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The Christmas Saints Of Wall Street
There is something about twinkling lights, garlands and gifts that causes a change in people - not the same change as a good eggnog with double the rum does, but its not far off. At Christmas time, people are merrier and more generous than usual. The Red Cross and UNICEF see moredonations in December than they do in all the other 11 months combined. People that usually sprint toward the office with their collars up and their eyes straight may be more likely to drop change into an outstretched hand or donation pot. Strangers exchange greetings instead of suspicious glares - this is the Christmas spirit.
This Christmas season, we will look at some people whose Christmas spirit doesnt leave when the pine needles drop. They may not be in the same league as ol Saint Nick, but they arent far off.
The Old Guard
Philanthropy on Wall Street is not a recent event. It has, however, been in need of a pick-up since the recession pinched, squeezed and finally stemmed the flow of big money into charity. The original saints of Wall Street can still be felt by tracing your finger down a list of libraries, hospitals, foundations, research centers, womens shelters and other projects aimed at helping the less fortunate. If you do this, youll find that some names occur more often than others.
Steel, Oil and Cars
The old guard, consisting of Andrew Carnegie, John D. Rockefeller, Andrew W. Mellon and Henry Ford, all made their fortunes in oil, steel or a combination of the two - cars, ships, etc. Charity came to these men late in life, and it is sometimes said that much of their philanthropy was giving back the money they made from crushing unions and creating unfair monopolies. While there is truth to these claims, it is also true that most of what we call unsavory business practices in hindsight were commonplace in their time. Carnegie, Rockefeller, Mellon and Fords devotion to education, medical care and the fight against poverty made them stand out at a time when the worlds richest people hoarded their money within their families. These men, and the foundations they left behind, have given billions of dollars to improve life in America.
The Next Generation
Whereas the philanthropists of the past were based in heavy industry, the next generation is largely made of tech street barons and stock gurus. Here are few of the members of the new generation of philanthropists:
Gordon and Betty Moore (Intel)
Gordon Moore was one of the co-founders of Intel Corporation. With his wife Betty, he has made donations in the hundreds of millions of dollars to two main causes: environmental conservation (with a focus on marine life) and medicine. The latter grew out of Betty Moores bad experiences with hospitals. Betty and her husband have funded training programs for nurses in the hope of preventing common medical mistakes. The Moores also have given generously to improving secondary education, culminating in a $600-million gift to the California Institute of Technology in 2001.
Michael and Susan Dell
Michael Dell, founder of Dell Computers, and his wife Susan have been increasing their involvement in philanthropy every year since Michael stepped down as the CEO in July 2004, leaving behind a profitable company through which he amassed a large personal fortune. Having four young children of their own, the Dells have used their wealth to advance childrens causes (heath, education and medicine). The Michael
The Value Investors Handbook
Value investing, and any type of investing for that matter, varies in execution with each person. There are, however, some general principles that are shared by all value investors. These principles have been spelled out by famed investors like Peter Lynch, Kenneth Fisher, Warren Buffet,John Templeton and many others. In this article, we will look at these principles in the form of a value investors handbook.
Buy Businesses
If there is one thing that all value investors can agree on, its that investors should buy businesses, not stocks. This means ignoring trends in stock prices and other market noise. Instead, investors should look at the fundamentals of the company that the stock represents. Investors can make money following trending stocks, but it involves a lot more activity than value investing. Searching for good businesses selling at a good price based on probable future performance requires a larger time commitment for research, but the payoffs include less time spent buying and selling and fewer commission payments. (False signals can drown out underlying trends. Find out how to tone them down and tune them out in Trading Without Noise.)
Love the Business You Buy
You wouldnt pick a spouse based solely on his or her shoes, and you shouldnt pick a stock based on cursory research. You have to love the business you are buying, and that means being passionate about knowing everything about that company. You need to strip the attractive covering from a companys financials and get down to the naked truth. Many companies look far better when you judge them on basic price to earnings (P/E), price to book (P/B) and earnings per share (EPS) ratios than they do when you look into the quality of the numbers that make up those figures.
If you keep your standards high and make sure the companys financials look as good naked as they do dressed up, youre much more likely to keep it in your portfolio for a long time. If things change, youll notice it early. If you like the business you buy, paying attention to its ongoing trials and successes becomes more of a hobby than a chore.
Simple Is Best
If you dont understand what a company does or how, then you probably shouldnt be buying shares. Critics of value investing like to focus on this main limitation. You are stuck looking for businesses that you can easily understand because you have to be able to make an educated guess about the future earnings of the business. The more complex a business is, the more uncertain your projections will necessarily be. This moves the emphasis from educated to guess.
You can buy businesses you like but dont completely understand, but you have to factor in uncertainty as added risk. Any time a value investor has to factor in more risk, he has to look for a larger margin of safety - that is, more of adiscount from the calculated true value of the company. There can be no margin of safety if the company is already trading at many multiples of its earnings, which is a strong sign that, however exciting and new the idea is, the business is not a value play. Simple businesses also have an advantage, as its harder for incompetent management to hurt the company. (For a complete guide to reading the financial reports, check out our Financial Statements Tutorial.)
Look for Owners, Not Managers
Management can make a huge difference in a company. Good management adds value beyond a companys hard assets. Bad management can destroy even the most solid financials. There have been investors who have based their entire investing strategies on finding managers that are honest and able. To quote Buffett, look for three qualities: integrity, intelligence, and energy. And if they dont have the first, the other two will kill you. You can get a sense of managements honesty through reading several years worth of financials. How well did they deliver on past promises? If they failed, did they take responsibility, or gloss it over? (Find out more about Buffetts investing in Warren Buffett: How He Does It.)
Value investors want managers who act like owners. The best managers ignore the market value of the company and focus on growing the business, thus creating long-term shareholder value. Managers who act like employees often focus on short-term earnings in order to secure a bonus or other performance perk, sometimes to the long-term detriment of the company. Again, there are many ways to judge this, but the size and reporting of compensation is often a dead give away. If youre thinking like an owner, you pay yourself a reasonable wage and depend on gains in your stock holdings for a bonus. At the very least, you want a company that expenses its stock options. (Still wondering how to investigate the top brass? Check out Evaluating A Companys Management.)
When You Find a Good Thing, Buy a Lot
One of the areas where value investing runs contrary to commonly accepted investing principles is on the issue of diversification. There are long stretches where a value investor will be idle. This is because of the exacting standards of value investing as well as overall market forces. Toward the end of a bull market, everything gets expensive, even the dogs, so a value investor may have to sit on the sidelines waiting for the inevitable correction. Time, an important factor in compounding, is lost while waiting, so when you do find undervalued stocks, you should buy as much as you can. Be warned, this will lead to a portfolio that is high-risk according to traditional measures like beta. Investors are encouraged to avoid concentrating on only a few stocks, but value investors generally feel that they can only keep proper track of a few stocks at a time.
One obvious exception is Peter Lynch, who kept almost all of his funds in stocks at all times. Lynch broke stocks into categories and then cycled his funds through companies in each category. He also spent upwards of 12 hours every day checking and rechecking the many stocks held by his fund. As an individual value investor with a different day job, however, its better to go with a few stocks for which youve done the homework and feel good about holding long term. (Learn the basic tenets that helped this famous investor earn his fortune in Pick Stocks Like Peter Lynch.)
Measure Against Your Best Investment
Anytime you have more investment capital, your aim for investing should not be diversity, but finding an investment that is better than the ones you already own. If the opportunities dont beat what you already have in your portfolio, you may as well buy more of the companies you know and love, or simply wait for better times. During idle times, a value investor can identify the stocks he or she wants and the price at which theyll be worth buying. By keeping a wish list like this, youll be able to make decisions quickly in a correction.
Ignore the Market 99% of the Time
The market only matters when you enter or exit a position; the rest of the time, it should be ignored. If you approach buying stocks like buying a business, youll want to hold onto them as long as the fundamentals are strong. During the time you hold an investment, there will be spots where you could sell for a large profit and others were youre holding an unrealized loss. This is the nature of market volatility.
The reasons for selling a stock are numerous, but a value investor should be as slow to sell as he or she is to buy. When you sell an investment, you expose your portfolio to capital gains and usually have to sell a loser to balance it out. Both of these sales come with transaction coststhat make the loss deeper and the gain smaller. By holding investments with unrealized gains for a long time, you forestall capital gains on your portfolio. The longer you avoid capital gains and transaction costs, the more you benefit from compounding. (Find out how your profits are taxed and what to consider when making investment decisions in Tax Effects On Capital Gains.)
The Bottom Line
Value investing is a strange mix of common sense and contrarian thinking. While most investors can agree that a detailed examination of a company is important, the idea of sitting out on a bull market goes against the grain. Its undeniable that funds held constantly in the market have outperformed cash held outside the market, waiting for a down market. This is a fact, but a deceiving one. The data is derived from following the performance of indexes like the S
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Interpreting Your Brokers Reports
Each month, most brokers or banks send a printout of information about your investments, often accompanied by a cover letter and some other documentation. While these statements provide ongoing updates about your investments and how they have performed, the quality and presentation of the information varies. The documents and printouts are frequently unclear and investors often have trouble deciphering what is important and how to interpret the material, even after discussions with a broker. In this article, well give you some guidelines for interpreting the important information contained in these brokerage reports. (Make sure your broker is working for you with Is Your Broker Acting In Your Best Interest? and Evaluating Your Broker.)
Asset Allocation and Risk
Typically, your portfolio structure is presented as a breakdown of the various asset classes in which it is invested. Your asset allocation includes stocks, bonds, cash equivalents, alternative investments, real estate and natural resources. You may also see a breakdown within a specific asset class, such as segregating equities by market capitalization or bonds according to the type of issuer.
One problem is that the report will often not specify the level of risk you are taking in your portfolio or, even worse, will categorize it incorrectly. A moderate level of risk might entail a roughly even allocation between stocks and bonds, or at most, a 60/40 split. However, brokerage firms often categorize portfolios containing 80% equities as medium risk. Other reports simply do not address the level of risk, or insert the term medium risk somewhere discreetly at the top, bottom or side of the page, where the unwary investor barely notices it. You should be kept clearly informed of the level of risk of your overall portfolio, and if your asset allocation seems too aggressive or conservative for you, then talk to your financial advisor about the issue. (To read more on these topics, see Determining Risk And The Risk Pyramid, Risk And Diversification and How Risky Is Your Portfolio?)
Performance of Your Portfolio
Next, look at your portfolios performance for the most recent period reported, and how it compares with past performance. If returns are not satisfactory to you, talk to the advisor and determine whether any changes may be needed. A simple listing of cost, current value and other figures, with no meaningful analysis or discussion, is not very helpful.
In addition to seeing how your portfolio has performed, you need to know how well, or poorly, it has performed, compared with other investments. Comparing investment performance to benchmarks, such as market indexes or industry statistics, will provide a yardstick for evaluating your own portfolio. (Keep reading about this in Benchmark Your Returns With Indexes.)
For example, the Standard
When Stock Prices Drop, Wheres The Money?
Have you ever wondered what happened to your socks when you put them into the dryer and then never saw them again? Its an unexplained mystery that may never have an answer. Many people feel the same way when they suddenly find that their brokerage account balance has taken a nosedive. So, where did that money go? Fortunately, money that is gained or lost on a stock doesnt just disappear. Read to find out what happens to it and what causes it.
Disappearing Money
Before we get to how money disappears, it is important to understand that regardless of whether the market is in bull (appreciating) or bear (depreciating) mode, supply and demand drive the price of stocks, and fluctuations in stock prices determine whether you make money or lose it.
So, if you purchase a stock for $10 and then sell it for only $5, you will (obviously) lose $5. It may feel like that money must go to someone else, but that isnt exactly true. It doesnt go to the person who buys the stock from you. The company that issued the stock doesnt get it either. The brokerage is also left empty-handed, as you only paid it to make the transaction on your behalf. So the question remains: where did the money go?
Implicit and Explicit Value
The most straightforward answer to this question is that it actually disappeared into thin air, along with the decrease in demand for the stock, or, more specifically, the decrease in investors favorable perception of it. (For more on what drives stock price , see Stocks Basics)
But this capacity of money to dissolve into the unknown demonstrates the complex and somewhat contradictory nature of money. Yes, money is a teaser - at once intangible, flirting with our dreams and fantasies, and concrete, the thing with which we obtain our daily bread. More precisely, this duplicity of money represents the two parts that make up a stocks market value: the implicit and explicit value.
On the one hand, money can be created or dissolved with the change in a stocks implicit value, which is determined by the personal perceptions and research of investors and analysts. For example, a pharmaceutical company with the rights to the patent for the cure for cancer may have a much higher implicit value than that of a corner store.
Depending on investors perceptions and expectations for the stock, implicit value is based on revenues and earnings forecasts. If the implicit value undergoes a change - which, really, is generated by abstract things like faith and emotion - the stock price follows. A decrease in implicit value, for instance, leaves the owners of the stock with a loss because their asset is now worth less than its original price. Again, no one else necessarily received the money; it has been lost to investors perceptions.
Now that weve covered the somewhat unreal characteristic of money, we cannot ignore how money also represents explicit value, which is the concrete worth of a company. Referred to as the accounting value (or sometimes book value), the explicit value is calculated by adding up all assets and subtracting liabilities. So, this represents the amount of money that would be left over if a company were to sell all of its assets at fair market value and then pay off all of liabilities. (For more insight, read Digging Into Book Value and Value By The Book.)
But you see, without explicit value, implicit value would not exist: investors interpretation of how well a company will make use of its explicit value is the force behind implicit value.
Disappearing Trick Revealed
For instance, in February 2009, Cisco Systems Inc. (Nasdaq:CSCO) had 5.81 billion shares outstanding, which means that if the value of the shares dropped by $1, it would be the equivalent to losing more than $5.81 billion in (implicit) value. Because CSCO has many billions of dollars in concrete assets, we know that the change occurs not in explicit value, so the idea of money disappearing into thin air ironically becomes much more tangible. In essence, whats happening is that investors, analysts and market professionals are declaring that their projections for the company have narrowed. Investors are therefore not willing to pay as much for the stock as they were before.
So, faith and expectations can translate into cold hard cash, but only because of something very real: the capacity of a company to create something, whether it is a product people can use or a service people need. The better a company is at creating something, the higher the companys earnings will be and the more faith investors will have in the company.
In a bull market, there is an overall positive perception of the markets ability to keep producing and creating. Because this perception would not exist were it not for some evidence that something is being or will be created, everyone in a bull market can be making money. Of course, the exact opposite can happen in a bear market .
To sum it all up, you can think of the stock market as a huge vehicle for wealth creation and destruction.
Disappearing Socks
No one really knows why socks go into the dryer and never come out, but next time youre wondering where that stock price came from or went to, at least you can chalk it up to market perception.
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3 Questions To Find Your Trading Plan
You have put in the work creating a trading plan or possibly spent money on supposedly great strategies, but you still cannot seem to turn a trading profit. Or maybe you are starting out in trading and investing and want to be cautious before you start putting real money on the line. No matter what level you are at, before you trade - or if are already trading and struggling - you should have a trading plan. That plan needs to be tailored to you and your needs; a plan that is not will likely result in a drain on your trading account.
The following three questions can save you a lot of grief. Run through these questions during your planning stages to make sure your plan will serve you well. If it cannot pass this three question test, it should not be used.
SEE: Day Trading Strategies For Beginners
Why Ask These Questions?
Executing a plan is not just about the design itself, it is about the person executing that plan. Someone can search their whole life for a great trading system, not realizing it is themselves that need work, not the system. Therefore, these questions take the plan and the trader into account, making sure the two fit together. No matter how good a trading plan, it is useless if the trader cannot personally stick to it or implement it properly.
These three questions will help to clarify the traders objectives for the trading plan, take inventory of the consequences which may arise by executing the plan, and determine if they will be able to even stick with their plan, given their personality.
1. Does the Plan Allow Me to Achieve the Outcome I Want?
Sounds simple enough, but not so fast.
An outcome needs to be specific and measurable. Stipulating I want to be rich is not concise enough. What is the ultimate goal that you want your trading plan to bring you? Is the outcome feasible and reasonable? Can the plan you currently have actually produce that, or given the realities of the plan is it likely to fall short of the outcome you desire?
The plan and outcome must also balance short-term and long-term goals. While the long-term goal may be to be financially independent, continually trying to make as much money as possible in the short-term with high risk trades could jeopardize the long-term goal. Short-term goals must work in harmony with the long-term goals, not against them. Brainstorm what you want your trading plan to produce and make sure that the plan works to satisfy both the short and long-term desired outcomes.
2. What Are the Consequences and Risks of My Plan, and Can I Deal with Them?
In this step we strip away the fantasy and focus on reality. The fact is most traders lose money - even very smart ones - so how is your plan different? All plans have risk; what is the downside of the strategies you have employed? Go through the plan and write down all of the risks and pitfalls you see.
Now, also consider consequences outside of trading. Will realizing your plan mean you spend less time with family or friends? Will it mean cutting back on certain expenses? Will it create more stress (less stress) or cut into other work time?
Once all the potential risk and pitfalls of your strategy have been fully and honestly addressed, can you realistically handle all the potential consequences of trading this plan? If so, proceed. If not, rework the plan making sure the consequences of your plan are within your personal tolerance.
3. Does the Plan Account for Me Being Me?
This is the most important question, as ultimately you must be able to implement the plan. A plan means nothing if you cannot execute it.
If you cannot sit in front of a screen for more than 30 minutes, no matter how good your plan is you will likely not be a good day trader. Or, if you cannot sleep at night with an open position, your swing trading plan will likely do you no good. You will continually struggle to adhere to it.
We each have different traits and tendencies. If you have a gambling streak, account for this in your plan - maybe have a demo account off to the side (or have a play money poker game open) so you can satisfy your gambling craving without losing real money. Plan and account for everything.
Be brutally honest, and make sure your trading plan accounts for the market and yourself. Accept yourself for your tendencies, and make sure that the plan can actually be employed by you based on who you are. Do not sugar coat anything, as doing so could result in problems down the road.
If the plan is easy to implement for you and fits with who you are, use the plan. If you do not think you will be able to stick to it, come up with a plan you can follow.
The Bottom Line
A trading plan is only as good as the trader who implements it. The plan and trader must mesh, or the trader will be unable to implement the plan and it will be useless. To make sure the trading plan fits, the trader must pass the plan through three questions: Does the plan achieve the outcome I want? Can I handle the consequences of the plan? Does the plan account for me being me? If the plan can pass through all of these questions, the trader has a much better chance of being able to actually follow through with their investment strategy and is more likely to experience success in the markets
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Understanding Credit Card Interest
Did you know that according to an IndexCreditCards.com, as of 2010 the average credit card debt among households with balances was $7,394? Even worse, the average rate of interest on this debt was an astronomical 17-20%. Yikes! Its tough for anybody to get ahead financially with that sort of baggage. This article will shed some light on credit card debt and the benefits of getting out of it.
SEE: Check out our credit card comparison tool and find out which credit card is right for you.
What Is Interest?
Interest, typically expressed as an annual percentage rate, is the fee paid for the privilege of borrowing money. This fee is the price a person pays for the ability to spend money today that would otherwise take time to accumulate. Conversely, if you were lending the money, that fee/interest compensates you for giving up the ability to spend that money today. (If you want a deeper look at the significant factor of time, check out Understanding the Time Value of Money for a quick recap.)
Credit Card Debt
Most of us are familiar with credit cards. As mentioned earlier, U.S. statistics show the average family has long-term credit card debt in excess of $5,000. In fact, credit card debt accounts for a very sizeable chunk of total consumer debt, which hit $2.43 trillion in May 2011. Clearly credit cards are an important part of our day-to-day lives, which is why its important for consumers to understand the effect of that interest on them.
An Example: Discovering the Benefit of Increasing Your Payments
Lets say John and Jane both have $2,000 debt on their credit cards, which require a minimum payment of 3%, or $10, whichever is higher. Both are strapped for cash, but Jane manages to pay an extra $10 on top of her minimum monthly payments. John pays only the minimum.
Each month John and Jane are charged a 20% annual interest on their cards outstanding balances. So, when John and Jane make payments, part of those payments go to paying interest and part go to the principal.
Here is the breakdown of the numbers for the first month of Johns credit card debt:
• Principal: $2,000
• Interest: $33.33 ($2,000 x (1 20%/12))
• Payment: $60 (3% of remaining balance)
• Principal Repayment: $26.67
• Remaining Balance: $1,973.33 ($2,000 - $26.67)
These calculations are done every month until the credit card debt is paid off.
In the end, John pays $4,240 in total over 15 years to absolve the $2,000 in credit card debt. The interest that John pays over the 15 years totals $2,240, higher than the original credit card debt.
Because Jane paid an extra $10 a month, she pays a total $3,276 over seven years to absolve the $2,000 in credit card debt. Jane pays a total $1,276 in interest.
The extra $10 a month saves Jane almost $1,000 and cuts her repayment period by more than seven years!
The lesson here is that every little bit counts. Paying twice your minimum or more can drastically cut down the time it takes to pay off the balance, which leads to lower interest charges.
However, as we will see below, its wise not to pay only your minimum or even just a little more than your minimum. Its best simply not to carry a balance at all.
20% Return Guaranteed?
As an investor, you would be thrilled to get a yearly return of 17-20% on a stock portfolio, right? In fact, if you were able to sustain that kind of return over the long term, you would be rivaling investing legends such as Peter Lynch, Warren Buffett, George Soros and value-investing guru Jim Gipson.
But if someone came up to you on the street or you opened your email inbox and read a headline that screamed, 20% Return Guaranteed! youd likely be very, very skeptical. Anyone who guarantees anything is questionable. (For more on how to avoid investment scams check out our Investing Scams Tutorial.)
However, you do get one guarantee by paying off the balance on your credit card: if it charges 20% per year, you are guaranteed to save yourself from losing 20%, which, in a way, is just as good as making a 20% return.
Ensure Your Investments Arent a Guaranteed Drain
Often, however, investors are reluctant to pay down their credit cards and choose to put the money in investing or savings accounts. Now, there are many factors that drive individuals to do this, which behavioral finance tries to explain. One of these factors is peoples tendency to have mental accounts, which causes them to place different meaning on different accounts and on the money held in them. Mental accounting sometimes prevents investors from looking at their finances as a whole. Do remember, $1 is $1, regardless of whether it is invested or lost. Not thinking this way can be very costly. (For further reading, see Understanding Investor Behavior.)
Holding a credit card balance actually negates any investment gains - unless of course youre a world-class investor. Investing instead of paying off your credit card is a guaranteed loss of money.
On the other hand, paying off your credit card debt guarantees you a return, a return of whatever your card charges you. So, if you have money in your investing or savings account, or you have $1,000 burning a hole in your jeans, take that money and pay off your credit card! Then, once you eliminate your high-interest debt, youll not only have more money (because youre not making interests payments) but your investments will truly grow.
Conclusion
The moral of the story: carrying a balance on your card can be very costly. Our first recommendation is to pay off your balance entirely. Paying the astronomical interest rates that credit card companies charge simply does not make sense if you have savings elsewhere. If you cant completely pay off your balance, increasing your monthly payment, even a little bit, will be very helpful in the long run.
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Economic Indicators For The Do-It-Yourself Investor
Economic indicators are some of the most valuable tools investors can place in their arsenals. Consistent in their release, wide in their scope and range, metrics such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and written reports like the beige book are free for all investors to inspect and analyze. Policymakers, most notably those at the Federal Reserve, use indicators to determine not only where the economy is going, but how fast its getting there.
Admittedly, economic indicator reports are often dry and the data is raw. In other words, information needs to be put into context before it can be helpful in making any decisions regarding investments and asset allocation, but there is valuable information in those raw data releases. The various government and non-profit groups that conduct the surveys and release the reports do a very good job of collating and cohesively presenting what would be logistically impossible for any one investor do to on his or her own. Most indicators provide nationwide coverage and many have detailed industry breakdowns, both of which can be very useful to individual investors.
In this article, well touch on the most important aspects of economic indicators and how they relate to individual investors. (For more detailed information, see Economic Indicators To Know.)
What is an economic indicator?
In its simplest form, an indicator could be considered any piece of information that can help an investor decipher what is going on in the economy. The U.S. economy is essentially a living thing; at any given moment, there are billions of moving parts - some acting, others reacting. This simple truth makes predictions extremely difficult - they must always involve a large number of assumptions, no matter what resources are put to the task. But with the help of the wide range of economic indicators, investors are better able to gain a better understanding of various economic conditions.
There are also indexes for coincident indicators and lagging indicators, the components of each are based on whether they tend to rise during or after an economic expansion. (For related reading, see What are leading, lagging and coincident indicators? What are they for?)
Use in Tandem, Use in Context
Once an investor understands how various indicators are calculated and their relative strengths and limitations, several reports can be used in conjunction to make for more thorough decision-making. For example, in the area of employment, consider using data from several releases; by using the hours-worked data (from the Employment Cost Index) along with the Labor Report and non-farm payrolls, investors can get a fairly complete picture of the state of the labor markets. Are increasing retail sales figures being validated by increased personal expenditures? Are new factory orders leading to higher factory shipments and higher durable goods figures? Are higher wages showing up in higher personal income figures? The savvy investor will look up and down the supply chain to find validation of trends before acting on the results of any one indicator release. (For related reading, check out Surveying The Employment Report.)
Personalizing Your Research
Some people may prefer to understand a couple of specific indicators really well and use this expert knowledge to make investment plays based on their analyses. Others may wish to be a jack of all trades, understanding the basics of all the indicators without relying on any one too much. A retired couple living on a combination of pensions and long-term Treasury bonds should be looking for different things than a stock trader who rides the waves of the business cycle. Most investors fall in the middle, hoping for stock market returns to be steady and near long-term historical averages (about 8-10% per year).
Knowing what the expectations are for any individual release is helpful, as well as generally knowing what the macroeconomic forecast is believed to be at become important functions. Forecast numbers can be found at several public websites, such as Yahoo! Finance or MarketWatch. On the day a specific indicator release is made, there will be press releases from news wires such as the Associated Press and Reuters, which will present figures with key pieces highlighted. It is helpful to read a report on one of the newswires, which may parse the indicator data through the filters of analyst expectations, seasonality figures and year-over-year results. For those that use investment advisors, these advisors will probably analyze recently-released indicators in an upcoming newsletter or discuss them during upcoming meetings. (For articles about analyzing and using this data, see Trading On News Releases and A Top-Down Approach To Investing.)
Inflation Indicators - Keeping a Watchful Eye
Many investors, especially those who invest primarily in fixed-income securities, are concerned about inflation. Current inflation, how strong it is, and what it could be in the future are all vital in determining prevailing interest rates and investing strategies.
There are several indicators that focus on inflationary pressure. The most notable in this group are the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The PPI comes out first in any reporting month, so many investors will use the PPI to try and predict the upcoming CPI. There is a proven statistical relationship between the two, as economic theory suggests that if producers of goods are forced to pay more in production, some portion of the price increase will be passed on to consumers. Each index is derived independently, but both are released by theBureau of Labor Statistics. Other key inflationary indicators include the levels and growth rates of the money supply and the Employment Cost Index (ECI). (To learn more, read The Consumer Price Index: A Friend To Investors.)
Economic Output - Stock Investors Inquire Within
The gross domestic product (GDP) may be the most important indicator out there, especially to equity investors who are focused on corporate profit growth. Because GDP represents the sum of what our economy is producing, its growth rate is targeted to be in certain ranges; if the numbers start to fall outside those ranges, fear of inflation or recession will grow in the markets. To get ahead of this fear, many people will follow the monthly indicators that can shed some light on the quarterly GDP report. Capital goods shipments from the Factory Orders Report is used to calculate producers durable equipment orders within the GDP report. Indicators such as retail sales and current account balances are also used in the computations of GDP, so their release helps to complete part of the economic puzzle prior to the quarterly GDP release. (For related reading, see The Importance Of Inflation And GDP and Understanding the Current Account In The Balance Of Payments.)
Other indicators that arent part of the actual calculations for GDP are still valuable for their predictive abilities - metrics such as wholesale inventories, th beige book, the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) and the Labor Report all shed light on how well our economy is functioning. With the assistance of all this monthly data, GDP estimates will begin to tighten up as the component data slowly gets released throughout the quarter; by the time the actual GDP report is released, there will be a general consensus of the figure. If the actual results deviate much from the estimates, the markets will move, often with high volatility. If the number falls right into the middle of the expected range, then the markets and investors can collectively pat themselves on the back and let prevailing investing trends continue.
Mark Your Calendar
Sometimes indicators take on a more valuable role because they contain very timely data. The Institute of Supply Managements PMI report, for instance, is typically released on the first business day of every month. As such, it is one of the first pieces of aggregate data available for the month just ended. While not as rich in detail as many of the indicators to follow, the category breakdowns are often picked apart for clues to things such as future Labor Report details (from the employment survey results) or wholesale inventories (inventory survey).
The relative order in which the indicators are presented does not change month to month, so investors may want to mark a few days on their monthly calendars to read up on the areas of the economy that might change how they think about their investments or time horizon. Overall, asset allocation decisions can fluctuate over time, and making such changes after a monthly review of macro indicators may be wise.
Conclusion
Benchmark pieces of economic indicator data arrive with no agenda or sales pitch. The data just is - and that is hard to find these days. By becoming knowledgeable about the whats and whys of the major economic indicators, investors can better understand the economy in which their dollars are invested, and be better prepared to revisit an investment thesis when the timing is right.
While there is no one magic indicator that can dictate whether to buy or sell, using economic indicator data in conjunction with standard asset and securities analysis can lead to smarter portfolio management for the do-it-yourself investor.
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Callable CDs: Check The Fine Print
If youre looking for bigger yields with limited risk, callable certificates of deposit (CD ) might be right for you. They promise higher returns than regular CDs and are FDIC insured. However, there are a few things in the fine print that you should be aware of before you turn your money over to the bank or brokerage firm, otherwise, you could end up very disappointed.
Just like a regular CD, a callable CD is a certificate of deposit that pays a fixed interest rate over its lifetime. The feature that differentiates a callable CD from a traditional CD is that the issuer owns a call option on the CD and can redeem, or call, your CD from you for the full amount before it matures. In this article, we will provide you with some important terms to watch for in the fine print of your callable CDs , should you decide to invest.
Important Terms
Callable CDs are similar in many ways to callable bonds.
Callable Date
This is the date that the issuer can call your certificate of deposit . Lets say, for example, that the call date is six months. This means that six months after you buy the CD, the bank can decide whether it wants to take back your CD and return your money with interest. Every six months after the call date, the bank will have that same option again. Well get to why the bank would want to call back the certificate shortly.
Maturity Date
The maturity date is how long the issuer can keep your money. The farther in the future the maturity date, the higher the interest rate you should expect to receive. Make sure you dont confuse maturity date with the call date. For instance, a two-year callable CD does not necessarily mature in two years. The two years refers to the period of time you have before the bank can call the CD away from you. The actual amount of time you must commit your money could be much longer. Its common to find callable CDs with maturities in the range of 15 to 20 years.
To Call, or Not to Call
A change in prevailing interest rates is the main reason the bank or brokerage firm will recall your CD on the callable date. Basically, the bank will ask itself if its getting the best deal possible based on the current interest rate environment. (To learn how interest rate changes affect other investments , see How Interest Rates Affect The Stock Market and Its In Your Interest.)
Interest Rates Decline
If interest rates fall, the issuer might be able to borrow money for less than its paying you. This means the bank will likely call back the CD and force you to find a new vehicle to invest your money in.
Example - Callable CD When Rates Decline
Suppose you have a $10,000 one-year callable CD that pays 5% with a five-year maturity. As the one-year call date approaches, prevailing interest rates drop to 4%. The bank has therefore dropped its rates too, and is only paying 4% on its newly issued one-year callable CDs.
Why should I pay you 5%, when I can borrow the same $10,000 for 4%?, your banker is going ask. Heres your principal back plus any interest we owe you. Thank you very much for your business.
The good news is that you got a higher CD rate for one year. But what do you do with the $10,000 now? Youve run into the problem of reinvestment risk.
Perhaps you were counting on the $500 per year interest ($10,000 x 5% = $500) to help pay for your annual vacation. Now youre stuck with just $400 ($10,000 x 4% = $400) if you buy another one-year callable CD. Your other choice is to try to find a place to put your money that pays 5% such as by purchasing a corporate bond - but that might involve more risk than you wanted for this $10,000 . (For more on the risks of these bonds, see Corporate Bonds: An Introduction To Credit Risk.)
Interest Rates Rise
If prevailing interest rates increase, your bank probably wont call your CD. Why would it? It would cost more to borrow elsewhere.
Example - Callable CD When Rates Rise
Lets look at your $10,000 one-year callable CD again. Its paying you 5%. This time, assume that prevailing rates have jumped to 6% by the time the callable date hits. Youll continue to get your $500 per year, even though newly issued callable CDs earn more. But what if youd like to get your money out and reinvest at the new, higher rates?
Sorry, your banker says, only we can decide if youll get your money early.
Unlike the bank, you cant call the CD and get your principal back - at least not without penalties called early surrender charges. As a result, youre stuck with the lower rate. If rates continue to climb while you own the callable CD, the bank will probably keep your money until the CD matures.
What to Watch For
Whos Selling
Anyone can be a deposit broker to sell CDs. There are no licensing or certification requirements. This means you should always check with your states securities regulator to see whether your broker or your brokers company has any history of complaints or fraud.
Early Withdrawal
If you want to get your money before the maturity date, there is a possibility youll run into surrender charges. These fees cover the maintenance costs of the CD and are put in place to discourage you from trying to withdraw your money early. You wont always have to pay these fees; if you have held the certificate for a long enough period of time these fees will often be waived.
Check the Issuer
Each bank or thrift institution depositor is limited to $100,000 in FDIC insurance. There is a potential problem if your broker invests your CD money with an institution where you have other FDIC insured accounts. If the total is more than $100,000, you run the risk of exceeding your FDIC coverage. (To learn more, read Are Your Bank Deposits Insured?)
Wrap Up: Callable or Non-Callable?
With all of the extra hassle they involve, why would you bother to purchase a callable CD rather than a non-callable one? Ultimately, callable CDs shift the interest-rate risk to you, the investor. Because youre taking on this risk, youll tend to receive a higher return than youd find with a traditional CD with a similar maturity date.
Before you invest, you should compare the rates of the two products. Then, think about which direction you think interest rates are headed in the future. If you have concerns about reinvestment risk and prefer simplicity, callable CDs probably arent for you.
Use this checklist when you are shopping for callable CDs to help you keep track of the important information.
Callable CD Checklist
Traditional CD Callable CD #1 Callable CD #2
Callable Date N/A
Maturity Date
Seller Background
Surrender Fee
Issuer
Interest Rate
Five Things To Know About Asset Allocation
With literally thousands of stocks, bonds and mutual funds to choose from, picking the right investments can confuse even the most seasoned investor. However, starting to build a portfolio with stock picking might be the wrong approach. Instead, you should start by deciding what mix of stocks, bonds and mutual funds you want to hold - this is referred to as your asset allocation.
What is Asset Allocation?
Asset allocation is an investment portfolio technique that aims to balance risk and create diversification by dividing assets among major categories such as cash, bonds, stocks, real estate and derivatives. Each asset class has different levels of return and risk, so each will behave differently over time. For instance, while one asset category increases in value, another may be decreasing or not increasing as much. Some critics see this balance as a settlement for mediocrity, but for most investors its the best protection against major loss should things ever go amiss in one investment class or sub-class.
The consensus among most financial professionals is that asset allocation is one of the most important decisions that investors make. In other words, your selection of stocks or bonds is secondary to the way you allocate your assets to high and low-risk stocks, to short and long-term bonds, and to cash on the sidelines.
We must emphasize that there is no simple formula that can find the right asset allocation for every individual - if there were, we certainly wouldnt be able to explain it in one article. We can, however, outline five points that we feel are important when thinking about asset allocation:
Risk vs. Return
The risk-return tradeoff is at the core of what asset allocation is all about. Its easy for everyone to say that they want the highest possible return, but simply choosing the assets with the highest potential (stocks and derivatives) isnt the answer. The crashes of 1929, 1981, 1987, and the more recent declines of 2000-2002 are all examples of times when investing in only stocks with the highest potential return was not the most prudent plan of action. Its time to face the truth: every year your returns are going to be beaten by another investor, mutual fund, pension plan, etc. What separates greedy and return-hungry investors from successful ones is the ability to weigh the difference between risk and return. Yes, investors with a higher risk tolerance should allocate more money into stocks. But if you cant keep invested through the short-term fluctuations of a bear market, you should cut your exposure to equities. (To learn more about bond investing , see Bond Basics Tutorial.
Dont Rely Solely on Financial Software or Planner Sheets
Financial planning software and survey sheets designed by financial advisors or investment firms can be beneficial, but never rely solely on software or some pre-determined plan. For example, one rule of thumb that many advisors use to determine the proportion a person should allocate to stocks is to subtract the persons age from 100. In other words, if youre 35, you should put 65% of your money into stock and the remaining 35% into bonds, real estate and cash.
But standard worksheets sometimes dont take into account other important information such as whether or not you are a parent, retiree or spouse. Other times, these worksheets are based on a set of simple questions that dont capture your financial goals. Remember, financial institutions love to peg you into a standard plan not because its best for you, but because its easy for them. Rules of thumb and planner sheets can give people a rough guideline, but dont get boxed into what they tell you.
Determine your Long and Short-Term Goals
We all have our goals. Whether you aspire to own a yacht or vacation home, to pay for your childs education, or simply to save up for a new car , you should consider it in your asset allocation plan. All of these goals need to be considered when determining the right mix.
For example, if youre planning to own a retirement condo on the beach in 20 years, you need not worry about short-term fluctuations in the stock market . But if you have a child who will be entering college in five to six years, you may need to tilt your asset allocation to safer fixed-income investments.
Time is your Best Friend
The U.S. Department of Labor has said that for every 10 years you delay saving for retirement (or some other long-term goal), you will have to save three times as much each month to catch up. Having time not only allows you to take advantage of compounding and the time value of money, it also means you can put more of your portfolio into higher risk/return investments, namely stocks. A bad couple of years in the stock market will likely show up as nothing more than an insignificant blip 30 years from now.
Just Do It!
Once youve determined the right mix of stocks, bonds and other investments, its time to implement it. The first step is to find out how your current portfolio breaks down. Its fairly straightforward to see the percentage of assets in stocks vs. bonds, but dont forget to categorize what type of stocks you own (small, mid, or large cap). You should also categorize your bonds according to their maturity (short, mid, long-term). Mutual funds can be more problematic. Fund names dont always tell the entire story. You have to dig deeper in the prospectus to figure out where fund assets are invested.
There is no one standardized solution for allocating your assets. Individual investors require individual solutions. Furthermore, if a long-term horizon is something you dont have, dont worry. Its never too late to get started. Its also never too late to give your existing portfolio a face-lift: asset allocation is not a one-time event, its a life-long process of progression and fine-tuning.
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The Dangers Of Over-Diversifying Your Portfolio
Weve all heard the financial experts expound on the benefits of diversification, and its not just talk; a personal stock portfolio must be diversified to some degree. After all, none of us wishes to put all our eggs in one basket and expose ourselves to the inherent risk of holding only one stock. But can you go too far in spreading your bet? Indeed you can. Here well show you how investors tend to become overdiversified and how you can maintain an appropriate balance.
What Is Diversification?
When we talk about diversification in a stock portfolio , were referring to the attempt by the investor to reduce exposure to risk by investing in various companies across different sectors, industries or even countries. Most investment professionals agree that although diversification is no guarantee against loss, it is a prudent strategy to adopt toward your long-range financial objectives. There are many studies demonstrating why diversification works, but to put it simply by spreading your investments across various sectors or industries with low correlation to each other, you reduce price volatility. This is because different industries and sectors dont move up and down at the same time or at the same rate - if you mix things up in your portfolio, youre less likely to experience major drops, because when some sectors experience tough times, others may be thriving. This provides for a more consistent overall portfolio performance. (For background reading, see The Importance of Diversification.)
That said, its important to remember that no matter how diversified your portfolio is, your risk can never be eliminated. You can reduce risk associated with individual stocks (what academics call unsystematic risk), but there are inherent market risks (systematic risk) that affect nearly every stock. No amount of diversification can prevent that.
Can We Diversify Away Unsystematic Risk?
The generally accepted way to measure risk is by looking at volatility levels. That is, the more sharply a stock or portfolio moves within a period of time, the riskier that asset is. A statistical concept called standard deviation is used to measure volatility. So, for the sake of this article you can think of standard deviation as meaning risk.
According to the modern portfolio theory, youd come very close to achieving optimal diversity after adding about the 20th stock to your portfolio. In Edwin J. Elton and Martin J. Grubers book Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis, they conclude that the average standard deviation (risk) of a portfolio of one stock was 49.2%, while increasing the number of stocks in the average well-balanced portfolio could reduce the portfolios standard deviation to a maximum of 19.2% (this number represents market risk). However, they also found that with a portfolio of 20 stocks the risk was reduced to about 20%. Therefore, the additional stocks from 20 to 1,000 only reduced the portfolios risk by about 0.8%, while the first 20 stocks reduced the portfolios risk by 29.2% (49.2%-20%).
Many investors have the misguided view that risk is proportionately reduced with each additional stock in a portfolio, when in fact this couldnt be farther from the truth. There is strong evidence that you can only reduce your risk to a certain point at which there is no further benefit from diversification.
True Diversification
The study mentioned above isnt suggesting that buying any 20 stocks equates with optimum diversification. Note from our original explanation of diversification that you need to buy stocks that are different from each other whether by company size, industry, sector, country, etc. Put in financial parlance, this means you are buying stocks that are uncorrelated – stocks that move in different directions during different times.
As well, note that this article is only talking about diversification within your stock portfolio. A persons overall portfolio should also diversify among different asset classes, meaning allocating a certain percentage to bonds, commodities, real estate, alternative assets and so on.
Mutual Funds
Owning a mutual fund that invests in 100 companies doesnt necessarily mean that you are at optimum diversification either. Many mutual funds are sector specific, so owning a telecom or healthcare mutual fund means you are diversified within that industry, but because of the high correlation between movements in stocks prices within an industry, you are not diversified to the extent you could be by investing across various industries and sectors. Balanced funds offer better risk protection than a sector-specific mutual fund because they own 100 or more stocks across the entire market.
Many mutual fund holders also suffer from being over-diversified. Some funds, especially the larger ones, have so many assets (i.e. cash to invest) that they have to hold literally hundreds of stocks and consequently, so are you. In some cases this makes it nearly impossible for the fund to outperform indexes - the whole reason you invested in the fund and are paying the fund manager a management fee.
Conclusion
Diversification is like ice cream: its good, but only in reasonable quantities.
The common consensus is that a well-balanced portfolio with approximately 20 stocks diversifies away the maximum amount of market risk. Owning additional stocks takes away the potential of big gainers significantly impacting your bottom line, as is the case with large mutual funds investing in hundreds of stocks. According to Warren Buffett: wide diversification is only required when investors do not understand what they are doing. In other words, if you diversify too much, you might not lose much, but you wont gain much either.
Introduction To Investment Diversification
Diversification is a familiar term to most investors. In the most general sense, it can be summed up with this phrase: Dont put all of your eggs in one basket. While that sentiment certainly captures the essence of the issue, it provides little guidance on the practical implications of the role diversification plays in an investors portfolio and offers no insight into how a diversified portfolio is actually created. In this article, well provide an overview of diversification and give you some insight into how you can make it work to your advantage.
What Is Diversification?
Taking a closer look at the concept of diversification, the idea is to create a portfolio that includes multiple investments in order to reduce risk. Consider, for example, an investment that consists of only stock issued by a single company. If that companys stock suffers a serious downturn, your portfolio will sustain the full brunt of the decline. By splitting your investment between the stocks from two different companies, you can reduce the potential risk to your portfolio.
Another way to reduce the risk in your portfolio is to include bonds and cash. Because cash is generally used as a short-term reserve, most investors develop an asset allocation strategy for their portfolios based primarily on the use of stocks and bonds. It is never a bad idea to keep a portion of your invested assets in cash or short-term money-market securities. Cash can be used incase of an emergency, and short-term money-market securities can be liquidated instantly incase an investment opportunity arises, or in the event your usual cash requirements spike and you need to sell investments to make payments. Also, keep in mind that asset allocation and diversification are closely linked concepts; a diversified portfolio is created through the process of asset allocation. When creating a portfolio that contains both stocks and bonds, aggressive investors may lean towards a mix of 80% stocks and 20% bonds, while conservative investors may prefer a 20% stocks to 80% bonds mix.
Regardless of whether you are aggressive or conservative, the use of asset allocation to reduce risk through the selection of a balance of stocks and bonds for your portfolio is a more detailed description of how a diversified portfolio is created rather than the simplistic eggs in one basket concept. With this in mind, you will notice that mutual fund portfolios composed of a mix, which includes both stocks and bonds, are referred to as balanced portfolios. The specific balance of stocks and bonds in a given portfolio is designed to create a specific risk-reward ratio that offers the opportunity to achieve a certain rate of return on your investment in exchange for your willingness to accept a certain amount of risk. In general, the more risk you are willing to take, the greater the potential return on your investment.
What Are My Options?
If you are a person of limited means or if you simply prefer uncomplicated investment scenarios, you could choose a single balanced mutual fund and invest all of your assets in the fund. For most investors, this strategy is far too simplistic. While a given mix of investments may be appropriate for a childs college education fund, that mix may not be a good match for long-term goals, such as retirement or estate planning. Likewise, investors with large sums of money often require strategies designed to address more complex needs, such as minimizing capital gains taxes or generating reliable income streams. Furthermore, while investing in a single mutual fund provides diversification among the basic asset classes of stocks, bonds and cash (funds often hold a small amount of cash from which the fees are taken), the opportunities for diversification go far beyond these basic categories.
With stocks, investors can choose a specific style, such as focusing on large, mid or small caps. In each of these areas are stocks categorized as growth or value. Additional choices include domestic and foreign stocks. Foreign stocks also offer sub-categorizations that include both developed and emerging markets. Both foreign and domestic stocks are also available in specific sectors, such as biotechnology and healthcare.
In addition to the variety of equity investment choices, bonds also offer opportunities for diversification. Investors can choose long-term or short-term issues. They can also select high-yield or municipal bonds. Once again, risk tolerance and personal investment requirements will largely dictate investment selection.
While stocks and bonds represent the traditional tools for portfolio construction, a host of alternative investments provide the opportunity for further diversification. Real estate investment trusts, hedge funds, art and other investments provide the opportunity to invest in vehicles that do not necessarily move in tandem with the traditional financial markets. Yet these investments offer another method of portfolio diversification.
Concerns
With so many investments to choose from, it may seem like diversification is an easy objective to achieve, but that sentiment is only partially true. The need to make wise choices still applies to a diversified portfolio. Furthermore, it is possible to over-diversify your portfolio, which will negatively impact your returns. Many financial experts agree that 20 stocks is the optimal number for a diversified equity portfolio. With that in mind, buying 50 individual stocks or four large-cap mutual funds may do more harm than good. Having too many investments in your portfolio doesnt allow any of the investments to have much of an impact, and an over-diversified portfolio (sometimes called diworsification) often begins to behave like an index fund. In the case of holding a few large-cap mutual funds, multiple funds bring the additional risks of overlapping holdings as well as a variety of expenses, such as low balance fees and varying expense ratios, which could have been avoided through a more careful fund selection.
Tools
Investors have many tools to choose from when creating a portfolio. For those lacking time, money or interest in investing, mutual funds provide a convenient option; there is a fund for nearly every taste, style and asset allocation strategy. For those with an interest in individual securities, there are stocks and bonds to meet every need. Sometimes investors may even add rare coins, art, real estate and other off-the-beaten-track investments to their portfolios.
The Bottom Line
Regardless of your means or method, keep in mind that there is no generic diversification model that will meet the needs of every investor. Your personal time horizon, risk tolerance, investment goals, financial means and level of investment experience will play a large role in dictating your investment mix. Start by figuring out the mix of stocks, bonds and cash that will be required to meet your needs. From there, determine exactly which investments to use in completing the mix, substituting traditional assets for alternatives as needed. If you are too overwhelmed by the choices or simply prefer to delegate, there are plenty of financial services professionals available to assist you.
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5 Dumb Things Investors Do With Their Money
The beginning of a new year is usually a good time to reflect on the past in order to make certain resolutions about the coming one. In investing, future success can have little to do with what has worked well in the past. Trying to predict short-term market movements is also generally an investment strategy that can lead you to financial ruin. Keeping these perspectives in mind, below are five of the dumbest things you can do with your money in 2012.
Trade Volatility
Lately, it has been en vogue to consider volatility its own asset class. Trading volatility has become possible through vehicles based off the Chicago Board Options Exchange Market Volatility Index, or VIX for short. A range of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have been created so that investors can make bets on the extent to which the market bounces up and down. There are even ETFs that let investors gain twice the exposure to market volatility, which can be used to make bets on both advances and declines in the market.
The problem, as with most short-term strategies, is developing a compelling trading strategy capable of predicting market volatility. Trading VIX-related indexes may make sense for hedging near-term market fluctuations, but there is simply not going to be any way to predict market moves with any certainty. Major inflection points in the market are missed by the best investors and include the credit crisis, flash crash and latest concerns over sovereign debt levels in Europe. Without a crystal ball, speculating on future market volatility has to be one of the dumbest things investors can do with their money. (To learn more on volatility, read A Simplified Approach To Calculating Volatility.)
Buy Bond Funds
U.S. interest rates have been on a steady decline since around 1980 when they reached the double digits. These days, shorter-term rates are hovering around zero, while the 30-Year Treasury Bond rate is extremely low at roughly 3%. These low rates qualify as all-time lows in many instances, such as for bank Certificate of Deposits (CDs), mortgages and U.S. Treasury rates.
Savvy investors, including Pimcos Bill Gross, have lamented at the low interest rate environment. Sadly enough, Grosss near-term call on the appeal of U.S. Treasuries has left his flagship Pimco Total Return Fund badly lagging its index and an estimated 84% of its peer group. Given the low historical rates, many see it as only a matter of time before rates start to rise. As bond prices move in the opposite direction of yields, there is the potential for sizable losses for many investors in bond funds. At the very least, investors should consider investing in individual bonds to at least ensure the return of their principal at maturity. (For related reading, see Bond Basics.)
Speculate in Currencies
As with trading volatility, speculating in short-term currency movements is another dubious investment strategy. As with most investing, a long-term perspective can be much more meaningful. The Economist magazine issues a Big Mac Index, the origin of which has been described as a light-hearted way to make exchange-rate theory more digestible. Namely, it looks at the price of a Big Mac across the world as a proxy for the extent that currencies are either undervalued or overvalued, relative to each other. Specifically, it states that in the long run, the exchange rate between two countries should move towards the rate that equalizes the prices of an identical basket of goods and services in each country.
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Betting on short-term movements in currencies is a certifiably dumb strategy, as shorter-term fears and emotions can push currency relationships far off from what is reasonable over the long haul. The carry trade, or borrowing in a currency with a low interest rate to invest in one with a higher interest rate, is a case in point. A popular carry trade in recent years involved borrowing in the Japanese yen, and it has unraveled at various times, including during the credit crisis in 2007 and natural disasters earlier this year. As with many short-term market movements, many speculators were caught by surprise. (For more information, read The Big Mac Index: Food For Thought.)
Load Up on Gold
A market strategist at Fifth Third Bank recently suggested that investors in gold implement a gambling strategy that also works in Las Vegas. After a big win or run up in any investment, put your initial capital back in your pocket and continue to play with house money. This minimizes the potential that an investment, such as gold, which has had an amazing price run, stops for a breather or gives up most of its original gains. Investors in residential real estate back in 2005 and 2006 would have been well served with this strategy, and while gold may continue to have a strong run (gold is up more than 150% over the past five years, while the stock market is flat), buying it aggressively at these levels is likely a very foolish trading strategy.
Invest in Social Media
The fact that many social media firms continue to push through initial public offerings (IPOs) in the face of a difficult stock market should serve as a solid indicator that these companies have unknown underlying business appeal over the long haul. Firms including Groupon, LinkedIn, Facebook, Zynga and Twitter may be growing sales rapidly, but they are spending just as much to advertise and boost sales.
Collectively, they have unproven business models, barriers to entry are very low as competing sites are rather easy to develop, and hundreds of millions of dollars of investment capital are pursuing only a handful of good ideas in the space. It all spells a recipe for disaster, for investors looking to invest these days. (For related reading, see How An IPO Is Valued.)
The Bottom Line
Smarter investment choices include buying into blue-chip stocks and even residential real estate in many markets in the U.S. With a long-term perspective, many wise investment choices can be made. The dumber ones generally consist of trying to predict short-term market movements and piling into investments that have had very strong price runs or are extremely popular.
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The Financial Characteristics Of A Successful Company
It is often debated whether a commonly perceived good company, as defined by characteristics, such as competitive advantage, above-average management and market leadership, is also a good company to invest in. While these characteristics of a good company can point toward a good investment, this article will explain how to evaluate the companys financial characteristics to make a final decision. (For further reading on the other characteristics, see 3 Secrets Of Successful Companies.)
Tutorial: Top Stock Picking Strategies
Background
The world of stock picking has evolved. What was once the duty of traditional stock analysts has become an internet phenomenon; stocks are now analyzed by all kinds of people, using all kinds of methods. Furthermore, the speed at which information now travels around the world, has led to increased volatility in stock prices and changes in the way that stocks are evaluated, at least in the short-term. In addition, the advent of self-directed 401(k)s, IRAs and investment accounts, has empowered individual investors to get more involved in the selection of stocks to buy. (Read House Your Retirement With Self-Directed Real Estate IRAs for more on this investment vehicle.)
While the short-term process may have changed, the characteristics of a good company to buy stock in have not. Earnings, return on equity (ROE) and their relative value compared to other companies, are timeless indicators of companies that might be good investments.
Earnings
Earnings are essential for a stock to be considered a good investment. Without earnings, it is difficult to evaluate what a company is worth, except for its book value. While current earnings may have been overlooked during the internet stock boom, investors, whether they knew it or not, were buying stocks in companies that were expected to have earnings in the future. Earnings can be evaluated in any number of ways, but three of the most prominent metrics are growth, stability and quality (Read more about the dotcom boom and other crazes that went wrong in Crashes: What Are Crashes And Bubbles?)
Earnings Growth
Earnings growth is usually described as a percentage, in periods like year-over-year, quarter-over-quarter and month-over-month. The basic premise of earnings growth is that the current reported earnings should exceed the previous reported earnings. While some may say that this is backward-looking and that future earnings are more important, this metric establishes a pattern that can be charted and tells a lot about the companys historic ability to grow earnings. (Read about how earnings can be linked to future growth in PEG Ratio Nails Down Value Stocks.)
While the pattern of growth is important, like all other valuation tools, the relative relationship of the growth rate matters, as well. For example, if a companys long-term earnings growth rate is 5% and the overall market averages 7%, the companys number is not that impressive. On the flip side, an earnings growth rate of 7%, when the market averages 5%, establishes a pattern of growing earnings faster than the market. This measure on its own is only a start, though; the company should then be compared to itsindustry and sector peers. (For related reading, see Five Tricks Companies Use During Earnings Season.)
Earnings Stability
Earnings stability is a measure of how consistently those earnings have been generated. Stable earnings growth typically occurs in industries where growth has a more predictable pattern. Earnings can grow at a rate similar to revenue growth; this is usually referred to as top-line growth and is more obvious to the casual observer. Earnings can also grow, because a company is cutting expenses to add to the bottom line. It is important to verify where the stability is coming from, when comparing one company to another. (For further reading, see Revenue Projections Show Profit Potential.)
Earnings Quality
Quality of earnings factors heavily into the evaluation of a companys status. This process is usually left to a professional analyst, but the casual analyst can take a few steps to determine the quality of a companys earnings. For example, if a company is growing its earnings, but has declining revenues and increasing costs, you can be guaranteed that this growth is an accounting anomaly and will, most likely, not last. (Read more in Earnings: Quality Means Everything.)
Return On Equity
Return on equity (ROE) measures the effectiveness of a companys management to turn a profit on the money that its shareholders have entrusted it with. ROE is calculated as follows:
ROE = Net Income / Shareholders Equity
ROE is the purest form of absolute and relative valuation and can be broken down even further. Like earnings growth, ROE can be compared to the overall market and then to peer groups in sectors and industries. Obviously, in the absence of any earnings, ROE would be negative. To this point, it is also important to examine the companys historical ROE to evaluate its consistency. Just like earnings, consistent ROE can help establish a pattern that a company can consistently deliver to shareholders. (For more on this topic, read Keep Your Eyes On The ROE, Earnings Power Drives Stocks and Profitability Indicator Ratios: Return On Equity.)
While all of these characteristics may lead to a sound investment in a good company, none of the metrics used to value a company should be allowed to stand alone. Dont make the common mistake of overlooking relative comparisons when evaluating whether a company is a good investment. (For further reading, see Peer Comparison Uncovers Undervalued Stocks and Relative Valuation: Dont Get Trapped.)
Where to Find Information
In order to compare information across a broad spectrum, data needs to be gathered. The internet can be a good place to look, but you have to know where to find it. Since the majority of information on the internet is free, the debate is whether to use the free information or subscribe to a service. A rule of thumb is the old adage, You get what you pay for. For example, if you are looking at comparing earnings quality across a market sector, a free website would probably provide just the raw data to compare. While this is a good place to start, it might behoove you to pay for a service that will scrub the data or point out the accounting anomalies, enabling a clearer comparison. (What youre getting isnt easy to determine. Find out how to get your moneys worth in Investment Services Stump Investors.)
The Bottom Line
While there are many ways to determine if a company that is widely regarded as good, is also a good investment, examining earnings and ROE are two of the best ways to draw a conclusion. Earnings growth is important, but its consistency and quality need to be evaluated to establish a pattern. ROE is one of the most basic valuation tools in an analysts arsenal, but should only be considered the first step in evaluating a companys ability to return a profit on shareholders equity. Finally, all of this consideration will be in vain if you dont compare your findings to a relative base. For some companies, a comparison to the overall market is fine, but most should be compared to their own industries and sectors.
The Most Profitable Investing Trends Right Now
The stock market has been very volatile the last few years. While volatility brings risk, but it also brings opportunities for large gains if you are able to spot the right trends early. Here are some of the most profitable investing trends right now. (Growing a small sum poses big challenges. Find out why and learn what you can do about it. Check out Start Investing With Only $1000.)
1. Cloud Computing
A big trend in computing is offloading your local computing and data storage needs into the cloud. Ultimately, the cloud computing movement sees individual computers becoming primarily web terminals used to connect to powerful servers hosting our personal and business data, as well as web-based applications.
There are very few good pure-play companies in cloud computing. Amongst publicly-traded names, one of the leaders in cloud computing is Amazon (AMZN) with its EC2 virtual computing environments. Google (GOOG) is also a major player in the field with its web-based Google Docs service, as well as its Google Apps for Business line. Microsoft (MSFT) is also in the game with its Business Productivity Suite and its Office 365 offering.
2. Tablet PCs
Almost every major computer maker is debuting new tablet computers this year. The tablet segment is expected to grow quickly over the next few years, with one research firm projecting a growth from approximately 4 million units sold in 2010 to 57 million units being sold in 2015. A clear leader in the field is Apple (AAPL), with over 75% of the worldwide market share. In addition, Apples Ipad 2 is expected to start shipping soon.
Another perspective is that Googles Android-based systems may be where the real growth is. In the fourth quarter of 2010, Android-based systems went from 2.3% market share to nearly 21.6%. Unfortunately there is not a good pure-play on Android tablets, since major computer makers sell a wide variety of systems. Investors may want to look into the profit-boosting potential of Dells (DELL) new tablet or HPs (HPQ) TouchSmart series of tablets. Another idea would be to look into Intel (INTC) which makes the processors powering most non-Apple tablets.
3. Solar/Alternative Energy
Alternative sources of energy are gaining in popularity, but as an investor, you have to be careful where you put your money. For example, the Market Vectors Global Alternative Energy ETF (GEX) has delivered a negative-50% return since its inception in 2007. The alternative energy sector includes a lot of yet-unproven technologies and small early-stage firms, which presents a high risk for investors. You may want to be more selective and pick out some of the better individual firms. First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) is one of the biggest names, with a $13 billion market cap; it is up nearly 5000% since 2007. (Setting goals is the first step in determining which investment vehicles are right for you.
4. Streaming Movies
Watching streaming movies and television shows on demand is quickly catching on as a preferred method of media delivery. The old style physical rental chains, like Blockbuster, are fast disappearing from the competitive landscape.
The leader in streaming movies is Netflix (NFLX), which is up approximately 700% over the past five years. New investors may wish to exercise caution, however, since Netflix is currently trading at relatively high valuation levels, and several major companies seem to be eyeing an entrance into the market. The most interesting new entrant to the space is Amazon. Amazon launched its new streaming video service on February 22, 2011 which makes approximately 5,000 titles available on demand for free to Amazon Prime members.
5. Lithium
Commodities as an asset class have seen a tremendous run-up in price over the last several years. One of the more compelling long-term commodity stories is lithium, where increased demand is expected for the metal for use in batteries. Lithium batteries are used in electric cars, so if plug-in electric vehicles catch on, that may be a very large new source of demand.
If you are looking for a broad exposure to lithium, you may be interested in the Global X Lithium ETF (LIT) which is up 30% since its inception in 2010. One of the major individual names in lithium is the Chemical and Mining Company of Chile (SQM) which is up about 350% over the last five years.
The Bottom Line
These investing trends have been very profitable for investors who got in early. If you are considering investing now, conduct careful research to make sure you arent buying in at overvalued levels. Another approach would be to analyze these trends, identify common themes, and try to spot a new trend in the early stages.
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Investing Basics: Flight To Quality
Investing in stocks comes with the prospect of earning big returns, but it can also carry some considerable risks. At times of financial market stress, investors will often flee from risky assets and into investments that are perceived as very safe. Investors will act as a herd and try to rid themselves of any risk in what is termed a flight to quality. Whether or not an investor takes part in the flight, it is important to understand the concept, its indicators and its implications for the market.
What is a flight to quality?
A flight to quality occurs when investors rush to less risky, more liquid investments. Cash and cash equivalents, such as Treasury bills and notes, are key examples of the high-quality assets investors will seek. Investors try to allocate capital away from assets with any perceived risk into the safest possible instruments they can find. Investors usually tend to do this en masse and the effects on the market can be quite drastic. (Knowing what the market is thinking is the best way to determine what it will do next. Read Gauging Major Turns With Psychology.)
The Causes
The causes for a flight to quality are usually quite similar, and normally follow or are concurrent with some level of distress in the financial markets. Fear in the market generally leads investors to question their risk exposure and whether asset prices are justified by their risk/reward profiles.
While every market has its own intricacies, most upswings and downturns are somewhat similar: a sharp downturn follows what, in retrospect, were unjustifiable asset prices. A lot of the time the asset prices were unjustified because many risk factors such as credit problems were being ignored. Investors question the health of companies they are invested in and may decide to take profits from their riskier investments , or even sell at losses in order to move into lower-risk alternatives. Unfortunately, most investors dont get out at the early stage. Many join the flight to quality after things start to turn sour and leave themselves open to even bigger losses. (The option to bolster after-tax stock returns through tax-loss harvesting can reverse investor gloom. Check out Tax-Loss Harvesting For An Unsteady Market.)
Once major issues in the market come to light, the bubble begins to burst and panic occurs in the market as participants reprice risk. Sharp declines in asset prices add to the panic, and force people to flee toward very low-risk assets where they feel their principal is safe, without regard for potential return. A flight to quality is often a pretty abrupt shift for financial markets; as a result, indicators such as fear and shrinking yields on quality assets arent noticed until the flight has already begun.
Negative T-Bill Yield
An extreme example of a flight to quality occurred during the 2008 credit crisis. U.S. T-bills are perceived as some of the highest quality, lowest risk assets. The U.S. government is considered to have no default risk, meaning that Treasuries of any maturity have no risk of principal loss. T-bills are also issued with maturities of 90 days, so the short-term nature makes interest rate risk minimal, and, if held to maturity, non-existent.
T-bill interest rates are largely dependent on the federal funds target rate. When the Federal Reserve consistently lowered rates during 2008, eventually setting the federal funds target rate at a range of 0-0.25% on December 16, 2008, T-bills were certain to follow the trend and return next to nothing to their owners. (For more on T-bills, see the Money Market Tutorial.)
But, could they actually return less than nothing? As the flight to quality drove institutions to shed any sort of risk, the demand for T-bills quickly outpaced supply, even as the Fed was quick to create new supply. After taking a bloodbath in nearly every asset class available, institutions tried to close their books with only the highest, most conservative assets (aka T-bills) on their balance sheets. (Learn about the components of the statement of financial position and how they relate to each other in Reading The Balance Sheet.)
The flood of demand for T-bills, which were already trading at near-zero yields , caused the yield to actually turn negative. On December 9, 2008, investors bought T-bills yielding -0.01%, guaranteeing that they would receive less money three months later. Why would any institution accept that? The main reason is safety. If an institution bought $1 million worth of T-bills at the -0.01% rate, three months later their loss would about to about $25. (For more on what happened, see Why Money Market Funds Break The Buck.)
In a time of market panic and flight to quality, investors will take that very small nominal loss in exchange for the safety of not being exposed to the larger potential losses of other assets. Negative T-bill yields are not characteristic of every time the market experiences a flight to quality, but an extreme case of where demand forces down the yields of high-quality assets. (Learn more in The Fall Of The Market In The Fall Of 2008.)
Dont Panic
A flight to quality is logical to a certain point as investors reprice market risk, but can also have many adverse consequences. First, it can help exacerbate a market downturn. As investors grow fearful of stocks that have experienced sharp declines, they are more inclined to dump them, which helps worsen the decline. Investors suffer again as their fear will prevent the buying of risky assets, which after the declines may be very attractive. The best thing for an investor to keep in mind is to not panic and be the last person selling their stocks and moving into cash when stocks are likely hitting lows.
The consequences read through to businesses also, and can affect the health of the economy, possibly prolonging a downturn or recession. During and following a market crash and flight to quality, businesses may grasp cash similar to investors. This low-risk, fear-driven strategy may prevent businesses from investing in new technologies, machines, and other projects that would help the economy.
Conclusion
Just like with bubbles and crashes, a flight to quality of some degree during a market cycle is pretty much inevitable, and impossible to prevent. As investors become jaded with the risky assets, they will seek out one thing and one thing only: safety.
Is there a way to profit from a flight to quality? Not unless you can predict what everyone else will do and do the opposite. Even then, you need to time it perfectly to avoid being trampled by the herd. It may be hard, but dont panic.
Why Expense Ratios Are Important To Investors
The most valuable pieces of advice ever shared regarding investing of any kind, in ascending order of importance:
1. Fundamental analysis is crucial. Technical analysis is akin to fortune telling by interpreting patterns in tea leaves.
2. Its not a game or a hobby. Spend hours researching an investment when others are spending minutes. Spend days when others are spending hours. Done right, youll still enjoy a stupendous return on your time.
3. You make your money going in.
Its straightforward math, and easy to overlook or dismiss in its simplicity. An overpriced asset is that much harder to gain a return on than an underpriced or properly priced one. Wait for a real estate bubble (or, say, the hoopla surrounding a social networking sites much-anticipated initial public offering) to subside and then buy; yourmargin for error and potential for return should increase correspondingly.
The Price of Management
Were not talking about normal price fluctuations, here, or the inherent unpredictability that comes with almost any investment. Rather, were looking at whats essentially a surcharge on the price of the investment, levied before you buy. For example, take two new cars with the same model, same color and same options. One dealer sells the first vehicle for $22,000, out the door. The other sells the identical vehicle for $22,000, but with a $495 non-negotiable advertising and marketing assessment. Do you need to be told to buy the former? Its like purchasing a residential air filter in Vancouver, Washington (and paying 8% state sales tax) instead of going across the river and buying the same thing in Portland (Oregon levies no sales tax).
This is how it goes with mutual funds, the financial product of choice for most casual and many sophisticated investors. While no two funds are indistinguishable, two similarly constituted funds can come with price tags that differ considerably. Why? Varying expense ratios.
Its understandable that a mutual funds price costs more than the prices of its components. It costs money to create a fund. The fund has to be set up, registered and maintained. The firm that created it and that hired its managers has to be compensated. However, to what tune? The U.S. Securities
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The Value Line Investment Survey
Have you ever opened the statement that your mutual fund company sent to you, then looked at the returns and thought, I could do better than that?
Its an increasingly common feeling, as the returns generated by many equity mutual funds often leave investors frustrated. If you want to try your hand at picking stocks but dont know where to start, the Value Line Investment Survey can help.
The Survey
The Value Line Investment Survey consists of professional research and recommendations on approximately 1,700 stocks. According to Value Line, this represents … approximately 95% of the trading volume of all stocks traded in U.S. markets … The Survey also provides weekly updates on the financial markets, recommended portfolios, developments involving covered securities and special topical reports. For would-be stock pickers, Value Line provides an easy way to start your research.
How to Get Started
Bearing in mind that conducting your own stock research is a time-consuming task, the first step in getting familiar with the tools Value Line offers is to set aside a few hours of reading time. You will need to study the materials closely in order to understand how to use them before you will be ready to invest any cash.
Prior to delving into the literally thousands of pages of stock research at your fingertips, start by reviewing The Complete Guide to Using The Value Line Investment Survey. In roughly 40 pages, this slim volume explains Value Lines ranking system (stocks are rated from one to five in a variety of categories) provides line-by-line explanations for the information provided in each of the research reports. At the back of the booklet is a detailed glossary of investment terms that includes definitions for terms ranging from bond ratings to unit labor costs.
Next, youll want to read, A Quick Study Guide. This guide explains the information included in the two binders that serve as primary research tools for investors using the hard copy version of Value Line. (An online service is also available.) The first binder contains the Summary and Indexand Ratings and Reports. The second binder contains Selection and Opinion. The Quick Study Guide also explains how to use the research to choose stocks for your portfolio.
Binder 1: Summary and Index
Starting with the first binder, the Summary and Index provides an overview of the stock screens Value Line provides, including lists of stocks with the lowest price-to-earnings ratio, the highest dividend yields, the highest annual total revenues and a host of other choices. These screens help investors identify stocks that align well with theirpersonal investment goals. For example, investors seeking income may look for stocks that offer high dividend payments, while investors seeking growth may seek stocks that have the highest appreciation potential. If this is your first effort at picking stocks, this portion of the Survey could be of particular interest to you. In addition, the Summary and Index catalogs all of the covered stocks and provides the page number where the research reports can be found.
It also provides key statistics for the universe of covered stocks, including price-to-earnings ratio, dividend yields and appreciation potential. These statistics provide information about the universe and the direction it has been moving in, as well as providing a baseline for comparing an individual stock against the universe.
The Ratings and Reports section provides stock research on approximately 1,700 companies. The research includes an analysts report that provides a brief overview of the company, a review of its financial health and a recommendation regarding its attractiveness to investors. The data portion of the report provides a detailed statistical analysis, including a price target, transactions by company officials (buying/selling), transactions by institutions, chart of historical returns, sales figures, earnings data and much more. Perhaps the best thing about the research section, particularly if you are a novice, is its ranking system.
Every stock in the survey is ranked on a scale of one to five in three different areas: timeliness, safety and technical. A rank of one denotes stocks that are expected to outperform the rest of the Value Line universe. Timeliness refers to performance expectations for the next six to twelve months. Safety compares the securitys price stability against its peers, and the Technical ranking compares 10 price trends to provide price return potential for a three to six month period. An alphabetical listing of all covered stocks, including key statistics and the ranking numbers, is particularly convenient for investors seeking a specific rating in one or more categories.
Binder 2: Weekly Selection and Opinion
The second binder contains the Weekly Selection and Opinionsection, which includes an economic outlook, market commentary and research on selected topics. Additionally, it includes evaluations of four model portfolios, one targeting short-term growth, one for long-term growth, one for income and, lastly, one for both growth and income. The evaluations highlight both successful selections and failures, which serves as an important reminder.
While the Value Line Investment Survey is a convenient, easy-to-use tool that is particularly helpful to novice investors, investing is not an endeavor that comes with any guarantees. The information you read in the Survey is well researched and impressively packaged, but there is no guarantee that it is correct. Like any other stock research, the insight provided by Value Line does not mean that you cant lose money on an investment that you make using the research. As with all security purchases, let the buyer beware
Using the Data
Taken as a whole, the Value Line Investment survey provides all the tools an investor needs to develop a picture of the current economic landscape, learn about stock analysis and identify securities that are appropriate for a variety of investment objectives. By matching the results of the research with your personal investment needs, you should be able to put together enough information to choose a stock or build an entire portfolio.
How to Get It
The Value Line Investment Survey is available by subscription. A one-year subscription is just over $500 for the online version and just under $600 for the print version. For an additional fee, the firm also offers research on mutual funds, exchange traded funds, convertible securities and more. You can get them all for just under $1,000.
Interestingly, many large libraries receive the print version of the Value Line Investment Survey and provide it to patrons for free. This provides an opportunity to learn about, use and thoroughly evaluate the materials before plunking down the cash for a personal subscription conveniently delivered to your house.
Next Steps
The Value Line Investment Survey is not the only professional research that you can easily access. In fact, it is just the first in a long list of tools. After you have read, researched and mastered the Value Line tool set, you can expand your repertoire of investment tools by using the research reports provided through websites associated with online brokerage accounts. These sites provide access to research reports similar to those offered by Value Line. It is worth noting that reports from various research providers often contradict each other.
The Bottom Line
While these contradictions may be frustrating, think of research as data gathering. You can take in data from as many sources as possible and use that data to formulate your own opinion. Relying on any single source of data is unlikely to be a wise decision, as there are no guarantees that the researchers behind your data source will always make the right call. Of course, if reading these research reports is too time consuming, too scary or too frustrating, you can always buy a mutual fund or hire a professional financial advisor to provide investment recommendations.
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$TMXN now has products on Wal-Mart shelves and about to complete and MJ acquisition!
ILST massive reverse merger news -- new company to be announced soon!
$EPAZ Crypto blockchain mobile apps and cloud business process software, with more than 500 repeat customers. The new Bitcoin Mobile app is a financial technology company that offers unique software that allows consumers to acquire Bitcoin at the point of sale. The consumer can then use the cryptocurrency or digital currency to make a purchase at the store with ease. Epazz technology makes it easy to convert legacy systems into cloud business process software, for which the company then charges an annual subscription fee. Epazz has acquired 11 software companies that have converted or are in the process of converting their legacy software products to cloud software using Epazz technology. Epazz then markets the new cloud-based solutions to new and existing customers.
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$PMCB PharmaCyte Announces Completion of Preparatory Work and Commencement of Testing by Eurofins of Cells from Its Master Cell Bank PMCB
PharmaCyte’s Chief Executive Officer, Kenneth L. Waggoner, stated, “We are pleased to see the completion of the preparatory work so soon after the completion of the MCB. We are excited that testing of cells from the MCB is underway. Given the work done to date, our selection of Eurofins to perform our “cell work” has proven beneficial to the work PharmaCyte has ahead of it. We are eagerly awaiting the day we’re able to ship vials of our MCB to Austrianova for encapsulation.”
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