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Moving up through $1.60 this week and probably pressing $1.70 on Freddie!
Thanks Navy, where do you see that? The most current bit here is the June 7 update. Thanks in advance.
Homeowners sitting on a pile of cash
with $17Trillion in home equity: CoreLogic
There are now only 1 million homes underwater in the U.S.
June 7, 2024, 2:01 pm By Neil Pierson
Home equity continued to rise in the first quarter of 2024 as residential properties with mortgages collectively gained $1.5 trillion in equity over the past year, according to a CoreLogic report released Friday.
The average U.S. homeowner with a mortgage added $28,000 in equity during the year ending in March 2024 — the highest year-over-year increase since late 2022. Three states — California (+$64,000), Massachusetts (+$61,000) and New Jersey (+$59,000) — saw increases that were more than double the national average.
The $1.5 trillion gain in U.S. home equity over the past year brought total net equity to more than $17 trillion at the end of Q1 2024. Mortgaged properties account for 62% of all residential homes in the U.S., according to CoreLogic.
“With home prices continuing to reach new highs, owners are also seeing their equity approach the historic peaks of 2023, close to a total of $305,000 per owner,” Selma Hepp, chief economist at CoreLogic, said in a statement. “Importantly, higher prices have also lifted some 190,000 homeowners out of negative equity, leaving only about 1.8% of those with mortgages underwater.”
Negative equity, also known as an underwater or upside-down mortgage, involves borrowers whose outstanding mortgage debt exceeds the value of their home. On a quarterly basis, negative equity decreased by 2.1% in Q1 2024 and now represents 1 million homes nationwide.
The analysis also noted that the level of underwater mortgages at a given time can change quickly due to changes in home prices. For example, when looking at the level of mortgage debt in Q1 2024, there are 111,000 homes that would move back into a positive equity position if home values rose by at least 5%. Conversely, 153,000 homes would fall underwater if values declined by 5% or more.
“Home equity is key to mortgage holders who have seen other homeownership costs soar, including insurance, taxes and HOA fees, as a source of financial buffer,” Hepp said.
“Also, low amounts of negative equity are welcomed in markets that have shown price weaknesses this spring, such as Florida (1.1% of homes underwater) and Texas (1.7% of homes underwater) — both of which are below the national rate — as further price declines could drive more homeowners to lose their equity.”
Kitty litter talking about housing stimulates me as much as eating a salad washed with e-coli.
Lots of gse double talk with no substance.
A total waste of space.
Fmcc
Catman Speaking at Housing Event Tuesday ...
Will be appearing on Tuesday at @BPC_Bipartisan 2024 Housing Summit https://t.co/PUJe6y9rxE great panel, should be fun 🥳 pic.twitter.com/e3wrzfyIFf
— Mark Calabria (@MarkCalabria) June 6, 2024
$FMCC~ Buying a stairway 😉
And she’s climbing the stairway to heaven!
Fannie / Freddie Delta now only .06 - .07 ...
definitely decent volume on start of the day
pre-mkt craziness goin' on w FREDDIE !
settling down now - Bid was $1.55 ASK $1.53
2,628 shares Traded pre-mkt Last $1.53
but BID X ASK $1.53 X $1.52 ? Roaring Kitty
Homebuying Sentiment Hits New Survey Low - June 7, 2024
Citing Unaffordability, 86% of Consumers Say It’s a Bad Time to Buy a Home
WASHINGTON, DC – The Fannie Mae (FNMA/OTCQB) Home Purchase Sentiment Index® (HPSI) decreased 2.5 points in May to 69.4 as the component measuring consumer attitudes toward homebuying conditions fell markedly, reaching an all-time survey low. This month, only 14% of consumers indicated that it’s a good time to buy a home, down from 20% last month, while the share believing it’s a good time to sell fell from 67% to 64%. Meanwhile, consumers continue to believe affordability will remain tight for the foreseeable future, as respondents believe that, on net, home prices and mortgage rates will go up over the next year. Among the positives from the survey: A growing share of respondents, now 20%, indicated that their household income is significantly higher than it was a year ago. The full index is up 3.8 points year over year.
“Consumer sentiment toward housing declined from its recent plateau, as an increasing share of consumers struggle to find the positives in the current housing market,” said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae Senior Vice President and Chief Economist. “While many respondents expressed optimism at the beginning of the year that mortgage rates would decline, that simply hasn’t happened, and current sentiment reflects pent-up frustration with the overall lack of purchase affordability. This is most clearly evidenced by our ‘good time to buy’ component falling to a new survey low this month. On the other hand, homeowners’ perception of home-selling conditions declined only slightly and remains largely positive after a steady increase over the last few months. This suggests to us that, despite the so-called ‘lock-in effect,’ some homeowners may increasingly want or need to sell their homes for a myriad of non-financial reasons, which may lead to an increase in listings in the near future. As our latest forecast notes, we expect improvements to housing inventory will lead to slightly increased sales activity through the end of the year.”
Home Purchase Sentiment Index – Component Highlights
Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) decreased 2.5 points in May to 69.4. The HPSI is up 3.8 points compared to the same time last year. Read the full research report for additional information.
Good/Bad Time to Buy: The percentage of respondents who say it is a good time to buy a home decreased from 20% to 14%, while the percentage who say it is a bad time to buy increased from 79% to 86%. As a result, the net share of those who say it is a good time to buy decreased 13 percentage points month over month.
Good/Bad Time to Sell: The percentage of respondents who say it is a good time to sell a home decreased from 67% to 64%, while the percentage who say it’s a bad time to sell increased from 32% to 35%. As a result, the net share of those who say it is a good time to sell decreased 6 percentage points month over month.
Home Price Expectations: The percentage of respondents who say home prices will go up in the next 12 months remained unchanged at 42%, while the percentage who say home prices will go down remained unchanged at 18%. The share who think home prices will stay the same increased from 39% to 40%. As a result, the net share of those who say home prices will go up in the next 12 months increased 2 percentage points month over month.
Mortgage Rate Expectations: The percentage of respondents who say mortgage rates will go down in the next 12 months decreased from 26% to 25%, while the percentage who expect mortgage rates to go up decreased from 33% to 31%. The share who think mortgage rates will stay the same increased from 40% to 42%. As a result, the net share of those who say mortgage rates will go down over the next 12 months remained unchanged month over month.
Job Loss Concern: The percentage of respondents who say they are not concerned about losing their job in the next 12 months decreased from 76% to 75%, while the percentage who say they are concerned increased from 23% to 24%. As a result, the net share of those who say they are not concerned about losing their job decreased 1 percentage point month over month.
Household Income: The percentage of respondents who say their household income is significantly higher than it was 12 months ago increased from 17% to 20%, while the percentage who say their household income is significantly lower remained unchanged at 12%. The percentage who say their household income is about the same decreased from 70% to 67%. As a result, the net share of those who say their household income is significantly higher than it was 12 months ago increased 3 percentage points month over month.
About Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index
The Home Purchase Sentiment Index® (HPSI) distills information about consumers’ home purchase sentiment from Fannie Mae’s National Housing Survey® (NHS) into a single number. The HPSI reflects consumers’ current views and forward-looking expectations of housing market conditions and complements existing data sources to inform housing-related analysis and decision making. The HPSI is constructed from answers to six NHS questions that solicit consumers’ evaluations of housing market conditions and address topics that are related to their home purchase decisions. The questions ask consumers whether they think that it is a good or bad time to buy or to sell a house, what direction they expect home prices and mortgage interest rates to move, how concerned they are about losing their jobs, and whether their incomes are higher than they were a year earlier.
About Fannie Mae’s National Housing Survey
The National Housing Survey (NHS) is a monthly attitudinal survey, launched in 2010, which polls the adult general population of the United States to assess their attitudes toward owning and renting a home, purchase and rental prices, household finances, and overall confidence in the economy. Each respondent is asked more than 100 questions, making the NHS one of the most detailed attitudinal longitudinal surveys of its kind, to track attitudinal shifts, six of which are used to construct the HPSI (findings are compared with the same survey conducted monthly beginning June 2010). For more information, please see the Technical Notes.
Fannie Mae conducts this survey and shares monthly and quarterly results so that we may help industry partners and market participants target our collective efforts to support the housing market. The May 2024 National Housing Survey was conducted between May 1, 2024 and May 17, 2024. Most of the data collection occurred during the first two weeks of this period. The latest NHS was conducted exclusively through AmeriSpeak®, NORC at the University of Chicago’s probability-based panel, on behalf of PSB Insights and in coordination with Fannie Mae. Calculations are made using unrounded and weighted respondent level data to help ensure precision in NHS results from wave to wave. As a result, minor differences in calculated data (summarized results, net calculations, etc.) of up to 1 percentage point may occur due to rounding.
Detailed HPSI & NHS Findings
For detailed findings from the Home Purchase Sentiment Index and National Housing Survey, as well as a brief HPSI overview and detailed white paper, technical notes on the NHS methodology, and questions asked of respondents associated with each monthly indicator, please visit the Surveys page on fanniemae.com. Also available on the site are in-depth special topic studies, which provide a detailed assessment of combined data results from three monthly studies of NHS results.
To receive e-mail updates with other housing market research from Fannie Mae's Economic & Strategic Research Group, please click here.
About the ESR Group
Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Research Group, led by Chief Economist Doug Duncan, studies current data, analyzes historical and emerging trends, and conducts surveys of consumer and mortgage lender groups to provide forecasts and analyses on the economy, housing, and mortgage markets. The ESR Group was awarded the prestigious 2022 Lawrence R. Klein Award for Blue Chip Forecast Accuracy based on the accuracy of its macroeconomic forecasts published over the 4-year period from 2018 to 2021.
About Fannie Mae
Fannie Mae advances equitable and sustainable access to homeownership and quality, affordable rental housing for millions of people across America. We enable the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage and drive responsible innovation to make homebuying and renting easier, fairer, and more accessible. To learn more, visit:
fanniemae.com | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn | Instagram | YouTube | Blog
Media Contact
Matthew Classick
202-752-3662
Fannie Mae Newsroom
https://www.fanniemae.com/news
The landscapers are FIRED
So today we pick a new FIGHT!
$FMCC~$5.55 per share damages, WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!
CBO report shows $FNMA $FMCC can be released from Conservatorship once they reach $128B in retained earnings (they now have $132B). The Gov would gain $98B windfall. Of course, Junior Pref shares (like $FNMAT) get paid full par value at that point.
— Jarndyce Jarndyce (@JarndyceJ) June 6, 2024
1/https://t.co/SFA4rDDprf pic.twitter.com/NW6Yi7DRsk
I forgot to mention FHFA freeloading relatives paid for forever.
Best thing for shareholders, taxpayers, Treasury, is to release with consent decree, gov grab some commons shares, and reinstate dividends. Gov gets money forever, institutions come in for value and support company, GSEs do what they have been doing for decades, saving the day for worldwide stability in housing. Gold required to save the dollar, but that like falling on deaf ears.
Thanks Commander...
For some reason today, IHubs price quotes are way ahead of my standard stock ticker.
Fannie Mae Exceeds $3 Billion in Single-Family Labeled Social Bond Issuance
June 6, 2024
Social Bond Indicator Provides Insight into Programmatic Social Bond Issuance
WASHINGTON, DC – Fannie Mae (FNMA/OTCQB) released a new disclosure for its single-family mortgage-backed securities (MBS), the Social Indicator. This disclosure helps investors easily identify MBS issued since March 1, 2024 that meet the criteria outlined in Fannie Mae's Single-Family Social Bond Framework.
"We're pleased to provide a social label to help investors better identify pools that are highly aligned with Fannie Mae's mission," said Devang Doshi, Senior Vice President, Single-Family Capital Markets. "With the Social Indicator, investors using our PoolTalk® and Data Dynamics® platforms and other third-party systems, such as Bloomberg, can now easily identify the over $3.6 billion in single-family social bonds that Fannie Mae has issued to date and monitor future issuance to analyze for fit in their portfolio."
This latest disclosure enhancement is another step Fannie Mae has taken to attract new sources of capital to the U.S. mortgage market.
"Since March, Fannie Mae's Whole Loan Conduit has offered monthly issuances of over $600 million in Social MBS to investors, and plans to continue to issue these bonds programmatically," said Nick Sapirie, Vice President, Single-Family Capital Markets. "These MBS offer an attractive profile to investors with a social objective, and those without. The premiums that investors pay for these securities help to encourage lending to the borrowers we are chartered to support, a dynamic we've highlighted in a recent Perspectives blog and research paper. We've also seen consistent issuance from several MBS lenders using our platform."
Fannie Mae's Single-Family Social Bonds are backed by loans to populations that typically face barriers to obtaining affordable housing or access to credit. Fannie Mae's Mission Index™ disclosure is the foundation of the Single-Family Social Bond Framework, which adheres to global standards and is validated by a Second Party Opinion.
"Fannie Mae's Mission Index and single-family social bond framework have significantly increased market transparency by providing pool-level insights into the underlying loans in collateral pools," said Dennis Lee, Securitized Credit Analyst Team Leader, and Ramon de Castro, Portfolio Manager, MBS and RMBS Strategies, both of T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. "Fannie Mae's thoughtful approach gives us confidence that proceeds are being efficiently allocated to target populations, generating improved outcomes for both target populations and investors, as well as enabling us to share tangible metrics of social impact in U.S. housing with clients."
In line with social bond practices, Fannie Mae will also provide annual impact reporting to help the market understand the social impact of the loans underlying their investments.
To learn more about how premiums investors pay for MBS promote mortgage lending, read "Benefiting Borrowers with a Creative MBS Disclosure Solution."
RE: Mampilly prediction on the "Release of the twins/GSE" ...says 50% by November according to his analysis.
More than half of the people throughout the world have no clue of the GSE's.
Yet Chipotle stock is well over $3400k p/s and does not have the clout like the twins have.
And we'll see how tomorrow da 7th does.
Booom ! - Analysis: Loan repurchase patterns at Fannie, Freddie are divergent
Bill Conroy - Wed, Jun 5, 2024
Analysis: Loan repurchase patterns at Fannie, Freddie are divergent -https://t.co/Mcgp49WkXU
— Cmdr Ron Luhmann (@usnavycmdr) June 6, 2024
Notice of Appeal...?
Has the Government filed a Notice of Appeal on this case yet, to anyone's knowledge? Last time I checked the Rules for this Court require a Notice of Appeal to be filed within 60 days of the final judgement, which was at the end of March I believe.
Anyone know offhand? I have a Pacer account, just haven't checked it yet, been very busy this spring.
GLTA
Big next couple of days coming for Freddie!!
— Cmdr Ron Luhmann (@usnavycmdr) June 5, 2024
idiot doesn't post what avg GSE Credit score is or LTV
— Cmdr Ron Luhmann (@usnavycmdr) June 4, 2024
Credit scores avg 750 LTV's are 50%
GSEs are NOT the SAME as 2008 - DO SOME ACTUAL RESEARCH goombah - compare delinquency rates to others - clueless article
idiot doesn't post what avg GSE Credit score is or LTV
Credit scores avg 750 LTV's are 50%
GSEs are NOT the SAME as 2008 - DO SOME ACTUAL RESEARCH
GSE delinquency rates are a fraction of the REST of HOUSING !
Freddie (and Fannie) and the Coming Nightmare on Main Street
By JUDGE GLOCK - June 4, 2024 6:30 AM
Government-sponsored mortgage companies are growing larger and riskier in service of social policy.
During the financial crisis, the federal government bailed out several financial institutions. But two in particular, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-sponsored mortgage giants, stood out. Taxpayers shelled out $191 billion to support them — combined, this was the largest bailout in American history — and for the past decade and a half the two institutions have been under government control.
Americans who thought the government would rein in Fannie and Freddie after their failures were sorely mistaken. The companies have only gotten larger. The Biden administration in particular has tried to make Fannie and Freddie bigger, and the result will be to make them riskier. At some point taxpayers will suffer the consequences again.
Only in government would a spectacular failure lead to a massive expansion in responsibility. In 2006, Fannie and Freddie, along with their smaller cousin Ginnie Mae, supported about 40 percent of all outstanding single-family mortgage debt. They now support over 65 percent. Fannie and Freddie today have $7.5 trillion in assets: an all-time high.
The massive size of these government-sponsored enterprises is not enough for some in the Biden administration. In early 2024, Fannie and Freddie’s regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, raised the maximum dollar amount of single-family mortgage loans the two companies could purchase. Now borrowers can effectively get government-backed loans up to $1.15 million in some areas, which hardly seems necessary for Fannie and Freddie’s goal of increasing home ownership. The FHFA also seems likely to approve a Freddie request to purchase second mortgages. The “primary goal” of the proposal, the government says, is to create a cheaper version of “cash-out refinance” — in other words, to allow consumers to pump more borrowed money into the economy at a time of persistent inflation. Some estimate the proposal could add another trillion dollars to consumer spending.
The Truth about Redlining’s History
One reason Fannie and Freddie are expanding their footprint is that the government hopes to use the short-term profit from these activities to support other political goals. In 2022, the FHFA pushed Fannie and Freddie to eliminate up-front fees for home buyers who had low incomes. As FHFA head Sandra Thompson told Congress, “we were able to do this because the returns the Enterprises earned on second homes and vacation homes, investor homes, are more than enough to offset the first-time homebuyer up-front fee.” What she should have said was that the government was using taxpayer money on some mortgages in order to earn short-term cash to subsidize other groups and social programs.
The FHFA has said that it wants to “limit egregious rent increases” at rental properties where Fannie and Freddie guarantee the underlying mortgages, even though that would increase the likelihood of defaults on those properties. It is “adding new requirements related to fair lending, fair housing” and “Equitable Housing Finance Plans” to Fannie’s and Freddie’s mandates. Through a recent equitable-financing plan, Fannie provides special benefits to loans in majority-black and -Latino census tracts. The FHFA is also participating in the Biden administration’s plan to “address racial bias in home valuations,” which aims to increase home appraisals in minority areas. It has ordered the companies to increase fees for low-risk borrowers and decrease fees for high-risk borrowers, with the goal of having the careful subsidize the rest. It also plans to reduce the number of credit reports required for new loans.
Fannie and Freddie have been able to engage in such expansive plans in part because, besides being under government control, many of their loans are now purchased by the government. The Federal Reserve began buying mortgage-backed securities from Fannie, Freddie, and Ginnie after the financial crisis. Today the Federal Reserve holds over $2.3 trillion in government-sponsored mortgage debt. One semi-governmental enterprise is propping up another.
All of these programs are part and parcel of this government’s policy of subsidizing housing demand while doing little or nothing to increase its supply. The Biden administration has proposed to add to this problem by giving tens of thousands of dollars in subsidies to home buyers and sellers, the only result of which would be to further drive up prices.
In the last financial crisis, Fannie’s and Freddie’s scandalous practices became widely known. Investigators found out that Fannie put friends and family of people in Congress in cushy jobs and opened “partnership offices” in important congressional districts to hand out patronage and secure political support. Fannie’s officials got millions of dollars in reduced-rate VIP loans from institutions such as Countrywide Financial from which they purchased mortgages.
Just 15 years after the Fannie and Freddie scandals and bailouts, it is astounding that these government behemoths are growing larger and riskier. Without a significant change, Americans can look forward to reading about more scandals and bailouts in the future.
COMMENTS - 17 Comments
do some actual research - GSE already fixed - avg credit scores 750 - LTV's 50%
Sort by
e_d
2h
Rabbit hole ,I heard a dog whistle. We will just have to see where this goes. Fair lending practices can be positive for wealth creation.
3
Haigha
16m
If a project won't happen without a subsidy, then it's not a positive net present value project, and therefore destroys wealth rather than creating it.
BGC2019
2h
Definition of insanity...
1
CalW
2h
Bubble, bubble, toil and trouble. It's like the snowball rolling down the hill. It keeps getting bigger and bigger - but until it actually hits the bottom and bursts, most people neither notice nor care.
2
LysanderMcgrath
2h
The FHFA is also participating in the Biden administration’s plan to “address racial bias in home valuations,” which aims to increase home appraisals in minority areas."
When you artificially inflate appraisals, you just asking for additional equity loans and then loan defaults.
You can't get rid of true market signals and replace them with government invented prices. It will always come back to haunt you. Always.
5
howard_goldstein
2h
Things are going according to plan. Government owned mortgages crowd out the private sector. Government medical care crowds out private sector health. More power resides in Washington DC. Rent seeking is the way to stay in business.
2
Paul_E
3h
Another warning, which will of course be ignored.
2
craig_hoffman
3h
We’ve done this before! Billy boy made mortgages easy to get and we had a huge real estate and financial crash when unqualified borrowers stopped paying. I guess Joe will just forgive their debts and everything will be good.
5
eric_stone
3h
Bro, is your given name Truly 'Judge Glock'?
If so, you had AWESOME parents, though I wonder how harsh the schoolyard bullying was.
2
Boozygoose
3h
He kinda looks like he could handle the schoolyard.
https://manhattan.institute/person/judge-glock
2
SpinDelete
3h
The FHFA is also participating in the Biden administration’s plan to “address racial bias in home valuations,” which aims to increase home appraisals in minority areas. It has ordered the companies to increase fees for low-risk borrowers and decrease fees for high-risk borrowers...
And that my friends, is your a-- backwards, Biden admin way of punishing the hard working people and rewarding poverty. The real racists are right before your very eyes. If this admin really cared about the minorities, they would require fiscal responsibility classes in schools instead of forced "trans" material.
"increase home appraisals in minority areas" will only cause another disaster i.e. home repos, load defaults and homelessness.
You can give them a fish and continue on or you can teach them how to fish and be independent.
7
LastOldPhoneGuy
4h
Sounds like the FHFA is racist. They determine who to help and who not to help based on skin color. Solid democrat thinking.
10
VaughnMises
4h
If we were to embrace as axiomatic that "Government can't do anything right." and were to limit government activity only to those functions which, alas, only government can do ( a necessary evil), we would be far better off.
12
Poor_Yorick
4h
All government decision making induces moral hazard because it’s always someone else’s money.
10
GeoWPeck
34m
There is no generosity in government spending other people's money to do most anything...
Especially when taxation is something that ultimately begins at the end of a gun barrel.
As we know here F&F were a dumping ground for bad bank debt. They never failed nor needed bailout. False, all false. They r actually 2 of the most profitable and important companies in the world. distorted ktcarneycorker style article
I tried to open further to read it in depth, but the comments that were left by the "true and understating" regular folks have excellent points
I agree.
Goodluck and take care.
Volume significantly higher for Freddie than Fannie. Hopefully that bodes well for me.
300 – Take the stock down to get shares.
That’s right, more indebtedness! Yet, the silver lining is massive profits for Freddie! The loan ratio is up to 80% of value and people would still have to qualify with income.
Here is an opposing view to this new product I found on YouTube:
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