Short Term Trading Member Forum

[jglider]

gotta love the gunslinger moves this past month. This move could give us confirmation of our counts going into July. Next few weeks should settle it.

[jglider]

whipsaw setups just keep coming, probably will for several weeks as was suggested a few weeks ago. Probably stop laying gunslinger about the time for spring chores. POIs are lined up.

[jglider]

Several months ago I was asked about the national debt and how it would/could effect the markets, if ever. My response then was I had not worked on the idea but felt it would be a cyclical event. Yup sure looks that way.......... Contributors and those that work with me are getting these thoughts as I finalize them...... So again it pays to work together.

[jglider]

I'm sure some will take this the wrong way.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, but since no one wants to talk markets or only get what they can for doing nothing...........................

All processes involved including manufacturing, mining, processing, construction of an EV infrastructure, EV devices, and EV vehicles should derive its energy source solely from solar and wind generation. anything else is hypocritical.

In reality I'm looking to buy an EV SUV later this year. Don't do much distance driving, it would be something I'll probably die with. Every home here including my shop has solar to some extent.

Around the farms I use a horse.

[jglider]

basic materials continue to out perform, probably will for a while, the next dump should be telling.

NG *might* be setting up.

[jglider]

As expected, when we got into Feb things would get whippy and my schedule allowed me to do some gun slinger moves. After the next dip, which should last several days we will soon know if the drop is impulsive or corrective. The gang knows my thoughts as to which it'll be and will know for sure at the next POI.. Regardless I'll soon go back to more easy/slow money trades again and enjoy life while others try to copy work from a few hit and missers..

[jglider]

another nice whipsaw trade. Doubt if few would have believed if I told them what was coming, or will as contributors get the whole scoop, why when what ,,,,,,, ya

[jglider]

they wont believe it if I told em' but,,,,,,,,,,,,.

Find it very revealing, some will ask a question but no follow up or thanks to any response. That behavior has no interest with me and is part of the reason why I use hints and riddles, which a few days ago I made a big one..

But if I just give the trades what have you learned? nothing!!

[jglider]

copper, BASIC MATERIALS POW pays to work together. s/t trading the past few weeks has been great

[jglider]

For those that try to follow hit or miss cycle EXperts, this is a condensed writing from a guy I worked with for several years. He learned like many the hard way until it was realized that hard work pays off.......

.Cycle analysis has taught me that there are no fixed cycles that always come to a trough or crest in an exact, repetitive, and timely fashion. It’s like our own daily cycle in life. I do not always wake up at the same time. Permanent cycles have a specific range in which they peak or bottom out, but their actual length can vary. These cycles can expand, contract, or invert, and some cycles are more susceptible to these changes than other. I have learned that permanent cycles may peak and bottom only at certain times…

So I agree with most of it. The inversion idea I don't. We have been able to find with 80% accuracy where these (inversions) flip. There is a cadence there too.

I'm done harping on this. Again, I'll share some things if interest and contributions are shown. The private group knows the important time periods to be watching 3- 4 months in advance.

Copying what others think will teach you nothing. It's a wasted effort and does nothing to increase your knowledge. Working together however, can be very rewarding.

[jglider]

so back to the so called cycle experts. back post.

If you followed this guy you'd be flat broke. He was calling for a big oil low that was a s/t hi. PERIOD. It's all within the underlying indicators. When oil does top these guys will probably be yelling to the moon. At the next big low, no one will buy it. We already have the general time frame laid out.

Have said many times, best to do your own work or follow one with a proven track record, not these flip of the coin hit and miss guys.

Want the good stuff? Get busy!

[jglider]

for sometime and I had mentioned this oh maybe a year ago, oil has been the easiest sector to trade. Note I said trade. Still is and probably will be for several more months. However we do have another item creeping in for easy trading% not easy money, easy money is something we jump in for months at a time.

contributors get the whole scoop

[jglider]

so many bears are wondering what hit them today/ lol.. But we dont care as we have had an easy money play in the works for some time. No one inquires or gives feedback so it'll remain an insider play.

[jglider]

another big whipsaw, having a ball s/t trading again.

[jglider]

so we got the expected whipsaw. Ya figured when we hit late Jan I'd be active for a while. Should last for several weeks.

401ks still holding but they have an alert as when to lighten up depending on ones risk tolerance. Should have the next buy point determined partially on the next few weeks actions.

[jglider]

Talked about oil and mid Dec. Ya

Those cycle wanna bees out there will mislead more than help. They keep moving the goal posts when things don't work....

Underlying indicators tell the true story. Too bad most dont want to do a little work to succeed. We also caught the late dec wiggle, hmmmmm

[jglider]

no sell signal at the last marker so we look to the next 2. One of them should hit if only for more whipsawing.

[jglider]

Confirmation on top of confirmation of projections and more, they just keep coming. After 4 months of everything going to plan, a slip must be due.

The up coming week should be a key week. If it is then the next 2-3 months or so will require lots of patience and as I speculated several weeks ago by late Jan I'll be more active with my accounts..

The countdown begins,

[jglider]

Exactly 2 years ago I said a traders market like few have seen is here. Now 2 years later we finally smacked the hi from just over 2 years ago.

I've tried to tell some what a sideways market means. ya well why waste any more time on that,

Today/Mon is the first of what I think are 4 important time periods for the first half of 2024. Those that work with us know the other 3.

[jglider]

looks like I stepped back in at the right moment. Won't be posting all the s/t wiggles due my schedule not always being timely and lack of participation. Option trades can be misleading.

Still expected to be whippy a bit longer.

401Ks are doing fine and sleeping well at night..

[jglider]

3 weeks ago said lots of whipsawing to come, oh ya got a while to go,

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 2 SPY Jan 09 2024 469.0 Put Limit 2.92 -- -- 15:02:09 01/05/24
Filled Sell to Close 1 SPY Jan 05 2024 473.0 Put Limit 6.10 -- -- 15:00:59 01/05/24

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Jan 05 2024 473.0 Put Limit 4.55 -- -- 16:08:15 01/03/24

[BlissBull]

Filled Sell to Close 4 SPY Jan 05 2024 471.0 Call Market 1.20 -- --

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Jan 05 2024 471.0 Call Limit 2.95 -- -- 14:01:07 01/02/24

[MrFinnie]

#AINEWS: #VERS:CA #VRSSF #VERSESAI Finds a New Route to AGI and Sends an Open Letter Invitation to OpenAI for Collaboration

https://www.verses.ai/press-2/verses-identifies-new-path-to-agi-and-extends-invitation-to-openai-for-collaboration-via-open-letter

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Jan 05 2024 471.0 Call Market 5.31 -- -- 11:50:05 12/29/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 2 SPY Jan 05 2024 471.0 Call Limit 5.95 -- -- 10:55:24 12/29/23
Filled Sell to Close 2 SPY Jan 02 2024 482.0 Put Market 6.36 -- -- 10:51:05 12/29/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Sell to Close 1 SPY Jan 02 2024 468.0 Call Limit 9.50 -- -- 09:57:29 12/28/23
Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Jan 02 2024 482.0 Put Limit 5.12 -- -- 10:00:25 12/28/23
Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Jan 02 2024 482.0 Put Limit 5.12 -- -- 10:00:25 12/28/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Jan 02 2024 468.0 Call Limit 8.19 -- -- 14:12:06 12/27/23
Filled Sell to Close 1 SPY Jan 02 2024 482.0 Put Limit 6.80 -- -- 14:10:03 12/27/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Jan 02 2024 482.0 Put Limit 6.29 -- -- 15:40:27 12/26/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Sell to Close 3 SPY Dec 22 2023 469.0 Call Market 4.82 -- -- 15:02:38 12/22/23

[jglider]

probably a lot of head scratching yesterday and will be done the next few weeks. No surprise here. PIs never lie and cycles are seldom wrong. Lots of whipsawing to come.

Our next ez money trade is lining up, well actually it has been for a few weeks. But if no original thoughts are given it'll be mentioned after the fact, again.

merry x-mas happy new year blah blah blah

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Dec 22 2023 469.0 Call Limit 6.13 -- -- 11:46:52 12/19/23
Filled Buy to Open 2 SPY Dec 22 2023 469.0 Call Limit 6.13 -- -- 11:46:52 12/19/23
Filled Sell to Close 1 SPY Dec 19 2023 465.0 Call Limit 9.00 -- -- 11:36:43 12/19/23
Filled Sell to Close 1 SPY Dec 19 2023 463.0 Call Limit 11.09 -- -- 11:35:45 12/19/23

[jglider]

This time of year I always take a week or 2 and keep the family happy. Kids, grand kids and now a couple great GK to occupy my lap. Sit around do nothing even though I have a chitload of work lined up. Oh well Jan is coming and it'll be back to normal. Been giving the grand kids horse back rides, that gives them a blast. Seems like the old guys enjoy it too, easier than pulling a wagon load of rock or whatever.

Free time bores the hell out of me so last night I did a run around the various sites I usually visit 2-3 times a month. Strikes me how the bears are piling on and the bulls keep moving the goal posts out. Seems like very few really see the big picture.

Got a PM about the power indicators. Ya well one time I had offered the keys to the system to determine how the underlying issues/power indicators work. But was told it takes too much work. Ya it requires an hour or so every night. Once you start doing the math it all falls in place. Now that secret will remain in the family. Sorry,

I'll bet a buck those that complain about doing a little work on their own spend more than an hour each day trying to find that nugget that'll them what's what. More time is likely wasted in chasing around following all the cycle wana bees than if they did it on their own. ``sigh`` you can lead a horse to water but you can't make him drink.

[jglider]

Have said many times, The Fed is reactive not pro-active." But 2 years ago or so I said they need to rip off the bandaid.

This is a gas.

1. Nov. 1: Getting inflation to 2% "has a long way to go"
2. Nov. 21: "No indication of rate cuts at last meeting"
3. Dec. 1: Talks about rate cuts are "premature"
4. Dec. 1: "We are prepared to tighten policy further" if needed
5. Dec. 13: Rates have peaked, 3 rate cuts coming in 2024
6. Dec. 15: Fed "isn't really talking about rate cuts"

[jglider]

Nov 19 I did something I seldom do and have no further interest in which was comment on someone's work outside the group. However, sub $70 oil was mentioned. Said give it 3 weeks and we'll see. Since no interest was shown I offered no further ideas.

3 weeks later we made the last dump, went into a basing period and up. Yes markers/POIs can be that accurate.

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPDR S&P500 ETF TRUST CALL December 465 Limit 4.76 -- -- 10:01:57 12/15/23
Filled Sell to Close 137 VALE Dec 15 2023 15.0 Call Limit 0.04 -- -- 09:54:16 12/15/23

[jglider]

In early Dec I felt the upcoming s/t swing would have most leaning the wrong way. I think many were looking for a mid month dump. Ya well here again pure cycle theory without the use of the underlying power indicators had many missing out or loosing as they were shorting or they kept moving the goal posts out.

Been a good year for slow traders. Next year will be equally rewarding for those that understand what's going on. But 24 will bring some interesting twists that few will understand when it comes to the relationship between general equalities, commodities and currencies.. Had mentioned a target date where I'll be getting real active again, at that point the unusual relationship should become obvious and possibly hold for 75% of the year.

gl

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Dec 19 2023 463.0 Call Limit 8.00 -- -- 14:13:22 12/14/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 4 VALE Dec 15 2023 15.0 Call Limit 0.22 -- -- 13:31:45 12/06/23
Filled Buy to Open 4 VALE Dec 15 2023 15.0 Call Limit 0.22 -- -- 13:31:45 12/06/23
Filled Buy to Open 1 VALE Dec 15 2023 15.0 Call Limit 0.22 -- -- 13:31:45 12/06/23
Filled Buy to Open 1 VALE Dec 15 2023 15.0 Call Limit 0.22 -- -- 13:31:45 12/06/23
Filled Buy to Open 1 VALE Dec 15 2023 15.0 Call Limit 0.22 -- -- 13:31:45 12/06/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 120 VALE Dec 15 2023 15.0 Call Limit 0.29 -- -- 10:12:02 12/06/23
Filled Sell to Close 2 SPY Dec 06 2023 448.0 Call Limit 9.57 -- -- 10:07:26 12/06/23
Filled Sell to Close 2 SPY Dec 06 2023 448.0 Call Limit 9.57 -- -- 10:07:26 12/06/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 6 VALE Dec 15 2023 15.0 Call Limit 0.56 -- -- 09:31:27 12/04/23

[RCKS]

Two more Tweets from CyclesFan looking out longer term on the SPX

For a better visual of what I'm talking about here are the 2 cyclical bull markets in the 1970s that were comprised of 3 waves. The B wave bottomed at the 20 month MA in both cases. pic.twitter.com/f7s0pHqOjS

— CyclesFan (@CyclesFan) December 2, 2023

[jglider]

With the S.W Pacific under a tsunami warning, some talk I've seen suggests the same for the markets. Then we have "to the moon: talkers. Gesh this traders theme I alerted to almost 2 years ago is becoming like politics in this country. Extremes on both sides and only a few that see the true picture. I'll bet in a couple years it'll get louder and more opinionated just like the swamp in DC. But the louder it gets at some point one side will be right.

Meanwhile traders with a good cycle system along with realizing what is under the hood will continue to enjoy the monthly swings as well as the shorter ones./////////////// Very much like a well tuned race team. It takes more than a good driver or a good car, it's a team effort and those the work together will prosper together. Those that refuse or can't work with others or share ideas much like we see here and on other sites will continue to play for scraps.

The upcoming s/t swings will have many leaning very hard the wrong way that when it sets up another monthly play few will see it coming, much as the past few years have been doing.

About a year and a half ago I was loosing interest in posting as no one else would put any effort in this. A few idiots thought it was no big deal as they were following others that have at best a hit and miss record. They'd ignore my warnings and then say never trade that again due their own stupidity. Rather then further waste my time and bandwidth, for now I'll just wish everyone a Merry X-Mas. until,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

[jglider]

S&P 500 close on 11/30/23: 4,567.80
S&P 500 close on 11/30/21: 4,567.00

Still don't think it's a traders market? For almost 2 years I've been pounding the table on this theme.

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 3 SPY Dec 06 2023 448.0 Call Market 9.27 -- -- 15:59:49 11/30/23
Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Dec 06 2023 448.0 Call Market 9.22 -- -- 15:59:49 11/30/23
Filled Sell to Close 4 SPY Dec 06 2023 447.0 Call Market 9.44 -- -- 15:52:04 11/30/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Sell to Close 1 SPY Dec 01 2023 446.0 Call Limit 9.10 -- -- 15:23:45 11/29/23
Filled Sell to Close 1 SPY Dec 01 2023 446.0 Call Limit 9.10 -- -- 15:23:45 11/29/23
Filled Sell to Close 1 SPY Dec 01 2023 446.0 Call Limit 9.10 -- -- 15:23:44 11/29/23
Filled Sell to Close 1 SPY Dec 01 2023 446.0 Call Limit 9.10 -- -- 15:23:44 11/29/23
Filled Buy to Open 3 SPY Dec 06 2023 447.0 Call Limit 8.69 -- -- 15:23:45 11/29/23
Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Dec 06 2023 447.0 Call Limit 8.70 -- -- 15:23:45 11/29/23

[jglider]

One issue with pure cycle work is it doesn't tell you what is going on underneath the hood. The PI's usually keep you out of trouble with the exception of a vst wiggle.

Last weeks action was telling and it was expressed a pullback would keep the show alive. We got a dip early in the week so we move on to our next marker/POI.

Some are confusing the July hi with the all time highs of 481x. Shortly after the all the time in Jan 2022 I said a traders market like few have seen is upon us. Some thought I was nuts and you loonies can just keep thinking that. We'll see who's nuts.

Don't let this distract you from the fact that in 1966, Al Bundy scored four touchdowns in a single game while playing for the Polk High School Panthers in the city championship game versus Andrew Johnson High School, including the game-winning touchdown in the final seconds against his old nemesis, Bubba "Spare Tire" Dixon.

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 2 SPY Dec 01 2023 446.0 Call Limit 9.17 -- -- 09:30:00 11/27/23
Filled Buy to Open 2 SPY Dec 01 2023 446.0 Call Limit 9.17 -- -- 09:30:00 11/27/23