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Nice dump
This zone $22.30+ is a good spot to buy a few puts or sell a few calls imo but set stops
EOM for swing reversal
Maybe
GLTA
Yes good call. I’m content with taking whatever profits MARA gives me, and just happy to play the next wave
I am lovin' the volatility in MARA.
It has a certain rhythm to it which is somewhat predictable, based on the price of Bitcoin and the general stock market movements.
My $21 PUTS are now up 39%. This move down in share price will not last so I will be out of this position very soon.
As they say, "Pigs get slaughtered..."
Timing is key
Due note
The system rules are changing
Risk assessment is due for review
39m leaps due 28june
GLTA
Rowing at the same speed
Pigs get slaughtered
Couple things too note
The rules of the game are changing
T1 And CAT
See what happens
GLTA
I followed your lead and bought five $21 PUTS out to May31
I am already into profit by 8%, which is a good start.
It looks to me that the markets are stalling out, and we shall see some profit taking.
A gigantic move in the stock market last Friday with DOW breaking 40K for the first time.
And Bitcoin had a nice run today, up 6% on the day
IMO, I think everything has gone a little too far too fast and now Over Bought.
We still don't know the effect of the Halving, until the production numbers for May come out in early June.
What! A! move! Unloaded some calls alrwady too much profit to sit on
It’s looking like
2021 Jan
Just needs some More Grit
GLTA
Starting off the week decidedly to the upside here
Thanks for the tip about Auradine. I was not aware of the connection.
They're a private company seeking private investment. So other than their connection to Marathon I am not particularly interested. But I will check out their products.
In the corporate world desktop computers get replaced on average about every 3 years. But the lifespan of these ASIC miners seems to be measured in a few months.
Seems all of the miners are trying to drastically increase their hash rate at the same time. I see many orders for tens of thousands of virtually the same model. Many Millions of dollars being spent on hardware upgrades. And I am sure those will be replaced in a few months when an even better product is announced. I wonder where all the old ASIC miners go. Surely they don't get scrapped.
Marathon is also into Immersion Cooling. Some miners overclock their machines to get a higher hash rate, which generates a lot of extra heat and shortens the lifespan. And if the data centers happen to be located in Texas or other warm climate then I think liquid cooling will almost be a requirement.
Slightly updated trajectories in my opinion reveal that essentially we end up in the same spot over the intermediate term, but the short term varies, the longer term is obvious we are heading down and won't pierce above 73k, if we do 77-80k temporarily only IMO!
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/Fhlq2oS6-A-Crypto-Dance-of-Trajectories-with-the-Same-Outcome/
#btc #bitcoin #crypto #blockchain
Disclaimer: These posts like all others in the past and future are for info and educational purposes, they are a toolset to compare against yours and the other analyses you have considered, in order to form your own due dilligence based determination. Investment advice is a paid service, so even without this disclaimer it should be assumed (we are all grown men and women I suppose)
MARA is also invested in Auradine which is a Bitcoin Miner manufacturer and Fred is on their board of directors.
Agreed
Similar trends as Jan 2021
As Bitcoin was going up
So was Mara
Did they have shorts that they could not cover?
Then wrapped em up with 39m leaps??
At the Options Clearing Corporation
For 28 June 2024 delivery
The base PPS is now 20.50$
Is 3x possible??
Time will tell the tale
Next week will have a nice direction for that trend confirmation
GLTA
Interesting observation.
To the best of my information Marathon does not have any GPUs for mining. They are strictly into ASIC Miners, and they have more than anyone else, except for perhaps Core Scientific. So Marathon is one of a few miners that are not pivoting toward HPC (High Performance Computing) in support of A.I. applications. And until recently they did not own most of their data centers. They opted for co-hosting thru other Data Center companies.
Marathon has the absolute largest HODL of Bitcoin at over 16,000. So they have abundant financial resources to move in any strategic direction they choose.
Currently Nvidia has a strangle hold on the GPU market for HPC for A.I and less so for Mining. Up until late last year Intel was developing a chip for Mining. But they dropped the project with out explanation. And AMD has a new chip for mining that will be released soon. It is supposed to be much more energy efficient that the Nvidia chips. So that will have some impact on the mining biz. It would not surprise me if Marathon started building their own machines optimized for Immersion Cooling.
And finally, Bitdear Technologies Group (BTDR) of Hong Kong, has developed their own chip for mining and will offer it only in completed machines. It is also supposed to be very competitive with regard to energy efficiency. It is just now coming to market.
So Bitcoin Mining, HPC, Artificial Intelligence, and Chip Design all seem to be joined at the hip and closely intertwined in various ways. For me that makes it very interesting for investing. A.I. is certainly Red Hot as an investment segment. And Bitcoin Mining is great for cash and profit generation. And both depend completely on advances in semiconductor chip design.
Good Luck to All Longs.
Looks like MARA decided to start tracking Nvidia stock price instead of Bitcoin price here
I do agree that there is danger in this option position. That makes it more excuiting.
The VIX (CBOE Market Volatility Index), has been way down lately. It is the index that determines how lucrative the options market is. So this is a relatively dangerous time to be selling or buying options.
So I have been forced to set my option exercise price lower than usual. Since the beginning of the year I have been setting it at $26 for MARA which has been safe so far. The thing is that the miner stocks are a proxy for the price of Bitcoin. So they go up and down regardless of what the stock market does.
With the exception of one Nuclear Energy stock, I am 100% invested in Bitcoin Miner stocks. And of those Marathon has the absolute widest dynamic range of share price which makes it the most productive for my needs. My goal is cash generation. As far as I am concerned the U.S. Dollar will always be King.
I either get a little bit of money from the options expiring worthless, OR a big pile of cash if the option gets exercised. Either way I win. With the volatility of Bitcoin, intertwined with the general volatility of the stock market, I am 100% certain I will be able to buy back the shares, and usually at a price that is less than where I bought them earlier.
As far as I am concerned the most important goal in investing is to have fun doing it. It is a mental challenge that keeps my brain sharp and gives me the opportunity to Win at something. If not for investing and trading then life would suck even more. I am in the final chapter of my life so I am prone to worry about everything. So playing around in the markets is kind of my Safe Harbor. I don't necessarily need the money; I just want to Win and have fun doing it.
Pardon me for being so verbose but I have absolutely nothing better to do than hang out on the net and post here while I am watching the markets.
Good Luck to All Longs.
Bought more round of calls here @ $19.77
Bought calls for next week just now. Looking to unload them early next week for profit if possible
I think those calls are in danger of being in the money next week tbh
Now look for the slow walk again. Thinking this weeks candle is already drawn. Next week will be bullish if it breaks that $21 ceiling
That was good enough for me. I’m very short term lol
Good move! I hope you win.
I noticed that MARA finally outproduced CORZ in April so maybe their fortunes are improving.
May production numbers will be very revealing.
I sold MARA Calls @ $23.50 that expire on 5/31. So far I think they are safe.
Got puts now, lets go and dip below $19
That was it. Sold that top @ 20.60 boom
There it is @ $20
Looking for a 4am Bitcoin pump. I picked up some calls expiring tomorrow
As gecko once said
A fisherman can see
another fisherman from afar
As a fisherman
It takes the right bait and timing is also a little key to the puzzle of catching the big one
And Patience
GLTA
Go back and check 3 years ago
Then add 3 months
Then think about Leap contracts thru the
Options Clearing Corporation
And then let me know what you think
History repeats and ryems
LePs close on
28june
End of Dec
End of Jan
Go back and check it out
What happened 36m ago then push 90 days
And it’s repeates unless they get it to go BK
See
GLTA
Can’t fight the mm slow walk if they wanna lol
Great post you are right. I like your strategy
Respectfully, I do not agree with your assertion of "Only way to make money on this..."
Marathon is my largest position and I have owned it since early 2023. I add to it when the price is low and I have NOT sold a single share even though my position is in the RED lately. Instead, I have been selling Covered Call Options against my position. I have done it successfully 11 times and have won every time.
I get paid in cash when I pull the trigger. I don't have to wait on anyone else or the market to do anything. The MARA options have weekly series so I can sell options every week. They expire worthless on Friday and I can sell them again for cash on the following Monday. The primary advantage that I see in following this method is that THIS miner stock has the widest dynamic range of price of any Miner stock I own.
Of course, being a Bitcoin Miner STOCK it follows the stock market. But THEIR product is Bitcoin so it also follows the price of Bitcoin. Every month there are at least two opportunities to pull cash out with my strategy, without selling any shares. I own a total of nine miner stocks and I use the strategy on every one of them.
The elementary truth about options is that BUYING options is extremely risky, and most transactions fail. But selling "covered" options is very safe and can be extremely lucrative. It is almost like free money. The trick is to pick the right Option Exercise Price so that the option will NOT get exercised but will expire worthless, and you don't lose the stock. Wash, Rinse, Repeat endlessly. Choosing weekly options means my position is NOT exposed to market ebb and flow that long. Of course, this strategy requires some Due Diligence and some patience, factors that, I assume, most people are just not capable of. Or perhaps too much work involved. Picking the right stock is the hard part but selling the options is very easy.
Once in a rare while I reach out and try to explain my nearly full proof strategy for making money. But it seems like most people are just too lazy or just don't care, because I get no response. I might as well be talking to the wall. Anyway, this is my way to financial success and it is working very well for me.
Good Luck to All MARA Longs!
Watch it go back to $20
Now the MM got everyone out of calls. Time to walk it up lol
You did good but forgot to buy some puts lol
Sold, I keep thinking I can make some $$$ from miners....Giving up!
Only for trading imo
I ran from RIOT to this because it seeeeeeeeemed to be better! I guess there is NO miner worth investing in.
Only way to make money on this is wait until everyone has dumped it into oblivion, then buy, then sell shortly after and be happy with any profit you get
Once it starts dumping it doesn’t have any price discovery, it just dumps and dumps lol
MARA loves to turn tail and dump hard on us
WHO are these horrible people constantly downgrading stocks as they start to move north!?!?!?!?!? Such a scam....like SOFI being downgraded on positive earnings, by OTHER big banks (competitors)
Little more left
Bitcoin $66.3k
Mara is moving north
GLTA
That was perfect setup, I am getting out with profits while I can lol
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