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I hope to add more this week too.
Added more on Friday ...
The Technical's look like crap ... but TMR is Priced for BK, so if they secretly File for BK, like they secretly got the NYSE extension, then no one will notice anyways ... LOL!!!
If a rising tide raises all boats ... TMR must be a barnacle on the bottom of one of those boats. Worse Stock in this Sector
Baring the new Independent Board being out right Thieves ... hard to imagine the Price going Lower
I agree and I have been adding.
I added today at .35
TMR sure looks ready IMO time to add.
May have to add tomorrow we are still at .36 and I dont expect us to stay here very long.
Nice anaylysis and hopefully you are right but loaded and hopefully we pop big next week or today I done mind. Good Luck.
Nice anaylysis and hopefully you are right but loaded and hopefully we pop big next week or today I done mind. Good Luck.
Added more, after the NYSE Independent Board 8K ... I hope all these 8K's are adding up to something
TMR is still at its Price when Oil was $40 ... and one of the few that has missed the boat on this Sector move
My hope is they apply for, and get, an Extension from Delisting by the NYSE ... based on getting the delayed Forbearance, and now having an Independent Board ... that would be the easiest way to stop the Institutional Selling
Maybe we are now ready for a long term advance.
I added TMR today.
Well maybe that wil be the catylist we need to see higher levels.
Board of Director's is finally Independent!!!
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/869369/000117184309000974/f8k_101409.htm
Northeast May Have Coldest Winter in a Decade
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=amm7GJfWypJE
... not going to help TMR in the short-run, but if it is still around in a few months
I agree and I am watching closely and we could see a pop soon based on the chart and the energy market pick up.
You never know ...
The 100DMA once again held, so the Chart screams BUY ... and Meridian has their Deadline this month ... so Buying was not a bad idea ... but hind-sight on 'when' to Buy, is 20/20
P.S. Ever since Ching has been in charge (maybe earlier?), I have noticed that information is not released, or if released, released late ... so I do not expect news until a week or two after the Deadline
I should have waited .41 and hope to add Monday.
Added a bunch of TMR at .45
50DMA Crossing 200DMA 'Technically' Tomorrow ...
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=TMR&p=D&yr=0&mn=8&dy=0&id=p98225686787
... just missed today by $.001
I cannot get StockCharts to work this morning ... but here is a simple Yahoo! Chart:
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=TMR&t=2y&l=off&z=l&q=l&p=m200,m50&a=&c=
You can clearly see the effect when the 50DMA (green line), Crosses the 200DMA (red line)
Baring any Fundamental news ... should Cross next Wednesday or Thursday
I don`t know what it means...
$ .10...lol???
100DMA Crossed the 200DMA from below today ... and 50DMA should Cross the 200DMA early next week
Meridian has always disappointed me with their lack of Fundamental updates ... so I hope they do not screw this up this time!!!
>>STRONG SPECULATIVE BUY<<
Price target ~ $ 1+
Of course it is "on the table"
They listed three options:
a) Merger
b) Capital Infusion
c) Selling Assets
'If' they can not do a) or b) ... they will be forced to do c), and they would get a much better Price for the Assets, by taking their time to Sell them under Chapter 11, than dumping them on the Market in a Fire Sale
in my opinion is chapter 11 on the table!!!
$ .10
"Chapter 11" is currently unlikely
A Forbearance Agreement is the Lender saying, "Hey, you did not pay us on time. Come on guys, pay up! ... but please do not file Chapter 11"
The fact they got the Forbearance, means no Chapter 11 until it is breached ... and based on the mutual extension wording in this one ... 'may' not even happen after that
Not saying it will never happen ... but right now, it benefits no one, and Meridian has some breathing room
Chapter 11????
Thx for you work =) (eom)
The mood was positive, and apologetic (for the delay) ... and he will pass my message on (which I believe was 100% sincere, but I expect no PR)
good job! (and thanks) ... what was the reply? How was the mood?
I just spoke to IR and requested a PR to slow the 'Buy the Rumour, Sell the News' crowd
I stressed my belief that Institutions will use this news as an opportunity to Sell before the NYSE Delisting ... and they need to address both these issues ('What the Forbearance means', and 'How they are dealing with the NYSE') ... ASAP!!!
good point... and the PPS is starting to reflect that... 'hopefully' we hear something this morning (time zone difference accounted for of course)
It sure does not help that they have not issued a PR ... SEC Filings, with no PR, especially those released not during Market Hours, make it look like you are hiding something
good morning gentlemen !
(and ladies?)
I've been watching PM since open this morning and was amazed that we haven't seen a single trade.. I actually went back and started re-readding the 8K saying to myself 'What did I miss!? What did I miss?!' lol
GLTA today!
That's weird, yes!
And also, no PR before market opens?
I thought that the so waited Forbearance Agreement would have been positive news and a big possibility for the PPS to go north.
Let's see what happens in 13 minutes!
Good luck everyone
Thanks Vic for the Welcome. I am amazed that there have been no Pre-Market trades yet? The positive side to that ... the Ask is $.50, the highest I have seen it in Pre-Market, in weeks
Welcome to IHub. Person mark added. Looking forward to your input in the future as I know you are a respected poster on IV and Yahoo before that. Vic
I originally was drawn to this site, because someone had posted some nice charts ... but I can no longer find them?
Here are my simple Technical thoughts:
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=TMR&p=D&yr=0&mn=8&dy=0&id=p98225686787
The 50DMA has turned Up, and its slope will soon increase sharply (50 Days ago was the Russell collapse)
The 200DMA is below $.40 and the 100DMA is over $.38 ... they should Cross around $.39 early next Week, with the 50DMA Crossing a few Days later. Seldom do all three Cross that close together
The Forbearance Agreement that we were waiting for
This guarantees Meridian more time to get their house in order.
Options a) Merger and b) Capital Infusion seem like the way they are headed. Based on the CC, Ching made it clear this was the first step. They have had plenty of time to line things up ...
FYI, I just signed up tonight, so limited to my number of posts
Form 8-K for MERIDIAN RESOURCE CORP
10-Sep-2009
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement
Item 1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement.
Forbearance and Amendment Agreement under Fortis Credit Facility The Meridian Resource Corporation, a Texas corporation (the "Company", "us", "we" or "our"), is party to the Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, dated as of December 23, 2004, as amended by the First Amendment to Credit Agreement dated as of February 25, 2008, and further amended by the Second Amendment to Credit Agreement dated as of December 19, 2008 (as so amended, the "Fortis Credit Facility"), by and among the Company, as borrower, Fortis Capital Corp., as administrative agent, sole lead arranger and bookrunner ("Fortis"), and the other lenders (collectively with Fortis, the "Lenders") and agents party thereto.
Under the Fortis Credit Facility, our most recent scheduled redetermination of our borrowing base was effective April 30, 2009, at which time the borrowing base was reduced to $60 million from $95 million. As of the date of the redetermination, we had fully borrowed under our borrowing base and had outstanding indebtedness of $95 million under the Fortis Credit Facility. The Fortis Credit Facility provides that outstanding borrowings in excess of the borrowing base must be repaid within 90 days after the redetermination. Accordingly, a $35 million payment to the Lenders under the Fortis Credit Facility for the borrowing base deficiency was due July 29, 2009. We did not have sufficient cash on hand on July 29 to repay the shortfall and do not have sufficient cash currently. Consequently, we have failed to pay when due the full amount of such borrowing base deficiency pursuant to the terms of the Fortis Credit Facility, and are in default. In addition to such default for failure to pay the borrowing base deficiency, there are other covenant defaults, including financial covenants, existing under the Fortis Credit Facility.
On September 3, 2009, we and certain of our subsidiaries entered into a Forbearance and Amendment Agreement (the "Fortis Forbearance Agreement") with Fortis and the other Lenders under the Fortis Credit Facility. The Fortis Forbearance Agreement provides that the Lenders will forbear from exercising any right or remedy arising as a result of the existing events of default under the Fortis Credit Facility that are listed in the Fortis Forbearance Agreement until the earlier of: (a) 5:00 p.m. (CST) on the earlier of (1) the date which is 91 days following the date of the Orion Forbearance Agreement (defined below) and (2) December 4, 2009 (subject to extension in certain circumstances with the consent of the Lenders); or (b) the date that any default occurs under the Fortis Forbearance Agreement. Such forbearance does not constitute a waiver by the Lenders of any such events of default.
The Fortis Forbearance Agreement will terminate, however, on September 30, 2009 if, by that date, we have not entered into (a) a merger agreement pursuant to which we will merge with or into or be acquired by or transfer all or substantially all of our assets to another person; (b) a capital infusion agreement pursuant to which one or more persons will contribute subordinated debt or equity capital to us in an amount sufficient to enable us to pay to the Lenders an amount equal to 100% of the borrowing base deficiency; or (c) a purchase and sale agreement pursuant to which we agree to sell one or more oil and gas properties for net proceeds sufficient to enable us to pay to the Lenders an amount equal to 100% of the borrowing base deficiency, plus any incremental borrowing base deficiency resulting from such sales. In each case, the transaction must be consummated by October 30, 2009, unless such date is extended with the consent of Lenders representing 66-2/3% of our borrowings under the Fortis Credit Facility, but shall in no event be later than December 31, 2009.
As required by the Fortis Forbearance Agreement, on September 3, 2009 we paid our Lenders an aggregate of $2.0 million of principal owed under the Fortis Credit Facility. On or before each of September 10, October 9, November 10 and December 10, 2009, we will be required to pay to the Lenders principal amounts of the greater of (a) 100% of our Excess Cash Flow (as defined in the Fortis
Table of Contents
Forbearance Agreement) for the months of August, September, October and November 2009, respectively, and (b) $1 million. We will also be required to pay our Lenders a forbearance fee of approximately $945,000, one-fourth of which, or $236,250, we paid on September 3, 2009, and one-fourth of which is payable on each of October 3, November 3 and at the end of the forbearance period. After the principal payments that were made on September 3, 2009, we owe $92.5 million under the Fortis Credit Facility and the borrowing base deficiency is $32.5 million. In addition, we will make a $1 million principal payment on September 10 in accordance with the Fortis Forbearance Agreement.
The Fortis Forbearance Agreement places other restrictions on us with respect to capital expenditures, sales of assets, and incurrence and prepayments of other indebtedness and amends the Fortis Credit Facility in certain respects.
...full link here - http://biz.yahoo.com/e/090910/tmr8-k.html
well, it better be good...
just looking at the files.
I asked what you are watching not about the market cap. I only have a few thousand shares I dont really care what happens to TMR>
The company have a relatively small market capitalization now!!!
They have problem with short selling too.
My price target for next month is $ .11+
i am well aware, thanks though.
what are you watching right now?
Buddy, It's just my opinion. I knew that the company have capital problems!!!
could be so, my profit got a bad haircut today but i'm still in the green....
I dont know if I want to say in long enough to see that damn forebearance PR.
Game Over. The company have very negativ net income..:(
In my opinion chapter 11 coming soon or Share Dilution!!!
totally agreed. good consolidation movement shaking out profit takers. real catalyst coming then WE can take some profits.
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