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Posted by: $heff Date: Sunday, December 27, 2009 1:36:16 AM
In reply to: None Post # of 20754
Where to Invest 2010
http://www.smartmoney.com/investing/stocks/where-to-invest-2010/
Heading into 2010 most financial analysts and investment pros seem to agree on two things: We’re no longer on the brink of another Great Depression, and there won’t be another 60 percent surge in the stock market anytime soon. Beyond that, things get a little hazy.
Barely a year after the stock market and the economy pulled back from the brink of collapse, there’s no consensus about what might be next. Some fund managers are upbeat (see our Annual Investor Roundtable on page 50), while others fret about everything from the dollar to higher taxes. As of now, many analysts say stocks overall are neither particularly expensive (the bear market took care of that) nor very cheap (the 2009 rally has seen to that). This means stocks need to get pushed by something from the outside, and many experts believe there’s no more important pusher these days, for good or for ill, than the overall health of the U.S. economy.
The idea that the fortunes of the broader economy heavily influence stock prices is one many professional investors don’t normally want to believe. These so-called bottom-up investors say a good stock will shine under any circumstances. And there have been many years when the economy seemed disconnected from the stock market. In 1991 the U.S. gross domestic product, the broad measure of the nation’s economy, fell 0.2 percent, but stocks went up. In 2002 the economy rose at a 1.8 percent clip, while stocks lost more than 20 percent. But living through a market meltdown has made even rough-and-tumble investors rethink their investment philosophies. David Einhorn, who manages about $5 billion as the president of Greenlight Capital, used to scoff at thinking about data such as unemployment levels or factory utilization rates before making a trade. Then home builder MDC Holdings, one of his picks, tanked in the housing bust. Now before he buys or bets against a stock, he pays attention to what the broader economy is doing.
The problem, of course, is that no one knows which way the economy is headed. Indeed, there’s a cottage industry among analysts and pundits to describe its direction using shapes (V-shaped, W-shaped and square-root-shaped are recent favorites). James Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Wells Capital Management, thinks the economy is on the mend. “We are on the flip side of fear,” says Paulsen. On the flip side of Paulsen is Jerry Jordan, who is buying stocks that may fare well if the economy deteriorates. Jordan, who runs the $118 million Jordan Opportunity fund, says he can’t be optimistic when he reads reports showing a sluggish manufacturing sector. Then there’s the “new normal” crowd of analysts, who believe the U.S. economy will, at best, plod along. Much as we did in our “Where to Invest” story last January, we’re hedging our bets. And since there are three basic ways the economy could go in 2010, there are three ways to approach investing. Here are stocks that can capitalize under each scenario.
The Recession Returns
The Premise: Unemployment is high, consumers are still loaded with debt, the government’s budget deficit is soaring—all ingredients for a return to a recession, some analysts contend. The best stock defense in a recession, say some pros, is to go with big companies that sell goods worldwide and don’t necessarily need an economic rebound to make money.
Goldcorp (GG: 40.50, +0.47, +1.17%)
Believe the country is headed for inflation? Buy gold. Expect another deflation scare is in the offing? Buy gold. Think the budget deficit jeopardizes the dollar’s future? Buy gold. It’s the insurance of choice because “it checks all the boxes” for potential risks, says Rachel Benepe, manager of the First Eagle Gold fund.
Analysts say midsize miner Goldcorp combines a strong balance sheet with the potential to capitalize on bad times. The company has been developing the Penasquito mine in Mexico, and it is also building out a mine in Ontario, Canada, next to an existing mine—“huge projects” that offer big opportunities, says Benepe, who owns the stock in her fund. Goldcorp also has some of the lowest production costs in the mining industry and a healthy enough balance sheet to pay a modest dividend.
To be sure, owning miners is often riskier than owning gold outright, because mining shares can get clobbered when projects get delayed, and a small move in gold’s price can have a huge impact on a miner’s profit margins. But for now, gold and gold miners are a way to hedge against the economy deteriorating. The odds are that U.S. officials are not going to get everything right in managing the recovery, says Ed Yardeni, chief investment strategist of Yardeni Research.
Coca-Cola (KO: 57.44, +0.15, +0.26%)
The way Don Hodges sees it, Coca-Cola has it all: a healthy dividend, an expansive international business and an attractive stock price. “We’ve reached a time where we should see a nice steady appreciation for stocks like this one,” says the comanager of the Hodges Blue Chip 25 fund, who has been buying Coke for his fund.
Coca-Cola stands to benefit from a weaker dollar and a decline from the peak commodity prices of 2008. But its shift toward more noncarbonated beverages such as Vitaminwater is also paying off, says Edward Jones beverage analyst Jack Russo. The company’s ability to generate lots of cash allows it to keep growing even in a difficult economy. And the company will use some of that money to expand abroad. Muhtar Kent, Coke’s CEO, has told analysts the company plans to invest $2 billion in China in the next three years.
Procter & Gamble (PG: 61.28, -0.03, -0.04%)
Recession or not, Procter & Gamble plans to add 1 billion new customers over the next five years. In other words, more than three times as many people as the U.S. population could add purchases of Crest, Tide or Pampers to their routine in the coming years.
The Cincinnati-based firm struggled over the past year as competition from private labels ate into sales. But “things are beginning to turn in their favor,” says Todd Jones, consumer goods analyst at Legg Mason Investment Counsel, which owns the stock in some accounts. A weak dollar and the sale of its pharmaceuticals unit has freed more than $3 billion in cash, giving P&G a cushion as it cuts prices and woos thriftier shoppers. CEO Robert McDonald told analysts that P&G is investing in new products and brand extensions, such as Oil of Olay products in Asia. “I see plenty of reasons to get excited,” says Jordan Smyth, managing director at Edgemoor Investment Advisors, who has been buying the stock.
Abbott Laboratories (ABT: 54.15, +0.06, +0.11%)
Health care stocks have plenty of question marks surrounding them. Some drugmakers have major drugs losing patent protection; others’ profits may be hurt by cuts in Medicare reimbursements. But Abbott should manage to avoid many of these problems: More than half of its $29 billion in sales come from outside the U.S.
Meanwhile, the company has used its cash to make several acquisitions. The biggest—a $6.6 billion deal to buy the drug division of Belgium’s Solvay—makes Abbott a player in the vaccine business. Executives told analysts this fall that the Solvay drug unit will add $3 billion in sales to the company in 2010. And even in an economic downturn, people still get sick, a fact that should keep Abbott’s sales strong. The stock trades at 13 times estimated 2010 profits and sports a 3 percent dividend yield.
Sheff's Station...All Aboard...Sign Up Here!
Saw this...
SKGO good stuff, 500M float now per pinksheets.
pinksheet update came out dec 23 with buisness discription of SKGO as follow:
Control of company acquired in a preferred share purchase by private financier. Company is in the final stages of a merger negotiation with a USA based green energy company and a China based recycling company with over 100 employees and substantial revenues. Merger announcement expected shortly. Company in the process of preparing adequate disclosure with Pink Sheets
IMO the 2.5 bill o/s most of it been purchased by private financier.
expecting p/r explaining all of the above.
i think if backs off any ya gots mezzz think'in. ???
You want in too?
MBOT
No plans to travel til I come see you in august, wife and son will be in europe, so I can play while cats away.....
MBOT
i think if backs off any ya gots mezzz think'in.
are going to do any early year traveling?
going to bear game this monday.
ya it is in the power zone, ATNP in buzz cloud too, and boardmarks rising...
MBOT
in da power zone? it is true.
yep, thats what Bert said on thursday am.
MBOT
power zone now. i added pps in it.
oh so true. i never like to get caught in r/s
Maybe so, no like backward things, F/S better IMO
MBOT
This is true,
MBOT
info not correct, I have had this longer, where to check it?
MBOT
need to check this our atnp
Info is incorrect at DD, ATNP never hit $1,05 in 52 week..
MBOT
you can click this and get this at
http://ddmachine.com/default.asp
Class Common Stock
Par Value: 0.001
ATNP.PK - ATLANTIS TECH GRP - trade time: 12/24/2009, 12:59pm ::: (Yahoo quotes :: 20 minute delay) Calc Fibs Pivots
Last Trade: 0.0041
Change: 0.0012 ("+41.38%")
Previous Close: 0.0029
Open: 0.0029
Day's Range: 0.0029-0.0041
52wk Range: 0.01 - 1.05
Volume: 80865312
Market Cap: N/A
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SEC Filings Form Type Received Period Ending Size Report
4/A Dec 15, 2009 Dec 7, 2009 14.9 KB PDF RTF HTML XLS
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4 Dec 9, 2009 Dec 3, 2009 7.6 KB PDF RTF HTML XLS
8-K/A Dec 3, 2009 Dec 2, 2009 29.2 KB PDF RTF HTML XLS
8-K Nov 10, 2009 Nov 9, 2009 28.5 KB PDF RTF HTML XLS
4 Aug 6, 2009 Aug 4, 2009 4.6 KB PDF RTF HTML XLS
NT 10-K Mar 31, 2009 Dec 31, 2008 8.5 KB PDF RTF HTML XLS
4 Mar 3, 2009 Mar 2, 2009 6.0 KB PDF RTF HTML XLS
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been there...
MBOT
world traveling is nice. maybe paris , france first?
I will retire anyway, but that could help with travel...
MBOT
how much? then you retire?
Please do doinit.
MBOT
I realy need $1.75 for dreams to come true, lol
MBOT
it is there but some must do it. like doinit.
yes sir'ee buddy, more of that to come IMO
MBOT
Thats nice!,
MBOT
My point exactly...
MBOT
closed at hodt?ATNP.PK - ATLANTIS TECH GRP - trade time: 12/24/2009, 12:59pm ::: (Yahoo quotes :: 20 minute delay) Calc Fibs Pivots
Last Trade: 0.0041
Change: 0.0012 ("+41.38%")
Previous Close: 0.0029
Open: 0.0029
Day's Range: 0.0029-0.0041
52wk Range: 0.01 - 1.05
Volume: 80865312
Market Cap: N/A
http://ddmachine.com/default.asp
http://ddmachine.com/stocktool.asp?symbol=atnp
What!, no ATNP?...send it back!
MBOT
need some to click on atnp fer ya.
DDMachine.com TOP 50 Requested Stocks for the Last 7 Days ::..
http://ddmachine.com/default.asp
1. RKLC (210)
2. SGCP (171)
3. RMDM (127)
4. SYMW (122)
5. GTXO (99)
6. GDSM (92)
7. CBAI (82)
8. HESG (82)
9. GRDO (70)
10. WAMUQ (67)
11. SCLL (62)
12. QEDN (46)
13. IHGP (41)
14. ZVTK (37)
15. MCLN (36)
16. BGEM (35)
17. KATX (35)
18. SIVC (31)
19. BZCN (25)
20. EYSM (24)
21. GSRE (24)
22. CPST (23)
23. ZN (23)
24. EVFN (21)
25. SYNJ (21)
26. EPCG (19)
27. XRX (17)
28. AMNE (16)
29. SIRI (16)
30. RVGD (15)
31. AMHD (14)
32. ASFX (14)
33. BBDA (14)
34. CTIC (14)
35. CVRG (14)
36. MODC (13)
37. ECCI (12)
38. GOOG (12)
39. GRBG (12)
40. OPK (12)
41. APWR (11)
42. BBYB (11)
43. IDOI (11)
44. LGTT (11)
45. OWVI (11)
46. MDFI (10)
47. NBVG (10)
48. LLEG (9)
49. NXHD (9)
50. SNRS (9)
easy to see from above, just hover and look down.
MBOT
in situation as world is in now. very true.
yes we need to watch jobs closely, things happen quick now.
MBOT
NASDAQ Announces Mid-Month Open Short Interest Positions in NASDAQ Stocks as of Settlement Date December 15, 2009 - GlobeNewswire - Thu Dec 24
NEW YORK -- At the end of the settlement date of December 15, 2009, short interest in 2,422 NASDAQ Global Market securities totaled 6,257,533,001 shares compared with 6,277,790,072 shares in 2,425 Global Market issues reported for the prior settlement date of November 30, 2009. http://biz.yahoo.com/pz/
Berkshire Eliminates 21,000 Jobs amid Slump
http://search.businessweek.com/Search?searchTerm=forward+spilt+%2F+reverse+splits&commit.x=33&commit.y=8
I just wanted to wish everyone a very Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays, God Bless One and All...
MBOT
Market closed dates 2009 - 2011,
http://www.nyse.com/about/newsevents/1176373643795.html
MBOT
Bottom Play with Forward split stocks only
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.aspx?board_id=16711
MBOT
StockWatch Dec 19 1:38 AM EST
Symbol Last Tick Chg % Chg Open High Low Volume
NLEF 0.79 0.00 0.00% 0.75 0.79 0.70 32.96 k
SSTP 0.02 -0.00 -8.70% 0.02 0.03 0.02 11.37 m
MEDG 0.60 0.07 13.21% 0.54 0.67 0.53 238.06 k
NEIK 0.35 0.00 0.00% 0.26 0.35 0.26 94.28 k
MDMN 0.02 -0.00 -4.35% 0.02 0.02 0.02 959.02 k
VSYM 0.03 0.00 0.00% 0.04 0.04 0.03 36.23 k
MFGD 0.26 -0.01 -5.52% 0.27 0.27 0.26 393.60 k
TPLM 0.24 0.04 20.01% 0.20 0.24 0.20 235.20 k
MZEI 0.35 -0.03 -7.37% 0.38 0.39 0.35 234.34 k
GCKO 0.02 -0.00 -2.63% 0.02 0.02 0.02 967.25 k
EYSM 0.04 -0.01 -11.11% 0.04 0.05 0.03 9.56 m
MCLN 0.03 -0.00 -4.11% 0.03 0.03 0.03 17.15 m
EDWY 0.06 0.00 0.84% 0.06 0.06 0.05 1.65 m
DGEN 0.08 -0.01 -8.89% 0.15 0.15 0.07 258.06 k
RVBF 0.11 0.03 33.75% 0.09 0.12 0.08 1.70 m
RCKE 0.18 -0.02 -10.00% 0.20 0.20 0.15 83.54 k
RMDM 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 164.69 m
SYMW 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.58 m
KATX 0.03 0.00 17.39% 0.02 0.03 0.02 2.02 m
SKGO 0.00 0.00 16.67% 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.24 m
PDMI 0.00 -0.00 -3.85% 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.06 m
CBAI 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.01 0.01 0.01 94.45 m
ZVTK 0.00 -0.00 -3.70% 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.19 m
DPBE 0.00 -0.00 -15.38% 0.00 0.00 0.00 608.89 k
StockWatch Dec 19 1:38 AM EST
Symbol Last Tick Chg % Chg Open High Low Volume
NLEF 0.79 0.00 0.00% 0.75 0.79 0.70 32.96 k
SSTP 0.02 -0.00 -8.70% 0.02 0.03 0.02 11.37 m
MEDG 0.60 0.07 13.21% 0.54 0.67 0.53 238.06 k
NEIK 0.35 0.00 0.00% 0.26 0.35 0.26 94.28 k
MDMN 0.02 -0.00 -4.35% 0.02 0.02 0.02 959.02 k
VSYM 0.03 0.00 0.00% 0.04 0.04 0.03 36.23 k
MFGD 0.26 -0.01 -5.52% 0.27 0.27 0.26 393.60 k
TPLM 0.24 0.04 20.01% 0.20 0.24 0.20 235.20 k
MZEI 0.35 -0.03 -7.37% 0.38 0.39 0.35 234.34 k
GCKO 0.02 -0.00 -2.63% 0.02 0.02 0.02 967.25 k
EYSM 0.04 -0.01 -11.11% 0.04 0.05 0.03 9.56 m
MCLN 0.03 -0.00 -4.11% 0.03 0.03 0.03 17.15 m
EDWY 0.06 0.00 0.84% 0.06 0.06 0.05 1.65 m
DGEN 0.08 -0.01 -8.89% 0.15 0.15 0.07 258.06 k
RVBF 0.11 0.03 33.75% 0.09 0.12 0.08 1.70 m
RCKE 0.18 -0.02 -10.00% 0.20 0.20 0.15 83.54 k
POPN 0.00 0.00 2.70% 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.16 m
BZCN 0.00 0.00 12.50% 0.00 0.00 0.00 182.37 m
SEWC 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.94 m
THRR 0.00 -0.00 -25.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.24 m
DLAD 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 341.76 m
RVGD 0.00 -0.00 -6.25% 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.80 m
KKUR 0.00 0.00 33.33% 0.00 0.00 0.00 212.75 m
CYSG 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.82 m
IDOI 0.00 0.00 2.86% 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.53 m
i see 14 days starting tomorrow. that would be 10 trading days left.
morning all...
MBOT
will do my friend.
MBOT
excellent... keep me in the loop
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