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A Brief Lesson In Fact V.S. Fiction
http://blog.gpreinc.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/GRO-3647-Green-Plains-Energy-Op-Ed-ad-lowres.jpg
Good Luck To All!$!$!$!$
US ethanol RIN credits surge 1,400% this year
US ethanol credits surge 1,400% this year
http://nicosiamoneynews.com/2013/03/06/us-ethanol-credits-surge-1400-this-year/
Refiners buy RIN credits from ethanol producers and use this as proof that they’re complying with the national fuel laws. The good news is that RIN credits have been relatively inexpensive, until recently. The bad news is that RIN prices have recently exploded. From a little over a penny in June 2012, the cost of compliance is up to $1.10 as of the first week of March
http://dailyreckoning.com/fill-it-up-with-deathanol/
I should have listened to you back in october, owned gspi for years. I just picked the wrong company. GPRE have more leg to it you think?
ACE: "Oil Industry Grasping At Straws Regarding E15"
ACE responds to API, says oil industry is grasping at straws regarding E15
The Senior Vice President for the American Coalition for Ethanol (ACE), Ron Lamberty today blasted the American Petroleum Institute (API) for the oil groups’ latest attack on E15 fuel.
Lamberty says the latest interpretations from API on the Coordinating Research Council (CRC) test results should not scare consumers away from using E15.
“This is just another ghost story, told by people who stand to lose market share when consumers finally have access to E15. We shouldn’t be surprised at Big Oil’s latest attempt to scare consumers - they’ve shown no shame in twisting test results to protect their market share. There is a reason that the oil companies don’t want E15 and it has everything to do with protecting the bottom line and nothing to do with protecting consumers.” Lamberty said.
“Today’s press conference did, however, prove what API and Big Oil are really trying to protect. They showed their true motives when they used this unscientific study as some sort of “proof” that the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) should be repealed. Ethanol is gaining a larger share of a shrinking U.S. gasoline market, and Big Oil will stop at nothing to protect their huge profits,” said Lamberty. “The idea of farmers and ethanol producers taking more market share via E15 is what truly haunts the oil industry. Big Oil’s refusal to comply with the RFS isn’t proof the RFS doesn’t work - it’s proof they don’t want it to work, because they don’t want to compete for consumers’ fuel dollars.”
Also we asked our friend Marc Rausch from the Auto Channel for his take on the API press conference and CRC study - we think you will enjoy his response:
AUTO CENTRAL - January 29, 2013: This morning, the American Petroleum Institute held their latest telephone press conference in their continuous attempt to undermine any alternative fuel solutions and keep us addicted to gasoline.
The information released by the API today during the press conference added nothing new or significant in their fallacious assault on ethanol…except one thing. The two presenters took on the surprisingly conciliatory pretense of “having nothing against ethanol.” They went so far as to say that there are fine “blending qualities”about ethanol.
They just don’t want it living in their neighborhood, so to speak.
API did what they have done for decades: they made up lies and insinuations, and they mischaracterized ethanol. To listen to them, anyone would think that vehicles that run on gasoline never experience any engine breakdowns or system failures, and that fuel pumps, fuel lines, pistons and cylinder walls only ever show signs of wear if alcohol somehow gets into the fuel system. They warned about consumers experiencing roadside breakdowns and costly repairs because of E15 use. What? Are they suggesting that the millions of vehicles that have broken down over the past 100-years only broke down because they used fuel other than gasoline?
To use the old phrase made contemporary again by Joe Biden: The API is full of malarkey.
The API guys stated, yet again, that the EPA prematurely approved the use of E15 in vehicles manufactured since 2001. API says that there hasn’t been sufficient study. They conveniently ignore the fact that alcohol/ethanol has been used in vehicle engines since the mid-1850’s; that virtually every independent study of gasoline vs. ethanol shows ethanol is the superior engine fuel; and that even the automobile industry’s top scientists (including the General Motors guys who invented leaded gasoline) believed that ethanol is the better fuel. They also ignore the fact that there are other countries on this planet that have relied on ethanol and various ethanol-gasoline blends for years, with no problems other than those that are customarily experienced by internal combustion engines.
In addition, they gloss over the fact that the government’s testing laboratories didn’t just take up the study of ethanol as an engine fuel in the past couple of years; they have studied ethanol and different blend levels for many, many years. Moreover, Ricardo Laboratories– the world’s leading and most respected private lab dealing with fuel issues – did its own study that shows that E15 can be used in all vehicles going back to the early 1990’s.
They have also mischaracterized, again, the EPA’s E15 waiver; making it sound like it wasn’t just a recommendation, but that it is a mandated imperial order. They referred to a recent AAA warning about E15 causing engine damage as if AAA conducted their own conclusive testing of the fuel. But AAA didn’t, they relied on the lies given to them by the oil lobby and then invented some of their own gross exaggerations to make the warning seem more urgent. It’s just more malarkey; hot stinky grotesque batches of malarkey.
But perhaps the single stupidest misstatement that the two presenters made today is when they characterized ethanol as being dangerously corrosive. Let me remind everyone that ethanol is alcohol. Alcohol can be consumed; it can be rubbed on your body; it is used to clean and disinfect sensitive medical instruments that are used on internal organs of the human body; and you can leave an open container of alcohol in a closed room without killing any people who may be in the room. Try doing these things with gasoline. And, if you only use gasoline and you experience water related problems such as freezing, you add alcohol to the gasoline to solve the problem. In my estimation, if there is something that’s bad in ethanol, it’s the gasoline that's added to the alcohol to denaturize it.
Even if ethanol caused some or all of the engine problems that the oil industry pretend that it does, the solution is not to not use ethanol. The solution is to ban the use of gasoline as an engine fuel and to mandate that all engine components be manufactured with regard to alcohol use. And of course, the ethanol should be produced in America by Americans. Simply put, I’d much rather have my fuel money go to American farmers than foreign terrorists.
http://americancoalitionforethanol.createsend1.com/t/ViewEmail/t/0E5A1ACD22AEE663/7299D94113C2FF712540EF23F30FEDED
Good Luck To All!$!$!$!$!$!$
You're My Hero Mr. Becker!
Thank You!
Good Luck To All!$!$!$!$
GPRE Will Report A Large Profit In Q412
The report should be out after the bell, sometimes a couple hours after.
GPRE is profitable, I own stock in GPRE and GERS.
Method Of Blending Fuel Patent
In my opinion, the new fuel blending patent breaks the monopoly that big oil has on tax credits for blending alternative fuels. Instead of big oil keeping the credit, gas stations can get it by using GERS' method patent. This would encourage use of alternatives and pass more of the savings to consumers instead of adding to the profits of big oil.
Here's some good information directly related to the new GERS' patent. Patent #8,352,071 January 8, 2013.
http://www.byoethanol.com
http://greenshift-gers.blogspot.com/2013/01/method-of-blending-fuels-and-related.html
A key claim of the new fuel blending patent is to match the temperatures of the fuel. Not too long ago, Valero and many other big oil companies were sued for selling hot fuel. Valero was pocketing tens of millions of dollars gained by differences in fuel temperature.
"At every other phase of the distribution process, there's temperature compensation, except at the retail level." Until now.....
"At every other phase of the distribution process, there's temperature compensation, except at the retail level," says Norita Taylor, spokeswoman for the Kansas City-based Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association. "Why not at retail?"
At The Pump
"Consumer Watchdog's Dugan says she has not seen the Valero, Casey's and Walmart settlement agreements, but adds that they most likely involve replacing old fuel pumps with new ones that can electronically compensate for temperature fluctuations."
http://www.consumerwatchdog.org/story/valero-confirms-settlement-reached-hot-fuel-lawsuit
Give consumers a choice instead of big oil doing the blending and keeping the credit. Sales of ethanol will increase as consumers realize they get better MPG's with mid level blends.
Blending at the retail station will reduce costs in many ways. The new tax package congress just passed pays up to $30,000 for the blending equipment conversion.
Matching the temperatures of the fuels to be blended ensures consumers get what they pay for. It will increase demand for biofuels and decrease the price at the pump.
Good Luck To All!$!$!$!$!$!$!$
Corn Oil, Biodiesel, Blender Patents All In One
Biodiesel production at the ethanol plants.
I would like to see GPRE install GERS' patented biodiesel production upgrade. It just makes "cents".
When the oil is extracted it's pumped into storage tanks at the ethanol plant. From there, the oil is loaded into a semi or rail car. When it gets to the biodiesel plant, it's pumped back into another storage tank and then pumped into the biodiesel reaction system. The finished product is pumped into a storage tank at the biodiesel plant. Then it's loaded back into another semi or rail car. The biodiesel is then pumped into yet another storage tank at a blending facility. From there, the biodiesel is mixed with diesel and pumped back into a semi or rail car. Finally, the mixed fuel is pumped into the underground tanks at gas stations until it's pumped into vehicles. This is ridiculous.
My question is, why?
With the ability to produce biodiesel at the ethanol plant, much of this could be eliminated and the savings would be huge. The extracted oil should be directly turned into biodiesel at the ethanol plant and then taken straight to the storage tanks at the gas stations. From there, biodiesel in it's pure form, should be blended with the new GERS' fuel blending method patent. This, I believe, is GERS' strategy. This would cut out the middle man, save consumers a lot of money, and encourage higher blends of biofuels.
In GPRE's case, they have the blendstar asset. GPRE could save a lot of money by producing biodiesel at their plants. With the blendstar asset, GPRE would get the $1 per gallon credit instead of passing it on to the middle man or big oil.
http://www.gpreinc.com/BlendStar
This may be the big news GERS has been working on.
Event driven systems integration of systems other than corn oil extraction technologies.
There's no need to transfer the corn oil/biodiesel over and over. If GPRE produced biodiesel and blended it themselves, they could capture the full value of the supply chain as well as the $1 per gallon credit. In addition, GPRE would have another product to sell, glycerin, the byproduct of biodiesel production. Also, GPRE's algae oil production is ramping up. Another good reason for them to have the ability to produce biodiesel.
GPRE could gain as much as $20 million in biodiesel tax credits not including algae oil.
This would likely pay for the equipment upgrade at their plants.
Could this by what GPRE is about to do? They did just raise $100 million from the deal with The Andersons.
The numbers are compelling. The profit potential is phenomenal.
Good Luck To All!$!$!$!$!$!$
Biofuel Tax Incentives Extended For 2012/2013!$!$!$!$!$
All great news for GPRE's ethanol, algae, and corn oil business'.
E15 rollout to accelerate
Algae included as feedstock
January 02, 2013
President Obama is expected to sign the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 into law today. The legislation, also known as the “fiscal cliff bill,” includes language to extend several biofuel-related tax incentives.
The legislation extends the cellulosic biofuel producer credit through 2013, and treats algae as a qualified feedstock for the credit.
The special allowance for cellulosic biofuel plant property has also been extended through the end of 2013. It applies to property placed into service between Dec. 31, 2012 and Jan. 1, 2014. The legislation also specifies that algae is treated as a qualified feedstock for the purposes of bonus depreciation for biofuel plant property.
Furthermore, the bill extends the tax credit for alternative fuel vehicle refueling property through Dec. 31, 2013.
The Renewable Fuels Association has spoken out in support of the extensions. “The one year extension of the cellulosic producer tax credit and accelerated depreciation provides some measure of certainty to ensure that 2013 will be a year of growth and milestones for the advanced ethanol industry,” said Bob Dinneen, president and CEO of the RFA. “In addition, and equally significant, is the extension of the alternative fuel infrastructure tax credit which will accelerate E15’s entry into the marketplace this coming year. The extension of these important provisions demonstrates the Obama Administration’s stalwart support of biofuels and Congress’s belief in the promise of energy independence and job creation through domestic renewable energy resources.”
In addition, the legislation important extensions for the biodiesel industry. According to the text of the bill, tax credits for biodiesel and renewable diesel have been reinstated for 2012 and 2013. "It's been a long year with a lot of missed opportunity and lost jobs in the biodiesel industry,” said Anne Steckel, vice president of federal affairs at the National Biodiesel Board. “But we're pleased that Congress has finally approved an extension so that we can get production back on track," said Anne Steckel, vice president of federal affairs at the National Biodiesel Board (NBB). "This is not an abstract issue. In the coming months, because of this decision, we'll begin to see real economic impacts with companies expanding production and hiring new employees."
The text of the legislation posted to the Library of Congress Thomas website also includes language related to several Farm Bill programs. According to the bill, the Biobased Markets Program, Biorefinery Assistance program, Repowering Assistance program, Bioenergy Program for Advanced Biofuels and Biodiesel Fuel Education Program are extended through 2013. The bill also extends the Rural Energy for America Program, the Biomass Research and Development program, the Rural Energy Self-Sufficiency Initiative, the Feedstock Flexibility Program for Bioenergy Producers, Biomass Crop Assistance Program, Forest Biomass for Energy and Community Wood Energy Program through the end of the year.
http://www.ethanolproducer.com/articles/9415/fiscal-cliff-bill-extends-biofuel-tax-incentives-through-2013
Good Luck To All!$!$!$!$!$!$!
$!$!$!$ BIOF EXTRACTS .9077 POUNDS PER BUSHEL!$!$!$!$!$
GPRE is GERS #1 largest customer. ANDE is #2. BIOF is #3. GERS has 2.5 billion gallons of ethanol production under license.
Why does PEIX want to be stuck in the 1/2 pound of oil per bushel range with ICM when it's peers are extracting .9 pounds with GERS?
UNBELIEVABLE!$ BIOF EXTRACTS .9077 Pounds Per Bushel!$!$!$!$
WoW!$!$!$!$ Am I missing something here or did BIOF just report they extracted over .9 pounds per bushel?
Is this right? I mean I know GERS has stated that method I can do more than .9 pounds per bushel, so is this the first time we've seen proof? I'm shocked! Speechless....Am I missing something here?
Even though ethanol production dropped from Q212, corn oil production increased!$!$!$
Corn oil pounds 11,466,000
Ethanol gallons 36,271,000
Corn ground bushels 12,632,000
The increase in co-product revenue was primarily attributable to the inclusion of corn oil revenue in the three months ended September 30, 2012. The Company commenced corn oil extraction at both plants in the first quarter of 2012, which resulted in $4.4 million of corn oil revenue in the third quarter of 2012.
The increase in co-product revenue was primarily attributable to the commencement of corn oil extraction at both of our plants in the first quarter of 2012, which resulted in $11.1 million of corn oil revenue for the first nine months of 2012.
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1373670/000114420412061808/v326141_10q.htm
Many of GERS' customers say method I installations have paid off in six months. An ICM AOS customer said it would take 2 years to pay off that system that yields 1/2 pound per bushel.
The AOS is more expensive with a fraction of the yields. GERS customers make more money, even after the royalty. If BIOF is paying 20% from .9 pounds, they keep .72 pounds after the royalty. .5 to .6 pounds doesn't compete no matter how one looks at it. 1.33 pounds is the future and the operational costs are very low.
Look, I believe in the long term outlook for ethanol, but right now, it's not profitable and all producers are hurting. GERS will be highly profitable in the Q3 report tomorrow and the stock will surge. There is no debate, GERS invented this technology and they're the best. ICM tried to come up with a system, but it's yields can't compete.
Every ethanol producer is rushing to install oil extraction. I think an investment in GERS is smart because they're profitable and the industry isn't. Imagine what GERS stock will look like when the industry returns to profits next year.
If you want a profitable stock that's in business with major companies, including big oil companies, and if you want to get in before the run, buy GERS.
Good Luck To All!$!$!$!
Slash,Bloomberg Article/With DDGS Producers Profiting
Dont Know Why they excluded revenue from dried distillers’ grains
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=81462878
Based on December contracts for corn and ethanol, producers are losing 29 cents on each gallon of the fuel made, down from 28 cents on yesterday, excluding the revenue that can be made from the sale of dried distillers’ grains, a byproduct of ethanol production that can be fed to livestock, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
GPRE's Oil Yields 32% Higher Than Valero's
GPRE Not Slowing/Shutting Plants Down Thanks To Earnings From Corn Oil
Here's the CC highlights from GERS' #1 largest customer.
In Q312, GPRE operated at 87%. They produced 161 million gallons of ethanol out of the 185 million gallon per quarter capacity.
"Our ethanol yield in the quarter was 2.84 gallons per bushel of corn, and we had a slight uptick in our yield on corn oil to .66 pounds per bushel."
"Increase in corn oil production year-over-year is attributable to improving our corn oil yield per bushel to 0.66 pounds compared to 0.50 pounds in 2011."
"With better margins and our plant maintenance shutdowns completed, we anticipate our fourth quarter production rate to be closer to about 92% or 93% of our expected operating capacity."
GPRE is projecting they'll operate at about 93% capacity in Q412. So while other producers like Valero are shutting plants down, GPRE is increasing production. http://www.bizjournals.com/sanantonio/news/2012/10/31/valero-idles-ethanol-plants-in.html
If you look at the fact that Valero is getting .5 pounds of oil per bushel and GPRE is doing .66 pounds, this may be the difference between being able to operate or not. With GPRE's oil yields 32% higher than Valero's, I wonder if this is the reason Valero has not installed the ICM AOS at the rest of their plants.(Remember they said they would study the possibility of it?)
Since GPRE is projecting an increase in operating capacity to 93% or 172 million gallons of ethanol, we can expect oil extraction to be right around 40 million pounds in Q412. That is unless of course extraction yields go higher. (172MG/2.84X.66)
GPRE predicts return to profitability in Q412
"We are approximately 60% locked for ethanol margins in the current quarter at profitable levels and even though the early harvest accelerated operating income from our agribusiness segment into the third quarter, I'm confident to say that our ongoing operations will return to profitability at the net income line in the fourth quarter."
GPRE not shutting plants down thanks to earnings from corn oil
"...we do a variable cost analysis literally every day, and so corn oil is part of that cost analysis. So we – based on that, we never really saw a time because of the earnings from corn oil that we needed to slowdown any further or shutdown our plants. While we reported separately, we do take it into consideration in our decisions we make to a slow or shutdown our production."
http://seekingalpha.com/article/966461-green-plains-renewable-energy-s-ceo-discusses-q3-2012-results-earnings-call-transcript?find=93%25&all=false
Farha Aslam - Stephens, Inc
Hi, can you guys hear me?
Todd Becker
Yes, we can.
Farha Aslam - Stephens, Inc
Great. Thanks. First question is on the ethanol group and balancing that with your corn oil. In the quarter, it looks like you definitely balanced production in ethanol with what you earned in corn oil extraction. Could you just share with us your strategy going forward, if you see a negative quarter, is that how you’re going to try and run the two segments?
Todd Becker
Yeah, what we do is, we actually look at – we do a variable cost analysis literally every day, and so corn oil is part of that cost analysis. So we – based on that, we never really saw a time because of the earnings from corn oil that we needed to slowdown any further or shutdown our plants. While we reported separately, we do take it into consideration in our decisions we make to a slow or shutdown our production.
Farha Aslam - Stephens, Inc
And so kind of going forward, if we see negative ethanol margins, but can we assume that you're going to slow down to the degree that corn oil offsets that?
Todd Becker
Well, we may not slowdown. It just depends on that related to variable cost related to corn oil. So, yes, and we look at all of that, but it doesn't actually mean that we slowdown in a negative environment.
GPRE Beats Estimates/Reports Record Oil Yield
GERS' #1 Customer Reports Record Oil Yield .66 Pounds Per Bushel!$!$!
Q3's corn oil revenue of $14,530,000 was down slightly from the $15,463,000 reported in Q2. A modest decline of 6% or $933K.
Revenues in the corn oil production segment increased by $13.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2012 compared to the same period in 2011.
While oil volumes did slip 1.4 million pounds, this will be more than made up for by the increase from GERS' 2nd largest customer, ANDE. Greenshift's revenue and EPS will increase to a new record in Q312.
Despite a 6.4% or 11,000,000 gallon reduction in ethanol production, corn oil production decreased by only 3.6% or 175,000 gallons, from Q2 to Q3.
GPRE extracted 37.2 million pounds compared to 32.7 in last year's Q3.
In the first 9 months of 2012, oil revenues jumped to $43 million compared to $28.8 million in the first 9 months of 2011.
Oil yields per bushel surged 32% from .5 pounds in Q311 to a record .66 pounds in Q312 and up from the previous quarter.
Corn oil volumes climbed 4.5 million pounds YOY in Q3. That's an increase of 13.8% even though ethanol production contracted.
In the first 9 months of 2012, pounds of oil extracted surged nearly 70% compared to the first 9 months of 2011.
"Revenues in the corn oil production segment increased by $13.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2012 compared to the same period in 2011. During the nine months ended September 30, 2012, we sold 109.2 million pounds of corn oil compared to 64.3 million pounds in the same period of 2011."
"Gross profit and operating income in the corn oil production segment increased by $7.1 million and $7.0 million, respectively, for the nine months ended September 30, 2012 compared to the same period in 2011. The increases are primarily attributable to the increase in production volumes discussed above."
GPRE Q312 Report...
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1309402/000130940212000050/gpre-20120930x10q.htm
I'm very pleased with the financial performance of GERS' #1 customer in Q312.
2012 was one of the worst droughts in more than 50 years. GPRE beat on both EPS estimates as well as revenues. Many analysts predicted GPRE would lose $.30 per share, they only lost $.03. Revenues were much higher than the estimates of $852, they generated $947.4.
Good Luck To All!$!$!$!$!$!$
GPRE Q312 Report This Coming Tuesday
The long awaited Q3 report will most likely be released this Tuesday, after the bell. The CC will be the following morning. I'm very interested in the corn oil numbers as I own 2% of GERS. I'm very excited about the algae project as well.
http://investor.gpreinc.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=714556
Green Plains to Discuss Third Quarter 2012 Financial Results
-- Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. (Nasdaq:GPRE) will hold a conference call to discuss its third quarter 2012 financial results on Wednesday, October 31, 2012 at 11:00 a.m. ET. Green Plains' participants will include Todd Becker, President and Chief Executive Officer, Jerry Peters, Chief Financial Officer, and Jeff Briggs, Chief Operating Officer. Following their presentation, participants will be available for a brief question and answer session.
Green Plains Third Quarter 2012 Financial Results Conference Call
Wednesday, October 31, 2012 at 11:00 a.m. ET / 10:00 a.m. CT
Call in # (Domestic) 888-312-3048
Call in # (International) 719-325-2484
The conference call will be available via webcast and is accessible at Green Plains' website at www.gpreinc.com. Listeners are advised to go to the website at least 10 minutes prior to the call to register, download and install any necessary audio software. The presentation will be archived and available for replay through November 7, 2012.
About Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc.
Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. (Nasdaq:GPRE) is North America's fourth largest ethanol producer. The Company markets and distributes approximately one billion gallons of renewable motor fuel on an annual basis. Green Plains owns and operates grain handling and storage assets and provides complementary agronomy services to local grain producers through its agribusiness segment. Green Plains owns BlendStar LLC, a biofuels terminal operator with locations in the southern U.S. Green Plains is a joint venture partner in BioProcess Algae LLC, which was formed to commercialize advanced photo-bioreactor technologies for the growing and harvesting of algal biomass."
Good Luck To All!$!$!$!$
EBDI Engines Get Better Mileage Than Gasoline
Ethanol Boosted Direct Injection Engines
E-85 vehicles are just regular gasoline engines with the ability to tolerate high levels of ethanol. They tolerate it, but can't take full advantage of it. Kits can be purchased to make most gasoline burners handle up to E-85, but the best mileage is from mid level blends like E-15, E-20, E-30.
High compression engines such as the Ricardo are designed to take full advantage of ethanol's 113 octane, not just tolerate it. Ethanol is lower in BTU's, but again the key is tapping the octane. Ricardo's can run up to 100% ethanol.
"The technology, called Ethanol Boosted Direct Injection or EBDI, takes full advantage of ethanol’s best properties – higher octane and higher heat of vaporization."
"Ricardo technology achieves breakthrough efficiency for ethanol-fuelled engines
System surpasses gasoline efficiency, reaches near-diesel levels and reduces operational costs compared to current fuels."
"We're squeezing out more power than is possible with gasoline.”
“People are likely to be amazed with the performance and fuel economy that can be delivered from a comparatively small displacement engine running on a renewable fuel such as ethanol,” said Rod Beazley, director of the Ricardo Inc Spark Ignited Engines Product Group."
"The reason we are doing this is that while the engine test results speak for themselves, there is no substitute for experiencing in a vehicle the benefits of uncompromised performance and extremely high fuel economy that can be achieved using a renewable fuel like ethanol in an optimal manner."
The car companies are telling the ethanol companies that the new government standard of 54 MPG by 2025 is only possible with the high octane of ethanol. In other words, the new gasoline engines that will be coming out are similar to diesels in that they operate on high compression. I spoke about this in the past, Ricardo engines. They get more MPG on ethanol than gasoline. These smaller, high compression engines can't operate on the low octane of gasoline.
A lot of people are confused into thinking ethanol destroys MPG's, when in fact, it's the 90% subgrade gasoline(84 octane) that's partly to blame for the drop. Today's vehicles can't even operate on this subgrade form of gasoline without ethanol in it. Tomorrow's engines are being designed to take full advantage of the superior fuel, ethanol, and need at least 95 octane. Make no mistake about it, ethanol is a better fuel than gas.
Good Luck To All!$!$!$!$
BioProcess Algae Phase III Construction Update (PHOTO)
Our #1 customer, GPRE, is finished with the 5 acre algae project. They're adding algae to these hybrid ponds right now. GPRE will be extracting algae oil on a daily basis. This is cool stuff from GERS' strong and diversified customer, Green Plains.
October 1, 2012
Latest construction update from BioProcess Algae's blog.
Last week we began commissioning the new Phase III equipment and began the process of getting everything started. The greenhouses are complete. All of the new buildings are fully enclosed and the cleaning procedure that comes before inoculation has begun. We should be adding new algae to the first building this week. Also this week we will be installing the new harvesters in the smaller two buildings.
http://www.gpreinc.com/News/107
Click On The Picture In This Link For A Close-Up.
In Shenandoah, white biotechnology meets black carbon remediation, and algae production comes to the Corn Belt, as BioProcess Algae and Green Plains Renewable Energy aim for a “lowest-cost winner” in algae biofuels.
In Europe they call “white biotechnology” what is elsewhere known as “industrial biotechnology”, or around the Corn belt as “the technology behind corn starch fermentation”, or in Shenandoah, Iowa (to many) as “the place where Dad (or Mom) works” or “the ethanol plant we sell our corn too.”
It’s been a tough enough season in Iowa this year for growers, fighting a persistent and gut-wrenching drought, but on the whole they’ve had a prosperous decade thanks to corn starch fermentation and the ethanol boom. It’s built a floor under corn prices and given growers in Page County a short delivery run. They’ve helped make, in turn, the 100 million gallon Green Plains Renewable Energy plant in Shenandoah the most efficient and profitable in the GPRE fleet.
But carbon dioxide emissions remain. In fact, large corn ethanol plants are considered “major emitters” under EPA rules because one-third of the corn kernel, by weight, is released as carbon dioxide during fermentation. About 19 pounds of it per bushel.
To the EPA, an emission. To Green Plains Renewable Energy, an opportunity. Why not capture the emissions, feed CO2 to algae, and turn a problem into a profit center?
Thus was a partnership born with BioProcess Algae. Ebony and ivory – white biotechnology and carbon remediation – working together in harmony. It’s a powerful vision.
In the Digest’s Biorefinery Project of the Future series we wrote about why corn ethanol plants were great places to begin developing an advanced biofuels. We noted that “existing first-generation fermentation biofuels require no re-invention of feedstock systems, no exotic first-of-kind processing technology, no fuel certification or from-scratch market development. They are financeable.”
This summer, that vision has taken a major series of steps forward as the BioProcess Algae project advances from a small pilot system to a 5-acre demonstration including all components systems that lead from CO2 capture through algae growth, harvest, and extraction.
The BioProcess Algae projects builds out to five-acre scale in Shenandoah, Iowa
Earlier this summer, in a brief review of BioProcess Algae, we wrote:
“Three things are especially notable about the project.
“First, it has proven that it can successfully utilize excess CO2 and process heat from the Shenandoah ethanol plant to produce microalgae.
“Second, it has proven (at pilot scale) that its unique growth media can work – and this is an important breakthrough, because the company is growing microalgae out of solution, using a biofilm. The thesis is that this approach will offer a high surface area to enhance light penetration, productivity, harvest density and gas transfer. Once the algae have reached critical density, they are sprayed off the biofilm into a shallow bed of water, 2-3 inches deep, hugely reducing the amount of water that has to be moved in order to harvest algae.
“Third, Green Plains is still supporting the project. Even in the “a penny really matters” world of corn ethanol, GPRE is well-known for a relentless focus on viability and profitability – and they have been adamant that the BioProcess Algae project is not a science project – but a focused exploration of value-add opportunities for their ethanol fleet – and that as soon as the project shows that it is not meeting GPRE’s tough success criteria, it will be shut down. Well, its not shut down.
And, as BioProcess Alage CEO Tim Burns notes, “you have to aim for the lowest cost production. That’s the winner.”
Meanwhile, the company is already taking orders. In June, BioProcess Algae and KD-Pharma Bexbach announced that they have entered a commercial supply agreement for the production of EPA-rich Omega-3 oils for use in concentrated EPA products for nutritional and/or pharmaceutical applications. Under the agreement, BioProcess Algae will supply microalgal oils which will be refined by KD-Pharma’s proprietary Supercritical Fluid Technology to produce highly-concentrated vegetable sourced EPA oils.
We would add a fourth notable feature to our short review from this summer. It’s hybrid design – a semi-closed system, using some elements of greenhouse design to protect and warm the algae, but using the some of the best, low-cost aspects of raceway-style, open pond design. That gives it a cost structure and a system that works in the temperate climates where staple grains generally grow — makes it possible to put the plant next to the CO2 source and share inrastructure.
Next steps for BioProcess Algae and Green Plains
Next steps? Following completion of the 5-acre demonstration, the company will proceed to full-commercial scale. And that can be substantial. A 100 million gallon corn ethanol plant produces enough CO2 to support 140,000 tons of algae production. Even at 60 tons per acre per year (as Cellana has generated at its 6-acre facility), that’s up to 2300 acres of algae production from a single site – almost 4 square miles. Possible? Depends entirely on site characteristics. But you get the idea.
What’s the real impact of the marriage of algae and corn ethanol?
Irrespective of technology, these are projects that monetize CO2. That’s their fundamental magic, liberating value from a waste stream. It’s an elegant expression of a foundational value proposition of advanced biofuels: “Less is more. Use what is there to the extent possible.”
The value proposition, in terms of capturing and liberating value, is substantial. As we do in Digestville, let’s look at the hard data.
In the United States, there is 14 billion gallons of corn ethanol capacity, which in turn represents the processing of around 4.8 billion bushels of corn (at 2.9 bushels per gallon), and generates 43.2 million tons of CO2 (at 18 pounds per bushel).
How much value? Australia has priced carbon at $A 23 per tonne; US advanced biotechnology developers like Algenol have modeled their CO2 acquisition at $30 per ton. Let’s use $25 as a mid-point. That’s $1.08 billion in value, and enough CO2 to produce 21 million tons of algae.
Now, it is highly tempting to do math and figure that, at a 30 percent lipid content, you could get around 1.6 billion gallons of renewable diesel by souring some added hydrogen, or the same volume of biodiesel. Or an awful lot of Omega-3s, and high value protein for animal feed. And the financial math in converting a $25 ton of CO2 into a $1000 ton of high-value feed is pretty compelling.
But not every process requires harvesting and extracting value from algae. The Shenandoah Project certainly does – but we may see more projects in the future like Joule Unlimited or Algenol that feature no-kill biofuels production – where the microorganisms are milked rather than harvested – and the yields may well go 50-150 percent higher, in terms of yields per pound of CO2.
The bottom line
There’s a long ways to go on the Shenandoah project – 5 acres is a long ways from full commercial scale. Lessons remain to be learned, risks remain. But it’s a long, long ways from bench scale, too. Much risk remediation has already occurred.
To date, Page County has been best-known nationally as the birthplace of the 4-H Clubs, where the long-time mottos are “to make the best, better” and to ” learn to do by doing”. Their pledge is one every bioenergy pioneer might note: “I pledge my head to clearer thinking, my heart to greater loyalty, my hands to larger service, and my health to better living, for my club, my community, my country, and my world!”
It may well be that, in the future, we’ll look back at projects like the Shenandoah ethanol plant and see in them a pretty good conversion of pledging into action, and at industrial scale."
http://www.biofuelsdigest.com/bdigest/2012/09/26/ebony-and-ivory-the-bioprocess-algae-story/
Good Luck To All!$!$!$!$!$
Spot Ethanol Prices Spike on Bullish EIA Ethanol Data
"U.S. spot ethanol prices rallied early Wednesday after federal data showed domestic ethanol supplies fell last week as demand increased.
The Energy Information Administration reported ethanol inventories were drawn down 451,000 bbl or 2.3% to 18.808 million bbl, while implied demand rose 2,000 bpd or 0.2% to 821,000 bpd.
Most of the stock draws were in the East Coast and the Midwest.
Ethanol futures rallied following additional commercial buyer support. Even with corn prices remaining stable over the last three trading sessions, additional gains have consistently developed in nearby ethanol contracts. November futures posted a 3.4-cent-per-gallon rally, moving to $2.404 per gallon due to lower inventory levels and reduced production at the end of last week, according to the latest EIA report.
Spot ethanol prices shot higher as renewed fundamental support is starting to develop through the market. This pushed prices 1 to 8 cents per gallon higher. The most aggressive support was seen on the West Coast where prices gained 8 cents per gallon. The expectation that additional short term demand may be seen if overall inventory levels and production continues to fall, helped to solidify buyer interest Wednesday.
Spot Ethanol Rises with Corn Futures on Higher Exports
U.S. spot ethanol prices extended higher early Thursday on rising Chicago Board of Trade corn futures after fresh federal data showed U.S. grains export sales rose more than expected this week, suggesting rising demand from overseas.
The bullish grains data dovetailed Wednesday's federal data showing domestic ethanol supplies fell last week amid higher demand."
Good Luck To All!$!$!$
Calgren Adding Biodiesel Production At Ethanol Plant
For many years GERS has been trying to get ethanol producers to extract oil and produce biodiesel on-site. It looks like Calgren Renewables is doing just that. Calgren will be the first to install GERS' method II,(1.33 pounds of oil per bushel) I believe GERS may be installing their patented biodiesel systems inside Calgren's plant as well. Calgren is in the permitting process to add biodiesel production.
I would like to see GPRE license GERS' patented continues flow biodiesel production system. This would allow GPRE to capture another aspect of the supply chain by having the capability to produce biodiesel on-site at GPRE's ethanol plants. The cheap corn oil makes biodiesel sales profitable so instead of just selling the oil, produce biodiesel at the ethanol plants. A true multi-fuel biorefinery would power the plants by gasifing 1/3 of the de-oiled DDG's to take the plant off the grid(GERS Zeropoint patented technology). Then capture value from the carbon by tapping the CO2 to produce algae(Bioprocess algae). Throw in a blender pump(GERS patented) for retail sales, All while producing ethanol and biodiesel. GERS has some algae patents as well.
Calgren Seeking Permit To Install Biodiesel Production Facility
"In addition, future results may be improved by the impact of event-driven systems integration contracts as we continue to receive significant interest for our engineering and other services in connection with the design, construction, integration and modification of corn oil extraction systems and other new systems for existing and prospective licensees. We are currently party to a number of such agreements which can be expected to contribute to revenue during 2012."
"1. Co-located BioDiesel Plant/Integral Refining"
http://patft.uspto.gov/netacgi/nph-Parser?Sect1=PTO2&Sect2=HITOFF&p=1&u=%2Fnetahtml%2FPTO%2Fsearch-bool.html&r=1&f=G&l=50&co1=AND&d=PTXT&s1=7935840.PN.&OS=PN/7935840&RS=PN/7935840
"GreenShift has the engineering, construction, management experience - and the patents to build continuous flow modular 5 and 10mmgy biodiesel plants adjacent to Ethanol plants. Since this is commercialized technology - ready for prime time - this would be my first guess. On the recent GreenShift video it is explained that the corn oil produced could be used to fuel the hundreds of trucks that supply the Ethanol Plant. With an Integral Refining facility that could literally make that happen. The Ethanol facility would capture not only the value of the corn oil, but also the value added as it is converted from corn oil to Biodiesel in a true multi-fuel refinery."
http://greenshift-gers.blogspot.com/2012/01/and-other-new-systems.html
"Speaking to a fuels committee of the state agency, Pixley-based Calgren Renewable Fuels president Lyle Schlyer said they hope to encourage local farmers to grow grain sorghum(milo) in enough quantities to replace as much as 20% of the Midwest corn they import by the trainload now. Using milo requires few modifications to the plant to make ethanol and other co-products."
"The diversification goes beyond feedstock. Schlyer says they are also seeking permit modifications to install a biodiesel production facility at their Pixley plant. “Using our extracted vegetable oil as feedstock, we believe we can produce some of the lowest carbon intensity biodiesel in California and not have to ship that stuff back to Illinois, to find a processor who is well suited to use it.” He adds the investment could be in the $5 to $10 million dollar range."
"Pacific Ethanol like others, is adding corn oil extraction at 4 plants in the West that will give them another high value co-product to sell as did Calgren in Tulare County last year,helping them to move to profitability."
"Aemetis recently designed, built and began to operate a corn oil extraction unit at Keyes that will produce about 2 million gallons per year of extracted oil for biodiesel or animal feed and reduce the carbon footprint of the facility that will be important over the next few years to comply with the state Low Carbon Fuel Standard. The LCFS mandates a cut of our fuel’s carbon emissions by 10% to reduce global warming."
http://sierra2thesea.net/energy/valley-ethanol-plants-work-to-wean-themselves-from-midwest-corn
http://www.greenshift.com/news.php?id=275
http://www.greenshift.com/news.php?id=286
"Tony Beam, the Plant Manager of Advanced BioEnergy stated:"
"This corn oil extraction process now . . . gives us the ability to produce another fuel at this facility of BioDiesel. We will produce 8 trucks a week . . . "
Good Luck To All!$!$!$!$!$!$!$
I continue to buy GPRE/GERS....
Good Luck To All!$!$!$!$!$!$
Triple Short Corn ETF Chart Ripping
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SCOR&p=D&st=2012-08-03&en=(today)&id=p34546740161
SCOR 3X Short Corn Chart Ripping 3Weeks
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SCOR&p=D&st=2012-08-03&en=(today)&id=p24355420935
I rode this from 1.50 to 10.00 a long time ago. Seen it as high as 12. Whats the deal with it at 7.00
Thank you
GPRE: Corn Oil Tech Licensed With GreenShift (GERS)
Green Plains Renewable Energy to Implement Corn Oil Extraction Technology
(GlobeNewswire via COMTEX News Network) -- Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. (Nasdaq:GPRE) announced today that it will implement corn oil extraction technology at its ethanol plants. The Company expects to complete the technology deployment by the end of the first quarter of 2011 and anticipates the project would enhance operating income by $15 million to $19 million per year.
"Our objective is to continue to diversify our cash flows and to de-risk our overall platform," said Todd Becker, President and Chief Executive Officer of Green Plains Renewable Energy. "This project allows us to realize additional income streams from value-added co-products. The production of 75 million to 90 million pounds of corn oil per year will generate substantial recurring free cash flows and excellent returns on invested capital."
ICM, Inc. has been awarded turn-key installation contracts at five of the Company's six plants. The expected total project cost for all plants is approximately $18 million. The Company anticipates first revenues from corn oil extraction at the Obion, Tennessee plant to occur within the next 90 days.
Green Plains has entered into a license agreement with GS CleanTech Corporation, a subsidiary of GreenShift Corporation, to utilize its patents and pending patents.
http://investor.gpreinc.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=490592
<a href='http://usas2.advfn.com/c.php?s=20&w=600&h=19&t=_blank' target='_blank'> <img src='http://usas2.advfn.com/i.php?s=20&w=600&h=19&t=_blank' width="600" alt="" height="19" border="0" /></a>
May have to take a starter position here now...
GPRE: Corn Oil Tech Licensed With GreenShift (GERS)
Green Plains Renewable Energy to Implement Corn Oil Extraction Technology
(GlobeNewswire via COMTEX News Network) -- Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. (Nasdaq:GPRE) announced today that it will implement corn oil extraction technology at its ethanol plants. The Company expects to complete the technology deployment by the end of the first quarter of 2011 and anticipates the project would enhance operating income by $15 million to $19 million per year.
"Our objective is to continue to diversify our cash flows and to de-risk our overall platform," said Todd Becker, President and Chief Executive Officer of Green Plains Renewable Energy. "This project allows us to realize additional income streams from value-added co-products. The production of 75 million to 90 million pounds of corn oil per year will generate substantial recurring free cash flows and excellent returns on invested capital."
ICM, Inc. has been awarded turn-key installation contracts at five of the Company's six plants. The expected total project cost for all plants is approximately $18 million. The Company anticipates first revenues from corn oil extraction at the Obion, Tennessee plant to occur within the next 90 days.
Green Plains has entered into a license agreement with GS CleanTech Corporation, a subsidiary of GreenShift Corporation, to utilize its patents and pending patents.
http://investor.gpreinc.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=490592
Green Plains Announces Agreement to Repurchase 3.7 Million Shares of Its Common Stock from Its Largest Shareholder and Commencement of a Public Offering by the Same Shareholder
Feb 29, 2012 16:01:06 (ET)
OMAHA, Neb., Feb 29, 2012 (GlobeNewswire via COMTEX) -- Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. (GPRE, Trade ) announced today that it has entered into an agreement with affiliates of NTR plc, currently the Company's largest shareholder, under which the Company will repurchase 3.7 million shares of its common stock at the same price that the underwriter is purchasing shares in the public offering described below, but subject to a maximum repurchase price. Green Plains will purchase the shares using a combination of cash and debt.
The Company also announced the commencement of an underwritten public offering of 3.0 million shares of its common stock controlled by NTR, pursuant to the Company's shelf registration statement, which was effective with the Securities and Exchange Commission on August 11, 2010. The selling shareholder also intends to grant the underwriter a 30-day option to purchase up to 450,000 additional shares. The Company will not receive any proceeds from the sale of shares by NTR. Upon completion of the proposed public offering and the Company's repurchase of shares, NTR would control approximately 1.0 million shares of the Company's common stock, assuming the over-allotment option is not exercised, reducing its ownership of the Company's outstanding common stock to approximately 3.5%.
The Company's repurchase from NTR is conditioned on the successful sale of shares in the proposed public offering. The Company expects the repurchase of the shares from NTR to close on the third business day following NTR's sale of shares to the underwriter.
Jefferies & Company, Inc. is acting as sole bookrunner for the public offering.
A preliminary prospectus supplement relating to the public offering will be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The offering may be made only by means of a preliminary prospectus supplement. Copies of the preliminary prospectus supplement and the accompanying base prospectus relating to the offering may be obtained, when available, from Jefferies & Company, Inc., Equity Syndicate Prospectus Department, 520 Madison Avenue, 12th Floor, New York, NY 10022, by telephone at (877) 547-6340, or by email at Prospectus_Department@Jefferies.com. This press release shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor shall there be any sale of these securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful.
About Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc.
Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. (GPRE, Trade ) is North America's fourth largest ethanol producer. The Company markets and distributes approximately one billion gallons of renewable motor fuel on an annual basis, including 740 million gallons of expected production from the Company's nine ethanol plants located throughout the U.S. Green Plains owns and operates grain handling and storage assets and provides complementary agronomy services to local grain producers through its agribusiness segment. Green Plains owns BlendStar LLC, a biofuels terminal operator with locations in the southern U.S. Green Plains is a joint venture partner in BioProcess Algae LLC, which was formed to commercialize advanced photo-bioreactor technologies for the growing and harvesting of algal biomass.
Safe Harbor
This news release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as amended. Such statements are identified by the use of words such as "anticipates," "believes," "estimates," "expects," "goal," "intends," "plans," "potential," "predicts," "should," "will," and other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with any discussion of future operating or financial performance. Such statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to various factors, risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results, outcome of events, timing and performance to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Green Plains may experience significant fluctuations in future operating results due to a number of economic conditions, including, but not limited to, competition in the ethanol and other industries in which the Company operates, commodity market risks, financial market risks, counter-party risks, risks associated with changes to federal policy or regulation, risks related to closing and achieving anticipated results from acquisitions, risks associated with the joint venture to commercialize algae production and the growth potential of the algal biomass industry, and other risks detailed in the Company's reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011, and in the Company's subsequent filings with the SEC. Green Plains assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The cautionary statements in this release expressly qualify all of the Company's forward-looking statements. In addition, the Company is not obligated, and does not intend, to update any of its forward-looking statements at any time unless an update is required by applicable securities laws.
This news release was distributed by GlobeNewswire, www.globenewswire.com
SOURCE: Green Plains Renewable Energy
CONTACT: Jim Stark, Vice President - Investor and Media Relations
Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc.
(402) 884-8700
I really don't know. We will have to wait and see.
How goes it here on the eve of PEIX earnings?
Good news today and tomorrow just may be that catalist?
This one trades in a range it seems. It could possibly break out though as many indicators are pointing that way imo. Has been a very green past couple weeks and is starting to peek out like bunny rabbit perhaps.
I think the news release will be on Wednesday, Feb.8 before the conference call on Thursday morning. Hope that we have had a blow out fourth quarter and full year 2011.
~ $GPRE ~ Earnings posted, pending or coming soon! In Charts and Links Below!
~ $GPRE ~ Earnings expected on Monday *
This Week In Earnings: Earnings are coming or are already posted! This is what the charts look like! If you play the earnings these posts can be very helpful to you!
Want more like this? Search Keyword: MACMONEY >>> http://tinyurl.com/MACMONEY <<<
One or more of many earnings sites has alerted this security has or will be posting earnings on or around the day of this message.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GPRE&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p88783918276&a=237480049
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GPRE&p=W&b=3&g=0&id=p54550695994
~ Barchart: http://barchart.com/quotes/stocks/GPRE?
~ OTC Markets: http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/GPRE/company-info
~ Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=GPRE
~ Google Fin Options: hhttp://www.google.com/finance/option_chain?q=GPRE#
~ Yahoo! Finance ~ Stats: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=GPRE+Key+Statistics
~ Yahoo! Finance ~ Profile: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=GPRE
Finviz: http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=GPRE
~ BusyStock: http://busystock.com/i.php?s=GPRE&v=2
~ CandlestickChart: http://www.candlestickchart.com/cgi/chart.cgi?symbol=GPRE&exchange=US
~ Investorshub Trades: http://ih.advfn.com/p.php?pid=trades&symbol=GPRE
~ Investorshub Board Search: http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/getboards.aspx?searchstr=GPRE
~ Investorshub PostStream Search: http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/poststream.aspx?ticker=GPRE
~ Investorshub Goodies Search: http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/msgsearchbyboard.aspx?boardID=18582&srchyr=2011&SearchStr=GPRE
~ Investorshub Message Search: http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/msgsearch.aspx?SearchStr=GPRE
~ MarketWatch: http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/GPRE/profile
~ E-Zone Chart: http://www.windchart.com/ezone/signals/?symbol=GPRE
~ 5-Min Wind: http://www.windchart.com/stockta/analysis?symbol=GPRE
~ 10-Min Wind: http://www.windchart.com/stockta/analysis?symbol=GPRE&size=l&frequency=10&color=g
~ 30-Min Wind: http://www.windchart.com/stockta/analysis?symbol=GPRE&size=l&frequency=30&color=g
~ 60-Min Wind: http://www.windchart.com/stockta/analysis?symbol=GPRE&size=l&frequency=60&color=g
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/post_prvt.aspx?user=251916
*If the earnings date is in error please ignore error. I do my best.
A program featuring GERS to air on Fox Business at 3:30 P.M. CST. In just about 28 minutes.
If your in to ethanol and not in GERS (up 58% yesterday) you need to think carefully.
jlglex do you still anticipate results like you mentioned in post no. 185 ?
Very well presented. Thank you Slashnuts. I am glad to be long and strong on GPRE.
"They All Know About This Project"
http://www.gpreinc.com/BioProcess-Algae
This is way too cool...
From Ethanol To Algae To Poultry Feed
"They grow from the stuff left over from ethanol production: carbon dioxide, heat, water.
And as it turns out, the algae produced at Green Plains Renewable Energy's ethanol plant in Shenandoah, Iowa, might be the key ingredient for poultry feed — not to mention products ranging from biodiesel to the omega-3 supplements on drugstore shelves.
The BioProcess Algae project, a joint venture involving Omaha-based Green Plains and three other companies, began operating on a commercial scale this summer.
Since then, some of the algae harvested from greenhouses lined up across a half-acre area have been sent to agricultural scientists. The goal: Figuring out if they might make animal feed that's as good as or better than the kind made of more typical sources like corn, soybeans and sorghum.
This week, Green Plains announced that the first round of feed trials yielded positive results. Tests led by a University of Illinois professor, Carl Parsons, found that algae meal provided a higher concentration of protein and amino acids to chickens than similar amounts of meal made from corn or soybeans. Samples were also tested by scientists at the University of Missouri.
"It looks like it's got quite a bit of feeding value for poultry," Parsons said.
His group has been doing feed testing for 30 years, but this is the first time algae have come into the picture, Parsons said.
BioProcess Algae CEO Tim Burns said he believes the facility in Shenandoah is the only place where algae are being grown from ethanol byproducts, harvested on a commercial level and used in feed trials.
The algae-based feed will undergo more testing before it's ready to hit the market. But Burns said the results gathered so far are a good indicator of the product's potential for feed — and other products.
Leaders of the BioProcess project hope to dedicate some of the algae for the "neutraceutical" market, which includes cosmetics and supplements. In a couple of weeks, they plan to break ground on five more acres of algae-growing space. Each acre will produce between 40 and 60 tons of algae each year.
Burns says algae are a good replacement for fish meal and fish oil, which is prized for its omega-3 acids. Algae provide the same nutrients but cut out the middle fish, so to speak.
"They're currently grinding up fish, and you're getting fish oil in your omega-3s," Burns said. "Fish are eating the algae, and that's what you're getting."
The BioProcess Algae project is operated by Green Plains along with Clarcor, a Tennessee company that specializes in filtration equipment; a related filtration company, BioProcess H2O; and NTR, an Irish renewable energy group. The companies have not released the total cost of the effort, but they did receive grants totaling more than $4 million from the Iowa Power Board Fund.
The ethanol plant on the site produces 150,000 tons of carbon dioxide each year. With the right infrastructure, that output could produce about 50,000 tons of biomass for feed, neutraceuticals and fuel."
http://www.omaha.com/article/20111020/MONEY/710209946
GPRE: Corn Oil Tech Licensed With GreenShift (GERS)
Green Plains Renewable Energy to Implement Corn Oil Extraction Technology
(GlobeNewswire via COMTEX News Network) -- Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. (Nasdaq:GPRE) announced today that it will implement corn oil extraction technology at its ethanol plants. The Company expects to complete the technology deployment by the end of the first quarter of 2011 and anticipates the project would enhance operating income by $15 million to $19 million per year.
"Our objective is to continue to diversify our cash flows and to de-risk our overall platform," said Todd Becker, President and Chief Executive Officer of Green Plains Renewable Energy. "This project allows us to realize additional income streams from value-added co-products. The production of 75 million to 90 million pounds of corn oil per year will generate substantial recurring free cash flows and excellent returns on invested capital."
ICM, Inc. has been awarded turn-key installation contracts at five of the Company's six plants. The expected total project cost for all plants is approximately $18 million. The Company anticipates first revenues from corn oil extraction at the Obion, Tennessee plant to occur within the next 90 days.
Green Plains has entered into a license agreement with GS CleanTech Corporation, a subsidiary of GreenShift Corporation, to utilize its patents and pending patents.
http://investor.gpreinc.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=490592
GPRE: The Secret Alternative Energy Stock
I have been following the holdings of LSV Asset Management, an institution I rank as “guru” status because they start buying great value stocks in the early movements of their up-trends. They specialize in value equity management for institutional investors and manage around $53 billion in different equity funds.
In the last quarter I saw that they increased fourfold the position in Green Plains Renewable Energy (GPRE), an alternative energy play that I think is undervalued and could be an opportunity for investors looking to have some renewable energy exposure in their portfolios.
Green Plains Renewable Energy (GPRE) is a vertically integrated ethanol producer in the U.S. The company has grown quickly over the past four years. Total ethanol production capacity has increased from 50 million gallons per year (MMGY) in 2007 with one plant to 740 MMGY in capacity with nine plants. GPRE operates in four segments: Ethanol Production, Corn Oil Production, Agribusiness, and Marketing and Distribution. Ethanol Production is the largest segment, generating approximately $79.5 million in operating income. Corn Oil Production has recently been disclosed as an operating segment as plants have been retrofitted with corn oil extraction equipment over the last two quarters. This is a high-margin co-product that enables Green Plains to increase their overall margin. In other words, instead of recovering value only from primary operations, the company is now able to extract non-edible corn oil immediately prior to production of distillers grains.
Corn oil is used as an additive to animal feed and for the production of biodiesel. The agribusiness segment is involved with storage of grains and selling grains and commodities to local farmers. It represents approximately 17% of TTM revenues with growth of 10% in 2009 and 7% in 2010 . The marketing and distribution segment markets Green Plains’ ethanol to distributors, markets ethanol produced by other companies, and owns an interest in a fuel blending and distribution network.
Green Plains is the fourth largest ethanol producer in the U.S. with nine operating ethanol production plants located throughout the Midwest. The company has acquired facilities over the past four years, with the most recent acquisition in Minnesota in early 2011.
I like that the company has demonstrated profitability in difficult times and offers new non-ethanol earnings growth. I believe management can execute on a growth strategy and the market will reward the shift into less volatile non-ethanol businesses and will begin to appreciate the algae trials for higher value animal feed.
I see four main positives in Green Plains (GPRE)
(1) Green Plains is well positioned to benefit from continued rational growth in the ethanol fuel industry. Ethanol is a low carbon footprint, economically attractive, high octane fuel. The industry benefits from government mandates, known as Renewable Fuel Standards (RFS2), which provides growth and revenue visibility through 2022. Additionally, even at elevated corn prices, the export market remains very robust.
While there is ample supply in the U.S., I believe the supply/demand balance will likely tighten slightly over the next two years due to: (1) increasing RFS2 mandates increasing to 13.2 and 15 billion gallons in 2012 and 2015, and (2) strong export market due to a rising prices for sugar in Brazil, and (3) continued need for octane and oxygenates in gasoline.The ethanol industry is in a phase marked by consolidation for improved risk mitigation, increased value extraction from plant operations (such as corn oil co-products), and continued vertical integration of the industry as ethanol operators expand upstream agribusinesses and add downstream distribution channels. Green Plains can deliver 10%+ EPS growth from improving margins and vertical integration.
2) Green Plains is among the low-cost ethanol producers in a commodity market:
Green Plains is a low-cost producer in a commodity processing business, making them well positioned for difficult periods in the industry. The dynamics in the ethanol industry can be challenging, as input costs (mainly corn) are not directly related to the prices producers receive for ethanol. As the industry matures, I expect the volatility to be reduced, over time, in the ethanol business. Green Plains has demonstrated their strength in risk management and has delivered strong operational results in difficult times.
3) Green Plains is diversifying into other non-ethanol businesses, which should reduce the overall risk profile: If the entire “field to pump” operation is consolidated in one organization, and the full value of corn is extracted, total revenue opportunities can increase and the overall risk profile can be reduced. Green Plains is on track to diversify their business, growing the upstream and downstream assets and extracting value in ethanol co-products.
4) Green Plains is starting next-generation algae bioprocessing technology. Green Plains is part of a joint venture called BioProcess Algae to commercialize algae for animal feed and other higher-value markets. This technology can use the CO2 that would otherwise be emitted during ethanol production to produce valuable products, increasing the economics of ethanol production while reducing the greenhouse gas emissions.
I believe the risks come from continued negative headlines and regulatory changes that may limit near-term stock appreciation, but should subside over time. There are two potentially negative developments that may limit share price appreciation. First, the U.S. Congress will likely modify the existing tax incentives for the ethanol industry as part of a measure to reduce government spending. Second, the government will likely eliminate or reduce the import duty on ethanol, which was put in place to ensure foreign ethanol did not benefit from the blenders' credit. Removing this import duty will shift the relative cost competitiveness of foreign ethanol (mainly produced in Brazil). I think those are the main risks to GPRE stock but I assume that government will not hurt an industry that it made so many efforts to develop.
Valuation:
The best way to analyze Green Plains is to create a simple sum of the parts (SOTP) valuation approach given the different characteristics of each business segment. I arrive at $555 million-$1 billion in enterprise value from the ethanol production business assuming a 55% to 18% discount to replacement cost for ethanol production capacity, $209-$335 million for the non-ethanol businesses, assuming 5x to 8x EBITDA multiples, and $0 to $229 million in optionality value from Green Plains’ interest in the algae technology using a discounted cash flow model. I came to a $13 fair price that represents 6.1x 2012 EBITDA and 7.8x 2012 earnings. Green Plains currently trades at 5.3x 2012 EBITDA and 5.6x 2012 earnings, a multiple that implies very negative news to the ethanol industry and does not fully reflect GPRE leading position in a growing but volatile industry.
http://www.gurufocus.com/news/149117/green-plains-energy-the-secret-alternative-energy-stock-a-guru-institution-is-buying
Ethanol Plant Profitability Levels Move Higher
Keep in mind, this site doesn't take corn oil, algae, Blendstar, or the grain business into consideration. I believe GPRE will be back into the teens soon and over $20 before long. The market cap is too low (< 400M with revenues of 1 billion per quarter) GPRE has been profitable for 10 consecutive quarters.
"Ethanol plant profitability levels increased 1.6 cents per gallon following the additional losses in corn prices. The reduction of production costs associated with the softness in the corn futures market Friday pushed Neeley Biofuels net profits to 62.8 cents per gallon. The rack prices in South Dakota have not yet moved lower following the futures prices, which may help to sustain margins for a short period of time. The purpose of the plant is to measure how changes in commodity prices affect plant margins."
http://www.dtnprogressivefarmer.com/dtnag/common/link.do?symbolicName=/free/news/template1&product=/ag/news/ethanol/commentary&vendorReference=0702BB21&paneContentId=35&paneParentId=0
This is pretty impressive if you ask me!!! GPRE continues to align themselves with winners "GERS" and the profits continue to shine...
http://seekingalpha.com/article/302970-green-plains-renewable-energy-s-ceo-discusses-q3-2011-results-earnings-conference-call
Joe
Slashnuts, I too own shares of both companies..
$.20 Cents A Gallon?
"Ethanol plant profitability levels on Tuesday increased 0.1 cent per gallon as a result of a slightly lower corn market and a slight drop in ethanol rack prices. Neeley Biofuels had a net gain of 19.9 cents per gallon. The purpose of the plant is to measure how changes in commodity prices affect plant margins."
Bought More Today!
First time I bought more since my original purchase at $7. Picked up 125 at $9.98. Hate to average up but this is worth much more. Way undervalued. It was upgraded to a buy today too. I also bought another 5 million of their corn oil technology provider, GERS.ob, today.
Good Luck To All!
jlglex, if I am reading you correctly, you are estimating potential 2012 earnings per share of something like $9 ???
THIS CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE REPORT
Shows the dramatic increase in the ethanol crush spreads in the past 4-6 weeks. Page 12 is the place to look. It may not strike you as a huge move, on this chart, but the impact on the profitability of GPRE of that little move is dramatic...
http://cmegroup.barchart.com/ethanol/archive/1311599359CME-Weekly-Ethanol-25-July-2011.pdf
THIS INDUSTRY LEADER WILL POST ABOUT $2.00 PER SHARE FOR Q3 2011
... and ANOTHER $2.00 PER SHARE in Q4
This thing is highly levered to the Ethanol Crush Margin, which has opened up dramatically. Company's hedging program is probably locking in these juicy margins for the next 2-3 years, as we speak.
We are looking at 2-3 Years of kick-a$$ margins.
End of Ethanol Subsidies will be a big benefit to this industry leader. New Corn Oil Extraction Technololgy adds another $50 - $100 Million of profit PER YEAR. (That's another $1.00+ per share)
In the 5-10 Year Horizon, the new algae technology is enough to position this company to takeover Exxon Mobil. When GPRE takes over Exxon Mobil, then you will know the peak has been reached.
Until then, hop on and enjoy the ride!!!
We are headed higher!!!
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