buy up all the shares you sell in this process.
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=92602434
If ECB going to cut rate to 0% and do more QEs as US soon,
there is no way euro can hold up its value. how will this affect the markets (euro, usd, gold, silver, oil, PMs, stock) is remained to be seen.
Especially market still has no correction since Nov 2012.
Can someone get republican get rid of this clown,
Boehner almost saying he should raise debt ceiling or it's republican fault at Oct 17. He has been dumm for so long. He is no contest to obama.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/101084189
All the medias (CNMC, CNN, Bloomberg) and banks (GS)
are on obama side to blame republican congresses for shutting down government and not raising debt ceiling. None of them ask obama what he should do to resolve the issues.
The problem is, american people still too naive to know what obama is doing.
As long as you guys don't pile in shorts/puts
to stir up CPC/CPCE, the selling will be slowly and surely.
Another logic is, these republicans won't give in
this time as they did in past 4 years. Their approval rating is so low to the point that it doesn't really matter. SO they will stick to the point where poeple start to ask obama to give in.
So obama is the key here.
With medias continue blame republican congresses the
shut down and little talk above obama's responsibility. obama will likely to keep this shut down going to maximize republican damage.
What a country with little brains.
NW: ECB will cut rate to 0.25% and follow with
third round of europe QE. This will have negative impact to euro (street seems to forget about this now with US turmoil). Lower euro then have negative impact to Gold/silver, PMs.
I don't think market price this in yet.
The wolf is real this time, but no one
seems to believe it.
QEs won't end until people physically stop it,
just look at those killed mid east presidents as example. But
american people still too dumm to see it yet.
ECB is ready cut rates and QE due to
weak europe recovery while most europe indexs near 5 years highs? The final piece of puzzle is in.
http://money.cnn.com/2013/10/02/news/economy/europe-ecb/index.html?iid=Lead
GS want an ordering sell, not gamblers at puts,
so whenever there is spike at CPC/CPCE, they rally the market to kick out the put gamblers. GS will buy slowly and surely before obama agree to let the government run in full speed.
Obviously, the chance bernanke stop the QE3/QE4 before he leaves is almost 0 as I said.
Well, Bulls have no fear though, once obama
toy the rep congresses and american people enough. He will agree to keep the gov going. Without the stop of QE3/QE4, the sky is the limit.
You have to very good to play the bear side.
Sorry, it's not even lend, it's "give",
banks don't give me the money to spend and it's banks fault. I am surprised that a lot american buy it.
obama sole blame to rep congresses is like saying,
banks don't lend me the money. Why can't you american just ask banks the money to spend and problem solved.
Someone dumped the gold heavily while
Nasdaq/RUT rally to new highs. Care to find out who is the "one" and it's link to GS?
GS probably didn't expect republican congresses really turn hard this time.
Nasdaq hit new high?
is shut down real?
US gov shut down and someone is dumping
GOLD/PMs while USD dive under $80.
Any logic behind the these trades?
Republican congresses are real this time, but most still
think they are playing wolf coming game.
Now, as I said, it's all in obama hands to stop the damage of shut down. How far will obama let the shut down go? That's how far the correction will go.
you are the one (obama) ask for help (money) and refuse to negotiate, you are the fault. But american people don't seem to have such logic.
Republican congresses have gave up all the fights with obama
since they have majority 2010 and they still have only 10% approval rating? You wrong if you fight and you wrong if you don't fight? So what american people want? Get rid of congress and name obama the new KING of american?
The pattern almost repeat year 2011 at Dow,
Nasdaq/spx are much stronger this time due to nonstop QE3/QE4. The one year no correction rally, the three peaks, and the debt ceiling fight which led to SPX downgrade US equity from AAA to AA+. The main difference is QE2 end at June 2011. But QE3/QE4 is endless at this time.
ah: it's about political, not economics,
obama will play the reps in his hands to let people think reps are the ones try to screw up the economics. Obviously, he won't go to extreme to risk the big market drop. He need to keep this long rally going to Nov 2014 mid term election, so dem can continue control the senate majority and he is free for rest of his term.
Do you really believe obama care about gov healthcare for everyone? I don't. If now the blame is shift to rep, he is more than likely to give it up.
ah: 10% correction look doable,
it's all depend on how tough both parties are. The longer the fight, the deeper the correction. This maybe reps' last chance to fight, or they have to say goodbye to the Nov 2014 mid term election if they give in again.
But obama still in driver seat to stop this correction anytime he wants, so it won't alter the long bull trend since March 2009.
I am wondering what can stop this endless rally
since ben issued QE3/QE4 Nov 2012. I didn't expect republican congresses really turn hard this time.
Get neutral here. If republican is real this time, the correction could be deep.
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=92410695
Is wolf real this time?
Look like republican congresses get serious this time after give up on every debt ceiling fights since they have majority 2010.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/101070538
Again, until these useless republican congresses or
dumm american people can stop obama/bernanke money flush QEs scam, the rally continue.
We know the gambler (obaba/bernanke) will have deadly consequence eventually (guarantee), but until someone (useless congresses or dumm american people) physically stop them, the gambling will continue. I just don't see how this going to happen.
Once these republican debt ceiling show pass Oct 17, rally continue to Oct 30 FOMC meeting.
ah: yes, toady low number almost fool me,
but the triple witching option max pains don't lie. If they don't get to Sep max pain at expire due to this month FOMC meeting (bernanke demands market near high when he speaks), it usual get to Oct max pain at end of Sep triple witching month. It's little under spx 1700 (type in spy in following site).
Since no bernanke speak at next Oct 30 FOMC meeting, it's almost guarantee no taper/stop QE3/QE4 at next meeting too, or bernanke need the speak to comfort the market right after meeting. This lead me to believe bernanke won't stop QE3/QE4 at all before he leaves office Jan 2014.
My bet is, bernanke wants to leave office at high note (historical high stock markets) to honor himself as Fed chairman, so he decides not to stop QE3/QE4 at all. Because he knows once he call the stop, the market will have harsh correction. Why he ruin his own perfect scam near his end?
http://www.optionpain.com/OptionPain/Option-Pain.php
Well, CPC/CPCE back to normal, alarm is off.
CPC/CPCE under 0.5, this is not a good sign for further rally,
Someone knew something bad is coming? stay neutral here.
Knowing GS plan is the only way you can
trade in this market- kill most option gamblers near max pain 1700. With no major pre warnings from big companies, the rally continue to fully squeeze out the bears.
We can ignore these useless republican congresses at all.
juman: nothing will change the market except QEs,
market will run to the new high near next FOMC meeting Oct 30. Any pull back in between really mean nothing. Surprise me that GS let the bears free at spx 1712.5 squeeze again.
As far as these useless republican congresses, as usual, they kneel down to obama till Nov debt ceiling fight. Until they do something to save themselves and people, we can ignore them totally.
Well, short squeeze above spx 1712.5 is override by
triple witching max pain play at spx 1700. GS simply won't let you make any money under anywhere its watch.
So the only one can stop this market rally are these
useless republican congresses. But to expect these dumms to do something right probably not going to happen.
juman: QEs bit ben? No way,
ben knows exactly how the QEs work to push up markets. To leave the office at high note (stock market), he will let the new Fed to end QE3/QE4 to take the blame of market drop.
bernanke probably the smartest person I even seen in american.
With the hype from iphone5c/5s and some upside at
aapl revenue (5% from 0% quarterly growth), it can certainly rally aapl further up and whole markets to new high as AMZN/GOOG/QCOM.
Not that earnings mean anything under bernanke. We know the result (no stop of QE3/QE4), just get a reason to support to.
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