Sizzling Stock Picks

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Is Your Broker Ripping You Off?
Despite the over-hyped stories on the news, most financial professionals are honest, hard-working people. After all, cheating clients isnt a good way to build a strong business and generate referrals; as a result, it isnt a common practice.

That said, the world of financial services can be complicated and confusing at the best of times and when you feel like you have a problem with your broker, it can seem even worse. Fortunately, with a little organization and a bit of elbow grease, most problems can be resolved.

The Process
The first step in the process is to contact your broker or financial advisor. Put your concerns in a letter and deliver it in a way that enables you to confirm receipt. Keep a copy for yourself. Many times, simple misunderstandings or miscommunication can be resolved quickly and easily. If the issue is not resolved, your copy of the letter serves as proof of your efforts to address the situation. (For related reading, see Evaluating Your Broker.)

If sending a letter does not resolve the issue to your satisfaction, the next step is to contact your brokers boss, generally referred to as a branch manager. Once again, do it in writing. If your complaint is legitimate, the branch manager has every incentive in the world to help you resolve it. Successful firms dont want unhappy clients.
If you still arent satisfied with the response you get, you can contact the firms compliance office. In todays heightened regulatory environment, compliance is something that most firms take very seriously. Send your complaint in writing, along with copies of your earlier letters. Provide details about the issue and the steps that you have taken to resolve it. Give the compliance officer 30 days to respond. Should the issue remain unresolved, the fourth step is to contact the regulators.

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) oversees the securities market with a mandate to protect investors. If you file a complaint, the SECs Division of Enforcement will investigate by contacting the parties involved in the issue. In some cases, contact by the SEC leads to dispute resolution. In others, the SEC may take further action, such as filing a lawsuit and/or imposing sanctions. In cases where the company under investigation denies the allegations and no proof exists to contradict the denial, the SEC cannot act in place of a judge. Arbitration or legal action may be required. (To learn more about the SEC, read Policing The Securities Market: An Overview Of The SEC.)

The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority
Previously the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), FINRA is responsible for regulating all securities firms doing business in the United States, including registration of securities professionals, writing and enforcing securities laws, keeping the public informed and administering a dispute resolution platform. FINRAs compliance program is designed to address disputes with brokerage firms and their employees. Federal law gives FINRA the authority to discipline firms and individuals that violate the rules. However, disciplinary action is no guarantee that investors will be compensated for losses. The issues that FINRA addresses include the recommendation of unsuitable investments, unauthorized trading, failure to disclose material facts regarding an investment and unauthorized withdrawals from an investors account. FINRA also provides an investor complaint application that allows individual investors to submit a complaint regarding a brokerage firm or broker who has conducted business improperly.
State Securities Regulator
In the United States, each state has its own securities regulator. Contacting your states regulator is another avenue to explore when a dispute arises.

Understand the System
A significant number of investors set themselves up for disappointment because they dont understand their investments and they dont understand the regulatory system. Losing money on an investment is not always a reason to call for help. You need to read the fine print and make sure you understand everything your advisor has proposed for your portfolio - including the potential for a decline in value - before you agree to make the investment. Buying something that you dont understand and then trying to get your money back if the investment loses money is often a recipe for disaster.

The other important issue to remember is that regulators investigate breaches of industry rules and regulations. They do not assist with the recovery of lost money. Even if you have been the victim of an unscrupulous individual, litigation may be required to recover assets.

Mediation and Arbitration
Mediation is an informal, voluntary process whereby an independent third party facilitates a settlement between the parties involved in a dispute. Mediation is a voluntary process, and the outcome is non-binding.

Arbitration is another option. Some types of securities accounts include an agreement in which both parties agree to settle their differences in arbitration should a dispute arise. If you made such an agreement when you opened your account, the arbitrators will apply the applicable laws to your case. In some instances, the entire dispute is handled through written correspondence and records, so be sure to keep copies of all documents that will be relevant to your case. Arbitration decisions are final and binding.

Litigation - The Last Resort
If you have a legitimate compliant and it remains unresolved after you have followed all of the steps in the process in an effort to address it, contact an attorney. Litigation is often a slow and expensive process, and there is no guarantee that you will get the solution that you are seeking.
A far better choice than litigation is to make every effort to avoid this path altogether. Before you invest, learn about the various types of financial services professionals that are available to assist you. Some upfront research can save you a great deal of heartache, and money, later on.

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5 Reasons To Avoid Index Funds
Modern portfolio theory suggests that markets are efficient , and that a securitys price includes all available information. The suggestion is that active management of a portfolio is useless, and investors would be better off buying an index and letting it ride. However, stock prices do not always seem rational, and there is also ample evidence going against efficient markets. So, although many people say that index investing is the way to go, well look at some reasons why it isnt always the best choice. (For background reading, see our Index Investing Tutorial and Modern Portfolio Theory: An Overview.)

1. Lack of Downside Protection
The stock market has proved to be a great investment in the long run, but over the years it has had its fair share of bumps and bruises. Investing in an index fund , such as one that tracks the S

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6 Dangerous Moves For First-Time Investors
Thanks to online discount brokerages, anyone with an Internet connection and a bank account can be up and trading stocks within a week. This ease of access is great because it encourages more people to explore investing for themselves, rather than depending on mutual funds or money managers. However, there are some common mistakes that first time investors have to be aware of before they try picking stocks like Buffett or shorting like Soros. (To learn more, see Billionaire Portfolios: What Are They Hiding?)



Jumping In Head First
The basics of investing are quite simple in theory – buy low and sell high. In practice, however, you have to know what is low and what is high in a market where everything hinges on different readings of a variety of ratios and metrics. What is high to the seller is considered low (enough) to the buyer in any transaction, so you can see how different conclusions can be drawn from the same market information. Because of the relative nature of the market, it is important to study up a bit before jumping in. (To learn more, see Stochastics: An Accurate Buy And Sell Indicator.)

At the very least, know the basic metrics such as book value, dividend yield, price-earnings ratio (P/E) and so on, and understand how they are calculated and where their major weaknesses lie. While you are learning, you can see how your conclusions work out by using virtual money in a stock simulator. Most likely, youll find that the market is much more complex than a few ratios can express, but learning those and testing them on a demo account can help lead you to the next level of study. (Watching metrics like book value and P/E are crucial to value investing. Get acquainted with 5 Must-Have Metrics for Value Investing.)

Playing Penny Stocks
At first glance, penny stocks seem like a great idea. With as little as $100, you can get a lot more shares in a penny stock than a blue chip that might cost $50 a share. And, if the two blue chip shares you bought went up $1 youd only make $2, whereas if 100 shares of a $1 stock went up a $1 you would double your money. Unfortunately, what penny stocks offer in position size and potential profitability has to measure against the volatility that they face. Penny stocks can shoot up. It happens all the time - but they can also crash in moments, and are exceptionally vulnerable to manipulation and illiquidity. Getting solid information on penny stocks can also be difficult, making them a poor choice for an investor who is still learning. (To learn more, read The Lowdown On Penny Stocks.)

Going All In with One Investment
Investing 100% of your capital in a specific market, whether it is the stock market, commodity futures, forex or even bonds is not a good move. Although you may eventually decide to throw diversification to the wind and put all your available capital into these markets once you are familiar with them, it is better to risk a little bit of capital at a time. This way, the lessons learned along the way are less costly, but still valuable. (Diversification entails calculating correlation, learn more about it by reading Diversification: Protecting Portfolios From Mass Destruction.)

Leveraging Up
Leveraging your money by using a margin is similar to going all in, but much more damaging. Using leverage magnifies both the gains and the losses on a given investment. Some forms of leverage, such as options, have a limited downside or can be controlled by using specific market orders, as in forex. Learning to control the amount of capital at risk comes with practice, and until an investor learns that control, leverage is best taken in small doses (if at all). (Read more with Leverages Double-Edged Sword Need Not Cut Deep.)

Investing Cash Reserves
Studies have shown that cash put into the market in bulk rather than incrementally has a better overall return, but this doesnt mean you should invest to the point of illiquidity. Investing is a long-term business whether you are a buy-and-hold investor or a trader, and staying in business requires having cash on the sidelines for emergencies and opportunities. Sure, cash on the sidelines doesnt earn any returns, but having all your cash in the market is a risk that even professional investors wont take. If you only have enough cash to invest or have an emergency cash reserve, then youre not in a position financially where investing makes sense. (To learn more about liquiditys importance, read Understanding Financial Liquidity.)

Chasing News
Trying to guess what will be the next Apple, a revolutionary produce or a rumor of earth shaking earnings, investing on news is a terrible move for first time investors. The best case scenario is that you get lucky, and then keep doing it until your luck fails. The worst case scenario is that you get stuck jumping in late (or investing on the wrong rumor) time and time again before you give up on investing. Rather than following rumors, the ideal first investments are in companies you understand and have a personal experience dealing with. This connection makes it easier to stomach the time and research that investing demands. (For more on the psychology of trading, read How The Power Of The Masses Drives The Market.)

The Bottom Line
When you are starting to invest, it is best to start small and take the risks with money you are prepared to lose. As you gain confidence and become more adept at evaluating stocks and reading the market sentiment, you can start making bigger investments. None of these investments are bad in and of themselves, but they do tend to be very unforgiving towards rookie mistakes. Leverage, penny stocks, news trading, etc. can all become part of your investing strategy as you learn, should you choose it. The trick is learning to invest in more stable markets before you jump into the wilder areas.

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Why You Should Be Wary Of Target-Date Funds

Its the in thing now; everybodys doing it, so why wouldnt you? Heres how the story repeatedly plays out, especially for those who recently opened a new 401(k) or 403(b) account. The benefits manager of your company sent you a big stack of documents and told you to complete the application. You thumbed through everything, skimming the microscopic print in these pamphlets called prospectuses, and found yourself completely overwhelmed.

Luckily, as you were completing the application, you noticed that you could either pick your own investment options or choose the ready-made option that placed all of your retirement funds into a target-date fund. You didnt know what it was, but you didnt know how to pick your investment options anyway, so into this target-date fund is where your money has gone.



What Is a Target-Date Fund?
The concept is very simple. A target-date fund adjusts the assets in the fund to line up with your retirement timeline. If youre planning to retire in 15 years, you might pick a target-date fund of 2025 or 2030. The fund manager will adjust the holdings and when you near retirement age, that fund will hold a lot of bonds, instead of the more risky stocks.

You dont have to worry about adjusting your investment portfolio because the fund does it for you. If you dont have the time or desire to learn how to manage your retirement portfolio, these target-date funds might be a great idea.

As your grandparents might have said, if its too good to be true, it probably isnt and that might be the case with target-date funds.

The Whole You
First, you are more than a date. Knowing that you plan to retire in 2025 or 2030 isnt enough information to assemble your retirement portfolio; imagine a doctor asking nothing more than your age. Your investment portfolio should be crafted around your tolerance for risk, the other assets you own, your family situation, social security and more. A target-date fund doesnt take any of that into account, because its designed for a large amount instead of you, personally.

They Might Cost a Lot
According to Consumer Reports, the median expense ratio of target-date funds is 0.68%, compared to 0.71% for stock funds. That isnt bad if your plan offers a target-date fund around the median, but the median expense ratio of index funds, a fund that tracks the performance of a certain investment index, is only 0.5% and you can find index funds for as low as 0.1%.

In general, actively managed funds, funds that have a team of people picking stocks and bonds in an attempt to beat the overall market, will cost more, but over the long term they dont perform any better than an index fund that is cheaper.

Theyre Hard to Understand
Target-date funds are like a brand new car . They look good on the outside but theyre hard to figure out when you open the hood. A recent SEC study found that many people believed that a target-date fund guarantees an income stream at retirement much like an annuity or a pension.

Others believed that once the fund reached the target-date, no more allocation changes in the fund were made. Both of these facts are untrue but this, along with the fact that a 2025 fund may vary greatly between companies, makes these funds dangerous for investors to take at face value.
The Bottom Line
Regardless of what you read today or in the future, there is no one investment product that will address all of your investing needs. A combination of products that may include a target-date fund is the best way to insure your retirement needs are met. Diversification will likely always be the best way to protect and grow your portfolio.

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Understanding Stock Splits
Say you had a $100 bill and someone offered you two $50 bills for it. Would you take the offer? This might sound like a pointless question, but the action of a stock split puts you in a similar position. In this article we will explore what a stock split is, why its done and what it means to the investor.

What Is a Stock Split?
A stock split is a corporate action that increases the number of the corporations outstanding shares by dividing each share, which in turn diminishes its price. The stocks market capitalization, however, remains the same, just like the value of the $100 bill does not change if it is exchanged for two $50s. For example, with a 2-for-1 stock split, each stockholder receives an additional share for each share held, but the value of each share is reduced by half: two shares now equal the original value of one share before the split.

Lets say stock A is trading at $40 and has 10 million shares issued, which gives it a market capitalization of $400 million ($40 x 10 million shares). The company then decides to implement a 2-for-1 stock split. For each share shareholders currently own, they receive one share, deposited directly into their brokerage account . They now have two shares for each one previously held, but the price of the stock is split by 50%, from $40 to $20. Notice that the market capitalization stays the same - it has doubled the amount of stocks outstanding to 20 million while simultaneously reducing the stock price by 50% to $20 for a capitalization of $400 million. The true value of the company hasnt changed one bit.
The most common stock splits are, 2-for-1, 3-for-2 and 3-for-1. An easy way to determine the new stock price is to divide the previous stock price by the split ratio. In the case of our example, divide $40 by 2 and we get the new trading price of $20. If a stock were to split 3-for-2, wed do the same thing: 40/(3/2) = 40/1.5 = $26.6.

It is also possible to have a reverse stock split: a 1-for-10 means that for every ten shares you own, you get one share. Below we illustrate exactly what happens with the most popular splits in regards to number of shares, share price and market cap of the company splitting its shares.


Whats the Point of a Stock Split?
So, if the value of the stock doesnt change, what motivates a company to split its stock? Good question. There are several reasons companies consider carrying out this corporate action.

The first reason is psychology. As the price of a stock gets higher and higher, some investors may feel the price is too high for them to buy, or small investors may feel it is unaffordable. Splitting the stock brings the share price down to a more attractive level. The effect here is purely psychological. The actual value of the stock doesnt change one bit, but the lower stock price may affect the way the stock is perceived and therefore entice new investors. Splitting the stock also gives existing shareholders the feeling that they suddenly have more shares than they did before, and of course, if the prices rises, they have more stock to trade.

Another reason, and arguably a more logical one, for splitting a stock is to increase a stocks liquidity, which increases with the stocks number of outstanding shares. You see, when stocks get into the hundreds of dollars per share, very large bid/ask spreads can result (see Why the Bid/Ask Spread Is So Important.). A perfect example is Warren Buffetts Berkshire Hathaway, which has never had a stock split. At times, Berkshire stock has traded at nearly $100,000 and its bid/ask spread can often be over $1,000. By splitting shares a lower bid/ask spread is often achieved, thereby increasing liquidity.
None of these reasons or potential effects that weve mentioned agree with financial theory, however. If you ask a finance professor, he or she will likely tell you that splits are totally irrelevant - yet companies still do it. Splits are a good demonstration of how the actions of companies and the behaviors of investors do not always fall into line with financial theory. This very fact has opened up a wide and relatively new area of financial study called behavioral finance (see Taking A Chance On Behavorial Finance.).

Advantages for Investors
There are plenty of arguments over whether a stock split is an advantage or disadvantage to investors. One side says a stock split is a good buying indicator, signaling that the companys share price is increasing and therefore doing very well. This may be true, but on the other hand, you cant get around the fact that a stock split has no affect on the fundamental value of the stock and therefore poses no real advantage to investors. Despite this fact the investment newsletter business has taken note of the often positive sentiment surrounding a stock split. There are entire publications devoted to tracking stocks that split and attempting to profit from the bullish nature of the splits. Critics would say that this strategy is by no means a time-tested one and questionably successful at best.

Factoring in Commissions
Historically, buying before the split was a good strategy because of commissions that were weighted by the number of shares you bought. It was advantageous only because it saved you money on commissions. This isnt such an advantage today because most brokers offer a flat fee for commissions, so you pay the same amount whether you buy 10 shares or 1,000 shares. Some online brokers have a limit of 2,000 or 5,000 shares for that flat rate, but most investors dont buy that many shares at once. The flat rate therefore covers most trades, so it does not matter if you buy pre-split or post-split.

Conclusion
The most important thing to know about stock splits is that there is no effect on the worth (as measured by market capitalization) of the company. A stock split should not be the deciding factor that entices you into buying a stock. While there are some psychological reasons why companies will split their stock, the split doesnt change any of the business fundamentals. In the end, whether you have two $50 bills or one $100 bill, you have the same amount in the bank.

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Determining Risk And The Risk Pyramid
You might be familiar with the risk-reward concept, which states that the higher the risk of a particular investment, the higher the possible return. But, many investors do not understand how to determine the level of risk their individual portfolios should bear. This article provides a general framework that any investor can use to assess his or her personal level of risk and how this level relates to different investments.

Risk-Reward Concept
This is a general concept underlying anything by which a return can be expected. Anytime you invest money into something there is a risk, whether large or small, that you might not get your money back. In turn, you expect a return, which compensates you for bearing this risk. In theory the higher the risk, the more you should receive for holding the investment, and the lower the risk, the less you should receive.

For investment securities, we can create a chart with the different types of securities and their associated risk/reward profile.


Although this chart is by no means scientific, it provides a guideline that investors can use when picking different investments . Located on the upper portion of this chart are investments that offer investors a higher potential for above-average returns, but this potential comes with a higher risk of below-average returns. On the lower portion are much safer investments, but these investments have a lower potential for high returns.
Determining Your Risk Preference
With so many different types of investments to choose from, how does an investor determine how much risk he or she can handle? Every individual is different, and its hard to create a steadfast model applicable to everyone, but here are two important things you should consider when deciding how much risk to take:
• Time Horizon
Before you make any investment, you should always determine the amount of time you have to keep your money invested. If you have $20,000 to invest today but need it in one year for a down payment on a new house, investing the money in higher-risk stocks is not the best strategy. The riskier an investment is, the greater its volatility or price fluctuations, so if your time horizon is relatively short, you may be forced to sell your securities at a significant a loss.

With a longer time horizon, investors have more time to recoup any possible losses and are therefore theoretically be more tolerant of higher risks. For example, if that $20,000 is meant for a lakeside cottage that you are planning to buy in ten years, you can invest the money into higher-risk stocks because there is be more time available to recover any losses and less likelihood of being forced to sell out of the position too early.
• Bankroll
Determining the amount of money you can stand to lose is another important factor of figuring out your risk tolerance. This might not be the most optimistic method of investing; however, it is the most realistic. By investing only money that you can afford to lose or afford to have tied up for some period of time, you wont be pressured to sell off any investments because of panic or liquidity issues.

The more money you have, the more risk you are able to take and vice versa. Compare, for instance, a person who has a net worth of $50,000 to another person who has a net worth of $5,000,000. If both invest $25,000 of their net worth into securities, the person with the lower net worth will be more affected by a decline than the person with the higher net worth. Furthermore, if the investors face a liquidity issue and require cash immediately, the first investor will have to sell off the investment while the second investor can use his or her other funds.

Investment Risk Pyramid
After deciding on how much risk is acceptable in your portfolio by acknowledging your time horizon and bankroll, you can use the risk pyramid approach for balancing your assets.


This pyramid can be thought of as an asset allocation tool that investors can use to diversify their portfolio investments according to the risk profile of each security. The pyramid, representing the investors portfolio, has three distinct tiers:
• Base of the Pyramid– The foundation of the pyramid represents the strongest portion, which supports everything above it. This area should be comprised of investments that are low in risk and have foreseeable returns. It is the largest area and composes the bulk of your assets.
• Middle Portion– This area should be made up of medium-risk investments that offer a stable return while still allowing for capital appreciation. Although more risky than the assets creating the base, these investments should still be relatively safe.
• Summit– Reserved specifically for high-risk investments, this is the smallest area of the pyramid (portfolio) and should be made up of money you can lose without any serious repercussions. Furthermore, money in the summit should be fairly disposable so that you dont have to sell prematurely in instances where there are capital losses.

Personalizing the Pyramid
Not all investors are created equally. While others prefer less risk, some investors prefer even more risk than others who have a larger net worth. This diversity leads to the beauty of the investment pyramid. Those who want more risk in their portfolios can increase the size of the summit by decreasing the other two sections, and those wanting less risk can increase the size of the base. The pyramid representing your portfolio should be customized to your risk preference.

It is important for investors to understand the idea of risk and how it applies to them. Making informed investment decisions entails not only researching individual securities but also understanding your own finances and risk profile. To get an estimate of the securities suitable for certain levels of risk tolerance and to maximize returns, investors should have an idea of how much time and money they have to invest and the returns they are looking for.

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Get Organized With An Investment Analysis Form
When youre thumbing through annual reports, proxy statements and analyst ratings of multiple companies, the numbers can start to blur together. On top of that, once youve taken a look at all the financials a company has to offer, you can find yourself wondering what the significance is of the figures youve been looking at. Its information overload and its to be expected in any situation where fairly abstract ideas, like solvency ratios and assets per share, are thrown about in large quantities. In this article, well show you how to organize all the company information youve gathered into a readable and useful format.

Just sitting down with a bunch of financial statements isnt a very efficient or effective way of determining whether or not a company is a good investment decision. Youve got to organize your thoughts - otherwise youre just going to be spinning your wheels. Thats why creating your own investment analysis form can be one of the most valuable investment tools in your arsenal. An investment analysis form is a tool that you can use to help gather numbers and essential information needed to make an investment decision in one easy-to-use format.
Simplify Your Research
An investment analysis form is the perfect place to record key figures and pieces of information about your company as you find them in your research. This can be done on a customized form on a sheet of paper or on the computer through a spreadsheet program.

An investment analysis form allows you to better interpret your data systematically, as all of the information is collected into a standardized format. Because information is plugged in uniformly, youre guaranteed not to miss anything that you have deemed important.

An investment analysis form also allows an investor to simplify his or her research by only looking at information that is relevant to the investment decision , while throwing out any superfluous data. There are a lot of reasons why you might run into extraneous information in your research, but unless you make sure that its kept out of your investment criteria, its difficult to say whether or not unimportant information is influencing an important decision.

You can bet that investment professionals dont just go at a 10-K without a plan, and neither should you.

Collect Key Figures
Information Within the Form


The first step in developing your own investment analysis form is determining what you want to include in it. There are some figures that are essential and some that will be specific to your individual investing style.

Things like recent stock price, earnings per share (EPS), price/earnings ratio and total debt are pretty universal. Dont have an investment form that is missing an essential piece of financial information - anything that you would expect to see on the stock quote page of your favorite financial website should probably be included.
Numbers arent the only thing that belongs on the form. Youll definitely want places to write in things like products, addressed and unaddressed risk, legal troubles and the like. Your personal instincts and impressions after doing your research will be invaluable when you go back to looking at the stock a day or a year down the road, so make sure that you have a place to write them down. If you do a lot of investment research , its even easier to forget your impressions about a certain stock. Thats when having all those comments right at your fingertips is such a benefit. (Learn why it is helpful to keep a log of your instincts and actions, read Lessons From A Traders Diary.)

Now that youve got the essentials and the write-ins taken care of, dont forget the simple stuff. Have a place for the company name, the symbol and the date you did your research. Include things like state of incorporation, investor relations contact and a phone number for the main circuit board. While it may seem like a lot, it sure comes in handy when you need to reach someone to voice your concerns or just to get the latest financials from the company.

The process of creating an investment form is not a one-time deal, as you will likely make many changes over time as you hone your analysis skills.

Creating the Form
There are a couple of ways to set up your form. You can take a pen and paper and set up your spaces to write in information or, for the technically inclined, you can put it together on your computer using anything as simple as a word processor or as complex as professional page layout software.

If youd prefer to go paperless, using a spreadsheet program like Microsoft Excel can offer you quite a bit of flexibility. If you prefer to use the old-school paper method, take your form template to your closest copy center and go copy crazy. Make enough copies so that you wont have to worry about running out in the near future. That way, when they are finally ready for some analyzing, youll have all the blank copy forms youll need.
Analyze Your Investments
Once youre all set up with a form of your own, youll probably find that collecting your thoughts is a lot easier than it used to be. If you can interpret a stock quote online, you should have no problem interpreting the data youd want to include on your form. It just simplifies the process of investment analysis.

Where the idea of an investment analysis form really shines is when youre trying to scale across investments . Having information available to you in an organized way for multiple companies makes a comparison of two companies a much less impractical task and can help cement your understanding of what attributes make for an attractive investment. Just dont forget that an investment analysis form is just an aide. It wont tell you whether a particular stock is a smart investment, but it can help you organize your thoughts and data so that you can make that determination for yourself.

Conclusion
Scouring through piles of 10-Ks can be an unpleasant and confusing task, especially for a less experienced investor, but with the right tools for the job, making use of the information you collect can be all the easier. Creating your own investment analysis form can enable you to interpret the information you deem important in selecting an investment without losing your head in a sea of numbers.

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Is Your Psyche Ready For A Bull Market?
The psychological hardwiring that helped us survive in primitive times also make us vulnerable to dangerous errors and biases when handling our investments in both bull and bear markets. Read on to learn about the catch phrases to watch for in a bull market, and some of the mental errors and biases they could signal.

I know investment markets are going to pull back. I will put the money to work then.
When you hear a phrase like this, the investor could be suffering from confirmation bias. Confirmation bias is a result of our brains trying to avoid cognitive dissonance, or having two conflicting thoughts. It occurs when investors filter out relevant evidence about their investments that contradicts their beliefs. With all of the information available about the direction of investment markets and the economy, it is easy to latch on to what you want to hear and filter out information that contradicts your past judgment. In a new bull market this bias can cause investors to ignore information that the economy and the financial markets are recovering. It would mean that they were wrong about their recent decision to sell or not buy certain investments. It can cause them to sit on the sidelines too long while investment opportunities pass them by. It is always good to think independently when investing, but make sure that you keep your ego in check and have an alternative plan if markets do not go your way.
I finally had a profit, so I sold that investment.
There is nothing wrong with taking profits, but keep in mind that investors are constantly fearing regret and seeking pride. This is what is called the disposition effect. It is a result of the pain of an investment loss hurting much worse than the pleasure of a gain. Academic research has shown that investment losses hurt about two and a half times more than the positive feeling you get from an equivalent investment gain. Net of taxes, whether you have a gain or a loss in an investment says absolutely nothing about its future prospects. In a new bull market this bias causes investors to sell winners too early (seeking pride). Also, the painful regret associated with taking losses can keep investors from selling pastbear market losers to buy new bull market leaders. To help yourself avoid this bias, make sure that you have a process for buying and selling investments that is disciplined, fundamentally sound and repeatable. The bragging rights associated with quick gains are great, but the future profits you may miss could have been even better.

The market has gone up too far and too fast. We are due for a market correction
This phrase could signal what is known as anchoring or reference point. Anchoring occurs when someone assigns a number, like a 52-week high or low, to compare the price of an investment. Most academics and investment professionals would agree that the stock market is at least weak form efficient, meaning that past price movements are poor predictors of future price performance. Long-term investing using past price patterns alone can be compared to driving your car forward while using your rearview mirror as a guide.

In a new bull market, anchoring can lead to market acrophobia, where investors believe that because investment markets went up quickly from their lows they are due for a large correction. It can also give investors a false sense of value and lead to excessive risk taking in the initial stages of a bull market. Because investors have a tendency to believe that an investment is cheap or not as risky if it has already fallen a lot in price. Keep in mind that prices and investmentfundamentals are constantly changing. Whether or not an investment has risen or fallen in the past tells you very little about its current fundamental valuation and long-term investment prospects today.
I will never buy stocks again
This phrase could signal the snake bite effect. Snake bite effect occurs when investors take large losses in a certain asset class, like stocks, and become more risk adverse. The emotional toll from their past bear market losses can be so great that they feel the need to reduce exposure to the asset class or abandon it all together. It is important to think about your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and capital market expectations, and invest accordingly. In a new bull market this bias can lead to an under-diversified portfolio, or a portfolio that does not match the investors objectives. It may stink, but if it meets your long- term investment goals sometimes you just have to hold your nose and buy.

Conclusion
Famed investor Benjamin Graham once said, Individuals who cannot master their emotions are ill-suited to profit from the investment process. Mr. Graham knew that having control over your emotions when investing can mean the difference between success and failure.

It is important to understand that, because we are all humans and not computers; we will not always make perfectly rational and timely investment decisions. Knowing some of the catch phrases to look for and the mental errors and biases that they may signal can help you make more rational investment decisions and suppress your inner Captain Caveman when investing in a new bull market.

[GreenReeper]

What Owning A Stock Actually Means


Most people realize that owning a stock means buying a percentage of ownership in the company, but many new investors have misconceptions about the benefits and responsibilities of being a shareholder. Many of these misconceptions stem from a lack of understanding of the amount of ownership that each stock represents. For large companies such as IBM (NYSE:IBM) and General Electric (NYSE:GE), one share is merely a drop in the pond. Even if you owned $1 million worth of shares, youll still be a small potato with very little equity in the actual company. So what does this mean? Lets take a look.

Misconception No.1: I am the boss.
First of all, youre better off not thinking that you can bring your share certificates into the corporate headquarters to boss people around and demand a corner office. As the owner of the stock, youve placed your faith in the companys management and how it handles different situations. If you are not happy with the management, you can always sell your stock, but if you are happy, you should hold onto the stock and hope for a good return.
Furthermore, next time you are pondering whether youre the only person worried about a companys stock price, you should remember that many of the senior company executives, or insiders, probably own as many, if not more, shares than you do.

This isnt a guarantee that the companys stock will do well, but it is a way for companies to give their executives an incentive to maintain or increase the stocks price. Be careful though: insider ownership is a double-edged sword because executives may get involved in some funny business to artificially increase the stocks price and then quickly sell out the personal holdings for a profit.

Even though you cant directly manage the company with your stocks , if your stock has voting rights, vote for the directors who can. These are the people who typically hire upper management, which hires lower management, which hires subordinate employees. Thus, as an owner of common stock, you do get a bit of a say in controlling the shape and direction of the company, even though this say doesnt represent direct control.

Misconception No.2: I get a discount.
Another misconception is that ownership in a company translates into discounts. Now, there are definitely some exceptions to the rule. Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A), for example, has an annual gathering for its shareholders where they can buy goods at a discount from Berkshire Hathaways held companies. Typically, however, the only thing you get with the ownership rights of a stock is the ability to participate in the companys profitability.

Why would it hurt for you to get a discount? Well, this answer can get a little complicated. After some thought, you probably would not want that discount. Lets look at an example of Bens Chicken restaurant (owned by Ben and a couple of his friends) and Corys Brewing Company (owned by millions of different shareholders). Because only a few people own Bens Chicken Restaurant, the discount would only be a small portion of the restaurants income and revenue, which the owners would bear.
For Corys Brewing Company, the loss in income and revenue would also be borne by the owners (the millions of shareholders), but, because revenue is the main driver of stock price and the loss from a discount would mean a drop in stock price, the loss from a discount would be more substantial for Corys Brewing. So, even though an owner of stock may have saved on a purchase of the companys goods, he or she would lose on the investment in the companys stock. Thus, the discount isnt nearly as good as it initially sounds.

Misconception No.3: I own the chair, the desk, the pens, the property, etc.
As an investor in a company, you own a portion of the company (no matter how small that portion is); however, this doesnt mean that you own property of the company. Lets go back to Bens Chicken Restaurant and Corys Brewing Company. Quite often, companies will have loans to pay for property, equipment, inventories and other things needed for operations.

Bens Chicken Restaurant received a loan from a local bank under certain conditions whereby the equipment and property are used as collateral. For a large company like Corys Brewing Company, the loans come in many different forms, such as through a bank or from investors by means of different bond issues. In either case, the owners must pay back the debtors before getting any money back.

For both companies, the debtors - in the case of Corys Brewing Company, this is the bank and the bondholders - have the initial rights to the property, but they typically wont ask for their money back while the companies are profitable and show the capacity to repay the money. However, if either of the companies becomes insolvent, the debtors are first in line for companys assets . Only the money left over from the sale of the company assets is distributed out to the stock holders.

Conclusion
Hopefully weve been able to dispel any misconceptions that some stock holders have about the powers of ownership. Next time you think about taking your stock certificate into the nearest McDonalds (NYSE:MCD) to get a discount on a Happy Meal, fire the employee after he refuses to give it to you, and finally walk out in disgust with a McFlurry machine, you should remind yourself of this article.

[Black_NITE]

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4 Ways Bonds Can Fit Into Your Portfolio
February 02, 2012 | Filed Under » Bonds, Fixed Income, Interest Rates, Investing Basics, Portfolio Management



Since the early 1980s, interest rates have been on a secular decline. Since the credit crisis, governments across the world have worked to flood global financial markets with liquidity, which includes low interest rates, to try and stoke economic growth. This has served to push most interest rates to all-time lows, be it those paid on government securities, mortgage rates or the rates that banks borrow from and lend to each other. (For related reading, see Forces Behind Interest Rates.)

See: Bond Basics

With interest rates across the board so low, there is a pretty wide consensus that they will trend up in 2012 and beyond. Because bond prices move in the opposite direction of interest rates, investors holding bonds have a good chance of losing money on their holdings over the next few years. However, as with any asset class, there are pockets of the market where investors should be able to protect their principal and earn reasonable rates of returns in their bond portfolios. Below are four ways that bonds can fit into your investment profile during 2012.

Municipal Bonds
About a year ago, market strategist Meredith Whitney boldly predicted that municipal bonds in the United States would eventually see hundreds of billions of dollars in defaults, as local municipalities struggle with lower tax revenue due to the credit crisis and also find it difficult to operate after years of generous retirement benefit promises and relatedoperating costs. Other strategists echoed her negative sentiment, which served to send many investors fleeing from municipal bond funds and individual bond positions.

Lower demand has served to push bond prices down and rates up. The rate on an AAA-rated five-year municipal bond is currently at roughly 0.79%, which is currently below the current Treasury bond yield of about 0.86% for the same maturity. Additionally, municipal bonds are generally exempt from federal taxes as well as most state and local tax rates. As a result, the tax equivalent yield is even higher, and moving into lower-rated bonds that are still investment grade could garner higher rates. A five-year A-rated municipal bond yields approximately 1.35%. (To learn more, read Avoid Tricky Tax Issues On Municipal Bonds.)

Corporate Bonds
AAA corporate bonds with a five-year maturity currently yields around 1.8%, which compared to the yield of municipal bonds with the same rating is more than double. A 20-year AAA corporate bond rate is somewhat decent at around 4.45%, though it requires locking up your money in a security that doesnt reach maturity until two decades later. As with the municipal bonds, sacrificing quality but still sticking in the investment grade category can allow for some pick up in yield. For instance, those brave enough to invest in bonds issued by banks and other financial institutions, can find yield to maturities of as much as 9%.

High-Yield Bonds
Sticking on the braver side of the bond market, high-yield bonds - which is a euphemism for junk bonds - offer plenty of opportunity to gamble for yields that can match the returns of stocks. A current perusal of some high-yield bonds, which are of a much lower credit rating than the investment grade bonds mentioned above, offer yield to maturities into the double digits. Clearly, the bonds with yields in the teens on up carry significant default risk, meaning investors can lose all of their money if the firm falls into further financial distress or ends up declaringbankruptcy. (Also, check out Junk Bonds: Everything You Need To Know.)
Convertible Bonds
Convertible bonds are an interesting subset of the bond market in that they combine features of traditional bonds with stocks. Like a bond, convertibles usually have a maturity date and pay a regular coupon, which should appeal to income-minded investors. They also tend to trade like a bond in a weak market environment or when company fundamentals are weak. But they also have the upside of a stock as they are convertible into the underlying companys stock. As such, they can trade much like a stock as it reflects the performance of the stock they are convertible into. Coupon rates vary and are generally quite low, but, again, offer more upside if the underlying stock performs well.

The Bottom Line
The bond market generally does not favor investors these days. The fact that companies, governments and municipalities are jumping at the chance to issue debt at low interest rates speaks to the fact that rates are at historic lows. Recently, a 10-year Treasury bond was issued with a coupon rate below 2%, which is the first time rates were ever this low. Despite the challenging overall outlook for the asset class, there are plenty of opportunities to find ways for bonds to fit into your portfolio.

[GreenReeper]

5 Common Mistakes Young Investors Make
When learning any skill, it is best to start young. Investing is no different. Missteps are common when learning something new, but when dealing with money, they can have serious consequences. Investors who start young generally have the flexibility and time frame to take on risk and recover from their money-losing errors, but sidestepping the following common mistakes can help improve the odds of success. (In addition to this article, read Eight Financial Tips For Young Adults.)



1. Procrastinating
Procrastination is never good, but it can be especially detrimental while investing because the markets move so quickly. Good investment ideas are not always easy to find. If, after doing research, a good investment idea arises, it is important to act on it before the rest of the market takes note and beats you to it. Young investors can be prone to not acting on a good idea out of fear or inexperience. Missing out on a good idea can lead a young investor to two very bad scenarios:

1. The investor will revise his opinion upward and still purchase an asset when it is not warranted. Perhaps the investor rightly develops an opinion that an asset priced at $25 should be worth $50. If it moves up to $50 before he or she buys it, the investor may artificially revise the price target to $60 in order to rationalize the purchase.

2. The young investor will look for a replacement. In the previous example, the investor who failed to buy the asset that rose from $25 to $50 may quickly try to identify the next asset that will double. As a result, the investor might purchase another asset quickly, without doing the proper work and research, in order to try to make up for the previous missed opportunity. (Young investors often find themselves with too many options and not enough money. Read more in Competing Priorities: Too Many Choices, Too Few Dollars.)

2. Speculating Instead of Investing
A young investor is at an advantage in his or her investing life. Holding the level of wealth constant, an investors age affects how much risk an he or she can take on. So, a young investor can seek out bigger returns by taking bigger risks. This is because if a young investor loses money, he or she has time to recover the losses through income generation. This may seem like an argument for a young investor to speculate, but it is not.

Any young or novice investor will have an inclination to speculate if they do not fully understand the investment process. Speculation is often the equivalent of gambling, as the speculator does not necessarily have a reason for a purchase except that there is a chance that it may go up in value. This can be dangerous, as there are many experienced professionals waiting to take advantage of their less-experienced counterparts.

Instead of speculating and gambling, a young investor should look to invest in companies that have higher risk but greater upside potential over the long term. So, while a diversified portfolio of small-cap growth stocks would not be appropriate for an investor nearing retirement, a young investor is better equipped to take on that risk and can take advantage accordingly.
A final risk of speculation is that a large loss can scar a young investor and affect his or her future investment choices. This can lead to a tendency to shun investing altogether or to move to lower or risk-free assets at an age when it may not be appropriate. (For more insight, seePersonalizing Risk Tolerance.)

3. Using Too Much Leverage
Leverage has its benefits and its pitfalls. If there is ever a time when investors have the ability to add leverage to their portfolios, it is when they are young. As mentioned earlier, young investors have a greater ability to recover from losses through future income generation. However, similar to speculation, leverage can shatter even a good portfolio.

If a young investor is able to stomach a 20-25% drop in his or her portfolio without getting discouraged, the 40-50% drop that would result at two times leverage may be too much to handle. The consequences of such a drop are similar to those resulting from a loss due to speculation: the young investor may become discouraged and overly risk averse for the rest of his investing life. (Want to learn more about leverage? See Leverages Double-Edged Sword Need Not Cut Deep for more.)

4. Not Asking Enough Questions
If a stock drops a lot, a young investor might expect it to bounce right back, but more often than not, it is down for good reason. One of the most important factors in forming investment decisions is asking why. If an asset is trading at half of an investors perceived value, there is a reason and it is the investors responsibility to find it. Young investors who have not experienced the pitfalls of investing can be particularly susceptible to making decisions without locating all the pertinent information.

5. Not Investing
As mentioned earlier, an investor has the best ability to seek a higher return and take on higher risk when they have a long-term time horizon. Investors have their longest time horizons, and therefore a high tolerance for risk, when they are young. Young people also tend to be less experienced with having money. As a result, they are often tempted to focus on how money can benefit them in the present, without focusing on any long-term goals (such as retirement). Spending money now instead of saving and investing can create bad habits and contribute to a lack of savings and retirement funds. (For more on this, read Young Investors: What Are You Waiting For?)
The Bottom Line
Young investors should take advantage of their age and their increased ability to take on risk. Applying investing fundamentals early can help lead to a bigger portfolio later in life. There are also many risks that a young/less-experienced investor will face when making decisions. Hopefully, avoiding some of the common mistakes above will help young people learn investing early and embark on a fruitful investing career.

[Black_NITE]

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The 4 Basic Elements Of Stock Value
The ancient Greeks proposed earth, fire, water and air as the main building blocks of all matter, and classified all things as a mixture of these elements. Investing has a similar set of four basic elements that investors use to break down a stocks value. In this article, we will look at the four ratios and what they can tell you about a stock.

Earth: The Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
Made for glass-half-empty people, the price-to-book (P/B) ratio represents the value of the company if it is torn up and sold today. This is useful to know because many companies in mature industries falter in terms of growth but can still be a good value based on their assets. The book value usually includes equipment, buildings, land and anything else that can be sold, including stock holdings and bonds. With purely financial firms, the book value can fluctuate with the market as these stocks tend to have a portfolio of assets that goes up and down in value. Industrial companies tend to have a book value based more in physical assets, which depreciate year after year according to accounting rules. In either case, a low P/B ratio can protect you - but only if its accurate. This means an investor has to look deeper into the actual assets making up the ratio. (For more on this, see Digging Into Book Value.)

Fire: Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
The price to earnings (P/E) ratio is possibly the most scrutinized of all the ratios. If sudden increases in a stocks price are the sizzle, then the P/E ratio is the steak. A stock can go up in value without significant earnings increases, but the P/E ratio is what decides if it can stay up. Without earnings to back up the price, a stock will eventually fall back down.

The reason for this is simple: a P/E ratio can be thought of as how long a stock will take to pay back your investment if there is no change in the business. A stock trading at $20 per share with earning of $2 per share has a P/E ratio of 10, which is sometimes seen as meaning that youll make your money back in 10 years if nothing changes. The reason stocks tend to have high P/E ratios is that investors try to predict which stocks will enjoy progressively larger earnings. An investor may buy a stock with a P/E ratio of 30 if he or she thinks it will double its earnings every year (shortening the payoff period significantly). If this fails to happen, then the stock will fall back down to a more reasonable P/E ratio. If the stock does manage to double earnings, then it will likely continue to trade at a high P/E ratio. You should only compare P/E ratios between companies in similar industries and markets. (If these numbers have you in the dark, these easy calculations should help light the way, see How To Find P/E And PEG Ratios.)

Air: The PEG Ratio
Because the P/E ratio isnt enough in and of itself, many investors use the price to earnings growth (PEG) ratio. Instead of merely looking at the price and earnings, the PEG ratio incorporates the historical growth rate of the companys earnings. This ratio also tells you how your stock stacks up against another stock. The PEG ratio is calculated by taking the P/E ratio of a company and dividing it by the year-over-year growth rate of its earnings. The lower the value of your PEG ratio, the better the deal youre getting for the stocks future estimated earnings.
By comparing two stocks using the PEG, you can see how much youre paying for growth in each case. A PEG of 1 means youre breaking even if growth continues as it has in the past. A PEG of 2 means youre paying twice as much for projected growth when compared to a stock with a PEG of 1. This is speculative because there is no guarantee that growth will continue as it has in the past. The P/E ratio is a snap shot of where a company is and the PEG ratio is a graph plotting where it has been. Armed with this information, an investor has to decide whether it is likely to continue in that direction. (Has the P/E ratio lost its luster? The PEG ratio has many advantages over its well-known counterpart, check out Move Over P/E, Make Way For The PEG.)

Water: Dividend Yield
Its always nice to have a back-up when a stocks growth falters. This is why dividend-paying stocks are attractive to many investors - even when prices drop you get a paycheck. The dividend yield shows how much of a payday youre getting for your money. By dividing the stocks annual dividend by the stocks price, you get a percentage. You can think of that percentage as the interest on your money, with the additional chance at growth through the appreciation of the stock.

Although simple on paper, there are some things to watch for with the dividend yield. Inconsistent dividends or suspended payments in the past mean that the dividend yield cant be counted on. Like the water element, dividends can ebb and flow, so knowing which way the tide is going - like whether dividend payments have increased year over year - is essential to making the decision to buy. Dividends also vary by industry, with utilities and some banks paying a lot whereas tech firms invest almost all their earnings back into the company to fuel growth. (For more readInvestment Valuation Ratios: Dividend Yield.)

No Element Stands Alone
P/E, P/B, PEG and dividend yields are too narrowly focused to stand alone as a single measure of a stock. By combining these methods of valuation, you can get a better view of a stocks worth. Any one of these can be influenced by creative accounting - as can more complex ratios likecash flow. As you add more tools to your valuation methods though, discrepancies get easier to spot. From the Greeks four basic elements, we now have more than 100, some of which exist so briefly that we wonder if they count, and none of them are named water, earth, air, or fire. In investing, however, these four main ratios may be overshadowed by thousands of customized metrics, but they will always be useful stepping stones for finding out whether a stocks worth buying.

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The Key To High Returns Is A Disciplined Strategy
Having a disciplined investment strategy differentiates the professional from the do-it-yourself investor. An investment strategy does not have to be complicated. If you were to sum up Warren Buffetts investing strategy it might be to buy good businesses at a fair price with the intention of holding them forever. An investment strategy helps provide focus and ensures emotions are held in check when making decisions. Having an investment strategy for both asset mix and security will provide discipline to be a successful investor over the long term. In this article, we will look at different investment strategies and how you can pick the right one for you.

See also: 4 Steps To Creating A Better Investment Strategy

Strategic Asset Mix
Central to any investment plan is the strategic or long-term asset mix. In general, its purpose is to capture the benefits of diversification and the advantages of investing in assets that have a low correlation to each other. The strategic asset mix is essentially the link between your long-term investment goals and the capital markets.

Many investors want to keep the current asset mix of their portfolios close to their strategic asset mix. A simple rebalancing strategy is all that is required. Typically, as each asset class will perform differently over time, the asset mix will deviate from the strategic asset mix. (For related reading, see Diversification: Its All About (Asset) Class.)

For example, a balanced portfolio of 60% equity and 40% fixed income could become 70% equity and 30% fixed income after a strong stock market. Rebalancing would require selling equities and using the proceeds to buy fixed-income assets, so the asset mix then will get back to the long-term asset mix. The rebalancing could be done on a regular basis, semiannually, annually or when an asset class deviates by a set percentage.

A rebalancing strategy is effectively a sell high, buy low strategy, because it will always sell the assets that have been the best relative performers and buy the assets with relatively weak performance. (For more insight, read 6 Asset Allocation Strategies That Work .)

Tactical Asset Allocation
A tactical asset mix strategy attempts to add value by overweighting the asset classes that are expected to outperform, and underweighting those asset classes that are expected to underperform.

As an example, if an investor believes that over the next year the U.S. equities market will be weak, the investor might decide to underweight his exposure to equities and overweight cash or bonds. Unlike a rebalancing strategy, which is mechanical, tactical asset allocation requires some forecasting ability to make the correct decisions. (To learn more about asset allocation, read Achieving Optimal Asset Allocation.)

Security Selection Strategies
There is no shortage of strategies to choose from when buying and selling stocks. Countless books have been written describing many strategies in detail. Strategies range from growth, to value and momentum. There are fundamentally based strategies, as well as technical or quantitative strategies. There are also top-down and bottom-up strategies. (For related reading, see A Top-Down Approach To Investing.)
Each type of strategy will have its proponents, but any logical, rational strategy that is followed consistently is always better than no strategy at all. The value is in the disciplined approach a strategy provides.

Developing Your Strategy
The value of an investing strategy is not in the strategy itself, but in how it is followed and implemented.

In investing, there are two different approaches: a top-down or a bottom-up approach. In a top-down approach, the investor analyzes the major factors that will influence the capital market and the companies in it. The main factors will be the overall economy, monetary and fiscal policy, demographic changes, inflation, industrial sector trends and interest rates. Other investors will take a bottom-up approach, analyzing individual companies, their financial statements, growth prospects and industry trends.

One approach is not necessarily better than the other. However, depending on your own interests, knowledge and experience, one approach might be more appropriate for you. As an example, an economist will likely take a top-down approach to investing and an accountant might feel more comfortable with a bottom-up approach. Your orientation to analyzing investments will determine the types of investment strategies to follow.(For more insight, see Where Top Down Meets Bottoms Up.)

In addition, the amount of time you are able to commit to your investment program determines the type of strategies to use and how much of the investment decision-making you will delegate. For example, with limited time, an investor might build a portfolio using a few exchanged-traded funds (ETFs) and then rebalance once a year. Similarly, the investor might have all of their investments in a couple of balanced funds or have their funds managed by a discretionary money manager.

Information and knowledge are important to the success of any investment strategy. One should identify the sources of data, investment commentary or investment research. The biggest challenge as an investor is to be able to filter out truly useful information from the needless noise. A disciplined investment strategy forces you to focus on the information that is important for your decision-making process.
Delegating Decision Making
Recognize the fact that it is difficult to do it all when it comes to investing. If you have a well-diversified portfolio and you invest in the major assets classes - and maybe some of the sub-asset classes as well - you are not likely to be able to actively manage all your investments effectively, unless you have a lot of time to allocate. The question then becomes, what to do yourself and what to delegate to others. It is important to stick to your strengths and interests and delegate out the asset classes in which you have a limited expertise.

As an example, an investor might feel confident trading large cap value stocks. As such, this person should concentrate their efforts on that asset class and delegate the investment management of other asset classes to someone else. Investors have several choices here, including active or passive management of the funds or assets they are looking to delegate. From the passive management side, you can find an advisor to handle the areas that you have little time to manage or research; you could also purchase a mutual fund or an ETF that provides exposure to these areas.

The Bottom Line
Having an investment strategy for both asset mix and security selection is important to ensure consistent success as an investor. Having the discipline to follow an investment strategy is more important than the actual strategy chosen. Equally important to any strategy, is determining what to manage yourself and what to delegate to others.

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Demo Accounts A Good (But Imperfect) Indicator Of Investing Skills
Demo accounts are advertised all over the internet, and people who surf financial sites are often exposed to many ads inducing them to open a demo account. Demo account trading is the new form of paper trading. The old-fashioned paper trade involved writing down entries and exits to see how a methodology played out in the market. Demo accounts allow the trader to do this on a computerized simulator. The simulated trading environment does provide a trader with the opportunity to get used to the software they will be using with their broker to trade the markets, but when a person moves to live trading after the demo account, there are several shocks they need to prepare for.

Why the Shock?
Many traders trade profitably in a demo account, but when they move to live trading with their own money, a succession of losses may occur one after the other. Why does this happen?
1. Demo accounts provide better execution than live trading .
Demo accounts will normally fill a market order at the price showing on the screen. When an order is placed in the live market, it is subject to slippage, and therefore it is quite common for market orders to not be filled at the price expected, or in the case of large orders, for at least a portion of the position to be acquired at a different price than is expected.

Demo accounts will also generally give early fills when bidding or offering. Bids and offers in the live market are also subject to a queue. Bidding at the current bid price does not guarantee a fill, as only a few shares or contracts may be filled at that price. In a demo account, it is hard to know which orders would actually have been executed in the live market. This is true of entries and exits, and thus results attained from a demo account are highly subjective at best, and completely inaccurate at worst.
2. Demo accounts often provide more capital than what the trader will actually be using for live trading.
Demo software generally allows the trader to choose the amount of capital he or she would like to simulate trading with. The amounts vary, but are often very large and beyond the actual capital the trader has for trading his own account.

Simulated trading with more capital than will actually be traded provides an unrealistic safety net. More capital allows for small losses to be more easily recouped, while a loss on a smaller account is harder to recoup.

It is also important to note that even share lots (100 shares) in more expensive instruments, which were easy to afford in the high-capital demo account, may be beyond the capacity of the trader in a live account. The instruments and volume traded in the simulator may not be able to be replicated with real capital. A trader may be able to trade several lots of Google at $500/share, but unless he or she has similar capital for live trading, he or she may be unable to trade those higher priced instruments at all.

3.
A demo account cannot simulate the emotions of fear and hope (also called greed) that the trader will experience with real money.
This is one of the most jarring differences between simulated and live trading. A fear of losing ones own capital can wreak havoc on a proven trading system and prevent the trader from implementing it properly. Greed (or hoping a losing position will come back to profitability) can have the same effect, keeping the trader in a trade long after it should have been exited.

When real money is on the line, money that can have a potential material impact (or is perceived to have a potential impact), it is far different from trading a demo account where success or failure has no material impact on the persons life.
Can Demo Trading Be Made More Realistic?
Demo trading does have some benefits, as it gives new traders a general idea of how the market and a companys software works. So, can you trade a demo account in a certain way to make it more realistic? While a demo account can never offer the same results that would be realized in live trading, there are several things you can do when testing out systems on a demo platform to make the results as realistic as possible.
1. Make Realistic Assumptions
If a bid or offer is placed, and you can see that the bid or offer was within one tick or one cent of the low or high of that move, assume that your order was not filled. The demo may show this order was filled, but in the actual market, this may not happen. Remove the profits or losses from these trades from the net profit/loss shown on the simulator – as if the trade never existed. Only assume bids or offers are filled if price trades through the bid or offer by at least a cent more. For thinly traded stocks or low-volume stocks this buffer should be expanded.
2. Account for Slippage
On market orders assume at least a one-cent slippage on high volume stocks, and assume larger slippage in lower volume or more volatile stocks.
3. Trade With Modest Capital
If possible, trade the same amount of capital in the demo account as will be traded in the live market. If the demo does not allow this, trade only a fraction of the demo account capital. Dont access any funds from the demo capital which would be in excess of live trading funds.
4. Get Personal
Pretend the money is real as much as possible. Monitor emotions and how trades are affecting you psychologically while those emotions are felt. Since demo capital provides no real loss or profits, the sense of loss or profit needs to be added in by the trader. One method of doing this is to withhold something you enjoy if you fail to follow your trading plan, or give yourself a small reward when the trading plan is followed (regardless of profit or loss).
Summary
Demo accounts can provide some benefit to new traders, as they allow the trader to become familiar with trading software and get a sense of how the market works. The problem is that simulated results rarely correlate to actual trading results. Therefore, the trader must be aware that execution, capital and emotions can be different when trading real money as opposed to fake money. Traders can, however, make demos more realistic by excluding profits/losses on orders that are unlikely to have been filled in the real market, factoring in slippage, keeping the demo account capital in line with what will actually be traded and making demo losses and profits (and thus emotions) real by incorporating external stimulus.

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Pros And Cons Of Offshore Investing
Offshore investing is often demonized in the media, which paints a picture of investors stashing their money with some illegal company located on an obscure Caribbean island where the tax rate is next to nothing. While its true that there will always be instances of shady offshore deals, the vast majority of offshore investing is perfectly legal. In fact, depending on your situation, offshore investing may offer you many advantages.



What Is Offshore Investing?
Offshore investing refers to a wide range of investment strategies that capitalize on advantages offered outside of an investors home country. We will briefly touch on the advantages and disadvantages of offshore investing. The particulars are far beyond the scope of this introductory article.

There is no shortage of money-market, bond and equity assets offered by reputable offshore companies that are fiscally sound, time-tested and, most importantly, legal.

Advantages
There are several reasons why people invest offshore:

Tax Reduction - Many countries (known as tax havens) offer tax incentives to foreign investors. The favorable tax rates in an offshore country are designed to promote a healthy investment environment that attracts outside wealth. For a tiny country with very few resources and a small population, attracting investors can dramatically increase economic activity. Simply put, offshore investment occurs when offshore investors form a corporation in a foreign country. The corporation acts as a shell for the investors accounts, shielding them from the higher tax burden that would be incurred in their home country. Because the corporation does not engage in local operations, little or no tax is imposed on the offshore corporation. Many foreign companies also enjoy tax-exempt status when they invest in U.S. markets. As such, making investments through foreign corporations can hold a distinct advantage over making investments as an individual. (For additional information, read What is an Emerging Market Economy?)

In recent years, however, the U.S. government has become increasingly aware of the tax revenue lost to offshore investing, and has created more defined and restrictive laws that close tax loopholes. Investment revenue earned through offshore investment is now a focus of regulators and the tax man alike. According to the U.S. Internal Revenue Service (IRS), U.S. citizens and residents are now taxed on their worldwide income. As a result, investors who use offshore entities to evade U.S. federal income tax on capital gains can be prosecuted for tax evasion. Therefore, although the lower corporate expenses of offshore companies can translate into better gains for investors, the IRS maintains that U.S. taxpayers are not to be allowed to evade taxes by shifting their individual tax liability to some foreign entity. (To learn more, see How International Tax Rates Impact Your Investments.)

Asset Protection - Offshore centers are popular locations for restructuring ownership of assets. Through trusts, foundations or through an existing corporation individual wealth ownership can be transferred from people to other legal entities. Many individuals who are concerned about lawsuits, or lenders foreclosing on outstanding debts elect to transfer a portion of their assets from their personal estates to an entity that holds it outside of their home country. By making these on-paper ownership transfers, individuals are no longer susceptible to seizure or other domestic troubles. If the trustor is a U.S. resident, their trustor status allows them to make contributions to their offshore trust free ofincome tax. However, the trustor of an offshore asset-protection fund will still be taxed on the trusts income (the revenue made from investments under the trust entity), even if that income has not been distributed.
Confidentiality - Many offshore jurisdictions offer the complimentary benefit of secrecy legislation. These countries have enacted laws establishing strict corporate and banking confidentiality. If this confidentiality is breached, there are serious consequences for the offending party. An example of a breach of banking confidentiality is divulging customer identities; disclosing shareholders is a breach of corporate confidentiality in some jurisdictions. However, this secrecy doesnt mean that offshore investors are criminals with something to hide. Its also important to note that offshore laws will allow identity disclosure in clear instances of drug trafficking, money laundering or other illegal activities. From the point of view of a high-profile investor, however, keeping information, such as the investors identity, secret while accumulating shares of a public company can offer that investor a significant financial (and legal) advantage. High-profile investors dont like the public at large knowing what stocks theyre investing in. Multi-millionaire investors dont want a bunch of little fish buying the same stocks that they have targeted for large volume share purchases - the little guys run up the prices.

Because nations are not required to accept the laws of a foreign government, offshore jurisdictions are, in most cases, immune to the laws that may apply where the investor resides. U.S. courts can assert jurisdiction over any assets that are located within U.S. borders. Therefore, it is prudent to be sure that the assets an investor is attempting to protect not be held physically in the United States.

Diversification of Investment - In some countries, regulations restrict the international investment opportunities of citizens. Many investors feel that such restriction hinders the establishment of a truly diversified investment portfolio. Offshore accounts are much more flexible, giving investors unlimited access to international markets and to all major exchanges. On top of that, there are many opportunities in developing nations, especially in those that are beginning to privatize sectors that were formerly under government control. Chinas willingness to privatize some industries has investors drooling over the worlds largest consumer market. (To read more, see Investing Beyond Your Borders.)

Disadvantages
Tax Laws are Tightening - Tax agencies like the IRS arent ignorant of offshore strategies. Theyve clamped down on some traditional ways of tax avoidance. There are still loopholes, but most are shrinking more and more every year. In 2004, the IRS amended the Internal Revenue Code (IRC) and began to collect taxes from both American corporations that operate out of another country and American citizens and residents who earn money through offshore investments. (For more information on tax laws that affect offshore investors, see the IRS International Taxpayer - Expatriation Tax.)
Cost - Offshore Accounts are not cheap to set up. Depending on the individuals investment goals and the jurisdiction he or she chooses, an offshore corporation may need to be started. Setting up an offshore corporation may mean steep legal fees, corporate or account registration fees and in some cases investors are even required to own property (a residence) in the country in which they have an offshore account or operate a holding company. Furthermore many offshore accounts require minimum investments of between $100,000 and $1 million. Businesses that make money facilitating offshore investment know that their offerings are in high demand by the very wealthy and they charge accordingly.

How Safe Is Offshore Investing?
Popular offshore countries such as the Bahamas, Bermuda, Cayman Islands and Isle of Man are known to offer fairly secure investment opportunities. More than half of the worlds assets and investments are held in offshore jurisdictions and many well-recognized companies have investment opportunities in offshore locales. Still, like every investment you make, use common sense and choose a reputable investment firm. It is also a good idea to consult with an experienced and reputable investment advisor, accountant, and lawyer who specializes in international investment. If you are looking to protect your assets, or are concerned with estate planning or business succession, it would be prudent to find an attorney (or a team of attorneys) specializing in asset protection, wills or business succession. Of course, these professionals come at a cost. In most cases the benefits of offshore investing are outweighed by the tremendous costs of professional fees, commissions, travel expenses and downside risk. (For more information, see Investment Scams: Prime Banks.)

Conclusion
We are not lawyers, tax accountants or offshore investment experts in any country. Every individuals situation is different. Offshore investment is beyond the means of most investors, and above the risk tolerance of others.

Despite the many pitfalls of offshore investing, it can still pay off to shift some investment assets from one jurisdiction to another. As with even the most insignificant investment, do your research before parting with your money - unless youre prepared to lose it.

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Understanding The Income Statement
The income statement is one of the three financial statements - the other two are the balance sheet and cash flow statement - with which stock investors need to become familiar. The purpose of this article is to provide the less-experienced investor with an understanding of the components of the income statement in order to simplify investment analysis and make it easier to apply it to your own investment decisions.



In the context of corporate financial reporting, the income statement summarizes a companys revenues (sales) and expenses quarterly and annually for its fiscal year. The final net figure, as well as various others in this statement, are of major interest to the investment community. (To learn more about reading financial statements, see What You Need To Know About Financial Statements, Footnotes: Start Reading The Fine Print and Introduction To Fundamental Analysis.)

General Terminology and Format Clarifications
Income statements come with various monikers. The most commonly used are statement of income, statement of earnings, statement of operations and statement of operating results. Many professionals still use the term P

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5 Essential Things You Need To Know About Every Stock You Buy

Investing is easy but investing successfully is tough. Statistics show that the majority of retail investors, those who arent investment professionals, lose money every year. There could be a variety of reasons why, but there is one that every investor with a career outside of the investment market understands: they dont have time to research a large amount of stocks and they dont have a research team to help with that monumental task. (For related reading, check out The 4 Basic Elements Of Stock Value.)

For that reason, investments made after little research often result in losses. Thats the bad news. The good news is that, although the ideal way to purchase a stock is after a large amount of research, an investor can cut down on the amount of research by looking at these select items:



What They Do
Jim Cramer, in his book Real Money, advises investors to never purchase a stock unless they have an exhaustive knowledge of how they make money. What do they manufacture? What kind of service do they offer? In what countries do they operate? What is their flagship product and how is it selling? Are they known as the leader in their field? Think of this as a first date. You probably wouldnt go on date with somebody if you had no idea who they were. If you do, youre asking for trouble.

This information is very easy to find. Using the search engine of your choice, go to their company website and read about them. Then, as Cramer advises, go to a family member and educate them on your potential investment. If you can answer all of their questions, you know enough.

Price/Earnings Ratio
Imagine for a moment you were in the market for somebody who could help you with your investments. You interview two people. One person has a long history of making people a lot of money. Your friends have seen a big return from this person and you cant find any reason why you shouldnt hand this guy your investment dollars. He tells you that for every dollar he makes for you, hes going to keep 40 cents leaving you with 60 cents.

The other guy is just getting started in the business. He has very little experience and, although he seems promising, he doesnt have much of a track record of success. The advantage to this guy is that hes cheaper. He only wants to keep 20 cents for every dollar he makes you - but what if he doesnt make you as many dollars as the first guy?

If you understand this example, you understand the P/E or price/earnings ratio. If you notice that a company has a P/E of 20, this means that investors are willing to pay $20 for every $1 per earnings. That might seem expensive but not if the company is growing fast.

The P/E can be found by comparing the current market price to the cumulative earnings of the last 4 quarters. Compare this number to other companies similar to the one youre researching. If your company has a higher P/E than other similar companies, there had better be a reason. If it has a lower P/E but is growing fast, thats an investment worth watching. (If these numbers have you in the dark, these easy calculations should help light the way, seeHow To Find P/E And PEG Ratios.)

Beta
Beta seems like something difficult to understand, but its not. In fact, and can be found on the same page as the P/E Ratio on a major stock data provider such as Yahoo or Google. Beta measures volatility or how moody your companys stock has acted over the last 5 years. Think of the S

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The Importance Of Diversification


Diversification is a technique that reduces risk by allocating investments among various financial instruments, industries and other categories. It aims to maximize return by investing in different areas that would each react differently to the same event. Most investment professionals agree that, although it does not guarantee against loss, diversification is the most important component of reaching long-range financial goals while minimizing risk. Here, we look at why this is true, and how to accomplish diversification in your portfolio. (To learn more, see Diversification: Protecting Portfolios From Mass Destruction.)



Different Types of Risk
Investors confront two main types of risk when investing:
• Undiversifiable - Also known as systematic or market risk, undiversifiable risk is associated with every company. Causes are things like inflation rates, exchange rates, political instability, war and interest rates. This type of risk is not specific to a particular company or industry, and it cannot be eliminated, or reduced, through diversification; it is just a risk that investors must accept.
• Diversifiable - This risk is also known as unsystematic risk, and it is specific to a company, industry, market, economy or country; it can be reduced through diversification. The most common sources of unsystematic risk are business risk and financial risk. Thus, the aim is to invest in various assets so that they will not all be affected the same way by market events.
Why You Should Diversify
Lets say you have a portfolio of only airline stocks. If it is publicly announced that airline pilots are going on an indefinite strike, and that all flights are canceled, share prices of airline stocks will drop. Your portfolio will experience a noticeable drop in value. If, however, you counterbalanced the airline industry stocks with a couple of railway stocks, only part of your portfolio would be affected. In fact, there is a good chance that the railway stock prices would climb, as passengers turn to trains as an alternative form of transportation.

But, you could diversify even further because there are many risks that affect both rail and air, because each is involved in transportation. An event that reduces any form of travel hurts both types of companies - statisticians would say that rail and air stocks have a strong correlation. Therefore, to achieve superior diversification, you would want to diversify across the board, not only different types of companies but also different types of industries. The more uncorrelated your stocks are, the better.

Its also important that you diversify among different asset classes. Different assets - such as bonds and stocks - will not react in the same way to adverse events. A combination of asset classes will reduce your portfolios sensitivity to market swings. Generally, the bond and equity markets move in opposite directions, so, if your portfolio is diversified across both areas, unpleasant movements in one will be offset by positive results in another. (To learn more about asset class, see Five Things To Know About Asset Allocation.)

There are additional types of diversification, and many synthetic investment products have been created to accommodate investors risk tolerance levels; however, these products can be very complicated and are not meant to be created by beginner or small investors. For those who have less investment experience, and do not have the financial backing to enter into hedging activities, bonds are the most popular way to diversify against the stock market.
Unfortunately, even the best analysis of a company and its financial statements cannot guarantee that it wont be a losing investment. Diversification wont prevent a loss, but it can reduce the impact of fraud and bad information on your portfolio.

How Many Stocks You Should Have
Obviously owning five stocks is better than owning one, but there comes a point when adding more stocks to your portfolio ceases to make a difference. There is a debate over how many stocks are needed to reduce risk while maintaining a high return. The most conventional view argues that an investor can achieve optimal diversification with only 15 to 20 stocks spread across various industries. (To learn more about what constitutes a properly diversified stock portfolio, see Over-Diversification Yields Diminishing Returns. To learn about how to determine what kind of asset mix is appropriate for your risk tolerance, see Achieving Optimal Asset Allocation.)

Conclusion
Diversification can help an investor manage risk and reduce the volatility of an assets price movements. Remember though, that no matter how diversified your portfolio is, risk can never be eliminated completely. You can reduce risk associated with individual stocks, but general market risks affect nearly every stock, so it is important to diversify also among different asset classes. The key is to find a medium between risk and return; this ensures that you achieve your financial goals while still getting a good nights rest.

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Why Expense Ratios Are Important To Investors

The most valuable pieces of advice ever shared regarding investing of any kind, in ascending order of importance:

1. Fundamental analysis is crucial. Technical analysis is akin to fortune telling by interpreting patterns in tea leaves.

2. Its not a game or a hobby. Spend hours researching an investment when others are spending minutes. Spend days when others are spending hours. Done right, youll still enjoy a stupendous return on your time.

3. You make your money going in.

Its straightforward math, and easy to overlook or dismiss in its simplicity. An overpriced asset is that much harder to gain a return on than an underpriced or properly priced one. Wait for a real estate bubble (or, say, the hoopla surrounding a social networking sites much-anticipated initial public offering) to subside and then buy; yourmargin for error and potential for return should increase correspondingly.



The Price of Management
Were not talking about normal price fluctuations, here, or the inherent unpredictability that comes with almost any investment. Rather, were looking at whats essentially a surcharge on the price of the investment, levied before you buy. For example, take two new cars with the same model, same color and same options. One dealer sells the first vehicle for $22,000, out the door. The other sells the identical vehicle for $22,000, but with a $495 non-negotiable advertising and marketing assessment. Do you need to be told to buy the former? Its like purchasing a residential air filter in Vancouver, Washington (and paying 8% state sales tax) instead of going across the river and buying the same thing in Portland (Oregon levies no sales tax).

This is how it goes with mutual funds, the financial product of choice for most casual and many sophisticated investors. While no two funds are indistinguishable, two similarly constituted funds can come with price tags that differ considerably. Why? Varying expense ratios.

Its understandable that a mutual funds price costs more than the prices of its components. It costs money to create a fund. The fund has to be set up, registered and maintained. The firm that created it and that hired its managers has to be compensated. However, to what tune? The U.S. Securities

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Valuing Firms Using Present Value Of Free Cash Flows
Decisions to invest can be made based on simple analysis such as finding a company you like with a product you think will be in demand in the future. The decision might not be based on scouring the financial statements, but the underlying reason for picking this type of company over another is still sound. Your underlying prediction is that the company will continue to produce and sell high-demand products and thus will have cash flowing back to the business. The second, and very important, part of the equation is that the companys management knows where to spend this cash to continue operations. A third assumption is that all of these potential future cash flows are worth more today than the stocks current price.



To place numbers into this idea, we could look at these potential cash flows from the operations, and find what they are worth based on their present value. In order to determine the value of a firm, an investor must determine the present value of operating free cash flows. Of course, we need to find the cash flows before we can discount them to the present value.
Calculating Operating Free Cash Flow
Operating free cash flow (OFCF) is the cash generated by operations, which is attributed to all providers of capital in the firms capital structure. This includes debt providers as well as equity. Calculating the OFCF is done by taking earnings before interest and taxes and adjusting for the tax rate, then adding depreciation and taking away capital expenditure, minus change in working capital and minus changes in other assets. Here is the actual formula:
OFCF = EBIT(1-T) depreciation - CAPEX - ??working capital - ??any other assets

Where:
EBIT = earnings before interest and taxes
T= tax rate
CAPEX = capital expenditure

This is also referred to as the free cash flow to the firm, and is calculated in such as way to reflect the overall cash-generating capabilities of the firm before deducting debt related interest expenses and non-cash items. Once we have calculated this number, we can calculate the other metrics needed such as the growth rate. (These five qualitative measures allow investors to draw conclusions about a corporation that are not apparent on the balance sheet. check out Using Porters 5 Forces To Analyze Stocks.)

Calculating the Growth Rate
The growth rate can be difficult to predict and can have a drastic effect on the resulting value of the firm. One way to calculate it is to take the return on the invested capital (ROIC) multiplied by the retention rate. The retention is the percent of earnings that are held within the company and are not paid out as dividends. This is the basic formula:
g = RR x ROIC

Where:
RR= average retention rate, or (1- payout ratio)
ROIC= EBIT(1-tax)/total capital

Present Value of Operating Free Cash Flows
The valuation method is based on the operating cash flows coming in after deducting the capital expenditures, which are the costs of maintaining the asset base. This cash flow is taken before the interest payments to debt holders in order to value the total firm. Only factoring in equity, for example, would provide the growing value to equity holders. Discounting any stream of cash flows requires a discount rate, and in this case it is the cost of financing projects at the firm. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is used for this discount rate. The operating free cash flow is then discounted at this cost of capital rate using three potential growth scenarios; no growth, constant growth and changing growth rate.
No Growth
To find the value of the firm, discount the OFCF by the WACC. This discounts the cash flows that are expected to continue for as long as a reasonable forecasting model exists.
Firm Value = ? Operating Free Cash Flowst
(1 WACC)t


Where:
Operating Free Cash Flows = the operating free cash flows in period t
WACC = weighted average cost of capital

If you are looking to find an estimate for the value of the firms equity, subtract the market value of the firms debt.

Constant Growth
In a more mature company you might find it more appropriate to include a constant growth rate in the calculation. To calculate the value, take the OFCF of next period and discount it at WACC minus the long-term constant growth rate of the OFCF.
Value of the firm = ?OFCF1
k-g
Where:
OFCF1 = operating free cash flow
k = discount rate (in this case WACC)
g = expected growth rate in OFCF

Multiple Growth Periods
Assuming the firm is about to see more than one growth stage, the calculation is a combination of each of these stages. Using the supernormal dividend growth model for the calculation, the analyst needs to predict the higher-than-normal growth and the expected duration of such activity. After this high growth, the firm might be expected to go back into a normal steady growth into perpetuity. To see the resulting calculations, assume a firm has operating free cash flows of $200 million, which is expected to grow at 12% for four years. After four years, it will return to a normal growth rate of 5%. We will assume that the weighted average cost of capital is 10%. (Learn about the components of the statement of financial position and how they relate to each other. See Reading The Balance Sheet.)

Multi-Growth Periods of Operating Free Cash Flow (in Millions)
Period OFCF Calculation Amount Present Value
1 OFCF1 $200 x 1.121 $224.00 $203.64
2 OFCF 2 $200 x 1.122 $250.88 $207.34
3 OFCF 3 $200 x 1.123 $280.99 $211.11
4 OFCF 4 $200 x 1.124 $314.70 $214.95

5 OFCF 5 … $314.7 x 1.05 $330.44
$330.44 / (0.10 - 0.05) $6,608.78
$6,608.78 / 1.104 $4,513.89

NPV $5,350.92

Table 1: The two stages of the OFCF goes from a high growth rate (12%) for four years followed by a perpetual constant 5% growth from the fifth year on. It is discounted back to the present value and summed up to $5.35 billion dollars.

Both the two-stage dividend discount model (DDM) and FCFE model allow for two distinct phases of growth: an initial finite period where the growth is abnormal, followed by a stable growth period that is expected to last forever. In order to determine the long-term sustainable growth rate, one would usually assume that the rate of growth will equal the long-term forecasted GDP growth. In each case the cash flow is discounted to the present dollar amount and added together to get a net present value.

Comparing this to the companys current stock price can be a valid way of determining the companys intrinsic value. Recall that we need to subtract the total current value of the firms debt to get the value of the equity. Then, divide the equity value by common shares outstanding to get the value of equity per share. This value can then be compared to how much the stock is selling for in the market to see if it is over- or undervalued.

The Bottom Line
Calculations dealing with the value of a firm will always use unique methods based on the firm being examined. Growth companies might need a two-period method when there is higher growth for a couple years. In a larger, more mature company you can use a more stable growth technique. It always comes down to determining the value of the free cash flows and discounting them to today. (Calculate whether the market is paying too much for a particular stock.

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Savings Accounts Not Always The Best Place For Cash Assets
Individuals and entities can find themselves holding cash for any number of reasons: general savings, specific savings for planned expenditures, asset sales, and more. Most people would agree that they would like to maximize their cash assets, but many people assume that a savings account at a bank is the only way to go. As you will see, there are other ways to maximize your cash assets over the short term. If you are an independent-minded investor, read on to uncover two very attractive options for achieving this end: the premium brokerage account and the direct mutual fund account.

Assumptions
There are two assumptions that should be made plain with regards to this discussion. First, the short-term nature of cash demands a very low risk exposure or, stated in a different manner, a high degree of price certainty. Specifically, this article will not advocate the comparison of checking account funds to longer-term instruments such as equity mutual funds because the value of equity mutual fund shares can often vary on a daily basis. This is not an apt comparison because a return-maximizing investor seeking to conduct an everyday transaction (i.e. buying groceries) must be certain that his or her short-term cash has not been reduced by yesterdays stock market sell-off.

Second, cash-like funds should be accessible in a reasonable time frame without a penalty. Thus, certificates of deposit (CDs) and the like are not a viable option in this regard. Although CDs are generally considered to be short-terminvestments , they cannot be turned into transactional money without the issuer assessing a penalty that destroys the investors return.
What is disintermediation?
Before exploring the actual instruments, it is important to understand the differences between financial intermediation and disintermediation.

Anyone with a checking/demand deposit or savings account uses the services of a financial intermediary (a bank). The bank, acting as a middleman, combines the small deposits of many and goes to the primary and/or secondary security markets to purchase larger denominated short-term interest bearing instruments (i.e. Treasury bills). The bank then promises to pay the depositor a stated interest rate for the funds, subject to periodic adjustment, and collects the difference.

Disintermediation, on the other hand, occurs when the depositor goes directly to the primary or secondary market to purchase short-term interest bearing instruments. The fact that a depositor uses a mutual fund arrangement to accomplish this does not change the fact that this is a direct method of investing. Under the mutual fund arrangement, shareholders collect the market interest rate minus a management fee paid to the mutual fund manager .

There are two important distinctions between using the bank and the direct method. The first difference is the existence of government-sponsored account insurance; banks are part of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) system of deposit insurance, while the direct method is subject to the many market risks and is not insured. However, if one establishes a direct account through a brokerage firm, that account may be covered by the Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC), which provides limited protection against investment losses as a result of certain broker-related actions Second, money market funds are regulated under the Investment Company Act of 1940 and are sold by prospectus only.
The Premium Brokerage Account
Most brokers offer several levels of brokerage accounts. Virtually every brokerage account comes embedded with a money market mutual fund account . These funds are invested in short-term fixed income securities via mutual funds shares. The underlying instruments used by bank and direct participants are often identical; the difference is that the direct method funnels all of the interest of those underlying securities to the mutual fund shareholder minus a management fee (approximately 50 basis points). This can be a yield of several hundred basis points compared to what banks may offer on similar accounts. Factors affecting the realized difference in interest rates include the banks desire to attract funds and the prevailing market environment.

Both regular and premium accounts have the ability to hold marketable securities and money market mutual fund shares, but premium brokerage accounts stand apart from regular brokerage accounts primarily in terms of access to funds and additional features. Premium accounts may offer check-writing capabilities and debit card access to funds, allowing continuous access to funds as needed. This maximizes interest earned when funds are not needed. Furthermore, it is possible that the premium account arrangement could simplify the investors monthly statement routine through elimination and consolidation of accounts.

The Direct Mutual Fund Account
The second option for maximizing interest is the use of a fund-direct money-market mutual fund account. Most mutual fund companies offer and manage a money market mutual fund. Again, this is a direct investment in money market instruments by way of mutual fund shares. Oftentimes, both the interest rate received and the management fee charged on these funds will be approximately equal to those earned on the premium account established at a brokerage house.
The key distinction between these two options is the availability of the funds and the mechanics of moving funds. Fund-direct mutual fund account funds are not available on demand, but funds are available to be sold and transferred on non-holiday business days throughout the year. Generally, mutual fund shares require a one business day settlement period. Once settled, the funds can be dispersed via a physical check or automated clearing house (ACH) deposit directly into a checking or savings account. This is still a very attractive option considering the interest rate earned and the expectation of having liquid funds available within a few days.

Additional Considerations
There are nuances between the offerings of competing companies for both of the above products. With that in mind, an investor should be prepared to critically view the benefits and drawbacks to any one firms offering with regards to the premium brokerage account. Investors should also pay attention to the return generated on money market funds (tax-free interest funds may also be available); specifically, the net expected performance must exceed that of your next best option. The investor should analyze his or her expected balance level in relation to savings

[Black_NITE]

Behold the $ANDI BarChart Technical Analysis NITE-LYNX
http://www.barchart.com/technicals/stocks/ANDI

[GreenReeper]

The Two Sides Of Dual-Class Shares
It sounds too good to be true: own a small portion of a companys total stock, but get most of the voting power. Thats the truth behind dual-class shares. They allow shareholders of non-traded stock to control terms of the company in excess of the financial stake. While many investors would like to eliminate dual-class shares, there are several hundred companies in the United States with dual A and B listed shares, or even multiple class listed shares. So, the question is, whats the impact of dual-class ownership on a companys fundamentals and performance? (To learn more, see The ABCs Of Mutual Fund Classes.)



What Are Dual-Class Shares?
When the Internet company Google went public, a lot of investors were upset that it issued a second class of shares to ensure that the firms founders and top executives maintained control. Each of the Class B shares reserved for Google insiders would carry 10 votes, while ordinary Class A shares sold to the public would get just one vote. (To learn more, see When Insiders Buy, Should Investors Join Them?)

Designed to give specific shareholders voting control, unequal voting shares are primarily created to satisfy owners who dont want to give up control, but do want the public equity market to provide financing. In most cases, these super-voting shares are not publicly traded and company founders and their families are most commonly the controlling groups in dual-class companies.

Who Lists Them?
The New York Stock Exchange allows U.S. companies to list dual-class voting shares. Once shares are listed, however, companies cannot reduce the voting rights of the existing shares or issue a new class of superior voting shares. (For more information, see The NYSE And Nasdaq: How They Work.)

Many companies list dual-class shares. Fords dual-class stock structure, for instance, allows the Ford family to control 40% of shareholder voting power with only about 4% of the total equity in the company. Berkshire Hathaway Inc., which has Warren Buffett as a majority shareholder, offers a B share with 1/30th the interest of its A-class shares, but 1/200th of the voting power. Echostar Communications demonstrates the extreme power that can be had through dual-class shares: founder and CEO Charlie Ergen has about 5% of the companys stock, but his super-voting class-A shares give him a whopping 90% of the vote.

Good or Bad?
Its easy to dislike companies with dual-class share structures, but the idea behind it has its defenders. They say that the practice insulates managers from Wall Streets short-term mindset. Founders often have a longer term vision than investors focused on the most recent quarterly figures. Since stock that provides extra voting rights often cannot be traded, it ensures the company will have a set of loyal investors during rough patches. In these cases, company performance may benefit from the existence of dual-class shares.

With that said, there are plenty of reasons to dislike these shares. They can be seen as downright unfair. They create an inferior class of shareholders and hand over power to a select few, who are then allowed to pass the financial risk onto others. With few constraints placed upon them, managers holding super-class stock can spin out of control. Families and senior managers can entrench themselves into the operations of the company, regardless of their abilities and performance. Finally, dual-class structures may allow management to make bad decisions with few consequences.
Hollinger International presents a good example of the negative effects of dual-class shares. Former CEO Conrad Black controlled all of the companys class-B shares, which gave him 30% of the equity and 73% of the voting power. He ran the company as if he were the sole owner, exacting huge management fees, consulting payments and personal dividends. Hollingers board of directors was filled with Blacks friends who were unlikely to forcefully oppose his authority. Holders of publicly traded shares of Hollinger had almost no power to make any decisions in terms of executive compensation, mergers and acquisitions, board construction poison pills or anything else for that matter. Hollingers financial and share performance suffered under Blacks control. (To learn more, see Mergers And Acquisitions: Understanding Takeovers.)

Academic research offers strong evidence that dual-class share structures hinder corporate performance. A Wharton School and Harvard Business School study shows that while large ownership stakes in managers hands tend to improve corporate performance, heavy voting control by insiders weakens it. Shareholders with super-voting rights are reluctant to raise cash by selling additional shares--that could dilute these shareholders influence. The study also shows that dual-class companies tend to be burdened with more debt than single-class companies. Even worse, dual-class stocks tend to under-perform the stock market.

The Bottom Line
Not every dual-class company is destined to perform poorly--Berkshire Hathaway, for one, has consistently delivered great fundamentals and shareholder value. Controlling shareholders normally have an interest in maintaining a good reputation with investors. Insofar as family members wield voting power, they have an emotional incentive to vote in a manner that enhances performance. All the same, investors should keep in mind the effects of dual-class ownership on company fundamentals.

[Black_NITE]

NITE-LYNX $NMPNF BarChart Technical Analysis
http://www.barchart.com/technicals/stocks/NMPNF

[GreenReeper]

Do You Understand Investment Risk?

A study conducted by Englands Financial Services Authority (FSA) in 2004 called Consumer Understanding Of Financial Risk has shed some light on how well people understand their investments. Such understanding or, in some cases, the lack of understanding, leads to specific types of behavior. It is important for both investors and providers to be aware of the differences. In this article, well go over this study and what it can teach investors about their own understanding of their personal finances.



Types of Investors
The respondents in the study were divided into three main groups:
• Trusters
were defined as unsophisticated investors who primarily rely on their advisors.
• Partners are those with an intermediate level of sophistication who work together with their advisors to some extent.
• Controllers are sophisticated and often experienced investors who rely on their own understanding and make their own decisions. This simple categorization provides considerable insight into the nature of investors, what they do and expect, and the associated risks and opportunities that exist for both buyers and sellers. (Learn more in What Is Your Risk Tolerance?)

Education and Financial Sophistication Are Not the Same Thing
It is important to note that general or even business education doesnt necessarily translate into specific knowledge about the world of investment. A business graduate is certainly likely to know something about investments, but this knowledge may be very theoretical and, therefore, less applicable to the graduates own experiences. Conversely, a doctor who happens to be very interested in getting the most bang for his buck on his investments may turn out to have a relatively sophisticated understanding of investing. Likewise, retired people with no formal financial education or qualifications may spend hours pouring over the financial pages of the newspaper every day. In this case, they may know more than their advisors about day-to-day developments.

Lets look in more detail at each of the three groups.

Trusters Rely On Others
Not surprisingly, the lower the level of sophistication, the less people understand about the risks to which their money is exposed and the more naive they tend to be about what their advisors or investment companies can really do for them. The FSA study points out that this naiveté can lead to excessive reliance on people in the industry, which can open the door for potential abuse. Alternatively, it may lead nervous and distrusting people to adopt a savings approach, which may be too risk averse to benefit the investor. (For related reading, see Determining Risk And The Risk Pyramid.)

When investors lack understanding of their investments, this often means that they are uninformed about what is meant by high, medium and low risk, the three standard categories prevalent in much of the investment literature. The problem is compounded by the failure of many brokers to present people with clear options with clear risk labels. Investors often think that anything to do with shares is risky, or that fund managers generally buy shares with such astuteness and expertise that there is little risk involved. Generally speaking, the reality is that the greater the value of equities that an investor has in his or her portfolio, the greater the amount of risk the person is taking on compared to leaving that money in a savings account.

While many investors understand the principles of diversification and risk well enough to know it is bad to put all of their eggs in one basket, they do not always know how to avoid this in practice. Trusters, for example, were shown to have a poor understanding of asset classes and very little, if any, awareness of the range of products available in the market. As a result, they tend to delegate most of the responsibility to others, which predictably leads to somewhat mixed results. (For more insight, see Introduction To Diversification and The Importance Of Diversification.)

Partners Make Mutual Decisions
Partners tend to have a medium level of sophistication and often want to be involved in the decision-making process. They generally read newspapers or magazines in and attempt to follow the markets. They also rely on advisors for help, but certainly not for the basic-level financial matters. They are interested in the second opinion that brokers or advisors provide, and also seek professional assistance to ensure that paperwork is completed correctly and that they understand any applicable legal jargon.

The main difficulty with partners is finding the right balance between control and delegation. While some advisors do not welcome client input, and others tend to think customers know more than they really do, it is essential for the investor-advisor roles to be quite clear to both parties. It may be best to have some form of written agreement - even if its an informal one - that highlights the nature of each players respective roles.

Controllers Want to Run the Show
Controllers are sophisticated investors (or at least think they are!) and prefer to take charge of the investing process. They are very interested in the financial sector and have a good understanding of both products and markets. They are aware of and understand the array of products that are available and they know what they want. They also spend a considerable amount of time researching products and markets, and they actively send off for financial statements, buy the latest books, and even attend investment seminars and conferences. This does not necessarily make them risk friendly, but they understand risk and know how to construct an optimal portfolio. Such investors often purchase on execution only, which means that they dont seek an advisors advice.

With respect to controllers who think they are sophisticated, there are certainly those who ought to delegate more of their investing tasks to a professional. Investors who seriously overestimate their knowledge or abilities can get into trouble.

Who Are You and Who Are You Dealing With?
The FSA study reinforces the need for informed financial planning; it also suggests the vulnerability of investors who are either too trusting or not trusting enough. For trusters, and to a lesser extent, partners, ease of understanding is fundamental and checks need to be built into any investment process to ensure that peoples personal and financial circumstances and willingness to take risk are taken into account. If investors are to be served well, what they know and, more importantly, what they do not know, must form a fundamental component of the advisory process. Advisors must take the level of investor knowledge and understanding very seriously.

[Black_NITE]

BarChart Technical Analysis NITE-LYNX $ARCXF
http://www.barchart.com/technicals/stocks/ARCXF

[GreenReeper]

The Pitfalls Of Diversification
Diversification is a prominent investment tenet known by average and sophisticated investors alike. Diversification means putting your proverbial eggs into more than one basket. Proponents of this method recommend diversification within a portfolio or across various types of investments. The assumption is that diversification helps mitigate the risk of multiple investments decreasing all at once, or that relatively better performing assets will at least offset the losses. There is some truth to this approach, but there is another side to this coin. Investors should also be asking how diversification affects their portfolios performance. In other words, is diversification all that its cracked up to be? This article will examine some of the pitfalls of over-diversifying your portfolio and possibly debunk some misconceptions along the way.

SEE: Top 4 Signs Of Over-Diversification

Expenses
Having and maintaining a truly diversified portfolio can be more expensive than a more concentrated one. Regardless of whether an investor is diversified across various assets, such as real estate, stocks , bonds or alternative investments (such as art), expenses will likely rise simply based on the actual number of investments. Every asset class will probably require some expense that will be incurred on a transactional basis. Real estate brokers, art dealers and stockbrokers all will take a portion of your diversified portfolio. An average investor may have a mix of 20 or so stock and bond funds. It is likely that your financial advisor is recommending certain fund families across investable sectors.

In many cases, these funds are expensive and may carry a sales and/or redemption charge. These expenses cut into your returns and you will not get a refund based on relative underperformance. If diversification is a must-have strategy for your investable assets, then consider minimizing maintenance and transaction costs. Doing this is critical to preserving your return performance. For example, pick mutual funds or exchange traded funds (ETFs) with expense ratios less than 1% and pay a load for investing your hard-earned dollars. Also, negotiate commissions on large purchases, such as real estate.

Balancing
Many investors may incorrectly assume that having a diversified portfolio means they can be less active with their investments. The idea here is that having a basket of funds or assets enables a more laissez-faire approach, since risk is being managed through diversification. This can be true, but isnt always the case. Having a diversified portfolio may mean that you have to be more involved in and/or knowledgeable about, your investment choices. Most portfolios across or within an asset class will likely require rebalancing. In laymans terms, you have to decide how to reallocate your already invested dollars. Rebalancing may be required due to many reasons, including, but not limited to, changing economic conditions (recession), relative outperformance of one investment versus another or because of your financial advisors recommendation.

Many investors with over 20 funds or multiple asset classes now will likely face a choice of picking a sector or asset class and funds that they are simply unfamiliar with. Investors may be advised to delve into commodities or real estate without real knowledge of either. Investors now face decisions on how to rebalance and what investments are most appropriate. This can quickly become quite a daunting task unless you are armed with the right information to make an intelligent decision. One of the assumed benefits of being diversified may actually become one of its biggest hassles.
Underperformance
Perhaps the greatest risk of having a truly diversified portfolio is the underperformance that may occur. Great investment returns require choosing the right investments at the correct time and having the courage to put a large portion of your investable funds toward them. If you think about it, how many people do you know have talked about their annual return on their 20 stock and bond mutual funds ? However, many people can recall what they bought and sold Cisco Systems for in the late 1990s. Some people can also remember how they invested heavily in bonds during the real estate collapse and ensuing Great Recession in the mid to late 2000s.

There have been several investing themes over the last few decades that have returned tremendous profits: real estate, bonds, technology stocks, oil and gold are just some examples. Investors with a diverse mix of these assets did reap some of the rewards, but those returns were limited by diversification. The point is that a concentrated portfolio can generate outsized investing returns. Some of these returns can be life changing. Of course, you have to be willing to work diligently to find the best assets and the best investments within those assets. Investors can leverage Investopedia.com and other financial sites to help in their research to find the best of the best.

SEE: 4 Steps To Building A Profitable Portfolio

The Bottom Line
At the end of the day, having a diversified portfolio, perhaps one managed by a professional, may make sense for many people. However, investor beware, this approach is not without specific risks, such as higher overall costs, more accounting for and tracking of investments, and most importantly, potential risk of significant underperformance. Having a concentrated portfolio may mean more risk, but it also means having the greatest return potential. This may mean owning all stocks when pundits and professionals say owning bonds is preferred (or vice versa). It could mean you stay 100% in cash when everyone else is buying the market hand over fist. Of course, common sense cannot be ignored: no one should blindly go all-in on any investment without understanding its potential risks. Hopefully, one can recognize that having a diversified portfolio is not without risks of its own.

[Black_NITE]

$IPRU BarChart Technical Analysis NITE-LYNX
http://www.barchart.com/technicals/stocks/IPRU