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Over the past few years I've shifted my Intel holdings into the TDIV ETF. This ETF has 50% of it's holdings in APPL, MSFT, INTC, QCOM, ORCL, CSCO, TSM, TXN, IBM etc. The yield at around 2% is less than Intel's 3% dividend but single stock risk is avoided and volatility during earnings season is smoothed out. Plus I don't listen to earnings conference calls anymore! This ETF has gained about 20% in the past year and around 11% over the past 3 years.
Anyway something to think about.
OT: Trend following
I no longer own ANY individual names in my portfolio including Intel. A few years ago I developed an ETF trend-following model that focuses on risk management to minimize draw downs in our portfolio. It's not that unique, there are lots of trend-following strategies out there.
But since my wife and I both retired early some years ago, draw downs became more significant emotionally than they were when we were working. I don't hit any home runs anymore, although I didn't hit that many before :), but this strategy provides growth during uptrends and minimizes draw downs during down trends. The model uses price and price ONLY to recognize market volatility to ignore (and hold) vs. volatility to respect (and reduce).
Would be happy to share more should you or anyone else start investigating trend-following strategies.
I'm assuming 80% long means 80% long equities? If so, that sounds pretty aggressive to me even if 80% of that is in defensive dividend paying stocks.
Of course age and risk tolerance are important vectors here but still seems aggressive which is counter to your last point.
Market fractals tell us that the same security can be a 'buy', 'hold' and a 'sell' all at the SAME moment in time when evaluated across multiple timeframes. Meaning the the 10 day MA might cross above the 21 day giving a BUY signal at the same time the 50 day is crossing below the 200 day giving a sell signal at the same time the 20 week remains above a rising 50 week giving a hold or 'do nothing' signal.
Which signals have more weight and should be respected vs. which signals have less weight and should be ignored? The answer depends completely on your trading timeframe and your discipline in following your model.
200 week? Who mentioned the 200 week? In any case you missed my point. Crossing the 200 day moving average is indeed worthy of note but so is the rain we're getting in Northern California. My point was that it's not actionable unless you consider it in the context of market fractals and your own personal trading timeframe.
You sound like someone that has just discovered technical analysis and the smoothing effect of moving averages.
The 200 day is not the end-all, be-all for trading using a trend following system. Markets are fractal by nature and must be evaluated over multiple timeframes using multiple moving averages. And all of that has to evaluated in the context of your OWN investing timeframe.
For example a swing trader needs to give more weight to the 11, 20 and 50 day SMA over the 200 day while a long term investor might give more weight to the 20, 40 and 50 week SMA.
In other words your frame is EVERYTHING when it comes TA and quoting the 200 day in isolation is of very limited value no matter what Paul Tudor Jones says.
Please describe 'the disaster we are now facing'. But if it includes a bunch of predictions about how markets (price) will behave in the intermediate term future, well in that case don't bother.
That is awesome news! Thanks for sharing that observation. It's like having our own personal reporter on the ground!
He's a paid shill, an influence peddler. It's a living.
An Intel employee (or contractor) or a Costco employee with a cool shirt? Going to our Costco tomorrow, if I see one I'll ask.
There is nothing you quoted there that is anti-immigration. Read it carefully.
Building the tallest, thickest, strongest and most impenetrable wall in the world on US borders is not remotely anti-immigration. In fact you could argue it would encourage more legal immigration and would increase public support for more legal immigration.
Which begs the question: what would today's Intel be like if Sean Maloney had not suffered his stroke?
yeah I'm not one of those people. I only care about myself and what kind of profits I'm pulling in. I'm not part of your 'general effort', sorry.
Rolling on floor laughing...as usual.
We do the same thing (4g hotspot from ATT) in our RV and it works great, very seamless. Just like tethered cellphone but a bit easier to implement and share the wifi connection with other devices.
Why save either one of them? Let them fund their own welfare states.
Exactly. If the phone rings a simple "we'll get back to you on that...click" seems in order!
mw, you're only at waning?
Korean FTC Alleges QCOM violated Korean Competition Law.
You're driving on a Mexican highway, the siren sounds and you're being pulled over by Federales, we all know what happens next.
I've found the usability sweet spot for me which is a phablet (iPhone 6s plus) combined with a Lenovo Yoga Pro 3 with Win10. Tablets and kindles (and all their chargers) are all put away for posterity.
I've grown so weary of his drivel that I can recognize his MF articles by the title and avoid the click-thru.
Congratulations on a great quarter...
Sorry couldn't resist.
So no MS phone announcement with Intel processor but they did announce this new MS notebook which is pricey but looks very impressive.
http://www.engadget.com/2015/10/06/microsoft-surface-book-hands-on/
Will it stimulate further Windows 10 buying in Q4? Intel needs a solid Q3 earnings report and a home run in Q4 to keep the rally in their shares alive. If either is weak it will be back to the high 27-29s.
And an unnamed Microsoft-Intel Project
Any speculations on whether the Oct 6th Win10 event will reveal what the MS-Intel phone project is about? Some of the comments in that thread referred to things like a Surface Phone (seems possible) and/or Core-M in a phone (also seems possible).
In the past when we see a run-up in INTC price (meaning beyond SPY) it has often meant 'somebody knows something is coming'. Of course once the 'something' is announced, it has also meant a sharp selloff some weeks following.
At the very least, you seem to be jumping to conclusions with very incomplete data.
What better way to drive your own personal agenda?
No they can't spinoff ATI, remember they're a 'platform' company now!
Further Delays for Intel 10nm?
Nenni.
It ends eventually.
Yea but sometimes they come back home and sometimes they bring a grandson with them!
3-reasons-intel-stock-could-fall
They lost me at number 2.
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/052015/3-reasons-intel-stock-could-fall-intc-amd-ibm.aspx?partner=YahooSA
OT: my first spreadsheet?
Just to be clear, as we speak I am currently working on a clients xlsx that has a few thousand lines of VBA code (yes sadly I'm writing VBA code in my retirement) that I've written for this client to automate the generation of around 500 spreadsheets (around 1.5 meg of data) for all of their remote departments to update and upload. Then an additional VBA process aggregates the spreadsheets into a master and performs various computations and breakdowns to produce the master budget for the enterprise. Please don't ask why they don't store their budget data in a database and just use Excel on the front end (sore subject).
So SuperCalc on a 64K machine to do this? No.
OT: my first spreadsheet?
SuperCalc on a monochrome monitor using the original IBM PC with Intel 8088 mpu and 64K of memory. Two 5" floppies one for SuperCalc the other for data. Ok who can trump that?
The only thing I'd be willing to accept as a bet is that trolls like you would be willing to state almost anything as if it were a fact.
Lol, can I get in on some of that action?
re: wordprocessors and presentation software (MSWord, Powerpoint, etc.) if you go to High School, even Middle School for that matter
I think officially it's the 'No child is to leave MS Office behind' program.
Very cool interactive graphic. While Intel's declining slice is nothing to be too proud of, I gave up trying to find AMD's slice!
But it could be the boldest experiment in history, think of the publicity!
Lost in America
Yes road maps were the topic and yes Intel also misses milestones on their road maps. Their historical track record for hitting their milestones? Excellent!
The topic was roadmaps and their believability, try to stay focused.
It might make for a great discrete graphics card for gamers.
And they could call it...I don't know...maybe Larrabee!
I must admit I've lost track a bit of what is currently in volume production by Intel's competitors so this is a serious question.
Are either Samsung or TSMC currently producing 16nm FinFet in significant volume?
I understand the term 'significant volume' is relative but it would be great if any responses to this post were realistic about what significant production volume means. At the heart of my question is whether the foundrys have already solved the mysteries of FinFet process technology or whether they are still working on it?
You just can't trust the after-hours trading either to the upside or the downside. The stock is just too thinly traded in these exchanges. Note that the 'ask' of 34.08 is for just 100 shares. Some large dark pool trader wanting to buy in the morning at the best possible price would glad throw away a few hundred shares after-hours for well below market close just to give the illusion of a sell-off in the hopes that some rubes out there will place some market orders tonight to sell at tomorrows open. And some people will do just that. Best to ignore this activity and wait until the trading volume returns in the morning to see what the price action for Intel really is.
Intel pretty much says this every year but perhaps this year there will be some kind of 'catalyst' type announcement this year at MWC.
Intel Marketing VP states:
"We’re keeping our news under wraps until the show..."
"The mobile device ecosystem is expanding, and we’ll be demonstrating some of the new devices our partners have in the works. Look for announcements with some of our partners including key players in mobile."
http://blogs.intel.com/technology/2015/02/visit-intel-mobile-world-congress-2015/