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10/12 Microsoft and Alphabet Lead the Fab Five - Four Stock Setups - Bitcoin Index Hits New High
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/10/microsoft-and-alphabet-lead-the-fab-five---four-stock-setups---bitcoin-index-hits-new-high.html
10/6
Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Small-Caps and Finance Extend their Lead
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/10/weekly-market-review--outlook---small-caps-and-finance-extend-their-lead.html
10/5 SystemTrader - Testing a Basic PPO System with a Profit Target and Momentum Filter
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/10/systemtrader---testing-a-basic-ppo-system-with-a-profit-target-and-momentum-filter.html
10/2 Techs and Industrials Lead New High List - Metals-Mining and Steel ETFs Turn Up - Four Stock Setups
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/10/techs-and-industrials-lead-new-high-list---metals-mining-and-steel-etfs-turn-up---four-stock-setups.html
9/29
Weekly Market Review & Outlook (w/ Video) - Small and Micro Caps Make a Move
Arthur Hill | September 29, 2017 at 09:22 AM
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/09/weekly-market-review--outlook---small-and-micro-caps-make-a-move.html
9/26 QQQ BULLISH AGAIN WHEN
This chart also highlights a technique for spotting short-term oversold conditions within a bigger uptrend.
Breadth becomes short-term oversold when %Above 20-day EMA dips below 30%.
A bullish signal triggers when this indicator moves back above 50%.
I will be move to "alert" mode when/if the indicator dips below 30% for the Nasdaq 100. In other words, such a move would trigger a short-term bullish setup and I would then look for a short-term bullish catalyst
9/26 Broad Selling in Nasdaq 100 - Biotechs Buck Selling - TLT Turns Up - Five Stocks
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/09/broad-selling-in-nasdaq-100---biotech-buck-selling---tlt-turns-up---five-stocks.html
9/22 Weekly Market Review & Outlook - An Abrupt Change in Leadership
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/09/weekly-market-review--outlook---an-abrupt-change-in-leadership.html
9/14 RSI(5) versus RSI(10) - Working with Zones, Alerts and Price Action
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/09/rsi5-versus-rsi10---working-with-zones-alerts-and-price-action.html
9/12 TDAmeritrade and Etrade Lead Broker-Dealer ETF - Delta and American Lead Airlines
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/09/tdameritrade-and-etrade-lead-broker-dealer-etf---delta-and-american-lead-airlines--.html
9/8 Weekly Market Review & Outlook - New Highs Dwindle and Banks Fall Hard
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/09/weekly-market-review--outlook---new-highs-dwindle-and-banks-falls.html
9/7 Bands Contract for DIA - QQQ Holds Breakout - Charts for Top 5 QQQ Stocks and More....
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/09/bands-contract-for-dia---qqq-holds-breakout---charts-for-top-5-qqq-stocks-and-more.html
9/5 10-yr Yield Tests June Low - Correlations to the 10-yr Yield - A Breakout for Brent
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/09/10-yr-yield-tests-june-low---correlations-to-the-10-yr-yield---a-breakout-for-brent-.html
9/1 Weekly Market Review & Outlook (w/ Video) - Tech and Healthcare Lead as Finance Lags
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/09/weekly-market-review--outlook-w-video---tech-and-healthcare-lead-as-finance-lags-.html
8/29 Measuring the Risk Appetite - 4 Inside Days and No Follow Thru - 6 Stock Charts
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/08/measuring-the-risk-appetite---4-inside-days-and-no-follow-thru---6-stock-charts.html
8/25 Weekly Market Review & Outlook (w/ Video) - When is Volatility a Problem? - Energy Stocks Buck Oil
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/08/weekly-market-review--outlook-w-video---when-is-volatility-a-problem---energy-stocks-buck-oil.html
8/24 Minding the Gaps in QQQ and SPY - Plus Bullish Setups in Tech-related ETF and Stocks
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/08/minding-the-gaps-in-qqq-and-spy---plus-bullish-setups-in-tech-related-etf-and-stocks.html
8/22 S&P 500, Five Percent and the 200-day SMA - Plus Scanning for Relative Strength within Sectors
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/08/sp-500-five-percent-and-the-200-day-sma---plus-scanning-for-relative-strength-within-sectors.html
8/18 bull market will end until the S&P 500 cries uncle
Those Noisy Small and Mid Caps
One of the biggest challenges in technical analysis is to distinguish between a mere correction and the start of a bigger downtrend. This is also true with broad market analysis. The selling pressure over the last four weeks was certainly intense, but is it enough to end the bull market? The chart below shows the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY), S&P MidCap SPDR (MDY) and S&P SmallCap iShares (IJR) as line charts with the 5% Zigzag. This indicator changes direction when there is a move greater than 5% (except for the most recent move).
Notice that MDY declined more than 5% on three different occasions since April 2016 (red areas) and IJR did the same on five different occasions. SPY, on the other hand, only experienced one pullback that exceeded 5% (closing basis). Deeper pullbacks and choppier price action in small-caps and mid-caps have defined the current bull run, pre and post election. As concerning as it is to see relative weakness in small-caps, I don't not think the bull market will end until the S&P 500 cries uncle.
8/18 Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Those Noisy Small and Mid Caps
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/08/weekly-market-review--outlook---those-noisy-small-and-mid-caps.html
8/15 Transport ETF Holds Breakout, Semiconductor ETF Holds Support, Fab 5 Tech Stocks
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/08/transport-etf-holds-breakout-semiconductor-etf-holds-support-fab-5-tech-stocks-.html
8/11 Weekly Market Review & Outlook - A New High and a Big Decline
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/08/weekly-market-review--outlook---a-new-high-and-a-big-decline-.html
8/10 SystemTrader - Tempering Volatility by Using RSI to Rank Stocks
RSI dampens volatility by measuring the gains relative to the losses.
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/08/systemtrader---tempering-volatility-by-using-rsi-to-rank-stocks---.html
8/8 Key note.
Note that these systems do not care about earnings, valuations, extended trends or even the Fed!
extended trends = Starting to see this too.
8/8 Another Mean-Reversion Setup for Small-caps and Mid-Caps - Oil and XES Break Up - Six Stock Setups
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/08/another-mean-reversion-setup-for-small-caps-and-mid-caps---oil-and-xes-break-up---six-stock-setups.html
50 SMA ABOVE 200 SMA 10.16 % RISK ADJUSTED RETURN ......EXPOSURE 68 %
Backtesting Moving Average Performance
The two most popular moving average periods are 50 days and 200 days. I would also venture a guess that simple moving averages are used more than exponential moving averages. Taken together, the S&P 500 is the most widely followed index, and the 50-day and 200-day SMAs are the most widely used moving averages. It seems that the S&P 500 with these two moving averages is important just because so many pundits follow this combination. It kind of becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. Let's look at some backtest result to see just how well this moving average pair works.
See 6 th row
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2016/11/systemtrader---how-to-become-a-smooth-operator-with-moving-averages---backtesting-different-moving-average-pairs.html
6/18 IJR MEAN REV RSI 5 STUDY OF CLOSING TRADE
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/05/mean-reversion-for-ijr-china-asia-aluminum-railroads-and-six-stocks-to-watch.html
8/4 Weekly Market Review & Outlook - We've Seen this Movie Before
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/08/weekly-market-review--outlook---weve-seen-this-movie-before-ijr-rsp-spy-tlt.html
8/3 SystemTrader - Reworking the ChartCon Momentum Rotation Strategy - Cut your Profits and don't Worry about Stops
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/08/systemtrader---reworking-the-chartcon-momentum-rotation-strategy---cut-your-profits-and-dont-worry-about-stops--.html
8/1 Oil Could Hit Resistance Soon - Equipment and Services ETF Lags - Plus XOM, CVS, GS, SCHW, L, TRV and BMY
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/08/oil-could-hit-resistance-soon---equipment-and-services-etf-lags---plus-xom-cvs-gs-schw-l-trv-and-bmy.html
7/28 Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Breadth is Bullish Enough
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/07/weekly-market-review--outlook---breadth-is-bullish-enough-.html
7/27 Customizing CandleGlance with 6 Homebuilders, Diamonds are Not Bearish and 3 Asian ETFs Poised for an Upturn
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/07/customizing-candleglance-with-6-homebuilders-diamonds-are-not-bearish-and-3-asian-etfs-poised-for-an-upturn.html
77/25 SPY Hits Another New High - Are Rates Turning Up? - Regional Banks Lead Market Higher
Arthur Hill | July 25, 2017 at 11:49 AM
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/07/spy-hits-another-new-high---are-rates-turning-up---regional-banks-lead-market-higher.html
7/7 Weekly Market Review & Outlook (w/ Video) - Analyzing the Correction Evidence
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/07/weekly-market-review--outlook-w-video---analyzing-the-correction-evidence.html
7/6 Homebuilders March Higher - Customizing CandleGlance - Plus 2 Housing Stocks, 3 Biotechs, 3 Cyber Security Plays and 3 for the Road
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/07/homebuilders-march-higher---plus-2-related-stocks-3-biotechs-3-cyber-security-plays-and-3-for-the-road.html
6/30 Weekly Market Review & Outlook - QQQ Starts Correction as SPY and IJR Hold Up
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/06/weekly-market-review--outlook---qqq-starts-correction-as-spy-and-ijr-hold-up-.html
9/29 The Great Rate Debate - 4 Regional Banks and 3 Steel Stocks Bid to End Corrections
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/06/the-great-rate-debate---4-regional-banks-and-3-steel-stocks-bid-to-end-corrections.html
6/27 Bearish Candles Hit Big Tech Stocks - Plus two Brokers, Two Big Banks and More
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/06/bearish-candles-hit-big-tech-stocks---plus-two-brokers-two-big-banks-and-more.html
6/23 Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Two of Nine Sector SPDRs Hit New Highs
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/06/weekly-market-review--outlook---two-of-nine-sector-spdrs-hit-new-highs.html
6/22 ADRs, ETFs and Currency - Analysis for EEM, Poland, China, Italy and Spain
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/06/adrs-etfs-and-currency---analysis-for-eem-poland-china-italy-and-spain.html
6/20 Market Shows Broad Strength, Techs Get Mojo Back, Bank ETFs Stall and 12 Stock Setups
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/06/market-shows-broad-strength-techs-get-mojo-back-bank-etfs-stall-and-12-stock-setups.html
6/18 IJR MEAN REV RSI 5 STUDY OF CLOSING TRADE
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/05/mean-reversion-for-ijr-china-asia-aluminum-railroads-and-six-stocks-to-watch.html
6/16 Weekly Market Review & Outlook - New Highs for Major Index ETFs and New Sector Leadership
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/06/weekly-market-review--outlook---new-highs-for-major-index-etfs-and-new-sector-leadership.html
6/15 SystemTrader - Put the VIX Through the Wringer and Testing Signals with SPY
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/06/systemtrader---put-the-vix-through-the-wringer-and-testing-signals-with-spy.html
6/13 QQQ Takes a Hit, Two Leading EW Sectors and Eight Stock Setups
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/06/qqq-takes-a-hit-two-leading-ew-sectors-and-eight-stock-setups.html
6/9 Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Small-caps, Finance and Miners Bid to End Corrections
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/06/weekly-market-review--outlook---small-caps-finance-and-miners-bid-to-end-corrections.html
6/8 Determining Trend Direction and Trend Strength with Simple Indicators - Plus Scan Code
http://stockcharts.com/members/articles/arthurhill/2017/06/determining-trend-direction-and-trend-strength-with-simple-indicators---plus-scan-code.html
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