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* * $TLRD Video Chart 09-17-2019 * *
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* * $TLRD Video Chart 09-12-2019 * *
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Tailors are hardly considered retail since it’s also a service. I agree retail is dying but I think it has more to do with the casual workplace culture change than retail. People are not wearing suits to work anymore. I have all my guys wear nice Columbia fishing shirts instead. The NFL deal sounds good but it wouldn’t wear a suit to a game or even a watch party
Retail is a dying industry thanks to Amazon. We've seen many brick and mortar stores go belly up. TLRD is one of many. Its all about convenience.
The business is contracting...
They are in retail...brick and mortar can't compete with online model.
Why anyone would want to be in this stock now is confusing.
Tailored Brands trashed after dismal Q3 guidance
Sep. 11, 2019 5:48 PM ET|About: Tailored Brands, Inc. (TLRD)|By: Carl Surran, SA News Editor
Tailored Brands (NYSE:TLRD) -25.8% after-hours after reporting mixed Q2 results, suspending its quarterly dividend and warning of lower profits in Q3.
Overall Q2 revenues fell 4.1% Y/Y to $789.5M, including a 4.9% decline at Men's Wearhouse to $423.5M and a 3.7% drop at Jos. A. Bank to $166.1M.
End-of-quarter cash and cash equivalents fell 71% Y/Y to $19.5M, inventories increased 7% to $847M, and operating cash flow fell 85% to $33.3M; total debt slipped by $61M to $1.2B.
For Q3, TLRD forecasts adjusted EPS of $0.40-$0.45, compared with analyst consensus of $0.88, with across the board sales declines including a 3%-5% drop in same-store sales at Men's Wearhouse and a 2%-4% decline at Jos. A. Bank.
The company says it is halting the dividend so it can redeploy capital to accelerated debt repayment and share repurchases.
TLRD says it expects a net closure of seven stores across Men's Wearhouse and Jos. A. Bank for the quarter.
If it keeps tanking full years earnings will be more than share price eventually lol
16:45 ET - Tailored Brands plummets 25% in extended trading after warning about the current quarter and saying it will suspend its quarterly cash dividend starting in 4Q. The owner of Men's Wearhouse, sees adjusted F3Q EPS of 40-45 cents versus EPS of 88 cents Wall Street analysts expected. The retailer says it will "redeploy" capital from the suspended dividend for "debt repayment and share repurchases..." Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management had been pressuring Tailored Brands to suspend its quarterly dividend which would free up about $36.5M on an annualized basis. Total liquidity as of Aug. 3 was $421.3M while debt was about $1.2Bbillion, the company said. Scion has disclosed a roughly 5.1% stake in Tailored Brands. Trading had been halted for news pending earlier this afternoon and reopened shortly after the regular session closed. (maria.armental@wsj.com)
lots of after hours T trades going through, saw one phat finger buy placed at $7.17
Of all days they did it today on 9-11?
I hate the drop..... but they did what Michael Burry was advocating for, which was a re-thinking of how they deploy and allocate their capital.
We will see if this is good or not, I guess.
Tailored Brands, Inc. Reports Fiscal 2019 Second Quarter Results
Source: Business Wire
Q2 2019 GAAP diluted EPS of $0.68 and adjusted diluted EPS(1) of $0.82
Company expects Q3 2019 adjusted diluted EPS(1) of $0.40 to $0.45
Company to redeploy capital to accelerated debt repayment and share repurchases; suspends quarterly cash dividend starting in Q4 2019
Tailored Brands, Inc. (NYSE: TLRD) today announced consolidated financial results for the fiscal second quarter ended August 3, 2019.
For the second quarter ended August 3, 2019, the Company reported GAAP diluted earnings per share of $0.68 and adjusted diluted earnings per share(1) of $0.82, compared to GAAP diluted earnings per share of $0.97 and adjusted diluted earnings per share(1) of $1.07 last year.
Second quarter 2019 results exclude net charges of $10.4 million comprised of $11.3 million of charges related to our multi-year cost savings and operational excellence programs (consisting of $6.1 million in consulting costs, $2.9 million related to the closure of a distribution center in Canada, $2.2 million in severance costs and $0.1 million in lease termination costs), offset by a $0.9 million net favorable adjustment primarily related to a derivative instrument entered into for the corporate apparel business.
“We were pleased to deliver second quarter comparable sales in line with our guidance and adjusted earnings per share above our guidance,” said Tailored Brands President and CEO Dinesh Lathi. “We are also seeing early customer response to our initiatives, which gives us confidence that unleashing the potential for this business to generate healthy positive comps lies in our transformational strategies of providing i) personalized products and services, ii) inspiring and seamless experiences in and across every channel, and iii) brands that stand for more than just price.”
Lathi added, “On our year-end call, we indicated that we had work ahead of us to transform our customer-facing experience to one that can generate sustainable and profitable growth. We also said that, while we transform the experience, we would execute and invest in a focused manner with a clear goal of continuing to generate cash that we would deploy responsibly. Our sale of the corporate apparel business is consistent with our commitment to focused execution and investment. The Board of Directors’ unanimous decision to suspend the quarterly cash dividend for reallocation to debt repayment and share repurchases is consistent with our commitment to responsible allocation of capital. And while our Q2 results and Q3 guidance reflect what we’ve previously shared about the need to transform our customer experience and the fact that transformations take time, the early signs of customer response to our strategies indicate that we are making healthy progress on our journey.”
__________________________
(1)
In the second quarter of fiscal 2019, adjusted items consist of $11.3 million in costs related to our multi-year cost savings and operational excellence programs including consulting, the closure of a distribution center in Canada, severance and lease termination costs, offset by a $0.9 million net favorable adjustment primarily related to a derivative instrument entered into for the corporate apparel business. In the second quarter of fiscal 2018, adjusted items consist of a loss on extinguishment of debt related to the partial redemption of $175 million of the Company’s senior notes, costs related to the closure of a rental product distribution center and an unfavorable final working capital adjustment related to the divestiture of the MW Cleaners business. See Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional information on items excluded from adjusted EPS for the second quarter of fiscal 2019 and with respect to the Company’s outlook for the third quarter of fiscal 2019.
Second Quarter Fiscal 2019 Results
Net Sales Summary(1)
Net Sales
% Total Sales
Comparable Sales
(U.S. dollars in millions)
Change
Change(2)
Retail
$
736.1
(4.1)%
(3.6)
%
Men's Wearhouse
$
423.5
(4.9)%
(4.3)
%
Jos. A. Bank
$
166.1
(3.7)%
(3.3)
%
K&G
$
82.7
(1.1)%
(1.3)
%
Moores(3)
$
63.9
(4.1)%
(2.5)
%
Corporate Apparel
$
53.3
(3.9)%
Total Company
$
789.5
(4.1)%
__________________________
(1)
Amounts may not sum due to rounded numbers.
(2)
Comparable sales is defined as net sales from stores open at least 12 months at period end and includes e-commerce sales.
(3)
The Moores comparable sales change is based on the Canadian dollar.
Net Sales
Total net sales decreased 4.1% to $789.5 million. Retail net sales decreased 4.1% primarily due to a decrease in retail segment comparable sales of 3.6%. Corporate apparel net sales decreased 3.9%, or $2.2 million, primarily due to the impact of a weaker British pound this year compared to last year.
Comparable Sales
Men’s Wearhouse comparable sales decreased 4.3%. Comparable sales for clothing decreased due to a decrease in transactions, average unit retail and units per transaction. Comparable rental services revenue decreased 3.1%, primarily reflecting the continuing trend to purchase suits for special occasions.
Jos. A. Bank comparable sales decreased 3.3% primarily from a decrease in average unit retail partially offset by an increase in both transactions and units per transaction.
K&G comparable sales decreased 1.3% primarily due to a decrease in both units per transaction and transactions partially offset by an increase in average unit retail.
Moores comparable sales decreased 2.5% primarily due to a decrease in both transactions and average unit retail partially offset by an increase in units per transaction.
Gross Margin
On a GAAP basis, consolidated gross margin was $333.7 million, a decrease of $35.2 million, primarily due to the decrease in net sales. As a percent of sales, consolidated gross margin decreased 250 basis points to 42.3%. On an adjusted basis, consolidated gross margin decreased 260 basis points to 42.6% primarily due to a lower retail gross margin rate.
On a GAAP basis, retail gross margin was $319.1 million, a decrease of $34.9 million. As a percent of sales, retail gross margin decreased 270 basis points to 43.4%. On an adjusted basis, retail gross margin decreased $35.9 million and the retail gross margin rate decreased 290 basis points to 43.7%, primarily due to increased promotional activities, as well as deleveraging of occupancy costs.
Advertising Expense
Advertising expense decreased $5.5 million to $33.2 million primarily driven by reductions in television advertising reflecting a shift to digital advertising as well as the timing of marketing spend. As a percent of sales, advertising expense decreased 50 basis points to 4.2%.
Selling, General and Administrative Expenses (“SG&A”)
On a GAAP basis, SG&A decreased $2.3 million to $240.0 million and increased 100 basis points as a percent of sales. On an adjusted basis, SG&A decreased $9.3 million to $232.5 million primarily due to lower incentive and share-based compensation. As a percent of sales, adjusted SG&A was flat at 29.4% primarily due to deleveraging from lower sales.
Operating Income
On a GAAP basis, operating income was $60.6 million compared to $88.0 million last year and operating margin decreased 300 basis points. On an adjusted basis, operating income was $71.0 million compared to $92.5 million last year. As a percent of sales, adjusted operating margin decreased 220 basis points to 9.0%.
Net Interest Expense and Net Loss on Extinguishment of Debt
Net interest expense was $18.1 million compared to $20.7 million last year. The decrease in interest expense was due to the reduction of our outstanding debt.
On a GAAP basis, there was no net loss on extinguishment of debt this year compared to an $8.1 million loss on extinguishment of debt last year. Last year’s net loss on extinguishment of debt consisted of the 3.5% premium on the $175 million partial redemption of the Company’s senior notes as well as the write-off of related deferred financing costs. On an adjusted basis, there was no net loss on extinguishment of debt this year or last year.
Effective Tax Rate
On a GAAP basis, the effective tax rate was 19.4% compared to 16.7% last year. On an adjusted basis, the effective tax rate was 21.2% compared to 23.9% last year.
Net Earnings and EPS
On a GAAP basis, net earnings were $34.3 million compared to net earnings of $49.2 million last year. Diluted EPS was $0.68 compared to diluted EPS of $0.97 last year.
On an adjusted basis, net earnings were $41.7 million compared to net earnings of $54.6 million last year. Adjusted diluted EPS was $0.82 compared to adjusted diluted EPS of $1.07 last year.
Balance Sheet Highlights
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the second quarter of 2019 were $19.5 million, a decrease of $48.7 million compared to the end of the second quarter of 2018 primarily due to the decrease in sales and the use of cash on hand for costs related to our multi-year cost savings and operational excellence programs and debt reduction. At the end of the second quarter of 2019, there were $45.0 million of borrowings outstanding on our revolving credit facility. Total liquidity at the end of the second quarter was $421.3 million, comprised of availability on our revolving credit facility and cash and cash equivalents.
Inventories increased $60.4 million, or 7.7%, to $847.0 million at the end of the second quarter of 2019 compared to the end of the second quarter of 2018. The increase was primarily driven by higher levels of raw materials including fabric in support of basic, replenishment product.
Total debt at the end of the second quarter of 2019 was approximately $1.2 billion, down $61.7 million compared to the end of the second quarter of 2018. During the second quarter of 2019, the Company made its scheduled $2.3 million payment on its term loan and repaid $3.5 million on its revolving credit facility.
Cash flow from operating activities for the six months ended August 3, 2019 was $33.3 million compared to $198.0 million last year. The decrease was driven by lower net earnings after adjusting for non-cash items, an increase in inventories, and fluctuations in accounts payable and accrued liabilities primarily due to timing.
Capital expenditures for the six months ended August 3, 2019 were $39.1 million compared to $24.6 million last year.
Sale of Corporate Apparel Business
As previously announced, on August 16, 2019, the Company closed the sale of its corporate apparel business for total cash consideration of $62 million, subject to certain working capital adjustments. The Company will use cash proceeds from the transaction to reinvest in its business in accordance with the provisions of its term loan. This will free up funds previously slated for capital expenditures for debt reduction. The Company expects to present the sale as a discontinued operation beginning in the third quarter of fiscal 2019.
Capital Allocation Policy Update
After extensive review, the Board of Directors approved an update to the Company’s capital allocation policy. Effective in the fourth quarter, the Company’s quarterly cash dividend will be suspended and redeployed for accelerated debt repayment and share repurchases. This does not impact the previously approved quarterly cash dividend of $0.18 per share payable on September 27, 2019, to shareholders of record at the close of business on September 17, 2019.
Suspending the quarterly cash dividend of $0.18 per share is expected to make available approximately $36.5 million on an annualized basis. The Company has $48.0 million available for share repurchases under its previously authorized 2013 share repurchase program.
Q3 FISCAL 2019 OUTLOOK
The Company’s outlook for the third quarter of fiscal 2019 is as follows:
Earnings per Share: The Company expects to achieve adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $0.40 to $0.45, excluding the impact of any share repurchases.
Comparable Sales: The Company expects comparable sales for:
Men’s Wearhouse to be down 3% to 5%
Jos. A. Bank to be down 2% to 4%
K&G to be down 2% to 4%
Moores to be down 4% to 6%.
Effective Tax Rate: The Company expects an effective tax rate of 23% to 24%.
Real Estate: The Company expects net closures of seven stores, across Men’s Wearhouse and Jos. A. Bank.
The Company’s outlook excludes expected costs for third party domain experts and other actions associated with its cost savings and operational excellence programs.
STORE INFORMATION
August 3, 2019
August 4, 2018
February 2, 2019
Number
Sq. Ft.
Number
Sq. Ft.
Number
Sq. Ft.
of Stores
(000's)
of Stores
(000's)
of Stores
(000's)
Men's Wearhouse(a)
720
4,038.8
719
4,036.3
720
4,035.5
Men's Wearhouse and Tux
45
66.3
49
73.3
46
68.8
Jos. A. Bank(b)
476
2,244.4
487
2,293.7
484
2,280.2
K&G(c)
88
2,028.4
88
2,028.4
88
2,028.4
Moores
126
787.4
126
787.5
126
787.4
Total
1,455
9,165.3
1,469
9,219.2
1,464
9,200.3
__________________________
(a)
Includes one Joseph Abboud store.
(b)
Excludes 14 franchise stores.
(c)
84 stores offering women’s apparel at the end of each period, respectively.
Conference Call and Webcast Information
At 5:00 p.m. Eastern time on Wednesday, September 11, 2019, management will host a conference call and webcast to discuss fiscal 2019 second quarter results. To access the conference call, please dial 201-689-8029. To access the live webcast, visit the Investor Relations section of the Company’s website at http://ir.tailoredbrands.com. A webcast archive will be available free on the website for approximately 90 days.
Glta
$inai
Well it’s crap news. Cut the dividend and cut projected eps with a (2-5%) estimated sales forecast. So much for the buyout rumor. I regret buying shares now
Halts make me nervours...
Though I feel pretty comfortable that I am sitting on the good news side of this halt.
I so hope so, cause I made a huge wager on this.
TLRD trading halted.... News pending.
I'm very fortunate. I loaded up for the dividend play sub $4.40's....
The day after I purchased, the news of Sycamore Partners interest in purchasing TLRD at $10 came out.
You called the $7.00's and here they are, $8's tomorrow? Im already kicking myself for not buying More in the $5.00's
should break north of $7 today, with an expected beat on earnings today. Still a large short position, they gotta be contemplating on covering as the lasses are mounting for them, and I doubt they want to pay out the dividend next week either.
Could be a mixture of 6/7 things...
1) Sycamore Partners Leak offering $10 a share
2) Dr. Michael Burry filings and increasing holdings to over 5% and being shareholder activist
3) Pending dividend Payment
4) Huge short position equaling 43% of the Outstanding. Or 21.72 million shares shorted
5) Short position was so big, that Institutions now own 112% of the issued and Outstanding shares. LOL
6) Shorts need to cover to so they do not have to pay the upcoming dividend on 21.72 Million shares
7) Look at ticker FRAN. What happened today. It is a retailer that had a similar short position of 38% of the outstanding. TLRD is at 43%
Fingers crossed that TLRD moves above $10 like FRAN did
Is it the dividend or something else causing this rise?
Almost another 10% today. I’ll take that too.
Nope but it is a start
12% squeeze?? Not even close to a squeeze.
I don't know if it is true or not, but.......
Yahoo is now showing the institutional holdings of TLRD by percentage has changed by almost 10%. It's starting to look a lot worse for shorts....
Just yesterday it was still reporting institutional holders as 102% of the outstanding shares was held by institutional holders.
It changed today to 111% of the available oustanding shares is held by instituational holders.
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TLRD/key-statistics?p=TLRD
Yahoo gets this data from Thomson Reuters
Check the PR, x-date is actually 17 Sep 19.
Check out the stable sales numbers over the past 4 years. Compare TLRD to another well known retailer that is usually considered by most people as a much larger company. Burlington Coat Factory
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TLRD/key-statistics?p=TLRD
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BURL/key-statistics?p=BURL
Annual Sales:
TLRD.....$3.2B
BURL.....$6.93B
Gross Profit:
TLRD.....$1.38B
BURL.....$2.79B
Stock Price:
TLRD.....$5.19
BURL.....$204.18
Price to Sales Ratio:
TLRD.....0.08
BURL.....1.95
Total Debt:
TLRD.....$2.15B
BURL.....$3.45B
Market Cap:
TLRD..... $262,190,000
BURL.....$13,530,000,000
Look at how the market values Burlington vs Tailored Brands. Sure looks like that using the same measure to value a similar retailer as Burlington, one could easily justify a price for Tailored of at least a 3-4 X's multiple from today's current market price.
TLRD X div date 9/16 paying .18 cents Q
TLRD has an estimated 50,470,000 shares currently outstanding.
Yet Institutional owners own approximately 102% of the oustanding, meaning that they own more shares than are currently available in the market.
Since August 16th, basically the entire amount of available outstanding shares has traded hands. 50,708,590 share have traded since 8/16/2019.
9/4/2019...... 5,037,559.00
9/3/2019...... 4,825,060.00
8/30/2019...... 1,747,314.00
8/29/2019...... 3,428,605.00
8/28/2019...... 2,835,132.00
8/27/2019...... 1,785,023.00
8/26/2019...... 2,711,881.00
8/23/2019...... 2,964,952.00
8/22/2019...... 3,649,790.00
8/21/2019...... 7,405,617.00
8/20/2019...... 4,803,492.00
8/19/2019...... 5,250,582.00
8/16/2019...... 4,263,583.00.....50,708,590 Shares traded in past 13 days
8/15/2019...... 2,035,041.00
8/14/2019...... 2,538,610.00
8/13/2019...... 1,979,554.00
8/12/2019...... 1,923,012.00
8/9/2019...... 2,384,134.00
8/8/2019...... 1,562,871.00
8/7/2019...... 1,561,974.00
8/6/2019...... 1,455,590.00
8/5/2019...... 1,480,239.00.....67,629,615 Shares in past1 month.
The last available short data as of August 14th, 2019 shows over 21,720,000 being short or 43% of the outstanding
If institutions own 102% of the outstanding. The past months 13 days or 1 month of training is probably significant additional short activity.
Digging yes. The shorts are digging bucket loads of profit
Almost 10% of the outstanding equity traded today.
Seems interesting how that could happen when Institutional holders own 102% of the outstanding shares.
I’m thinking shorts are digging themselves a deeper hole.
Pullback today re-tested and confirmed the support of the 50 day simple moving average line.
Today’s pullback was a gift. Looks like this is setting up to run like a scalded dog.
Im good with snagging some cheapies ahead of the divy
If the institutional holders refuse to sell and are in TLRD for a potential double in a buyout offer from Sycamore Partners, then shorts are in for a rude awakening.
Currently shorts have sold almost 43% of the outstanding short. So many so, that not including private investors, but just institutional holders own almost 102% of the outstanding. There is only approximately 50.4 Million shares issued and outstanding. Institutional ownership has 51.3 Million. LOL.
Right now shorts have added over 21 Million shares to the market. They have to pay the dividend on those 21 million shares. That pay date is coming soon too.
https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/tlrd/institutional-holdings
Slowly TLRD is getting noticed by savy investors looking for a buyout double
Yep, I increased the price on my standing sell orders. This is an interesting report...
https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/tlrd/institutional-holdings
TLRD, May get real exciting over the next couple weeks
Burry's making a move on the stock, see today's SEC filing disclosing a 5.1% stake in TLRD. This was reported by Edgar after market close today.
Look at the action after market! It hit $5.69 aftermarket on a Friday ahead of a holiday! That's another 27 cents After close. Somebody wants or needs those shares bad.
Short squeeze may actually happen. Looks like it hit $5.70 after hours with some significant volume.
Was there like 700,000 shares of volume the last few minutes of trading?
Let the Short Squeeze Begin!
TLRD certainly has a significant short position in it that has drastically beaten down the value and made this a tremendously undervalued company. Comparing it to some other retailers sheds some light on this. While there are no direct comparisons, there are other similar retailers.
Company Name......Ticker...... Stock Price........EPS......... Forward PE
Tailored Brands........TLRD......$5.42.................$1.51...........3.05
Abrercrombie ...........ANF........$14.58...............$1.42.........10.09
American Eagle........AEO.......$16.80................$1.48..........9.72
The Buckle...............BKE........$19.70...............$1.90.........11.20
Guess......................GES........$18.04...............$0.16.........12.03
Urban Outfitters.......URBN.....$23.35...............$2.43...........9.16
If TLRD were valued even somewhat comparably, with a forward PE of around 9 TLRD should be an approximate $14.62 stock.
higher highs and higher lows, sustained above 50 day simple moving average since yesterday. What was resistance before is now support.
Some of the investments made by Sycamore Partners include Belk, Inc, Talbots, and Nine West Holdings. The purchase of Staples Inc. for $6.9 billion was announced on June 28, 2017, it was the largest leveraged buyout globally in 2017.
Assets under management: 15 billion USD
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sycamore_Partners
$5 not too good. I am holding until next months earnings announcement regardless
Sometimes it is useful to look at what happens on the Stuttgart exchange overnight where stocks like TLRD trade. I know not to read too much into this, but look at the bid/ask in Suttgart premarket. https://www.investing.com/equities/mens-wearhouse-inc?cid=972213
TLRD ended up at 5.43 in aftermarket trading on the US market.
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