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Nvidia's (NVDA) stock-market hot streak is far from over, according to Wall Street analysts
By: Morningstar | February 23, 2023
The chip-design company could be approaching 'the strongest new-product cycles' in its history, says a UBS analyst
Nvidia Corp.'s stock has been a massive outperformer lately, and the company's latest results suggest to some analysts that the run-up is not finished.
Taking into account a 12% Thursday gain as of midday, Nvidia shares (NVDA) are up 59% this year, as the S&P 500 has risen about 4% and the PHLX Semiconductor Index has rallied 16%.
"In hindsight, we acknowledge that our decision to remain on the sidelines in anticipation of a pullback in the company's fundamentals was wrong," Goldman Sachs analyst Toshiya Hari wrote as he upgraded Nvidia's stock to buy from neutral Thursday.
He added that "the combination of positive estimate revisions and a potentialexpansion in the stock's multiple -- consistent with historical recovery phases -- will drive continued outperformance in the stock."
Hari is increasingly upbeat about Nvidia's opportunity in artificial intelligence, a key topic of conversation on Wednesday afternoon's earnings call.
"Given the recent emergence and potential proliferation of generative AI, we envision the rate of Nvidia's wallet-share growth within the context of overall cloud [capital expenditures] accelerating in the near to medium term," Hari wrote.
Bernstein's Stacy Rasgon also sees more room to rally for Nvidia shares. "Given the run the stock has had we believe many were nervous into the print, but the results seem to bolster the set-up from here which seems good at this point," Rasgon wrote. "Tactically, following the results investors can now buy the stock at the start of a datacenter ramp, with a strong (and roughly normalized) gaming trajectory."
Rasgon also noted that "there are further elements now starting to emerge that can let longer-term investors dream the dream," including opportunities in AI software and Mercedes automotive software.
He rates Nvidia's stock outperform and bumped his price target up to $265 from $200.
UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri was similarly upbeat.
Arcuri wrote that UBS has "long said that NVDA is a product-cycle stock," and it now is "on the cusp of what might be the strongest new-product cycles and [total addressable market] expansion in the history of the company."
He allowed that "other derivative ways to play AI" exist but said that none of those come close to Nvidia. UBS is maintaining a buy rating on the stock and keeping a $270 share-price target intact.
Of the 45 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Nvidia's stock, 30 have buy ratings on it, while 13 have hold ratings, and two have sell ratings. The average share-price target is $238.09.
One of the sidelined analysts, Matt Bryson of Wedbush, didn't change his neutral rating despite seeing "a lot to like" in the latest Nvidia numbers.
"We remain very optimistic around the company's longer-term opportunity and [its] positioning in its core markets, but are somewhat wary of the high valuation, particularly in light of a difficult macro backdrop," he wrote.
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Most Bearish Flow Today $NVDA $TSLA $AAPL
By: Cheddar Flow | February 23, 2023
• Most Bearish Flow Today
$NVDA $TSLA $AAPL
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237's back this one gonna visit higher grounds eventually, yup, ANT
$NVDA More Puts Hitting The Tape
By: Cheddar Flow | February 23, 2023
• $NVDA More Puts Hitting The Tape
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NVDA 02/24/2023 210.00 C 4 7134.49 17.836225 7097.13 17.742825 02/22/2023 - N/A 02/23/2023 - 09:31:10 ET
NVDA 02/24/2023 210.00 C 1 1783.65 17.8365 1774.3 17.743 02/22/2023 - N/A 02/23/2023 - 09:31:09 ET
237 and rsi still at 66, we got room enough, maybe do it AI style, i don't mind, i'm stayin' long, ANT
238,24~~ and a 275 target just added, hmm, gonna keep some calls , ANT
25k usd in the pocket already, u got to build and have patience, that's all, luvin' it, ANT
You actually bought OTM calls last week and sold for a loss after because YOU BOUGHT THEM TOO EARLY.
thx DiscoverGold for postin' all the info on this board, top, ANT
Nvidia results show its growing lead in AI chip race
By: Investing.com | February 23, 2023
(Reuters) - As the artificial intelligence boom takes off, Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) Corp is expected to emerge as the biggest - though not the only - winner among chipmakers after years of focusing on the technology has made it a go-to supplier for tech firms.
AI has emerged as a bright spot for investments in the tech industry, whose slowing growth has led to widespread layoffs and a cutback on experimental bets.
The surge in interest helped Nvidia report better-than-expected quarterly earnings on Wednesday and forecast sales above beat Wall Street expectations, in stark contrast to a projected loss and dividend cut from rival Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC).
Nvidia's market valuation dwarfs that of Intel, AMD https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/buzz/byprlqlbkpe/MicrosoftTeams-image%20(9).png
Nvidia shares rose nearly 8% in trading before the bell on Thursday. They have jumped more than 40% since the turn of the year, nearly three times the gain in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index.
It now has a market value of more than $500 billion, about five times that of Intel, and is the seventh-largest publicly traded U.S. firm.
The key to the company's success is that it controls about 80% of the market for graphic processing units (GPUs), which are specialized chips that provide the kind of computing power required for services such as Microsoft-backed OpenAI's wildly popular ChatGPT chatbot.
SPECIALIZED CHIPS
Graphics processing units are designed to handle the specific kind of math involved in AI computing very efficiently, while generic central processing units (CPUs) from Intel can handle a broader range of computing tasks with less efficiency.
AI is taking over the tech industry and, according to research firm Gartner (NYSE:IT), the share of specialized chips such as GPUs that are used in data centers is expected to rise to more than 15% by 2026 from less than 3% in 2020.
Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), whose shares also rose after Nvidia earnings on Wednesday, is the second-biggest player in the GPU industry, with a market share of roughly 20%.
"The two companies that are leading the AI revolution on the hardware and processing side are Nvidia and AMD and, in our opinion, these two companies are head and shoulders above everybody else," Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar said.
Lisa Su-led AMD has made big investments in AI in recent years, including a series of chips designed to compete with Nvidia's fastest offerings. Intel holds a less than 1% share of the space.
Chipmakers set to reap gains from AI arms race https://www.reuters.com/graphics/AI-CHIPSNVIDIA/gdvzqdxnnpw/chart.png
"The enthusiasm around ChatGPT and the potential use case it unlocks likely represents an inflection point in adoption of AI," said Lei Qiu, a technology fund portfolio manager at AllianceBernstein (NYSE:AB), which has a 0.54% stake in Nvidia.
"While it is hard to pinpoint exactly how big AI is today as a percent of (Nvidia's) revenue, it has the potential to grow exponentially as large tech companies race to develop similar types of AI applications," Qiu said.
Nvidia's strength in the AI industry has also attracted the attention of venture capitalists and startups, which are investing billions of dollars and promising improvements such as lower electricity consumption.
None of them have so far made a big dent in Nvidia's business.
INTEL NO LONGER INSIDE
All of this is bad news for Intel, which is also shedding CPU market share to AMD in the data center and personal computer industries that it once dominated. The company now risks losing out on the next growth leg of the industry.
It has in recent months made efforts to sharpen focus on GPUs including a move in December to split its graphic chips unit into two: one focused on personal computers and the other working on data center and AI.
Still, analysts say the company has a long way to go before Intel can make a dent in the market.
"Intel has more designs it has built to try and penetrate the (AI) market ... but to date it's seen a disappointing amount of traction despite its plethora of solutions," Wedbush Securities analyst Matthew Bryson said.
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NVIDIA extends gains as Goldman upgrades to Buy on expected stock outperformance
By: Investing.com | February 23, 2023
Shares of Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) have continued to trade higher in pre-market Thursday after Goldman Sachs analysts upgraded to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $275 per share.
The upgrade move comes after Nvidia stock rallied over 110% from October 2022 to this February, when it exceeded $230 per share for the first time in 10 months.
"In hindsight, we acknowledge that our decision to remain on the sidelines in anticipation of a pullback in the company’s fundamentals was wrong. Looking ahead, while we recognize that the stock has meaningfully outperformed the group YTD, we are upgrading the stock from Neutral to Buy," the analysts wrote in an upgrade note.
They said Nvidia delivered "impressive" results, driven by higher-than-expected Gaming revenue and disciplined expense management.
"We believe the combination of positive estimate revisions and a potential expansion in the stock’s multiple - consistent with historical recovery phases - will drive continued outperformance in the stock," the analysts added.
As of 08:30 EST (13:30 GMT), Nvidia shares trade 11% higher in pre-market.
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expect some price targets to be raised, cc includes a rough estimate of nxt quarter, just sayin', ANT
I bought 210 calls yesterday before close. Wow
lol you still hate nvda, lvhd! Yesterday Josh Brown who is big on nvda said it might not be a good idea to buy prior to earnings because of high valuations - thought it might dip if the numbers weren't what were expected. I was going to add a few yesterday but instead took his advice after I heard him say that. Doesn't matter because if he were right I would have been happy with the decision. No one really knows for sure day to day price fluctuations.
Cathie Wood & Ark Invest's Sells 7,257 More Shares of Nvidia (NVDA)
By: Ark Invest Daily | February 22, 2023
• Cathie Wood and Ark Invest's trade activity from today 2/22.
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"we adapt to the macro-environment, we manage supplies and clear the way for new products"
A leader always has to be ahead of things, and nvda does it extremely well, imosho ANT
Nvidia's $NVDA annual revenue since 2005
By: StockMKTNewz | February 22, 2023
• Nvidia's $NVDA annual revenue since 2005
2005: $2.4B
2006: $3.1B
2007: $4.1B
2008: $3.4B
2009: $3.3B
2010: $3.5B
2011: $4B
2012: $4.3B
2013: $4.1B
2014: $4.7B
2015: $5B
2016: $6.9B
2017: $9.7B
2018: $11.7B
2019: $10.8B
2020: $16.7B
2021: $26.9B
2022: $27B
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Nvidia's $NVDA Q4 revenue since 2007
By: StockMKTNewz | February 22, 2023
• Nvidia's $NVDA Q4 revenue since 2007
Q4 2007: $1.2B
Q4 2008: $481M
Q4 2009: $982M
Q4 2010: $886M
Q4 2011: $953M
Q4 2012: $1.1B
Q4 2013: $1.1B
Q4 2014: $1.3B
Q4 2015: $1.4B
Q4 2016: $2.2B
Q4 2017: $2.9B
Q4 2018: $2.2B
Q4 2019: $3.1B
Q4 2020: $5B
Q4 2021: $7.64B
Q4 2022: $6.05B
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NVIDIA guidance stokes hopes on bottom in chip demand after Q4 results beat
By: Investing.com | February 22, 2023
NVIDIA reported on Wednesday guidance that stoked hopes that demand for chips has bottomed as the chipmaker delivered fourth-quarter results that topped Wall Street estimates, led by growth in its data center business despite the impact of weaker enterprise spending.
NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) shares rose 7% in after-hours trade following the report.
NVIDIA announced earnings per share of $0.88 on revenue of $6.05 billion. Analysts polled by Investing.com anticipated EPS of $0.81 on revenue of $6.01B.
Revenue in its gaming business fell 46% to $1.83B for the quarter year-on-year, while its data center business grew revenue 11% to $3.62B year-on-year in Q4.
The company, however, touted an ongoing recovery in gaming from the post-pandemic downturn, with “gamers enthusiastically embracing the new Ada architecture GPUs with AI neural rendering.”
Looking ahead to Q1, revenue is expected to be $6.50B, plus or minus 2%, with gross margins forecast to be 64.1%, plus or minus 50 basis points. Wall Street analysts were looking for Q1 revenue of $6.43B.
Investor sentiment on NVIDIA has been boosted recently as Wall Street anticipates demand for the chipmaker’s omniverse technology platform will be boosted by Facebook’s investment to build on its metaverse.
Sentiment on the chipmaker, which has seen its stock gain about 41% year-to-date, has improved since the turn of the year with some attributing the strength to expectations that the AI arms race in big tech will drive demand for chips.
Others, however, are less certain about how much the recent surge in interest in AI has driven near-term chip demand.
“While ChatGPT has highlighted the future potential for AI solutions (with Nvidia the clear leader in this space), we are less certain that its popularity has shifted the near-term demand for data center accelerators,” Wedbush said in a note.
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$NVDA Sales in the three months ending in April will be about $6.5 billion. That compares with an average of analysts’ estimates of $6.35 billion.
By: Cheddar Flow | February 22, 2023
• $NVDA Sales in the three months ending in April will be about $6.5 billion. That compares with an average of analysts’ estimates of $6.35 billion.
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Nice quarter!!!!!
NVIDIA $NVDA Earnings are out:
By: StockMKTNewz | February 22, 2023
• NVIDIA $NVDA EARNINGS ARE OUT
EPS of $0.88 beating expectations of $0.80
Revenue of $6.05B beating expectations of $6.02B
NVIDIA SEES 1Q REV. $6.50B PLUS OR MINUS 2%, EST. $6.35B
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Big mistake. GL
I sold some INTC and took a position in NVDA this morning.
Nvidia $NVDA reports earnings after the market close, Wall ST is expecting numbers of
By: StockMKTNewz | February 22, 2023
• Nvidia $NVDA reports earnings after the market close, Wall ST is expecting numbers of
EPS of $0.80 down from $1.32 in Q4 2021
Revenue of $6.02B down from $7.64B in Q4 2021
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Cathie Wood & Ark Invest's Sells 8,646 Shares of Nvidia (NVDA)
By: Ark Invest Daily | February 21, 2023
• Cathie Wood and Ark Invest's trade activity from today 2/21.
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Microsoft inks Nvidia game deal to assuage regulators over Activision merger
By: Investing.com | February 21, 2023
BRUSSELS (Reuters) - Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT) has struck a 10-year deal to bring "Call of Duty" and other Activision games to Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) Corp's gaming platform, if the Xbox maker is allowed to complete its much-contested $69 billion acquisition of Activision.
Regulators and competitors like Sony (NYSE:SONY) have come out hard against the proposed Microsoft-Activision tie-up, and a Nvidia deal could allay concerns by ensuring more ways for consumers to get games controlled by Microsoft.
Britain earlier this month said the deal could harm gamers by weakening the rivalry between Xbox and PlayStation, resulting in higher prices, fewer choices and less innovation for millions of players, as well as stifling competition in cloud gaming.
Microsoft President Brad Smith told a news conference on Tuesday he was now more optimistic of getting the Activision acquisition done after the Nvidia deal and a similar arrangement with Nintendo Co Ltd (TYO:7974).
Phil Eisler, vice president and general manager of Nvidia's GeForce Now segment, said that titles such that "Call of Duty" will not be available on Nvidia's service unless Microsoft acquires Activision but that other Microsoft-owned titles such as "Minecraft" are covered immediately under the 10-year license agreement.
"We were a little concerned about it at the beginning," Eisler said of the Microsoft-Activision deal. "But then we reached out to Microsoft, and they were very open about wanting to enable cloud gaming and work with us on a 10-year license agreement. So over time, they made us more and more comfortable with it."
Eisler said Nvidia is not paying Microsoft for access to the titles, which is the same arrangement the company has with other gaming companies such as "Fortnite" maker Epic Games. Instead, Nvidia's 25 million customers will need to pay Nvidia for access to its cloud gaming platform and pay Microsoft for its games.
Shares of Microsoft were down 2.2%, Nvidia was down 2.8% and Activision was down 0.6% in a broadly lower market on Tuesday afternoon.
Nvidia said it now supports the Xbox maker's bid to purchase Activision, but the deal could still be a hard sell with regulators. European officials issued Microsoft a warning about the deal earlier this month, while the U.S. Federal Trade Commission has asked a judge to block it. The UK competition watchdog has said Microsoft may have to divest "Call of Duty."
Smith said he hoped that rival Sony Group Corp will consider doing the same type of deal with Nvidia.
Sony has led opposition to the Microsoft-Activision deal, saying last year it was "bad for competition, bad for the gaming industry and bad for gamers themselves."
Apart from Sony and Nvidia, other companies including Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Inc's Google had expressed concerns to the FTC about the deal, according to media reports.
Microsoft has pledged to keep "Call of Duty" on Sony's PlayStation. The popularity of the first-person shooter franchise is undimmed nearly two decades after launch, with the latest installment achieving $1 billion sales in its first 10 days in October.
The U.S. tech giant has said the deal is about more than "Call of Duty." It has said buying the company that also makes "Overwatch" and "Candy Crush" would charge its growth in mobile, PC, and cloud gaming, as well as consoles, helping it compete with the likes of Tencent as well as Sony. (This story has been corrected to clarify that Nvidia does not charge game publishers to make titles available on its cloud service in paragraph 7)
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Earnings Preview: Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA)
By: 24/7 Wall St. | February 21, 2023
• Here is a look at what to expect when the following four companies report results after Wednesday’s close.
Nvidia
At the end of its third fiscal quarter in October, chipmaker Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA) had been having a rough year. Shares were down by more than 45% and there was little in the way of good news about the company’s prospects. Since reporting those results, the share price has improved by nearly 98%.
The upheaval caused by OpenAI’s release of ChatGPT has given Nvidia a shot in the arm as well because the number and speed of calculations required for a really functional AI chatbot play right into Nvidia’s chipmaking strength. That impact may be a while in coming, but in the meantime, there is the company’s newly designed chip for the Chinese data center market that could provide some near-term boost to revenue.
In any event, analysts remain bullish on the stock, with 31 of 44 brokerages having a Buy or Strong Buy rating. Another 11 rate it at Hold. At a share price of around $214.00, the upside potential based on a median price target of $220.00 is about 2.8%. At the high target of $320.00, the upside potential is more than 50%.
For Nvidia’s fiscal fourth quarter, which ended in January, analysts expect revenue of $6.02 billion, up 1.5% sequentially but down 21.2% year over year. Adjusted EPS are forecast to rise by about 38.5% sequentially to $0.80, a drop of more than 39% year over year. For the full 2023 fiscal year, analysts estimate EPS of $3.27, down 26.4%, and revenue of $26.94 billion, up just 0.1%.
Nvidia stock trades at 65.5 times expected 2023 EPS, 49.5 times estimated 2024 earnings of $4.32 and 37.6 times estimated 2025 EPS of $5.69 per share. The stock’s 52-week range is $108.13 to $289.46. Nvidia pays an annual dividend of $0.16 (yield of 0.07%). Total shareholder return for the past 12 months was negative 12.65%.
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finally, nvda numbers week, ANT
The price target for NVIDIA has been raised to $250.00.
The company’s stock has a beta value of 1.79, a price-to-earnings ratio of 93.63, a price-to-earnings-to-growth ratio of 6.19, and a market capitalization of $547.85 billion at the current time. NVIDIA reached a new all-time high of $289.46 last year, while the company hit a new all-time low of $108.13.
NVDA Some noteworthy call flow from Nvidia ahead of Wednesday's earnings report!
By: TrendSpider | February 19, 2023
• $NVDA Some noteworthy call flow from Nvidia ahead of Wednesday's earnings report!
Place your bets, up or down?
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Oppenheimer sees NVIDIA earnings in-line or better than expectations
By: Investing.com | February 17, 2023
NVIDIA's (NASDAQ:NVDA) price target was raised to $250 per share ahead of the company's upcoming earnings release on February 22.
Oppenheimer analysts reiterated an Outperform rating on the stock, telling investors that the firm sees Nvidia reporting an in-line/better print.
They also expect the company's fiscal first quarter outlook to be roughly in line with consensus.
"Investors will pay careful attention to DC commentary amidst growing concerns over hyperscale spend plans," the analysts write. "In our view, AI is core to cloud titan build plans and likely sacrosanct even in a slowing macro."
Oppenheimer expects hyperscale spending to be up 7% to 8% this year and gaming channel inventory to normalize.
"40-series GPU demand appears robust. We see gaming segment tracking to normal $10B/year run-rate in C2H. F4Q GM approaches steady-state 66% following two-quarters of extraordinary charges," add analysts. "NVDA's AI-led structural growth thesis intact. DC, high-performance gaming, and auto present triple play for sustained growth."
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in some calls for next week. They will pump again
with a long weekend ahead, i'm on the hunt for more, N V D A, ANT
Cathie Wood & Ark Invest's Sells 40,155 Shares of Nvidia (NVDA)
By: Ark Invest Daily | February 16, 2023
• Cathie Wood and Ark Invest's trade activity from today 2/16.
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NVIDIA raised at Susquehanna ahead of 4Q print
By: Investing.com | February 16, 2023
Susquehanna reiterated a positive rating on NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) and raised their price target on the stock to $265.00 (from $185.00) ahead of the tech company’s 4Q earnings report. NVIDIA will report 4Q results after the market closes on Wednesday, February 22.
Analysts wrote in a note, “While Data Center guidance from Intel and AMD were poor for 1H, NVIDIA has an opportunity to outperform peers given the momentum behind AI and newly launched applications like ChatGPT. While hyperscale capex has contracted of late, commentary suggests continued investment in AI (Meta) which could point to sustained spending for H100/A100. While Pro Viz has been digesting inventory over the past few quarters, and may last into March, we expect a restocking acceleration at some point in 2023. Lastly, Auto could demonstrate continued momentum given read-throughs from competitors such as Qualcomm.”
Given their commentary last quarter, the analysts believe NVIDIA will guide opex relatively flat (until the demand environment improves). They note a much higher bar for execution as NVIDIA has significantly outperformed the SOX since its last print.
The Street is expecting C4Q22 revenue to be up +1% QOQ, slightly below typical seasonality of up +2%, and in-line with management guidance of up +1.2% at the midpoint.
Shares of NVDA are down 1.88% in mid-day trading on Thursday.
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227 back and fishin' for options, ANT
down couple ticks $nvda
Nvidia $1.2 Million Put • Strike: 235 • Expiration: 2/17/23
By: Cheddar Flow | February 15, 2023
• $NVDA $1.2M Put
Strike: 235
Expiration: 2/17/23
*Above the Ask*
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Lod so far 221,06, just to keep in mind as we approach numbers, if ur an option player that is, ANT
some might just forget the AI importance but don't forget their urge to short, lol, whatever, do your homework and act accordingly, ANT
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http://www.nvidia.com
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation provides visual computing technologies designed to generate interactive graphics on consumer and professional computing devices
in the United States and internationally. It operates in four segments: Graphic Processing Unit (GPU), Media and Communications Processor (MCP),
Professional Solutions Business (PSB), and Consumer Products Business (CPB).
The GPU segment comprises products that support desktop and notebook personal computers, and plus memory products.
The MCP segment consists of NVIDIA nForce core logic and motherboard GPU products.
The PSB segment offers professional workstation products and other professional graphics products, including high-performance computing products.
The CPB segment provides mobile brands and products that support handheld personal media players, personal digital assistants, cellular phones,
and other handheld devices. This segment also licenses video game consoles and other digital consumer electronics devices.
The company markets its products to original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, add-in-card manufacturers, system builders,
and consumer electronics companies. NVIDIA was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
<img data-cke-saved-src="http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=nvda&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&i=p31506003373&a=81927329&r=373"; src="http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=nvda&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&i=p31506003373&a=81927329&r=373"; >"="" alt="">
PER IHUB MGMT 02-07-2021 DISCLAIMER; JUST TO MAKE SOME THINGS CLEAR I AM NOT AH FINANCIAL ADVISIOR & NOT AH BROKER. I AM JUST AH REGULAR GENT DAT LIKES TO CHAT CHATTER ON MANY COMPANIES. SOME I OWN AH LOT I DON'T. SO NOT RESPONSIBLE ANYTHING I DISCRIBE. DA MICK. |
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