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$MSFT $9.1 Million Call Seller (Very Unusual) Big whale looking to collect premium on these contracts
By: Cheddar Flow | October 6, 2023
• $MSFT $9.1M Call Seller (Very Unusual)
Big whale looking to collect premium on these contracts
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Microsoft $MSFT Double inside days for Microsoft with MACD dangerously close to an upside cross!
By: TrendSpider | October 5, 2023
• $MSFT Double inside days for Microsoft with MACD dangerously close to an upside cross!
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$MSFT $1.9 Million Put Seller (Highly Unusual) This whale is looking to collect premium on these contracts, since they were 'Sold to Open'
By: Cheddar Flow | October 4, 2023
• $MSFT $1.9M Put Seller (Highly Unusual)
This whale is looking to collect premium on these contracts, since they were 'Sold to Open'
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Microsoft $MSFT $4+ Million Put Seller (Unusual)
By: Cheddar Flow | October 2, 2023
• $MSFT $4M+ Put Seller (Unusual)
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Marcum Wealth LLC Trims Holdings in Microsoft Co. (MSFT)
By: MarketBeat | September 30, 2023
• Marcum Wealth LLC cut its stake in Microsoft Co. (NASDAQ:MSFT) by 5.2% in the 2nd quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the SEC. The institutional investor owned 38,366 shares of the software giant's stock after selling 2,099 shares during the quarter. Microsoft comprises about 1.5% of Marcum Wealth LLC's holdings, making the stock its 12th largest position. Marcum Wealth LLC's holdings in Microsoft were worth $13,065,000 as of its most recent filing with the SEC...
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Microsoft Corp. $MSFT Held 310 Support nicely. Ugly little W pattern possible here. 21 then 50D next targets if we push
By: Options Mike | September 30, 2023
• $MSFT Held 310 Support nicely.
Ugly little W pattern possible here. 21 then 50D next targets if we push.
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Microsoft $1.4 Million Call • Strike: 315 • Expiration: 11/17/23
By: Cheddar Flow | September 27, 2023
• $MSFT $1.4M OTM Call (Unusual)
Strike: 315
Expiration: 11/17/23
*Above the Ask*
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Microsoft $12+ Million Call Seller (Unusual)
By: Cheddar Flow | September 26, 2023
• $MSFT $12M+ Call Seller (Unusual)
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Microsoft $MSFT Opening shorter dated sweepers with some size into the 09/29 $317.50C & 10/06 $315 & $330C
By: FLOWrensics | September 25, 2023
• $MSFT Opening shorter dated sweepers with some size into the 09/29 $317.50C & 10/06 $315 & $330C
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$MSFT & $META Unusual Calls
By: Cheddar Flow | September 25, 2023
• $MSFT & $META Unusual Calls
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Options Traders Excited About Microsoft (MSFT) Stock
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | September 25, 2023
• Microsoft is now facing competition in the AI space
• Traders bet big on the stock's monthly 340 call
Big Tech stock Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT) once again landed on Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White's list of stocks with the highest weekly options volume in the last two weeks. Per White's data, 1,780,301 calls and 1,290,722 puts were exchanged over the last two weeks, with the September 340 call standing as the most popular contract over this time period.
Last seen marginally lower, Microsoft stock has slowly pulled back from its peak following a bull note from UBS. What's more, it looks like the blue-chip tech giant is going to face competition in the artificial intelligence (AI) zone now that Amazon.com (AMZN) is dipping its toes into the technology. On the charts, MSFT's 140-day moving average is keeping the shares afloat, with additional support from the $315 level.
Now looks like a good time to weigh in on the security's next move with options. The stock is seeing attractively priced premiums at the moment, per its Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 24%, which sits in the relatively low 25th percentile of its annual range.
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Microsoft has no more Sell ratings as Guggenheim upgrades, admits being 'dead wrong'
By: Investing.com | September 25, 2023
Guggenheim analysts upgraded Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) shares to Neutral from Sell. Therefore, there are no more sell-side analysts that rate Microsoft with a Sell or equivalent rating.
Analysts admit they were “dead wrong” to recommend Microsoft as Sell. Their prior price target was $232 per share, signaling a downside risk of over 35%.
“The Generative AI narrative is too positive a force to contend with, even though the troubling dynamics we thought might develop, did,” they said in a client note.
These “troubling dynamics” include Windows and the broader PC market facing challenges as it became clear that the surge in demand during the COVID-19 pandemic was not sustainable, the analysts wrote.
Moreover, PC shipments were initially boosted by remote work and learning trends, similar to the rise of platforms like Zoom (NASDAQ:ZM) and DocuSign (NASDAQ:DOCU). However, the sustained relevance of PCs has come into question. Microsoft's cloud platform, Azure, has encountered difficulties attributed to several factors, including market maturity, macroeconomic conditions, and heightened competition from new entrants.
On the other hand, The Office business has seen incremental traction, driven by factors such as price increases implemented a year ago and the renewal of agreements made three years ago, which involved lower discount levels and thus resulted in higher prices.
“And like every other person on the planet, we’ve come to expect that the GenAI “narrative” will become more than just a story, though we still question how much monetization will be realized and over what timeframe,” analysts further noted.
Microsoft shares rose 0.3% today.
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Microsoft Not as week as many names.. 311.50 level to watch.. 8D needs to clear
By: Options Mike | September 24, 2023
• $MSFT Not as week as many names.. 311.50 level to watch.. 8D needs to clear.
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Microsoft's $MSFT stock performance each full year since going public
By: Evan | September 23, 2023
• Microsoft's $MSFT stock performance each full year since going public
1987: +124.8%
1988: -1.8%
1989: +63.4%
1990: +73%
1991: +121.8%
1992: +15.1%
1993: -5.6%
1994: +51.7%
1995: +43.6%
1996: +88.3%
1997: +56.4%
1998: +114.6%
1999: +68.4%
2000: -62.8%
2001: +52.7%
2002: -22%
2003: +6.8%
2004: +8.9%
2005: -1%
2006: +15.8%
2007: +20.8%
2008: -44.4%
2009: +60.5%
2010: -6.5%
2011: -4.5%
2012: +5.8%
2013: +44.3%
2014: +27.5%
2015: +22.7%
2016: +15.1%
2017: +40.7%
2018: +20.8%
2019: +57%
2020: +42.5%
2021: +52.5%
2022: -28%
2023*: +32.2% (So Far)
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Microsoft $MSFT OTM sweeper with size into the 09/29 $322.50 Calls ~ $1.09 mil premium/3260 contracts
By: FLOWrensics | September 22, 2023
• $MSFT OTM sweeper with size into the 09/29 $322.50 CALLS ~ $1.09 mil premium/3260 contracts.
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History of Microsoft's $MSFT December quarter dividend
By: Evan | September 19, 2023
• History of Microsoft's $MSFT December quarter dividend.
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Microsoft just declared a quarterly dividend of $0.75 per share up from its quarterly previous dividend of $0.68
By: Savvy Trader | September 19, 2023
MICROSOFT $MSFT JUST INCREASED ITS QUARTERLY DIVIDEND BY 10%
— Savvy Trader (@SavvyTrader) September 19, 2023
Microsoft just declared a quarterly dividend of $0.75 per share up from its quarterly previous dividend of $0.68
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Microsoft $MSFT bears with some solid follow through so far today, wicking price off the 21 EMA back into negative territory.
By: TrendSpider | September 18, 2023
• $MSFT Microsoft bears with some solid follow through so far today, wicking price off the 21 EMA back into negative territory.
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$MSFT $339 Million Dark Pool Print
By: Cheddar Flow | September 14, 2023
• $MSFT $339M Dark Pool Print
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Microsoft $MSFT $3+ Million Bullish Put Writing (Unusual Premium) This whale is looking to collect premium on October puts
By: Cheddar Flow | September 14, 2023
• $MSFT $3M+ Bullish Put Writing (Unusual Premium)
This whale is looking to collect premium on October puts
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Microsoft $1.2 Million Call • Strike: 335 • Expiration: 9/15/23
By: Cheddar Flow | September 13, 2023
• $MSFT $1.2M OTM Call (Unusual)
Strike: 335
Expiration: 9/15/23
*Above the Ask*
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Microsoft $MSFT $1.6+ Million June OTM Call Sweepers
By: Cheddar Flow | September 11, 2023
• $MSFT $1.6M+ June OTM Call Sweepers
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Microsoft $MSFT $2.6 Million Call Seller • Strike: 315 • Expiration: 12/15/23
By: Cheddar Flow | September 11, 2023
• $MSFT $2.6M Call Seller
Strike: 315
Expiration: 12/15/23
*At the Bid*
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Microsoft Solid buyer reaction on Friday after opening below support but bulls are not out of the woods until they can clear this ~$335 congestion area.
By: TrendSpider | September 10, 2023
• $MSFT Solid buyer reaction on Friday after opening below support but bulls are not out of the woods until they can clear this ~$335 congestion area.
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Microsoft Corp. $MSFT Trying to break out above 335
By: Options Mike | September 9, 2023
• $MSFT Trying to break out above 335
R/S name.
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$NFLX & $MSFT $1.5+ Million Call Seller (STO) This whale is looking to collect premium on these contracts
By: Cheddar Flow | September 8, 2023
• $NFLX & $MSFT $1.5M+ Call Seller (STO)
This whale is looking to collect premium on these contracts
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Microsoft $MSFT Insider Trading Alert...
By: Barchart | September 7, 2023
• Microsoft Insider Trading Alert
Microsoft Chairman and CEO Satya Nadella sold $12.5 million worth of $MSFT shares last week. And the company's Chief People Officer Kathleen Hogan sold $8.7 million worth.
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$MSFT Bears playing hard ball at the 50 day SMA could spell trouble for Microsoft.
By: TrendSpider | September 6, 2023
• $MSFT Bears playing hard ball at the 50 day SMA could spell trouble for Microsoft.
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$MSFT See if it can hold an 8/20ema cross and make an attempt at the 50MA which it has twice recently failed
By: TrendSpider | September 5, 2023
• $MSFT See if it can hold an 8/20ema cross and make an attempt at the 50MA which it has twice recently failed.
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Microsoft Corp. $MSFT Back at the 50D resistance. Break above would be good for the markets
By: Options Mike | September 4, 2023
• $MSFT Back at the 50D resistance. Break above would be good for the markets.
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Microsoft $6.2 Million Put (Unusual Premium) • Strike: 300 • Expiration: 1/19/24
By: Cheddar Flow | August 30, 2023
• $MSFT $6.2M OTM Put (Unusual Premium)
Strike: 300
Expiration: 1/19/24
*At the Ask*
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Microsoft Corp. $MSFT Wicked rejection at the 50D on Thursday. Still generally out of play
By: Options Mike | August 27, 2023
• $MSFT Wicked rejection at the 50D on Thursday.
Still generally out of play.
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$MSFT $537 Million dark pool equity print deep after hours
By: Cheddar Flow | August 25, 2023
• $MSFT $537 Million dark pool equity print deep after hours
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Today Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is the best performer in the DJIA
By: Thom Hartle | August 24, 2023
• Today (8:33 CST), the best performer in the DJIA is Microsoft Corporation. MSFT.
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Microsoft $MSFT Book value only $27.75 Total Debt (mrq) $79.44B
Microsoft $MSFT Solid continuation in premarket after yesterday's wedge breakout, let's see if this reversal is the real deal.
By: TrendSpider | August 22, 2023
• $MSFT Solid continuation in premarket after yesterday's wedge breakout, let's see if this reversal is the real deal.
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Microsoft $1.1 Million Call • Strike: 330 • Expiration: 11/17/23
By: Cheddar Flow | August 22, 2023
• $MSFT $1.1M OTM Call
Strike: 330
Expiration: 11/17/23
*At the Ask*
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$MSFT Microsoft with a little falling wedge breakout and 100 EMA reclaim to kick off the week
By: TrendSpider | August 21, 2023
• $MSFT Microsoft with a little falling wedge breakout and 100 EMA reclaim to kick off the week.
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Microsoft $MSFT Over $5.6 million into the 12/19/25 $315 CALLS
By: FLOWrensics | August 21, 2023
• $MSFT Over $5.6 million into the 12/19/25 $315 CALLS
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$NVDA & $MSFT $1+ Million Unusual Call Orders
By: Cheddar Flow | August 21, 2023
• $NVDA & $MSFT $1M+ Unusual Call Orders
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Microsoft closes out its fifth consecutive red week. The following week was green 59% of the time with an average return of +0.99%.
By: TrendSpider | August 20, 2023
• $MSFT Microsoft closes out its fifth consecutive red week.
Since 2000, this has happened just 17 other times...
The following week was green 59% of the time with an average return of +0.99%.
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Microsoft Corp. $MSFT Slowly grinding down, 8D resistance. 305 is big support
By: Options Mike | August 20, 2023
• $MSFT Slowly grinding down, 8D resistance.
305 is big support
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Microsoft $MSFT Millions Worth of Far OTM Call LEAPS
By: Cheddar Flow | August 18, 2023
• $MSFT Millions Worth of Far OTM Call LEAPS
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Microsoft has gotten two TW Pivot buy signals over the last two weeks...
By: TrendSpider | August 17, 2023
• $MSFT Microsoft has gotten two TW Pivot buy signals over the last two weeks...
There have been five in total over the last year.
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Microsoft Ratio Spread Targets A Profit Zone Between $295 And $315
By: Barchart | August 16, 2023
A put ratio spread is an advanced option trade and generally not suitable for beginners, but it can have its place within an option portfolio.
It is generally considered a neutral strategy, although it has the ability to make a profit in up, down and sideways markets.
Yes, it can make money no matter which way the market goes, the key is the timing!
The strategy involves buying a number of put options and selling more put options further out-of-the-money.
The trade is placed when the trader thinks the underlying stock will be stable or slowly move lower and finish around the short put strike at expiry.
A fall in implied volatility will benefit the trade and it can also be profitable if the stock moves up early in the trade.
The big risk with the trade is a sharp move lower early in the trade.
Let’s look at an example using Microsoft (MSFT).
Microsoft Ratio Spread Example
Buying the September 15 put with a strike price of $315 for around $6.20 and selling 2 of the September 15, $305 strike puts for around $3.45 would create a put ratio spread.
As we are selling 2 contracts at $3.45 the trade results in a net credit of $0.70 which is $70 premium.
This is the maximum gain above a stock price of $315. Basically, all the puts would expire worthless and the trader keeps the $70 premium.
A tent-shaped profit zone exists between $295 and $315 with the maximum gain occurring at $305 and is around $1070.
This is what the trade looks like as of today:
You can see the main risk in the trade is a drop in price early on. The blue line is the profit and loss at expiration and the purple line is the T+0 line. T+0 just means “today”.
So, we don’t want the stock to get into the profit tent too early. The trade starts with delta 9, which means the trade is roughly equivalent to owning 9 shares of MSFT stock. This will change as the trade progress and may switch to negative delta if the stock stays above $315.
What about in three weeks’ time? How does the trade look then?
A graph with lines and dots
Looking a lot better for any price above $300.
One advantage of this trade type is it takes advantage of option skew. Notice the contract we are buying has lower volatility (25.83%) than the contract we are selling (27.24%). Buy low, sell high.
Company Details
Microsoft Corporation is one of the largest broad-based technology providers in the world. The company dominates the PC software market with more than 80% of the market share for operating systems.
The company's Microsoft 365 application suite is one of the most popular productivity software globally.
It is also now one of the two public cloud providers that can deliver a wide variety of infrastructure-as-a-service (IaaS) and platform-as-a-service (PaaS) solutions at scale.
Microsoft's products include operating systems, cross-device productivity applications, server applications, business solution applications, desktop and server management tools, software development tools and video games.
The company designs and sells PCs, tablets, gaming and entertainment consoles, phones, other intelligent devices, and related accessories.
Through Azure, it offers cloud-based solutions that provide customers with software, services, platforms and content.
The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Buy with a weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.
Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend. Be watchful of a trend reversal.
Summary
This strategy should move fairly slowly, unless there is a sharp drop in the stock price.
As the trade involves naked options, it is not recommended for beginners.
You can do this on other stocks as well, but remember to start small until you understand a bit more about how this all works.
Mitigating Risk
With any option trade, it’s important to have a plan in place on how you will manage the trade if it moves against you.
A stop loss of $300 might make sense in this scenario. If Microsoft is below $305 as expiration draws near, there will be assignment risk.
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Microsoft $MSFT 1.45 million share #darkpool print at $323.05
By: FLOWrensics | August 16, 2023
• $MSFT 1.45 million share #darkpool print at $323.05.
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