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HOV has had a nice run, waiting for a pull back (to 2?) to add more... thoughts?
Tvix and uvxy both live on, around or below the 60. If ones lucky you can catch a vix spike rest of the time a short on tvix is prob best way to play it. When the market is wrought with fear and uncertainty is also a good time to play vix.
Tvix doesn't play by the rules lol
TVIX has been bottoming at DHOT60, I believe a move is coming of decent proportion
DGAZ now DHOT60 on the daily
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/gallery.html?dgaz
richdad813 HOV had someone buying 100k blks on the ask today and recent days. Lots of long term upside IMO under Master Builder Trump administration.
I grabbed some at 1.78. the chart looks lovely
FAZ and LABD are DHOT60 daily and weekly
APTO: Aptose Biosciences Inc. DHOT60 on both daily and weekly
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/gallery.html?APTO
What do you guys think?
First time posting on here although I have been following closely trying to find these plays. Very hard to find but so far have been fairly successful.
Dude iligence, thanks for all your posts. Very informative and knowledgeable so thank you for sharing.
Any feedback on this play would be greatly appreciated.
Bought HOV $1.68 on the 200ma. Not much excitement in housing stocks right now. buying this for long term holding. Home ownership is at the lowest level in 50 years. There is shortages in many of the major cities. I owned HOV prior to the housing boom about 15 years ago. I traded it around $4. HOV went to over $500 per share split adjusted at the height of the housing boom. They were not an industry leader then and they aren't now but a rising tide lifts all boats. I looked at the charts of the home builders LEN TOL PHM are down about 50% from their former highs. Their upside potential is not as great as HOV's. If Trump gets elected I expect their to be a building boom in many of the broken cities run down by democrats. If Hilary get elected just sell it and put the money to trading 3X etfs. I like HOV chart for its upside potential for multi-bagger. When I owned it at $4 I would have never thought it could or would go to over $500 per share. Its been 10 years since the housing boom peaked, economic cycle moves up then down then up again.
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=hov&insttype=&freq=2&show=&time=20
An alternative play to NG is coal. Two reason to own coal stocks.
1. Trump gets elected coal stock will soar, they will continue to move up regardless until election day in anticipation of Trump presidency.
2. The higher NG goes the more attractive coal switching is driving more demand for coal.
I own CLD $5 Cloud Peak Energy coal company based in Gillette WY
Cramer was promoting another coal stock yesterday
SunCoke Energy, Inc. (SXC$7.85) supplies high-quality coke to the integrated steel industry under long-term, take-or-pay contracts that pass through commodity and certain operating costs to customers. We utilize an innovative heat-recovery cokemaking technology that captures excess heat for steam or electrical power generation.
Trump has repeatedly said we will build new skyscrapers, bridges etc using American Steel as the spine. SXC is a good Trump play.
I like the long term charts on both, Obama's war on coal bankrupted several big coal names Peabody, ARCH. The survivors are leaner companies.
Lots of upside to both of these stocks if Trump get elected or in the case of CLD higher NG prices.
Great call on this one! I didn't play it unfortunately, but you have been on a roll calling these.
PLUG..$1.68..~25% since DHOT60
Anyone playing LABD down here? Has been getting trounced lately, but looks to be DHOT60 on both the daily and weekly right now...
NAT went DHOT60 about 8 days ago at $10. CEO put out news about buying more shares and delivery of more tankers causing a gap up. The price then fell back closing the gap 3 days ago. I bought some shares cheaper than I did in Feb. At current price its paying a 10% dividend. Tanker rates have been on a slide for a couple months or so and may have bottomed. NAT has a long history of paying substantial dividends when tanker rates go up. With the increase in NAT owned tankers expect the same of the dividend when rates increase. Could be a good entry pt for NAT and other tankers
YANG $14.55 has gone full DHOT60 on the daily
Miners daily and weekly charts look ugly as can be. $Gold chart is shaping up poorly as well, close below MA50 for the first time since May
GALT $2.05 bout time high 2 16
yes gold could easily re-test the 1220-1250 range on strong jobs report environment
Should be making a larger move based on gold pullback of nearly 2%. The biggest thing I am seeing is yet again gold was denied at the $1,370 area and that is big in my opinion.
Holding DUST from $4.91, loading up TVIX at $.96-.98. Has been piercing DHOT60 for multiple days now on daily and weekly. Has been an ugly trade so far but should be good for 25%+ if it ever bottoms.
FWIW last DHOT60 call on TVIX resulted in $2.11 move to $3.71
DUST bouncing on jobs report, will it ride to recent highs 7.25ish?
LABD looks due for a bounce
I just bought a small position in LABD. Gonna keep a tight leash on it too as this market is in exuberant jubilationville.
thoughts on LABD on biotech overbought and DUST for a retest of 7-8? both DHOT60
GRPO $13s +$1.45 +12% on financials
GoPro Announces Second Quarter 2016 Results
Date : 07/27/2016 @ 4:10PM
Today : Friday 29 July 2016
Click Here for more GOPRO, INC. Charts.
SAN MATEO, Calif., July 27, 2016 /PRNewswire/ -- GoPro, Inc. (NASDAQ: GPRO) announced financial results for its second quarter ended June 30, 2016.
"GoPro is well-positioned for the second half of the year. We now have a simple product line, a clean retail channel and clear indications of strong consumer demand," said GoPro Founder and CEO, Nicholas Woodman. "HERO5 and Karma will contribute to the largest introduction of products in our history, all in time for what we believe will be GoPro's most exciting fourth quarter, ever -- a quarter where we expect to return to profitability."
Recent GoPro Highlights Include
Since the May rebranding of Quik and Splice, these mobile apps have doubled their combined monthly active users to 3.7 million and doubled the amount of shared content each month. Combined, these apps have 37 million cumulative downloads.
The GoPro Mobile App was downloaded 2.6 million times in the second quarter, totaling over 30 million cumulative downloads; Q2 installs of GoPro Studio was 1.5 million, totaling over 17.7 million cumulative installs, with average daily video exports up 15.3% year-over-year to over 43,500.
According to The NPD Group's Retail Tracking Service, GoPro accounted for 6 of the top 10 products, including the top 3 spots, on a unit basis in the digital camera/camcorder category in the U.S. in the second quarter. HERO4 Silver remains the best-selling digital image camera on a unit and dollar basis for the seventh consecutive quarter. By our estimate, Session continues to be the #2 best-selling camera on a unit basis.
According to NPD, GoPro's second quarter combined digital camera/camcorder unit share increased 110 basis points year-over-year to 21.3% in the U.S.
According to GfK, GoPro's second quarter digital imaging unit share in Europe increased 110 basis points year-over-year to 9.4%. GoPro accounted for 4 of the top 5 camcorders in Europe on a unit basis.
Revenue was up 20% to $221 million sequentially, driven by an 8% increase in units shipped to 759,000 and an 11% increase in average selling price. On a year-over-year basis, average selling price increased 14%.
Unit sell-thru was up approximately 10% sequentially and was more than 50% higher than sell-in for the second quarter in a row, resulting in an estimated 35% sequential reduction in channel inventory.
Inventory declined $50 million, or 36%, from the first quarter to $90 million, our lowest inventory level since the second quarter of 2014.
GoPro announced an exclusive partnership with Reliance Digital, India's largest Consumer Electronics retailer, that will put GoPro's cameras, mounts and accessories, on the shelves of up to 1,800 Reliance Digital across India.
GoPro is an official partner of MotoGP, a global race series with a TV audience of 280 million homes and a social following of 15 million. GoPro now sponsors nine-time world-champion MotoGP racer, Valentino Rossi.
GoPro has signed content partnerships to create episodic content with some of the world's most recognized brands including Ford, Wimbledon, and Real Madrid. The first series, produced with Ford Motor Company titled "Unstoppable Life," profiles GoPro athletes who demonstrate the perseverance and determination on their respective life journeys.
GoPro's professional VR camera Odyssey, designed for Google's Jump platform, is being used to capture the Democratic and Republican National Conventions. News organizations including Bloomberg, TIME, The Washington Post, are using Odyssey to shoot the conventions in 360-degree, stereoscopic video.
Launched GoPro Care to U.S. consumers, a fee-based service offering a range of support options, including extended warranty and accidental damage coverage.
Lauren Zalaznick was appointed to GoPro's Board of Directors. A 12-year executive at NBCUniversal, Ms. Zalaznick has devoted her career to transforming the cultural landscape in media, and has been named one of Time's 100 Most Influential People and Fortune's 50 Most Powerful Women.
GoPro entered into a multi-year, global agreement with Red Bull that includes content production, distribution, and cross-promotion through which GoPro will become Red Bull's exclusive provider of point-of-view imaging technology. Content will be distributed across both Red Bull and GoPro's digital distribution networks, including The GoPro Channel, Red Bull TV, RedBull.com and in the Red Bull Content Pool, Red Bull's media service platform.
Three Months Ended June 30,
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
2016
2015
% Change
Revenue
$
220,755
$
419,919
(47.4)%
Gross margin
GAAP
42.1%
46.3%
(420) bps
Non-GAAP
42.4%
46.4%
(400) bps
Operating income (loss)
GAAP
$
(109,377)
$
46,138
(337.1)%
Non-GAAP
$
(89,298)
$
65,845
(235.6)%
Net income (loss)
GAAP
$
(91,767)
$
35,031
(362.0)%
Non-GAAP
$
(72,595)
$
50,715
(243.1)%
Diluted net income (loss) per share
GAAP
$
(0.66)
$
0.24
(375.0)%
Non-GAAP
$
(0.52)
$
0.35
(248.6)%
Adjusted EBITDA
$
(76,757)
$
75,349
(201.9)%
Business Outlook
GoPro is providing the following guidance:
Revenue between $1.35 billion and $1.5 billion for 2016
GAAP and non-GAAP gross margin of 40% +/- 1% for the second half of 2016
GAAP and non-GAAP net income profitable for the fourth quarter of 2016
Upcoming Events
Management will participate in an investor conference on August 9, 2016. GoPro will furnish a link to the webcast of this event on its investor relations website, http://investor.gopro.com.
Conference Call
GoPro management will host a conference call and live webcast for analysts and investors today at 2 p.m. Pacific Time (5 p.m. Eastern Time) to discuss the Company's financial results.
To listen to the live conference call, please dial toll free (888) 208-1361 or (913) 312-0949, access code 4241073, approximately 5 minutes prior to the start of the call. A live webcast of the conference call will be accessible on the "Events & Presentations" section of the Company's website at http://investor.gopro.com. The webcast will be recorded and the recording will be available on GoPro's website, http://investor.gopro.com, approximately two hours after the call and for 90 days thereafter.
I hear you, TVIX is incredibly frustrating. I feel like that trade burns me 4/5 times, just haven't been lucky with it. I have been trying to catch the inevitable run in LABD for the same reason, hoping to catch a major swing when this market finally tumbles. Unfortunately though, this climb has been relentless thus far.
LABD hitting its new 52-week low as we speak. Wishing I had jumped out yesterday after hours when I was up slightly, now I'm in the red and trying to stay patient again.
Yea I got stopped out yesterday once it moved into 1.40s
Very annoying to see it not hold its gains on a down day for SPY. Still think it has a nice pop in it. The DHOT60 has been dead on for DGAZ and DUST so far
VIX +7% TVIX -2.2% Bleeding POS! cant hold this thing for more than a few hours unless the world is falling apart.
Agreed, the fact that SPY goes on to make new ATH a week after Brexit is a joke. Everyone saying that our interaction with the UK is minimal from a economic standpoint clearly isn't seeing the bigger picture of a healthy global economy. Somehow the markets can freak out all last year about Greece defaulting on their repayments, a country that is truly a non-factor in comparison, yet someone UK exit is no big deal.
Nice buys on TVIX and DUST! I flipped out of DUST a little too early, hoping to reenter on a small pullback. Miners finally correcting despite gold not being down a ton.
Syrian refuge terrorist attacks will cause more to exit the EU. French next? Can see what it did for the VIX when the Brits voted. If there is any talk of French following suit Vix will skyrocket.
Added TVIX yesterday and today, $1.36 average. Thinking an easy 20-30% from here
$TVIX
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