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Well stated Learning53....
I look at the Golden Cross indicator to which Tom refers as more of a signal that others will pay attention to and, generally speaking provides a degree of confidence in market sentiment change to the bullish side...again, generally speaking. So, although it may be lagging it's significance is primarily a market sentiment shift indicator from bearish to bullish.
Any one day can change from bearish to bullish but when you string together enough of those days together with a net effect of a golden cross then many take notice and when many take notice this can cause a further strengthening of the market sentiment.
Charts do what charts do because people do what people do and people do what people do because charts do what charts do.
Ahh, I hadn't gone back to look for that. Good point.
For the OTCQB, these were the five stocks with the most volume in July:
CytoDyn Inc (OTC:CYDY): $37.1 million
Netlist, Inc. (OTC:NLST): $34.1 million
Freddie Mac (OTC:FMCC): $30.2 million
Fannie Mae (OTC:FNMA) $27.4 million
Northwest Biotherapeutics, Inc (OTC:NWBO): $22.7 billion
Dolphin, it looks like a good Elliott wave setup. Looking like the 3rd Elliott Wave could be very interesting.
d0lphint0m, I think that double bottom, followed by the potential is right on target.
Blue Man, you're asking for a friend, right?
Great post btw.
Chuckles759, to go along with my earlier post re: naked shorting, this situation you bring up is another important factor for the shorts. It's like a rubber band that keeps getting more and more pressure added. In order to suppress the price and keep it down, the shorts have to add more fuel to the fire by naked shorting even more shares to feed the hunger monster known as the LONGS who are consuming. The moment the shorts flinch and begin to ease off the shorting the pressure bursts allowing the price to move quickly upward. This is where the short traders get hurt. It's either dig a deeper hole or pay the piper. At some point, they have no choice but to give up and when they do, that's when the squeeze really begins.
Thanks for bringing this up as it's very telling. The desperation is palpable and visible.
I don't believe the IRS gives a hoot about that. If anyone is 'concerned' about that type of supposed manipulation, it would be the SEC and even then, it would have to be proven intent to manipulate.
I do believe though that activity from last year when the stock was heavily manipulated (shorted) on that infamous day when we hit $10.01 has been heavily documented. This supposed 'wash' process is a nothing burger in my opinion. The only possible issue there could be to create higher than normal volume to attract buyers in an effort to create another $10.01 situation.
I think though that there are too many differences this time to believe this is the same thing. Time will tell though.
I couldn't agree more with you re: the potential for this drug and the struggle this has been for so many and for varying reasons. Personally, I'm in this until the end. I'm not overly invested in this to the point that if I lost it all I would be hurt. I know there are some who have massive amounts invested and it would certainly hurt more while yet others would be financially ruined. Fortunately, I do not believe that we will see bankruptcy or anything like that. We have a good product, and what I believe to be a strong management team. I believe we're well on our way to success.
We are all in at varying levels of ability and comfort and for all who are long, I also wish the best for what we've all gone through, whether with the downward spiral of this stock or from the last 2.5 years of misery and loss of family and loved ones. I pray this drug sees the light of day on a global scale. Yes, the money will be rewarding and is certainly a help but for many there's no way to earn enough to make up for the loss of family and friends that just wasn't necessary had Leronlimab been given EUA or fully approved and available. There have been a few who were able to make use of Leronlimab and I'm extremely grateful for those people having gotten to use it for their loved ones. What a blessing!
Hopefully, sooner than later, Leronlimab will be available to the masses.
Germania1, I can agree to some extent but to say it's over now may be a bit of an overstatement. The shorting crowd will still continue to use the tools at their disposal until such time as MAJOR news occurs, such as a merger with a major, a buyout or FDA approval. When REAL money enters the picture (revenue) then you tend to see less games played as the shorts move on to easier pickings. There's plenty out there. They don't need to fight a losing game once revenue enters the picture for the targeted company.
The LONGS have to stay vigilant.
Trding, not everyone has the luxury of doing that if they already spent their available cash to buy at the $4 range. I was able to average down but only a very small amount due to a lack of dry powder. I wish I had been more patient in my averaging down and waited until I saw a more 'obvious' bottom range.
Thanks daemon 57. There's lots of talk about how many shares are available to borrow. This may be a true fact when it comes to legal short trading where there is an 'attempt to locate' shares available for borrowing with a promise to cover that borrow within X number of days. I don't recall the number of days. Perhaps someone else more knowledgeable can provide. I think it's something like 3 or 4 days? In any event since there sometimes aren't any shares available to borrow or the terms aren't favorable enough for the borrower there are entities who have the ability to illegally naked short shares. This occurs when they simply sell shares they don't own or haven't borrowed. Because there are flaws in the 'accounting' of these transactions on a grand scale, in order to enforce the covering of these naked shorted shares, these entities get away with it.....UNTIL. The UNTIL becomes very important and is typically something that happens in about 1 of of every 1,000 companies who actually end up hitting it big, i.e., merger, buy out, discovery of that ever-elusive gold vein in the mine or the drug that is actually safe and effective and meets its goals. That's when REAL MONEY enters the picture, and the value of the company drastically changes.
This is where things get really interesting for CYDY. Remember when we saw prices as high as $10.01? Well, imagine you're an entity that was 'lucky' enough to short at or near that price. Let's say you shorted 100,000 shares at $9.00. You're not forced to cover those shares until the price of the shares exceeds $9.00. That's when your 'lucky' self receives a margin call. That's not a good day for you, I can promise you. You will need to either purchase shares from the open market at the going price all while competing with others in the same position as well as the rest of the market wanting in on the action.
But it gets even better. Let's talk about momentum. Consider that shares were shorted at every level from $10 on down to possibly the low .20's. That means that every entity who shorted will be scrambling to buy shares from the open market, again, along with other shorting entities and long investors wanting in on the action. This results in higher volume and higher demand for the shares, ultimately resulting in higher prices. As that momentum increases the tsunami wave of rapid share price appreciation can be a bit overwhelming if you're short and are forced to cover. If you are unable to cover quickly enough then your broker will liquidate your positions to cover. In order to naked short, you have to have a large enough portfolio to cover the kind of position you've shorted. This is where it can really become extremely painful.
So, you're right daemon57. This rocket has plenty of room to move. LONGS shouldn't rest on their laurels though assuming this is the beginning of a short squeeze. There are very intelligent entities that have been doing this for a long time and they know how to play the game and will use many tools to combat a squeeze. A squeeze isn't automatic but it's also not that easy to stop. As Tradinplaces is fond of telling me. Never stand in the way of a moving train.
There will be ebbs and flows along the way during a potential squeeze. Never make any assumptions of continued price appreciation without seeing pullbacks along the way and if you KNOW WHAT YOU OWN (Thanks Black Ops), then you won't let those pullbacks scare you into shaking loose your shares from your possession as the tress get shaken.
There may not be official word on the street driving this current move but it does appear that the market sentiment is such that there is a level of confidence that we haven't seen openly expressed in quite a while. This is ONE train I will not stand in front of as I do know what I own and why I own it. I'm going to sit in the caboose now and whip up some popcorn to watch this event unfold.
All of this is purely my non-professional opinion and should not be construed as investment advice. GLTA Real Longs.
I_luv_cycy, if I didn't already know and understand the reasons why, I'd be baffled by the continual claims of failure, bankruptcy, fraud, (the list is too long to regurgitate) and not ONE, I repeat, NOT ONE SINGLE SHRED of evidence or proof of these claims. When questioned about proof, there isn't even a reply that can satisfy the questions put forth about said claims.
Yet, CYDY continues to march forward. The current "fun" share price action is fairly irrelevant, or at least as relates to my investment. I'm not in this for nickels & dimes. At some point, we'll all look back at the current daily chart and this rise won't even register as a blip it will be so small relative to the value. This is purely my speculative opinion based on what I know about this drug and the need for what it can, and dare I say, WILL, do in the world. It's not that the recent share price appreciation doesn't make me smile but it's not what excites me. That, in my opinion, is coming down the road.
I guess more "words" will be slung about issuing further claims of doom and gloom so others who are just tuning in will still need to see good longs such as yourself, MISIU and so many others fighting the good fight and setting the record straight so that REALITY is actually represented.
Correction. The noticed I received in my TD Ameritrade account was via my phone app and it informed me of an "earnings report" after closing today.
My broker did the same and was as expected by most.
bwolfy, I certainly can't disagree with that.
I'm sure you know the saying: "People do what people do because charts do what charts do and charts do what charts do because people do what people do."
I can NEVER fault someone who is well versed in charting techniques (reading tea leaves). I have been able to utilize that effectively at times AND I also, almost always, temper that information/interpretation with fundaments. When one has both sides of the coin then one is better prepared to make their assertions and act accordingly. I completely respect your charting and will not criticize that but, I would urge you to get very familiar with the VERY RELEVANT fundamentals of leronlimab / Cytodyn. There are very relevant reasons as to why we're seeing the recent changes to the charts. These actions are not happening in a void and without cause. Again, all of this is my opinion, purely.
All the best to you sir.
C-20, I firmly believe the list of longs on here, and those not on here, is a very long list. Think of them as the silent majority. The holdings of the longs represent a staggering future value, in my opinion. The games being played will have a cost to them that will be equally staggering for some and I'm totally good with that, and, in fact, invite it.
True investors know what they own and, like our silent friend, Black Ops, many of them understand the value of knowing what they own and the value in holding while accumulating more.
Today's action speaks volumes.
d0lphint0m, agreed. These aren't mom & pop buyers....says my tea leaves.
Nah, I want to see who the last is to cover....the look of horror in their eyes will be fun to watch. Call me blood thirsty, I'm cool with that. Been watching the GOOD folks get hurt too much by the greed of these 'people' who care more about their profit than seeing people helped by Leronlimab. I've never really been one to cheer on the decimation of anyone but to see the shorts take a crippling financial hit is the START of justice. I say to all of them, keep holding your short position as long as you're allowed to before it's all taken from you.
Nah, let 'em suffer... Hey shorts, stay in a while longer. I feel like a Roman in the Coliseum waiting for the lions to be loosed as I cheer loudly from the long seats in the stands watching the carnage unfold.
Cindylou822, sorry for appearing uninformed but 'Teepan' and 'Whipple'?? I'm not understanding the references. In any event, I gather that the cost to borrow shares is getting prohibitively expensive and, in fact, the ability to even borrow seems to be getting impossible.
I guess that's where naked shorting comes into play when shorts are unable to legitimately and legally borrow, whereas with illegal naked shorts there is no attempt to borrow.
I would truly hate to be in the shorts' shoes right now.
Rockleo, good to hear from 'ya and I would agree that someone has finally caught onto the potential of leronlimab. These larger buys and the amount of volume we're seeing SEEMS like more than just mom and pop buyers. If not, then there are some pretty fat cat mom & pops interested in CYDY. 21M shares traded hands to the upside over the last few days. That's not nothin'.
C-20, I'm with 'ya brother on the saving lives being the most important. None of us have crystal balls and we're all just as apt to be correct as not in our prognostications. As for adding to our investment and then seeing an immediate drop, it seems that's almost always the case, right? If I had a thousand bucks for every time I did that....
Let's hope we see some lives being saved soon, for all our sakes.
I'm leaning more in the direction of your prediction being closer to true than seeing a red day as predicted by another person (no insult intended C-20 - I respect you and your qualified your opinions). I think that too many don't want to be on the sideline through the weekend. Seeing this kind of action above the 200 sma is too enticing not to want to be on board for many. Couple that with what's been causing the steady incline in share price of late and the need for shorts to cover and I just don't see there not being a rally. I could easily be wrong and will have no problem saying I was wrong but at this moment, I just don't see it.
So often when you see an early morning rally followed by a pull back, that often squashes the momentum but what we're seeing right now is a STRONG momentum (read volume) and that bodes well for us Longs. There will be a red day in our future, there always is, but I'm not seeing it today. The day is early though, and I am fully capable and willing to admit it if I'm wrong.
I'm never 100% certain on any prediction. In this case, although the day hasn't yet closed, it would appear that certainty isn't holding. The longs are very bullish and can never be underestimated. In general, though, you would be mostly right, in that there's never a 100% always green day, every day. There are always pullbacks / profit taking / short scare attempts, etc. That's healthy and normal but to open yourself to a strong statement like '100% certain' can be a dangerous thing.
FWIW, today's low hasn't yet fallen below yesterday's high or closing.
A good friend of mine, Tradinplaces, gave me some good advice once....NEVER stand in front of a moving train.
You may get your chance.
Chuckles759, sorry, I was sound asleep from a great night's rest and am just now getting caught up after being away from the boards for a few weeks. Just wanted to confirm that I am, indeed, sleeping very well. Probably, that's not the experience of those who are betting against CYDY. I'd hate to be in their shoes right now knowning I'd need to cover my short position very soon. Must be a tough spot to be in.
Anyway, thanks for your contributions on here!
I agree that it's all irrelevant to today's Cytodyn Inc. But, as a point of correction, It's not Cytodyn of Mexico, it was in the state of New Mexico, which is in the U.S. vs the country of Mexico.
Misiu143, thank you for that clarification. I appreciate it. Doing very well here and I too am in hopes leronlimab will have a nice June/July and beyond.
I've been reading these posts about Tollovid and Tollovir but I think I've gotten confused as to which is the lower dose daily and which is the higher dose max version. Can you please clarify? Thank you!
C-20, thanks for letting us know. She'll be in my prayers.
Pinseekr, excellent points/questions. I am of the firm and strong opinion that the answers are quite obvious, and I believe you hit the nail on the head re: their concerns for what will be a landslide of lawsuits. The eventual cost of which would be the likes of which the world has never seen. They simply cannot afford to receive full approval, IMO. Could they weather that legal storm? Sure, their pockets are VERY deep but why would they want to when it doesn't appear to be necessary, given that they have their FDA buddies to help them out?
Hi Misiu, it does make one think about what the portfolios of those who are short CYDY might look like, particularly with respect to where they might be long, e.g. merc, pfizer, j&j, etc.
These companies stand to lose SIGNIFICANT money when Leronlimab, and all of its indications, begin generating SIGNIFICANT revenue, thus diverting said SIGNIFICANT revenue away from those large biotech behemoths and all of their shareholders. The demand will be immense when the world begins to learn about the efficacy and safety profile of Leronlimab. In fact, I get the impression that the world is just beginning to take notice and that it's only a matter of time before their attention becomes much more focused and directed at the viability and safety of Leronlimab. Too much valuable information is beginning to make its way to mainstream media, e.g. Fox, for example.
It occurs to me that being long CYDY, is much like holding short positions on those behemoth biotech companies but without the risk. I can't even begin to imagine how the shorts must be feeling knowing what all they know about CYDY. I'm so glad my money is safely, IMO, invested with CYDY. My opinion is that the rewards for doing so will be extremely lucrative.
Hang in there Misiu and thanks for your dedication and valuable support.
I see a lot of commentary making false and unsubstantiated claims made without the provision of verifiable proof. Many requests have been made to provide proof/links to these unsubstantiated claims, but no legitimate evidence has yet to be provided.
On the other hand, many false / discredited documents have been provided that proved absolutely nothing.
I keep waiting to see ANY proof that is 100% verifiable to back up any of the false claims that Cytodyn is bankrupt, under investigation, etc. I am truly eager to see even one piece of verifiable proof that these claims are legitimate. The only thing that gets thrown out that is true is that the price per share is suffering, as if that's evidence of wrongdoing. Well, I guess it can be said that the current low price is, in fact, evidence of wrongdoing. More specifically, evidence of a manipulated stock brought on by ILLEGAL naked shorting, and also brought on by the likes of AF and his associated minions.
If we weren't facing this threat and fight, then I'd be worried that there was a real issue concerning Cytodyn / Leronlimab. This battle tells me that as an investor, that I'm in the right place at the right time, as painful as it may be to watch while so many are needlessly suffering and dying.
Creationtruth, I might have to slightly disagree with you. I believe there are far more here who do care about Leronlimab than what you see in regular daily posts. Sometimes it's better to stay silent and observe, accumulate more shares, gather information and .... well, enough said.
Wow, thanks B52T38 for sharing that. It's so wonderful to hear news like this. It only furthers my confidence in leronlimab's potential. I love hearing this and knowing what it's doing for this mother.
Thanks PNW_Ironman, I responded to her tweet.
C-20, thanks and I couldn't agree more. I'm thankful there are people out there in the healthcare industry who have a conscience and are willing to warn people away from that drug/poison. My brother was only 48 and a strong and mostly healthy guy. He was 6'7" and a hardworking man an incredible zest of life but it turned him into a shell of himself in the end.