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Shares of Electric Vehicle Maker Nio Inc Stall Out Before Earnings
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | March 23, 2022
• The electric vehicle maker reports earnings after the close tomorrow, March 24
• The stock hasn't fared too well after earnings in the past two years
The shares of Nio Inc (NYSE:NIO) are down 0.6% today, last seen trading at $21.62 as the Tesla (TLSA) competitor gets ready to step into the earnings confessional. Nio is set to report fourth-quarter financial results after the close tomorrow, March 24, and analysts are anticipating a loss of -2.97 Chinese Yuan, or around 47 cents.
A look back at Nio stock's post-earnings history during the past two years shows a overwhelmingly dismal response, with only one of the last eight next-day sessions ending higher -- a 2.2% rise last April. NIO has averaged a large post-earnings swing of 7.2%, regardless of direction. This time around, the options market is pricing in a much larger move of 13%.
The equity has steadily trended lower over the last six months, culminating in a 19-month low of $13.01 on March 15. Pressure from the 60-day moving average remains firmly overhead, and in the last 12 months Nio stock has shed more than 46%.
The options pits have been pessimistic, with puts popular over the last 10 weeks. Over at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), Nio stock sports a 50-day put/call volume ratio that sits higher than 99% of annual readings. This suggests long puts are getting picked up at a much quicker-than-usual pace.
Short sellers have been piling on NIO of late. Specifically, short interest added 16.5% in the last two reporting periods, and the 78.11 million shares sold short make up 6% of the stock's available float, or just over one day worth of pent-up buying power.
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NIO Slides Despite Positive Deutsche Bank Comments
By: Investing.com | March 21, 2022
Shares of Chinese electric vehicle company Nio Inc (NYSE:NIO) fell over 3% Monday ahead of its earnings release later this week.
The company, which has seen its share price decline 35% in 2022, is set to report earnings after the bell Thursday.
Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu cut the firm's price target on NIO to $50 from $70, despite providing positive commentary on the company in a note to investors.
Yu explained in a research note that NIO has "cultivated an aspirational premium brand, underpinned by a leading service infrastructure that no domestic automaker has been able to match."
The analyst pointed to operational bottlenecks stagnating the company's volumes in the last few quarters but added that NIO's deliveries are on track to increase from 10,000 per month to 25,000 at the end of the year.
Yu said NIO's ET7 and ET5 models will be the most desired cars in China this year.
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$NIO Monthly Chart. #NIO month isn't over yet, but beginning to form a monthly hammer candlestick
By: ReciKnows | March 19, 2022
• $NIO Monthly. #NIO month isn't over yet, but beginning to form a monthly hammer candlestick.
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NIO Earnings Preview: Here’s What You Need to Know
By: TipRanks | March 18, 2022
Chinese electric vehicle (EV) maker NIO Inc. (NIO) is on a massive expansion drive in 2022. The company is scheduled to release its fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 earnings results on March 24, 2022, after the market close, and investors eagerly wait to see if the upcoming financial data update justifies bullish ratings on NIO stock.
NIO's Record High Deliveries to Lift Q4 Revenue
The EV maker remains committed to providing monthly updates on vehicle deliveries. Vehicle deliveries during the fourth quarter amounted to 25,034 vehicles - a new record-high quarterly delivery in the company's history. Fourth-quarter deliveries represented a 44.3% year-over-year increase. Deliveries reached 24,439 vehicles during the third quarter.
NIO delivered 91,429 vehicles during the year 2021, a strong deliveries growth rate of 109.1% year-over-year. Fourth-quarter vehicle deliveries were well within management guidance range, well upper range, a sign that the company will likely report revenue within the anticipated range. Revenue should surge as deliveries grow.
Revenue Estimates for NIO Show Sequential Decline
Back in November, management at NIO provided fourth-quarter revenue guidance for between $1.48 billion and $1.60 billion, representing an increase of 41.2% to 52.2% year-over-year and either a sequential decline of 4.4% or an increase of 3.1% from the previous quarter.
Wall Street analysts currently project RMB 9,75 billion ($1.53 billion) revenue for NIO's fourth quarter. Revenue for the third quarter was RMB 9.8 billion. Analyst estimates imply a sequentially softer revenue performance during the fourth quarter, despite higher deliveries.
Perhaps market watchers see sequentially lower "Other" revenue from charging, battery swaps, and sales of regulatory credits. The company's "Other" revenue segment was the fastest-growing after a 118% sequential sales growth to $181.4 million (12% of quarterly revenue) during the third quarter.
Analysts expect -$0.14 per diluted share for the fourth quarter, which could show an improvement from the previous year's $1.05 loss per share.
Importantly, NIO has beaten analysts' EPS forecasts over the last two consecutive quarters.
Key Revenue Drivers for NIO in 2022
Product portfolio growth, geographical expansion, and the global chip supply situation may drive the company's revenue performance in 2022.
NIO's vehicle sales accounted for 88% of total revenue during the third quarter of 2021. Since releasing its first EV model in 2016, the EP9, NIO has grown its product portfolio to three current models, the ES8, the ES6, and the EC6.
The company unveiled a mid-sized smart EV sedan in December last year, the ET5, which will be available to the Chinese market in September 2022. Investors expect three new model launches this year.
Order confirmations for a new flagship model, the ET7 have already started, and deliveries will commence on March 28, 2022. The company unveiled the ET7 in January last year.
Unlike its immediate competitor Li Auto (LI), which is a bit reserved about launching new models, NIO is taking an aggressive growth stance. It's launching new models at varying price points to capture a larger diversified driver base.
The company will continue to expand its charging and battery swapping network in 2022. It plans to launch sales in Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden, and Denmark this year. By 2025, NIO expects to have a presence in over 25 countries and regions worldwide.
Product portfolio growth and geographical expansions will unlock new growth potential for NIO this year. Improved chip supplies could boost productivity across the whole EV manufacturing industry globally.
The Future Looks More Derisked
Until recently, NIO stock was listed only on the New York Stock Exchange. The risk of Chinese stocks being delisted from U.S. exchanges was uniquely significant to it. This is no longer the case.
NIO finally listed its shares on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong (SEHK) on March 9, 2022. Hong Kong-listed shares are fully fungible with the American depositary shares (ADSs) listed on the NYSE.
Investors have another venue to continue trading in NIO stock if Chinese shares leave American markets.
Wall Street's Take
Turning to Wall Street, NIO earns a Strong Buy consensus rating from Wall Street analysts based on 10 Buys vs. 2 Holds. At the time of writing, the average NIO stock price target of $51.14 represents 176.4% upside potential over the next 12 months.
Investor Takeaway
NIO's future looks brighter as the company increases its production footprint, expands its product portfolio, and widens its geographic reach. More so as the world increasingly embraces electric vehicles as it fights the harsh realities of global climate change.
That said, NIO is still a Chinese company that faces unique equity risks not shared with U.S. and European EV stocks. Geopolitical tensions may potentially suppress its valuation for longer.
However, shares could rally should there be any breakthroughs on the U.S. and Chinese regulatory impasse regarding outstanding audit-related issues.
A listing on the Hong Kong market acts as a hedge should the worst happen.
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$NIO From retesting IPOs to breaking out on the daily!
By: TrendSpider | March 18, 2022
• $NIO From retesting IPOs to breaking out on the daily!
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NIO (NIO) to Release Earnings on Thursday
By: MarketBeat | March 17, 2022
• NIO (NYSE:NIO - Get Rating) will post its quarterly earnings results after the market closes on Thursday, March 24th. Individual that wish to register for the company's earnings conference call can do so using this link...
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NIO (NYSE:NIO) Coverage Initiated by Analysts at Citigroup
By: MarketBeat | March 16, 2022
• Investment analysts at Citigroup began coverage on shares of NIO (NYSE:NIO - Get Rating) in a report released on Wednesday, Briefing.com reports. The firm set a "buy" rating on the stock...
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[color=darkblue][Update] $NIO Daily Chart. Huge bounce off prior weekly support. Wait for pullback to play the bounce [/color]
By: ReciKnows | March 17, 2022
• [Update] $NIO Daily. Huge bounce off prior weekly support. Wait for pullback to play the bounce.
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$NIO Turning red to green as price finds some support off the IPO previous highs
By: TrendSpider | March 15, 2022
• $NIO Turning red to green as price finds some support off the IPO previous highs.
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$NIO Weekly Chart. Between fears of US delisting, Ukraine/Russia war, COVID, and inflation China names are getting hit big time
By: ReciKnows | March 13, 2022
• $NIO Weekly. Between fears of US delisting, Ukraine/Russia war, COVID, and inflation China names are getting hit big time.
Wouldn't be surprised to see #NIO in single digits soon.
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$NIO, one of the bubble stocks of 2020 is approaching its next weekly cycle low, next week or the following
By: CyclesFan | March 11, 2022
• $NIO, one of the bubble stocks of 2020 is approaching its next weekly cycle low, next week or the following. One thing is certain, the gap at 9.40 will be filled later this year or by early 2023. It's likely to have a 85-90% haircut from the 2021 high.
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$NIO Breaking down after failing to cross the 8/21 MA Cloud
By: TrendSpider | March 10, 2022
• $NIO Breaking down after failing to cross the 8/21 MA Cloud.
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Why NIO Stock Is Down By 13% Today
By: Vladimir Zernov | March 10, 2022
• The stock is trying to settle below the $18 level.
NIO Stock Retreats As The Company’s Shares Start Trading In Hong Kong
Shares of the Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO gained additional downside momentum after the company’s stock began to trade in Hong Kong.
The stock reached highs near the $67 level back at the beginning of 2021 but moved below the $20 level in 2022 on fears about the ongoing crackdown on tech companies in China and the risks of delisting due to worsening U.S. – China relations.
The listing in Hong Kong has clearly ignited fears of delisting from U.S. markets. Such risks have been recently highlighted by the trading action in U.S.- listed Russian stocks, which have been effectively frozen when the relations between Russia and the West hit new lows.
The current situation in commodity markets raises concerns about future profit margins of electric vehicle markets so many EV stocks, including Tesla, have been trending lower in recent weeks.
What’s Next For NIO Stock?
Analysts expect that NIO will report a loss of $0.24 per share in 2022, so the company is projected to remain unprofitable in the near term.
Analyst estimates have been mostly stable in recent weeks but they will likely start to trend lower due to recent developments in commodity markets.
The stock is hit by multiple risks, including caution towards unprofitable companies, delisting fears and the rally in commodity markets.
The company has already lost more than 40% of its market capitalization since the beginning of this year but it remains to be seen whether speculative traders will rush to buy NIO stock.
At this point, it looks that traders will wait for an upside trend in the market leader Tesla before buying other EV stocks.
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$NIO Hanging on by a thread, descending triangle getting ready to push lower
By: Theta Warrior | March 7, 2022
• $NIO Hanging on by a thread, descending triangle getting ready to push lower.
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$NIO Weekly Chart Breaking Down After Failing to Reclaim the Wedge/Triangle
By: Theta Warrior | March 6, 2022
• $NIO Weekly breaking down after failing to reclaim the wedge/triangle.
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NIO Power is a mobile internet-based power solution with extensive networks for battery charging and battery swap facilities. Enhanced by Power Cloud, it offers a power service
the system with chargeable, swappable, and upgradable batteries to provide users with power services catering to all scenarios.
NIO News
 NIO's Game-changer: Unveiling the 1,000 KM Range Electric Vehicle Battery | New Era in EV Technology! | |
 NIO featured on CNN |
Company Contact Information:
NIO. Inc. (China) P:862169083306
No. 56 Antuo Road Investor
Jiading Shanghai 201804 Relations
Website: www.nio.com
Twitter twitter.com/NIOGlobal
Instagram www.instagram.com/nioglobal
Facebook www.facebook.com/NIOGlobal
News www.nio.com/news
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