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2.00 x 2.10
1.85 x 2.05
XRX...on the JAN23 15.00 calls
(link back)
https://schrts.co/eNDGuCkP
1.45 x 1.70
XRX...Xerox Holdings
XRX Jan 2023 15.000 call
@0.96
XRX...Xerox Holdings
Chart:
https://schrts.co/TjeAbeeb
LF Jan 2015 5.000 calls @.20
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=LF150117C00005000
.25 x .30 today on those LF130316C00010000
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=LF130316C00010000
LF...Leapfrog Enterprises
LF Mar 2013 10.000 call
I define a GALP stock as one that shows average annual earnings growth of 25 percent or more over the past five years, yet sells for 12 times earnings or less.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/print/2010-12-13/growth-at-a-low-price-my-favorite-stock-screen-commentary-by-john-dorfman.html
Let's think on that...
ITT Apr 2011 65.000 call
.25 x .30
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=ITT110416C00065000
ITT Jul 2011 70.000 call
.20 x .45
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=ITT110716C00070000
SFD Jul 2011 25.000 call
1.15 x 1.25
(link back for chart)
SKX Apr 2011 28.000 call @ .50
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=SKX110416C00028000
UVV Aug 2011 45.000 call @ 1.00
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=UVV110820C00045000
UMC Apr 2011 5.000 call @ .20
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=UMC110416C00005000
GME Feb 2011 21.000 call
.76 x .78
Imma nail this one to the door.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=GME110219C00021000
OC Feb 2011 35.000 call @.70
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=OC110219C00035000
SFD Jul 2011 25.000 call @.65
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=SFD110716C00025000
GME Feb 2011 21.000 call @.59
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=GME110219C00021000
Growth at a Low Price Is My Favorite Stock Screen: John Dorfman
By John Dorfman - Dec 12, 2010
Bloomberg Opinion
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/print/2010-12-13/growth-at-a-low-price-my-favorite-stock-screen-commentary-by-john-dorfman.html
Money managers tend to become fond of their favorite stock screens, just as baseball players tend to prefer one bat over others. One of my favorite screens is growth at a low price.
I define a GALP stock as one that shows average annual earnings growth of 25 percent or more over the past five years, yet sells for 12 times earnings or less. For the past 11 years, I’ve found this screen to be a fertile source for stock picking.
Thirty-nine U.S. stocks with a market value of more than $250 million passed this screen on Dec. 7. Let’s spotlight 10 of them.
One that excites me is LAM Research Corp., a Fremont, California, company that makes semiconductor manufacturing equipment. Of 17 analysts who follow the company, seven say to buy the stock, four recommend selling, and six are neutral. This type of opinion dispersion is a good sign in my view.
When views are split, the stock price often will split the difference and reflect a middling view. Yet one of the extreme views may prove correct. In this case, I believe it will be the optimists’ view.
As I see it, semiconductor industry conditions are improving, and LAM’s fortunes are rising more rapidly than most. In the company’s first fiscal quarter, which ended Sept. 30, revenue shot up to $806 million, more than double the level of a year earlier. Diluted earnings per share hit $1.55 a share, a record.
Caveats Abound
One negative: Fidelity Investments owns almost 19 million shares as of Sept. 30, or about 15 percent of the company. Should Fidelity become a seller, the stock could be under pressure for months.
Three companies are resurfacing from last year’s list. Two of them are insurance-related businesses: Life Partners Holdings Inc. in Waco, Texas, and HCC Insurance Holdings Inc., based in Houston.
Life Partners arranges transactions between individuals who are older than 65 or are terminally ill and want to sell their life insurance policies and people who will buy their policies at a discount. Emotionally, I can’t warm up to this business. Analytically, I believe that the company may lose market share as traditional life insurers develop competing options.
HCC Insurance operations include life, property and casualty insurance companies along with units specializing in marine and aviation coverage. The company has shown a profit every year since 1992, the year it went public. I think its stock is attractive at 10 times earnings and about one times book value (corporate net worth).
Eroding Value
The other returnee is New York-based M&F Worldwide Corp., a holding company controlled by Chairman Ronald Perelman. It prints checks and related products, offers direct marketing services, and makes flavors and flavorings, especially licorice.
At less than four times earnings, M&F is cheap, but Perelman has a poor record for creating shareholder value. He is chairman of Revlon Inc., whose shareholders have lost about 70 percent of their investment over the past 10 years. Also, I consider M&F’s debt-to-equity ratio of almost 375 percent excessive.
The largest corporation on this list by market capitalization is New York-based Travelers Cos., a property-and- casualty insurer. Its market value is $25 billion. Unfortunately, its seemingly high five-year growth rate is statistically misleading, which stems largely from a subpar base year in 2004.
Avoid Shortcuts
That illustrates an important point about using screens: They are a starting point for analysis, not a substitute for it.
Three stocks on this year’s list are for-profit college companies: Corinthian Colleges Inc., of Santa Ana, California, ITT Educational Services Inc., based in Carmel, Indiana, and Lincoln Educational Services Corp., of West Orange, New Jersey.
I wrote about the for-profit colleges in November. I would avoid Corinthian, which I believe will struggle to meet new regulatory requirements to preserve financial-aid eligibility for its students. I think ITT and Lincoln, each at about six times earnings, may be good buys now.
I’m favorably disposed to Humana Inc., a managed-care company based in Louisville, Kentucky, even though federal budget pressure may induce Congress to cut Medicare payments. Humana posted record earnings of $6.15 a share in 2009 and is expected to better that to $6.64 this year. At seven times earnings and about 0.3 times revenue, I think the stock is attractive.
Going Offshore
Rounding out this GALP candidates list is Seacor Holdings Inc., based in Fort Lauderdale, Florida. The company operates a fleet of boats that support offshore oil platforms. Analysts expect it to post record earnings this year as companies try to adjust to the post-Gulf-spill world. In 2011, analysts expect earnings to fall more than 50 percent from this year’s level. I think they are too pessimistic there.
Unlike some of its oil-service kin, Seacor has been consistently profitable. Like HCC Insurance, it hasn’t posted an annual loss since it went public in 1992.
Disclosure note: I own shares of HCC personally and for clients. I own Humana for many of my clients. On the other stocks discussed in this week’s column, I have no long or short positions.
(John Dorfman, chairman of Thunderstorm Capital in Boston, is a columnist for Bloomberg News. The opinions expressed are his own. His firm or clients may own or trade securities discussed in this column.)
To contact the writer of this column: John Dorfman at jdorfman@thunderstormcapital.com.
To contact the editor responsible for this column: James Greiff at jgreiff@bloomberg.net
®2010 BLOOMBERG L.P. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
MEA Jan 2011 5.000 call (MEA110122C00005000)
.80 x .95 now....a month from expiration
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=MEA110122C00005000
B Dec 2010 17.500 call
3.10 x 3.60
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=B101218C00017500
ATW Dec 2010 30.000 call
6.60 x 6.90
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=ATW101218C00030000
MEA Jan 2011 5.000 call
.50 x .70 now...I think we're in the power zone and I like our chances for a nice turn over the next month
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=MEA110122C00005000
MEA Jan 2011 5.000 Call
.20/.40
...after a savage pillaging on strong but nearly missed q3 earnings on Friday.
MEA Jan 2011 5.000 Call
.55 x .65
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=MEA110122C00005000
MEA Jan 2011 5.000 Call @.40
b/a .20/.40
B Oct 2010 17.500 call
.35 / .60
B Oct 2010 17.500 call
.75/ .90
B Oct 2010 17.500 call
.45/.65
+50%
woot!
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The Board According to GARP
Board Rules: NYSE, AMEX or NASDAQ listed stocks only here. No OTC or pink sheet securities will be entertained. When posting a potential GARPer, please include the reasonable price at the time of the post and a chart if possible. Any further DD is also welcomed. GARP parameters can be loosely defined and scans can be inclusive or exclusive of different factors to further tweak the GARP strategy.(ie. market cap, float, volume,sector, etc)
Investopedia:
Growth At A Reasonable Price - GARP
An equity investment strategy that seeks to combine tenets of both growth investing and value investing to find individual stocks. GARP investors look for companies that are showing consistent earnings growth above broad market levels (a tenet of growth investing ) while excluding companies that have very high valuations (value investing). The overarching goal is to avoid the extremes of either growth or value investing; this typically leads GARP investors to growth-oriented stocks with relatively low price/earnings (P/E) multiples in normal market conditions.
GARP investing was popularized by legendary Fidelity manager Peter Lynch. While the style may not have rigid boundaries for including or excluding stocks, a fundamental metric that serves as a solid benchmark is the price/earnings growth (PEG) ratio. The PEG shows the ratio between a company's P/E ratio (valuation) and its expected earnings growth rate over the next several years. A GARP investor would seek out stocks that have a PEG of 1 or less, which shows that P/E ratios are in line with expected earnings growth. This helps to uncover stocks that are trading at reasonable prices.
In a bear market or other downturn in stocks, one could expect the returns of GARP investors to be higher than those of pure growth investors, but sub par to strict value investors who generally purchase shares at P/Es under broad market multiples.
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/garp.asp
Do your own due dilligence. I am not making buy or sell recomendations nor am I making timing calls. Never buy or sell securities based on non-professional advice from the polka community.
http://www.optionseducation.org/
http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=111&f=cap_midunder,fa_pb_u3,fa_pe_u20,fa_peg_low,geo_usa&ft=4&o=-marketcap
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