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Best years are over. Next stop $97.
Been waiting to buy MMM!
Those ugly numbers are largely a result of the earplug litigation. If 3M can get limit the earplug liability, the other problems should take care of themselves in due course.
3M Q dividends. My worst grower lately by miles
Date Dividend
Mar 12, 2023 1.50 Dividend
Nov 17, 2022 1.49 Dividend
Aug 19, 2022 1.49 Dividend
May 19, 2022 1.49 Dividend
Feb 17, 2022 1.49 Dividend
Nov 18, 2021 1.48 Dividend
Aug 20, 2021 1.48 Dividend
May 20, 2021 1.48 Dividend
Feb 11, 2021 1.48 Dividend
Nov 19, 2020 1.47 Dividend
Aug 21, 2020 1.47 Dividend
May 21, 2020 1.47 Dividend
Feb 13, 2020 1.47 Dividend
Nov 21, 2019 1.44 Dividend
Aug 15, 2019 1.44 Dividend
May 23, 2019 1.44 Dividend
Feb 14, 2019 1.44 Dividend
Nov 21, 2018 1.36 Dividend
Aug 23, 2018 1.36 Dividend
May 17, 2018 1.36 Dividend
Feb 15, 2018 1.36 Dividend
3M YTD -2.52%; Perf for 12 months -27.2%, my worst performer YTD and probably the last several years.
3M increases dividend for 65th consecutive year:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3m-board-declares-quarterly-dividend-215700658.html
The quarterly increase was only a penny—from $1.49 to $1.50—so it’s pretty clear that the raise is mainly to keep the streak alive.
At the current share price ($116.90), the new annualized payout of $6.00 is a yield of 5.1%.
3M reports 4Q22 results—issues 2023 guidance:
https://s24.q4cdn.com/834031268/files/doc_financials/2022/q4/2022-Q4-Earnings-Release-vFinal.pdf
3M’s lineup at CES:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3m-innovation-full-display-ces-141500180.html
3M is appealing this matter to the 7th US Circuit Court (#msg-170191027), so Judge Rodgers’ statement today has no practical consequence, as far as I can tell.
"Judge penalizes 3M, bars it from shifting liability in earplug litigation"
"(Reuters) - A U.S. judge on Thursday barred 3M Co from trying to avoid liability for injuries current and former U.S. military members sustained from its allegedly defective earplugs by shifting blame to a subsidiary.
U.S. District Judge M. Casey Rodgers, the Pensacola, Florida-based judge tasked with overseeing nearly 250,000 cases over the combat earplugs, said 3M deserved the "harshest penalty" for its "bad faith" attempts to transfer the liability to a bankrupt unit."
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-judge-penalizes-3m-bars-233244902.html
3M—US Chamber of Commerce files amicus brief in support of 3M’s petition before the 7th US Circuit Court with respect to earplug litigation:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/surprise-u-chamber-backs-3m-003147746.html
3M will_cease_making PFAS products_by_end_of 2025:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3m-exit-pfas-manufacturing-end-113000562.html
3M’s current annual PFAS sales are $1.3B, about 4% of total corporate sales.
When a company slashes guidance (again) and the stock is flattish (as it is this morning), it may be a hint that the share price is close to a bottom.
3M is seeing some moderation of price inflation in the logistics area.
3M reports 3Q22 results—lowers 2022 EPS guidance_again…
PR:
https://investors.3m.com/news/news-details/2022/3M-Reports-Third-Quarter-2022-Results/default.aspx
CC slides:
https://s24.q4cdn.com/834031268/files/doc_financials/2022/q3/3Q-2022-Earnings-Slides.pdf
2022 non-GAAP* EPS guidance has been lowered to $10.10-10.35 (vs $10.30-10.80 three months ago and $10.75-11.25 six months ago). The biggest components of the lowered guidance vs three months ago are FX and supply-chain bottlenecks.
*Excludes legal expenses for earplug and PFAS cases. The next trial in the earplug MDL will be in Feb 2023. The next trial in the PFAS MDL will be in Jun 2023.
3M—Federal Appellate Court agrees to hear Aearo-bankruptcy case:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/3m-earns-appellate-review-of-earplug-units-bankruptcy-shield-11665682266
Employees paying for mismanagement. 3M cuts jobs.
Maybe they have the ability to look into the future.
I tend to look at investments differently sometimes.
In this case, I was buying NEOG at a discount.
Although imperfect not knowing the final ratio, an odd-lot investor could have shorted six shares of NEOG.
I know someone who bought 99 shares of MMM on Monday for $126.25 and shorted 670 NEOG locking in $1,500 of profit.
Normally, I would have done “long, short and wait.” It’s what I should have done.
If my arithmetic is correct, you expect to make about $900 on this arbitrage play—assuming that you are able to sell the NEOG shares right away.
Do you have an opinion on #msg-169803130 (bottom)? TIA
Holders of 99 shares or less will not be subject to proration.
Please see my post from 8/05/22.
I purchased 99 shares.
It pays to seek out the fine print. Most tender/exchange offers have such a clause. It’s a great way to make a little “beer money”.
Normally, I would have shorted the other company. In this case, I was simply trying to buy SpinCo at a 7 percent discount.
In other words, the exchange offer is very likely oversubscribed and hence shares tendered will likely be filled on a low pro rata basis.
The adverse bankruptcy ruling last week makes the above even more likely.
The exchange offer includes only 2.8% of 3M's shares outstanding.+
3M Sets Final Exchange Ratio in Split-Off Exchange Offer in Connection with Neogen Transaction (8/29/22)
ST. PAUL, Minn., Aug. 29, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- 3M (NYSE: MMM) announced today the final exchange ratio of 6.7713 for its split-off exchange offer to 3M stockholders to exchange their shares of 3M common stock for shares of common stock of Garden SpinCo Corporation ("SpinCo"). The exchange offer is being conducted in connection with the previously announced pending separation of 3M's food safety business and the subsequent merger of SpinCo, a subsidiary of 3M formed to hold the food safety business, with a subsidiary of Neogen Corporation ("Neogen").
For each share of 3M common stock that is validly tendered and accepted for exchange, 3M will deliver approximately 6.7713 shares of SpinCo common stock. Upon completion of the merger, each share of SpinCo common stock will be converted into the right to receive one share of Neogen common stock. As a result, 3M stockholders who tender shares of 3M common stock in the exchange offer will receive approximately 6.7713 shares of Neogen common stock (subject to the receipt of cash in lieu of fractional shares) for each share of 3M common stock accepted for exchange. Because the final exchange ratio is less than the upper limit, the upper limit is not in effect.
The exchange offer is scheduled to expire at 11:59 p.m., New York City time, on August 31, 2022, unless terminated or extended, and the closing of the merger is expected to occur promptly following the consummation of the exchange offer. 3M stockholders may tender or withdraw their shares of 3M common stock until the expiration of the exchange offer by following the procedures described in the exchange offer materials. The closing of the exchange offer and the merger remain subject to the satisfaction or waiver of customary closing conditions, as described in the exchange offer materials.
Based on the final exchange ratio, 3M currently expects to accept for exchange approximately 15,989,536 shares of 3M common stock if the exchange offer is fully subscribed. Because the exchange offer will be subject to proration if the exchange offer is oversubscribed, the number of shares of 3M common stock that 3M accepts in the exchange offer may be less than the number of shares validly tendered by 3M stockholders. If the exchange offer is consummated but not fully subscribed, 3M will distribute the remaining shares of SpinCo common stock on a pro rata basis to 3M stockholders as of 5:00 p.m. Eastern time on August 31, 2022 whose shares of 3M common stock remain outstanding after the completion of the exchange offer. Any 3M stockholder who validly tenders their shares and whose shares are accepted in the exchange offer will have waived and forfeited all of their rights to receive any shares of SpinCo common stock in that pro rata distribution.
For more information about the exchange offer, please contact the information agent, Georgeson LLC, at 1290 Avenue of the Americas, 9th Floor, New York, NY 10104 or at the telephone number 888-607-6511 (toll-free in the United States).
About 3M
At 3M, we apply science in collaborative ways to improve lives daily as our employees connect with customers all around the world. Learn more about 3M's creative solutions to the world's problems at www.3M.com or on Twitter @3M or @3MNews.
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/3m-sets-final-exchange-ratio-in-split-off-exchange-offer-in-connection-with-neogen-transaction-301614127.html
I'm a long-retired lawyer and I never understood the theory of 3M's maneuvering against the earplug litigation. That gambit certainly wouldn't have worked years ago. Recently I dodged a similar situation when my kids' Monsanto holding was barely able to foist its incessant Roundup weed killer litigation onto Bayer of Germany. Thankfully Monsanto Corporation retained considerable value, but the company's brand (and balance sheet) was diminished by years in court. Monsanto, I believe, no long exists anywhere as a product nameplate.
With a market cap of $73 billion, 3M has considerable resources to carry on, but I'm guessing the company is precarious for growth. Several months ago my son asked my opinion of him buying 3M shares and I advised him to never invest based primarily on a showy payout [4.2%]. Since then, MMM is down another 15%, somewhat worse than the broad stock market. I'm holding 3M stock, but not adding
A recent article on 3M problems.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537364-3m-company-the-old-adage-of-not-buying-into-lawsuits
3M still_has_some shots-on-goal in_the earplug litigation…
As far as I know, 3M’s next step is to appeal the bankruptcy court’s decision in the Federal Circuit Court, where the case is heard by a 3-judge panel. I.e., 3M needs to convince 2 of the 3 Circuit Court judges to overturn the lower-court ruling.
If 3M fails to obtain a reversal of the lower-court ruling in the Circuit Court hearing, the company will presumably request an en banc rehearing of the case, where all 9 judges from the (regional) Federal Circuit Court hear the case. It takes 4 of the 9 judges to grant the request for an en banc rehearing and 5 of the 9 judges to prevail on the merits and overturn the lower-court ruling.
If 3M is unsuccessful in the Federal Circuit Court, the next step is to appeal to the USSC. At the USSC, it takes 4 of the 9 justices to grant certiorari and 5 of the 9 justices to prevail on the merits.
All told, I think 3M’s chances of overturning the lower-court ruling are 30-40%. The fact that there is a precedent for using the bankruptcy court to do what 3M is trying to do is helpful.
3M—(-9%)—fails to persuade Bankruptcy Court to accept earplug litigation:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3m-t-bankruptcy-halt-lawsuits-190012322.html
3M says it will appeal the ruling.
"3M Unit Defends Request to Shield Parent From Mass Earplug Lawsuits"
"Lawyers representing 3M Co. ’s bankrupt Aearo Technologies LLC subsidiary defended its request to a bankruptcy judge to extend a litigation stay to the parent company to resolve mass earplug lawsuits, saying such a move would be in line with other court rulings.
Aearo Technologies lawyer Chad Husnick on Wednesday said before Judge Jeffrey Graham of the U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Indianapolis that even though 3M itself didn’t file for bankruptcy, it also should be shielded from the 230,000 pending lawsuits that alleged 3M’s military earplugs were defective. Without the protection, Mr. Husnick said, mass lawsuits would continue against 3M in the U.S. District Court in Pensacola, Fla., and would complicate earplug unit Aearo’s restructuring."
https://www.wsj.com/articles/3m-unit-defends-request-to-shield-parent-from-mass-earplug-lawsuits-11660835021?siteid=yhoof2
3M—Federal judge allows transfer of earplug litigation to bankruptcy court:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/judge-knocks-3m-bankruptcy-strategy-for-military-earplug-lawsuits-11660578963
The bankruptcy court itself must still approve the transfer of jurisdiction, but the decision in the link above was a major hurdle that has now been overcome.
p.s. I can read only the first few sentences of the above article b/c it the full article is available only through a WSJ Pro subscription. Still, I can see enough of the article to understand what it all means.
Holders of 99 shares or less will not be subject to proration.
Website dedicated to 3M-NEOG exchange offer:
https://www.envisionreports.com/3MNEOGENEXCHANGE/2022/3mneogenexchangeaug4/index.html?voting=true
3M commences exchange offer for food-safety/NEOG spinoff:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3m-commences-split-off-exchange-164100919.html
3M reports 2Q22 results—sharply lowers 2022 guidance:
• Total sales growth: -2.5 to -0.5 percent vs. 1 to 4 percent prior
• Organic sales growth: 1.5 to 3.5 percent vs. 2 to 5 percent prior
• Foreign currency translation: -4 percent vs. -1 percent prior
• GAAP earnings per share: $7.32 to $7.82 vs. $9.89 to 10.39 prior
• Adjusted earnings per share: $10.30 to $10.80 vs. $10.75 to $11.25 prior
• Operating cash flow of $6.6 to $7.2 billion contributing to 90% to 100% adjusted free cash flow conversion
2Q22 PR:
https://investors.3m.com/news/news-details/2022/3M-Reports-Second-Quarter-2022-Results/default.aspx
CC slides:
https://s24.q4cdn.com/834031268/files/doc_financials/2022/q2/2Q-2022-Earnings-Slides.pdf
3M to spin-off healthcare business to 3M shareholders in late 2023:
https://investors.3m.com/news/news-details/2022/3M-Announces-Plans-to-Create-Long-Term-Value-Through-Spin-Off-of-Health-Care-Business/default.aspx
The spin-off will be tax-free for US shareholders. 3M will initially retain a 19.9% equity stake in the yet-unnamed healthcare company.
Note: The planned split-off/merger of 3M’s food-safety business with NEOG remains on track for a 2022 closing.
3M executes the “Texas two-step” to contain earplug liability:
https://investors.3m.com/news/news-details/2022/3M-Subsidiary-Aearo-Technologies-Takes-Action-to-Efficiently-and-Equitably-Resolve-Litigation-Related-to-Combat-Arms-Earplugs/default.aspx
"3M Has 64th Annual Dividend Increase Despite Headwinds And Legal Risk"
"Conclusion
Despite a not insignificant level of headwinds and the ever present legal risk, we still believe that due to the massive expanse of 3M's product portfolio and long history of delivering quality products, it is a good choice for a solid dividend yield on a blue-chip."
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522882-3m-has-64th-annual-dividend-increase-despite-headwinds-and-legal-risk
3M settles with Belgium—will take $360M charge to 2Q22 earnings:
https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/0000066740/000006674022000056/mmm-20220706.htm
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0000066740/000006674022000056/a76228kex-991.htm
3M updates Belgian manufacturing status and environmental-remediation program:
https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/0000066740/000006674022000052/mmm-20220610.htm
3M expects $300M revenue_hit_in_2Q22_from China’s COVID lockdowns:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3m-expects-300-million-revenue-152459655.html
3M is unusual among multinational firms in that almost all of what 3M sells in China it manufactures in China. The COVID lockdowns forced the temporary closure of some of 3M’s manufacturing sites in China.
This was stated on today’s Bernstein webcast.
3M’s earplug-litigation scorecard for “bellwether” cases—(updated):
• 6 wins by jury verdict
• 8 wins by summary dismissal
• 10 losses by jury verdict
• zero cases settled
3M ordered to pay $77.5M in earplug case—largest_award_ yet:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-3m-ordered-pay-77-173614314.html
Oops! I was only off by one log, LOL.
No "Plastic bubble is a $175 million market in the U.S. and the vast majority of the product is not recycled. "
Cushion Lock—another innovative product from 3M:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/scotch-brand-cushion-lock-protective-171000963.html
3M’s earplug-litigation scorecard for “bellwether” cases:
• 6 wins by jury verdict
• 8 wins by summary dismissal
• 8 losses by jury verdict
• zero cases settled
Two more bellwether cases are going to trial in May 2022. (Source: Today’s 1Q22 CC.)
1Q22 CC transcript of prepared remarks:
https://s24.q4cdn.com/834031268/files/doc_financials/2022/q1/Q1-2022-Transcript.pdf
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