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Otelco Inc. (OTEL)
5.4 ? 0.59 (12.27%)
Volume: 3,756 @ 4:00:01 PM ET
Bid Ask Day's Range
4.25 5.74 4.6999 - 5.4
OTEL Detailed Quote Wiki
OTEL News: Current Report Filing (8-k) 01/25/2016 04:13:00 PM
OTEL News: Otelco Announces Execution of New $105 Million Credit Facilities 01/25/2016 04:05:00 PM
OTEL News: Quarterly Report (10-q) 11/06/2015 12:32:41 PM
OTEL News: Current Report Filing (8-k) 11/04/2015 05:16:45 PM
OTEL News: Otelco Reports Third Quarter Results 11/04/2015 05:06:37 PM
Otelco Inc. (OTEL)
4.57 ? -0.0999 (-2.14%)
Volume: 1,528 @ 3:59:48 PM ET
Bid Ask Day's Range
3.32 5.9 4.53 - 4.64
OTEL Detailed Quote Wiki
DAILY/
DAILY/ [-chart]ih.advfn.com/p.php?pid=staticchart&s=OTEL&p=0&t=17&showctype=1&width=336&height=190&vol=1&afterhours=130[/chart]
[-chart]chart.finance.yahoo.com/t?s=OTEL&lang=en-US®ion=US&width=300&height=180[/chart]
[-chart]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=OTEL&p=D&b=2&g=0&i=p72104498736&r=1395542761133[/chart]
Otelco IMO is cheaper now than it was a year ago at this time despite an approximate 40% stock price gain in 2015. Market Cap rose about $6.4 million in 2015 while I expect net debt decreased around $13 million when 4Q is reported. EBITDA in 2015 will be steady or slightly higher than the previous year.
Otelco is directly following the playbook of another small wireline I like, Mario Gabelli's LICT. LICT has been 100% focused on debt reduction making its balance sheet much stronger. No dividend. No expensive acquisitions. Lean operation. Completely the opposite of the typical large dividend-paying wireline that relies on acquisitions for growth that makes their debt balance balloon.
One can see the positive effects of LICT's frugal strategy. In the past two years LICT's stock price has appreciated by 133.33%. Don't see why that can't happen here at some point.
lot of potential/ 'OTELCO INC. (OTEL)'
Possibly another plus 20-30% in 2016
Otelco Inc. (OTEL)
6.93 ? 0.1299 (1.91%)
Volume: 13,767 @ 3:56:27 PM ET
Bid Ask Day's Range
5.25 8.0 6.85 - 7.115
OTEL Detailed Quote Wiki
$OTEL ~ Otelco, Inc. due diligence report
$OTEL recent news/filings
## source: finance.yahoo.com
Tue, 01 Sep 2015 17:45:58 GMT ~ Otelco, Inc. Earnings Q2, 2015
read full: http://www.capitalcube.com/blog/index.php/otelco-inc-earnings-q2-2015/
*********************************************************
Wed, 19 Aug 2015 17:04:11 GMT ~ OTELCO INC. Financials
read full: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/is?s=otel
*********************************************************
Tue, 11 Aug 2015 00:13:50 GMT ~ 10-Q for Otelco, Inc.
read full: http://www.companyspotlight.com/routers/headline/39345/10004/6553580?cp_code=YAH1&1439252030
*********************************************************
Fri, 07 Aug 2015 14:39:10 GMT ~ OTELCO INC. Files SEC form 10-Q, Quarterly Report
read full: http://biz.yahoo.com/e/150807/otel10-q.html
*********************************************************
Wed, 05 Aug 2015 19:45:32 GMT ~ Edited Transcript of OTEL earnings conference call or presentation 5-Aug-15 3:30pm GMT
read full: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/edited-transcript-otel-earnings-conference-194532984.html
*********************************************************
$OTEL charts
basic chart ## source: stockcharts.com
basic chart ## source: stockscores.com
big daily chart ## source: stockcharts.com
big weekly chart ## source: stockcharts.com
$OTEL company information
## source: otcmarkets.com
Link: http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/OTEL/company-info
Ticker: $OTEL
OTC Market Place: Not Available
CIK code: 0001288359
Company name: Otelco, Inc.
Incorporated In: DE, USA
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$OTEL share structure
## source: otcmarkets.com
Market Value: Not Available
Shares Outstanding: Not Available
Float: Not Available
Authorized Shares: Not Available
Par Value: Not Available
$OTEL extra dd links
Company name: Otelco, Inc.
## STOCK DETAILS ##
After Hours Quote (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/after-hours
Option Chain (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/option-chain
Historical Prices (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=OTEL+Historical+Prices
Company Profile (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=OTEL+Profile
Industry (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/in?s=OTEL+Industry
## COMPANY NEWS ##
Market Stream (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/stream
Latest news (otcmarkets.com): http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/OTEL/news - http://finance.yahoo.com/q/h?s=OTEL+Headlines
## STOCK ANALYSIS ##
Analyst Research (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/analyst-research
Guru Analysis (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/guru-analysis
Stock Report (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/stock-report
Competitors (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/competitors
Stock Consultant (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/stock-consultant
Stock Comparison (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/stock-comparison
Investopedia (investopedia.com): http://www.investopedia.com/markets/stocks/OTEL/?wa=0
Research Reports (otcmarkets.com): http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/OTEL/research
Basic Tech. Analysis (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=OTEL+Basic+Tech.+Analysis
Barchart (barchart.com): http://www.barchart.com/quotes/stocks/OTEL
DTCC (dtcc.com): http://search2.dtcc.com/?q=Otelco%2C+Inc.&x=10&y=8&sp_p=all&sp_f=ISO-8859-1
Spoke company information (spoke.com): http://www.spoke.com/search?utf8=%E2%9C%93&q=Otelco%2C+Inc.
Corporation WIKI (corporationwiki.com): http://www.corporationwiki.com/search/results?term=Otelco%2C+Inc.&x=0&y=0
## FUNDAMENTALS ##
Call Transcripts (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/call-transcripts
Annual Report (companyspotlight.com): http://www.companyspotlight.com/library/companies/keyword/OTEL
Income Statement (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/financials?query=income-statement
Revenue/EPS (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/revenue-eps
SEC Filings (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/sec-filings
Edgar filings (sec.gov): http://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001288359&owner=exclude&count=40
Latest filings (otcmarkets.com): http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/OTEL/filings
Latest financials (otcmarkets.com): http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/OTEL/financials
Short Interest (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/short-interest
Dividend History (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/dividend-history
RegSho (regsho.com): http://www.regsho.com/tools/symbol_stats.php?sym=OTEL&search=search
OTC Short Report (otcshortreport.com): http://otcshortreport.com/index.php?index=OTEL
Short Sales (otcmarkets.com): http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/OTEL/short-sales
Key Statistics (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=OTEL+Key+Statistics
Insider Roster (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ir?s=OTEL+Insider+Roster
Income Statement (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/is?s=OTEL
Balance Sheet (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bs?s=OTEL
Cash Flow (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/cf?s=OTEL+Cash+Flow&annual
## HOLDINGS ##
Major holdings (cnbc.com): http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/OTEL/tab/8.1
Insider transactions (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/it?s=OTEL+Insider+Transactions
Insider transactions (secform4.com): http://www.secform4.com/insider-trading/OTEL.htm
Insider transactions (insidercrow.com): http://www.insidercow.com/history/company.jsp?company=OTEL
Ownership Summary (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/ownership-summary
Institutional Holdings (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/institutional-holdings
Insiders (SEC Form 4) (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/OTEL/insider-trades
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Bloomberg (bloomberg.com): http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/OTEL:US
Morningstar (morningstar.com): http://quotes.morningstar.com/stock/s?t=OTEL
Bussinessweek (businessweek.com): http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/snapshot/snapshot_article.asp?ticker=OTEL
ABOUT OTELCO INC. (OTEL) IBOX/
Otelco Inc., (NASDAQ: OTEL) headquartered in
Oneonta, Alabama,
provides wireline telephone services in Alabama,
Maine, Massachusetts,
Missouri, New Hampshire,
Vermont and West Virginia.
The Company’s services include local and long distance telephone,
network access,
transport,
digital high-speed data lines and dial-up Internet access,
cable television and other telephone related services.
With more than 98,000 voice and data access lines which are collectively referred to as access line equivalents,
Otelco is among the top 25 largest local exchange carriers in the United States based on number of access lines.
Otelco operates eleven incumbent telephone companies serving rural markets,
or rural local exchange carriers.
It also provides competitive retail and wholesale communications services through several subsidiaries.
OTELCO INC. (OTEL) TWO YEARS sidelined ????? spoken ?????
with relationship SIRG ?????
Created: 7/27/2013 11:44:38 AM - Followers: 5 - Board type: Free -
trying for information/ why buy/ 'OTELCO INC. (OTEL)'
is this company in relation merger with SIRG ?????
Quarterly Report (10-q) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 8/7/2015 10:39:10 AM
Current Report Filing (8-k) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 8/4/2015 5:16:38 PM
Otelco Reports Second Quarter Results "Business Wire" - 8/4/2015 5:05:00 PM
Amended Statement of Beneficial Ownership (sc 13d/a) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 6/24/2015 5:15:09 PM
Current Report Filing (8-k) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 5/15/2015 6:09:05 AM
Statement of Changes in Beneficial Ownership (4) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 5/14/2015 1:39:06 PM
Statement of Changes in Beneficial Ownership (4) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 5/14/2015 1:37:18 PM
Statement of Changes in Beneficial Ownership (4) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 5/14/2015 1:36:40 PM
Statement of Changes in Beneficial Ownership (4) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 5/14/2015 1:33:56 PM
Statement of Changes in Beneficial Ownership (4) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 5/14/2015 1:31:40 PM
Quarterly Report (10-q) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 5/7/2015 1:10:29 PM
Current Report Filing (8-k) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 5/5/2015 5:17:34 PM
Otelco Reports First Quarter Results "Business Wire" - 5/5/2015 5:00:00 PM
Otelco to Release 2015 First Quarter Results "Business Wire" - 4/6/2015 11:21:00 AM
Proxy Statement (definitive) (def 14a) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 4/3/2015 12:48:23 PM
Statement of Changes in Beneficial Ownership (4) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 3/30/2015 10:54:53 AM
Annual Report (10-k) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 3/16/2015 12:31:34 PM
Statement of Changes in Beneficial Ownership (4) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 3/16/2015 6:11:08 AM
Statement of Changes in Beneficial Ownership (4) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 3/16/2015 6:10:31 AM
Statement of Changes in Beneficial Ownership (4) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 3/16/2015 6:10:31 AM
Statement of Changes in Beneficial Ownership (4) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 3/16/2015 6:10:31 AM
Statement of Changes in Beneficial Ownership (4) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 3/16/2015 6:10:31 AM
Statement of Changes in Beneficial Ownership (4) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 3/16/2015 6:10:31 AM
Otelco Reports Fourth Quarter and 2014 Results "Business Wire" - 3/2/2015 5:00:00 PM
Amended Statement of Ownership (sc 13g/a) "Edgar (US Regulatory)" - 2/17/2015 11:19:01 AM
Otelco Inc. (OTEL)
7.1 ? 0.45 (6.77%)
Volume: 29,436 @ 3:59:49 PM ET
Bid Ask Day's Range
6.8 7.92 6.8 - 7.25
OTEL Detailed Quote Wiki
this no sound right/ if nasdaq why then fool around with
SIRG / was bankrupt ?????
filing Q>>>>> then NO<<<<<Q ?????
Otelco Inc. (OTEL) -NasdaqCM
7.10 Up 0.45(6.77%) 3:59PM EDT
Otelco Inc. (OTEL)
5.87 ? 0.07 (1.21%)
Volume: 4,220 @ 12:17:16 PM ET
Bid Ask Day's Range
5.85 5.9 5.81 - 5.87
OTEL Detailed Quote Wiki
time to add some comment on pps...
Otelco Inc. (OTEL) -NasdaqCM ? In Watchlist
5.80 Up 0.51(9.64%) Aug 18, 2:59PM EDT
Otelco Inc., (NASDAQ: OTEL) headquartered in Oneonta, Alabama, provides wireline telephone services in
Alabama, Maine,
Massachusetts,
Missouri,
New Hampshire,
Vermont and West Virginia.
The Company’s services include local and long distance telephone,
network access, transport, digital high-speed data lines and dial-up Internet access, cable television and other telephone related services.
With more than 98,000 voice and data access lines which are collectively referred to as access line equivalents, Otelco is among the top 25 largest local exchange carriers in the United States based on number of access lines.
Otelco operates eleven incumbent telephone companies serving rural markets, or rural local exchange carriers. It also provides competitive retail and wholesale communications services through several subsidiaries.
good morning and to all have nice wkend.
re;
Otelco Inc. (OTEL)
4.74 ? 0.2 (4.41%)
Volume: 325 @ 3:59:37 PM ET
Bid Ask Day's Range
4.54 4.8 4.54 - 4.74
OTEL Detailed Quote Wiki
hi mick, OTEL is a waiting game..but reward is on the way. I would like to own this company, that is I am perfectly fine with waiting. Most undervalued/forgotten company in the whole Nasdaq sector :)
Otelco Inc. (OTEL)
4.68 ? 0.11 (2.41%)
Volume: 1,243 @ 2:26:27 PM ET
Bid Ask Day's Range
4.65 4.79 4.58 - 4.78
OTEL Detailed Quote Wiki
following some/////\\\\\'OTELCO INC. (OTEL)'
OTELCO...Q1 Numbers
$8 Million QUATERLY!!! EBITDA on 13 millions O/S and 4.25 PPS
money on the street for free :))
0.66 dollars EPS per QUARTER!!!!!!!!!!!
This is 20 dollars stock...no analyst is covering this company.
Most undervalued stock with extremely positive cash flow...
I love Nasdaq and its opportunities... :))
Simple explanation why OTEL is a screaming buy...
within just three quarters of 2014 OTELCO has generated so much free cash, that they were able to reduce the debt by the same amount as is the value of their current Market Cap!!! In just 9 months!!!
Do you understand this? This is the undiscovered cash cow...Dream of every investor...If you decide to buy 100% of the company now for current PPS, in one year the company generates from contracts more free cash, that you have paid for it :DDD. And they have subscribed 10% more clients between Q2-Q3 earnings period...
Only problem here is that the debt is so high, that the book value is negative -8.50 usd/share.
This is probably why we are that lucky to buy it now that cheap. But they have reduced the debt by 15% only in three quarters...As walk57 has written elsewhere - the banks love such companies. They make the banks live, the banks do not call bancruptcy on cash cows :D
Based on latest 2014 Q3 numbers released yesterday, their operations generates cash to get annual diluted net income per share in level exceeding 1.60 USD!!! that makes OTELCO undiscovered undervalued baby with fair value 300-400% higher...(if there is no debt, it would be even higher, they are reducing now the debt in pace over 15% per anum)
The Facts
It has been just over a year (May '13) since OTEL emerged from bankruptcy. While management has done a wonderful job the Market has shown no love. When adjusted for the 1:5 reverse split upon emerging, OTEL's Market Cap is now less than half of what it was when OTEL was in bankruptcy. Even though OTEL carried much more risk while in bankruptcy (if/when it would emerge, how the BK would affect future business, etc.) the Market apparently thought OTEL was a safer play than it is now. Consider these facts and you be the judge:
*OTEL's debt has decreased 56.8% from $271M to its current $117M since emerging. It now has $154M less debt on its balance sheet than it did while in bankruptcy. That was not all due to the bankruptcy process either. Because of required amortization, Excess Cash Flow payments, and voluntary contributions OTEL has decreased debt $11.5M in just the first 2 quarters of 2014.
* In the first year since emerging EBITDA has remained stable:
3Q/13 $7.3M
4Q/13 $7.3M
1Q/14 $7.5M
2Q/14 $7.4M
* OTEL has the lowest EV/EBITDA I can find in this wireline space. Around 4.30.
* In May of this year shareholders approved the Stock Incentive Plan. As a result 124,167 restricted stock units were granted on July 9th. This years stock awards are in lieu of cash for compensation so they could be considered "investments" by the Board & Management in OTEL. In fact, you can look at it like the stock grants are a "requirement" for the Board & Management to buy OTEL stock. Beneficial to EBITDA and further aligns management and shareholders.
*In April OTEL began a cost saving initiative that will benefit 3Q EBITDA by $0.4M to $0.5M.
I believe Mr. Market is ignoring reality here.
King, about your Private Equity speculation...
Although OTEL is light years better off than they were under the previous IDS structure paying exorbitant interest rates on the subordinated notes, they still are paying a hefty 6.5% on the debt. And it cost them 7.5% of the company in the form of the Class B shares just to get that extension on the Senior Loan. I would say its in OTEL's best interest to try to get the banks to agree to a new deal with more favorable terms, but as we can see its expensive just to get banks to come to the table, especially for smaller companies such as this.
In the 3Q OTEL paid $2.47M just to service the debt. Times four quarters that's $9.88M a year, almost $10M. Assuming OTEL's projection of $6.3M in net income is accurate this year that means someone taking out the debt in a private transaction would in fact generate over $16M this year, slightly better than your $15M number. FWIW, OTEL is estimating net income of $6.6M in 2015, $7.4M in 2016, and $7.9M in 2017. Yes, these are guesses. But I'm thinking these guesses were arrived at without their move into the cloud area even considered at the time.
I'm surprised nobody has knocked on the door.
The tax loss thesis appears to have legs. OTEL's stock price was brutalized from mid-November to the end of 2013. Selling pressure mysteriously stopped as the calander flipped over to 2014. While 3Q results may not have been quite as good as some hoped, there was no reason for the relentless daily selling. Last week sums it up. The first two days of the week (2013) OTEL traded over 69K shares. The last two days (January 2 & 3 2014) OTEL traded 13K shares....closer to its normal volume.
Some have had concern over a possible leverage breach with the banks. The OTEL acquisition of Reliable Networks must have surprised those people. If Reliable Networks had concerns about a forced sale or bankruptcy, do you think it would have agreed to take just $500k upfront, with the balance of the purchase to be paid in OTEL stock over the next three years?
The deal makes alot of sense to where OTEL is going in the future. The CFO: “We will be able to offer our existing Hosted IP PBX service to their customers and we can offer their cloud based services to our customers.” OTEL has talked about other carriers picking up its PBX on a wholesale basis. That should further growth.
If OTEL's EBITDA stabilizes or rises in 4Q (3Q featured zero Time Warner residual revenue) don't expect its stock price to trade anywhere near its current level. A year ago today OTEL closed at a split-adjusted $7.15/share. At that time OTEL had more than $140M additional debt on its balance sheet than it does now and was facing definite bankruptcy with a possible total wipeout of shareholders in Chapter 7 liquidation. Its easy to argue this stock has less risk now than a year ago, but apparently the market doesn't agree.
The latest numbers on OTEL released two weeks ago show OTEL with a whopping short interest of 823 shares. Nobody is short, but the longs are terrified as shown by the declining stock price since the 3Q report. For a number of reasons I believe OTEL had an exaggerated move downward in the last couple months due to tax loss selling. There are virtually no institutional investors in OTEL now (around 1-2%) so they can't cause much downward momentum, but they surely can cause upward momentum at the slightest whiff of positive news from a company with 2,870,948 shares available to trade and what I believe is a depressed stock price.
Catalysts could include simply the end of tax loss selling, easing market fear of a 4.25:1 leverage breach with the banks by voluntarily paying down more debt than is required this quarter or a revised credit agreement, stabilization or increase of adjusted EBITDA (3Q was the first with zero Time Warner revenue and government goodies) and launch of its wholesale PBX product that OTEL has been saying other carriers are interested in. An earlier aquisition of Pine Tree Telephone was a disaster because it came with the Time Warner contract. Losing that contract was the major reason OTEL had to file bankruptcy.There was, however, one small silver lining. Pine Tree enabled OTEL to be further along in their development of the PBX product than they would have been had they not acquired it.
The market is saying $140M less debt on the balance sheet than at this time last year doesn't matter. I'm not convinced.
The insider window for this quarter is still open for a short time, but you're right, a 400 share purchase so far is unlikely to change the markets perception of OTEL.
OTEL has to send the banks around $1.7M every quarter as a principal payment. This doesn't include interest on the senior loan which amounts to over $2M. Also, OTEL every quarter must make an Excess Cash Flow payment which amounted to around $330K in 3Q. With all of that going on, I'm not sure OTEL can get to a $20M cash on hand balance quickly.
When OTEL emerged in May, they essentially wiped out $109M in debt by retiring the subnotes of the IDS. Without being specific, OTEL could do an equity for debt deal if they could find an interested party or parties. While such a move would dilute current shareholders depending on the offering, the dilution could be offset somewhat at the same time by retiring the 232,780 Class B Shares the banks currently own. The price to do so is 2.5% of the senior loan now...and the price goes up after the end of March 2014.
Funds raised by an equity offering would go directly to either refinancing their debt, or simply making a large paydown on the current loan. Either way, this would immediately remove market concerns that OTEL will trip its 4.25:1 leverage ratio, which IMO is causing the current depressed stock price. It would also instantly speed the process of a more manageable debt load, opening up more flexibility to do things like an acquisition. OTEL also could be a more enticing acquisition target to another telco with its lower debt load. We'll see.
insiders need to get busy buying this company..If they can get to about 20 million in cash on hand they have a strong chance of refinancing their debt for a lower cost.. They have to be quick before rates continue higher.. being able to cut it another 15% with new stipulations for repayment will allow them to operate under new rules.. A merger or acquisition is a must for future growth..
After the past few days of trading, OTEL is priced equal to, or cheaper, than before it entered Chapter 11 in March of this year. OTEL, (then OTT) had $271M in long term debt on its balance sheet. Chapter 7 liquidation was a real possibility. Today OTEL sits with roughly the same market cap. It has $131.3M in debt, almost $140M less than at this time last year. Something is very wrong here.
My only explanation is some OTEL investors believe OTEL will trip its bank covenants on its recently signed credit facility. It's the only explanation since OTEL, IMO, is currently trading slightly above what I believe to be its liquidation value. A tripped covenant results in the banks forcing OTEL to sell itself.
OTEL has $10.4M cash, can pull other levers if need be, and after a year of massive cash-conservation preparing for the March bankruptcy are finally opening the spigot a little on capex to capitalize on some growth areas. Further, if things were that bad, they wouldn't have had to send the banks an Excess Cash Flow payment of $0.3M on October 31st.
Is this an opportunity for some other telco to acquire assests on the cheap? If you asked that when OTEL had $271M in debt on its books I would have said no. Now I would say yes.
This is a problem when you have only 2.8M shares outstanding and are ignored by Wall Street. Sometimes valuations can get way out of whack when a few investors head for the door at once. But it also creates opportunity.
I will be interested to see if any OTEL insiders decide to take advantage of this when the next window opens.
OTEL finished October with long term debt of $131.3M reflecting an Excess Cash Flow payment of $0.3M made on 10/31 that wasn't included in 3Q. They are right on target to finish 2013 at the projected $128.7M in debt offered in the Disclosure Statement filed earlier this year. The Disclosure Statement projects year-end 2014 debt of $114.4M, a decrease of $14.4M. OTEL will not have to contend with $7.5M in reorg costs that they had to pay this year.
3Q EBITDA was a little light which I'm guessing is the reason for the selling pressure on the stock today. They did mention certain new accounts which come online this month which should help. Also of future benefit will be the loosening of the purse strings on capex to pursue new sources of revenue. OTEL has been in massive cash-conservation mode for a year now. Quarterlies in this biz do tend to be "lumpy" as well.
Was surprised that OTEL ended the 3Q with $10.4M in cash. Thought it was going to be less than that. With reog costs behind them chances are good that number could go higher absent spending some of it on further voluntary debt reduction or the retirement of the 232,780 Class B shares the banks own.
A significant source of selling pressure on the stock this Summer is now gone, IMO. The owners of the Bachelor Bonds were awarded 209,510 Class A shares when OTEL emerged from bankruptcy at the end of May. 7.3% of OTEL. It's my guess that none of those holders had any desire to own OTEL equity. They are income investors who were being forced to own stock when the debt for equity deal went down. IT would shock me if any of those folks were still in the equity.
All in all, a decent but not great quarter. $0.47/share. It doesn't change the fact that OTEL remains severely undervalued to peers in its industry IMO. There is nobody on Wall Street covering it, because there is no money to be made with recent post-bankruptcy companies. No road shows, etc. Nobody is telling the masses OTEL is undervalued. At some point it gets very obvious though. And with only 2,870,948 shares available to trade, OTEL's vaulation adjustment could be swift.
OTEL posted reasonable earnings report after the bell yesterday. Cap Ex hopefully will result in additional revenues and result in some growth opportunities for the company. A nice positive there.
Stock price is still depressed and may be based on the fact that OTEL has quite a bit of debt. Based on numbers from first two quarters out of BK that included a few million in restructuring costs related to BK, OTEL appears to have ability to manage debt.
The biggest problem may be OTELs position to refinance debt when it comes due in a few years. However, if OTEL can continue to hold 10mm or so in cash and continue to pay down debt at a clip of 12mm or more per year (3mm per quarter), debt level should not be an issue.
Lots of shares changing hands this morning at only $8.18 which is around 25mm market cap. If OTEL earns around $3 per share annually considering no more restructuring costs, a PE of just 10 would be $30 per share with over $3 in cash on hand. Market does not seem to see it that way.
Stock is not doing well this morning in first hour of trading even with this decent earnings release. Looks like everyone is just trying to get out with so few shares changing hand on a daily basis. Have a sad feeling that stock price could be heading down to $6 area over time with OTEL being priced back down for bankruptcy again. Unbelievable.
It might be instructive to review some facts about OTEL at the halfway point of 2013 and compare it to projections offered in its bankruptcy Disclosure Statement in March of this year.
1. OTEL projects 2013 EBITDA at $32.5M. At 6/30 OTEL's year-to-date EBITDA is $17.2M.
2. OTEL projects long term debt of $128.7M at year end 2013. At 6/30 its long term debt was $133.3M. With 75% of free cash flow dedicated to debt reduction and an interest expense less than half of what it was pre-BK, $4.6M should be easily attainable.
3. OTEL projected stockholder equity (assets minus liabilities) at $53.9M at year end 2013. With 3,103,728 shares outstanding (Class A & B included) OTEL has a current market cap of $23.4M at its current $7.55/share price. OTEL's projections did not take into account up to 10% dilution from the proposed Management Equity Plan, but that is a moot point. That plan was defeated at the Annual Meeting in August.
4. Cash was projected at year end 2013 to be $8.5M. At 6/30 OTEL had cash of $11.1M. OTEL will have final restructuring costs of over $2M in 3Q that haven't been reflected yet.
5. Investor sentiment in a small post-reorganization company like OTEL is reflected in its less than 2% institutional ownership at last check. While it is surprising there has been just one officer buy since the insider lockup was lifted, there have been no sells either. OTEL is being totally ignored by Wall Street. It would be in OTEL's best interest IMO to do a 1-100 reverse split and go to the pink sheets to reduce costs associated with public reporting and related requirements associated with the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. A telco similiar to OTEL, the Mario Gabelli controlled LICT, did just that a few years ago.
The insider buying after all this time of not being able to buy is disappointing.. Only a 1000 shares says that the stock is not particularly interesting at the current price valuation...
Still Long on the stock...
Its really volatile at the moment.. I have been buying on weakness. The bottom for this stock is very hard to judge and there is no reason for it to not hit 7.50 a share with the way people are moving shares. Its a very risky company for the short term trader.. As for the long term trader the current PPS is a steal.
Any thoughts on short term pps for OTEL? Anyone following this thread?
correction to the 30 million plus cash on hand... over 28 million was used to pay down debt..
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