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thankx mike,
friend of mine mentioned it end of jan. I think it was... way before the breakout... never got to it... biotechs scare me, smile!
you feel it could still run to $20... I will check it out!
btw, you have any uranium plays/juniors in your portfolio... you might want to check out FRG... keeps going up and up and up...
...I added more KSW today $6.07... eventhough there are some big sellers out there... hoping for good earnings!
OT -Norwerger ,i forgot to tip you ACCP ,check it out .This tiny comp has a FDA approval drug with a MC only in the $30 MM.Most comp with FDA approval drug have MC in the 200-500 MM =$20+ PPS.
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=16850207&txt2find=accp+
In Floyd's defense.He did say in an interview he ended up losing some shares by not cashing them in.
I think this is a combination of a few different things that might be happening at one time.One of them is not lack of work.
Which bothers me.
I was watching the MM's yesterday and the trading was very interesting.Sell 5-100 share orders at the bid,then buy 500 shares at the ask.Continuously doing this type of manipulation all day long,till the whats getting to be a regular ritual,the afternoon sell off.The trading taking place all day would show a positive sign until that last hour of trading.Haven't figured this out yet.The guys in New York say business is booming and if you have a union card,your working in all fields of construction.
Regarding Floyd selling
I responded to "when will Floyd's selling end?" yesterday on the Yahoo board:
It appears that he sells off a block on a 3 month cycle which last time ended in Jan. I'm guessing that he'll begin dumping shares again in March.
The last block he sold nearly $400K and the time before around $250K, March was $215K and . If he continues to sell with this sort of volume based on the 700K+ shares he has, this overhang should last at least twelve more quarters or 3 years based on the current share price... (that sux)...
In Floyd's defense, its wise of him to take some money off the table and to make sure he doesn't keep all is eggs in the KSW basket. So many have been paper rich but eventually busted.
I would speculate that once he has diversified his net worth a bit, that the selling will stop or at least slow significantly.
It is like a drama,lol.There is still that gap up at 5.50 that may play a part in this.That also was a main concern that it might be going down to fill that gap.We shall see.
Warkol is/was selling all along... he sold tons of shares in the $3's... and insider selling is not always a bad sign, as there are many reasons for them to sell, IMO
I did not sell, BUT have a tight stop loss order...
The Earnings report will bring a big swing to the upside OR downside, depending how good the report comes in!
Upward move due to the nice consolidation from the mid $7's, so there are people lined up to get back in... and downmove could be quick as well, since KSW is trading below 30 and 50EMA... so support is a long way 200EMA, IMO
...either way, it should be interesting, right LOL!
I dont like it either,combined with selling from Warkol, made me sell and wait for the report to come out.I dont expect it to be bad but your right too much selling going on.
There is a nasty black candle forming here today! Lots of selling on the BID...
...what's up? not a good sign right before earnings! I don't like it!
My comment was purely speculation. I have not association with the company nor have any information to base my opinion on. I based it on their growth momentum and their backlog. There are however countless reason that they could miss.
Filling your order blow the bid is a bit of a eye raiser but may have been an inside order or the MM accumulating orders to be filled later when they could buy the shares cheaper.
Looking at the trades Friday, the price hung in around 6.40-6.50 and yanked down at the end of the day right to your $6.35.
Thanks for your input,
I've listened to the interview of Warkol by knobias several times and do not see any reason for concern.I dont see where there could be a problem with this report.What bothers me is I put an order in for 500 shares @6.35 and the bid was 6.36 on a 6.39 ask.They filled the order before I could take my finger off the key.Why so much selling if the report is too be a good one?
From your answer,am I understanding you corectly tha you expect a good quarterly report as well?I think we could see the results on Monday.
Well - looking at the chart, what I see is that KSW is under accumulation with a strong CMF. This is what has been holding up the stock. The MACD has beens trending down linearly but looks like it might be flatting out which is good.
My gut feeling is that a lot of profit taken has occurred at the beginning of the year after a strong run up. People were waiting for Jan 1 to avoid taxes and when the stock didn't continue up, more pulled out. The CMF points to the share moving into stronger hands.
The fact that the stock has been trading under the 50dma all week worries me in that if their report isn't strong, we don't have that support level to rely on and it's straight to $5.50.
Short term
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ksw&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p46714059002
Looking at the longer term chart, if you draw a continuation line from the trend line setup in 05', if the earnings come out as I anticipate, I think we will resume and start heading towards $10 by the end of the year. Based on the back log, I find it hard to believe that they could miss...
Long term
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=KSW&p=W&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p73893249728
I'm long and have been considering adding to my position but am waiting to convincingly close above the 50dma.
Make n a buck,
how do you feel about todays action and the closing price? Any comments by all is appreciated.I beleive the numbers should be out before Wed.It seemed every time people started buying,the MM's started bringing the price down.
Looks like all the shorts are moving out on this one,lol
These guys work in my ball park,so I can assure you their numbers are going to be good ones.
I just added another 700,@ 6.48.I'm looking for a great quarterly report on this one.They have 150 million in backlog going into 2007.More to come whenever they want it.
I added another 1000 today,should see the numbers next week
GLTA
Quite a bit of buying going on today compared to the usual selling day.Are people buying in anticpation of earnings.They should be any day now.
I cant see why people would be selling now,with the quarterly and year end out in the next two weeks.The company has 115 million in backlog,cant expect a bad report from that.
It would be awesome if that 'd happen.
Please repost it on YAHOO mb ,it's more active there.I post there under MIKE12114.
This is the current rating of KSW from Vector Vest,
VectorVest Stock Analysis of K S W Inc as of 1/23/2007
This report has five major sections.
Capital Appreciation Analysis
Dividend Analysis
Price-Volume Data
Sales / Market Capitalization Information
Summary
The ticker symbol for K S W Inc is KSW. KSW is traded on the American Stock Exchange - (A)
Business: Ksw Inc, (KSW) furnishes and installs heating, ventilating and air conditioning (HVAC) systems. They also process piping systems for institutional, industrial, commercial, high-rise residential and public works projects, primarily in the State of New York.
Business Sector: KSW has been assigned to the Building Business Sector. VectorVest classifies stocks into over 200 Industry Groups and 40 Business Sectors.
Industry Group: KSW has been assigned to the Building (A\C Heating Pds) Industry Group. VectorVest classifies stocks into over 200 Industry Groups and 40 Business Sectors.
Capital Appreciation Analysis Back to top
Value: Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. KSW has a current Value of $10.32 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $6.58 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease. VectorVest advocates the purchase of undervalued stocks. At some point in time, a stock's Price and Value always will converge.
RV (Relative Value): RV is an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential. KSW has an RV of 1.37, which is very good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. This indicator is far superior to a simple comparison of Price and Value because it is computed from an analysis of projected price appreciation three years out, AAA Corporate Bond Rates, and risk. RV solves the riddle of whether it is preferable to buy High growth, High P/E stocks, or Low growth, Low P/E stocks. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RV ratings above 1.00.
RS (Relative Safety): RS is an indicator of risk. KSW has an RS rating of 1.09, which is fair on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RS is computed from an analysis of the consistency and predictability of a company's financial performance, debt to equity ratio, sales volume, business longevity, price volatility and other factors. A stock with an RS rating greater than 1.00 is safer and more predictable than the average stock in the VectorVest database. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks of companies with consistent, predictable financial performance.
RT (Relative Timing): RT is a fast, smart, accurate indicator of a stock's price trend. KSW has a Relative Timing rating of 1.18, which is good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RT is computed from an analysis of the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price movements over one day, one week, one quarter and one year time periods. Once a stock's price has established a strong trend, it is expected to continue in that trend for the short-term. If a trend dissipates, RT will gravitate toward 1.00. RT will explode from bottoms, dive from tops, and reflect changes in price momentum. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RT ratings above 1.00.
VST (VST-Vector): VST is the master indicator for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database. KSW has a VST rating of 1.21, which is good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. VST is computed from the square root of a weighted sum of the squares of RV, RS, and RT. Stocks with the highest VST ratings have the best combinations of Value, Safety and Timing. These are the stocks to own for above average, long-term capital appreciation. VectorVest advocates the purchase of safe, undervalued stocks rising in price.
Recommendation (REC): VectorVest gives a Buy, Sell, Hold recommendation on every stock, every day. KSW has a Buy recommendation. REC reflects the cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks rising in price. They also help investors avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks falling in price. VectorVest recommends that investors buy high VST-Vector, Buy-rated stocks in rising markets.
Stop (Stop-Price): Stop is an indicator of when to sell a long position or cover a short position. KSW has a Stop of $6.02 per share. This is $0.56 below KSW's current closing Price. A stock's Stop is computed from a 13 week moving average of its closing prices, and is fine-tuned according to the stock's fundamentals. High RV, high RS stocks have lower Stops, and low RV, low RS stocks have higher Stops. In the VectorVest system, a stock gets a 'B' or 'H' recommendation if its Price is above its Stop and an 'S' recommendation if its Price is below its Stop.
GRT (Earnings Growth Rate): GRT reflects a company's one to three year forecasted earnings growth rate in percent per year. KSW has a forecasted Earnings Growth Rate of 13.00%, which VectorVest considers to be good. GRT is computed from historical, current and forecasted earnings data. It is updated each week for every stock in the VectorVest database. GRT often foretells a stock's future price trend. If a stock's GRT trend is upward, the stock's price will likely rise. If GRT is trending downward, the stock's Price will probably fall. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks whose GRT is rising and is greater than the sum of current inflation and interest rates, (8.36%).
EPS (Earnings per Share): EPS stands for leading 12 months Earnings Per Share. KSW has a forecasted EPS of $0.56 per share. VectorVest determines this forecast from a combination of recent earnings performance and traditional fiscal and/or calendar year earnings forecasts.
P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): P/E is a popular measure of stock valuation which shows the dollars required to buy one dollar of earnings. KSW has a P/E of 11.75. This ratio may be deemed to be high or low depending upon your frame of reference. The average P/E of all the stocks in the VectorVest database is 30.73. P/E is computed daily using the formula: P/E = Price/EPS.
EY (Earnings Yield): EY reflects earnings per share as a percent of Price. EY is related to P/E via the formula, EY = 100 / (P/E), and may be used in place of P/E as a measure of valuation. EY has the advantages that it is always determinate and can reflect negative earnings. KSW has an EY of 8.51 percent. This is above the current average of 3.27% for all the stocks in the VectorVest database. EY equals 100 x (EPS/Price).
GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio): GPE is another popular measure of stock valuation. It compares earnings growth rate to P/E ratio. KSW has a GPE rating of 1.11. High growth stocks are believed to be able to justify high P/E ratios. A stock is commonly considered to be undervalued when GPE is greater than 1.00 and overvalued when GPE is below 1.00. Unfortunately, this rule of thumb does not take into account the effect of interest rates on P/E ratios. The operative GPE ratio of 1.00 is valid when and only when interest rates equal 10%. With long-term interest rates currently at 5.86%, the operative GPE ratio is 0.34. Therefore, KSW may be considered to be undervalued.
Dividend Analysis Back to top
DIV (Dividend): VectorVest reports annual, regular, cash dividends as indicated by the most recent payments. Special distributions, one-time payments, stock dividends, etc., are not generally included in DIV. KSW does not pay a dividend.
DY (Dividend Yield): DY reflects dividend per share as a percent of Price. KSW does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Yield rating. . DY equals 100 x (DIV/Price). It is useful to compare DY with EY. If DY is not significantly lower than EY, the dividend payment may be in jeopardy.
DS (Dividend Safety): DS is an indicator of the assurance that regular cash dividends will be declared and paid at current or at higher rates for the foreseeable future. KSW does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Safety rating . Stocks with DS values above 75 typically have RS values well above 1.00 and EY levels that are much higher than DY.
DG (Dividend Growth Rate): Dividend Growth is a subtle yet important indicator of a company's financial performance. It also provides some insight into the board's outlook on the company's ability to increase earnings. KSW does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Growth rating .
YSG (YSG-Vector): YSG is an indicator which combines DIV, DY and DG into a single value, and allows direct comparison of all dividend-paying stocks in the database. KSW does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a YSG rating . Stocks with the highest YSG values have the best combinations of Dividend Yield, Safety and Growth. These are the stocks to buy for above average current income and long-term growth.
Price-Volume Data Back to top
Price: KSW closed on 1/23/2007 at $6.58 per share
Open: KSW opened trading at a price of $6.40 per share on 1/23/2007.
High: KSW traded at a High price of $6.61 per share on 1/23/2007.
Low: KSW traded at a Low price of $6.35 per share on 1/23/2007
Close: KSW closed trading at price $6.58 per share on 1/23/2007. (Close is also called Price in the VectorVest system)
Range: Range reflects the difference between the High and Low prices for the day. KSW traded with a range of $0.26 per share on 1/23/2007.
$Change: KSW closed up 0.16 from the prior day's closing Price.
%PRC: KSW's Price changed 2.49% from the prior day's closing price.
Volume: KSW traded 30,400 shares on 1/23/2007.
AvgVol: AvgVol is the 50 day moving average of daily volume as computed by VectorVest. KSW has an AvgVol of 81,600 shares traded per day.
%Vol: %Vol reflects the percent change in today's trading volume as compared to the AvgVol. %Vol equals ((Volume - AvgVol) / AvgVol ) * 100. KSW had a %Vol of -62.75% on 1/23/2007
CI (Comfort Index): CI is an indicator which reflects a stock's ability to resist severe and/or lengthy price declines. KSW has a CI rating of 1.68, which is excellent on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. CI is quite different from RS in that it is based solely upon a stock's long-term price history. VectorVest advocates the purchase of high CI stocks.
Sales / Market Capitalization Information Back to top
Sales: KSW has annual sales of $74,000,000.00
Sales Growth: Sales Growth is the Sales Growth Rate in percent over the last 12 months. KSW has a Sales Growth of 45.00% per year. This is excellent. Sales Growth is updated each week for every stock. It is often useful to compare Sales Growth to Earnings Growth to gain an insight into a company's operations.
Sales Per Share (SPS): KSW has annual sales of $13.05 per share. SPS can be used as a measure of valuation when comparing stocks within an Industry Group.
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S): KSW has a P/S of 0.50. This ratio is also used as a measure of valuation. Here, too, it is useful when comparing stocks within an Industry Group.
Shares: KSW has 5,000,000.00 shares of stock outstanding.
Market Capitalization: KSW has a Market Capitalization of $37,000,000.00. Market Capitalization is calculated by multiplying price times shares outstanding.
Summary Back to top
KSW is undervalued compared to its Price of $6.58 per share, has about average safety, and is currently rated a Buy.
The basic strategy of VectorVest is to buy Low risk, High reward stocks. We suggest that Prudent investors buy enough High Relative Value, High Relative Safety stocks to keep the overall RV and RS ratings of their portfolios above 1.00. As you do this, you'll find that your risk will go down and your investment performance will improve.
We have to get more investors posting on this board everday, so that we start getting others interested in the company.
I agree with you on the fundamentals,
this is a company that really has it's act together.
Now that Mr.Spitzer has become the Governor of New York,I don't believe there is going to be any more delays in rebuilding the World Trade Center site.
This is going to take anywhere from 3 to 5 years.
I have been talking to some of the contractors that work in New York and they all know KSW.The minute you mention their name,it's always,"Oh yeah KSW,those guys do the ac/heating on the big jobs".
I believe they are first in line to get any contracts on the WTC job,and that will mean millions of dollars to the company.I can't even imagine how much they would be making.
This is the main reason I bought into this company,just going to wait and see how many contracts they will get on the WTC site.
It was just some profits taking by people who bot last year and some insiders selling.I think they're done selling . The fundamentals are still intact and it should move higher from here.
I believe most of this is caused by the inside selling.I can't find any other reasons for it.If they have a back log of 115 million,there should be no cause for concern on the next financial report.Any thoughts from anyone else.
KSW probably had bottomed out here or closed to it.IMO
I have to say the guys who are buying 100 shares for 6.6299 on a 6.63 ask are complete morons
Looks like it is calming down and the stock should start moving up in anticipation of the financials being reported
Cool. KSW mentioned at stockdoconline.com
very positive!
Looks like there is still a fair amount of selling. 3.5x normal selling. Next support level looks to be $6.00 being that that is the 50dma and a week of trading at $6.00. If that doesn't hold up, I'm afraid my prediction may come true.
Damn - I should have listened to myself....
Insiders sold.Bookmark this site if you want to get on YHOO.
http://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Stocks_%28A_to_Z%29/Stocks_K/threadview?m=te&bn=27667&tid=...
I just recently bought in so I didnt know he was hired in May.
I too wish I could have freed up some money today to buy. Have to hope it stays down for a few days next week.The chart doesnt look too good, so we will see.
I live about 30 minutes from KLGE and Im going to try and make an appt to see the place and maybe get some pictures for the IBOX.
Imo 0 Effect
They were hired in May as a Level II director
No Big deal at all
In other words,how much weight on future contracts could there be on someone hired in MAY!?
Not much,if at all
But don't listen to a dummy!
All indicators were saying overbought,the pullback could have been predictable,but not necessarily so,as KSW seems to defy gravity because they are that good!
The slightly negative press just gave the Wallstreet whores an excuse to drop on slight "perceived" weakness.
Boat loading time if you have the cash available;If it stays down long enough I'll be buying some more,if not I have some at 6.03 and although not enough shares to flip with confidence really,I'm comfortable holding or buying more.
I can sleep at night owning this stock.
More importantly,any ideas of what effect
Russell S. Molina leaving the company will have on future contracts.
Looks like the $6.75 support held. It appears that some market maker took out some limit orders down near $6.50 during lunch today and then it popped right back up.
3x the normal volume too...
This chart doesn't look to good right now.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ksw&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p46714059002
Chances we may see $5's next week. If so, I'll be buying.
Looks like there's some short-term weakness brewing.
Any thoughts why?
Looking at this chart,
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ksw&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p46714059002
there was a shooting star 3 days ago on heavy volume and now a bearish engulf. It looks as though it is holding at the small 6.75 support set in Dec but next stop would probably be 5.50 where it was trading Oct-Nov as seen in the following chart.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=KSW&p=W&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p55890892470
http://www.americanbulls.com/StockPage.asp?CompanyTicker=KSW&MarketTicker=AMEX&TYP=S
Had a confirmed sell in yesterday at 7.25 due to the shooting star and confirming bearish black candle yesterday.
I'm still holding and will most likely add more on the next confirmed buy. Americanbulls.com has surprisingly been successful for me in pointing out reverses.
Hey DD,are you in KSW,if not you should be lol
yep.....staked me claim today....lol
Hi Kingfisher,I hope your buying into this one.
Please do so,i'm too busy these days to update the new info.Thanks
Hey....looks like some action going on......
Over here.....
Howdy.....everyone.....
Thanks Mike,Do you want me to add a chart?
Yes I read that Mike.Sure if you want to add me as an asst.That would be great.Thanks
Hope you enjoyed your vacation
Hi Wallstreetman, Welcome aboard.I'm sorry that i didn't get back to you sooner ,i've been on vac for the last 3 weeks .
I'll add you as an assistant if you want .
There's a lot of info on the YHOO bd that you might want to add + the report from Smallcapsleepers.
I post there under MIKE12114.
Hi guys,Just wanted to say hello,bought in yesterday and look for an outstanding year from KSW.
Have a Happy and Prosperous New Year
KSw will be in the double digits soon or later.
http://www.smallcapsleepers.com/samples/samplepublication.htm
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