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Blow up - blow up it is... Down .50cents
What will we see tomorrow morning? Blowout quarter or blow up quarter?!
§ JAKK Bottom in!! §
Been buying 6 - 6.30. Jakks is working with NantWorks on some incredible things. Earnings coming 02/24...est.07....I say .14. Looking for this to head up the rest of the year.
EOY target: $20
§JAKK
Thought i'd post here what i just posted over at Yahoo MB; and it's curious that JAKK's shareprice fell down today from a matched 6-month high of 9.20s early this a.m. back down to close at 6.97, just a penny above where it was when bikaver last posted to this board nearly a year ago on 10/28/2013.
I have no position in this stock but was very curious about the co. after reading Mark Gomes' piece at S.Alpha in early Oct after informing his PTT (Poised to Triple) newsletter crowd about it. An earlier Josh Arnold S.Alpha article some weeks prior to Gomes' piece was very pessimistic about JAKK's prospects and alerted me to why something like 70% of the float was short--weak profit margins after costs, and a big convertible debt overhang.
As i look over the qtrly report today, a few things stand out:
1) fully diluted shares (whereby one calculates EPS) has mushroomed from nearly 22M weighted average for the first nine months of 2013 to 45M f.d. shares with today's report for the Q3 2014 tally. That's a lot of dilutive share-growth and very likely has some analysts and big investors concerned about future EPS growth.
2) due to this increase, notice that net income was higher this qtr than in the comparable qtr last year, but this year's Q3 EPS of 1.03 was BELOW last year's Q3 EPS of 1.11 because of that dilution. And evidently something like $5.6M of this Q3's earnings were from a special gain arising from the fact that their Maui segment incurred an under-performance penalty.
3) mgmt guided for margins around 31-32% but Josh Arnold's cautionary article a few months ago calculated that JAKK's SG&A costs, including servicing their massive debt, were eating up fully 30% of gross profits, severely pressuring the bottom line.
After reading Gomes' article in early Oct. i viewed the movie Frozen & watched some of the Disney Ice Show on Youtube. I also see JAKK's many other licenses for highly lucrative past, present and upcoming franchises, and see JAKK's increasing international reach, and also see how with their DreamPlay segment they are designing more and more digital apps and robotic toys (presumably with the help of their biggest investor and his interest in robotics and interactive toys for smarter children). With all of this i can see how conceivably the company could really grow their top line over coming qtrs and years (albeit with the seasonality still hitting this and other companies like Hasbro and Mattel).
But the concern remains: can JAKK grow the BOTTOM LINE eps? Mgmt is guiding for a big YES.
Let's see what they can do...
Sold my JAKK @ 6.96 for a two month ROI of nearly 40%
Nice appreciation today, and I agree with your price target.
Net sales for the third quarter of 2013 were $310.9 million compared to net sales of $314.5 million reported in the comparable period in 2012. The reported net income for the third quarter was $36.6 million, or $1.11 per diluted share, which reflects the net dilutive impact of $0.21 per diluted share associated with the common shares underlying the $100.0 million convertible senior notes recently issued and repurchased in July 2013. This compares to net income of $30.4 million, or $1.10 per diluted share, reported in the comparable period in 2012.
Much better Q3, low float, 35% short ... Should see $8-$10 by Q1 2014
Had a lousy year but is expected to do better next year.
Folks may not have noticed yet, but this thing may double from here in a month or two. Usually, people notice after it is up half way. Sad. I am loaded, cocked and ready.
JAKK is about to go hydraulic
JAKK looks very oversold here.
JAKK is about to take off
Did some digging and boom look what I found..
http://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2013/08/30/biotech-billionaire-takes-a-beating-toying-around-with-jakks-pacific/
Never have i seen so many Class Action Lawsuits/Investigations/Litigations by multiple law firms since, Enron ... WoW! What a mess!
Does this EVER bottom? Still at it two weeks after your post. Looks like renewed heavy selling for the past couple of days. Does someone know something? Wow!
Going to have to wait for the bottom but I agree it will return pretty fast.
Stock is at its 13 year low. Toys will never become obselete. This is a steal at this price
This stock is at 3 year lows surprised more folks are not all over this stock.
This is the right step into the future
~ Tuesday! $JAKK ~ Q2 Earnings expected today or coming soon! In Charts and Links Below!
~ $JAKK ~ Earnings expected on Tuesday *
Want more like this? Search Keyword: MACMONEY >>> http://tinyurl.com/MACMONEY <<<
One or more of many earnings sites has alerted this security has or will be posting earnings on or around the day of this message.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=JAKK&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p88783918276&a=237480049
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=JAKK&p=W&b=3&g=0&id=p54550695994
~ Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=JAKK
~ Google Fin Options: hhttp://www.google.com/finance/option_chain?q=JAKK#
~ Yahoo! Finance ~ Stats: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=JAKK+Key+Statistics
~ Yahoo! Finance ~ Profile: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=JAKK
Finviz: http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=JAKK
~ MarketWatch: http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/JAKK/insideractions
<<<<<< http://www.earningswhispers.com/stocks.asp?symbol=JAKK >>>>>>
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/post_prvt.aspx?user=251916
*If the earnings date is in error please ignore error. I do my best.
16.01 -0.04 (-0.25%)
Jun 29 - Close
NASDAQ real-time data - Disclaimer
Currency in USD Range 15.85 - 16.49
52 week 13.29 - 20.37
Open 16.39
Vol / Avg. 279,505.00/347,436.00
Mkt cap 416.57M
P/E -
Div/yield 0.10/2.50
EPS -0.14
Shares 26.02M
Beta 0.69
Inst. own 110%
~ Wednesday! $JAKK ~ Q1 Earnings posted, pending or coming soon! In Charts and Links Below!
~ $JAKK ~ Earnings expected on Wednesday *
Want more like this? Search Keyword: MACMONEY >>> http://tinyurl.com/MACMONEY <<<
One or more of many earnings sites has alerted this security has or will be posting earnings on or around the day of this message.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=JAKK&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p88783918276&a=237480049
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=JAKK&p=W&b=3&g=0&id=p54550695994
~ Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=JAKK
~ Google Fin Options: hhttp://www.google.com/finance/option_chain?q=JAKK#
~ Yahoo! Finance ~ Stats: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=JAKK+Key+Statistics
~ Yahoo! Finance ~ Profile: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=JAKK
Finviz: http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=JAKK
~ BusyStock: http://busystock.com/i.php?s=JAKK&v=2
<<<<<< http://www.earningswhispers.com/stocks.asp?symbol=JAKK >>>>>>
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/post_prvt.aspx?user=251916
*If the earnings date is in error please ignore error. I do my best.
~ Monday! $JAKK ~ Earnings posted, pending or coming soon! In Charts and Links Below!
~ $JAKK ~ Earnings expected on Monday *
Want more like this? Search Keyword: MACMONEY >>> http://tinyurl.com/MACMONEY <<<
One or more of many earnings sites has alerted this security has or will be posting earnings on or around the day of this message.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=JAKK&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p88783918276&a=237480049
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=JAKK&p=W&b=3&g=0&id=p54550695994
~ Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=JAKK
~ Google Fin Options: hhttp://www.google.com/finance/option_chain?q=JAKK#
~ Yahoo! Finance ~ Stats: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=JAKK+Key+Statistics
~ Yahoo! Finance ~ Profile: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=JAKK
Finviz: http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=JAKK
~ BusyStock: http://busystock.com/i.php?s=JAKK&v=2
<<<<<< http://www.earningswhispers.com/stocks.asp?symbol=JAKK >>>>>>
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/post_prvt.aspx?user=251916
*If the earnings date is in error please ignore error. I do my best.
JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKKS) is a toy company that designs, produces, markets and distributes toys and related products, pet toys, consumables and related products, electronics and related products, kids indoor and outdoor furniture, and other consumer products. The Company’s products include traditional toys and electronics, and role play, novelty and seasonal toys. Traditional toys and electronics include electronics products, wheels products, action figures and accessories, dolls and pet products. Role play, novelty and seasonal toys consist of role-play and dress-up products, seasonal/outdoor products, indoor and outdoor kids’ furniture, and Halloween and everyday costume play. On October 14, 2011, the Company acquired Moose Mountain Toymakers Limited (Moose Mountain). Moose Mountain’s core business is developing, manufacturing, marketing and distributing foot to floor ride on and other toys.
http://www.google.com/finance?q=JAKK
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