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U.S. Warns Promoters of SARS-Related Products
By DENISE GRADY
he government said yesterday that it had warned more than 40 Web site operators and companies to stop making false claims that their products can prevent, cure or treat SARS. The products include air purifiers, sprays and wipes, masks, latex gloves, and supplements like colloidal silver, beta glucan, echinacea, mushrooms and other items that are said to strengthen the immune system.
The Federal Trade Commission and the Food and Drug Administration have sent letters and e-mail warnings to Web site operators, manufacturers and distributors, warning them to stop making false or exaggerated claims.
In a telephone news conference, Howard Beales, director of consumer protection at F.T.C., said that "scam artists trying to make a fast buck" were selling the products and that they had been warned that it was illegal to make unproven claims.
Dr. Mark B. McClellan, head of the Food and Drug Administration, said the products being promoted were useless against SARS. He said the two agencies were working together on the problem, with the trade commission handling Web sites and advertising, and the drug agency regulating what manufacturers can say about their products.
Dr. McClellan and Mr. Beales said that if the companies did not comply with the warnings, the government could order refunds to consumers and impose fines, seize products, seek injunctions and pursue civil or criminal contempt proceedings.
Rob Dowler, of Canada's ministry of consumer and business services, said the Canadian government was taking similar steps.
Nice...!!!
ESWW 0.51 +0.015 (+3.03%) 0.50 0.51 173,500
John
John~tftr and followup on ESWW... I put a gtc bid below current market while I sort it all out and who knows, I might connnect while I scramble to get a feel..
Like I said, I have a position in IMCO so I understand much of what you say... and after listening to the CC I understand they (esww's) have a cleanable converter and that alone caught my attention.
I need to check into how much support IMCO will offer or merely if they certified the tech side of the product(s)... do you know?
tia and ta
best
kp
I take interest in most things enviro-technical as long at the science and engineering supports the business plan. ESWW has great technology, but cracking the automotive tier system is a bloody (w)itch.
The stock was originally hosed over by that Canuk Arseport - Pangia...., then it took some other hits in the formative stages. All of that crap is ancient history, and the company is now moving forward on its merit.
The dumb skirt running the EPA doesn't know a tailpipe from a carburettor jet, but eventually the Clean Cat's ability to clean up the emissions from existing diesel engines will catch on in the ranks and get shoved far enough up her tush that she'll notice the obstruction............
The successful evironmental lab performance tests of the cats will eventually prove the validity of the products to the real auto- & diesel-heads. Compared to the goofy plans to re-engineer diesel engines (..driving the cost of a new semi tractor up by $20Gs...), the ESWW cats are a hands down winner.
The injector/plug will also eventually be recognized as a tremendous production time-saver.
It all just takes time in what's left of Alum Greenspurt's totally hosed economy.
John
xxrayeyes~tftr~re:ELN, more good news;
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=987654
Elan says FTC drops part of anti-competition probe
best!
kp
I only have a few minutes a day to devote to posting on these boards as my work takes up most of my time. ELN seems to be doing well. The good thing about the price going up is that the convertible debt will have a less dilutive effect as the price rises. Hopefully they will be able to work out a way to keep the debt holders from converting into common but if not, the higher price is certainly a blessing to long term shareholders. In regards to DFNS, I have been watching it for a while but I am not really playing Microcaps right now. I have been more interested in building up a dividend portfolio for long term appreciation. When the markets pick up and overall volume begins to rise, I will probably get back into some short term trading.
Geeze, John, you mean we are dealing in carriages?
suggest you call Dave Johnson and get the "..whassup..." straight from the horse's mouth
I thought "the horseless kind" <jk>
Seriously, how did you hear about 'em and whatever DD you can provide would be helpful!
tia
kp
Not much.
I'd suggest you call Dave Johnson and get the "..whassup..." straight from the horse's mouth.
John
jmhollen~interesting little company (ESWW.OB)... I noticed they have a "relationship" with IMCO (one I hold) and I thought their webcast interview was solid! I might try to do some bottom fishing with it...?
Anything you can add re: DD and progress in the Mexican Market?
tia
kp
xxrayeyes~you don't seem to be a frequent poster over here? I posted to you on ELN with the hopes of continuing a dialog over the pros and cons with them... but didn't see a response? They are now above $4 and I *think* the shorts have been covering?
ELAN CORP PLC (NYSE:ELN)
Last Trade 4:02pm · 4.06 Change +0.08 (+2.01%)
Prev Cls 3.98 Open 3.93 Volume 2,039,300
Day's Range 3.90 - 4.06 Mkt Cap 1.420B
Avg Vol 3,154,629
52-wk Range 1.03 - 11.80
P/S 1.09
1y Target Est 5.00
EPS (ttm) -7.39 EPS Est -0.53
I also just posted to you on the Big board, about DFNS.ob as you had posted there in past on their association with Smith and Wesson... maybe there are others here that would want to take a look at them as well... as when researching DFNS.ob I noticed you had mentioned them last year in passing... they just released their 10K yesterday and I did some DD on 'em and if interested it is posted on the BTS board;
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=984481
best!
kp
ESWW 0.45 +0.08 (+21.62%) 0.44 0.47 228,500
Enviro-techie with a terrrific future.
John
GEMM... todays volume off the charts (5 mil)
xxxrayeyes~ (ELN)~earnings out and appears much interest
ELAN CORP PLC (NYSE:ELN)
Last Trade 4:01pm · 3.84 Change +0.48 (+14.29%)
Prev Cls 3.36 Open 3.33 Volume 4,272,500
Day's Range 3.31 - 3.85
Mkt Cap 1.343B Avg Vol 3,103,111
52-wk Range 1.03 - 12.60
-------
4-30-03 a slight dip;
In other pharmaceutical news, Elan Corp. said it had a first-quarter net loss of $130.2 million, or 37 cents per share. In the 2002 first quarter, the Irish drugmaker had a net profit of $50 million, or 14 cents per share.
Dublin-based Elan said revenue plunged 42 percent to $260 million. Elan has been beset by numerous problems, including concerns about the company's accounting and its financial resources. Elan is under new management and in the midst of a turnaround effort that has included the sale of assets.
U.S.-listed shares of Elan (ELN:) nudged down 2 cents to $3.36.
from; http://www.marketwatch.com/news/yhoo/story.asp?source=blq/yhoo&siteid=yhoo&dist=yhoo&gui...
------
Elan posts Q1 loss but seen making progress
Wednesday April 30, 8:51 am ET
By Kevin Smith
DUBLIN, April 30 (Reuters) - Embattled Irish drugs firm Elan Corp Plc (London:ELN.L - News; NYSE:ELN - News) posted a first-quarter net loss of $130.2 million on Wednesday, but said it had progressed with cost cutting and was on track with a radical restructuring plan.
The company, which has been cutting jobs and selling assets to avert a cash crunch at the end of the year, reported a 42 percent drop in total revenues to $260 million in the three months to end-March, but said revenue from retained products had risen 43 percent to $148 million.
However, it said it had reduced its total cash-burn to $332 million from $377.5 million previously, with selling, general and administration expenses down 29 percent to $127.7 million.
Elan has raised nearly $800 million from asset divestitures, and cut its workforce to around 3,000 from 4,700 at the start of its restructuring in July 2002.
"Elan remains on course with its 18-month recovery plan," Chief Executive Kelly Martin said in a statement.
"While there is much to be done, we remain focused on executing our goals of simplifying Elan's balance sheet, streamlining our operational model and advancing our science and product development," he said.
--more-- http://biz.yahoo.com/rf/030430/health_elan_1.html
------
Ian Hunter, analyst at Goodbody Stockbrokers, said sales were better than forecast but margins were a disappointment. "We would've expected to see more evidence of the cost-cutting coming through," he said. Overall, "the results add nothing new," Mr. Hunter said.
However, Davy Stockbrokers analyst Jack Gorman says the results are "modestly better than forecast."
Mr. Gorman says selling, general & administrative, or SG&A, operating expenses were reduced by 27% year-on-year to $127.7 million, better than Davy's own SG&A cost-reduction forecast of 8%.
Analysts are more closely focused on Elan's recovery plan, though. Elan is trying to sell assets to raise $1.5 billion in cash by year-end to mend its balance sheet. In the last nine months, Elan has disposed of $825 million worth of businesses.
Despite the slew of disposals, one critical transaction has been bogged down in litigation, throwing the timetable into question.
Elan was on course to sell Skelaxin (News - Websites)and another drug, Sonata (News - Websites), to King Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NYSE:KG - News) , but the U.S. Federal Trade Commission is currently investigating the marketing practices of Skelaxin, a muscle relaxant.
King wants to cancel the deal, while Elan wants to force King to follow through on its purchase. The two meet in court May 15. As a result, Elan is hampered by legal constraints on what it can say about the King matter.
Elan Chief Executive Kelly Martin did say, though, that his company "remains on course with its 18-month recovery plan. We further reduced costs during the quarter, which put us closer toward our goal of operating Elan on a break-even basis prior to the launch of our new products."
Elan's delivery of its recovery plan "remains critical," said Peter Frawley, analyst at Merrion Stockbrokers. He said the group's operating cash burn rate appears to be under control but "the group has still to deliver significant disposals if it's to avoid a significant equity issue to (debt) holders at year- end," he said.
Given that the group's liabilities remain in excess of $3 billion, Mr. Frawley added: "It's difficult to envisage the group being in a position to satisfy its obligations in cash without executing further on its disposal program and we await further details of progress on this front."
The company is still undergoing a probe by the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission into its accounting practices. Elan didn't give any update on the investigation.
"From a profit-and-loss perspective, investor focus will remain on individual product revenue trends and progress on operating cost reductions," according to Mr. Gorman, the Davy Stockbrokers analyst.
Since its recovery plan was announced last year, Elan has been trying to reconfigure itself focusing on the core areas of neurology, pain management and autoimmune diseases.
Goodbody's Mr. Hunter believes Elan's recovery plan "centers around Antegren and the Alzheimer suite of products." But he doesn't expect any significant news on this until late 2003.
--more-- http://biz.yahoo.com/djus/030430/0730000956_1.html
--------
I know this is still a recovering situation but with the volume and share price increase of late, I am of the opinion that this one is posed for some healthy inflows of investor interest and that the next few weeks will be critical in light of the pending litigation with KG. If that goes in ELN's favor then the 12/03 worries about pending debt conversion should cease. And that projection does not take into account the apparent agressive buying back of its bonds in the secondary markets at discount.
Still looking to hear from you, Josh, as to am I crazy or what <g>
best!
kp
xxxrayeyes~ (ELN) appreciate the chance for a dialog...
I like my position in an ADR (ELN-NYSE) ...been on a tear lately with a slight sell off Friday. IMO still worthy of a look. It is in play with an improving balance sheet, take over rUmOrs, and a promising up coming pipeline with Biogen (Elan/Biogen MS Drug Antegren), and a new application for a current drug already on the market (no phase I, II, III necessary) which has been found to be effective in weight loss --an application they hadn't originally tested for! And it is under $4.
check out ELN in post;
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=948851
As I posted on 3-24-03;
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=866546
ELN in the news..."Elan and Ingenium Announce Major Alliance to Develop Therapeutics for Pain Management" AND "Eon Version of Elan's Skelaxin Rejected"
...so one generic fear was put on the back burner and more timely;
http://messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7076797&tid=eln&sid=7076797&...
Sun, April 27, 2003
Elan shares up after bond buyback speculation
27/04/03 00:00
By Ed Micheau
Shares in Elan Corporation gained over 15 per cent last week on speculation that the company had gone back into the market to buy back some of its bonds.
In January, the share price jumped 12 per cent after it emerged that the company had bought back $400 million of its bonds at a discount in excess of 20 per cent.
The buyback reduced Elan's year-end liability to about $850 million. Bondholders have an option in December to exercise a `poison-put' option on securities they ac-quired five years ago.
Elan is in the closed period before it reports results for the first quarter of 2003. But it is expected to update the market on a range of issues at the results presentation on Wednesday, April 30.
A spokesperson for the company denied rumours emanating from the United States that it was close to doing a deal with King Pharmaceuticals in advance of a court hearing on May 15.
Elan is trying to force King to proceed with the $850 million acquisition of the Irish company's prescription drugs Skelaxin and Sonata.
Sources in the US speculated last week that King did not have a case to answer and that it wanted to settle with Elan in advance of a court hearing.
"There has been no contact between Elan and King," the spokesperson said.
Elan may also update the market on the impending sale of its US drug delivery business which could fetch up to $600 million. The business, which has several units, could be sold in one block.
Canadian company Biovail and US company Andrx are among the possible bidders.
Elan's drug delivery business was voted the best of its kind in the US last year by an industry magazine.
-----------------
combine this with the positive speculation that the court trial between KG and ELN next month (ELN is felt to have a strong position and worse case will receive a cash settlement if the deal is not OK'd and in a further worse case event, other buyers apparently exist so they seem to be well positioned to benefit from the court date in the near future IMO)
So, I will factor in the objection to the December debt worse case scenarios but seeing the buying (speculation) of their debt, currently with a 20% discount last time back in January, AND the reduced December debt in that event combined with the strong cash position and their *apparent* use of same makes me think they will be commanding a much higher value per share in the short near term and IMO a much higher share appreciation as the year goes on with or without KG ...but even more so with the deal going through.
Your thoughts?
tia
Best!
kp
FYI: From an email I received..............:
How To Make Fast Profits Following The
'Private Money Trail'
Of Corporate Insiders
(What Better Signal That A Stock Is About To Soar Than
Company Executives Buying Up Large Blocks Of Their
Own Shares For All The Right Reasons
See how a select number of stocks surged 62% to 639%
in the months following insider buying --
and how you can get in on the action.
Dear Fellow Investor,
A.L. Soave, a director at Titan International, recently purchased 130,700 shares of his company's stock at $8.11 a share.
Some would say Mr. Soave showed some pretty remarkable clairvoyance at the time. That's because...
One year later, Titan stock was trading above $60 a share - a 639% increase.
He's not the only one.
Laurence Hirsch, Chairman of the Board of Centex, bought 36,000 shares right at the market peak in March of 2000 at an average price of $17.75. By March of 2001, the Dow and the Nasdaq had both taken a whipping. But not Centex...
Hirsch's shares almost tripled to $45 over the same period - a 154% gain in about a year. While the market tanked.
Then there's O.S. Andras. He recently bought 100,000 shares of his company, Enterprise Products, at an average cost of $15.29 a share...
In just twenty months it rose to $48.35 a share - a whopping 216% profit.
It's no secret. Insiders have been profiting from their own company's shares for as long as stocks have been publicly traded.
Is it any wonder? Who better to know, after all, when to start buying up shares than someone with intimate knowledge of the goings on within that company? Someone who knows hundreds of details about its operation and future prospects...knowledge those of us on the outside could never hope to have.
But unless you know these people personally, there's absolutely no way for ordinary investors like you and me to get in on the action - right?
Wrong.
The fact is you can profit from insider buying simply by knowing when insiders are loading up on their own stock and why they're doing it...
You can cash in on the inside knowledge executives and directors have about their own companies - and make huge profits on their coattails...
And best of all, you can do it each and every time any insider of a publicly traded company is backing up the truck to load up on shares in anticipation of a substantial jump in the stock price.
And I'm going to tell you how you can do it in this letter - using the 'Form 4 Indicator,' an 'early warning system' based on insider buying.
It Sounds Illegal - But It's Not
Created by the U.S. government, the Form 4, in my view, is the ultimate leading indicator for future stock prices. In fact, when I tell people how it works, the idea is so immediately compelling that - almost invariably - their first reaction is 'that's illegal, isn't it?'
Absolutely not.
But when you see how quickly the short-term profits pile up, you'll understand their reaction. The secret is contained in the federal government's Form 4, which contains much of the information your need to legally capitalize on top-performing stocks before they make their big move up . . . regardless of what the broad market is doing.
Best of all - in these volatile times - this is an exceptionally low-risk way to invest. In my experience, there are lots of systems that work in a bull market. But they fall apart when the market turns treacherous, as it has recently. This indicator, however, is simply uncanny. As you'll soon see, it allows you to chalk up one winner after another...no matter what the market averages are doing.
And - most importantly - you're going to understand how it works just as soon as you hear about it. Because aside from the mountain of evidence I'm about to show you - showing short-term profit opportunities of 216%, 264% and even 737% -- your own common sense and everyday experience will confirm the validity of what I'm about to tell you.
Intrigued? I don't doubt it. But I invite you to be skeptical as well. Because when I get done telling you how to use this system, you'll have in your possession a very powerful investment advantage. Perhaps for the very first time in your life, the odds of investment success are going to be heavily stacked in your favor.
You can look forward to not only recovering what this bear market has taken away --but also to quickly achieving a level of financial independence so complete that money will no longer be a concern in your life.
I'll show you how in a moment. But first, let me begin by asking you a question.
What do you think of when you hear the term 'insider trading?'
Do you think of Ivan Boesky or Dennis Levine tottering off to their jail cells? Do you think of Michael Milken paying the biggest fine in SEC history? Do you think of company insiders profiting at the expense of other shareholders?
That's what most people think. Insider trading, after all, has quite a checkered reputation
But some people erroneously believe that if an insider makes money buying his own company's shares, it is - by definition - illegal.
Perhaps that's because, for years, corporate officers and directors have moved in and out of stocks ahead of the investing public...taking advantage of news and information that was unavailable to the investing public. And locking in enormous gains in the process.
The game was rigged because the insiders were privy to material, non-public information that other investors could never hope to access.
But I've got news for you.
I'm about to show you how you can use the Form 4 Indicator to lock in the same huge profits the insiders do. Safely. Simply. And, of course, legally.
Here's how.
Investment Intelligence So Valuable . . .
The U.S. Government Regulates It
By definition, an insider is an officer, director or more-than-10% shareholder of a publicly traded company. As I'm sure you're aware, these individuals tend to be very well compensated. But there is one perk you won't read about in the annual reports.
Listen to this:
On March 31, 1999, the Chairman of the Board of GlobalStar Telecom, B.L Schwartz, purchased 100,000 shares of his company's stock at $13.60 a share. In less than ten months it was selling for $49.50 a share. A 264% moon shot.
T.M. Harmon, an officer of Pacific Sunwear of California, is another prime example. He had the foresight to pick up 20,000 shares of his company's stock at $13.95 a share. And was rewarded with a 179% rise over the next five months.
Then there's J.R. Adams, chairman of Texas Instruments. He bought 3,000 shares of his company's stock, bringing his total to 136,000 shares, at $11.17 a share, split-adjusted. Just over two years later, the stock had risen an astounding 737.2% to $93.52 a share.
All jackpots. All legal.
In fact, the vast majority of insider trading is totally and completely legal. It simply must be fully disclosed publicly and meet other requirements set by the federal government.
Congress realized many years ago that insiders have an unfair advantage because of the breadth and depth of information they have about the companies they run.
How could it be otherwise? Anyone who has run a business knows hundreds of details about its operation and future prospects that those of us on the outside could never hope to know. And this confers an enormous advantage to insiders trading their own company's shares.
In addition to their inside knowledge, these folks' understanding of their industries allows them to interpret publicly available information that may be meaningless to outsiders. In short, they know virtually everything that can be known about their company's industry and business prospects. And while they are not supposed to buy shares based solely on insider information - let's face it - it's impossible for them to forget everything they know when they go into the market to trade.
As a result, insider buying is an exceptionally valuable leading indicator of a stock's potential. And there is more than just reams of anecdotal evidence to prove it. Even objective academic studies have reached the same conclusions.
For example, in 1998 H. Nejat Seyhun, The Jerome B. and Eilene M. York Professor of Business Administration, of the University of Michigan Business School published a comprehensive study of insider trading activity. The results confirmed what hedge fund managers and Wall Street insiders have known for years.
Here's what they found in this landmark study:
'Insider buying activity signals greater than average stock price increase.'
'Insider trading is profitable and insiders' current transactions do predict the future stock price movements up to a year ahead.'
'Insider-trading laws have shifted the rules of the game in favor of small, short-term traders against large, long-term investors. Hence a clear winner from insider-trading regulations is the small investor.'
But here's the good news. Now you can use this same information to lock in the same triple-digit profits the big-hitters do.
Let The Insiders Hand You An 'Unfair Advantage'
I'll explain the entire process, beginning with the basics.
How would you interpret a Chairman or CEO backing up the truck to buy thousands of shares of his own company's stock?
Could it mean the company plans to launch a new blockbuster product? Or perhaps those earnings are going to come in way ahead of the consensus? Or just maybe the board of directors has discussed the idea of putting the company up for sale?
It could be any of these reasons . . . or dozens more. But the bottom line is this. The right type of heavy insider buying can only really mean one thing. The shares are WAY undervalued.
Which is exactly why insider trading is regulated by the U.S. government.
Fortunately, Congress realized it couldn't simply ban insider transactions outright. After all, who would go to the trouble of starting a public company without the right to share in its success?
So in lieu of an outright ban on insider trading, Congress passed a law demanding full disclosure. Insiders are free to buy and sell shares of the companies they run, but they must meet certain requirements, including reporting their buying and selling of company shares to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
That's the law, plain and simple.
So while unreported insider trading still goes on occasionally, the penalties are stiff. In fact, the failure of insiders to report their transactions in a timely fashion is a violation of securities laws which currently involves -- not only the forfeiture of profits --but fines of up to $2.5 million as well as up to ten years in prison!
The reason the penalties are so severe is straightforward: corporate insiders have an unfair advantage. And - if you're like me - this realization is about to change your whole way of investing.
Let's face facts. You can't know everything the insiders know about their own company. It's simply not possible. But here's the important point. If you see officers and directors loading up on their own company's stock, you don't need to know all they know. If it's the right type of insider buying - and I'll show you how to tell if it is in a moment - the buying itself is the detail you need to know!
A Winning Low-Risk Strategy
In Good Markets And Bad . . .
It's surprising but most people I speak with have no idea whether the insiders are buying or selling the stock they own...or that they plan to own. Apparently, they don't appreciate that this is perhaps the single best indicator that their investment is going to turn out to be profitable.
Of course, not every insider purchase results in a grand slam.
For instance, A.R. McMullian, chairman, and G.E. Deese, president, of Flower Foods, were probably content with just a base hit. They bought a total of 50,000 shares of their company's stock between $29.95 and $31 a share in June of this year. Within two months the stock had already hit $41.75, a 36.9% increase in a falling market.
Similarly, five insiders at Cobalt Corp. bought a total of 23,285 shares of their company's stock in May of '01. In less than two months, it was 52% higher. Again, this all happened during the recent bear market.
W.P. Foley II, a director of CKE Restaurants, seems to know when to bait his hook as well. He purchased 99,000 shares of his company's stock at $3.86 a share and watched it just about double . . . in just 45 days.
Bruce Nelson, the CEO of Office Depot, had similar good luck. Between the end of May and mid-July 2000, he decided to pick up a few shares - roughly a million dollars worth - at an average cost of $7. It took less than 14 months for the shares to double . . . while the broad market was plummeting.
As you can clearly see, you don't need a bull market for this indicator to work. Quite the contrary. The market's behavior is completely irrelevant.
Using The Powerful 'Form 4 Indicator'
As a leading indictor, the 'Form 4' is simply the best I've ever seen. Yet the vast majority of investors I speak with don't even know what a Form 4 is (and there's a good reason for that, as you'll discover in a moment). Therefore they can't possibly realize that this little form is a dead give-away to the kind of explosive, short-term profits I've showed you so far...
Here's why.
Getting Rich From Government 'Red Tape'
The Securities and Exchange Commission requires all insiders to report their trading activity by the tenth day of the month following their purchase or sale. This is done on what the government refers to as a 'Form 4.'
Of course, most insiders don't wait until the tenth of the following month to report their buys and sells. With the heavy penalties levied for noncompliance, most insiders report their transactions almost immediately.
However, the average investor may never see this information. The reason is that the only comprehensive source of published insider transactions is a big, fat book published monthly by the SEC called 'The Official Summary of Security Transactions and Holdings.'
If that sounds like a cure for insomnia, it is...
But worse, it might as well be useless since the typical lag time between the reporting of the insider transactions and the publication of the SEC book is approximately three months! By then, it's usually too late. You've already missed the jump in the stock.
No question, if you're going to profit along side the insiders, you need to act immediately. But what most investors don't realize is that you can access this information immediately...and in just a moment I'll show you how you can capitalize on this crucial intelligence at warp speed.
The Difference Between Getting Insider Buying
Wrong . . . And Just Right
But first, I don't want to give you the impression that simply buying on the coattails of insiders is like hitting the bulls-eye every time. Like most things in life, it's not that simple.
There are dozens of variables that determine how valuable insider buying is. It may come as some surprise to find that not all insider trading activity is helpful. In fact, a lot of it is nothing more than distracting background noise that makes clear-headed analysis harder, not easier.
That's why I'd like to introduce you to the most capable interpreter of insider trading data I know . . . and your biggest ally in helping you reap a windfall based on these indicators, Alexander Green.
Alexander Green is the Investment Director of The Oxford Club. Before joining the club full-time, Mr. Green spent 16 successful years on Wall Street as a research analyst, an investment advisor and, most importantly, as a registered portfolio manager. In addition to his wealth of personal knowledge, he has contacts with top executives, researchers and advisors all over the world.
You may be aware that Mr. Green already runs two of the most successful trading services in the country, the Momentum Alert, dedicated to trading the market's fastest growing companies, and the Oxford Short Alert, a service strictly dedicated to selling short the market's most vulnerable companies.
One of the 'tools of research' Alex uses on a regular basis is the technology and connections that allow him to instantly access insider trading data electronically - the instant it's reported...not three months later.
For instance, he recently showed me the buying that insiders at Aeroflox were doing just before the stock shot up 200.7% in less than 3 months. I still wonder what they knew that the rest of us didn't. Of course, as Alex pointed out, sometimes it doesn't matter. When a company is trading below fair-market value, the most important factor often is the quantity and quality of insider trading.
Like the insider buying that took place with the SonoSite Corporation. The top executives here didn't miss a trick. Unless you want to believe it's a coincidence the shares rose 270.4% in less than seven months after they reported substantial insider buying!
124% Gains in 90 Days!
And shares of Concord Camera blasted 124.4% higher in the 90 days after the insiders' buying became public knowledge.
Likewise, shares of Lone Star Tech rose a nifty 69% in the seven months after the insiders lined up to buy shares of their stock.
But as I said, if it were as easy as simply watching the insiders and mimicking their trades --everybody would already be doing it.
But it's not that easy - not quite. In my experience, neither I nor most investors I know are qualified to interpret the nuances surrounding insider activity.
That's why you and I can rely on Alexander Green. He knows the difference between insiders who are buying to make a fortune... and insiders who are buying just to show that they're 'a member of the club.'
He knows how to take apart a company's records to see who is buying by exercising free or low-cost options... and who's really stepping up to the plate to buy with their own hard-earned money at current market prices.
He knows when some of the insiders are merely executing options they received as part of their compensation. That kind of insider buying, Alex tells me, doesn't count for much.
Or when an insider has bought so little that he doesn't have the strength of his convictions.
Or when an insider has an atrocious record based on his previous insider transactions. As a leading indicator, that means his purchases are essentially meaningless.
Alex also mentioned to me that there is a big difference between one insider's buying and another's. Top executives know more than junior executives do. And virtually all executives generally know more than the board members do, since they're usually one step removed from the day-to-day activities of the firm. And shareholders who own 10% or more of the company, who are also required to report as insiders, may be very astute or completely oblivious. It depends entirely on the individual.
Another bullish indicator that Alex zeroes in on is 'buying clusters.' That's when the insider buying is spread throughout the company. That means the top executives are buying, the mid-level officers are buying and even the low-level guys, who barely qualified as insiders, are buying. More often than not, that's a sure sign that there's good news in store - and that the stock price is about to move higher.
Alex also carefully analyzes the quantity of the insider buying. Certain sized transactions are more meaningful than others. While ordinarily the larger the transaction, the stronger the indicator, Alex explained how there are certain price volume levels you have to monitor more carefully. For instance, trades of $1 million or more are often useless as leading indicators.
I asked Alex why. He explained that transactions of this magnitude are bound to come under greater SEC scrutiny . . . and are therefore less likely to be based on material, non-public information. And, as a result, less likely to be a guide to explosive short-term trading profits.
A 'Foolproof' System For Generating
Short Term Gains From Insider Activity
1. As you can see, it takes a specialist to take apart and analyze insider trading...to be able to separate those purchases that are 'just for show' and those that are serious moneymaking transactions. And the direction of the broad market is largely irrelevant. In the first half of 2002, while the S&P 500 plunged 19%, Insider Alert subscribers made a killing, locking in double-digit profits in New York Community Bancorp, US Oncology, Bio-Reference Labs, Household International, Rite Aid, Omega Healthcare, Capital Bancorp and others. Alex Green has developed a system that aims to provide consistent short-term profits based on telltale insider trading.
He looks at both the quality and quantity of the insider buying. Who's doing the buying and in what quantities. He looks at each insider's historical batting average.
And as an added measure of safety, Alex doesn't base his recommendations on insider activity alone. Insiders are fallible human beings, just like the rest of us. So he backs up his research by zeroing in on the company's fundamentals. He tears the balance sheet apart. He throws out the goodwill write-offs, accounting tricks and other extraneous noise.
In fact, he applies the most stringent set of investment criteria in his investment selection process that I've ever seen. But then again, he's spent 16 successful years in the trenches on Wall Street. He knows what works and what doesn't.
Given the wealth of his insights and experience, his club asked him to create a trading service that is based primarily on his analysis of insider trading activity. And, perhaps most importantly, he will help you maximize your short-term profits by telling you exactly when to get out. Insiders sometimes buy and hold on for years. Our interest is different. We want to ride the stock up on news the insiders are piling in . . . hold on until the stock appears to have topped . . . and then move on to the next one. As in much of life, timing is everything.
And now we're making it available to a select group of Investors.
Here's how it works . . .
IntroducingThe Insider Alert . . .
The Insider Alert will feature precisely the kind of fast-moving recommendations based on insider trading that we've talked about in this letter.
Like other trading services that are based on timely information, this will be an 'instant alert' service. When insiders begin accumulating shares, there is no time to write, edit, layout, print, and mail a newsletter. Especially in volatile times like now. These trades move quickly - as do the profits - so the service will be provided by fax or e-mail. Bottom line: our goal is to move just as quickly as the insiders do.
So when Alex Green discovers an opportunity that meets all his criteria, including significant insider buying, he writes it up immediately. He then phones or e-mails it to our headquarters from wherever he happens to be at the moment. Within minutes, we'll blast it out to you by fax or e-mail (you tell us which you prefer). You then relay the recommendation to your broker and the trade gets executed. The whole process takes a matter of minutes.
Besides the 'arrive anytime' alerts, you'll get a summary (also by fax or e-mail - your choice) at least once a week updating you on the current status of each outstanding trade.
Plus, as an Insider Alert subscriber, you'll also get a direct access phone number to his VIP trading desk, headed by Alexander Green's research associate, Chris Matthai. Use it anytime you have a question or need more information about any stock that we're buying.
The cost is $1,250 for a year's subscription.
Before you subscribe, there's one more thing I want to tell you. Because we expect - and I'm sure we'll see - an over subscription and then a waiting list for this service, enrollment will be limited.
Let me assure you that Alex does not divulge the names of companies he's researching prior to recommending them. The effectiveness of this service is due in large part to the speed and confidentiality of the recommended trades. As editor of The Insider Alert, his loyalty is to his subscribers.
Join us today, and the next Insider Alert could be in your hands tomorrow. And the profits that go with it.
You can ensure a reserved spot in this elite trading service by clicking here.
Sincerely,
James Boxley Cooke
Chairman, The Oxford Club
P.S. If you're interested in profiting on the coattails of company insiders, I urge you not to delay. Alexander Green tells me that there is a great deal of insider activity these days - now that so many stocks have fallen to record low prices of late. It's during corrections like we've seen, says Alex, when insiders who are genuinely excited about their own company's prospects are most likely to load up on shares in anticipation of a substantial jump in price. Please don't miss out on the opportunity at hand!
https://www.agora-inc.com/secure/FORM1.CFM?PUBCODE=786&PCODE=W786D410&ALIAS=all
I found this one on a screen a couple of days ago and thought I'd share it. It is trading at $1.20 with three month average volume of 8K. But the ten day average volume is 26K so volume is rising. They have $3.04 per share in cash, and book value is $6.15. The debt to equity ratio is only .14. They did recently eliminate their dividend so caution is in order. It does look like support at current levels is trying to hold.
Business Summary
APT Satellite Holdings Limited is a provider of satellite services throughout the People's Republic of China (PRC) and elsewhere in the Asia-Pacific region, through its subsidiary, APT Satellite Company Limited (APT). The Company's customers include many international broadcasters (including Disney, HBO, Sony Pictures Entertainment, Hallmark Entertainment, Galaxy, MCI Worldcom and Viacom), as well as prominent PRC, Taiwan and Hong Kong broadcasters (including CCTV, China Entertainment, One Leader and Po Hsin). The Company also provides telecommunications services to, among others, the China Telecom Corp. and China United Telecommunications Corp. (Unicom), the two main telecommunication service providers in China.
Company Profile
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/a/ats.html
MSN Company Report
http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/research/profile.asp?Symbol=ats
Zacks Report
http://my.zacks.com/reports/reports.php3?ticker=ATS&type=100
Company IR Website
http://www.apstar.com/frame4.html
I looked at it a while back and decided not to invest but I can't remember why. They do have a lot of cash. Yahoo has it listed at $3.93 per share. This concerns me, especially the $1B in convertible debt.
http://biz.yahoo.com/djus/030402/0904000745_3.html
Don't listen to rumors. You know where you want to sell, just stick with that. A 30% profit in such a short time is excellent. Take your profits and try to find another 30% gain somewhere else.
jibes~some DD for you to look at (on BTS's board)
MTMD~ I got in today and as is par for the course, am underwater already lol But like the products!
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=949832
...APT was a surprise... after early profit taking, they came back to close at a new 52 wk high!
ALPHA PRO TECH (AMEX:APT)
Last Trade 4:01pm · 3.10 Change +0.15 (+5.08%)
Prev Cls 2.95 Open 2.99 Volume 1,612,400
Day's Range 2.76 - 3.15
P/E 42.14
Mkt Cap 69.7M Avg Vol 260,409
52-wk Range 0.71 - 2.98
--------- Now compare that with MTMD -------
MICROTEK MED HLD (NasdaqNM:MTMD)
Last Trade 3:58pm · 2.78 Change -0.02 (-0.71%)
Prev Cls 2.80 Open 2.82 Volume 128,200
Day's Range 2.75 - 2.85 Bid 2.75 Ask 2.94
P/E 14.00
Mkt Cap 116.9M Avg Vol 57,727
52-wk Range 0.88 - 3.55
Given these two *SARS* plays, I am one for two <g>
best!
kp
jibes(DHB) lol ...you are right on the money ... I was triggered last week @$ 3.20 and could kick myself... you saw the close today over $3.70 ~groan~ .... I was hoping to try and get it back and then a person I respected pointed out some items from a FA perspective and while looking into those areas of concern, I came across an analyst downgrade which doesn't seem to be garnering much attention but I decided to hold off a re-entry. In the mean time I have used the profits to fund a new position to pass along here.. the DD for APT-AMEX was posted on the BTS board... these next two references is some posted DD on APT-AMEX (one of two I am playing re: SARS)
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=948730
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=948368
the other one I plan to play (also SARS related IMO) I am holding off on mentioning until I have a position but will post that DD on the BTS board tomorrow as well. They are similar companies but I think the mystery one is even stronger!
As to DHB, check out these posts to see the FA debate that kept me on the sidelines without a re-entry at this time;
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=933180
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=931278
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=914030
Lastly, I have a position in an ADR (ELN-NYSE) that has been on a tear lately and also IMO worthy of a look. This one is not the strongest of the 3 but it is in play with an improving balance sheet, take over rUmOrs, and a promising up coming pipeline with Biogen (Elan/Biogen MS Drug Antegren), and a new application for a current drug already on the market which has been found to be effective in weight loss --an application they hadn't originally tested for! It too is under $4 so I think there are plenty of great choices out there at the moment! check out ELN in post;
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=948851
I agree with you on the bright future of DHB, let me know what you think of these (above)
tia
best!
kp
KauaiPI
DHB looks great! I see no weakness at this time. It is my opinion the market will be strong in the near to mid future so hang on. I would be careful with that stop though, I could see it getting hit. you could sell a little near the Upper bollinger band and buy it back on any pullbacks around or just above the 20 day MA. Just look at that On Bal Vol!
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=DHB,uu[m,a]daclyyay[dd][pd20,2!b200][vc60][iUh14,4!Ug]&a...
I just wished I'd played this one on my new DDCA PPTM method.
Jibes
TrendSeekers at:
http://jibes0.tripod.com/trendseeker.html
Josh~if it hits my stop at 3.18 like I am suspecting on Monday, I will be out with 30+%
From #6 most active (AMEX) thurs. to #10 on friday... less than 1M traded.
...DHB seems to have hit a profit taking snag <g>...
our friend (Tim) thinks a return entry in $2.50 is appropriate.
other boards on RB are touting rumors of european purchases expected near term so...?
best!
kp
Yes, it has had a great run. Have you taken any profits yet?
anyone still following? ...DHB INDUSTRIES (AMEX:DHB)
Last Trade 4:00pm · 3.42 Change +0.54 (+18.75%)
Prev Cls 2.88 Open 2.90 Volume 1,985,800
Day's Range 2.86 - 3.43 P/E 7.78
Mkt Cap 138.2M Avg Vol 215,545 52-wk Range 1.26 - 7.40
=====================
Press Release Source: DHB Industries Inc.
Record Breaking New Orders Top $85 Million for DHB
Thursday April 10, 12:20 pm ET
CARLE PLACE, N.Y., April 10 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- DHB Industries Inc. (Amex: DHB), the market leader in the rapidly growing protective body armor industry, announced today that its wholly owned subsidiary, Point Blank Body Armor, Inc., has received more than $85 million in delivery orders for body armor, including its "Interceptor" Outer Tactical Vest (OTV) from several branches of the U.S. Department of Defense.
U.S. Armed Forces are wearing Point Blank Body Armor's Interceptor OTV, the lightest, most technologically advanced protective system ever issued in the history of the United States Military. Point Blank Body Armor has been, and is, the sole source supplier of Interceptor. It was developed to exceed the rigorous standards set by the U.S. Marine Corps, and subsequently adopted by the U.S. Army and U.S. Air Force.
Commenting on the announcement, Sandra Hatfield, Chief Operating Officer of DHB Industries, stated, "Point Blank, home of the Interceptor OTV, has equipped American troops in Operation Enduring Freedom like no others before them. The magnitude of these orders is a clear indication of the confidence the Department of Defense has expressed in the Company and it's products."
"These record breaking orders reflect the strength of DHB's technology, products and our ability to handle very large volumes for the U.S. Department of Defense," stated David H. Brooks, DHB's Chief Executive Officer and Chairman. "In early January, we began implementation of a pre-emptive strategic plan to provide our military customers with a dedicated production facility, and these efforts are clearly showing early dividends." Mr. Brooks concluded.
About DHB Industries Inc.
DHB Industries Inc.'s Armor Group is the market leader in the rapidly growing protective body armor industry. Its highly recognized subsidiaries, Point Blank Body Armor Inc. and Protective Apparel Corporation of America (PACA) are focused on the design, manufacture, and distribution of bullet resistant and protective body armor for military, law enforcement, and corrections in the US and worldwide. DHB Armor Group's customers include the U.S. Army, Air Force, Navy, Marines, Coast Guard, Secret Service, FBI, DEA, INS, ATF, NATO, U.S. Marshals, the NYC Police Department, the LA Police Department, and the California Highway Patrol.
DHB Sports Group produces and markets a comprehensive line of athletic supports and braces which are merchandised through national superstore chains including Wal-Mart, Target and Meijer, as well as private label distributors such as Amerisource Bergen and Cardinal Health.
DHB maintains facilities in Carle Place, NY, Deerfield Beach, FL, Oakland Park, FL, Jacksboro, TN, and Alexandria, VA. To learn more about DHB Industries Inc., visit the website at http://www.dhbindustries.com.
=============================
best!
kp
ps new stop placed at $3.18 although I am hoping it won't get triggered <Bg>
xxrayeyes~more... DHB
see post http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=894899 from shooter on BTS... new $5M+ 3 year contract received today
details posted there... it just keeps getting better and better IMhO
as you stated, "I think your stop loss at 2 is O.K. AMEX is different in runs as you said. Still in an uptrend since mid Feb. with up trend line support at about 2.03. Resistance is obviously at about 2.60"
...we broke that level today!
Last Trade 4:00pm · 2.63 Change +0.22 (+9.13%)
Prev Cls 2.41 Open 2.45 Volume 712,800
Day's Range 2.45 - 2.64
P/E 6.51 Mkt Cap 106.3M Avg Vol 187,818
52-wk Range 1.26 - 7.40
Glad I set my stop at $ 2 and held in there... I REALLY like this company and all it is doing to protect the troops in harms way...
best!
kp
best!
kp
jmhollen (CLSI)~can you clarify further...
it was a big TGL pump a long time ago
and... "TGL" means....?
tia
kp
I haven't paid much attention to Clancy in a long time; it was a big TGL pump a long time ago.
Nice gain today though..........
John
jmhollen~a nice find but re: CLSI ...what did ya think?
CYCY is a solid little company here in Iowa that has been making steady progress, and hasn't been jerked around too much by the BS fear-mongering markets.....
best!
kp
CYCY is a solid little company here in Iowa that has been making steady progress, and hasn't been jerked around too much by the BS fear-mongering markets.....
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=951
John
jmhollen~at first I miss read your symbols and thought it was the one I have been mentioning on IHub today... not CYCY but CLSI... Anyone else following/holding CLSI? A nice run over the last few weeks! An OTCBB that actually keeps making money lol check'em out!
Statistics at a Glance
OTC BB: CLSI.OB (As of 1-Apr-2003)
Price and Volume
52-Week Low (on 11-Oct-2002) $0.001
Recent Price $0.018
52-Week High (on 1-Apr-2003) $0.019
Beta -0.92
Daily Volume (3-month avg) 210.3K
Daily Volume (10-day avg) 407.0K
===TODAY 4-2-03===
Last Trade 3:58pm · 0.0209 Change +0.0029 (+16.11%)
Prev Cls 0.018 Open 0.019 Volume 2,056,100
Day's Range 0.018 - 0.021 Bid 0.018 Ask 0.021
Mkt Cap 7.6M Avg Vol 210,272
52-wk Range 0.001 - 0.019
===================
Clancy Systems International, Inc. designs, develops and manufactures automated parking enforcement systems primarily for lease to municipalities, universities and institutions, including a ticket writing system and other enforcement systems. To augment the enforcement element of the system, the Company markets the original Denver Boot and other enforcement tools. By utilizing an integrated approach, Clancy offers a complete parking citation processing system including tracking, enforcement, collection and automatic identification of delinquent violators in an effective and efficient manner.
Financial Summary
CLSI designs, develops and manufactures automated parking enforcement systems, primarily for lease to municipalities, universities and institutions. The Company also provides hardware and software to Hertz Corp. For the three months ended 12/31/02, revenues rose 74% to $701 thousand. Net income rose from $14 thousand to $88 thousand. Revenues reflect increased service contract income. Net income also reflects significantly improved service contract margins.
More DD from RB site;
http://ragingbull.lycos.com/mboard/boards.cgi?board=CLSI&read=37060
Note: Profitable little gem that is finally starting to move north...
More DD from Yahoo; (http://biz.yahoo.com/p/c/clsi.ob.html)
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (ttm) 6.98%
Return on Equity (ttm) 9.30%
Financial Strength
Current Ratio (mrq) 1.36
Debt/Equity (mrq) 0.32
Total Cash (mrq) $414.0K
Valuation Ratios
Price/Book (mrq) 3.38
Price/Earnings N/A
Price/Sales (ttm) 2.14
Income Statements
Sales (ttm) $3.06M
EBITDA (ttm) $759.0K
Income available to common (ttm) $171.0K
Profitability
Profit Margin (ttm) 5.4%
Operating Margin (ttm) 11.9%
------------------------------------
Clancy Systems International, Inc. Ends Banner Quarter
Wednesday April 2, 11:52 am ET
DENVER--(BUSINESS WIRE)--April 2, 2003--Clancy Systems International, Inc. (OTCBB:CLSI - News), today announced it ended its 2nd quarter with a record number of new contracts.
Clancy Systems International, Inc. (Clancy) provides parking-management hardware, software, and services to municipalities, universities and private parking operators. Clancy is installing a complete ticket issuance and processing system in the city of Culpeper, Virginia, this week. The system shall improve operations and enhance enforcement and collections. Clancy has also expanded its on-street operations in Cauguas, Puerto Rico, for Clancy's Urban Transit Solutions subsidiary. For the first time ever the meter operations and the enforcement are working together to increase revenues and accountability. This model will be expanded to the other cities currently installed and those under contract for future installations.
Under Clancy's contract agreements with Central Parking Corporation, Clancy has installed systems in Durham, N.C.; Mobile, Ala.; and Virginia Beach, Va. These on-street operations include complete ticket issuance and processing systems utilizing Clancy's state-of-the-art hardware and premier software. Clancy also installed an honor box program at Central's Cincinnati office for off-street operations. "Working closely with Central Parking has been a great opportunity for Clancy to add clients and for Central to expand into new markets. We believe these opportunities are beneficial to both companies and to the clients who gain the expertise of Clancy's 16 years in parking ticket management and enforcement software and Central's history of management expertise," commented Stanley Wolfson, President, Clancy Systems International, Inc.
----------------------------------------------------
Contact:
Clancy Systems International, Inc.
Stanley Wolfson, 303/753-0197
www.clancysystems.com
(http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/030402/25541_1.html)
----------------------------------------------------
NEWS; (http://biz.yahoo.com/n/c/clsi.ob.html)
(all times are US Eastern)
Wednesday April 2, 2003
Clancy Systems International, Inc. Ends Banner Quarter
11:52 am - Business Wire
Thursday March 20, 2003
Clancy Systems International, Inc. Announces Its Membership in the Microsoft Certified Partner Program
3:28 pm - Business Wire
Wednesday March 12, 2003
Clancy Systems International, Inc. Expands to Private Parking Clients
12:54 pm - Business Wire
Friday February 21, 2003
CLANCY SYSTEMS INTERNATIONAL INC /CO/ Financials
6:00 am - EDGAR Online Financials
Friday February 14, 2003
CLANCY SYSTEMS INTERNATIONAL INC /CO/ - Quarterly Report (SEC form 10QSB)
8:58 am - EDGAR Online
Wednesday February 12, 2003
Clancy Systems International, Inc. Signs New Clients
12:14 pm - Business Wire
---
best! and good luck with ALL your penny investments... no one need say how risky they are but here is one with money, making money and IMhO more good things on the way...
kp
sarals~thanks! ...not that it is helping me avoid some recent losses lol
best!
kp
xxrayeyes~mahalo nui (thanks!) eom
xxrayeyes...
I have a special request and it's not really an OTC stock, but if you have the time, could you do trend lines on TEVA... Ruellit suggested that I might sell a few shares when the momentum slows and that you might be able to do some trend lines for me...
Been holding that one a while, still think it'll run one of these days, lol!
I see support at 2 and accumulation/distribution has been very positive since January. I think your stop loss at 2 is O.K. AMEX is different in runs as you said. Still in an uptrend since mid Feb. with up trend line support at about 2.03. Resistance is obviously at about 2.60. As far as net operating loss carryforwards are concerned, you need to see how much they have left. Some companies have a lot. Best to just contact the company and ask how much net operating loss carryforwards they have left. Accumulated deficit can sometimes give you a clue but you would have no real idea when it would expire as there is a finite life span involved.
wow, I hope you caught that wave...
ANZA started moving up today, jumped 76% from a 52 week low of 0.015! Here's why! The stock has maintained a share price of of 0.02 - 0.025 more than not. That being said, it's not really off it's bottom by that much!
From the latest 10Q
Revenues increased by $23,819,627, or 132.0%, to $41,869,875 for the nine months ended January 31, 2003, compared to $18,050,248 for the nine months ended January 31, 2002. The growth in revenues is primarily attributable to the expansion and growth of AMRES primarily through the brokering of loans. AMRES accounted for over 97% of consolidated revenues for both periods. AMRES, as did most of the mortgage industry, benefited greatly from the decline in interest rates over the last twelve months. Typically, as interest rates fall, the refinance market heats up expanding the market of interested borrowers beyond those borrowing for the purchase of their primary residence. AMRES benefited from this market upturn, as they had the capacity in terms of people and infrastructure to accommodate the additional business. Management believes that a significant increase in interest rates could slow the rapid growth the Company has experienced over the last two fiscal years.
More significantly, the growth of the branch networking program at AMRES was the major contributor to the growth in revenue. AMRES' branch program comprised approximately 407 branches as of January 31, 2003, compared to 93 branches as of January 31, 2002. For the nine months ended January 31, 2003, the total revenue associated with the Net branches was approximately $31.2 million, compared to total revenue associated with the Net branches of $12.0 million for the nine months ended January 31, 2002. The Net branch networking program is expected to continue to be a primary growth vehicle for Anza in the future. In addition, the mortgage banking division of AMRES is expected to continue its expansion over the next several months, including applying to FannieMae as a seller/servicer.
ANZA CAPITAL, INC.
AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
CONTINUED
2002 2001
Net increase in cash. 2,859,883 540,769
Cash at beginning of . 707,851 92,886
-------------- --------------
Cash at end of period. $ 3,567,734 $ 633,655
xxrayeyes~need your eyes on DHB lol
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=875581
can you see something in the last few days that I appear to have missed?
towards the end of the post below I noted the "notes A vs B" issue as up dated on DJ biz wire later on the day of the earning announcement and I *guess* that might be it (FA) but knowing your expertise in TA I could use the insight lol
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=873505
TIA
kp
People need a place to live, right?
that's what I'm counting on! if it wasn't for real estate values increasing, I'd have no hope of retirement.
It isn't good news, that's for sure. The economy seems to be teetering along right now. I think that we should concentrate on GDP for now as most other signals have been mixed. If we can keep GDP growing even slowly, we will eventually climb out of the funk we are in. The housing market has been burning it up over the last few years so a breather might be in order. One good thing is that the population continues to grow at a rapid pace so one would think that any slow down in the housing market would be temporary. People need a place to live, right?
this board has been a bit quiet lately. What do you think of the news about new homes sales at two year low? Doesn't sound good....
After a quick glance, I like it a lot. They are doing very well and are in a very good industry. The geopolitical environment is not likey to change anytime soon and their products should continue to be in demand. They had a very nice 4th quarter and full year in 2002 and a positive out look for sales in the first quarter of 2003. Thanks for bringing it to my attention!
Thanks! I'll check it out. Looks pretty good though. At the low end of its trading range, low P/E and strong up move on very strong volume. Thanks for the heads up!
aLOha xxrayeyes... couldn't agree more!
I rarely post here. The OTC market has not really been very active of late and I have grown much more interested in dividend stocks
Are you familiar with "DHB"-AMEX... I thought I would drop you some DD (I know, how does one offer up DD to the *King* of DD <bg>) ...but I understand they are smoking in after hours --closed at 2.32 and was up to $2.62 after their CC today...
Last Trade> 3:59pm · $2.32 Change> + $0.19 (+8.92%) Prev Cls...2.13 Open...2.18
Volume...454,900
Avg Vol...173,181
Day's Range...2.15 - 2.40
Bid...N/A Ask N/A
P/E......6.09
Mkt Cap...93.8M
52-wk Range> 1.26 - 7.40
disclosure>> I purchased shares today prior to my posting DD and commenting on this firm. With today's close I am currently slightly underwater <Bg> ...normally my buying is a sure sign it will head south lol
================================
I have been posting info on both the $5 and under board along with Tim's BTS board where the main DD run is at;
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=869426
best!
kp
CETV just got a 353 million dollar judgement. Check this out.
http://ragingbull.lycos.com/mboard/boards.cgi?board=WLDI&read=64856
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As you know, NewsMax is one of the leading online news services that stands for American values. Now you can help us support America and President Bush.
You may also know about NewsMax Magazine, edited by Christopher Ruddy, with great columns from Bill O'Reilly, David Limbaugh, Thomas Sowell, Michelle Malkin, Mike Reagan and many others.
With your help we can reach millions of Americans, send a wake-up call to cowardly France, and show strong support for our soldiers in the field who are risking their lives for all of us.
Now, NewsMax's "Boycott France" wants to reach millions of Americans, send a wakeup call to cowardly France, and show strong support for our soldiers in the field who are risking their lives for all of us – but we need your help to do this!
Our national "Boycott Cowardly France Campaign" will expose France, support our President, and tell the truth to America and the world.
Ultimately what's at stake is nothing less than the lives of thousands of soldiers and millions of Americans
This campaign can also rally all those people now sitting on the fence and provide our men and women in uniform with the support they need to win.
Here is some of the urgent information we will reveal to the world.
The real reason why France is trying to block America
The French claim they are fighting for peace and taking the moral high ground by attempting to block support for America’s campaign to eliminate Saddam Hussein.
That’s a pack of self-serving lies.
The reality is that France has been in bed with the genocidal Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein for decades. As the New York Post reports:
France has massive investments in Iraq (and has made a fortune out of the U.N. oil-for-food program). Everyone knows that it is worried that a successor regime might not honor contracts made by Saddam.
For decades France has been taking blood money from one of the worst dictators on earth, and now they’re guardians of morality? I don’t think so.
Paris is in fact a charter member of the “Axis of Weasel” and the French don’t care that their efforts not only may cause American men and women to die needlessly but also put millions in the U.S. and throughout the world at risk of a new wave of terrorist attacks, as long as they can protect their blood money.
France’s long “hate America” campaign
Whether it’s supporting terrorist-abetting Cuban dictator Fidel Castro or nosily denouncing U.S. capital punishment, France seldom passes up an opportunity to oppose America in the United Nations and elsewhere.
The sad reality is that current French leaders envy and hate America for our power and wealth. While America has been prospering, France (along with much of Western Europe) remains deeply mired in economic stagnation created by a failed socialist economy and myopic leaders.
France’s new “hate America” campaign is particularly despicable when considering the history of American aid to France.
When Germany threatened France during World War I, American doughboys came to the rescue.
Thirty years later, when France was conquered by Nazi Germany and her people enslaved, tens of thousands of Americans gave their lives to defeat their German conquerors and free France.
After World War II, France was one of the largest beneficiaries of the U.S. Marshall Plan which saved the French from destitution and rebuilt their economy.
Then, when the Soviet Union threatened Europe during the Cold War, for over 40 years the American nuclear shield again protected France from Soviet conquest.
Again and again America has saved France from political annihilation and slavery. But instead of appreciation, again and again we have received sneering derision.
When America went toe to toe with Castro during the Cuban Missile Crisis, the French said they would not stand with us.
When President Reagan bombed Khadafy’s Libya after it sponsored terrorism that killed American soldiers, the French refused to allow US bombers to cross its airspace.
Today, as Chairman of the Pentagon’s Policy Advisory Board Richard Perle observes: "France is no longer the ally it once was. I have long thought that there were forces in France intent on reducing the American role in the world."
‘Beneath Contempt’
And it gets even worse. Even Left Coast Democrat Rep. Tom Lantos of California said he was "particularly disgusted by the blind intransigence and utter ingratitude" of the Axis of Weasel after it gave Saddam the green light to attack Turkey.
"If it were not for the heroic efforts of America's military, France, Germany and Belgium today would be Soviet socialist republics," Lantos noted. "The failure of these three states to honor their commitments is beneath contempt."
So fanatical is French President Jacques Chirac's jealousy and hatred of America that even his fellow Europeans are now expressing outrage at his implication that France would block now independent former Soviet satellites from joining the European Union because they are too "pro-American."
"They missed a good opportunity to keep quiet," Chirac huffed, and went on to claim that those who support America were "childish and irresponsible."
But what can you expect from politicians from a country that virtually surrendered to the Wehrmacht without a fight, and then eagerly collaborated with Nazi Germany?
It’s no wonder that more and more Americans and others throughout the world are sick of France’s arrogance and cowardice, and there is a growing global movement to boycott French goods.
The time has come to hit ungrateful,
cowardly France where it counts: in the wallet.
As the war on terrorism heats up, now is the time for all patriotic Americans to show their support for our President and our country.
That is why NewsMax is launching our national "Boycott Cowardly France Campaign". With your help, we can reach millions.
If Paris wants to keep profiting from Saddam Hussein, Americans should just say no to French goods.
Boycott all things French: their gooey cheeses, their overpriced wines, their rip-off Perrier and Evian water, their crummy automobiles...
And most of all we will be boycotting their white flags. As President Bush said, we shall not surrender to evil and terrorists.
Please take a moment now and stand up for our country, our boys in uniform, and all who oppose terrorism by supporting our "Boycott Cowardly France Campaign".
NewsMax plans a nationwide ad campaign to encourage Americans to boycott France. You can help us. Please send what you can afford $50, $20, even $10. It will send France a message they will never forget.
Join NewsMax’s "Boycott Cowardly France Campaign"
Yes, I want to join the boycott lead by NewsMax.com, one of America’s leading online news services.
I also want to help NewsMax’s effort to alert millions of Americans to the "Boycott Cowardly France Campaign".
NewsMax plans to take out newspaper ads, internet ads, and if funds allow, radio and TV commercials to encourage Americans to boycott French goods, products, travel and services.
This will send a wake up call to the Paris elitists – betray America and the Western alliance at your own cost!
NewsMax has an ambitious program to reach millions of Americans – if contributions allow – for ads in the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, and major papers across the country.
This will not only inform millions of Americans, but send a wake up call to France, and make them reluctant to obstruct America, Britain and other allies.
We believe France, by not making a united front against terrorism, has put America at risk to terrorism. They have also weakened Western resolve as American troops are on the line in the sands of the mid East.
Your contributions can make a difference. NewsMax has done these informational campaign to great effect during the Elian Controversy and Election Crisis of 2000. We reached millions in those campaign with full pages ads in the NY Times and TV commercials on Fox News and elsewhere.
Now you can send your message to France: We will not economically support countries that support terrorism and will not stand with us.
Contribute to “Boycott Cowardly France Campaign.”
Yes, I want to contribute to NewsMax’s “Boycott Cowardly France Campaign.”
Please find enclosed my contribution to help take out ads to inform millions of Americans of France’s betrayal and not to buy French goods and services. I understand my contribution is not tax-deductible.
Contribute Online: Simply fill out the credit card info below and press the "Submit Contribution" button.
Contribute By Mail: Simply print this form out, fill in all information and enclose a check payable to NewsMax.com and mail to:
NewsMax.com
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