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SAI $17-18-19 beats by $0.03, beats on revs; reaffirms Y08 guidance (17.10 +0.22) : Reports Q4 (Jan) earnings of $0.20 per share, $0.03 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.17; revenues rose 9.5% year/year to $2.15 bln vs the $2.07 bln consensus. Co reaffirms guidance for FY08, sees EPS of $0.83-0.88 vs. $0.85 consensus; sees FY08 revs of $8.7-9.0 bln vs. $8.77 bln consensus.
Weekly Gainers & Losers List
15:42 Weekly Losers List
Stocks over $5 posting the largest percentage loss over the last five sessions include: FIRE -34%, BLTI -26%, TNS -23%, INPH -20%, HZO -19%, NRMX -18%, AHM -17%, KEI -17%, SMTL -17%, AMMD -16%, VNT -16%, VRAZ -16%, DAKT -15%, NLST -13%, CTIB -13%, EEE -13%, HPOL -12%, DLIA -12%, OHB -12%, LUM -11%, HR -11%, RELL -11%, IDIX -11%,
15:38 Weekly Gainers List
Stocks over $5 posting the largest percentage loss over the last five sessions include: UXG +53%, RCCC +41%, USAT +39%, DYAX +34%, MOBI +31%, RZ +29%, STGN +26%, JASO +26%, OSCI +24%, INVC +24%, TSL +24%, COT +23%, INGN +23%, AIXG +23%, IDSA +22%, MIR +22%, CBLI +22%, OPXT +21%, MEDI +21%, NGA +21%, IMMU +20%, TNE +20%, MEA +19%, DVR +19%, IIG +19%, LJPC +18%, CHDX +18%
FCSX (35.94 ~$38 ) reports Q2 EPS of $0.48 vs $0.27 in yr ago period; reports revs of $60.1 mln vs $42.3 mln in yr ago period. CEO says, "I believe our revenue and earnings growth thus far in 2007 are attributable to those efforts as well as a favorable operating environment. Looking ahead, our recently successful IPO has put us in a stronger position to take advantage of new commodity markets here in the U.S. and to leverage our expertise in growing segments around the world. Above all, we are confident that our longtime commitment to providing value to our customers will ensure our long-term success and drive shareholder value."
DYAX Dyax tgt raised to $8 from $6 at Morgan Joseph (4.00 )
Morgan Joseph raises their tgt to $8 from $6 noting yesterday, after market close, Dyax reported Ph III EDEMA3 results hitting both primary and secondary endpoints for DX-88 in HAE. The firm says Dyax's main competitor, Jerini AG is developing Icatibant to treat H.A.E attacks. They believe the risk/reward profile now favors Dyax, as Jerini did not reach statistical significance in one of its two pivotal phase III trials, and although the co plans to utilize a combined analysis of the two trials, the firm does not believe this approach is appropriate since the two trials had different designs and each had its own S.P.A.
Biotech: Expect CBST & GILD to have strong Q1, expectations already in stock@JEFF
Jefferies recommends investors buy shares of CBST and GILD, especially on weakness. The firm has positive outlooks for ARRY, HTI and POZN and is cautious on NRMX.
SPWR Sunpower profiled in Inside Wall Street - BusinessWeek Online (51.09 )
BusinessWeek Online reports Sunpower has captivated investors seeking clean-energy plays, causing the stock to double, from $24 in July to $50.46 on Apr. 11. The co makes high-efficiency silicon solar cells and panels that generate electricity from sunlight. SunPower should be a part of any "clean-energy portfolio," says Michael Carboy of investment outfit Signal Hill Capital Group, who rates the stock a buy. One of SunPower's attractions is its galloping sales growth in the past four years, from $5 mln in 2003 to $236 mln in 2006. And earnings at SunPower, which was spun off by Cypress Semiconductor (CY) in 2005, are expected to double, from 51 cents a share in 2006 to 98 cents in 2007, and again, to $2 in 2008, figures Carboy. Cypress acquired SunPower in 2004 and still owns 69% after the spin-off. Carboy sees sales hitting $680.2 mln in 2007 and $1.2 bln in 2008. Apart from its explosive sales and earnings growth, SunPower's "tremendous franchise strength and crisp execution appeal strongly to us," says Carboy. David Edwards of ThinkEquity Partners, who also rates SunPower a buy, says it ranks tops in what he looks for: people, product, potential, and predictability. SunPower's five-year outlook, says Edwards, prompted him to raise his 12-month target from $50 to $60.
Merck-MRK: Gap-Filled: Bullish Pattern: Upgraded
Goldman upgraded the name to Neutral from Sell. The shares have filled the major bearish gap down from September 2004 and are now trading in a horizontal channel ranging from $42-$46.50. On a longer daily chart (more clearly on weekly chart) there is a potential bullish flag (not valid until there is a breakout above $46.50) that has potential to the $58 area. The set-up, especially since it has gone largely unnoticed, seems classically bullish.
The only potential negative now is that the shares will be turned back at $46.50 after making such a strong move over the last 8 months after the double bottom at the $26 area (exhaustion risk). Resistance levels to watch now are at $46.50 (critical), $47.00, $47.75, $48.75, $49.60, $50.38. Support is at $46.31, $45.99, $45.29 (10-day MA), $44.26 (50-day MA), $43.63, $42.96.
Samsung posts weak Q1 on chips, Net Profit Declines ,outlook tough
Fri Apr 13, 2007 2:52am ET
http://today.reuters.com/news/articleinvesting.aspx?type=marketsNews&storyID=2007-04-13T065240Z_....
By Marie-France Han and Rhee So-eui
SEOUL, April 13 (Reuters) - Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd. (005930.KS: Quote, Profile , Research), the world's top memory chip maker, posted a slightly bigger-than-expected 15 percent drop in first-quarter earnings as margins tumbled, and predicted more price pressure to come.
The April-June outlook remains grim as Samsung, the most valuable technology company outside the United States, forecast a further 5-10 percent drop in DRAM (dynamic random access memory) prices in the second quarter.
But it said the second quarter would represent a bottom for DRAM profitability, and analysts expect Samsung's earnings to improve in the second half as seasonal demand for consumer electronics picks up.
"The strength of an expected rebound later in the year still depends on the strength of the demand stemming from Windows Vista during the holiday shopping season near the year-end," said Seo Jung-ho, fund manager at Daehan Investment Trust Management.
The weak result at the chips unit overshadowed a recovery in the company's mobile phone business driven by a new focus on medium- and lower-end models.
Samsung is the world's third-largest maker of mobile phones after Nokia (NOK1V.HE: Quote, Profile , Research) and Motorola (MOT.N: Quote, Profile , Research). Continued...
RT $30~$28~$27 Ruby Tuesday beats by $0.02, light on revs; guides Q4, Y07 below consensus, issues preliminary Y08 outlook (27.75 -0.44) : Reports Q3 (Feb) earnings of $0.55 per share, excluding lease-related charge & including stock based compensation expense, $0.02 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.53; revenues rose 11.6% year/year to $377.9 mln vs the $378.2 mln consensus. Co issues downside guidance for Q4, sees EPS of $0.48-0.50, ex-items vs. $0.52 consensus. Co issues downside guidance for FY07, sees EPS of $1.67-1.69, ex-items vs. $1.70 consensus. Co sees Y07 EPS growth of 7-15%, excluding several charges; sees 30-35 francishe openings.
INFY $53 Infosys beats by $0.01; guides Q1 EPS above consensus, guides FY08 revs below; guides Fy08 EPS above consensus, guides Fy08 revs below (53.53 +1.56)
Reports Q4 (Mar) earnings of $0.41 per share, excluding tax gains, $0.01 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.40; revenues rose 45.5% year/year to $863 mln vs the $866.3 mln consensus. Co issues upside EPS guidance for Q1, sees EPS of $0.41 vs. $0.40 consensus; issues downside revs Q1 guidance; sees Q1 revs of $904-908 mln vs. $921.95 mln consensus. Co issues upside EPS guidance for FY08, sees EPS of $1.86-1.89, excluding tax reversal of $29 mln in FY07 vs. $1.84 consensus; sees FY08 revs downside revs guidance; sees FY08 revs of $3.95-4.02 bln vs. $4.13 bln consensus. Co notes oper margin likely to be "stable" this FY." Co also notes no indication of change in demand from US. Co disclosed that it has named Nandan Nilakeni as its co-chairman. Co says that conf call will not be telecast in the U.S., but an archive of the conf. call can be accessed at www.infosys.com at 4:30 EST on Friday.
* SCHN $42~$47~$46 Reports Q2 (Feb) earnings of $0.93 per share, $0.31 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.62; revenues rose 49.9% year/year to $604 mln vs the $498.3 mln consensus. Co notes that for Q3 international markets for scrap metal are expected to be robust. Based on sales booked to date and the Company's current view of the markets, average net selling prices during the third quarter are expected to be at record levels, approximately $40-$50 per ton higher than the prices in the recently completed second quarter.
MOS $29-$28 The Mosaic Co.: In 10Q reports FebQ EPS of $0.10, may not be comparable, and revs of $1.278 bln; Reuters consensus is $0.17 and $1.25 bln (29.10 +0.28)
LAYN $37~$42~36 earnings of $0.42 per share, includes $920,000 gain from co's sale of minerals concesssion, may not be comparable to the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.23; revenues rose 31.6% year/year to $193.1 mln vs the $161.1 mln consensus. CEO comments on outlook, "In fiscal 2008, we expect to see some topping out on the commodity side of our business albeit at current high levels of activity. In addition, water and wastewater infrastructure backlog in the U.S. is at record levels, up 54% over this time last year to $349,200,000. It should bode well for fiscal 2008."
Layne Christensen conf call summary (41.36 +4.37) -Update : They had a good 4th qtr for mineral division, the best they have ever experienced. Energy division also had a good qtr and achieved goal of doubling production in ‘06. Co notes that the global economy is slowing, so the mineral business will level off. Says that the growth of energy division will slow significantly. They feel they need to raise prices now to deliver increased earnings. Margins will probably be weaker in coming qtr due to weather issues that have already occurred. Says maintaining current business levels will be challenging due to the success of Q4. Topping out of rev growth is occurring because they have reached current production capacity in mineral and energy businesses. Q&A is ongoing.
Oppenheimer downgrades Layne Christensen (LAYN 39.80) to Neutral from Buy, based on valuation and believe business activity could be peaking, following Q407 EPS that exceeded consensus estimates
Earnings on Tap for the Week of April 9th
Monday 4/9: LI, LWSN and MOS.
Tuesday 4/10: AA.
Wednesday 4/11: BBBY, CBK, DNA, RIMM, RI and SAI.
Thursday 4/11: CBSH, KKD, MTG, PIR, LRCX and RAD.
Friday 4/12: GE, FMT, HANS, JOSB, LTRE, SAMC, TOPP and THO.
Weekly Gainers & Losers List
Weekly Gainers List :
IDMI +107%, BIOV +55%, GISX +48%, VHI +42%, SLP +41%, DNDN +40%, MCF +32%, CEGE +30%, WEBM +28%, SILC +28%, MFW +27%, BAMM +26%, JSDA +26%, JST +24%, GROW +23%, RZ +22%, BTH +22%, MTRX +21%, FDC +20%, OIIM +20%, REFR +19%, LMC +19%, CYBI +19%, RBN +18%, STEC +18%, NEXC +17%, EDA +17%, HNP +17%
Weekly Losers List :
PKTR -28%, HAYZ -28%, DF -27%, CUTR -27%, IRIX -27%, LGND -26%, ALLT -23%, OCNW -21%, GBX -17%, OPXT -17%, RACK -16%, CTIB -16%, VYYO -15%, MNST -14%, PTT -12%, IHR -11%, CALM -11%, JTX -11%, ACY -11%, INPC -10%
CUTR $38-$26 Cutera cuts Q1 EPS, rev guidance, cites lower than expected productivity levels of recent sales expansion (27.52 ) : Co issues downside guidance for Q1 (Mar), sees revs of $23 mln, down from previous co guidance of $26 mln, vs. $26.28 mln Reuters Estimates consensus. Co now sees GAAP EPS of $0.11-0.13 vs prior guidance of $0.21, GAAP guidance does not appear comparable to $0.29 consensus. CEO comments, "We continue to see strong growth in the laser and light-based aesthetic equipment market. This quarter's shortfall was due primarily to lower than expected productivity levels of our recent sales expansion. We are implementing specific initiatives to address this matter and remain confident in our ability to increase our revenue growth."
bearish on DTE Energy (DTE), Eli Lilly (LLY) and MedImmune (MEDI).
CMI could head higher because it is under-appreciated by analysts. International sales of engines made up for weak U.S. sales and furthermore, the co has beat Street estimates too many times.
was bullish on Consolidated Edison (ED), WellPoint (WLP), Celgene (CELG), Gilead Sciences (GILD), Genzyme (GENZ), Abbott Labs (ABT), Marshall & Ilsley (MI), Dendreon (DNDN) and Starwood Hotels (HOT).
$49 Norfolk Southern-NSC sees Q1 2007 results below Q1 2006
Norfolk Southern Corporation announced Wednesday that Q1 2007 diluted earnings per share are expected to be approximately 3% below the same quarter 2006, principally due to reduced carload volumes and lower other income related to property sales. Volumes in first quarter 2007 were down 4.4 percent compared with record volumes reported in the first quarter a year earlier, reflecting declines in the automotive and housing sectors. Norfolk Southern also experienced winter weather conditions in first quarter 2007 that were more extreme than the comparatively mild weather a year earlier, resulting in a slowing of operations and increased costs. Norfolk Southern does not forecast earnings or other results, and this announcement is not intended to change that policy. Norfolk Southern will report earnings and other results at its regular meeting with analysts in New York City on April 25.
Earnings Preview for the week of April 2nd th-5th
Companies reporting earnings the week of April 2nd th-5th include: Monday: ARD and MERX... Tuesday: ISCA, POP, EXFO, OXM, and RBN... Wednesday: AYI, BBY, BTH, CC, GBX, MON, MSM, HWAY, BLUD, LWSN, MU, and ZZ... Thursday: SHLM, CYCL, STZ, MTRX, RPM, and WDFC... Friday: Markets are closed
MNST options flat on 13% sell-off down $6.31 to $42.20.
MNST announced this morning that 1st quarter revenue will be below guidance. GSCO has a Neutral rating and a 12-month price target of $46 on MNST. GSCO say's "with the share shift from print to online in the employment market accelerating, we remain confident in the long-term secular growth story at MNST. Near term, however, recruitment ad spending is highly cyclical and will be meaningfully impacted by trends." MNST call option volume of 6,214 contracts compares to put volume of 7,693 contracts. MNST April & May option implied volatility of 38 is near its 26-week
* SMSI $12-$18-$20 (feb 27) beats by $0.11, ex items, beats on revs (13.489 +0.51) : Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.26 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.11 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.15; revenues rose 115.0% year/year to $17.2 mln vs the $16.1 mln consensus.
Smith Micro Software: Conference call update (13.49 +0.51) -Update : Co says they are looking forward to 2007, saying they expect continued significant improvement in their YoY performance. They expect rev growth from all of their product groups and will be adding new products from their Ecutel and Insignia acquisitions. The firm says they do not give specific rev guidance but says the Ecutel Systems acquisition will add approx $3 mln in deal rev in 2007. Co says Insignia is estimated to be a $10 mln business in calendar 2007. They expect to close the acquisition by 2Q07, which will leave 3 qtrs of Insignia rev or an estimated $7-$8 mln. Co says gross margins will continue to depend on product mix. Co says gross margins for existing products will range from 65%-70% but products acquired via the Ecutel and the Insignia acquisitions come in around 80%-90% gross margin. Co expects to see an increase in their international presence in 2007. Co says they are in deep discussions with handset manufacturers that would design their StuffIt Wireless compression solution into the handsets. Co says they always have a plan to beat consensus numbers for the year. Co says their acquisition strategy going forward is to look for additional software technologies in the wireless place. Co wants to expand on their customer base, and is actively out talking to various tgts. Co says when they have a tgt that is an ideal fit they will come to the street and talk about it. Co says they are very active and aggressive. When asked about Q1 co says they are doing just fine things are happening and they look forward to talking about it at the end of the qtr
Smith Micro Software: C.E. Unterberg believes Sprint music win a huge positive (18.16 ) -Update : C.E. Unterberg believes the Sprint music win is a huge positive for SMSI. First, this win clearly has significant rev potential, as Sprint has about 42 mln postpaid subscribers and has seen good success with its music product thus far, with more than 14 mln song downloads to-date. Second, the addition of Sprint should quell investor concerns over customer concentration due to the large relationship with Verizon Wireless. Third, SMSI is quickly establishing its music software as the defacto alternative to AAPL's iTunes, which is currently limited to Cingular's platform and may only work with the AAPL iPhone device, whereas SMSI's software will work with any music-capable device in the signed-on carriers' networks. Beyond music, SMSI is well positioned to benefit from EVDO Rev A upgrades. (Briefing.com Note: Please see 7:40 comment as well).
FMCN $75 Co raises their Y07 guidance, sees EPS of $2.85-2.92, up from $2.83-2.90, vs. $2.78 consensus; sees revs of $390-400 mln, up from $350-360 mln, vs. $358.59 mln consensus. announces the completion of its acquisition of Allyes Information Technology Company Limited.
PAYX $38 (sup) reports in-line, ex items; reaffirms FY07 revenue guidance
Reports Q3 (Feb) earnings of $0.35 per share, in-line with the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.35; revenues rose 12.7% year/year to $485.3 mln vs the $488.3 mln consensus. Co reaffirms guidance for FY07, sees total revenue growth in the range of 12-14%.
RNO $2-4.25 (ob) Rio Narcea Gold Mines reports Q4 results (3.85 -0.09)
Co reports Q4 EPS of $0.29 including tax benefit, may not be comparable to $0.14 Reuters consensus; revs rose 93% YoY to $65.90 mln vs $50.71 mln Reuters consensus.
SONC $22 Sonic beats by $0.03, ex-items; guides Q3 EPS in-line; guides Q3 revs above consensus (21.48 -0.11)
Reports Q2 (Feb) earnings of $0.16 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.03 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.13; revenues rose 8.5% year/year to $161.5 mln vs the $160.5 mln consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for Q3, sees EPS of $0.30-0.31 vs. $0.30 consensus; sees Q3 revs growth of 10-12%, which calculates to ~$205.1-208.8 mln vs $204.6 mln consensus. Co sees Same-store sales growth in the range of 2% to 4%
SONC Sonic-CORRECTION-guides Q3 revs up 10-12%, which calculates to approx $205.1-208.8 mln vs $204.6 mln consensus (21.48 -0.11) -Update-
-SMOD reports Q2 EPS of 22c vs. consensus of 21c
Reports Q2 revenue of $239.1M vs. consensus of $235.31M. The company sees Q3 EPS about the same as Q2 vs. consensus of 22c and revenue of $235M-$245M vs. consensus of $240.58M.
trgt $15 DBAB
WAG $47-49-47 (alt/pb) beats by $0.04, beats on revs (47.77 ) : Reports Q2 (Feb) earnings of $0.65 per share, $0.04 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.61; revenues rose 14.6% year/year to $13.93 bln vs the $13.89 bln consensus.
PVH $57-60-58 beats by $0.03; guides Q1 EPS in-line; guides Q1 revs above consensus; guides FY08 EPS; guides FY08 revs above consensus (59.30 +1.11) : Reports Q4 (Jan) earnings of $0.47 per share, $0.03 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.44; revenues rose 21.1% year/year to $557 mln vs the $530.1 mln consensus. Co issues in-line EPS guidance for Q1, sees EPS of $0.85, incl $2 mln in strat-up costs, may not be comparable to $0.85 consensus; guides Q1 rev above consensus; sees Q1 revs of $580 mln vs. $556.19 mln consensus. Co issues in-line EPS guidance for FY08, sees EPS of $3.00-3.06, incl $8 mln in start-up costs, may not be comparable to $3.06 consensus; guides FY08 rev above consensus; sees FY08 revs of $2.4 bln vs. $2.27 bln consensus.
XRTX $24-25-23 Reports Q1 (Feb) earnings of $0.40 per share, $0.10 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.30; revenues rose 24.1% year/year to $236.4 mln vs the $229.1 mln consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for Q2, sees EPS of $0.09-0.19 vs. $0.16 consensus; sees Q2 revs of $203-218 mln vs. $210.52 mln consensus. "Our first quarter results were ahead of our expectation. With strong demand for our products, particularly in our Networked Storage Solutions business, I am encouraged with regard to our continued progress in executing our strategic plan and expansion of our customer base," said Steve Barber, CEO of Xyratex. "The fundamentals of the markets we serve continue to be very good and I believe we continue to improve on our competitive and technology position. I believe we are well positioned to capitalize on the positive industry dynamics that are creating significant demand for our storage products."
Earnings 1ast of March 1rst two weeks into April:
* SNX $18-22.50-20.50...reports Q1 EPS 43c vs. consensus estimate of 40c
SNX reports Q1 revenue $1.59B vs. consensus estimate of $1.607B. SNX sees Q2 EPS 43c-45c vs. consensus estimate of 41c and sees Q2 revenue $1.595B-$1.645B vs. consensus estimate of $1.617B.
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storms impacting Q1, cutting ests for select restaurant stocks - Wachovia
Wachovia cuts their CQ1 comp and EPS ests for 12 restaurant stocks, given the severe winter weather experienced across parts of the U.S. to date in Q1. The three co's with the greatest exposure to the 13 states most impacted are TAST, TXRH, and CMG; the remaining 9 co's are WEN, EAT, DRI, JBX, YUM, MRT, RARE, RRGB, and APPB.
Weekly Gainers & Losers List
Weekly Gainers List : Stocks over $5 posting the largest percentage gain over the last five sessions include: ACAD +114.9%, CQP +90.7%, VYYO +65.5%, CTIB, +43.7%, OSIR +36.6%, GROW +29.3%, IMCL +27.9%, KRON +27.8%, EBS +27.5%, BELFA +26.8%, RIV +26.4%, SILC +25.5%, TBV +25.2%, THE +24.9%, ARXT +24.3%, WRES +24.3%, PXR +23.9%, PRKR +23.6%, CCIX +23.3%, FFHL +22.5%, BAK +22.31% IFS +21.2%, XIDE +21, LNOP +20.7%, FNET +20.6%, PANL +20.2%, EFUT +20.1%, ICFI +20.0%, SNX +19.4%, ALJ +19.3%, ABN +19.0%, ROCM +18.8%, HAYZ +18.8%, TSTC +18.7%, TGX +18.6%, MSON +18.6%, SMXC +18.5%, SNDA +18.4%, AVR +18.3%, CHTP +18.2%, BIOV +18.0%, VII +17.9%, CHTT +17.8%, ASTI +17.4%, FTGX +17.2%, CHIP +17.2%, GSIC +17.2%, SMRT +17.1%, WPTE +16.8%, GTN +16.7%, REFR +16.5%, ACS +16.3%, HRT +16.2%, SGG +16.2%, AUXL +16.2%, IOC +16.2%, WFR +16.2%, OSCI +16.0%, GRRF +16%
Weekly Losers List : Stocks over $5 posting the largest percentage loss over the last five sessions include: PRTS -44.6%, RFIL -25.8%, JBL -15.0%, CBLI -15.0%, SPC -14.4%, TECUA -13.7%, STEC -12.5%, SYX -12.5%, CECE -11.2%, NT -11.0%, PSPT -10.8%, AIXD -10.3%, JST -10.2%, DMC -10.2%, TRGL -10.1%, ACHN -9.8%, CNTY -9.7%, EEE -9.7%, SWKS -9.6%, JRC -9.2%, BDAY -9.1%, HBP -8.8%, MDV -8.7%, INPC -8.7%, CVTX -8.6%, IRIX -8.3%, SCHL -8.22, DVSA -7.7%, TWM -7.7%, MIPI -7.5%, NYMX -7.5%, SRI -7.2%, ACET -7.2% MOD -7.0%, VOLC -7%, USBE -6.97%, ACY -6.8%, PQE -6.6%, GCOM -6.6%, RBN -6.5%, ISLN -6.3%, KNOT -6.4%
* BSC $138-145-152 prelim $3.82 vs $3.80 Reuters consensus; revs $2.48 bln vs $2.49 bln Reuters consensus On call, BSC says residential securitization activity declined in Feb reflecting uncertainty in the M.B.S. market. Says difficulty in sub-prime mkts do not appear to have spilled over to the credit mkts.
BSC Bear Stearns conference call summary (148.78 +3.49) - Update
On call, BSC says residential securitization activity declined in Feb reflecting uncertainty in the M.B.S. market. Says difficulty in sub-prime mkts do not appear to have spilled over to the credit mkts. Says mortgage mkts became more difficult as investor concern rose over the rising default level in the subprime mortgage market. While sub-prime has historically represented a small portion of their mortgage business, investor concerns temporarily reduce liquidity. Development of US origination platform has continued to benefit the co, and commercial mortgage activities remain strong. Says sub-prime mortgage problems are contained, and have not spread to the broader mortgage mkts. While conditions will be more challenging in the short run, they believe they are well positioned to benefit from this environment... Co notes that assets under mgmt were 54.1 bln, up 19% YoY. Says book value at Feb 28 was $90.57 per share. Co Repurchased 2.9 mln shares of stock during the qtr... During Q&A, when asked about the size of exposure to sub-prime, co says sub-prime represents about 3% of their mortgage business, so a small part of overall mortgage business. Notes they actually reduced their exposure last year, cutting their origination and securitization activities almost in half. They feel pretty comfortable about where they are -- says dislocation has been limited to the sub-prime sector. Says they really haven't seen any increase in delinquencies or default rates in the Prime and Alt-A sector... Discussing the sub-prime mkt further, co says there will be fewer players and that should be an opportunity for them. They wouldn't rule out buying other origination platforms, but it's not something they are looking to do. Says there is likely to be large bulk sales of assets, which will represent opportunities... Expects a significant decline in total U.S. Origination capacity in this coming year; says sub-prime and Alt-A origination volume could decline 25-30%... When asked about the sub-prime mkt going forward, says they can get deals done, they're originating loans, and their underwriting standards had been tightened... When asked what BSC's total exposure to sub-prime is, co says they're not going to break down the specific details, but they feel like they have the situation in hand. Says most of the dislocation effects were reflected in the Q1 results... Co says they've had no difficulties with margin calls or hedge funds as a result of the recent mkt volatility.
*MS $70-74-81 reports Q1 EPS of $2.40 vs. consensus estimates of $1.88 with Q1 revenue of $11B vs. consensus estimates of $9.36B.
MS Morgan Stanley: Conference call details I (79.22 +3.11) - Update
On call, MS says they increased the firm's risk-taking this quarter in a disciplined and balanced way to take advantage of the market opportunities. Notes that net revenues for the quarter was the highest quarter ever. Margins were flat with last qtr. Notes M&A backlog is up significantly vs last qtr and last year... Looking at value at risk, aggregate avg trading and nontrading value at risk is up $25 mln to $92 mln... Discusses sub-prime mkt, noting they participate in sub-prime mortgage mkt in a number of ways, both securitizing and originating loans. They manage risk through a variety of hedging strategies and we also take proprietary risk positions. Says these activities were a significant contributor to the co's results this quarter. In addition, they extend loans and lending commitments to clients that are secured by assets of the borrower. At the end of the quarter, these totalled $5.2 bln, of which $2.3 bln was funded and fully collateralized. They note that the largest component of this was to New Century (NEWC), and their current funded balance with NEWC is $2.5 bln.
KB Home Reporting Thursday March 22 Before Market Opens
Wall Street will receive another telling housing sector data point when KB Home (KBH) reports March 22. KBH is expected to post a Q1 revenue decline and a Q1 EPS decline. Analysts expect some stabilization in the housing sector, and will focus on KBH's cancellation rate, write-downs, inventory levels, fixed costs, and margins. Analysts will also evaluate KBH's operational stance moving forward, including its acquisition strategy. The Reuters Q1 consensus estimate for KBH is EPS 39c and revenue $1.68B
CHAP $52-$54-$49 beats by $0.06; guides Q4 EPS above consensus (52.24 -1.77) : Reports Q3 (Feb) earnings of $1.29 per share, $0.06 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $1.23; revenues rose 12.2% year/year to $420.2 mln vs the $398.5 mln consensus. Co issues upside guidance for Q4, sees EPS of $1.35 vs. $1.26 consensus. Co comments on guidance saying, "Based on current market conditions the fourth quarter should continue to provide strong results. The Company believes that end user demand for its products will remain strong. Historically, shipments in the fourth quarter are stronger than the third quarter but due to low levels of available inventory, shipments are expected to be similar to the third quarter. Domestic and international scrap markets are volatile and at historic highs; however, international structural prices have improved and we will continue to price our products competitively to the international market. The prospects for higher energy costs due to warmer weather could have a negative impact on margins compared to third quarter results."
ADBE $40-$42 beats by $0.01, light on revs; guides Q2 in-line, reaffirms Y07 outlook (40.74 +0.50) : Reports Q1 (Feb) non-GAAP earnings of $0.30 per share, excluding all non-recurring items, $0.01 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.29; revenues fell 0.9% year/year to $649.4 mln vs the $655 mln consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for Q2, sees non-GAAP EPS of $0.34-0.36 vs. $0.35 consensus; sees Q2 revs of $700-740 mln vs. $718.69 mln consensus. Co announced it is reaffirming its Y07 rev growth target of approx 15%. Co also reaffirmed it is targeting a non-GAAP operating margin of approximately 37-38%. "As Adobe prepares for the biggest product launch in our history, we are excited about our opportunities and bullish about our prospects for another year of strong performance."
Adobe Systems Conference Call Summary (40.74 +0.50) -Update : On conf call, co says it expects Q3 (Aug) to be substantially higher than Q2 (May) due to the launch of new products. Also, co expects Q4 (Nov) to be its highest revenue qtr of the year... Co says it saw solid demand across all geographies in Q1 (Feb)... More customers are adopting the high end features for its Acrobat product. Co says it will launch its CS3 product later this month in New York at its financial analyst meeting... Co says its guidance assumes zero revenue from Apollo. Feedback for CS3 was fantastic, people have been blon away by it. Feedback was very exciting. Customers are blown away by creative features and on the Mac, customers like the advantage it has taken on the new hardware...stock at 42.30.
HAL $32.50 -$30 expects its Q1 EPS to be approx $0.49 to $0.54 vs $0.59 consensus (32.01 -0.39) : Co announces it expects Q1 earnings to be below analyst consensus estimates. During Q1, the Production Optimization and Fluid Systems Divisions of Halliburton's Energy Services Group have experienced reduced activity in North America. A significant portion of these lower than anticipated results is attributable to decreased drilling and completion activity in Canada and the northern United States. The co expects its Q1 EPS to be approx $0.49 -$0.54 vs $0.59 consensus(excluding any potential impact from possible additional losses related to KBR's 50-percent owned gas-to-liquids project in Escravos, Nigeria, and any possible impairment charges related to KBR's Brown & Root-Condor Spa joint venture in Algeria as disclosed in the recent amendment to KBR's Form S-4 registration statement).
BJ Services: HAL's preannouncement has biggest implication for BJS - Stifel (26.64 -0.72) : Stifel notes that Halliburton (HAL) announced that it expects its Q1 EPS to come in under consensus, because of the decline in drilling and completion activity in Canada and northern U.S. Firm believes this preannouncement has the greatest implication for BJS. They note that BJS has exposure to this market (about 10% of revs from Canada). Firm says the pressure pumping business can be characterized as having moved "sideways" for some time now.
Alternative energy stocks : We noticed that yesterday a number of alternative energy stocks (particularly solar stocks such as FSLR and TSL) were notably strong. We want to point out that some of this interest was likely ahead of today's Piper Jaffray alternative energy conference, in which a host of small-cap names will present, including: WFR, SPWR, FSLR, STP, ESLR, MBLX, GPRE, ANDE, PLUG, BCON, CSIQ, FCEL, ACPW, ALTI, ENS, ULBI, SATC, ACPW, PWER, ORA, EMKR, HOKU, MDTL, SPIR, and AMSC.
TSL $50-40-? (feb 15) beats single estimate by $0.12; guides for FY07 (41.22 ) : Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.28 per share, $0.12 better than the single estimate of $0.16; revenues rose 144.5% year/year to $38.8 mln vs the $28.5 mln single estimate. Co guides for FY07, sees FY07 revs of $270-300 mln vs. $270.00 mln single estimate.
09-Mar-07 06:39 ET In Play Trina Solar profiled in New America section of IBD (39.36 ) : IBD reports the recent tremors from the Chinese stock mkt have shaken down many Chinese cos trading here in the U.S., including the fast-growing group that makes solar power components. One such was Trina Solar, which corrected to the tune of 25%. Yet analysts aren't too worried about these cos' prospects. Demand for solar power is set for the foreseeable future. "I don't think Trina fell because it's a company that produces in China, because almost everything it makes is for export," said Robert Stone, analyst with Cowen. "I believe that as the market got into a correction, it's only natural that the stocks that have gone up the most in the last few months are the first ones investors want to take their chips off the table with."
momos: CSX on LBO rumor ...FMT , ALXN , ARXT , coppers ,steels gold, solar
Bios: SIGA NSTK CYTR AMGN
ipo CLWR BBND FIRE ARAY FCSX
Eps REPORTS:
housing in play = numbers & LEN KBH eps
software inplay= ADBE ORCL eps ....
tran inplay = FDX eps thurs...
broker=MS eps
steel=CHAP CMC
Handheld=PALM
Retail= NKE BKS MLHR ROST WSM MOV FRED BGP GIS CTRN CAG GMTN SMRT CHRS
NET= CHINA
Restaurant= DRI
* MOS $21-19-$29 . (jan 29) The Mosaic Co. reports Q2 (19.95 ) : Co reports Q2 earnings of $0.15, including currency gain, may not be comparable with the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.15; revs rose 2% yr/yr to $1.52 bln vs. $1.48 bln Reuters Estimates consensus.
Citigroup downgrades Mosaic (MOS 20.81) to Hold from Buy
jan 29 ...The Mosaic Co: Earnings call summary (20.94 +0.99) -Update : On the MOS earnings conference call, co notes that the delayed filings are due to challenges with the new E.R.P. system. Notes that they are achieving one of their primary goals -- cash generation. With corn prices around $4 per bushel over the last few weeks, co says agricultural fundamentals are strong and their customers are showing increased confidence in long-term agricultural fundamentals. Co says that demand is also strong in India and Brazilian outlook is improving. Says phosphate inventories in the U.S. were 20 year lows at the end of December. Says MOS' inventories are lower than optimal levels, causing some logistical challenges... When asked about amonia prices, and the potential effect on potash prices, co says they have decoupled from the price of amonia, and higher or lower amonia prices will not impact what is produced in North America because of the strong demand... When asked about potash capacity, co says they do have capacity to expand at both Belle Plaine and Esterhazy... When asked about international phosphate business, co says they are just seeing the light go on in international markets that North American demand is increasing. They note that some phosphate that was typically shipped abroad, will be consumed in North America -- MOS will ship a greater proportion to the North American mkt than it has historically. Says they are all going to have to work hard in order to satisfy the increasing demand. They think there are a couple of years ahead of them for increasing domestic and international demand... When asked about co's long-term nitrogen strategy, says there has been a change in the economics of N. American production of nitrogen. Says it's an area that they're going to look in, but they don't know what the answer is as of yet. (Briefing.com note: Fertilizer peers CF (+8.0%), POT (+4.0%), TRA (+3.6%) and AGU (+1.0%) are also seeing notable strength today)
09-Feb-07 12:55 ET In Play The Mosaic Co: Seeing strong DAP fertilizer price increases due to Latin American market buying ahead of season - BMO Capital (21.13 +0.57) : BMO says that D.A.P phosphate fertilizer prices fob Tampa have strengthened gradually from $250/mt during Nov/Dec to $280/mt last week. This week however, they note that prices have surged to between $300 and 306/mt. Firm says the initial price increase has been driven largely by stronger demand in North America and lower inventories from production outages at Faustina last yr. The recent surge however, appears to have come from Latin American buyers commencing purchases ahead of their normal season. They are witnessing similar trends in intl urea and potash markets, as well for Latin America. Firm also says that the co has commenced efforts to curtail the water inflow at the Esterhazy mine in Saskatchewan, but it is still too early to determine how successful these efforts will be.
*POT $134-$142~$168 (jan25) er Q4 (Dec) $1.74 vs $1.60 , including multiple non-recurring items, may not be comparable to the Reuters Estimates consensus of $1.60; revenues rose 9.9% year/year to $1.02 bln vs the $0.94 bln consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for Q1, sees EPS of $1.50-2.00 vs. $1.72 consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for FY07, sees EPS of $6.25-7.25 vs. $7.15 consensus.
Potash: Details from ongoing conference call (142.97 -4.46) -Update : On call, POT notes that they capitalized on their strengths in nitrogen and phosphate. Notes that demand for crops needed for food and biofuels (ethanol) is increasing. Notes that grain inventories are expected to decline again, putting more pressure on farmers. Notes that demand for food and biofuels is increasing, requiring more crops, driving demand for Potash. Also notes that in 2006 ethanol used 16% of the world's corn crop. Says USDA expects planting of corn to increase 8-10 bln acres this year. Notes that tight fundamentals are driving up prices. Expects nitrogen and phosphate to also do well in this higher-demand environment... During Q&A, when asked about Potash expectations for Brazil, co says there seeing corn up over $4 and soybeans up over $7 and there are expectations that soybeans will go up with acreage coming down in the US... When asked about China, co says the Chinese are very smart buyers, but that the inventories are much lower this year; says POT's folks there are telling them the the contract will be completed before the Chinese new year. Co expects the contract to be a year contract, and expects to see a price increase there in 2007... Co says they expect that there is going to be a lot of competition in Nitrogen products... Q&A is still going on.
*DE $101-108-116-109 (feb 14) beats on top and bottom line, issues FY07 guidance (102.67 ) : Reports Q1 (Jan) earnings of $1.04 per share, $0.23 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.81; total net sales rose 3.4% year/year to $3.82 bln vs the $3.72 bln total net sales consensus. Co sees FY07 Deere sales to be up slightly, sees Q2 Deere sales to be up approx 5%.
Deere tgt raised to $120 from $108 at BofA (111.91 ) : BofA raises their tgt to $120 from $108 after strong qtr yesterday morning. The firm is more positive on DE's ability to capitalize earlier than they expected on what looks to be a robust Agriculture cycle (apparently trumping a weak construction segment).
* PSUN $17-18-20 of $0.37 per share, excluding non-recurring items, in line with the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.37; as previously announced, revenues rose 7.8% year/year to $458.2 mln. Co issues 1H guidance, sees EPS of $0.23-0.27 vs $0.31 Reuters consensus
Pacific Sunwear upgraded to Buy at Roth Capital- tgt raised to $22 from $18 (18.19 ) : Roth Capital upgrades PSUN to Buy from Hold with and raises their tgt to $22 from $18 tgt saying positive momentum is just starting to build. The firm believes there are several near-term catalysts that should drive stronger results, including easier comparisons, the inevitable arrival of warmer weather nationwide, ongoing improvement in juniors, improved productivity in footwear as the new VP and GMM of Footwear have more impact on the assortment, improved in-store presentation given the lower inventory density, more stores in the newer/more productive formats and less of a drag from underperforming demo stores.
Earnings Preview for the week of Mar 19th-23th:
Monday: MOVI, NT, and COSI...
Tuesday: CAMT, CRZO, CMC, FDS, MCS, PERY, PRGS, SUP, ADBE, CHAP, CTAS, DRI, FSII, and ORCL...
Wednesday: AIR, CHRS, DIET, MS, ROST, SMRT, CTRN, CLC, MLHR, IHS, and SIGM...
Thursday: BKS, BBA, CTR, CHTT, CAG, CRAI,EBS, FDX, FRED, GIS, KBH, NWY, SCHL, TWP, WSM, COMS, BGP, CPWM, JBL, NKE, NINE, PALM, SRSL, and SNX...
Friday: No earnings are currently scheduled
SECTORS :
Alternative Energy
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Solar Energy
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Cigarettes
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Computer/Hardware
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Chinese Majors
(and minors)
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Airlines/Air Freight/RAILS
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Druggie/Bios
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Home Builders
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Health Care
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Fibre Optics:
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Financial Services
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Fertilizer/Agri
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Oil Drillers /Services
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Oil Refiners
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Precious Metals/Miners
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More Oils Nat Gas & Energy
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RAILS
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Restaurants
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Retailers http://finance.yahoo.com/q/cq?d=v1&s=^rlx+amzn+aapl+anf+aeo+ann+azo+bby+bbby+big+bks+coh+cost+ctrn+chs+cost+colm+deck+dell+dks+dds+odp+fdo+fast+gme+hott+psun+jwn+jcp+ltd+low+hd+nke+rsh+rost+spls+shld+tgt+tif+tjx+wmt
Steels Fabricators
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SEMIS http://finance.yahoo.com/quotes/adi+amd+amat+altr++amkr+asml+brcm+cree+crus+ccmp+cy+csco+cree+cymi+for+intc+issi+klac+lamr+lscc+lrcx+qcom+mrvl+nvls+nok+nvda+silc+sndk+slab+stm++tsm+veco+ter+txn+tqnt+vsea+wfr+xlnx+zran/view/v1
Sofware
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Storage
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$TRAN
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Uranium Stocks
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Truckers
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Water Infrastructure
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Wireless
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Big TEN
Majors http://finance.yahoo.com/q/cq?d=v1&s=+^dji+ba+de+cat+cmi+dow+ir+flr+hees+mon+nue+tm+utx+xom+
US Index ETFS
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World Contry ETFs
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Commodity ETF's List
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World Currency ETF
http://finance.yahoo.com/quotes/FXA+FXB+FXC+FXE+FXY+FXM+FXS+FXF
Health BioTech
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Natural Resource
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Real Estate ETF
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RARE EARTHs
http://finance.yahoo.com/quotes/REMX,REE,MCP,TC
Science technology
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Telecom ETF
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Utility
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All ETF Samplings
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