Short Term Trading Member Forum

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 7 PBR Aug 18 2023 14.0 Call Limit 0.53 10:42:42 07/21/23

Filled Buy to Open 7 PBR Aug 18 2023 14.0 Call Limit 0.53 10:42:42 07/21/23

[jglider]

Last year I was told if I said something you should listen. the very person that said this ignorned most of my warnings and buy points. So if anyone forgot why I got real scarce, well there was part of the reason. Why waste my time?.

Lots of people have got on me for my way of making you think. Trades being placed on a silver platter have not been given for over a year.. If you can't think or are too lazy to do any work, then it's too damn bad.

Got lots of traders hoping for this and hoping for that. Well, you can crap in one hand and wish in the other, guess which gets filled.

Some of the messages I get are hilarious. Some calling for 7K and other for 2.5K in almost the same time frame. Must be more hope.

When you have a cyclical system that WORKS there is no hope. Confirmation brings the next POI into play and the chain continues.

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 6 PBR Jul 21 2023 14.0 Call Limit 0.13 14:52:14 07/14/23
Filled Buy to Open 9 PBR Jul 21 2023 14.0 Call Limit 0.13 14:52:14 07/14/23

[jglider]

Late Dec I said the yearly patterns would change. Case in point, last year March was a big hi, this year a low. Last year mid year low, now up into mid year, think the inverse pattern will last? Hmmmmmm an old saying goes like when everyone knows something only a very few really do.

Cycles still rule,

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 52 PBR Jul 21 2023 14.0 Call Limit 0.85 11:22:12 06/15/23
Filled Buy to Open 26 PBR Jul 21 2023 14.0 Call Limit 0.85 11:22:12 06/15/23
Filled Buy to Open 16 PBR Jul 21 2023 14.0 Call Limit 0.85 11:22:12 06/15/23
Filled Sell to Close 28 PBR Jul 21 2023 13.0 Call Limit 1.46 11:14:31 06/15/23
Filled Sell to Close 27 PBR Jul 21 2023 13.0 Call Limit 1.46 11:14:31 06/15/23
Filled Sell to Close 1 SWN Jun 16 2023 5.0 Call Market 0.43 11:11:21 06/15/23
Filled Sell to Close 1 SWN Jun 16 2023 5.0 Call Market 0.43 11:11:21 06/15/23
Filled Sell to Close 1 SWN Jun 16 2023 5.0 Call Market 0.44 11:11:22 06/15/23
Filled Sell to Close 1 SWN Jun 16 2023 5.0 Call Market 0.43 11:11:21 06/15/23

[jglider]

Late Jan the 401Kers were patting themselves on the back for hanging in there. But had said at that time higher prices were likely. YUP had only a few been more ambitious they would have done well too.

As mentioned a few weeks ago timing of my posts isn't always meaningful. I wont repeat this, got a PM about it. Rain day so I had a few minutes.

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 55 PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA CALL July 13 Limit 0.90 09:35:08 06/13/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Sell to Close 17 PBR Jun 16 2023 11.0 Call Limit 3.00 15:53:49 06/12/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 2 SWN Jun 16 2023 5.0 Call Limit 0.38 11:31:13 06/07/23

Filled Buy to Open 2 SWN Jun 16 2023 5.0 Call Limit 0.38 11:31:13 06/07/23

[BlissBull]

06/05/2023 12:58:30 Sold to Close 13 PBR Jun 09 2023 10.5 Call @ 1.88

06/05/2023 13:04:40 Bought 17 PBR Jun 16 2023 11.0 Call @ 1.39

[jglider]

Not counting 2 POIs where the slow traders raised some cash and the late dec and mid march entries, guessing they made about 1K points in the past 8 months, think they made about 800 spoo points since our Oct main entry for those that just hung on.

How's your 401K style doing? Ya

when the next Oct/Dec/March lo comes the permas will again be bragging about their big short positions.

Ignore the system at your own risk. Contributors have the next big POI.

[jglider]

Had said mid May was another setup point. The gang continues to eat this market alive.

Last weeks whipsaw was timely and has all but confirmed the next 2 major key points for the year..

It'll be fun.

Never forget those that fell in our defense.

[jglider]

Debt ceiling noise, what a joke. Follow the cycles and ignore the noise.

We don't have a deal
We are making progress
We haven't made progress
We are far apart
We are close
We are optimistic
We are pessimistic
We are optimistic again
We can have a deal tonight
We can have a deal tomorrow
We will have a deal before the deadline

[jglider]

Nice pop since my last post. Market sprung right on cue. Bears ae going crazy, bulls are laughing.

My comments will not be timely for a while.

Those that have the markers can continue to follow them. All important swing points have worked very well since late Dec.

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 3 PBR Jun 09 2023 10.5 Call Limit 1.42 -- -- 12:19:42 05/17/23

Filled Buy to Open 3 PBR Jun 09 2023 10.5 Call Limit 1.42 -- -- 12:19:42 05/17/23

[BlissBull]

05/16/2023 09:43:24 Bought 2 PBR Jun 09 2023 10.5 Call @ 162

05/16/2023 09:43:24 Bought 4 PBR Jun 09 2023 10.5 Call @ 1.62

05/15/2023 09:30:03 Bought 1 PBR Jun 9 2023 10.5 Call @ 1.4

05/12/2023 15:42:39 Sold 1 SPY May 12 2023 410.0 Call @ 1

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY May 12 2023 410.0 Call Limit 4.05 -- -- 15:24:44 05/10/23

Filled Sell to Close 1 SPY May 10 2023 409.0 Call Limit 3.90 -- -- 15:20:24 05/10/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Sell to Close 2 SPY May 05 2023 410.0 Call Limit 2.90 -- -- 15:39:10 05/05/23

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY May 10 2023 409.0 Call Limit 5.32 -- -- 15:39:10 05/05/23

[jglider]

Fed staying on track as was projected last year. When we still had discussion it was revealed ripping the bandaid off was seen and the Fed would stay active but start to ease off going into mid 2023. Now if those that always sit with their hands out had any clue how I determined this, they'd make a small fortune.

Is the Fed done or has a new wrinkle appeared? Insiders know what the bond market is signaling. I've said many times the bond traders are the smartest traders on the planet.

So important as it fits fairly close to the major cycles too.

All goes back to looking under the hood to eliminate the surprises. But ya, sorry it does require some effort.

Spring work going into full gear today

[BlissBull]

Filled Sell to Close 2 SPY May 02 2023 407.0 Call Limit 4.10 -- -- 15:57:25 05/02/23

Filled Buy to Open 2 SPY May 05 2023 410.0 Call Limit 3.90 -- -- 15:57:26 05/02/23

[jglider]

the permas were calling April the blood bath month. Boy some have their cycles backwards. We'll have another date with destiny like some of the past highs the past 16 months, when it comes they' wont see it arrive but after it hits they'll be saying I told you so. Meanwhile EZ money plays and traders continue to make money.

We have identified 6 major POIs for 2023 with early Feb and mid March the first 2 hits being near spot on.

Get busy,,,, Nearly 16 months ago I called for a traders theme like few have seen, it's far from over.

[BlissBull]

Filled Sell to Close 2 SPY Apr 27 2023 406.0 Call Limit 4.00 -- -- 13:16:14 04/27/23

Filled Buy to Open 2 SPY May 02 2023 407.0 Call Limit 4.30 -- -- 13:19:41 04/27/23

[jglider]

and if I had posted on the 16th that the 17-19 would bring in a s/t swing hi would it had mattered or would it also be ignored? Think I know the answer as no one wants to stick their neck out.

The next swing hi marker will be real fun.

Spring chores going into full gear next week.

[jglider]

Consumer staples, what a run since mid March. Too bad most try for the big hit and run plays on other issues that all they really do is frustrate themselves. Knowing cycles, EZ money plays allow you to ignore the noise and go fishin' or whatever.. Should have another dandy in mid May.

[BlissBull]

Filled Sell to Close 2 SPY Apr 21 2023 405.0 Call Limit 8.70 -- -- 13:30:00 04/20/23

Filled Buy to Open 2 SPY Apr 27 2023 406.0 Call Limit 8.77 -- -- 13:30:00 04/20/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Sell to Close 2 SPY Apr 17 2023 404.0 Call Limit 8.00 -- -- 13:31:50 04/17/23

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Apr 21 2023 405.0 Call Limit 7.84 -- -- 13:31:50 04/17/23

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Apr 21 2023 405.0 Call Limit 7.84 -- -- 13:31:50 04/17/23

[jglider]

Market goes up a few days the bulls are yelling to the moon. Market goes down a few days bears tell everyone how stupid they are. GESH what a bunch of morons on both sides.

Cheerleaders need confirmation. They need support from who ever had a hot hand for a few days to feel like they are on the right side. Few do anything anything for themselves.. Always a couple making calls while others hang on their words regardless, then a big oops and they switch.

Crying a and whining will get nothing. Working together will.

TD 50 system still on track for those that have it. Upcoming markers have been sent out.

[BlissBull]

Filled Sell to Close 2 SPY Apr 12 2023 403.0 Call Limit 8.40 -- -- 13:32:29 04/12/23

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Apr 17 2023 404.0 Call Limit 8.19 -- -- 13:32:29 04/12/23

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Apr 17 2023 404.0 Call Limit 8.19 -- -- 13:32:29 04/12/23

[jglider]

Now the whining is about this being a data dependent market. Hey fools, it has been data driven for 250 years!!!!!!

All one needs to do is look under the hood as it's as plain as the nose on your face. But many still don't understand real world data that is available to everyone, ya sorry lefties a little effort is needed versus sitting on your ass waiting for what the government spoon feeds you well after the fact.

Cycles will tell you a lot, but understanding what's lurking under the hood will fine tune it

Nice little ice fishin run to Canada before we start the spring activities.

Happy Easter

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Apr 12 2023 403.0 Call Limit 7.39 -- -- 15:01:44 04/06/23

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Apr 12 2023 403.0 Call Limit 7.39 -- -- 15:01:44 04/06/23

Filled Sell to Close 2 SPY Apr 06 2023 402.0 Call Limit 7.00 -- -- 15:00:17 04/06/23

[jglider]

Goin' fishin'.
The TD 50 model remains active. Those that contributed or work with me know the outlook.

Some say the current whipsawing makes it impossible to trade. Many blaming it on news items. Have said before news usually fits the cycles. NO mystery here.

last oil trade working great, again news fits the cycles.

[BlissBull]

Filled Sell to Close 1 SPY Mar 31 2023 393.0 Call Limit 14.00 -- -- 11:52:26 03/31/23

Filled Buy to Open 2 SPY Apr 06 2023 402.0 Call Limit 6.66 -- -- 11:52:26 03/31/23

[jglider]

World has been bearish since mid March. Those with the TD 50 system knew better. Lots more surprises are coming for permas.

Many are still blaming things on Russia, computers or the market is being manipulated. Manipulation happens every time one makes a trade, fool.

Cycles rule, fool.

Late last year I started to ignore the s/t whips and do everything with my EZ money plays and big pic outlooks. Working more with those that have 401Ks or are not concerned about the s/t wiggles. This has been relaxed and very rewarding for me and those that worked with me.

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 1 SPY Mar 31 2023 393.0 Call Limit 6.36 -- -- 15:43:31 03/27/23

Filled Sell to Close 2 QQQ Mar 27 2023 306.0 Call Limit 3.00 -- -- 15:38:35 03/27/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 2 QQQ Mar 27 2023 306.0 Call Limit 5.00 -- -- 14:56:06 03/24/23

Filled Sell to Close 2 QQQ Mar 24 2023 305.0 Call Limit 4.70 -- -- 14:54:45 03/24/23

[jglider]

Since Sep PMs has remained the easiest item to trade.

[jglider]

Was told many are not able to take positions due to the volatility of the bond market. FWIW the s/t swing points are working as well as ever..

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 2 QQQ Mar 24 2023 305.0 Call Limit 7.14 -- -- 15:59:16 03/21/23

Filled Sell to Close 2 QQQ Mar 22 2023 316.0 Put Limit 6.32 -- -- 15:56:16 03/21/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 2 QQQ Mar 22 2023 316.0 Put Limit 12.43 -- -- 14:56:04 03/17/23

Filled Sell to Close 5 PBR Mar 17 2023 9.5 Call Limit 0.36 -- -- 14:53:28 03/17/23

Filled Sell to Close 5 PBR Mar 17 2023 9.5 Call Limit 0.36 -- -- 14:53:28 03/17/23

Filled Sell to Close 2 QQQ Mar 17 2023 292.0 Call Limit 11.70 -- -- 14:52:20 03/17/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 3 PBR Mar 17 2023 9.5 Call Limit 0.52 09:30:04 03/16/23

Filled Buy to Open 2 PBR Mar 17 2023 9.5 Call Limit 0.52 09:30:04 03/16/23

Filled Buy to Open 3 PBR Mar 17 2023 9.5 Call Limit 0.52 09:30:05 03/16/23

Filled Buy to Open 2 PBR Mar 17 2023 9.5 Call Limit 0.52 09:30:05 03/16/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Sell to Close 1 QQQ Mar 15 2023 283.0 Call Limit 14.00 11:07:18 03/14/23

Filled Buy to Open 2 QQQ Mar 17 2023 292.0 Call Limit 6.60 11:07:18 03/14/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 1 QQQ Mar 15 2023 283.0 Call Limit 8.54 10:16:01 03/13/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Sell to Close 1 QQQ Mar 22 2023 294.0 Put Market 8.73 14:51:34 03/10/23

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 1 QQQ Mar 22 2023 294.0 Put Limit 9.27 13:26:26 03/10/23

Filled Sell to Close 1 QQQ Mar 13 2023 289.0 Call Limit 2.90 13:18:05 03/10/23

Filled Sell to Close 1 QQQ Mar 13 2023 289.0 Call Limit 2.91 13:18:05 03/10/23

Filled Sell to Close 1 QQQ Mar 13 2023 289.0 Call Limit 2.91 13:18:05 03/10/23

[jglider]

Those that have the TD-50 model can continue to follow it as it has been damn good.. This was given to all that worked with me or the guys.

[BlissBull]

03/09/2023 15:31:36 Bought 3 QQQ Mar 13 2023 289.0 Call @ 5.29 -1,588.98

[BlissBull]

03/09/2023 15:19:26 Sold 3 QQQ Mar 10 2023 288.0 Call @ 5.5 1,648.00

[BlissBull]

Filled Buy to Open 3 QQQ Mar 10 2023 288.0 Call Limit 11.86 -- -- 12:49:45 03/07/23

Filled Sell to Close 1 QQQ Mar 08 2023 280.0 Call Limit 19.00 -- -- 12:47:23 03/07/23

Filled Sell to Close 1 QQQ Mar 08 2023 281.0 Call Limit 18.00 -- -- 12:47:23 03/07/23

[BlissBull]

03/02/2023 09:48:33 Bought 1 QQQ Mar 08 2023 280.0 Call @ 10.25 -1,023.66

03/02/2023 09:40:55 Bought 1 QQQ Mar 08 2023 281.0 Call @ 9.04 -904.66

03/02/2023 09:30:27 Sold 2 QQQ Mar 02 2023 298.0 Put @ 9.23 1,844.67

[BlissBull]

Filled Sell to Close 1 SPY Mar 02 2023 410.0 Put Limit 11.50 -- -- 11:19:56 02/27/23

Filled Buy to Open 2 QQQ Mar 02 2023 298.0 Put Limit 5.03 -- -- 11:19:56 02/27/23