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Last Post: 4/6/2018 4:50:21 PM - Followers: 31 - Board type: Free - Posts Today: 0


Tanker rates are a function of the balance between two main factors:

  • Tanker demand
  • Tanker supply

View Current Tanker Rates

Tanker demand
An increase in tanker demand will generally have a positive effect on prevailing spot tanker rates.

Demand for conventional oil tankers is a function of two main factors:

  • World oil demand and supply, which determines the amount of crude oil and refined products available to be transported in tankers
  • The relative locations of oil production, refining and consumption, which affects the distance over which the oil or refined products are transported

The combination of these two factors creates "ton-mile demand", which is a measure of the amount of oil transported in tankers multiplied by the distance over which it travels.

Oil demand and supply
The tanker market cannot exist without the demand for oil and in particular how much of the demand can be met by domestic production / pipeline supply and how much needs to be imported on tankers. The main driver of oil demand is the global economy while population growth is also an important factor, particularly in the developing economies where the emergence of a growing middle class is leading to a rapid increase in vehicle ownership and therefore transportation fuel demand.

As of February 2010, the International Energy Agency estimates that global oil consumption will grow from 84.9 million barrels per day (or mb/d) in 2009 to 86.5 mb/d in 2010 as a result of the expected recovery in the global economy. The majority of the growth is expected to come from emerging economies led by China.

The distance factor
The longer the distance over which oil needs to be transported, the greater the number of ships are required to service the demand. The majority of known oil reserves are located in areas far from major consuming regions, which contributes positively towards demand for oil tankers. The distance over which crude oil or refined petroleum products are transported is determined by seaborne trading and distribution patterns, which are principally influenced by the relative advantages of the various sources of production and locations of consumption. Seaborne trading patterns are also periodically influenced by geopolitical events, such as wars, hostilities and trade embargoes that divert tankers from normal trading patterns, as well as by inter-regional oil trading activity.

Historically, the level of oil exports from the Middle East has had a strong effect on the tanker market as a whole due to the relatively long distance between this supply source and typical discharge points. Over the past few years the growing economies of Asia, and in particular China, have increased and diversified their oil imports, resulting in the growth of import volumes from longer haul producers such as those in the Atlantic Basin and an overall increase in transportation distances for tankers.

Limited growth in refinery capacity in developed nations (the largest consumers of oil in recent years) and increasing refinery capacity in the Middle East and parts of Asia where surplus capacity supports exports have also altered traditional trading patterns and contributed to an increase in transportation distances for products tankers.

Tanker supply
An increase in tanker fleet supply will generally have a negative effect on prevailing spot tanker rates.

The supply of oil tankers is a function of:

  • The construction and delivery of new vessels into the fleet
  • The removal of vessels for scrapping or conversion to other ship types

The level of new vessel orders is primarily a function of newbuilding prices in relation to current and prospective charter market conditions. Available shipyard capacity for newbuildings is another factor that affects tanker supply. The level of scrapping activity is primarily a function of scrap prices in relation to current and prospective charter market conditions and operating, repair and survey costs. Industry regulations also affect scrapping levels, such as the IMO mandated phase-out of single hull tankers which takes effect from 2010.

One-off factors can also impact tanker supply. Examples include the use of ships as floating storage and slow steaming, both of which have the effect of reducing available fleet supply


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TNK News: Teekay Corporation Declares Dividend 04/04/2018 04:08:35 PM
TNK News: Securities Registration: Employee Benefit Plan (s-8) 03/21/2018 02:12:27 PM
TNK News: Teekay Tankers Announces Changes to Board Audit Committee 03/16/2018 05:45:17 PM
TNK News: Teekay Corporation Announces Changes to Board of Directors 03/14/2018 09:17:14 PM
TNK News: Report of Foreign Issuer (6-k) 02/22/2018 04:18:24 PM
PlusOneCoin Top Posts
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#293   TNK 1.08 TO 1.12 Very surprised still paying 31twu 04/06/18 04:50:21 PM
#292   TNK 1.10 TO 1.13 31twu 04/04/18 04:55:02 AM
#291   TNK Closed $1.11 31twu 04/03/18 05:01:57 AM
#290   TNK Closed $1.23 31twu 03/19/18 05:09:38 PM
#289   Time for this baby to run. Glad msschm2 02/22/18 11:47:55 AM
#288   TNK stands for TANKED STOCK for now. msschm2 02/20/18 01:29:10 PM
#287   TNK Closed Low $1.15 31twu 02/16/18 05:22:28 PM
#286   this is looking very horrible. I didnt msschm2 02/13/18 02:51:31 PM
#285   Will this ever have an up day again ipods4all 02/05/18 11:34:42 AM
#284   1.25 now ipods4all 01/31/18 03:00:50 PM
#283   TNK,52WK Low $1.29 Closed $1.32{MDA:36DAYS}Maybe going Lower SOON 31twu 01/26/18 05:51:09 PM
#282   Well i now have 10K shares so hopefully msschm2 01/23/18 11:34:03 AM
#281   I thought we hit a bottom a month KJAX 01/20/18 01:49:31 PM
#280   I'm afraid to say "Yes": then it sinks wiredawg 01/11/18 04:43:25 PM
#279   Yeah it is on that verge of disaster. msschm2 01/09/18 10:54:05 AM
#278   They've gotta do something to get the stock surogateson 01/09/18 09:25:23 AM
#277   New Here been watching for a year msschm2 01/08/18 12:38:44 PM
#276   Teekay Tankers (NYSE:TNK) appoints Stewart Andrade as its JettLoneStar 12/07/17 11:08:00 AM
#275   HAMILTON, Bermuda, Nov. 17, 2017 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JettLoneStar 11/18/17 02:04:09 AM
#274   Teekay Tankers Ltd 2017 Q3 - Results - JettLoneStar 11/13/17 07:04:26 AM
#273   Sniff, sniff. Is that garbage I smell? conix 09/17/17 05:20:13 PM
#271   I own TNK. I love their ships and jones99 06/02/17 04:10:23 AM
#270   Yes, I saw that. I wonder how KJAX 06/01/17 09:13:35 AM
#269   Answer my own question. surogateson 05/31/17 11:22:24 PM
#268   What merger? surogateson 05/31/17 11:07:15 PM
#267   Any thoughts on the merger???? KJAX 05/31/17 10:17:09 PM
#266   Yea, I don't see oil moving that much KJAX 05/27/17 08:40:27 PM
#265   Yep, still holding this crappy ass tanker stock. wiredawg 05/27/17 10:59:18 AM
#264   You still holding on to shares? I KJAX 05/26/17 09:02:28 PM
#263   Yeah, these prices does seem reasonable to get wiredawg 02/28/17 12:19:16 PM
#262   Our Teekay Tankers $TNK fundamental analysis highlights stock's ValueInvestor15 02/22/17 10:01:28 AM
#261   Wow, this stock is as active as the Elixergod 02/21/17 12:53:59 AM
#260   Weekly chart tells me very good chance TNK mitcheroo 11/28/16 12:03:36 PM
#259   NAT is still a a short, EURN I MisterEC 11/05/16 12:26:00 AM
#258   good buy at $2.97..have a look at EURN shotgun 11/04/16 03:15:13 PM
#257   After our new low, 2.03, found support I MisterEC 11/01/16 03:55:54 PM
#256   2.10 a new low on the year. MisterEC 11/01/16 12:07:12 AM
#255   My limit buy order just triggered for $2.10 shotgun 10/31/16 11:05:42 PM
#254   Traders booked 141 spot cargoes for the month MisterEC 10/19/16 12:10:37 PM
#253   You Did Not articulate that effectively in your THREE-DAY-TRADER 10/08/16 02:18:13 PM
#251   ***It's only a 10% dividend if you hold THREE-DAY-TRADER 10/04/16 08:44:53 AM
#250   Hey guys, here is a great idea, buy shotgun 10/01/16 12:21:26 PM
#249   Low $Crude Oil is good for TNK fundamentally THREE-DAY-TRADER 09/16/16 02:12:46 PM
#248   Buy, Hold, Trade, either way, with the dividend thetruth63 09/16/16 01:51:01 PM
#247   At 2.50, TNK is so cheap in so THREE-DAY-TRADER 09/16/16 01:28:22 PM
#246   It's a great candidate for buy (now or THREE-DAY-TRADER 08/31/16 02:18:19 PM
#245   "tanker rates go up" is the key here. conix 08/29/16 08:27:48 AM
#244   Teekay Has Hit Bottom MisterEC 08/26/16 05:24:42 PM
#243   TNK Chart conix 08/26/16 01:52:58 PM
#242   Time To Go Long Teekay? MisterEC 08/25/16 06:11:17 PM