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He has offered his soul for 1B from oil companies
As if they need more profit !!! Output is highest ever if I am not mistaken
(based on drilling and fracking and such growth over 25 years - yet I do think at today's prices of 80 or so per WTI bl they are holding back one ounce ---)
their
F and F for years?
TBTF banks?
Wall Street Giants
best I recall EVERYONE took their money
WHO?
I thought I was ?
agree
indeed small to mid size savings and loans and banks got clobbered !!!
a bank or savings and loan is NOT allowed to hold any one security name for >5% of its capital reserve
except !
yup !
FNMA JPS
banks across the country were beat up --- and Paulson was actually asked about this on the day of the take over and he said he understood and the issue would be handled on a case by case basis. And yes after that - on a case by case basis a bunch of banks and S and Ls were force merged by the FDIC They really got hit with a sucker punch and Paulson and (Sheila) Bair must have done the bidding of the too big to fail banks who in 2008 FELL IN LOVE WITH LARGE GOVERNMENT SOCIALISM
yes I saw that -- no one is in love with equity
real777mellon, you want numbers? Below calculation back in January. If you will notice the response to KT short seller…
Rodney5
Re: kthomp19 post# 784661
Wednesday, 01/31/2024 8:21:32 PM
Quote: “ The existing "owners of the company" (by which I assume you mean the legacy common, even though you're wrong about that too) have about $2B worth of wealth: 1.8B outstanding shares times around $1.30/share in market value.” End of Quote… WRONG
The Treasury pays the Shareholders fair market value for the Common and Preferred equity ownership; Anything less is stealing.
Mr. Bryndon Fisher gave us the calculation of the pay down of the liquidation preference no need of a third-party RE-IPO.
The companies are fully capitalized by the payment of the liquidation preference the Senior Preferred Stock should be canceled.
THE TREASURY HAS COLLECTED ENOUGH.
NOW WE HAVE 8-0 JURY verdict.
Link to the calculation.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/15978NWfDcTtuClMBnwgWFmoPnwK94vWn/view
IN ADDITION TO THE ABOVE CALCULATED VALUE PAY THE SHAREHOLDERS FOR THE EARNINGS POWER OF THE BUSINESSES:
The Value calculation should start with the number $436.1 billion. This is the Intrinsic Value of both companies businesses including the JPS, the estimated value of Fannie and Freddie.
$402.9 billion earnings power plus $33.2 billion JPS = $436.1 billion.
Fannie Mae
EARNINGS POWER OF THE BUSINESS
$263 Billion Intrinsic Value
Freddie Mac
EARNINGS POWER OF THE BUSINESS
$139.9 Billion Intrinsic Value
Fannie Mae JPS $19.1 billion par value
Freddie Mac JPS $14.1 billion par value
The amount of $402.9 billion is the calculated Intrinsic Value of the Earnings Power of both businesses combined using a Price to Earnings Ratio of 14.
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=173747946
You're on your own guys. Can't wait to come back when commons hit friggin 10x on OTC - Right now trades are 60x under book value. That's not accounting for the fact housing market is ready to go once we get socialists out and mortgages issued to the masses. Fannie Mae if you know how it works and don't just read stupid gov't legal bullshit and learn how the company works and profits = inevitable. It's in the Fortune 500 and the top 30. But what do I know about companies that make money and have a necessary private place in the private sector only they can fill.
Buncha clowns. Sorry I hurt your feelings broccoli heads - your youth shows. I love your track record. I have grown over time and so have my calls. $YPF at 3.11 - Oil and Gas. 2022. What would you have said about Argentina J0okay or w/e your dumb anon handle is? hahahaha
Someone tell Bill Ackman!!! JOoa0ky is on a crusade!
JOoa0ky 06/30/22 10:26 AM
Post #725489 on Fannie Mae-No Politics (FNMA)
Everyone should've gotten out of commons after SCOTUS.
No chance sub dollar. Too valuable. Too good of a company. If you do try a 0.92 shakeout I'll buy another bag today.
Boom, Candle Sticks, Launches, Rockets, Fight, Fight, Fight, more Red today, .92 will run its course!
Cheers !
After the capital raise and upon release, your 72k shares will be worth $3.6k coming in at about 5 cents/share. There's a chance it may go even lower.🤒
Becareful what you wish for.
Dilution - who cares. This is 2025 release. 2025 broadband. 2025 access on the largest market connected globally:
https://www.thetradenews.com/cme-group-launches-corporate-bonds-and-mortgage-backed-securities-on-brokertec-quote-trading-platform/
DERIVATIVES, FIXED INCOME, TECHNOLOGY May 21, 2024 4:50 PM GMT
CME Group launches corporate bonds and mortgage-backed securities on BrokerTec Quote trading platform
US corporate bonds began trading on 20 May, with the remaining products expected to be live by the end of next month.
CME Group has launched repo on corporate bonds and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) on its dealer-to-client (D2C) request-for-quote (RFQ) trading platform, BrokerTec Quote.
US corporate bonds began trading yesterday, 20 May, with the remaining products expected to be live by the end of next month. CME Group’s US credit futures will begin trading on 17 June.
Adding US Euro and Sterling corporate bonds and MBS on BrokerTec Quote creates a fuller product suite with US and Euro repo on all major government bonds that currently trade on the platform.
From launch, clients will have the ability to orchestrate their risk management and fixed income financing needs from one platform.
BrokerTec’s dealer-to-dealer (D2D) central limit order book (CLOB) repo platform transacted $600 billion average daily notional volume (ADNV) of repo last year.
“In today’s dynamic and complex financial landscape, navigating the fixed income markets for mortgages and credit presents unique challenges for clients who need sophisticated tools to manage their exposure and achieve their financing needs,” said John Edwards, global head of BrokerTec.
“We have been actively expanding BrokerTec Quote to cover repo on all major government bond markets in recent years. The addition of corporate bonds and MBS is a natural complement to our core offering and follows significant demand from clients.”
Tagged: CME Group
BOOM. David Thompson appears in a District Court with the Wazee case.
He was already called "omnipresent", because he seized control of many cases expelling the original attorneys, in order to control the narrative in his frivolous lawsuits.
This way, he could be seen with Fairholme, Bhatti, Collins, in the Rop case obsessed with a Mediation that was finally cancelled when it was denounced his attempt to seek a negotiation table and get a good deal for the battered JPS, and he also represented the important case of 2017, Robinson, where the judge said:
The plaintiffs didn't establish that the NWS (dividend) contravenes that duty (Put FnF in a sound and solvent condition)
"I am not a regulatory lawyer. I am a litigator. That's being watched by a number of sophisticated lawyers"
Most of this ultimately comes down to an administrative mess of balancing so-called stakeholders (who overspent on homes as collateral in a masturbatory way) against stockholders - who may or may not be young. If you’re not willing to pay your tab, the people in charge of your estate will.
Fight, Fight, Fight -
Fight to Right the WRONG done
to Fannie and Freddie Shareholders
I thought word on the street was that I'm "Bob Corker."
is it possible that one of these 3 called you pretending to be fidelity?
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=171003518
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=173631680
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=171087577
how is the kite flying with your buddy who said it has $0.02 valuation? lol. you 2 bond well.
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=171003518
Slavery continues in the US. It's now called "temporary" conservatorship.
— Guido da Costa Pereira (@GuidoPerei) June 20, 2024
If US is not a🍌 REPUBLIC...
END THE CONSERVATORSHIP!
FREE FANNIE!
FREE FREDDIE! https://t.co/9Yb7A84GLw
you are more than an entertainment, piece of ... i also think you are same as man with no name. you claim every week you sold half and leaving. lol.
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=171087577
You're gonna make 100M? Can't wait for the SEC filing. Anyway stop distracting. Keep my name out of your posts. Any more and I just will push forward with more to legal and I already have this on record with the Admins. You are claiming I sell services. Knock it off.
Just don't claim I sell services and say whatever you want.
You already are the one who said to sell commons in early 2023 and people would've lost 225% gains.
You're gonna make 100M? Can't wait for the SEC filing. Anyway stop distracting. Keep my name out of your posts. Any more and I just will push forward with more to legal and I already have this on record with the Admins. You are claiming I sell services. Knock it off.
🤣🤣🤣
Unparalleled entertainment on this board.
Whoop Tee Do man, I bet I will get to 9 figures in my personal account before you get to 9 figures AUM. 😂
I have an accredited account. That's incredible you don't know what that means.
Well if you want to sue me big boy for asking what you think FNMA commons are worth, pre and post conservatorship, then good luck with that. 🤣
Dude 72K shares ain't sh!t. My trading accounts fluctuate 6 figures on the daily with less than 1% moves.
Maybe one day you will actually know what a 'shit ton' is. 😆
And if you say I provide any services for sale when I clearly stated multiple times I charge no money for this I have a closed fund that we make money as partners if we perform. We get LOC off our portfolio if we need to pay for business and our own expenses. I can prove that in court when I sue you if you keep it up. Try me.
Last warning, I take no outside money. I share info freely I cannot move markets I don't say Buy or Sell I say positive things and that I am holding and I am buying an no court in the world will hold up you pivoting to calling me a pumper.
I have 72,000 shares in the LLC. You have been invited to email treccia@stankonia.capital and I will even let you block your camera and you can see all my shit. Idk how else to show you I put shit tons into this.
Screenshots are not credible. (See Kitty).
I will face you and I am not hiding. Tell me if you do.
That's why I share. I just like to add to a place I have a stake where fellow stakeholders may be getting discouraging info from ego maniacs and I take the time to not hoard it myself after seeing since 2021 especially the RAMPANT fraud allowed in the markets and the Biden admin. Here's a good post on the FHFA oversight of the FHLBanks ... It proves how the gov't and the people who are committing theft fraud and borderline treason in the gov't will not stop until 2025 when Trump has proven he will put America first. Remember last term? Prices of food and gas etc. Remember his letter to Rand Paul about the GSEs? it'll be ok.
This is the worst betrayal I've ever seen to Americans by a President and Treasury Secretary and then an unredacted FOIA request the FDIC asked Bloomberg to destroy. @FHFA @FDICgov @federalreserve @USTreasury FHLBank used a fake Special Purpose Emergency to send $1B to China. pic.twitter.com/dJE7c6yrNl
— Stankonia Capital (FTP FJB VLLC MAGA) (@StankoniaCap) June 18, 2024
Instead of the Ad Homs, why don't you buy a real position? Put some real money in this turd.
It ain't slander if it's the truth.
Calculate a 7% ROR for 50 years on a $10K investment and tell me how much it is. This is the investing your heroes champion. The oracle is FOS.
Still waiting on that valuation. Is it part of the "service" you claim to provide?
He guy keep trying to bury my long analysis and undressing of your ass by just sharing facts. I left it on Twitter it will be read by many. I'm gonna go enjoy a nice day outside now.
72,000 bought this year for LLC. 4 figures of my own getting in since early Nov 2023. You can see that my company and partnership was registered today one year ago. I'm happy to be in. And yes I will buy all the way up because Buffett wrote in 1991 he bought $3-$9 and was upset he stopped bc he was frustrated he stopped at $9. I am shortly going to be having a margin paid off to open up another six figures to dump back in the money to $FNMA all the way up. I don't recommend anyone follow me but I'm 100% doing that. I can prove it too if I am ever called out on it. You all have my email and my LLC is registered in Arizona. Today's it's bday.
Wiseman is correct to characterize Moelis as a gang. They’ve basically cartelized corporate lawmaking in Delaware.
https://delawarecall.com/2024/06/19/dissent-in-house-judiciary-over-controversial-corporate-amendments/
Argentina's GDP is 650B with a B, B-B-B-Billions.
FnF have T-T-T-Trillions in MBS.
That's like an appetizer.
And lol at the fact you can slander Warren Buffett. 😄
I don't care that you won't accept the fact that you are also trying to twist my entire service to call out idiots on their bad calls with good encouraging information never shared entirely factual and to hold onto their commons.
Eat a D bud. I mean I seriously do not care about you.
Why are you stressed? I just share information that should make you feel better.
Don't buy more - but don't listen to assholes like the guy who said SELL last summer
on commons that >225% since.
I just give you info to convince you to hold what you may still have.
That's literally a nice thing to do and it shouldn't stress you out.
It's more stressful for me. But I'm pretty nice to people who are lied to.
And I'm a SOB to people who try to lie to you. The good news is,
The guy who told people to SELL all commons going to 0 before >225% in 2023 to now.
Against Bill Ackman's Q1 advice even haha.
He will just try to twist my words and tell ppl now why me being unafraid of dilution is discrediting me when it's just another attempt after he failed to be correct about SELL ALL YOUR COMMONS to $0 in early 2023.
He's moving on trying to do so for his own ego. But he's a fool. He proves himself an idiot. He can't discredit me. Time proved his call to SELL YOUR COMMONS in 2023 wrong.
Time will prove my call to keep holding onto your commons and PFDs is in fact - a great call that I feel is needed when there's so much discouragement and outright idiocy in this community trying to make calls they have no credibility now to make. I believe that if he apologized for making that call instead of trying to point at me for being factual and letting time prove holding onto your commons is a great call then he wouldn't be trying to come at me. He's a sad nobdoy.
are you still buying more? kudos to you. it is hard to be optimistic for me with 16 years of 'hoping' and $2100 down to $0.40.
I don't know about you, but I don't give a crap about some dude that bought a hotel and a vineyard; some lying old man from Omaha that made the bulk of his money in the '70s with junk bonds/insider trading before the computer age; and last but not least the 4 people on your list.....I want the FNMA valuation according to the super duper software.
Distortion of my words. Anyone knows its Trump that directs FnF free. See you're a friggin coward that has to take one part of something anyone can read to try and make my argument "that".
I will just remind everyone you're a coward because you got caught by someone else saying last year early SELL YOUR COMMONS! and then they went up 225%.
Clown college!
I do welcome dilution you idiot. This isn't 2008 - you told people to sell commons because it's going to 0 before 225% ride up?
I am done with you I already proved you an idiot but I will take one more punch.
I explained the diff between 30% of the 2008 mortgage buying bundling and selling of MBS the two GSEs had upon entering conservatorship. It's now as of 2023 70%.
I explained the expansion of the MBS market and know how the company makes its revenues - you will never be worth the time to teach more. But I would say CME Group offering it to the entire WORLD - that is MBS to retail and institutions on the globally connected CME Group's network buying MBS with BrokerTec platform offering that due to HIGH customer demand increases the odds that there's gonna be not only a greater amount of GSE duopoly in selling MBS in private sector state bw 2008 and 2025, but more ACCESS and the 2008 electronic connected market vs people AT home globally buying MBS?
I even addressed and doubled down with Buffett's bets that macroeconomics show the 2025 market is due for a cycle #2 of the US Housing boom and FnF are going to be ACCELERATED in profiting from buying and bundling massive amounts of private sector driven homebuilds and buyers applying for mortgages.
You ignorant little baby. You laugh all you want. I am doing you a favor but you were the one trying to get people to sell in 2023 to miss out of 225% gains.
Now you're trying to cling onto dilution oh poor baby needs to be right.
Do you think dilution really fn holds up when you actually are making shares for a global 2025 accessible and god damn financial powerhouse juggernaut of a company because smart people consider the conditions?
Only losers come here to say baseless crap.
J0oa0ky - you are never right. And I will double down on that but I won't respond to you unless you take my points from today's post and actually think you can factually prove me wrong. Use citations and make your case.
BRYNDON FISHER?!
TIM HOWARD?!
LAMBERTH?!
PAGLIARA?!
SCOTUS?
POTUS?!
Nope.
Argentina will free FnF.
Viva la Javier Milei
I thoroughly enjoyed your fnma post.
Keep them coming, they’re light years ahead of the going to zero no shame clowns.
Fnma
thank you for taking the time to write. this is all beyond my pay grade. i am tired, really tired and losing hard earned money has drained my soul further. 16 years is a long time. my foster parents were much nicer than the fellow travelers who ambushed us shamelessly taking away our hard earned money with overnight conspiracy. be well, this isn't worth stress, health and peace, imo. just money. god has a way to take care of things, in his own ways, let him.
Jim Parrott is explicit on attempting to wipe out JPS. $FNMAS $FNMA #fanniegate pic.twitter.com/fwyBKBUArP
— Swamps & Shitholes 🇯🇵🇱🇷🇺🇦🇮🇱 (@AZbroker) August 13, 2023
Also to take a shot at the guy who criticized my Argentina ties to the GSEs that no one found but he told you commons were DONE to sell in early 2023 and miss out on what 225% growth? I will share this bit of news he cracked a veiled shot about the FNMA FMCC down day Tuesday because of the "Argentine Market" being down (dumb "donkey" do you not know what an ETF is that's only a small amount of NYSE and 1 NASDAQ listed Argentine company ADR with only certain picked shares that are held in custody and the ETF price tracks? The "market" that is like saying an ETF of only select businesses is the equivalent of the DJIA or the NASDAQ 100 or S&P 500. To the doofus who cracked that joke the Argentine market equivalent is not the $ARGT ETF - it's an index called MERVAL.
Moving on...
I have great info to share related to the media attacks on Trump, the institution in power who are socialists and I have shared proof of their lying and even in FHFA reports on 2023 FHLBanks which they oversee in addition to being conservator of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac...
This is time to explain Argentina, all my own DD but things that the man Scott L. Mathis I mentioned last night - a wall street titan gone to Argentina in 2007 with his 1999 founded operations that run thru a US Miami based parent company and derives its entire revenue from it's luxury real estate, wine, ecommerce, LVMH type fashion with Argentine made products and more all in Argentina.
Argentina and Javier Milei are helping reject the administrations abuse and long overdue release of the GSEs to the NYSE and private sector. I got this article from Scott L Mathis because he is someone I mentioned last night that has been in Argentina building real estate luxury vineyards hotels and more thru the parent holdco Gaucho Group Holdings Inc in Miami. Do not buy that stock it is still going to dip. Buy more commons now. Here's why. The Milei and Trump hug at CPAC and Milei being in the American private sectors hearts and future - near future investment is also seeing MEDIA attack his image like Trump - a man we want to release our GSEs and on record via the Rand Paul letter doing just that.
https://blog.independent.org/2024/06/18/milei-steering-argentina-toward-economic-stability/
This is what Scott sent me today about what it is like on the ground there (he tells me all the time the media lies) - but since the Media has focused form the EU to the US to lie about Milei and his IMPLEMENTATION of all the reforms and changes to minimized govt spending size and laws just passing that deregulate and privatize similar companies that shareholders (even my $YPF stake) have lost value and investment due to the gov't intervening in a NEGATIVE way. I want you to have hope that Trump 2.0 is VERY much the reason Milei is being attacked and let me remind you Trump sent a Make Argentina Great Again video out on TruthSocial that went all over the news the night Milei was elected by 57% over his socialist opponent! Trump polls show on polymarket regularly at 56%. In 6 months of implementing policies like Trump promised from "DAY ONE" in his letter that he would've removed FHFA director Mel Watt and directed to new FHFA Director he chose to end the conservatorship >> This glowing report on the ground about Milei (Trump's model and honestly he's saying things Milei says bc he will do them as Americans are wanting that type of executive action Argys have) is something I share to give you hope we will get what we were promised and Trump will ALSO be doing much BUSINESS with Milei's Argentina - hell I get mocked for pointing out since 2011-2019 FHFA allowed the OTC common shares to be held at BNY Mellon to let the Banco Comafi issue CEDEARS (like ADRs here) in the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange and trade FNMA and FMCC common "ADR like" shares redeemable for BNY Mellon held true FNMA and FMCC shares at any time - to this day even if they held - but due to Gov't currency restrictions they were priced in $ARS.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/nWJ8kvyf/?symbol=BCBA%3AFNMA
Go find FMCC yourselves I'm not your ChatGPT or butler this is an Fannie Mae board ;)
Here is the Banco Comafi - the issuer of these depositor receipt-like list of Fannie and Freddie common shares on their CEDEARS list of American companies traded in $ARS but it is obviously out of date on the ration as trading view shorts 3 CEDEARS:1 FNMA share held at Bank of New York since 2011. It started out at 1:1. CEDEAR trading of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac on the Argentina BA stock exchange had been going on since the year 2000 (the Menem 1989 regime had pegged the peso to the USD 1:1 and that stopped in 2001. When the shares of Fannie and Freddie were delisted from the NYSE June 2010 - they went to the OTCBB and NYSE:FNM became OTCBB:FNMA. Similar ticker and movement to the OTCBB occurred with Freddie Mac commons. OTC Markets Group was the only way to keep a "listing" of USA OTC listings and USD stocks when the OTCBB closed sometime around 2020 I forget maybe it was 2019. Who cares. The point is the common stock has traded and is the same as the NYSE listed shares folks bought back in the day - and since 2000 the CEDEARS have been provided by Banco Comafi (a bank that lineage is back to a 15th century Bank in Italy... yeah) and custodied by Bank of New York (founded originally by Alexander Hamilton - the first Treasury sec -- for those of u with tinfoil that are intrigued) and continue to be held in accounts in the Argentina brokerages who hold them just like they can also still exchange 3:1 for a share of real FNMA once allowed to do so (Milei is likely heading there). I believe if you have a dual citizenship there's a way to do it from the US side but not within BA. This is leading to a further important and self conviction but also with reason a hypothesis becoming more of a theory as time rolls on.
First if you wanna know who CEDEARS were first issued by it was before Banco Comafi merged/took over Deutsche Bank S.A.:
https://www.comafi.com.ar/custodiaglobal/assets/docs/prospectos-cedears-rg/13586-21112000.pdf
There's your 2000 document if you must read it to believe me - I do my fucking homework.
Here's the Banco Comafi outdated list of current CEDEARS (I assume these all are outdated because of the inflation issues since the end of 2018 with Alberto Fernandez presidency going back to complete isolationists and many gov't restrictions on USD, forex, and a money printer that had ruined the $ARS when the IMF and foreign countries decided to stop lending to the country inflating their currency and isolating any incentive for the people to believe in the improvement of Argentines under a socialist abusive gov't like our own FHFA and FED and TREASURY (even FDIC) under the Biden Yellen Thompson Powell directed to act basically in lock w the regime. You can say the Fed Gov is independent after appt and he was appointed by Trump but when Powell began raising interest rates too fast Trump "bullied him" to stop and it worked. Now the same Biden admin and leftists like Elizabeth Warren are begging the FED to lower FFR (interest rates). Is that bullying? Gimme a break.
https://www.comafi.com.ar/custodiaglobal/Programas-Cedear-2483.note.aspx
So when I share info here- instead of being mad I also call it like I see it with people trying to sell their advice and are present in my stake in this community too - I still share other valued info and my opinion and analysis as well:
https://blog.independent.org/2024/06/18/milei-steering-argentina-toward-economic-stability/
Here's another thing about private sector Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac operations. There is NO law to prevent them from listing the CEDEARS on the BA stock exchange 1:1 and later 3 CEDEARS of FNMA:1 FNMA and a different than 1:1 ratio I forget for FMCC to adjust for the post 2011 inflation issues til Macri left office and all heck broke loose in Argentina due to the money printing of the ARS (arg peso) under the non center-right Macri regime but the Peronist and Isolationist Alberto Fernandez admin...
Argentina equivalent of the Mortgage Bankers Association here has been public about wanting a Fannie Mae system to provide liquidity to its mortgage market since 2007 publicly.
https://www.thebanker.com/Regulations/Argentina-looks-to-Fannie-Mae-model
Coincidentally 2007 was the year my friend and CEO of GGHI (NASDAQ: VINO) began his real estate operations with purchase of $300K USD now worth $10M USD but worth far more, 5 star rated, Algodon Mansion in the diplomat city of Argentina. The parent company he launched to make a USD listed NASDAQ tightly held share issuance (it's so small because he can prevent people from taking control of his assets that are far more valuable than the entire market cap of the NASDAQ listing - obviously) after leaving Lehman in 1999- to focus on Argentina - a place that needed a better mortgage system that modeled Fannie Mae. I can't get Scott to ever do anymore than nod or go that's great info. If you remember the scene in the Big Short where the two Brownfield Capital dorks walk into Lehman Brothers and the guy screaming "DO NOT TALK TO THE PRESS" at the collapsed investment bank employees leaving with their possession in boxes - that's bc of NDA's that they take seriously. BUT If the Argentines wanted a Fannie Mae system - and they want to DOLLARIZE under Milei - Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have a growth opportunity to operate in countries that are OPEN to their liquidity model for their private banks (now allowed to deposit as many dollars as they wish) to lend more than the 2023 rate of mortgage issuances in Argentina (1%...). The dollars entering Argentina's private banks have skyrocketed due to confidence of people who held 10% of the circulating worldwide USD including US in mostly $100 bills at home in their bed mattresses into Argentina's banks. Even before he was able to decree that the govt would allow banks to allow deposit of any currency. Naturally - the dollars led to the initial growth of Argentine private banks to issue mortgages to (off thetop of my head) about 15% or more of applicants? Now add in our Fannie and Freddie and the compatibility of a free market privatized and globally connected MBS market buying USD denominated MBS bundled in US issued mortgages + the fact even in 2007 and to today the Argentine banks denominate their mortgages in the US Dollar!!!
It's an opportunity I argue that besides the 70%+ duopoly Fannie and Freddie have in buying and bundling US mortgages from lenders today as opposed to 30% in August 2008 when taken into conservatorship due to less competition from priv-label and the credit checks on what banks and the GSEs will buy being reformed responsibly -> look for growth not just in a US Housing Market boom 2.0 that is where my mind is logically thinking inevitable in Trump 2.0 (Investment that moved in a 2008 stimulus China CCP gave to keep it's ponzi Real Estate boom going is where our institutions went to invest in Real Estate and left officially in Fall 2021-2023 due to the Evergrande property market and real estate/ghost city collapse and to this day they are done growing bc they cant' bail out even with no western investment).
In case you're wondering a similar period of FUD on Fannie Mae stock was after the Jimmy Carter administration and the US misery of the 70's that began with the demonization of President Nixon who was actually a President pushing for the release of the Kennedy assassination even though Kennedy was his opponent in previous decades and he was well loved for his pro-American stance even if he gets blamed by everyone for the gold standard ending (who cares besides whacko libertarians who are leftists in their party - but not in Milei economics. Austrian economists like Milei are Libertarian who call for small govt and letting private sector and market decide the price and who they want to do business with - and it works. He's realistic too in that the dollar would not be fixed by GOLD but by letting private markets flourish in the Rothbardian Austrian economic policies he implements and successfully reduces the STATE from any control and politicians (not markets and business and trade experts) decide how the market should be operating. That is not FREEDOM. That is what we all want for the GSEs and what I've proven the FHFA and Biden Admin and all his admin that have shit to do with money and American market operations prevent from doing so freely. Deregulation is not their friend and it doesn't make them rich, subverting your participation and ability to achieve real success as a shareholder of what Warren Buffett himself called a financial powerhouse in 1991 - to get back to the reason I went back to the Carter admin and Fannie Mae's not so good stock prices and need to put in a successful reform that is profitable and understood by Buffett to be a long term investment that he usually makes "buy and hold" and with dividends - we are going to get our dividends back too folks:
Funny it took until December 2023 for anyone to report on Warren Buffett's regret for selling out of his position early and wishing he went long (at least until 2008) from 1988 entry and previously admitting owning Fannie Mae stock before under Berkshire with Charlie Munger:
https://acquirersmultiple.com/2023/12/warren-buffett-fannie-mae-fumble-a-1-4-billion-mistake-learned-the-hard-way/
In his 1991 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Letter, Warren Buffett discusses the two critical mistakes he made when Berkshire Hathaway had the chance to acquire a significant stake in Fannie Mae in 1988.
Stopping buying after an initial price increase: This prevented him from fully seizing the potential growth.
Selling their existing shares due to a dislike for small positions: This was a knee-jerk reaction based on personal preference, not sound investment logic.
Buffett estimates that these mistakes cost Berkshire Hathaway approximately $1.4 billion by 1991. Here’s an excerpt from the letter:
Every writer knows it helps to use striking examples, but I wish the one I now present wasn’t quite so dramatic: In early 1988, we decided to buy 30 million shares (adjusted for a subsequent split) of Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae), which would have been a $350-$400 million investment.
We had owned the stock some years earlier and understood the company’s business. Furthermore, it was clear to us that David Maxwell, Fannie Mae’s CEO, had dealt superbly with some problems that he had inherited and had established the company as a financial powerhouse—with the best yet to come. I visited David in Washington and confirmed that he would not be uncomfortable if we were to take a large position.
After we bought about 7 million shares, the price began to climb. In frustration, I stopped buying (a mistake that, thankfully, I did not repeat when Coca-Cola stock rose similarly during our purchase program). In an even sillier move, I surrendered to my distaste for holding small positions and sold the 7 million shares we owned.
I wish I could give you a halfway rational explanation for my amateurish behavior vis-a-vis Fannie Mae. But there isn’t one. What I can give you is an estimate as of yearend 1991 of the approximate gain that Berkshire didn’t make because of your Chairman’s mistake: about $1.4 billion.
You can read the entire letter here: https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/1991.html
Thanks for that tweet. I've got my popcorn ready.
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