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I'm a newbie and also not a CPA or tax expert. Could you explain how the income tax benefit, indicates a posible buyout?
GIMO Income tax benefit (provision) 2014 = 3.7M compared to 2013 = 29K That 3.7M vs 3M missed from Q1! Buy Out? Most Likely!
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1484504/000156459014001886/gimo-10q_20140329.htm
Gigamon Becomes Oversold (GIMO)
http://www.thestreet.com/story/12703150/1/gigamon-becomes-oversold-gimo.html
"Credit Suisse upgraded Gigamon (NYSE: GIMO) from Neutral to Outperform with a price target of $25.00."
http://www.streetinsider.com/Upgrades/Credit+Suisse+Upgrades+Gigamon+%28GIMO%29+to+Outperform/9460007.html?si_client=st
"Needham & Company analyst Alex Henderson reiterated a Strong Buy rating and $34 price target on Gigamon (NYSE: GIMO) following an upbeat analyst day."
http://www.streetinsider.com/Analyst+Comments/Needham+%26+Company+Reiterates+Top+Rating+on+Gigamon+%28GIMO%29+Following+Analyst+Day/9442485.html?si_client=st
Hope it is a big boost up...
Analyst day webcast link
April 30, 2014
14:48 EDT GIMO Gigamon to host analyst meeting
Analyst meeting to be held in New York on May 1 at 9 am. Webcast Link
http://investor.gigamon.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=251476&p=irol-irhome
GIMO 15.77 bullish CEO interview link 04/30/14 . I have been adding on dips for a swing bounce trade. Analyst meeting today as well.
http://www.thestreet.com/video/12689701/gigamon-ceo-pipeline-healthy-visibility-market-expanding.html
hey I don't read much posts
but you play this long
this stock is at this price is a gift to any investor, best cc I've heard in a long time. honest, explained well, positive but "cautious", forward guidance oozing "all aboard" attitude. this is better than an 11 at blackjack table and doubling down. this stock easily over 45 after next cc. year end maybe 55
Maybe the only hero I needed was the conference call:)
This should be a home run long term.
Covered this morning and going long!!! This is how to make bank!
$GIMO GigaVUE-HC2 is featured as one of Network World's "New Products of the Week"
http://www.networkworld.com/slideshow/147558/new-products-of-the-week-040714.html#slide13
Can't find one! Up up up to real value next week
I'm buying big, I don't see the why the big move. This will be back in the $30's shortly. I say buy now! IMO
Aye where and when does the bleeding stop here? I'm avg in at $17.50, slightly concerned
GIMO Added and got my average down a little to $17.41
The space GIMO is in, especially high flyers like GIMO, has been out of favor lately as investors gravitate to defensive stocks like utilities and health care.
In addition to waiting for a bounce, we may have to wait for some rotation back to technology in order to achieve the bigger gain.
In the short term, there is the possible wild card of GIMO's Earnings Report on April 24th.
MG
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GIMO
GIMO Very informative post, momentum74. Thank you.
MG
Links/Catalyst.Added GIMO at 17.50 for a bounce swing trade. Avg cost is 17.71 looking to add more on dips.
Stock is down from 37 in two weeks. It is oversold by almost every technical measure. They had a small revenue revision from a client who has delayed a purchase. It sounds like the company is still working on winning the client's business in the next quarter. They will report earnings on April 24 after the bell, the stock should have a nice run-up into earnings. Also around half of the float has traded in two days this is often a sign of a bottoming process. GIMO has become a value and a growth stock at this price level imo.
http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=GIMO&ty=c&ta=1&p=d&b=1
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GIMO&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=p49638880564
Gigamon Announces Preliminary First Quarter Results
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/gigamon-announces-preliminary-first-quarter-200500645.html
Pasted. Stock is being defended by 3 analysts now Goldman, DA Davidson and Needham and co.
April 9, 2014
10:05 EDT GIMO Gigamon upgraded to Buy from Neutral at DA Davidson
DA Davidson upgraded Gigamon to Buy from Neutral based on valuation.
April 9, 2014
10:20 EDT GIMO High option volume stocks: CZR STZ TCK GIMO NCR
10:05 EDT GIMO Gigamon upgraded to Buy from Neutral at DA Davidson
April 8, 2014
16:21 EDT GIMO On The Fly: Closing Wrap
12:12 EDT GIMO On The Fly: Midday Wrap
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12:00 EDT GIMO Gigamon falls 32.9%
Gigamon is down 32.9%, or $8.61, to $17.59
10:31 EDT GIMO Gigamon slips after missed deal prompts lower Q1 outlook
Shares of Gigamon (GIMO), which offers solutions to control and manage network traffic, are slipping after the company lowered its first quarter revenue outlook based on the fall-out of a large deal with an existing customer. WHAT'S NEW: Last night, Gigamon reduced its first quarter revenue view to $31M-$31.5M from its previous outlook of $34M-$35M. Prior to the company's warning, analysts consensus revenue estimate was $34.8M. The company attributed the lowered revenue to one expected large transaction from an existing customer in EMEA that did not transpire. Other transactions that were anticipated to close late in the quarter slipped into the second quarter, Gigamon noted, adding that these factors also affected the company's first quarter gross margin outlook. Gigamon pegged its Q1 gross margins to be approximately 71%-72%, versus prior guidance of 78%-79%. ANALYST REACTION: This morning, Pacific Crest downgraded Gigamon to Sector Perform from Outperform. Analyst Josh Beck said that the company's efforts to build out its international sales force are taking longer than the firm would have expected. Beck added that it is unclear whether the margin depression is a one-time event or a trend, adding that sustained compression would alter the firm's view of the company's competitive positioning. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs said that it feels that Gigamon's share weakness due to the shortfall of one large deal is overdone. The firm believes that Gigamon does not feel the deal was lost to a competitor and is on indefinite postponement. Goldman lowered its price target on Gigamon to $32 from $43, but maintains its Buy rating on the stock, which it noted trades at a discount to peers. PRICE ACTION: During morning trading, shares of Gigamon fell over 32% to $17.77.
10:28 EDT GIMO High option volume stocks: GIMO SOCL SPLK NOK CSOD
10:03 EDT GIMO On The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
10:00 EDT GIMO Gigamon falls 29.8%
09:00 EDT GIMO Gigamon falls 23.1%
08:56 EDT GIMO Gigamon shares defended at Goldman
Goldman believes Gigamon share weakness due to the Q1 miss attributable to one large deal is overdone. The firm notes that Gigamon does not believe the deal was lost to a competitor and is on indefinite postponement. The firm lowered its price target on Buy rated Gigamon to $32 from $43 and said shares trade at a discount to peers.
08:05 EDT GIMO Gigamon volatility expected to move after cutting Q1 revenue outlook
07:52 EDT GIMO Gigamon downgraded at Pacific Crest
Gigamon (GIMO) Issue 'Isolated', Buy on Weakness - Needham & Company
April 8, 2014 7:23 AM EDT
06:52 EDT GIMO Gigamon downgraded to Sector Perform from
April 7, 2014
19:05 EDT GIMO On The Fly: After Hours Movers
LOWER: Gigamon (GIMO), down 24% after cutting its first quarter revenue outlook, which the company attributed to one expected large transaction from an existing customer that did not materialize... James River Coal (JRCC), down 44% after filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy... Trading lower after filing to sell stock were Nordic American Tanker (NAT), down 8.5% after filing to sell 10M common shares, and Voxeljet (VJET), down 4.7% after filing to sell 4M American Depository Shares, including 1M for selling holders.
16:54 EDT GIMO Gigamon down over 24% to $19.80 following reduced Q1 revenue outlook
16:17 EDT GIMO Gigamon lowers Q1 revenue view to $31M-$31.5M from prior $34M-$35M
Q1 consensus $34.81M. Gigamon expects revenue for the first quarter to be approximately $31M-$31.5M, below the company's previously stated guidance of $ 34M-$35M. The revenue shortfall was primarily attributable to one expected large transaction from an existing customer in EMEA that did not materialize. In addition, certain other transactions that were expected to close late in the quarter slipped into the second quarter. GAAP gross margins are expected to be in the range of 70%-71%. Non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be approximately 71%-72%, compared to guidance of 78%-79%. The lower gross margins are due to an excess inventory charge of approximately $2.3M in the quarter related to the transaction in EMEA that did not materialize and other changes in our product mix. Without the charge, GAAP gross margins would have been approximately 77%-78% and non-GAAP gross margins would have been approximately 78%-79% as discount trends fell within historical norms. "While we are disappointed in these preliminary results, we remain confident in our business strategy and the market opportunity," said Paul Hooper, the company's CEO. "We did not see any material change within the competitive landscape during the first quarter and we are encouraged by our initial assessment of our second quarter pipeline."
16:15 EDT GIMO Gigamon lowers Q1 revenue view
Think of it like this. They say their revenues will be down $2M to $3M. Because of this, over the past couple of weeks, this company has lost over $600M market cap.
Now, maybe it was already trading higher than it should, but the damn enterprise value of this company is in the low to mid $22 range. Find me just ONE big cap stock that is trading even or below their enterprise value. Go ahead, find me one, I'm waiting.
GIMO I bit @ 17.58
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=gimo
Gigamon Recovers Off All-Time Low After Cutting Revenue Expectations
BY Midnight Trader — 9:44 AM ET 04/09/2014
09:44 AM EDT, 04/09/2014 (MT Newswires) -- Gigamon (GIMO) shares were up slightly Wednesday, recovering from an all-time low of $17.20 hit Tuesday, when the traffic-visibility solutions company cut its guidance for Q1 revenue.
The stock recently was up 1.3% at $17.54, in a 52-week range of $17.20 to $41.81.
Tuesday, Gigamon (GIMO) projected Q1 revenue of $31 million to $31.5 million, versus its earlier forecast of $34 million to $35 million.
So a 6%-9% discrepancy causes a 33% drop? Lookout shorts
IPO, Acquisition Target, or BOTH? There is nothing quite like a shareholder lawsuit when it comes to tanking (an) equity. With GIMO circling the bowl at 25, one has to wonder if some of this more recent drama is more than coincidence? I realize that on a fundamental basis, GIMO is ridiculously over-priced at 25... but this thesis has always been about growth.
SO: "Good stock in a bad neighborhood"?
"Bad stock in a bad neighborhood"?
"Bad stock in a good neighborhood"?
"Acquisition"?
You back in under $30?
Hold Gigamon and start drinking.
On October 28th, company insiders sold over 7 million shares at $38.50. Given that the company IPO was barely 3 months old, the stock has summarily had its face cut-off. Even though the company is mid-cap, I believe it employs less than four hundred people. One wonders if the senior officers are Larry, Curly, and Moe. Regardless of the SLIGHTLY weak forward forecast, Gigamon shot the lights out of Q3 2013...... and dropped 15% today. None of the "talking heads" will go near this thing, though a guy over at TMF (Motley Fool) had the courage to tell it like it is.
I took Palo Alto Networks on a similar IPO "ride" last year, and swore I would never do it again. Make your money and get out. Unfortunately, I forget all about my discipline any time I drill-down on this company, because it has tremendous growth and an enviable position in what I consider to be an industry in its INFANCY. This is a long-winded way of saying that my Gigamon conviction keeps trumping my investment discipline. Sell Gigamon and start drinking? Or hold Gigamon and start drinking?
Suggestions?
no more people interested this thing just got started, good luck
this thing is on fire, 100 dollars in a year. LOL
nice trade but I think we see 37.50 before 31. Just like I called 36 at earnings thought it would be at 40 after earnings I missed that, then upgrade which happened today then 40. 40 will be here soon ,45 to 47 in 3 months . good Luck everybody .Don't believe anything you read on these boards. LOL
34v was my target im out 34.10 guys great play will re-enter on the dip to 31. Then it's 37.50
strong gaap gross margins up 82%, but you already knew that . I don't know how high it can go ? I predicted $40 , 19 to 34.50 that's ok in my books.Happy trading. When it hits 40 I will let the analyst predict the rest. Good luck.
Was there any indication when GAAP earnings would be reported? How high can GIMO go with no real earnings?
Already moving Q3 estimates up!!! I smell upgrade moving towards $40 soon . Good luck and happy trading.
I told you she was going to fly, I hope you all held . They F**King killed it .
I think this is gonna be down 10-20% after earnings today-gd lk
Analysts are looking for .04 eps on revenue of 30.91 million.Thats the concensus.Gd Lk on Monday
Anybody have any earning estimations, I would like to hear any news from the company . I guess we will on Monday . Good luck and happy trading.
Im watching-think we‘ll hover in the 27-29 range before earnings-I might day trade it but I wont hold going into earnings-look what happened to msft and goog earnings lol
Elvis has left the building, I guess I am the only one left here, and I also guess I might get what I wished for $26.00 a share. Over and out. Bummer!!!
Is everybody gone ? Am I the only one still here ? does anyone think this will come back next week? I am down pretty good .Happy trading , good luck
did somebody just buy 64,000 plus shares?
I hope it goes to 26 , I have not bought that low since day 1. Good luck, happy trading.
No I wasn't-momentum has shifted -down 10% in 2 days-I sold yesterday-
See u @$26
I think he was kidding about selling, I have made a little money flipping from day one ,this is a hard stock to flip. it traded sideways for weeks after ipo then shot up, today would of been one of the only real opportunities.. I guess I will only hold and maybe add until earnings. Happy trading. $34.75 by earnings? Then $40? Then upgrade?
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